Bitcoin - Will hit 135k in the short-term, Elliott and FIBOBitcoin is rising! That's what everyone sees at the moment, but we don't want to get drunk and establish our profit target. Where to take profit? Because we are in the price discovery mode, there is no previous price action above the current price. At this moment we really cannot use any horizontal lines, gaps, volume profiles, imbalances, previous ranges, or previous swing highs to establish our profit target. So we have to use special tools, such as Fibonacci extension or Elliott Wave.
The Fibonacci extension is a great tool - in bitcoin's case we have a 1:1 FIB extension sitting at 135,096. This level is also in confluence with a major trendline that we can see on the chart. This gives us a really good profit target in the short term for this particular trade. This is also an opportunity to short Bitcoin here, if you trade futures. From the Elliott Wave perspective, we are in wave (3), so I made a prediction on where this wave should terminate and also where wave (5) should terminate. I think my analysis definitely makes sense! Please share your analysis in the comment section, only copy your link here.
Trading tip at the end: Avoid the Obvious / Market Traps - Some obvious trading situations are kind of a trap where the chances are that everyone else has also spotted a wonderful trade situation which eventually sets you up for a disaster. Many people get trapped in some obvious good looking trades. Some obvious trades can sometimes be the market traps as they are hyped, professional traders stay away from these traps. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Elliott Wave
GOLD → Consolidation. Long squeeze before growth to 3400FX:XAUUSD has broken through resistance at 3353-3357 since the session opened, and bulls are currently trying to keep the market in the buying zone. Should we expect a long squeeze before growth?
Gold is in local consolidation after breaking through a key level. The price is still in the consolidation phase formed during a week-and-a-half correction. The price reached a three-week high of $3,374 on Monday but fell after the EU's conciliatory statements. Investors are awaiting US inflation data and Chinese GDP figures as they assess the prospects for a Fed rate cut. Heightened geopolitical and trade tensions are keeping demand for safe-haven assets high.
Technically, gold has entered a local buying zone, but there is a fairly complex resistance zone above it, and consolidation is needed to break through it. Such patterns could include a retest of support and a liquidity grab before growth.
Resistance levels: 3373, 3394
Support levels: 3357, 3353, 3345
There is a possibility of a retest of eql 3353 in a long squeeze format and a return to resistance at 3373 for a breakout. I also do not rule out a retest of the key level of 3345. The global trend is bullish, with the price locally in a fairly wide range, with an emphasis on the support zone of 3345-3355. If the bulls can hold this zone overall, the market will have a good chance of rising to 3400-3450
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD is Nearing the Daily Trend!!!Hey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.34100 zone, GBPUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.34100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,340 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,340 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gold Roadmap: Next Stop $3,325 After Ascending Channel Break?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) failed to touch the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) in the previous idea , and I took the position at $3,351 = Risk-free.
Gold is moving in the Resistance zone($3,366-$3,394) and has managed to break the lower line of the ascending channel .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , with the break of the lower line of the ascending channel, it seems that gold has completed the Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Gold to trend downward in the coming hours and succeed in breaking the Support zone($3,350-$3,325) and attacking the Support line again , and probably succeeding in breaking this line this time.
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,396
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GBPUSD → Correction amid a global bullish trend...FX:GBPUSD is testing the 1.345 - 1.35 area as part of a correction. The price is closing the imbalance zone and testing support, which may trigger a reaction. Further developments will largely depend on the dollar, which is testing resistance.
The daily market structure is quite strong. The correction against the backdrop of a strong trend is within acceptable limits, and bulls should fight to keep the price away from risk zones. GBPUSD, as part of the correction, closes the imbalance zone of 1.34 - 1.35 (0.7 - 0.79f) and forms a false breakdown of the intermediate support level of 1.3476. If buyers hold their ground in the 1.347-1.35 zone, the currency pair will be able to return to the global trend.
Support levels: 1.3476, 1.345, 1.3382
Resistance levels: 1.3511, 1.359, 1.375
Price consolidation above 1.349 - 1.350 will confirm the market's intentions. In this case, we can expect growth to 1.36 - 1.374.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of CPI. Chances for growth?FX:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating amid a correction in the dollar ahead of important news. Consumer price index data is due later today. The market is stagnant and will not move prematurely.
On Tuesday, gold rose slightly amid profit-taking ahead of the US CPI release. Investors are waiting for a signal from inflation: weaker data could strengthen bets on a Fed rate cut and support gold, while strong inflation would strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the metal. The situation is exacerbated by Trump's new tariff threats and his criticism of the Fed chair. Let me remind you of Trump's pressure on regulators regarding inflation and interest rate cuts.
Technically, gold is trading above the previously broken “symmetrical triangle” consolidation. Bulls are trying to hold their ground above 3340-3350. Focus on the current range of 3340-3373
Resistance levels: 3373, 3394
Support levels: 3350, 3340
Favorable news for gold could boost interest in the metal, which would generally lead to growth. However, there is a factor of unpredictability, and against this backdrop, gold may test support at 3350-3340. If the bulls manage to keep the price above this zone, we may see growth in the medium term. Otherwise, the price may drop to 3310-3280.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Roadmap=>Short termGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) currently appears to have broken through the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,325) .
The Resistance zone($3,350-$3,325) was broken with the help of the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern , the upper line of this classic pattern having served as an important resistance line for us in previous ideas .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , Gold has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) within the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern . It is currently completing the next five impulse waves . Wave 5 of these waves could end in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Gold to rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and of course, given the momentum of gold approaching PRZ , we can also look for Short positions in PRZ .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,329
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 15th:Good morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for July 15th:
There have been no major changes in the global market; it continues to maintain a moderately bearish sentiment, and our local market is also reflecting the same tone. Today, Gift Nifty is indicating a neutral to slightly gap-up start.
So, what can we expect today?
Current View:
Structurally, we are still in a minor downtrend. So, if the market fails to sustain the neutral start, we can expect a minor correction in the initial stage.
if the correction comes with a solid structure or the price consolidates around the immediate support, then the correction is likely to continue.
On the other hand, if the correction reaches the support with gradual moves, then the support may hold, and we can expect a minor pullback with a bearish bias.
Alternate View:
If the market takes a pullback, we can expect a maximum of 38% to 50% retracement on the upside. However, since we are still in a downtrend, once the pullback starts correcting again, we may expect a range-bound market or further correction, similar to what we saw in the last session.
$BTC 5-Wave Impulse > ABC Correction > CME GapCRYPTOCAP:BTC appears to be headed towards an ABC correction after this impulsive 5-wave move to the upside
Would be a great opportunity to fill the CME gap ~$114k
Lines up perfectly with the 50% gann level retracement to confirm the next leg
don't shoot the messenger..
just sharing what i'm seeing 🥸
BITCOIN → Stopping after the rally? What next? 125K or 110K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT rose and updated its historical maximum to a new record of 118K with “kopecks” (different prices on different exchanges). Now the price has supposedly stopped and entered a consolidation phase, but it is too early to draw any conclusions based on this alone...
Fundamentally, Bitcoin rose following the SP500 and NQ100 indices. The reasons are clearly geopolitical. The correlation level is not high, but the flagship is following the stock indices, which are also updating their historical highs.
Technically, Bitcoin has emerged from a two-month consolidation and entered a realization phase. So what's next? Continuation of the phase or correction? Let's take a look.
On the daily chart, I would highlight two zones. The risk and sell zone is below 117,500. If the price closes below this zone today/tomorrow, we will most likely be able to look for signals for a possible correction. As part of the correction, we can expect a decline to 115,500, 114,300, or even to the old ATH of 112K.
The second zone is the buying zone. A closing price above 118,400–118,900 and consolidation with the gradual formation of a breakout of structure may hint at a possible continuation of growth toward psychological targets.
Resistance levels: 118,400, 118900
Support levels: 117100, 116700, 115500
In the chart above, I have highlighted the situations, levels, and zones that interest me more precisely.
Now I am waiting for Bitcoin to retest resistance or support and confirm certain levels, based on which decisions can be made. I think that in the near future, Bitcoin will show us where it is headed. Updates will be published as something interesting emerges...
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY Short: Completion of Triple Combination Sub-wave 2Hello everyone! Over in this video, I analyzed the USDJPY and go through how I counted the waves and go through the lower levels sub-wave counts. I believe that USDJPY has completed a triple combination with the Z wave as a 5-wave structure. I talk about how this final wave might not be ideal and propose how the waves might be viewed in a different perspective. However, I believe also that the price is now good enough to short and propose a scaling-in method to short USDJPY.
Eventually, I think that USDJPY will go down to the lower trendline and break it. However, we will have to revisit the chart again when it does to see how the waves unfolded and then decide how to trade it.
Finally, as always, keep your risk tight and Good luck!
Coffee smells goodAnother day, another breakout trade. I went long at the 0.5 retracement, we’ve had a nice reaction so far. Stop loss under the 0.5 Fibonacci. I expect coffee to reach a new high. There’s plenty of commodities that look strong vs the dollar, coffee has lagged for weeks now but if you zoom out there’s signs we can put in a new high.
Not financial advice. Do what’s best for you.
ETHEREUM → Correction to 2900 before growth BINANCE:ETHUSDT is entering a correction after a strong breakout of resistance. At the same time, Bitcoin is falling from 123K to 116K, triggering a pullback across the entire market...
On D1, ETH is facing strong resistance and is not yet ready to break it (it lacks strength after the rally). The most likely scenario after a false breakout is a correction to support. But the main focus is on Bitcoin — will there be a correction or a reversal of the local trend? If the flagship continues its decline, the cryptocurrency market will humbly follow suit.
ETH has a nearest zone of interest at 2913, where liquidity capture could attract buyers, but I do not rule out the possibility that the correction could go much deeper before further growth, for example to 2879-2827 (support on D1).
Resistance levels: 2992, 3041
Support levels: 2913.7, 2879, 2827
Technically, consolidation against a bullish trend. Confirmed support area 2913 - 2879. As part of the correction, the market is interested in capturing liquidity. If, against the backdrop of the current correction, the bulls manage to hold their ground above the specified support, ETH may still surprise us with its growth :)
Best regards, R. Linda!
NIFTY50.....Are you crazy?Hello Traders,
with an "over-night" delay (for which I apologize), here is a brand-new analysis for NIFTY50!
The N50 has dropped, 'caused by the announced Tariffs for the "BRICS" countries.
The "Orange-man" who took residential at Pennsylvania Avenue at DC announced again tariffs at a record high for the BRICS-countries! Anyway! One step forward, one step back! This is clown's business!
The chart analysis:
N50 dropped to a low @ 25001.95 this morning. Here, a buy-signal occurred that would be activated @ 25109 points. Stop-loss must be set @25100!
The multi-week target, I have announced some weeks ago, are still valid.
While price break below the rising trend-line, connecting the high @25116 and 25222 a first target would be exactly at the level of 25350 (+/-) depending on when and if it will be touched!
In fact, the wave pattern could be also a wave 2, difficult to count, but still possible.
It needs a decline below 23246 points to eliminate this count!
While markets are unpredictable, 'caused by the US tariffs politics, it is very difficult to forecast the moves.
Probably one got argument would be, to pause the trading and wait til markets get less volatile.
That's it for today.
Have a great week.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 14th:Good morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for July 14th:
The global market continues to maintain a moderately bearish sentiment, and our local market is also reflecting the same tone.
So, what can we expect today?
Current View:
Structurally, there has been strong selling pressure. So, if the market consolidates or breaks the support with a solid candle, we can expect the correction to continue.
Alternate View:
On the other hand, if the market finds support near the immediate support level or if the initial move takes a pullback, we can expect a maximum 38% to 50% pullback in the minor swing.
Even if that happens, the trend may still remain bearish in the lower time frame. So, if the market starts to reject around the 38% Fibonacci level on the upside, we can expect the downtrend to resume.
In simple terms, if a pullback occurs, we may see a range-bound market.
Bitcoin Roadmap=>End of RallyBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has gained nearly +10% in the recent weekly candle so far. The question is where this rally could end up. So to get to that zone, let’s go to the weekly timeframe .
Before we start this analysis, let’s take a look at my last analysis on the weekly timeframe , which was well into the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . ( Analysis time: 9 JUN 2025 )
Bitcoin has now entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ=June 23 to August 4) , and these zones could be the zones where this Bitcoin rally will end. Do you agree with me?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a main wave 5 , as the main wave 3 was an extended wave . The main wave 5 could end at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to start a main correction from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and could continue to support lines and near the $105(at least) .
What do you think about the end of the Bitcoin rally?
Note: Sell orders near $120,000 are very heavy.
Note: Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage attractive volume for liquidation.
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $130,000, it can continue to rise to the Resistance lines (near $150,000).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), weekly time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
PENGU still has room!?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
The move off the low looked like a clean, completed impulse—sharp, decisive, and well-structured. After that, we got a double zigzag retracement. It ran a bit deeper than the textbook version, but still landed right in the normal range you’d expect for a healthy correction. From there, we saw another smaller-degree impulse form off the .007 pivot, suggesting bullish momentum was building again.
Since the last update, PENGU has come a long way—more than doubling in price and now hovering around a most likely target for a wave 3. What’s notable is how it got there: not just by breaking above the 0.017 resistance, but by blowing through multiple base channels on solid momentum and healthy volume.
We didn’t get the ideal depth for a retrace for a wave 2 before that breakout, but that doesn’t disqualify the larger count. In fact, from an Elliott Wave perspective, I still believe we haven’t seen a proper wave 4 to balance out the earlier wave (2). So I’m holding off on calling a top to this wave 3 just yet.
Here’s what we’re watching closely now:
The secondary impulse off .007 continues to build structure
Ideally, the next pullback holds above the 0.027 or .022 region, signaling respect for previous support and AOIs
That pullback needs to unfold correctively, not impulsively, to confirm bullish continuation
The next trade setup I’m eyeing is that wave 4 into wave 5 move. I’ll be stalking this ticker closely as structure unfolds.
Trade safe.
Trade clarity.
Bitcoin Dominance Found The Top; ALTcoin Dominance Stepping InHello Crypto traders! BTC.Dominance is falling in an impulsive fashion after we spotted the top within the wedge pattern. Now that is trading in wave (v) of a five-wave impulse from the highs, it just confirms a bearish reversal, which indicates that ALTcoin dominance is stepping in. And with still bullish Crypto market, we might be in the ALTseason.