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Elliott Wave

Small correction up and a drop for goldHi traders, Last week XAUUSD tested the higher Daily FVG again and dropped. This could be the start of the last C-wave (orange). So next week we could see a small correction up and another drop to finish the (orange) A-B-C ZIgzag correction. Or it turns out that the whole bigger correction was a Triangle (finishe before blue wave b) and we see the next impulsive wave up from here. Then you could trade longs after a correction down on a lower timeframe. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: My main idea is the first one. So I would wait for a correction up and a change in orderflow to bearish to trade shorts. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by EduwaveTrading
3
Momentum is slowing down for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD started a coorection down (wave 4). The momentum of this pair is slowing down and it looks like it is making an ending diagonal. So next week we could see price come into the lower Daily/ Weekly FVG and from there we could see another upmove. Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish into the FVG's and a change in orderflow to bullish. After that you could trade (short term) longs. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
EU slowly going downHi traders, Last week EU did exactly what I've said in my outlook. After a small correction up it began to drop slowly. This could be a leading diagonal wave 1. So for next week we could see a correction up for wave 2 and another drop to finish wave 5 (black). Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the small correction up to finish and a change in orderflow to bearish on a lower timeframe and trade shorts. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
Short
by EduwaveTrading
1
BTC → Consolidation Before The Breakout When Do We Go Up?BINANCE:BNBUSDT continues to consolidate, but within a strong bullish structure. The price is approaching the trigger, the breakout of which may provoke the formation of an upward impulse A good signal that hints that the growth is likely to continue is the fact that after a strong growth and testing 100K the price does not fall, but consolidates with gradually rising local lows, it is also worth paying attention to MA-50, which acts as a strong support. Within this consolidation we have clear zones, within which the price is trading and accumulating potential, and there is also a clear trigger, the breakout of which can provoke the continuation of growth (distribution). But next week is the Fed meeting on December 17-18, and there may be short-term market manipulative reactions. Be careful Resistance levels: 101.8K, 104.1K Support levels: 98.9K, 94.15K Technically, the focus is on 101.8 - 98.9. Consolidation is forming inside this channel. I do not exclude a chance of support retest in the format of a false breakdown before further growth. Another deep correction to the lower liquidity zone - 94.1K is also possible. But until the price breaks 101.8, bitcoin will not go up, and based on the chart, the event is close and the chance is high
by MarketAnalyzar
XAU/USD 12.12.2024OANDA:XAUUSD Hello Traders, Today, we’re taking a closer look at gold. As expected, gold is moving down in an ABC structure (yellow) within our larger orange wave 4. From here, we can anticipate either a 12345 structure or, if the price moves sideways, another ABC structure leading up to wave 5. Wave 4 has likely reached its bottom, though there is still a possibility of a further decline to the 61% Fibonacci level. However, I consider this scenario unlikely. Overall, we are once again looking for higher prices in the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NeptenFX
1
RIOT correction over or another low?My previous target under $10 never hit so still speculative of if the correction is over. My primary count has the correction over and C was not as long as I'd expected. My alt count has C just starting with a flat for W-B. It really just depends on if Dec 5th - 10th was 3 waves or 5 waves with a pretty short wave 4. Either looking at the 12.1 - gap close around 11.8 or down to under 10, will depend on the structure as it comes down. Just not planning on catching a falling knife if a W-3 of C starts! Open to either, but end plan still the same!
NASDAQ:RIOTLong
by stsmurf
4
Alikze »» LINK| Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D 📣 BINANCE:LINKUSDT currency on the daily timeframe touched its targets in accordance with the analysis presented earlier, the scenario of the first of 3 bullish waves. 🟢 Chainlink touched its target after breaking out of the short-term descending channel. 🟢 It is currently in the supply zone on the daily and weekly timeframes. 💎Given the bullish momentum, this bullish leg, after breaking the supply zone, will have the ability to grow to the large supply zone of $60-$100. 💎In the first step after breaking the supply zone, the target will be $38 and $55. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea 💡 with a LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬 if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email 📧 in the future. Thanks for your continued support.🙏 Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Long
by alikze
US10Y - Elliott Wave AnalysisNot sure if this will happen but if it does, what does it mean ? 1. Impact on the US Dollar Strengthens the Dollar: Higher yields attract foreign investors seeking better returns, increasing demand for the US Dollar. Rising yields often coincide with expectations of tighter monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, which further boosts the dollar. 2. Impact on Gold Negative for Gold: Gold is a non-yielding asset, meaning it doesn’t pay interest or dividends. When bond yields rise, the opportunity cost of holding gold increases, making it less attractive. A rising US Dollar (driven by higher yields) also makes gold more expensive in other currencies, reducing global demand. Inflation Hedge Caveat: If rising yields are driven by inflation concerns, gold might still see some demand as a hedge, although its gains are often capped by rising yields. 3. Impact on the Stock Market General Impact: Rising yields increase borrowing costs for companies, reducing profits and potentially slowing down growth. Investors may rotate out of riskier assets like equities into safer Treasuries as yields become more attractive. Value vs. Growth: Value Stocks (e.g., banks, industrials): These may benefit from rising yields as they’re tied to economic growth and inflation expectations. Growth Stocks (e.g., tech companies): These tend to underperform because their valuations depend on future cash flows, which are discounted more heavily as yields rise. 4. Impact on Nasdaq (Tech Stocks) Negative Impact: The Nasdaq is heavily weighted toward growth and tech stocks, which are sensitive to rising yields. Higher yields increase the discount rate used to value future earnings, making high-valuation tech stocks less appealing. Example: Periods of sharply rising yields often coincide with sell-offs in the Nasdaq. 5. Impact on Emerging Markets Outflows from Emerging Markets: Rising US yields can draw capital away from emerging markets as investors seek safer and higher-yielding US assets. This can weaken emerging market currencies and lead to tighter financial conditions in those economies. 6. Broader Market Sentiment Inflation Expectations: Rising yields driven by inflation concerns can create volatility across all asset classes. Fed Policy Sensitivity: Markets may react negatively if higher yields signal faster-than-expected Fed rate hikes. Historical Context Periods of sharply rising yields (e.g., during taper tantrums or inflation scares) have often led to stronger US dollars, weaker gold prices, and volatile stock markets, with the Nasdaq typically underperforming due to its tech-heavy composition.
TVC:US10YLong
by tigo2020
2
BBRI Is Going To Bottom in Mid-DecemberAfter a constant barrage of selling from March until June, and then quite of a rebound from 4100 to 5600 (almost 40%), BBRI continues to dive almost everyday since mid-September. This is supported by the huge foreign outflow BBRI has been suffering. Last Friday, BBRI's foreign outflow amounts to IDR823 billion. To put into perspective, IHSG Friday foreign outflow is IDR1.6 trillion, which means BBRI accounts for more than half of the outflow from IHSG. Technical wise, BBRI has now constantly being traded under its 200 day moving average for almost 3 months. BBRI will most likely complete the (iii) wave of the C wave next week around 4100. Volume on last Friday's trading is relatively large. This means selling has not eased yet. I believe BBRI will bottom under 4000 ; 3700-3800
IDX:BBRIShort
by MrSparkles69
1
GOLD → False breakout and negative fundamental backgroundFX:XAUUSD is correcting after a false breakout of resistance. This is also supported by negative fundamentals. Will there be a pullback or will the decline continue? Optimism over China's economic stimulus is waning amid growing fears of a trade war between the US and China. Expectations of a hawkish Fed interest rate next week helped boost the US dollar, leading to a corrective decline in the gold price.Markets now believe the Fed may send a hawkish signal by signaling a pause in January after PPI came in higher than expected Technically gold is still inside the channel, consolidation continues. Focus on 2658-2660 support, below which there is a huge pool of liquidity that may not let the price down on the first try Resistance levels: 2675, 2682, 2699 Support levels: 2658, 2636 From the support 2658 may form a correction from which will depend on the further development of events: if the correction will be small and the price will quickly return to 2658, it will increase the chances of support breakout and further fall, for example, to 2636. But, if gold can consolidate above 2682 and consolidate above the local high, the price may head for a retest of the high Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
1
USDCHF → Breakout of wedge resistance. CPI aheadFX:USDCHF is showing positive signs of willingness to continue the uptrend. The dollar is consolidating in the meantime in anticipation of CPI, which creates risks for us The currency pair is testing the support at 0.877 as part of the correction. A false breakdown and a reversal pattern is formed, which indicates the end of the correction. The price updates the local lows, and on the 4-hour timeframe it enters the realization phase after breaking the wedge resistance. The focus is on 0.882 - 0.8848. If the bulls keep the defense above this zone even after the news, the growth of the currency pair will continue in the future, as the key liquidity zones are still untested Resistance levels: 0.8848, 0.8887 Support levels: 0.882, 0.880 CPI is ahead and traders are not yet ready to take active action prematurely. The report may form a medium-term potential. A break of 0.8848 will be the trigger for continued upside. But, the structure will be broken if the market breaks 0.876 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
EURUSD → False breakout of resistance. DowntrendFX:EURUSD is testing resistance in the downtrend phase. The maneuver ends with a false breakout of resistance at 1.0607 On the daily timeframe the price is squeezed between the strong resistance at 1.06011 and the local support at 1.05. So, if the bears keep the defense below the key resistance, the currency pair will continue to fall in the short term. The target in this case may be the area of 1.05 - 1.044. But, technically, the retest of 1.0607 may provoke a local breakout of the level and the price movement to the channel resistance against which there will also be a high probability of formation of a false breakout. Resistance levels: 1.0607, 1.965, 1.076 Support levels: 1.0448, 1.0331 Emphasis on resistance. Confirmation of the nearest resistance in the form of price consolidation below the level, if retested, could be a good entry zone. But if resistance is broken, the focus will shift to 1.065 - 1.067 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
GOLD → False breakout of resistance. Is a correction coming?FX:XAUUSD on the background of CPI on Thursday passes into a rally and realization of consolidation. The price is testing the resistance of 2721 and forms a false breakout. Traders in anticipation of PPI After the release of CPI, there is a 90% chance that the Fed will cut rates by 0.25% next week. Gold hit a two-week high due to the Middle East, optimism over China's economic stimulus, CPI news. PPI and weekly jobless claims data also remain in focus, which could provide new hints on further Fed policy easing and the direction of the US dollar ahead of next week's Fed meeting. Sentiment around the Fed and risk trends will continue to play a decisive role in gold price dynamics. Technically, the price is in a global wide flat. A false breakdown of resistance is forming and a correction may form. Resistance levels: 2721 Support levels: 2700, 2682 The retest did not allow the bulls to pass through the resistance. In the near future the price may test the nearest support and form a bullish correction from which further growth or fall will be initiated. We should also take into account today's news Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11