XAUUSD H1: What is happening to GOLD?Technical analysis:
The price line is still showing a continued uptrend, important levels are broken and ready for a new ETH GOLD peak! 2 important price zones in the current uptrend are 2934, 2942.
Gold investors all see that gold has a strong upward trend, reaching 2940 USD/oz from October 2023 to present, surpassing the resistance of 2000 USD, showing a strong upward trend. However, if we consider the movements, gold has increased 4 times per week and there is a high possibility that there will be an adjustment in this sensitive area.
If we consider the cycle, gold in the monthly frame is still in the same upward phase as the quarterly frame, but currently we see that gold has increased for 27 months, corresponding to enough time for a monthly increase phase.
Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices were flat in the first session of the week as investors awaited further details on US President Donald Trump's tariff plans, which could escalate global trade tensions.
Senior Trump administration officials will begin peace talks with Russia and Ukraine in Saudi Arabia in the coming days, which is news that many investors are interested in. Gold has been seen as a safe haven asset during the recent period when geopolitical tensions have escalated.
Elliott Wave
SPX Long Trade Setup Analysis (3H Timeframe - Vantage)🔹 Current Setup:
- 🦈 The Bullish Shark Pattern has completed at D (5912.17), indicating a potential reversal zone.
- 📉 Price is currently bouncing off the 1.001 Fibonacci extension level.
- 📍 Key Resistance Levels (Take Profit Targets):
- 🎯 TP1: Fibonacci 27.2% extension (~6201.66)
- 🎯 TP2: Fibonacci 61.8% extension (~6286.52)
- 📍 Key Support Levels:
- ❗ Critical Stop Zone: 5889.73 (inside the previously broken channel)
- 🔻 Deeper Bearish Target: 5782.41 (161.8% Fibonacci extension)
📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup)
- 🟢 Entry: Above 5945 (current market price)
- 🎯 Take Profit 1: 6201 (27.2% Fibonacci extension)
- 🎯 Take Profit 2: 6286 (61.8% Fibonacci extension)
- 🔴 Stop Loss: Below 5890 (to avoid whipsaws)
✅ Justification:
- 🔹 Price has bounced from a strong Fibonacci support level
- 🔹 Harmonic pattern suggests a potential bullish reversal
- 🔹 TP targets align with Fibonacci extension levels and previous structure resistance
📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup)
- ❌ Invalidation Level: Below 5880
- 🔻 Downside Targets:
- 5820: First support area
- 5782: 161.8% Fibonacci extension
✅ Justification:
- ❗ If the price breaks below 5890, the harmonic pattern fails, signaling more downside
- ❗ 5782 aligns with channel equilibrium, meaning a further drop could happen
⚡ Key Takeaways
- 🔹 Bullish bias above 5912, bearish below 5890
- 🔹 A break above 6000 will confirm the uptrend
- 🔹 A break below 5880 could lead to 5782 or lower
PYTHUSDT: A Massive Move Incoming? Watch This Level Closely! Yello, Paradisers! Is PYTHUSDT about to break out, or is a deeper drop still on the table? Let’s break it down.
💎PYTHUSDT has formed a well-structured descending channel with a corrective wave pattern and bullish divergence, signaling a strong probability of an upcoming bullish move. However, confirmation is key.
💎If PYTHUSDT breaks out and closes candle above the resistance zone, this will validate the descending channel and could trigger a bullish move.
💎In case of panic selling or a deeper retracement, we may see a temporary bounce, but the real focus should be on the resistance zone and a confirmed breakout for a high-probability setup.
💎On the flip side, if PYTHUSDT breaks down and closes candle below the key support level, the bullish setup will be invalidated, and waiting for better price action would be the smarter approach.
🎖 The key here is patience and precision—don’t jump in blindly. Watch for confirmation, trade with discipline, and always wait for the best setups. The market rewards those who stay ahead of the herd!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Emerging Markets Are Breaking Higher; Be Aware Of Lower USDollarEmerging markets, represented by the EEM chart, have been trending lower since October 2024 in what appears to be a complex W-X-Y corrective pattern. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) experienced a strong rally, driven by Trump’s victory in the US elections. However, the rally formed a wedge pattern, which suggests that its upside momentum may be coming to an end.
Why is the correlation between EEM and DXY important? If the Trump administration pushes oil prices lower, inflation expectations could also decline. This would likely lead to lower interest rates, which in turn could weigh on the USD. In such a scenario, capital may flow out of the US and into emerging markets.
Now that EEM is recovering and breaking above a key channel resistance, it signals that bullish momentum is returning. If this trend continues on EEM to 2024 highs, then DXY could decline to the 105–103 range—or possibly even as low as 100.
PECCA will create 5th WAVE The current price is 1.43 with a gain of 0.04 (+2.88%). The stock is currently trading at 1.43, up from an earlier value of 1.42.
Key technical indicators visible include:
Volume (Vol 20): 4.94M shares with 2.89M average
Multiple moving averages: SMA 50 (1.44), SMA 20 (1.45), SMA 10 (1.42), and SMA 200 (1.34)
Supertrend indicators with values 1.92 and 1.39
The chart shows several buy and sell signals marked throughout the price history, with the most recent being a "Sell" signal near the current price level. There's a notable pattern of price movement between support and resistance levels, with diagonal trendlines drawn on the chart.
The lower panels display volume data, cash flow metrics, and net income figures with specific Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) values noted at different time periods (Sep '23, Dec '23, Mar '24, Jun '24, Sep '24).
The price appears to have recently declined from a peak around 1.55, but remains above the longer-term SMA 200 support level of 1.34.
Formation of SPRING on FBMKLCI Fledgling IndexThe current price is 18,837.49, down 27.47 points (-0.14%). The chart displays several moving averages (SMA 50, 20, and 10) and appears to be in a downtrend, with price currently at a support level around 18,900.
Multiple buy and sell signals are marked on the chart, with the most recent activity showing selling pressure. The price has formed lower highs and lower lows since reaching a peak around 19,700.
The bottom panel shows volume indicators and some financial metrics including "Cash from operating activities - FQ" and "Net income (cash flow) - FQ". The chart includes various technical indicators and appears to be from a trading platform with drawing tools visible at the top.
STMXUSDT profits from 80% to 100% This is my idea,, and analysis about STMX.
There so no confirmation to inter until now , but we need to see divergence + also RSI above 45 with strong movement up , if the price go down this is will be good to buy from the bottom, don’t Rush to buy , wait from confirmation from other indicators that your using always .
Keep your eye on it , there is no signal to buy now , but soon will be.
This is my first analysis here i hope you like it and good luck.
I will update it later if i saw some interesting people and followers.
Bitcoin Seasonality - Best Month (October) and Best Day (Monday)It's very important for every Bitcoin trader to know its seasonality because this will significantly increase the probability of successful trades. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years, and I successfully use seasonality patterns to predict Bitcoin price movements. For example, you don't want to go long on Bitcoin during August or September; that's probably a very bad idea. The biggest market crashes usually happen in September. But you definitely want to go long in October or April, as these months are the most promising. Knowledge of these patterns will give you an advantage over standard retail traders. Every trade matters.
Average return by Month (%)
January: +5.1%
February: +12.1%
March: +4.8%
April: +18.7%
May: +14.2%
June: +4.4%
July: +6.1%
August: -3.1%
September: -8.4%
October: +22.2%
November: +17.9%
December: +7.3%
Average return by Weekday (%)
Monday: +0.63%
Tuesday: +0.18%
Wednesday: +0.54%
Thursday: +0.40%
Friday: +0.37%
Saturday: +0.45%
Sunday: +0.10%
Currently I am bullish on Bitcoin as the price is in an uptrend and the bear market is not confirmed; I expect Bitcoin to hit 115k probably at the end of February/March. What I also expect is an alt season - alt season is starting right now! So it's time to buy some altcoins. Ethereum should outperform BTC in the next weeks as well.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Wave5 in making against BTCWe been consolidating for over 9 months, wave4 retrace 0.5 (0.0018) become strong support at this point. Now can be used as soft stop at this point.
Shall we break above peak of wave3, 1.272 target around 0.0035 and 1.618 around 0.0043 will become zone of interest for wave5. We simply revisit peaks from 2021 and can form whatever double top it is.
Critical Insights on Bitcoin: An In-Depth AnalysisBINANCE:BTCUSDT
## Technical Analysis for Medium Timeframe on the 1-2 Scenario
### Overview
Currently, we are observing critical movements within the wave structure, with validation of the 1-2 idea occurring across three lower degrees within the hierarchy. This indicates a strong potential for further price movement but also comes with crucial levels of validation and invalidation that traders should be mindful of.
### Current Structure
1. Wave Hierarchy:
- The market is at the absolute peak validation for the 1-2/1-2 pattern. This suggests that we are likely completing a corrective structure (potentially an ABC or another pattern) and are primed for an upward movement if our primary setup is correct.
2. Micro Timeframe Analysis:
- On the micro timeframe, the consideration of a flat correction as the last resort for the intermediate degree wave 1-2 (marked in orange) gives us caution. Flat corrections typically inflect at a higher degree and signify potential trend reversals or deeper corrections.
### Key Levels to Watch
- Soft Invalidation Level: 94161
- This is the first level where we should be cautious. A break below this level may indicate weakening structure but is not a definitive signal to abandon the bullish outlook yet.
- Critical Level: 91263
- The breach of this level would raise serious concerns regarding the validity of the bullish wave count. It warrants close attention as it could suggest a more prolonged corrective phase or a trend reversal.
- Entire Invalidation for Wave 2:
- Levels below the critical 89256 would render the entire wave structure invalidated for the current wave 2 scenario. Traders must pay attention to price movements relative to this level, as sustained trading below could indicate the necessity to reassess the overall trend.
### Conclusion
In summary, while the market presents a favorable structure for a bullish 1-2 wave scenario across multiple degrees, it is crucial to remain aware of the key invalidation levels. The micro timeframe indicates the potential for a flat correction, making it essential to monitor the price action closely. A breach of soft and critical invalidation levels (94161 and 91263 respectively) increases the risk of a deeper corrective structure and may necessitate reassessment of the current bullish outlook.
### Recommendations
- Monitor Key Levels: Keep a close watch on the specified invalidation levels and prepare to react accordingly if they are breached.
- Set Alerts: Utilize trading alerts to notify you of significant movements around these critical levels.
- Risk Management: Ensure proper risk management techniques are in place, particularly if price action approaches the critical and entire invalidation levels.
By adhering to this analysis and remaining disciplined in your trading approach, you can navigate the complexity of the current market structure more effectively.
FTTUSDT: Is a Major Breakout Coming? Watch These Key Levels Now!Yello, Paradisers! Is FTTUSDT gearing up for a strong bullish reversal, or is this just another trap? Let’s break it down.
💎FTTUSDT has completed a proper ending diagonal with a clear 5-wave count, signaling a potential trend shift. Adding to the bullish case, we’re also seeing an inverse head & shoulders pattern forming, along with a bullish divergence, both of which increase the probability of an upward move.
💎If the price breaks out and closes candle above the resistance zone, it will confirm the pattern, setting the stage for a strong bullish move.
💎If the price breaks down and closes candle below the support zone, the bullish setup will be invalidated, and in that case, it’s best to stay patient and wait for a better price action setup.
🎖The market always gives opportunities, but only disciplined traders take full advantage. Stay sharp, Paradisers—patience and strategic execution are key to long-term success.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Sudden Pivot on Twilio.TWLOHuge gap down, followed by a massive bearish candle and a healthy wick. Convincing divergences on RSX and BB%PCT, other indicators being long establish bearish. There may be a bounce off the 2-4 line in blue, but experience dictates that with a gap like that there is plenty more momentum pent up for more down ward motion.
Bitcoin Stuck in a Range—Breakout or Breakdown Next?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise as I expected in the previous post but once again failed to break the 50_SMA(Daily) . In general, Bitcoin has been moving in a range for more than 10 days , making it difficult for Bitcoin traders .
Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) and created a Fake Break for the Resistance line .
Meanwhile, it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming a descending channel , and the falling wedge pattern has failed for me (in the previous post).
Another point is that during the last 10 days , the most Bitcoin trades were around $96,700 , which number can play an important role in determining the direction of Bitcoin and can be an important support and resistance level for us .
Regarding the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) . An hour ago, Bitcoin managed to complete the microwave C from the main wave Y. It can be one of the signs of the completion of microwave C , which is a fake break .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) again AFTER breaking the $96,700 level , and this time, it has a higher chance of breaking this zone, and if this zone breaks, we should wait for Bitcoin to decline to the Support line .
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $99,000, we should expect Bitcoin to rise further and possibly break the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200).
Note: Generally, the trading volume is low on Saturdays and Sundays, and the chance that Bitcoin will go out of the range in the next two days is low, although it is not unlikely.
When do you think Bitcoin will leave this range (upward or downward)?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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AMC Bouncing Back Up Offf Support. AMCThis appears to be a A Wave of a new zigzag that sent us to low of lows at 3.00 . Now well and truly back out of thee OBOS territory. Generally speaking, A waves do not produce momentum divergences, and this appears to be the case here as well. AB trendline, along with MIDAS has been crossed, BB%PCT crossed zero line a few candles ago and we are bullish otherwise technically.
GOLD → Price is confirming the flat. Emphasis on 2905FX:XAUUSD within the 2% correction that happened on Valentine's Day confirmed that one should not fall in love with the market. Technically the market is still bullish, the price is inside the range of 2880 - 2940
Investors are waiting for the meeting between Trump and Putin, which may influence the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and reduce geopolitical risks.
Additional support for gold is provided by expectations of Fed rate cuts after weak US retail sales data. At the same time, the markets are watching the escalation of the tariff confrontation between the US and the EU. High volatility is possible in the coming days due to holidays in the USA and speeches of the Fed representatives
The key figure is the ascending support, relative to which a false breakdown and the range of 2880 - 2940 is formed. If the price holds in the buying zone, under the bullish support, we can still see the growth.
Resistance levels: 2904.7, 2922.6
Support levels: 2893, 2880
A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming around 2904.7. If the resistance is broken and the bulls can keep the defense above this zone, the gold may continue its strengthening. I do not exclude a retest of the support at 2893 - 2880 before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!