GLMR Bottomed? Watch This Key Trendline ReclaimGLMR has likely completed a full 5-wave impulsive decline, with the final leg extending after a clean deviation below the key trendline, printing a low at 0.0543. This marks a potential medium-term bottom. A corrective upside move is expected from this zone, though the broken trendline remains unreclaimed and now acts as resistance. The internal supply trendline around 0.2337 is critical — price may face strong rejection here. However, a confirmed breakout above it could open the door toward 0.757, aligning with a broader supply zone.
Elliott Wave
SPX Elliott Wave Count AnalysisJust dropping a multi-timeframe breakdown of my current EW thesis for SPX, starting from the macro and drilling down to now.
Big Picture (3M View):
We’re still grinding through Grand Super Cycle Wave 3 (GSCW3) that I have starting in the 1932 low till now.
Scoped in look at Super Cycle W4(SCW4)
Super Cycle Wave 4 (SCW4) wrapped up around the ‘08-‘09 housing crash lows. Since then, we’ve been in SCW5, and based on current structure, I believe we’re still early or mid-stage, not near the end.
Zoom-In: SCW5 to Present (Cycle Degree Breakdown):
From the 2009 lows, price action carved out a textbook impulsive structure into what I’m labeling as Cycle Wave 1 (CW1), which likely topped out ~Dec 2024.
The correction that followed has the characteristics of an Expanded Flat:
A-B-C structure where Wave C just completed around April 7th.
This structure, in my view, forms Wave W of a potential WXY complex for CW2.
Now we’re either in:
The early stages of Wave X, targeting the 0.618 retracement zone of W (marked on the chart),
Or, X has already completed in a shorter move.
Alt (Low-Probability) Scenario:
There’s a slim case that the ABC (now W) correction was all of CW2 — given how it wicked into a deep, low-probability Fib zone (gray box).
If we get a clear impulsive move above that 0.618 area, I’ll pay closer attention to this alt — but for now, I’m leaning toward more downside after this X-wave finishes (if it hasn't already).
EW interpretations evolve, but this is my current working roadmap
SOL/USDT – Potential Final Leg Down Before Major RallyBINANCE:SOLUSDT 🚀📉🔁
We are likely approaching one of the final moves down before a significant push higher. But before that, I expect one last move up to the $142 area, forming what I believe is a Red ABC corrective structure.
🔴 Red Wave A-B-C
Red Wave A has likely already completed, confirmed by a clean White ABC move.
We are now inside Red Wave B.
✅ Ideal Long Entry Zone
The ideal entry would be near the 88.7% Fibonacci retracement, which aligns with Green Wave B around $119.4.
From that level, I expect a drop down toward $100, completing Red Wave B.
🔄 What Comes After?
From the $100 zone, two possible scenarios for Red Wave C (or Wave 1 of a new impulse):
A 1-2-3-4-5 impulsive wave structure to the upside
Or a corrective A-B-C structure
We’ll need to carefully watch the first move out of the $100 zone:
A 5-wave move would suggest a new bullish impulse has begun
A 3-wave move might just be a larger corrective rally
🎯 Upside Target: $142
Once we hit $142, I anticipate another corrective move downward.
This could take the form of:
A clean ABC
A complex correction (A-B + 1-2-3-4-5)
Or even a direct impulsive 5-wave drop
Again, the key is watching the first leg down from $142 – whether it's impulsive or corrective will define the entire next phase.
⚠️ Summary:
Current focus: Entry near $119.4 (88.7% Fib), targeting $142
Caution: Expect volatility – structure will only become clear wave by wave
Watch: Reactions at $100 and $142 for structure confirmation
Let me know what you think below!
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Elliott Wave Analysis 🔹 Wave Structure:
The chart shows a clear corrective structure unfolded, currently developing as a complex correction (likely WXY or an ABC):
Wave A: Strong impulsive move to the downside
Wave B: Ongoing corrective rally (possibly a flat or zigzag)
Wave C (anticipated): Final downward leg yet to unfold
🟩 A green target box marks the potential end zone of the correction, aligning with a horizontal support level around 85.35.
📊 Indicators:
🔸 MACD:
Currently showing a bullish crossover (MACD line above the signal line) → supports the idea of a temporary B-wave rally.
Momentum is not very strong → another hint that the move might be corrective, not impulsive.
Watch for a bearish crossover as a possible trigger for the start of Wave C.
🔸 RSI:
RSI is recovering from lower levels, signaling short-term strength.
No overbought condition yet → allows more room for the B-wave to extend.
Key Watch: If RSI enters overbought territory while MACD turns down, it could mark the start of the C-wave drop.
🎯 Summary & Outlook:
We are likely in the final phase of Wave B.
Expectation: One last downward move in Wave C towards the green zone.
That area could offer a strong long opportunity, but only after clear confirmation (e.g., divergence, impulsive reversal, rising volume).
📌 Potential Strategy:
❌ No long entries yet – risk of another drop in Wave C.
🔔 Set alerts around 85–60 – monitor for reversal signs.
📈 Upon confirmation: potential entry for the next larger impulsive wave.
GOLD → Price is consolidating, but to what end? Growth?FX:XAUUSD continues on its way as part of a strong rally. Price is testing strong resistance and there is a good chance of a new high as the trade war escalation intensifies. Against the backdrop of the bull run, there is no need to think about selling!
Gold is trading near all-time highs above $3,200 on Friday, posting a weekly gain of about 5.5%. Rising prices are fueled by concerns over U.S. financial stability and the possible resignation of the Fed chief, adding to pressure on the dollar. Expectations of recession and Fed rate cuts are increasing amid escalating trade war with China, after the US imposed tariffs of 145% and Beijing retaliated - China raised tariffs to 125%. Inflation in March came in below expectations, reinforcing forecasts for a rate cut. Focus is on further trade talks and China's response
Resistance levels: 3219.5
Support levels: 3197, 3187, 3167
Emphasis on the local range: 3219 - 3187. Breakdown and price consolidation above the resistance will provoke rally continuation. But I do not rule out a correction to accumulate energy before the continuation of growth. In this case gold may test 3197 (0.7f), or support of 3187 range.
But we should be aware of the fact of unpredictability: If the US and China sit down for negotiations, the situation may change dramatically.
Regards R. Linda!
10Y Bond Yield Long (Bond Short): Another recession signal?Take note that I do have a bias on when analyzing the bond yield. But the counts are valid nonetheless, except that another leg down is also valid (as briefly mentioned). Take this as a part 2 to the multi-assets analysis that I made on 11th April.
BITCOIN → Testing trend resistance. Will there be a breakout?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is approaching trend resistance and most likely it may test the liquidity zone and risk zone for sellers (liquidity hunt ?), but does the market have the potential to support the upside?
Bitcoin is strengthening and channel resistance may not stop this growth. Based on the nature of price movement (smooth, gradual, consolidating), bitcoin may test liquidity 84.7K - 88.8K. But it is too early to talk about further growth
On W1, the price is in a trading range (consolidation) between the previously broken global consolidation support and the current support. Short bodies, long shadows speak about consolidation. Also worth noting are the relatively long tails to the downside and the weak market reaction...
Fundamentally, the cryptocurrency market (community as a whole) for the past week did not get anything positive as from the very beginning of this year, the growth can be attributed to the 90-day technical break by Trump, but there are a number of nuances:
- the fire has not yet been put out
- just because they gave a 90-day break doesn't mean everything is fine. It's just a head start for the U.S. to prepare for the situation more thoroughly
- The escalating conflict between the U.S. and China has investors looking for less risky assets like gold. Cryptocurrencies are definitely not on that list.
- Rumors of a US interest rate cut are likely to provide support as well.
Resistance levels: 84700, 88800
Support levels: 78200, 73-74К, 66500
I would not hurry with conclusions about further growth. Growth could be considered if bitcoin overcomes 88800 and consolidates above this zone. But a sharp approach or a false breakout of one of the mentioned liquidity zones may provoke a reversal and fall.
Regards R. Linda!
VIB Bearish Continuation Setup After Wedge BreakdownVIB broke down from a rising wedge and has since faced strong bearish pressure. With Binance monitoring the project, investor confidence is weakening, fueling the sell-off. We expect a retracement toward the supply zone before shorting to the outlined drop target.
Let us know your view on this setup.
Bitcoin Impulse Wave is Starting !! Bulls are Accumulating Bitcoin has completed its Double correction. Wave count is marked as WXY ( Double Correction). Along with this bitcoin has shown price divergence with MACD. After the completion of impulsive Wave 1, corrective Wave 2 is a good opportunity to accumulate BTC for riding ultra fast Wave 3.
For Study Purpose only.
Correction Bitcoin finished?Hi traders,
Bitcoin dropped last week just as I've said in my outlook. The last move down was a 3 wave pattern so I think this was wave y (updated wavecount blue). In that case the bigger correction is finished.
Now we see a 5 wave pattern up which could be a leading diagonal wave 1 and after a correction down we will see the next impulse wave.
Or the move down is the last impulse wave and after that we see more upside.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the (corrective) move down to finish. After that you could trade longs.
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This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave