Tesla Is Driving Bitcoin Price HigherWe talked about a strong positive correlation between Tesla and Bitcoin in the past and now that Tesla is extending strongly higher, Bitcoin is following, of course. Both of them slowed down recently, but notice that Tesla made only a three-wave ABC corrective decline in wave (4) that can now resume its bullish trend for wave (5), so Bitcoin could follow sooner or later.
Basic Impulsive Bullish Pattern should be made by five waves. It shows that Tesla and Bitcoin could be trading in wave (4) correction before a continuation higher for wave (5).
Elliott Wave
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Descending Scallop Pattern!!!As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) again attacked the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) .
Bitcoin is trying to break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) . What do you think? Can Bitcoin finally break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) or not!?
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be in the next five downward waves after completing the corrective pattern , and these five waves can break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) .
From the point of view of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin is forming a Descending Scallop Pattern to break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) , which can cause the break of this heavy zone .
Looking at the chart of USTD.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ), we can see the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern that can cause USTD.D% to increase , which in turn causes Bitcoin and other tokens to decrease .
I expect Bitcoin to soon break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) given the above description, and Bitcoin will fall to the Targets I have specified on my chart.
My medium-term view of Bitcoin on the chart I shared with you on January 7, 2025. 👇
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $94,500, we can expect more Pumps.⚠️.
⚠️Note: There is a possibility that Bitcoin will drop sharply and make a long shadow.⚠️.
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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BITCOIN - LIGHTS OUT ! - The road to $14,000. Bitcoin was just dealt the most bearish chart pattern there is in my book : The upside flash. Huge move higher that has HFT written all over it, followed by a huge move downward, all in the span of a few hours. The FLASH. I have severely down graded BTC. We still bounce at $25,000 area, but we'll give it all back on the grinding road to $14,000. There are a few rescue moments that can occur in between, and I will map those out as I go. Sorry guys, better to know now that later right?
FNMA near term resistance possibleFNMA daily update
Government has determined a path to release from conservatorship, if this happens then this stock will be relisted and be worth a lot more than the current value
At present the stock is nearing a short to medium term resistance level using elliot wave and fibonacci/ harmonics between $4.62 and $4.69
There is a clear crab pattern that aligns with Robert Miners 5th wave projection levels as well, with RSI closing in on 80 which is extremely overbought (But largely irrelevant in trends)
It does hint that there will be a short to medium term pause which would align with getting more details of the plan to release these massively profitable behemoths from government conservatorship
I've been long on this stock for years and already pulled my original money back out, but see some complex corrections happening for a while around where we are before blasting upward into a larger wave 3 structure
Bulls or Bears? Who’s going to be Top Doge!The market remains in a critical state, with key levels in play that will determine the next major move. The price has failed to break the .41 level, confirming the development of a 3-wave move up. This signals that the market may be entering a period of consolidation or correction, rather than continuing its upward trajectory.
Currently, the price has broken below key support and is facing rejection at this level. This rejection suggests that bearish momentum could be taking hold, with the potential for an impulse move down in the near future.
For bulls, the immediate focus is on reclaiming the .35 level. If the price fails to regain this level, the next potential target could be .28. Traders should remain vigilant as the market tests these crucial levels.
Key Levels to Watch
.35 Level
For bullish traders, reclaiming .35 is critical. If the price breaks back above this level, it would signal potential strength and might open the door for further gains. A failure to reclaim this level, however, could signal the start of a deeper pullback.
.28 Level
Should the bulls fail to reclaim .35, the .28 level becomes the next major point of interest with a potential of going deeper. This level could act as strong support, but a break below it may lead to further downside potential.
Potential for Impulse Down
At the moment, the market shows signs of a possible impulse move down, especially if the bulls cannot regain control above .35. If the price continues to reject at key levels, the market may quickly shift toward bearish pressure, with .28 coming into play as the next potential target.
GOLD (GC1!) ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS - TRIANGLE PATTERNCHARTS OF THE DAY
©Master of Elliott Wave: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M (Master's Designation).
The context suggests that we are inside a 4-grey wave, as the 3-grey wave ended at the high of 2,801.2.
I see that the 4-grey wave is taking a long time, and is probably getting narrower as time goes on, as well as its subwaves have a lot of Three-waves, which directly suggests to me the idea of a Triangle forming (3-3-3-3-3 or ABCDE).
A closer look suggests that the ((a))-navy to ((d))-navy wave is probably completed, and we are inside a ((e))-navy wave. It will continue to aim for the nearest target at 2,633.8 (Wave ((e))-navy = 0.618 x wave ((c))-navy - this is a fibonacci multiple ratio of subwaves in the triangle pattern). Wave ((e))-navy will develop as a Zigzag.
So, in the coming time, gold may move up with wave 5-grey, but not yet, because it needs more time to complete this Triangle pattern.
While the price must always remain lower than the high of 2,734.2 to maintain the short-term bearish view with the Triangle pattern.
BTC - 1D Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is a short update of the daily timeframe for Bitcoin.
It seems as if the red Wave B of the red ABC correction is in and we might have started the red Wave C which would take us into the blue Wave 4 support area which sits between the 0.236 FIB at 90942.3 USD and the 0.618 FIB at 68475.9 USD.
Assuming the red Wave B is in we can now calculate first targets for the red Wave C which are the 1 to 1 FIB at 86777.1 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 83382.8 USD, the 1.38 FIB at 81377.2 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 78167.6 USD.
Noteworthy is that the 1.38 FIB at 81377.2 USD target for red Wave C is in confluence with the 0.382 FIB at 81595.9 USD of the blue Wave 4 support which is the optimal target for a Wave 4.
In case we go up more directly we'd assume that the blue Wave 4 has finished the 30th December at 91510.0 USD which we deem as less likely at the moment.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
USDCHF Wave Analysis 13 January 2025
- USDCHF broke resistance level 0.9130
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.9225
USDCHF currency pair recently broke the resistance level 0.9130, which stopped the previous impulse wave i at the start of January, as can be seen below.
The breakout of the resistance level 0.9130 accelerated the active impulse wave iii, which belongs to the higher impulse waves 3 and (3).
Given the sharp daily uptrend, strongly bullish US dollar sentiment, USDCHF currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.9225 (former multi-month high from April of 2024 and the target for the completion of the active wave 3).
Bitcoin gets bouncy from the right place - Let's goooo!This is just an update and a notification of the results since the analysis:
Bitcoin has reversed nicely from the support/target area. If things don't changes, then I'm looking for a good boost to the next target, as annotated in the chart.
If you want to be notified, then go ahead and subscribe to my channel.
best of luck in your trading and investment.
Gold’s Bullish Surge Eyeing the $2,700 Breakout! The chart displays a bullish recovery following a significant downtrend, transitioning into an uptrend within a defined ascending channel. A symmetrical triangle breakout during the bearish phase marked the beginning of this upward movement. Key support is identified around $2,600, while resistance levels are at $2,697, aligned with the 100% Fibonacci projection, and $2,728, which corresponds to the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and acts as a potential exhaustion point. The psychological level of $2,700 plays a critical role as a resistance zone. The price is currently near the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting possible resistance and a chance for consolidation or retracement. If the price breaks above $2,700, it could target $2,728 or higher, while a rejection might lead to a pullback toward the midline or lower boundary of the channel. The bullish momentum remains intact, and traders could consider entering on a breakout above $2,700 or on a retracement near the channel’s lower boundary. Targets lie at $2,728 or higher, with stops placed below the last swing low or channel support. This chart signals a strong bullish trend with critical action expected around the $2,700 level.
Why is BTC down today?Stocks and crypto both down the last couple of days. BTC often levers the remainder of the cryptosphere up and down based on it's own direction. Very much like a teacher and a group of students. Most will do what they're told, but there will also sometimes be a couple of rogues that don't follow the pack. With regards to BTC, we could be looking at a head and shoulders top. We've seen a piercing of the neckline today, only to rebound back above it. I'd say that if we see a decisive open and close below the neckline on a 4HR timeframe (minimum) H&S will be confirmed and we'll be down to the long purple box where there lies good resistance. Fear not! This is normal, natural and if you're an investor don't go chopping and changing. Just enjoy your weel and look out for the next few posts where we could leverage a great buy back with some extra cash. So, if you're going to do anything - raise some capital to add in! Follow and share for more.
GOLD → False or true resistance breakout?FX:XAUUSD is trying to consolidate above the previously broken boundary of the ascending channel and symmetrical triangle. The struggle that has not ended creates risks for both buyers and sellers.
Economic problems in China and Trump's policy risk continue to support gold.
Inflation expectations are rising amid rising oil prices and the outlook for trade policy in the US. Friday's NFP report showed strong employment growth, making it less likely that the Fed will significantly cut interest rates in 2025
Traders' attention is also focused on CPI data to be released on Wednesday and its impact on future Fed policy.
Resistance levels: 2690, 2700
Support levels: 2685, 2678, 2665
At the moment, the price is in consolidation above previously broken resistance.
If there is no bullish momentum and the price makes a false break of the channel resistance, in that case gold may go down to 2678 - 2665.
BUT, a break of the local downside resistance could trigger buying and upside to targets: 2700
Regards R. Linda!
Going long on EthereumBINANCE:ETHUSDT
Ethereum has declined to a critical 61.8% retracement level, and even grab liquidity below previous area of support, RSI is near oversold levels. Previous up move is in a 5-wave move, while current decline is in a 3-wave move.
Going long here, not a recommendation, with stop below the 78.6% FIBO retracement, and target at all-time high.
Good luck to you
JP Morgan (JPM): Correction on the HorizonJP Morgan ( NYSE:JPM ) is back on our radar as the upcoming earnings season begins, with the banking sector leading the reports. We’ve analyzed JP Morgan before, and the current setup offers intriguing opportunities. Since 2023, the stock has maintained a steady upward trend that continues into 2024.
Currently, NYSE:JPM appears to be in sub-wave ((iii)) within the larger wave (3) or possibly wave 5. However, we anticipate that sub-wave ((iv)) correction is yet to occur, aligning with the broader structural narrative of the chart.
Presently, the stock is trading near a critical trendline originating from the top of sub-wave ((i)). This trendline, which has shifted from resistance to support after multiple touchpoints, now risks being broken. Should it fail, the price could fall from its current level of $243 into a range between $204 and $173. A drop to $173 would represent the maximum correction in our view, while a more realistic pullback would fall within the $204 to $188 range.
On the bullish side, the wave 5 could push up to approximately $260, a modest increase from the current price. This scenario fits within the Elliott Wave framework, anticipating a wave ((iv)) correction before the final upward moves to complete wave 5 and the larger wave (3).
Oil Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
On the oil chart, we are witnessing the formation of a 5-wave bullish pattern, which indicates an increase in the value of oil. This 5-wave bullish wave has completed wave 5 of 5.
Between waves 2 and 4, we also witness an alternation, and wave 3 has more microwaves or, so to speak, more complexity, and this is a confirmation of our analysis.
This means that the price increase has reached its end. The possibility of an increase in the price of oil is very small, unless wave 5 forms more complex microwaves (such as wave 3, which has more microwaves).
Now these 5 waves can be wave 1 or A, and the corrective wave after that is wave 2 or B, which I give a higher probability of forming 5 waves.
In both cases, the price of oil must correct.
This correction can continue to 50% ($ 76) or the downward trend line of the previous wave, which is the 76.8% Fibonacci range ($ 73).
Be successful and profitable.
Kusama's Potential Profits Amidst CorrectionsHi All, 👋
🚀 After the arrival of Smart Money, the Kusama market saw an upward trend 📈, which is now undergoing a correction 🔄. Predicting the exact level at which the price will react or if it will surpass previous levels is challenging. It depends on the buying power and pressure of investors 🏦.
However, there is potential for a movement yielding a 70-100% profit 💰. Despite the promising outlook, it's crucial to avoid gambling 🎲 and always invest or trade with a risk and capital management strategy 📊
🌐 Kusama and Polkadot are both independent blockchains, but they are closely related. Kusama serves as a "precursor" or test network for Polkadot, allowing developers to test projects in a lower-risk environment 🧪. They share a common infrastructure and work on "shared security" and "cross-chain communication" 🔗.
Kusama offers a more experimental environment 🔍, resulting in a higher number of projects compared to Polkadot. Notable projects on Kusama include parachain networks and decentralized applications like Karura, a DeFi platform 💻
Good luck, everyone! 🍀✨
Happy Investing All, ❤️
Armin
Updated wave count shows wave D complete.So, I’ve updated my wave count to better align with what has happened, and discovered something I had missed in the process.
What I thought was wave E is probably better explained as a part of wave D, and the recent breakout was the final leg of wave D.
Wave D in a triangle often ends with a breakout attempt, and my anticipation in seeing it earlier but it not being there has now been resolved!
In redrawing it has become clear that wave D has been trading inside a rising wedge, which is now ripe for wave E to drop out of the bottom of it. I had missed this, but price is consolidating at the bottom of the wedge now.
Target for a rising wedge as a continuation pattern is the start of the lower boundary of the wedge, which puts it at $1.98.
However, wave E more often undershoots expectations, as opposed to overshoots them. So my target remains $2.15 - $2.05.
There is the observation of alternating wave characteristics, so if wave D is long and complex, wave E is likely to be short and simple.
The arrow pointing up at the end is what I expect, but that is based on hope. It could be an arrow down and I’d have just as many reasons to explain why it’s pointing down.
So, although the weekly looks as though it’s possibly targeting $1.90 as a weekly ABC, the actual structure of the correction remains a triangle and so wave E undershoot remains keen in my mind.
Just keeping it real, not doing any fudding or owt.
NAS100USDNow on my recent analysis for S&P500, we looking for bears, however here we may be having a bullish flag or compression continuation pattern. If my wave count is correct, then based on historical pullbacks on this chart, we may be correct with the continuation pattern which should pull back towards the 0.5 Fib area. Safer to still look for selling opportunities as currently we have a lowe new low, after breaking the price marked/indicated in blue on the chart/annotation.
Anticipating a Drop on Goldman. GSIt is looking like a start of Wave 3 or C, as per Elliott. We are inclined to believe that the drop will be impulsive, secondary to a short time in the correction post Wave 1 (or A), suggesting Wave 2 completion, rather than B. Technically, stochastics and volatility zones are about to flip, momentum down going. Also, there is a cross of both the Smoother by Ehlers and MIDAS curve. This is a highly suggestive bearish picture from and eagle's eye view. Aiming to reverse position in the event of contralateral MIDAS curve cross.