Wave C down in NIFTY seem to have started ...NSE:NIFTY is in ABC correction mode and seem to have completed B and now starting C down. The minimum requirement for C is around 23000 which is 61.8% of wave A. Other important levels are around 22500 and 22000, 78.6% and 100% of A respectively.
There might be pullbacks on the way down but all major swing highs should hold from here till we do at least 23K.
Elliott Wave
AAPL to back to 200 in a flatCan't help but see the moves since August as 2 corrections in a row for W-(A) and W-(B). This followed up with what looks like a leading diagonal for W-1 of W-(C). The subcount for W-2 had a=c and 61.8% both right at 230.5 which it bounced off today. Not pictured, I do have a potentially for 1 more small high before the drop. I'm also pretty bearish on GOOG, AMZN, and MSFT in the same timeframe so this would line up.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Is This the Greatest Comeback?Could this truly be the greatest comeback of 2024 & 2025? The decision for NASDAQ:SMCI is imminent, and it’s crucial to remain open to all potential scenarios.
Over the past month, NASDAQ:SMCI has risen by an impressive 83% and is now trading just below a significant resistance level. Flipping this resistance would mark the first shift from a bearish to a bullish structure since the beginning of the decline. Such a reclaim would also indicate a remarkable V-shaped correction, which holds substantial significance on the weekly chart.
It’s likely that NASDAQ:SMCI may experience a slight pullback this week to accumulate more buying momentum before pushing above the $50 mark. However, the stock must not fall below $25, as this remains the Point of Control (POC) since 2022—a critical level that must be respected to maintain the bullish potential.
Alibaba (BABA): Stimulus Hopes Fade, Correction Ahead?We secured solid profits on NYSE:BABA , with a significant rejection at the breakout gap. The stock is now under pressure, facing potential headwinds due to Donald Trump’s presidency and his proposed tariffs. While Chinese stocks surged recently, driven by Beijing’s increased rhetoric around stimulus ahead of a key policymakers’ meeting, the lack of any immediate announcements until March’s National People’s Congress may dampen sentiment.
Despite NYSE:BABA dropping pre-market and likely throughout the week, our strategy remains unchanged. With partial profits taken and the stop-loss at break-even, we are not exposed to unnecessary risk.
As long as NYSE:BABA continues trading above $82, the position remains stable unless major news changes the outlook.
Bitcoin Crash + Largest altcoin analysis requests! (ask me)Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response! Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas.
I start my analysis with Bitcoin. Currently, I expect a drop to 85k. We have a total of 3 unfilled FVGs (fair value gaps) below the current price, and this is a big deal. These gaps pretty much always tend to be filled. These are no gaps that occurred at the start of the uptrend (near 15k in 2022), but almost before the end of the uptrend (85k in 2024). This is a hugeeeee problem, and I assure you that bitcoin will go down sooner rather than later.
Today we also want to look at the RSI indicator. The RSI indicator is important mostly only on the 1m, 1H, 1D, 1W, and 1M charts. Do not use it on, for example, 15m or 2h charts. On the RSI indicator, we can see a bearish divergence because the price is making a higher high while the indicator is making a lower high. That's a huge sign of weakness.
Also, let's take a look at the moving averages. This is the daily chart, so let's use 50, 100, and 200. These periods are very popular among huge institutions and hedge funds. They mainly like to use 200 and 20. As we can see, the price is too far away from them, which is a sign that the market is overbought and we should wait for a correction. You want to buy at the support, not when the market has already made the move.
Currently I am bearish on Bitcoin. Profit target 1: 92,250, profit target 2: 85,350.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BNB → Big Accumulation. In Step With The DistributionBINANCE:BNBUSDT is trying to move into the realization phase after quite a long accumulation, thanks to which the coin can give a very good growth.
The coin tested the strong support of 645 within the correction. False break of the support and quite aggressive buyout of the fall indicates buying potential. Bitcoin, which is testing the highs and ready to go even higher is a good driver for BNB
Accordingly, the focus is on near-term levels. If the price can break the near-term resistance and consolidate above, the market will further go to break ATH and try to renew it.
Resistance levels: 761, 793
Support levels: 691, 645
I don't exclude that the unexpected correction of bitcoin can provoke a correction in the cryptocurrency market, but in general the structure is bullish. High probability of resistance breakdown with the purpose of continuation of movement
Gold is Ready to Fall again!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to pump, as I expected in the previous post .
Gold is entering the Resistance zone($2,740-$2,708) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and approaching the Upper line of the Ascending Channel .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold is completing microwave 5 of the main wave C .
Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to fall to at least the Support zone($2,670-$2,653) after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel.
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the Resistance zone($2,740-$2,708), we can expect more pumps.⚠️
⚠️Note: Tomorrow's US indices can impact the Gold trend. (Today's US indices were all as Forecasted).⚠️
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Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
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GBPNZD Can Be Finishing The Wedge PatternGBPNZD pair has been trading bullish for the last 2 years or so, but since 2023 we can see that price action is slowing down and that bulls are running out of steam.
It came even higher recently and it's testing the highs of the year, but we are tracking an ending diagonal a.k.a. wedge pattern, which can be in final stages of 5th wave. If we are correct, then strong and sharp reversal will show up in 2025.
The ending diagonal (wedge) pattern is a special type of wave that occurs in wave 5 of an impulse or in wave C of a correction. An ending diagonal pattern is a type of pattern that can occur at the completion of a strong move. It reflects a “calming” of the market sentiment such that price still moves generally in the direction of the larger move, but not strongly enough to produce an impulsive wave. Ending diagonals consist of five waves, labeled 1-2-3-4-5, where each wave subdivides into three legs. Waves 1 and 4 overlap in price, while wave 3 can not be the shortest amongst waves 1, 3 and 5.
The reason why they are so interesting is because they are indicating a reversal, usually a strong one.
ES1! morning analysisBig picture analysis for ES1!
Proposed primary wave ((1)) terminating in March 2000, primary wave ((2)) terminating in March 2009 as a zigzag, and primary wave ((3)) terminating in January 2022.
Proposed primary wave ((4)) seen as an expanded flat, with wave A terminating in October 2022 and wave B at or near termination now. Wave C would take price below October 2022 low, with parallel channel providing price support above 3000 and wave C terminating near the wave (4) of lesser degree.
XAU/USD 11.12.24OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello traders,
After the bullish move to 2720, we have reached my maximum Fibonacci extension level for the major wave 3. I am now anticipating an ABC structure for wave 4. Wave B might rise above 2720 to trigger stop-losses for sellers, so avoid placing your stop-loss too tight. Allow the trade some room to breathe, as we could then see some bullish momentum—possibly even another 1-2-3-4-5 setup within our white count for wave 3.
Nasdaq Short: 5 Wave Structure completedI had previously published a short on S&P on 5th Dec and turns out to be quite a good call. I had delayed Nasdaq short call due to incomplete wave structure. As of yesterday's set up, it looks like we might have seen the peak. The only downside to this analysis is that the last sub-wave 5 is a 1-bar wave. But nevertheless, at the peak, price is more important than time.
Silver May Face More Weakness After A Corrective RallySilver is making sharp reversal down from recent highs, even breaking a lower trendline support of an ending diagonal which is an important indication for a top in place. As such, we are aware of much lower prices, maybe even back to the start of a diagonal at around 27/28 as drop from 4h time frame has an impulsive bearish structure into wave A/1.
But we see some bounce now that can be an A-B-C irregular/expanded flat correction into wave B/2, where subwave (C) can be now in progress. Resistance is then around 31.60-33 area, and from where we will have to be aware of further weakness within wave C or 3.
DXY_1D&1WAnalysis of the US dollar index Analysis in medium and long term time frame The index is in an upward trend and can continue to rise only by maintaining the trend line. In terms of price action, two numbers 102.200 and 105.700 are important and as long as the price is maintained above these two numbers, the trend is upward. Unless the downward trend line is broken, different conditions should be analyzed and checked again.
Alienbase Short Term Trend ReversalAlienBase is showing strong signs of a trend reversal as it breaks out of a descending wedge,this breakout is supported by multiple confluences:
- A-B-C Correction Complete: The corrective phase has played out, paving the way for the next impulsive move.
- 50-Day EMA Support: Price has found solid support at the 50-day EMA, further reinforcing the bullish bias.
- Stochastic RSI: The Stoch RSI is crossing upward from oversold territory, signaling growing bullish momentum.
Momentum is building for a potential move toward the $0.50 area. If the breakout sustains with increasing volume, this could mark the beginning of a larger upward trend.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $0.50 (short-term target)
Support: $0.40 (breakout retest zone)
DXY Formed Wave Pattern!Looking for Impulse Up.
DXY formed 1,2,3,4,5 & a now wait for wave b to get in with wave c. It's important to have your own rules on RR and adhere to them. This trading idea is intended to assist you and enhance your knowledge. If you have any questions, please ask me in the comments.
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EurUsd completed 5 wave now ready to complete wave CLooking for Impulse Up
EurUsd completed wave 1,2,3,4,& 5. waves a and b also done now it will move to complete wave C. Make sure you have your own rules on RR and follow them. This is just a trading idea to help you gain better knowledge. If you have any question ask me in comments.
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AUDUSD_1D&1WAnalysis and review of the Australian dollar economy Elliott wave analysis style Mid-term and long-term time frames The Australian dollar is in a downward trend. The most important resistances are 0.67545 and 0.64611 Trading position from sell to buy The market is in a big ABC correction wave, we are currently in wave B. The main support and target is 0.60000.
GBPUSD_1D&1W_SellAnalysis and analysis of the economy of the British pound Elliott wave analysis style Mid-term and long-term time frames The British pound is in a downward trend. The most important resistance is 1.27777 Trading position from sale to purchase The market is in a big ABC correction wave, we are currently in C wave. Resistance 1.27777 Support and targets are 1.24800, 1.20750, and 1.17475 respectively, and it can even fall to the last number of 1.14444. The conditions of the pound and the UK are not suitable and may not experience good conditions!
EURUSD_1D&1W_SellAnalysis and review of the economy and the Eurodollar chart Elliott wave analysis style Mid-term and long-term time frames The euro is in a downward trend. Trading position is from sell to buy. In the long term, the market has entered a large ABC correction after completing five rising waves, which is currently in wave C. Wave C consists of five downward waves, which is currently on the way down as wave 5. The main resistance and ceiling of wave 4 is 1.06100 The targets and support numbers are 1.04070 and 1.02020 respectively, and the last target and support number is 1.00000.
Euro zone is not in good condition according to data chart conditions
USDCAD_1D&1W_BuyAnalysis of the Canadian dollar economy Elliott wave analysis Mid-term and long-term time frames According to the data of the chart, the trend is still upward and the US dollar can gain value in relation to the US dollar, and due to the drop of the Canadian dollar, it is necessary for the wave length to end and Canada to get out of the difficult situation. The market can complete its ascent in five waves, which is currently in the five big waves. If the Bank of Canada does not take action and the price does not return below 1.40000
The trend can continue to rise towards 1.45300 and again a short correction and again continue to rise towards 1.51500 Good luck for the difficult conditions of the great country of Canada