Gold elliot wave countMarket Structure – Corrective Wave 2 Still in Progress
We're currently in a Wave 2 correction, unfolding as a classic ABC structure – labeled with Circle A → Circle B → Circle C.
✅ Circle A and Circle B are already complete.
We're now in the move from Circle B → Circle C, which itself is unfolding as a:
→ (A) → (B) → (C) (in parentheses)
Currently, we are in the move from (B) to (C), which again is breaking down as a smaller A → B → C move.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
📈 We might now be completing Wave A of (C) around the 3362 level.
🔁 A pullback to around 3322 could follow as Wave B,
➡️ leading to a final Wave C (of (C), of Circle C, completing Wave 2) targeting around 3405.
⏳ What’s Next?
Once we hit the 3405 zone, that would potentially complete the entire Wave 2 correction.
From there, I expect a trend reversal to the downside, beginning the next impulsive wave down.
Elliott Wave
GOLD → Retest of consolidation resistance. Chances of a breakoutFX:XAUUSD bounces off support at 3312, forming a false breakdown at 3320. The price is heading towards consolidation resistance. The chances of continued growth are increasing...
Gold rebounded from its low amid statements by Fed member Waller about a possible rate cut in July. However, strong US sales and labor market data strengthened the dollar and held back XAU/USD growth. Despite statements by some Fed members about maintaining a tight policy, traders continue to expect rate cuts before the end of the year. The focus is on new economic data that could affect the dollar and gold prices.
Technically, consolidation is narrowing, which could lead to distribution. Gold is feeling market support, and after retesting resistance at 3365, we need to watch the price reaction to the level. A pullback and quick retest could increase the chances of a breakout and growth to 3400.
Resistance levels: 3365, 3375
Support levels: 3332, 3320, 3312
There is a high probability that there will be an attempt to break through the consolidation resistance amid expectations of a rate cut. This phase may be accompanied by either a correction to retest and return for a breakout, or a breakout and consolidation of the price above the level. Today, Friday, I expect a retest and correction, as there may not be enough local potential for a breakout of this level, and the price has already lost some of its momentum since the opening of the session...
Best regards, Linda!
GBPCHF → Retest of resistance to the global downtrendFX:GBPCHF is facing resistance from the local trend, which is aligned with the global bearish trend. The trend may continue...
A retest of resistance is forming within the global downtrend. As part of the correction, the price is testing the zone of interest and, after a false breakout of 1.7935, is returning to the selling zone.
The currency pair is rebounding from the resistance of the local trend, which coincides with the global trend. Consolidation of the price below 1.078 may trigger a continuation of the decline
Resistance levels: 1.07932, 1.0823
Support levels: 1.07744, 1.07255
Price consolidation in the selling zone followed by a break of the local structure could strengthen the bearish sentiment, which could trigger a further decline overall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
$NEAR Weekly TextBook Elliot Wave!CBOE:NEAR Weekly chart is a great demonstration of the text book motif wave followed by ABC corrective wave.
Bullish divergence has printed on the weekly RSI at the S1 weekly pivot support and the 'alt-coin golden pocket' 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. Price is closing in the major resistance High Volume Node.
The upside target is the newly printed weekly 200EMA followed by the weekly pivot and major resistance HVN just above $5.
A terminal target for this cycle may only see NEAR hitting all time highs around $21, the R5 weekly pivot point.
Safe trading
$RENDER Weekly Brings Clarity!CRYPTOCAP:RENDER weekly chart shows long term strength through the depth of the Fibonacci retracement not even reaching 0.5.
The depth of the recent swing low been so close wave (C) does concern me that the larger correction is not yet over and maybe price does want to visit the 'alt-coin' golden pocket of the 0.618-0.768 Fib retracement Where the would be a High Volume Node (not drawn).
For now the upside target is the weekly pivot but the local chart has a lot of work to do first with daily 200EMA!
Safe trading
Bitcoin Bearish Shark Detected – CME Gap Below $115K in Sight?Today's analysis is on the 15-minute timeframe , following the previous analysis I shared with you on the 1-hour timeframe .
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading in the Resistance zone($120,100-$118,240) near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($121,490-$119,965) .
From a technical perspective , it looks like Bitcoin is completing the Bearish Shark Harmonic Pattern on the 15-minute timeframe .
From an Elliott wave theory perspective, it looks like Bitcoin is completing the microwave 5 of wave C of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to start falling from the top of the ascending channel and at least decline to the lower line of the descending channel, and if the ascending channel breaks this time, we should wait for the CME Gap($117,255-$116,675)/CME Gap($115,060-$114,947) to fill.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $117,556-$116,465
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $115,773-$114,513
Do you think Bitcoin can create a new ATH again?
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $121,620
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Struggles Below $120K:Will the CME Gap Pull Price Lower?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been experiencing a high momentum bullish trend in recent days, which few people expected, especially when it crossed $120,000 . However, in the past 24 hours , Bitcoin has fallen back below $120,000 .
Bitcoin is currently trading in the Resistance zone($119,720-$118,240) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($118,757-$117,829) on the 1-hour time frame .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a main wave 4 . Main wave 4 is likely to have a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support lines and fill the CME Gap($115,060-$114,947) in the next hour.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $123,087-$120,922
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $116,305-$114,325
Do you think Bitcoin can create a new ATH again?
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $121,000
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
USDJPY Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 148.500 zone, USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 148.500 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 148.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPJPY Large Reversal Pattern [Elliott Wave]Executive Summary:
GBPJPY shaping a diagonal pattern.
Large bearish reversal could push down to 184.
Above 202.40 voids the pattern as labeled.
I typically don't conduct Elliott wave analysis on cross pairs simply because they are the children of the two main currencies involved. GBPJPY is the child of GBPUSD and USDJPY.
With that said, I still scroll through charts looking for compelling patterns and GBPJPY caught my attention.
First, it's knocking on the door of 200...a nice round number.
Secondly, the rally from 184 in April to now appears to be a very mature Elliott wave ending diagonal pattern .
Diagonals shape in 5 waves. Remember, wave 3 cannot be the shortest of waves 1,3,5. Since wave 3 is shorter than wave 1, that means wave 5 cannot be longer than wave 3.
So we simply measure out wave 3 and apply it to the end of wave 4, and, voila, we have a maximum target for wave 5 at 202.40 .
That maximum target doesn't mean GBPJPY has to go that high, but this market is ripe for a large bearish turn. If GBPJPY does push above 202.40, then my wave labeling is incorrect.
Ending diagonals tend to be fully retraced which implies a decline back to 184 ... 1500 pips from today's price.
GBJPY may dance around in the 199 handle for a day or two.
A break below 199 could be an early warning signal of the bearish reversal. A break below the blue support trend line helps confirm the pattern.
If this bearish reversal takes hold, then GBPUSD or USDJPY likely experiences a large decline too.
EUR/USD – Bearish Setup as Wave C Unfolds Toward 1.1523📉 EUR/USD – Bearish Setup as Wave C Unfolds Toward 1.1523
Price has retraced into the key 78.6% fib zone after completing Wave B. With clear rejection from the supply area and lower highs forming, Wave C is now in play. Expecting bearish continuation with potential downside targets around 1.1523.
🔻 SHORT BIAS (Wave C in Play)
📍 Entry Zone: 1.16530–1.16945
🎯 Target: 1.15285
⛔ Invalidation: Above 1.17023
📊 Timeframe: 4H
📈 Pattern: ABC Zig-Zag Correction
📌 Updated Analysis by: @greenfire_forex
🧠 Note: Wait for confirmation before entering. Risk management is key.
#EURUSD #ElliottWave #BearishSetup #ABCPattern #WaveC #PriceAction #ForexAnalysis #TradingView
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Let me know if any correction , would like to suggest
Litecoin Continues Its Bullish Cycle As ExpectedLitecoin Continues Its Bullish Cycle As Expected, which can send the price even higher from technical point of view and by Elliott wave theory.
We talked about Litecoin back on May 30, when we spotted a bullish setup formation with waves (1) and (2) that can extend the rally within wave (3) of a five-wave bullish impulse.
As you can see today on July 18, Litecoin with ticker LTCUSD is now breaking strongly back above May highs after we noticed a complex W-X-Y correction in wave (2). Now that ALTcoin dominance is stepping strongly in, we may easily see more gains within a projected five-wave bullish cycle during the ALTseason, just be aware of short-term pullbacks.
$XRP All time high! Time to sell or...?CRYPTOCAP:XRP appear to have completed wave 3 with a poke above all time high, typically this os behaviour of a wave 5.
The daily R5 pivot point has been breached so there is a significant chance of a decent pullback now but I wouldn't bet against the trend!
Wave 4 could be shallow, targeting the previous all time high, High Volume Node with waver 5 completing near $4.
Daily RSI is overbought but no bearish divergence yet which will likely emerge during wave 5.
Safe trading
$HBAR Pull Back Started, What is the target?CRYPTOCAP:HBAR doing extremely well, the R5 daily pivot point has been hit and a pull back should be expected before continuation!
It appears wave 3 is now complete and wav4 i expected to pull back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement which adds confluence to the High Volume Node in the same place at $0.22 our previous take profit #2 target.
Daily RSI is overbought but no bearish divergence yet! Price behaviour can often pop above the swing high just made to trap new buyers before dumping hard! Watch out for that, that would be the bearish divergence print also.
The next take profit is $0.39
Safe trading
GBPNZD Elliotwaves update: Are Bears still on control?We have been on this in the past two weeks and now we can see clear signs of bears controlling the price. We had a triangle correction completed and made an impulsive wave to the downside which confirmed our bias. Now are are on the first wave of wave 3 and we should anticipate momentum to the downside to increase. To take advantage of the drop one should find areas where price might find resistance and other confluences like Fibonacci to take a trade.
EURAUD → Correction for accumulation before growthFX:EURAUD reaches the zone of interest during a correction and forms a false breakdown of local support. Traders can switch to the buy side to support the trend.
Against the backdrop of a global bullish trend and a correction in the euro, the currency pair is following this movement, the essence of which is to consolidate funds for further growth. Liquidation is forming in relation to the liquidity zones of 1.785, 1.78, and 1.773, and the market imbalance is changing. The current movement is bringing the price to the zone of interest: the liquidity area of 1.773 and the order block. The capture of liquidity relative to 1.773 leads to the formation of a false breakdown and a pullback to the area of interest for buyers. Accordingly, price consolidation above 1.776 and 0.7 Fibonacci could support the main trend and allow the price to strengthen.
Support levels: 1.776, 1.773, 1.763
Resistance levels: 1.786, 1.795
The euro clearly demonstrates an upward trend, the structure of which has not been broken during the correction. Correction is a perfectly healthy movement within a trend, allowing positions to be opened at more favorable prices. If the bulls hold their defense above 1.776, momentum towards the specified targets may form.
Best regards, R. Linda!
FDAX Today 1. Wave (3) likely near completion:
Price hit the 1.618 extension of Wave 1, which is textbook for a Wave 3 target.
There’s also confluence with the 23.6% retracement from the previous swing high (24,703), and we're near a Bearish FVG + Order Block zone.
High-probability zone for a short-term rejection or distribution top.
2. Wave (4) could start today
If Wave 3 is topping into OpEx, dealers might unwind long gamma hedges, contributing to volatility + pullback.
Elliott Wave Analysis: SPY Poised To Extend Higher In Bullish SeElliott Wave sequence in SPY (S&P 500 ETF) suggest bullish sequence in progress started from 4.07.2025 low. It expects two or few more highs to extend the impulse sequence from April-2025, while dips remain above 6.23.2025 low. SPY ended the daily corrective pullback in 3 swings at 480 low on 4.07.2025 low from February-2025 peak. Above there, it favors upside in bullish impulse sequence as broke above February-2025 high. Currently, it favors wave 3 of (1) & expect one more push higher from 7.16.2025 low in to 630.31 – 651.1 area before correcting in wave 4. In 4-hour, it placed 1 at 596.05 high, 2 at 573.26 low as shallow connector & extend higher in 3. Within 3, it placed ((i)) at 606.40 high, ((ii)) at 591.89 low, ((iii)) at 627.97 high & ((iv)) at 618.05 low.
In 1-hour above ((ii)) low of 591.89 low, it ended (i) at 605.96 high, (ii) at 603.17 low, (iii) at 626.87 high as extended move, (iv) at 620 low & (v) as ((iii)) at 627.97 high. Wave ((iv)) ended in 3 swing pullback as shallow connector slightly below 0.236 Fibonacci retracement of ((iii)). Within ((iii)), it ended (a) at 619.8 low, (b) at 624.12 high & (c) at 618.05 low on 7.16.2025 low (this week). Above there, it favors rally in ((v)) of 3 targeting in to 630.31 – 651.1 area before correcting in 4. Within ((v)), it placed (i) at 624.73 high, (ii) at 623.08 low & favors upside in (iii) of ((v)). We like to buy the pullback in clear 3, 7 or 11 swings correction at extreme area in 4 and later in (2) pullback, once finished (1) in 5 swings.