EWTSU EURUSD subminuette wave v unfolding
Elliott wave trade set up
subminuette wave v unfolding
micro wave ((1)) ended
micro wave ((2)) unfolding in a zigzag wxy FIB target 1.780/1.0820
Volume profile - price should break below 1.0870 target 1.0790/740
ICHIMOKU support area 1.0820
invalidation : 1.0870 hold -> price break out 1.1048
Elliott Wave
Dax Monthly - hitting fib cluster levelDAX monthly chart hitting fibonacci extension cluster level
The Dax typically leads the Dow to some degree, and has a deeply overbought RSI now at a potential resistance zone
Likely to have a retracement in the short to medium term
Not trading this, but highlighting as it may indicate that other western indices may follow suit and struggle to increase in the next 2-6 months
Nasdaq Pending Short: Completion of Wave 1 of CLike I mentioned in the video, we have completed a 5-wave structure for wave 1 of C. We are currently in wave 2 of C. And while this is a long-then-short idea, I feel that the risk to go long at this point of my posting is too risky, so it's better to wait for a short opportunity.
Bitcoin Pullback Complete – Bears Gearing Up for Round Two!!!First of all, let me say that the market has been very excited these past few days, so be more careful with your capital management.
Also, these days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has a high correlation with the US stock market indices , and one of the most important of them is the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ).
Today, I published the following analysis for the S&P 500 Index , which I used as a result of that analysis for Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($81,610-$79,800) , the Yearly Pivot Point , the Daily Pivot Point , the important uptrend line (broken) , and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($81,500-$79,677).
Overall, it seems that this uptrend in Bitcoin over the past few hours was a pullback to the broken Important uptrend line and the liquidation of short position s. Do you agree with me?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the uptrend of the last few hours has been in the form of a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) and we should expect another decline .
Based on the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to resume its downtrend and approach the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) again ( after breaking the support lines ).
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $74,520-$73,244
If you want to see my overall view of Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe and further understand the significance of the Uptrend line(broken) , you can refer to the following idea:
Note: If Bitcoin can completely fill the CME Gap($84,475-$81,450), we should expect further increases.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Trading Plan for DXY Elliott Wave View:
Large correction marked as Wave 4 in progress.
Inside it, a (A)-(B)-(C) zigzag structure is unfolding.
We’re currently in a sub-Wave B of C, expecting a short dip before a bullish move into the 104.80–105.60 supply zone (red box).
Invalidation level sits at 108.247, confirming the correction is valid below that.
2. Price Levels & Zones:
Strong support zone around 101.50–102.00, projected as a potential base for the next leg up (Wave C).
Resistance (target) is clearly the red supply zone near 105.
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Correlation with EUR/USD Chart:
If DXY is expected to rise in its Wave C, then EUR/USD should fall (as seen in your earlier chart).
Your EUR/USD analysis targets the 1.06924 demand zone — this lines up perfectly with DXY's Wave C rise.
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Trading Plan for DXY (or correlation play):
If trading DXY directly (if possible via CFDs):
Buy setup: Wait for minor correction (Wave B) to bottom around 101.80–102.00.
Entry: Near support with confirmation candle.
Target: Red zone 104.80–105.60.
SL: Below 101.50.
For EUR/USD traders:
Watch for EUR/USD Wave B to complete.
Once DXY starts impulsing up (Wave C), EUR/USD will likely drop hard.
That’s your sell opportunity on EUR/USD, aligned with DXY strength.
What You Can Do (Trading Plan):Wait for Completion of Wave B:
Monitor if price shows rejection or reversal signs (like bearish engulfing, shooting star, etc.) near the recent high.
2. Entry for Wave C:
Once reversal is confirmed from the top of Wave B, you can:
Enter a Sell trade targeting the red zone (1.06924 to 1.06700 area).
Use confirmation from 1H or 30min timeframes (bearish structure, momentum loss).
3. Stop Loss Placement:
Place SL just above the high of Wave B.
Example: If B ends around 1.0990, keep SL near 1.1005.
4. Take Profit:
TP in the middle to bottom of the red zone (1.0700 – 1.0670).
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Optional Smart Additions:
Use Fibonacci retracement on wave A to confirm wave B top (61.8%–78.6% is common).
Watch news events around April 10–12 (shown in icons), could bring volatility.
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WTI Wave Analysis – 8 April 2025
- WTI broke the long-term support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 55.00
WTI crude oil recently broke the long-term support zone set between the support levels 60.00 and 65.00. This support zone has stopped all downward corrections from the middle of 2021.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active downward impulse wave 3, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of 2024.
Given the strong downtrend seen on the weekly WTI charts, WTI crude oil can be expected to fall to the next support level 55.00, the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3).
"4-hour chart of USDT dominance shows a forming triangle, indicaWe have a clear triangle formation on the chart, indicating a bullish trend. I’ve also drawn the Elliott wave, and we are currently in the ABC phase. In simple terms, Bitcoin is the key driver here. Tether dominance (USDT) shows a similar pattern, with Bitcoin in a downtrend, and a gap filled with liquidity, likely waiting for withdrawals from institutions."
Nasdaq Short: Adjustment in Primary Wave CountsI've made changes to my original wave count where wave A has ended on a short 5th wave. However, the strength of the rally today made me revisit the counts itself and I realised that it is actually more appropriate for the 5th wave to extend.
I studied if there is a relationship if I moved the original 5th wave down 1 degree to become a 1st of 5th and I was truly taken aback when the relationship was crystal clear and staring at me but I was too blind to see it (actually, I was too busy at work to study the charts again which is why I only publish this 2 days later).
Now that Wave A has completed, the strong rally these 2 days can be easily accepted. Are we going into a wave C crash? I believe so. So sit tight and enjoy the ride!
Remember to keep your risk tight. I can be wrong (as I often do).
Good luck!
Elliott-Wellen Analyse 1-2-3-4-5 incomingBINANCE:SOLUSDT
🧠 Elliott Wave Analysis
🔍 Market Structure & Wave Count:
After a strong bearish impulse, the market completed a complex corrective (A)-(B)-(C) structure.
The recent move up appears to be wave (2) of a larger downward impulse and seems to have finished.
We are currently in the early stages of wave 3 to the downside, aiming for a full 5-wave structure (1-2-3-4-5) within wave (C).
The final wave 5 is expected to complete in the demand zone (gray box) around 90–95 USDT.
📉 Short-Term Bearish Target:
Target zone for the completion of wave (C)-(B) lies around 97 USDT.
📈 Next Bullish Move (Rebound Target):
After completing wave (C), a new upward move in the form of wave (A) is expected.
This bullish corrective wave could reach up to 115 USDT, completing a larger A-B-C structure.
📊 Indicators:
MACD shows weakening bullish momentum – potential confirmation for wave 3 downside continuation.
RSI is near the oversold zone (~27) – supporting the idea of a wave 5 bottom and a bullish reversal afterward.
🧭 Conclusion:
➡️ Focus is on a final move down to complete wave (C) around 90–95 USDT.
➡️ After that, a possible long setup is expected for a corrective rally.
➡️ Great setup for swing or scalp trades using Elliott Waves + demand zone confluence.
Ripple May Face Another Rally This YearRipple with ticker XRPUSD hit all-time highs for the final blue wave V as expected, so we should be aware of limited upside this year. However, despite recent slowdown, which we see it as an ABC correction within red subwave (IV), there can still be room for another rally this year, at least up to 4-5 area to complete final subwave (V) of V of an impulse on a daily chart.
Dogecoin Daily Chart Analysis: A Fresh Start Ahead ?Hello friends, let's analyze Dogecoin, a cryptocurrency, from an Elliott Wave perspective. This study uses Elliott Wave theory and structures, involving multiple possibilities. The analysis focuses on one potential scenario and is for educational purposes only, not trading advice.
We're observing the daily chart, and it appears we're nearing the end of Wave II, a correction. The red cycle degree Wave I ended around 2024 December's peak. Currently, we're nearing the end of red Wave II, which consists of black ((W)), ((X)), and ((Y)) waves. Black ((W)) and ((X)) are complete, and black ((Y)) is nearing its end.
Within black ((Y)), we have Intermediate degree blue (W), (X), and (Y) waves. Blue (W) and (X) are complete, and blue (Y) is nearing its end. Inside blue (Y), red A and B are complete, and red C is nearing its end. Once red C completes, blue (Y) will end, Once blue (Y) completes, means black ((W)) will end that means higher degree cycle wave II in red will end.
If our view remains correct, the invalidation level for this Elliott Wave count is 0.04913. If this level holds and doesn't touch below it, we can expect a significant reversal to unfold wave III towards new highs. This is an educational analysis, and I hope you've learned something by observing the chart and its texture.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
GOLD → Consolidation or continuation of the fall. 3013 triggerFX:XAUUSD is going through the strongest liquidation phase. The fall is triggered by profit-taking amid last week's strong news. Additional pressure is created by the strong NFP report released on Friday. The economic risk situation is bifurcating....
Gold prices rebounded after falling in the Asian session, consolidating the drop triggered by the intensifying trade war between the US and China. Donald Trump's comments about rejecting deals with China have heightened recession fears, raising the likelihood of a Fed rate cut.
Against this backdrop, there was increased interest in gold as a protective asset, despite the rise in the dollar and bond yields. However, further strengthening of gold is questionable due to profit taking and lack of new economic data from the US.
Technically, the price is consolidating under pressure against the support at 3017-3013. A descending triangle is forming on the local timeframe.
Resistance levels: 3033, 3057
Support levels: 3017, 3013, 2981
Based on the current situation and strong pressure on the market, we can expect two situations to develop:
1) breakdown of support 3017 - 3013, if the structure of the descending triangle on the local timeframe will be preserved. The target will be the support of 3000, 2981.
2) Or, the price will close inside the range with the target of consolidation between 3057 - 3033 - 3013 (consolidation of forces after a strong fall and liquidation)
Regards RLinda!
crypto downtrend exhaustion indicatorsA couple facts:
1) usdt.d is above 5.60% for ~two days. This is a major fact. We have an early bull market end confirmation, or at least the end of an impulse structure of intermediate degree. There is a probability that the structure of the current bull market will be either extended or will end with the final diagonal.
2) usdt.d below 5.60% is confirmation of current dump exhaustion.
3) Crossing down one of the trend lines at BTC dominance chart will mean start of alt season. The target for the mini alt season is ~53% at BTC.D;
4) The terminal target for upcoming Dogecoin rally is range between 0.5 - 1.37 USD. Beware pullback, i look at whole crypto market structure and anticipate one.
Is HCLTECH done?
HCLTECH has had a phenomenal run from ₹12.9 in September 2001 to ₹2,012.2 earlier this month, a growth of ~15,500% in 279 months, averaging 40% annually.
But is it all about to end? 5/35 MACD, which I love to use to validate my EW count is showing a massive divergence on the weekly charts combined with a big high-volume engulfing bar concurrently taking shape. I can also count clear 5 waves on the monthly charts.
Based on my calculations, I can see two targets on the downside: 1418 and 970 .
Do share your opinions below.
Best!
SOL (Weekly timeframe): Trend structure Price is approaching a key macro support zone. However, as long as it remains below the $148 level, I cannot rule out the possibility of one more corrective leg toward the $76–$55 range before a medium-term bottom is established and a potential resumption of the broader uptrend begins.
A breakout and sustained close above the $148 level would serve as the first technical signal that either:
- a corrective wave B (preceding a deeper correction toward the macro support zone) is unfolding, or
- a new long-term bullish trend aiming for all-time highs is beginning.
Monthly outlook:
My previous idea from November 2024 has fully realized its structure:
Thanks for reading and wishing you successful trading and investing decision!
S&P500 Searching for a BottomExecutive Summary
The S&P 500’s Elliott Wave structure suggests the current downtrend is incomplete, with a high-probability target near the 4,300 level based on Fibonacci retracement levels. Global stock markets remain under pressure amid ongoing tariff uncertainty, and Elliott Wave patterns across various indices continue to point to more downside.
Current Elliott Wave Analysis
Today’s upward volatility is likely a small-degree wave four, with another leg down expected to retest today’s lows in the coming sessions.
There is an impulse wave that began in October 2022 and topped in 2025. We are now seeing the after effects of that completed rally. A standard 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of that move places a high-probability support zone around 4,300—a logical target for a ‘normal’ correction of the 2022–2025 rally.
Currently, price has paused near the January 2022 high at 4,662, and also sits near the 38.2% retracement level of the 2022 rally, which lies around 4,950. While a move to new highs cannot be fully ruled out, the probability of such a rally is currently low. Given the brief nature of the current decline in both price and duration, a more meaningful correction is still likely.
Bottom Line
The S&P 500 appears to be in wave ((iii)) or ((c)) of a downward move, with the structure still incomplete. A decline toward 4,300 remains the higher-probability scenario in the near term.
We will reconsider the medium-term outlook if the index rallies above 5,488, which would overlap the March 31 low and suggest a possible low is in place.