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Elliott Wave

NZDCAD → Intra-range trading. Retest of resistanceFX:NZDCAD is strengthening within a neutral trading range. The currency pair is supported by the dollar's correction, but how long will this last? Ahead of us are the FOMC meeting and Powell's speech... The focus is on the trading range within which the currency pair continues its local trend. Liquidity around the 0.8317 level is attracting the price. The correction of the dollar is having a positive effect on the NZD. However, news is ahead, and traders are expecting a hawkish stance from the Fed. Against this backdrop, a reversal may occur... Since the currency pair is in a neutral range, there is a high probability of a false breakout and correction. Resistance levels: 0.83175 Support levels: 0.82644, 0.8235, 0.8225 The liquidity zone is likely to stop the price (temporarily or reverse it). Further movement depends on fundamental sentiment, but based on rumors about the Fed's position, it is worth carefully analyzing what data the market will receive this evening. A tougher Fed policy or hints of one could strengthen the dollar and weaken currencies... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
15
Link Analysis (12H)Chainlink (LINK) Technical Outlook – Elliott Wave Perspective After applying Elliott Wave Theory, the chart appears to speak for itself — the downward corrective phase seems to have concluded. Zooming into lower timeframes, there are several bullish signs suggesting that LINK is primed for an upward move. Key Technical Reasons Supporting Upside Potential: Bullish Flag Formation: A clear flag pattern has formed in lower time frames, and LINK is currently testing its resistance level. Elliott Wave Count: Based on wave structure, Wave 3 appears to be nearing completion. Should we see a short-term pullback, it would likely be Wave 4, offering a strong buy opportunity around the support zone of the flag. Fib Confluence: The potential retracement aligns perfectly with the 50% Fibonacci level — a typical target area for Wave 4 corrections. Two Possible Scenarios: Immediate Breakout: With support from Bitcoin’s continued momentum, LINK could extend its current Wave 3 and break out from the flag without any significant pullback. Healthy Correction: Alternatively, LINK could retrace to the 50% Fib level before initiating the final leg of Wave 5 — providing a textbook buying opportunity. Target: In both scenarios, the upside target remains the same: $18.00 to $18.40 range. — Thanks for reading.
Long
by vs_sayin
Natural Gas Slowed Down For A Correction Within UptrendEU Commission will propose in June banning Russian gas and LNG imports under new deals and existing spot contracts by end-2025. Natural gas slowed down recently, but despite that retracement, we see it as an ABC correction after a potential leading diagonal formation from the lows. It actually stopped perfectly at the former wave 2 swing low and 61,8% Fibonacci support area, from where we may now see a bullish continuation, especially if it recovers back above 4.15 bullish confirmation level.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by ew-forecast
Bitcoin ($BTC) Long trading ideaOKX:BTCUSDT Long trading idea Breakthrough of quarterly POC + Return for confirmation of quarterly POC = POE Limit 96969 + TP 108108 (50% of position + 50% Price Discovery) + SL 95259 (breakeven when TP is reached) = RR 1:6.5 I am interested in your opinion on risk and money management data, local algorithm and tactical actions Entry on a positive news background + With positive support from trendsetters + No nearby reports, speeches + Bullish graphic and candlestick patterns + Pool of indicator indices signals an uptrend #DYOR
Long
by FelixVexelman
1
Bitcoin - LifeTime Opportunity! Satoshi = AliensThis is probably the last time we see Bitcoin above 94,000 USDT! In the next months we can expect prices below 70k and 60k. Why? It's because of a huge bear market that started in February 2025 with Donald Trump's election. Crypto technology is not new. It was brought to planet Earth from outside. This technology is already integrated on thousands of different planets in the galaxy. Mostly to convert a human to a cyborg with Elon Musk's AI Neuralink in our brain. AI will insert artificial thoughts to your mind, will tell you what to do, what to eat, who to be friends with, etc... If you don't want this, stop using AI. ( www.youtube.com ) On the 4H chart, Bitcoin is breaking down! The price is now below 2 major trendlines and 1 ascending channel. It seems like the minor uptrend from 74k to 97k definitely ended, and we are going to go only down. From the Elliott wave perspective, this minor uptrend looks corrective rather than impulsive. Even though there are no overlaps between major waves, the minor waves themselves look corrective. We have 3 major supports on the way down that you can use as your profit targets (see the chart). Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! It is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Short
by Xanrox
152
Triangle break-out with great potential upon special situationTriangle is now being formed as a wave 4. I expect it to break out and finish impulse wave slightly above wave 3 highs. Up to 30% gain here if entered at 0.89$ or so. This company is now interesting not only because of Elliott Wave applied - it has specific business situation. Parker Vision produces complex radio chips that are patented in early 2000's. Company even employed strong patent firm to protect its IP. Later many companies started to use their technology without being licensed under their patents. Lately, PRKR issued a few infringement claims. One of them is against QCOM who in their internal emails said that it would really difficult to use PRKR technology without stepping on one of their patents. The hearing of the case is scheduled in the first half of 2025 with compensation requested multiple times higher than PRKR capital. In case their claim is successful, the company will get over $1B.
OTC:PRKRLong
by evgenii_tr_tech
The Long, Flat Road AheadWith the Federal Reserve’s rate decision in focus, I wanted to revise a previous idea that called for 6% on the 10 year T-bill, and provide a clearer read on what I’m seeing as the larger trend, which could provide important clues for the future of everything from monetary policy, to mortgage rates, and stocks. Starting with the 500R chart, I think we are seeing a clear flat correction form, with the current segment of the trend being Wave C of (B). In a flat correction, the endpoint of (B) should reach at least 100% of (A). It can also extend further or, in less common cases, only reach 90% of (A), however for the purposes of this idea I will assume the yield will retrace to the 100% level, which is just above 5%. If this were to play out, it would suggest incoming pressure to financial markets that will eventually subside, likely later in the year. Something else to look for is that if this (B) wave were to fit a Zig Zag structure, that would cause waves (A) and (B) to be of the same pattern, so we should anticipate an alternate pattern in (C), such as a flat, diagonal, or triangle. The question on everybody's mind at the moment is if/when the next interest rate cut is coming. For today's announcement, I expect there to be no surprises, which can also be supported by short term technicals. Looking at the 100R chart (right) and Daily chart (left) at the same time provides useful context. The yield bounced off the 0.618 retracement of the 4/4 - 4/11 rise (labeled as 0.382 on the fib extension) and should have upward momentum. On the contrary, the Daily chart shows resistance at what appears to be a more well-defined lower high, with imbalances below. On the 100R chart, I also have a box drawn to show the extremities of the 500R bar. I expect the yield to move higher without creating a new 500R bar - which means the max low would be just below 4.10%. A retracement to this level would lead to the yield hitting the middle line of the lower imbalance, which should be a key liquidity zone. From there, a move to the 1.618 extension would take the yield to the targeted 5%. Something else I look for when detecting reversals is divergence on the Fisher Transform oscillator. I have it on both charts, which suggests a near-term move to the downside. Divergences are even more reliable on the Range charts, so a slightly lower low on the yield occurring while Fisher makes a higher low would signal that yields are about to rise higher. Assuming we see similar action play out, this would support my fundamental prediction that FOMC will temporarily provide relief to the markets - possibly from there being no surprises or dovish comments on rate cuts. I would, however, expect this to be short lived. Since I am already calling for stocks to be near a major reversal level, I expect a sharp rise in bond yields to correspond with a more powerful sell off of stocks than what we saw in February-April. More likely catalysts could be hot CPI and/or failure of US/China trade talks. Since there isn't much left to comment about on the technical side of things, I'll leave it at that. I ultimately expect the yield to start moving to 5%, so if it starts moving higher from here (4.36% currently), it would invalidate the idea that this will make one more push lower this week. We'll see what happens. Thank you for reading and let me know what you think!
TVC:US10Y
by ap769
GOLD → An amazing recovery. Up to 3400?FX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen, testing resistance in the range, with buyers not giving up. The price breaks through the flat line and enters the buying zone; everything depends on the bulls... Gold is rising for the second day in a row amid a weak dollar, increased demand for safe assets, and escalating conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. Market nerves are being stoked by trade risks and instability in Asia, while investors await the Fed's decisions and Powell's speech. GOLD is breaking out of its neutral range. Focus on 3369 and local resistance at 3381. The fundamental backdrop is favorable for gold. If buyers hold their ground above the indicated levels, the price may continue to rise. Resistance levels: 3369, 3381, 3408 Support levels: 3352 (0.5f), 3330 I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the local liquidity zone (long squeeze) at 3352 (0.5f) before continuing to rise. But at the moment, the focus is on 3369-3370, which are key levels (currently acting as support). Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
VIRTUALUSDT → Rebound from resistance. Trend break, U-turn?BINANCE:VIRTUALUSDT.P is pausing within an uptrend and forming a range within which signals of a possible reversal and decline are appearing. Bitcoin is pausing its rally and moving into correction. This is a negative development for altcoins, which will not grow without the flagship. VIRTUAL is consolidating, but pressure is building in the market (as can be seen from the cascade of resistance levels within the range). Another prerequisite for a breakdown of the market structure is a downward exit from the upward channel (a break of the trend support). Another retest of support at 1.581 could trigger a breakout and a fall. There is a fairly free zone below, and the nearest target is located in the 1.178 zone. Resistance levels: 1.72, 1.829 Support levels: 1.581, 1.416, 1.178 Focus on the current range of 1.581 - 1.829. The chart shows that the price continues to storm and test support, which is an important signal against the backdrop of a broken uptrend. A break of support at 1.581 and consolidation below this level could trigger liquidation and a fall to the fvg zone or the liquidity zone at 1.178. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
USDCAD → Storming the support level to break throughFX:USDCAD continues to storm support within the trading range amid a global downtrend The currency pair is within the range, but the battle for support continues. The reaction to false breakouts is weakening and the price continues to attack the 1.378 level, which only increases the chances of a further decline The dollar is rebounding from resistance and beginning to fall, which is having a corresponding effect on USDCAD. If the currency pair breaks 1.378 and consolidates below the level, this could trigger a continuation of the trend after consolidation... Resistance levels: 1.381, 1.383 Support levels: 1.378, 1.374 Focus on the lower boundary of the trading range at 1.378. The role of the range is consolidation against the backdrop of a downtrend. Thus, a breakout of support will activate the distribution phase Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
Stromm | GOLD Bullish Continuation in PlayIt’s good to see Gold OANDA:XAUUSD getting the attention it deserves again. But honestly, the performance it’s putting in right now is just insane. If you zoom into the 4-hour chart, you’ll spot a clear Demand Continuation Pattern: Rally → Base → Rally. In simple terms: strong move up, sideways consolidation, strong move up again. The first rally pushed Gold up 9.77% within a few days, followed by a sideways base, and then another 9.6% rally straight into the $3,500 mark. With commodities like Gold, you really feel how powerful psychological levels are — $3,000, $3,500, $4,000 — all massive magnet zones where large investors naturally look to take profits. Now, after tagging $3,500, we’ve pulled back. If this Demand Continuation structure holds, here's how I see it playing out: Inside the current base, there’s a 4-hour order block, and it’s the one I’m watching most closely. Ideally, we get a push up into the 4h Balance Price Range between $3,336–$3,347, followed by a rejection that sweeps the Previous Weekly Low, tagging that 4h order block for a proper retest. From there, a move toward the 8h Balance Price Range would be good. Now, two possibilities: Best case for bears: After retesting that 4h zone, we fall further — possibly targeting $3,050. Sneaky scenario: We fake a drop to trigger stop-losses, push back up toward $3,510, then properly roll over. On the monthly chart, it gets even more interesting: Given the massive rejection off $3,500, I wouldn’t rule out a much deeper retracement toward $2,500–$2,000 before Gold makes another serious attempt at $4,000. That would perfectly fit into a larger Elliott Wave structure, completing a Wave 3 or setting up a Wave 5 push later. (And yes — catching a Wave 3 top is brutal — especially when it is an all-time high) Unless geopolitical events massively change the landscape, it feels like $3,500 is a strong local top — for now. But if the world starts burning again? Gold might have other plans.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by stromm
1
Gold Completes Wave 4 - Pullback – Time for the Next PushGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) touched $3,223 as I expected in the previous idea (Full Target) . Gold has managed to break the Resistance zone($3,308-$3,293) and is trying to break the Resistance lines and complete the pullback . In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold is completing microwave 4 , which could act as a pullback to the broken Resistance zone($3,308-$3,293) . After the completion of microwave 4 , we should expect Gold to attack the Resistance lines to complete microwave 5 . I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,232 , and if the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) breaks, we can expect further gains . Note: If Gold touches $2,272 (the worst Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect further declines. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
18