path to 100kgm,
as we continue to consolidate and fear begins to rise, it becomes blatantly clear to me as to what is truly going on.
we're clearly in a fourth wave.
fourth waves are notorious for creating fear, uncertainty, and doubt. they make you question weather the trend is truly over, they bore you with sideways price action which makes you hand over your hard earned coin to the one who is re-accumulating, in preparation for the next mark-up phase.
the person who is accumulating will buy everything you have to sell, 1:1. not a penny more.
whenever you run out of coin to sell, the accumulator will begin the mark-up phase, and you will likely begin to fomo back into the market after awhile, which will cause an aggressive \ parabolic push up.
---
this is a time for accumulation,
not for capitulation.
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w5 target = 100k
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🌙
Elliott Wave
bitcoin hits 749k into 2025.gm,
in previous cycles, the duration from cycle low to cycle high has typically been roughly 1,000–1,100 days. currently, we are 742 days in, which suggests we still have about a year until the "expected top." this projected top also aligns with the global liquidity index in q4 of 2025.
the way i interpret this current structure is straightforward:
from the november 2022 low to the march 2024 high, the price action visually resembles five waves up. this is followed by a clean three-wave correction into august of 2024.
from the low in august of 2024, bitcoin appears to have formed a clean five-wave impulse to the upside and is now approaching a top. in theory, once this top is established, we should expect a three-wave corrective move to backtest the previous support. this support corresponds to the 2021/2024 highs and the previous accumulation zone.
hypothetically, backtesting the prior supply zone would likely liquidate many late long positions, providing a full sentiment reset. this reset could allow bitcoin to rebound with significant force, potentially reaching unprecedented levels.
my estimated upside target for q4 2025 is approximately $749,000.
✌️
ps. in my last bullish trade, i pulled at 9,000% trade on btc... and 42 alt trades, some of which ran as high as 22,000%.
view last bull post here:
Bitcoin could go up againHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin finished the Triangle and went to the profit target. After that it dropped and shot up. My main idea is that the bigger (orange) correction turned out to be a Flat (last impulsive leg down was (grey) wave c of the Flat).
So now we could see more upside again.
But it could be that the Triangle (small dotted lines) was wave 4 and the impulsive wave after that, wave 5. So the last very impulsive leg down could be the first leg of a very big correction down. Now if price makes a correction up (maybe into the higher 4H FVG), that could be the case.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the finish of the small correction down. After a change in orderflow to bullish again, you could trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading ICT concepts with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
ETH cant withstand USDT.d hard bottomFirst of all we had a good run up for a coin who called dead.
Remember we have been in the 2250 - 2500!! From the lows its a rough 75% up.
ETH couldnt propell up like other coins did, e.g. XLM 5 fold XRP the same...
But now we are here at the big support of USDT.d
Expect hard drops, like no one can imagine at that time.
I painted some arrows with the next Fibonacci but it could also be 1 Fibo line below for each arrow to start and stop.
Only future will tell.
Trade safe and stay in spot market as it brings constant gains over long time.
Forget leverage you will be wiped out of market as i experienced lev trading from 2016-19.
After i stopped that gamble i had profits in my hand and bank account :)
Another drop for goldHi traders,
XAUUSD did not much last week.
It's consolidating in the Daily FVG.
It looks like it's making a Triangle correction pattern (orange wave B).
So next week we could see another impulsive leg down to finish the (orange) A-B-C ZIgzag correction.
Or it turns out that the whole bigger correction is a Triangle and we see the next impulsive wave up after it closed above the Daily FVG. Then you could trade longs.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: My main idea is the first one.
So I would wait for the sweep of the liquidity above and a change in orderflow to bearish to trade shorts.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
Little more upside for SPX500USDHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD did exactly what I've said in my outlook. I hope you made a good profit from it.
On Friday price came into the Daily FVG,rejected and went up again.
I think we could see a little more upside to the 1.272 fib extension of the previous impulsive wave but first some consolidation.
Next week we could see price go up some more after a consolidation (lower timeframe wave 4).
Trade idea: Wait for the (triangle?) correction down to finish. After that you could trade (short term) longs.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
EU is ready to dropHi traders,
Last week EU made a bigger ABC pullback (orange) to the 38.2 fib retracement of the last impulsive wave.
It's clear that it is a correction and not a leading diagonal. Price broke structure but didn't close above it, so the swing low gets weak and I expect it to break.
Last Friday it started the drop already and changed the orderflow to bearish.
I don't expect it to go up once more into the higher Daily FVG's.
Next week we could see a small correction up and a big drop to break the swing low. After that price could drop to the lower Daily FVG to finish wave 5 (black).
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction up on a lower timeframe and trade shorts.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
NIFTY50.....Seasonlly it has to rise, but.....Hello Traders,
the NIFTY50 has moved to 24857.75 on Thursday December 5th.
The move to this level has been not expected to me, but it overcome the 0.786 Fibonacci of the latest decline from 24234. This higher the facts, that the decline was done @ the low at 23263!
Notice, that @ 24990 the advance from 23263 will be equal in length (a=c)! So at this level, a corrective countertrend move could have end.If so, we should label the chart as a waves a-b-c of b and the next coould be a decline.
It depends on the internal structure of the waves, which pattern will develop.
For now, it is to soon to judge.
A move above 25600 opens the door for a new ATH for N50!
The level of 23826.85 to 23907.55 (smaller rectangle) is now support-area for the next days ahead.
I will update the chartr in the coming days.
Have a great weekend.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trading on this analysis is at your own risk.
GBPCAD Wave AnalysisGBPCAD price will move in a downward direction according to the price chart to complete wave E.
Enter the trade around price: 1.80422
Stop loss: 1.82041
Take profit: 1.74477
This offer has a risk/reward ratio of around 3.5
Make sure to involve less than 2-3% of your total capital and adhere to the principles of money management
This is just a suggestion for consideration
Bitcoin - Ultimate bull trap, soon a big crash! (must see)Bitcoin really cannot continue in this parabolic uptrend. Why? Because if yes, it would hit around 600,000 USD by December 2025. Of course that's impossible, so the only option is to slow down. Bitcon still hasn't made any bigger correction in past weeks and is currently facing a very significant psychological resistance of 100,000 USD. I am really not buying because the Moon Boys are back and first we need to see a shakeout and a flash crash.
85k is a very reasonable support because it's the end of the massive FVG (fair value gap) on the daily candles. Also, it's the start of the first price action on the volume profile. This is where you want to buy.
What we cannot miss is the symmetrical triangle on the 4H chart. This to me looks like a bull trap on retail traders because everyone would buy the breakout. So there is still a possibility of making a last push to sweep liquidity (stop losses).
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Alikze »» GRT | Ascending channel - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 8H
- In the analysis presented in the weekly time frame , it was mentioned that an AB=CD pattern has been formed.
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the 8-hour time frame.
💎 In the OB area, it can face the demand again by creating demand and liquidity hunt at the bottom of the channel and continue its growth up to the top of the channel.
- Then I expect it to continue its growth to the supply area to form the third wave or wave C.
⚠️In addition, if the correction extends to the Invalidation LVL range, the bullish scenario in the 8-hour time frame is invalidated and must be reviewed and updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:GRTUSDT
Wallpaper Bitcoin Bullmarket 2024. Here's a wallpaper for you to print out and hang above your bed, doubling as a piece of art and guaranteeing a good night's sleep.
Bull market 2024.
I have mentioned this idea previously beginning 2023 and was first mentioned here:
www.tradingview.com
I nailed my prediction on April 15th on another platform, which I can't mention, when Bitcoin was trading at $66,762, at which point I exclaimed: "weekly chart keeps saying no to $69,000 for five weeks now. The daily chart is struggling with its important $62,300 support, and it's starting to look weak. I think we're heading down again to $56,868". Pretty accurate, huh? :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 114k next.
The Road to $66 for STXUSDT (Stacks)$STXUSD has now beautifully broken out of the triangle after an impressive textbook correction at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
This type of correction is a typical feature of wave 2 in an Elliot wave count, which indicates that $STXUSDT is now ready to embark on its third impulsive wave, often referred to as the most explosive one.
Considering the increasing volume, an explosive surge in the number of transactions on the network, and the oscillators, we can expect a swift development in the price towards the following resistance levels:
— 0.57
— 1.06
— 2.85
— 5.96
— 8.16
— 13.17.
#stxusdt #stxusd #BNS #DeFi #BitcoinNFTs #Stacks
Scenario BTC 6.12.There are two main scenarios: either the support at 0.786 breaks through and we go for another ATH, or the support holds and we can watch for a possible correction. If that happens, we can test the levels somewhere around the previous low and if the trendline breaks, we can test the levels around 87k, but we are currently waiting for further signals.
Velodrome Finance - Bull Case for the Bull Run.Velodrome Finance Token is poised for a massive outbreak towards the upside towards ATH by the end of the year.
Major hidden bullish divergence is playing out which will push the price to new price levels by end of the year.
DCA is the name of the game gentlemen.
Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice.
Decade long structure emerging on the Silver chartIt is interesting to study the Production/Accumulation/Distribution/Industrial Demand as well. Silver seems to hit a breaching point where physical prices have a premium about +45% for buying it and +20% for selling pure silver bullion coins. Troy oz./oz. is about 1.10, which should reflect a recomended trading price of 25.4$ per troy oune. Anybody able to buy at these prices?
Another interesting peak that was reached lately is the Gold/Silver Ratio reaching +104 lvl's, an increadable bias for gold if you look at the ratio that existed about 100 years ago, which is 10. . In less then 6 months time this ratio is today +70. This is a technical indicator for a strong bear legg starting a decade long correction for the multi decade long bull market in favour of Gold. This is the first leg down, and there is a lot of space for continued correction, bringing the price to a 'recommended equilibrium'.
Platinum as wel is comming back from an all time low Platinum to gold ratio 0.39 to the 0.6. Interestingly the platinum price is not having a ticker as far as I now that goes back for 100 years, which is the scale that the trend is carrying apparently for multiple precious metals. Chemistry table books presenting value of the pure element refer to a rule of tumb for pricing, that refered to the relative abundance of those elements before the 80's, here the Platinum over Gold ratio is documented to be 2x over multiple years, presumingly a good rule of tumb ratio of price to handle as historical mean.
It's becoming clear that there is some mechanism (or a superposition of multiple mechanisms) enables the overrepresentation of 'exchangeble silver tickets'. And it is difficult to find trustworthy data on the abundance of each element to date. Especially yearly mining reports giving estimeates that are discripant over 10 years, look at a mining report in 1992,2002;2012,2022 and the quality of these estimates seem to be worthless for what the physical reality could represent. Still in search for a good dataset, one could do a basic maximum physical element estimate by taking the continental crust elementary abundance calculation on the earth being a perfect sphere, having about 40% continental crust on it's surface, the maximal depth of a mine is one in south-africa, reaching 4km deep, however the mean depth of a mine will like be less than a km deep. you could go further and eliminate regions that are definetly not minable or mined (sahara, himalaya mountains, ..) but this is in my opinion the best approach to find the global maxima for the elements that are available on our beatiful planet.
Dow Jones Transportation Average Index morning technical analysiTechnical analysis of DJT (Dow Jones Transportation Average Index).
Watching this ticker as a leading indicator of a market downturn.
As SPX and NDX have made new ATHs this week, DJT is down 3.65%.
Blow-off top happened in November 2021.
It is hard to see price action since September 2022 as impulsive. Perhaps it will turn out impulsive after everything is all said and done; this count assumes it will not.
Bears looking for this to play out as a regular flat, with the C wave as a violent sell-off below 10k. Implies some black swan event, but such an event is not necessary.
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>Short term!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to pump up late yesterday with the following three News and the important resistance of $100,000 seems to be broken:
1- Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell: Bitcoin is like gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ), not dollars.
2- President Putin says, “Bitcoin, Digital Assets will continue to develop".
3- 'Who's Laughing Now?' NYC Mayor Eric Adams Boasts About Bitcoin Paychecks
⚠️Note: As I said in previous posts, the crypto market has become more dependent on the news and reacts to any development or news in the world, so capital management should be observed more than before.⚠️
Let's now look at the analysis of Bitcoin after yesterday's pump .
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Support zone($99,600-$98,620) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 , and we should wait for the start of wave 5 . The wave 4 structure is a Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to start increasing again after the end of wave 4 and attack the Resistance line . If the resistance line breaks, it can at least go up to the previous top($104,088) .
⚠️Note: We should wait for Bitcoin to fall further if Bitcoin goes below the Support line and the Support zone($99,600-$98,620).⚠️
⚠️Note: Due to the Sharpie movement of wave 3, BTC may not even create a new All-Time High(ATH) (wave 5 will be Truncated). ⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Alikze »» POWR | Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario
📣 BINANCE:POWRUSDT is moving in an ascending channel on the weekly time frame, currently in the upper area of the ascending channel.
🟢 It is currently testing the current supply area, which can continue to grow up to the specified range of 88 cents with the support of the middle of the channel and the green box.
🟢 Considering that it is in the third ascending step or C, it can break the current supply area and continue to grow as wide as the first channel to the second channel.
💎In addition, if the green box area is broken, the blue bar can act as the next support to cause demand.
⚠️If a correction occurs and the green box area is broken, the price should not enter the Invalidation LVL area, in which case the bullish scenario will be invalidated⚠️
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