CADJPY → Consolidation before the news. DowntrendFX:CADJPY continues to forge a downtrend, but within the current movement a symmetrical triangle of accumulative nature is forming
The currency pair may continue its decline due to the strengthening of the Japanese Yen, while the Canadian is consolidating in a narrow range.
The situation may be accelerated by today's news, namely Trump's speech, where he may announce new tariff measures.
Technically, the price is correcting after the false break of 103.56, being below the previously broken upside support. Price is testing key resistance at 104.90, and against 0.5 Fibo is forming a false breakout. A consolidation below 104.69, a break of 104.525 could trigger further decline.
Resistance levels: 104.900, 105.36, 105.74
Support levels: 104.525, 103.56
There are important news ahead, high volatility is possible, especially at the moment of Trump's speech, which may set a medium-term tone in the market.
The currency pair is in consolidation on the background of the downtrend and the priority is to expect a continuation of the fall
Regards R. Linda!
Elliott Wave
EOSUSDT → False Breakeout of resistance (counter-trend )BINANCE:EOSUSDT.P within the consolidation distribution 0.54 - 0.6 reaches the key resistance and forms a false breakdown without the possibility of continued growth.
The cryptocurrency market is showing weakness, especially after yesterday's Trump speech and the approval of new Tariffs, which creates risks and pressure on the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin is back in the red zone after rallying, while altcoins will continue to look for a new bottom. EOS stands out in this list, which strengthened quite strongly and the purpose of this maneuver was countertrend accumulation and liquidity capture relative to the range of 0.7 - 0.8. The distribution is tempered by a false breakout of the level 0.82 - 0.86
Resistance levels: 0.82, 0.86
Support levels: 0.793, 0.666
If the bears hold the resistance 0.82 - 0.86 and the consolidation under the level will end with the breakout of the trigger 0.793 and price consolidation in the selling zone, it may provoke a reversal and fall to the zones of interest: fvg, 0.64, 0.541.
Regards R. Linda!
ABC Correction?I can count a 5 wave impulse (subjective) and could see a potential ABC correction down to the $16 - $23 level. As someone who makes plenty of purchases from small retailers on the SHOP infrastructure, I'm ultimately long on this stock. I hope this stock doesn't see a year or more of sliding price action. That level could easily be hit, then recover much sooner than this chart predicts. TLDR; I'm charting a potential reversal level, not the time frame.
MAJOR BULL RUN RALLY INCOMING !!! Starting From MAY 2025 !!!On Big Picture starting from 2020....
Inverse H & S was formed... after breakout we got pull back & then it started 8 months rally from September 2020 To April 2021.
Then after deep bear market, we got Inverse H&S... after breakout, we got pull back & then it started 8 months rally from September 2023 To April 2024.
Now. we got big H&S... after breakout, we are getting pull back & now we are almost near at support level of H&S. From around 74-66K region, reversal bull run rally is expected which will most probably start from next month ( May 2025) and around after 8 months (October-December) we would be roaming ATH around 300K !!! which tags exactly at major resistance line. By copy pasting 2021 rally's candles pattern on current scenario, we can see exactly how things are going to shape in upcoming months.
Lets Hope For The Best !!!
Ethereum: The biggest Opportunity in 2025!Ethereum is following Bitcoin—but with way worse performance. While BTC is still holding up relatively well, ETH has dropped all the way back to March 2023 levels, wiping out the entire rally. Since its top, Ethereum is down over 63%. 😮💨
Still—or maybe because of that—I’m beginning to slowly scale into spot positions here.
Yes, we could fall further. I’ve got limit orders set lower, specifically around $1,260, which aligns with the 88.2% Fibonacci retracement and the midpoint of the monthly order block. That’s a key zone I’ll be watching if price keeps dropping.
That said, this Wave (2) should be nearing its final stage. The sell-off has been steep, and if we lose $804, that would flip Ethereum’s entire monthly structure bearish—a scenario I’d consider extremely negative.
I don’t expect ETH to suddenly blast past $5,000 from here, but at these levels, I see a clear opportunity to build longer-term spot exposure—and that’s exactly what I’m starting to do now.
Bitcoin: Blood in the Streets – Now is the Time!Once again, there’s blood in the streets—and from this point on I start scaling into spot positions again, slowly but deliberately.
All of these are spot entries with soft stop-losses—not hard exits, but areas I’ll react to if needed.
So why now? For one, we’re sitting right above the 38,2% Fibonacci level for the ending of the wave A. At the same time, we’re about to tap into a daily Fair Value Gap, while trying to hold the range support—two important technical levels lining up on the higher time frame.
Below that, we have an untapped VWAP at $65.5K, which could act as a magnet, as it often does. And yeah—if we go under $62K or even $60K, the classic “time to work at McDonald’s” joke comes back. But seriously: in markets like this, you need to stay calm, have some humor, and most of all, know what’s possible.
So I’m cautiously watching the S&P 500 closely, which plays a big role in this setup for me.
That’s where I stand on BTC right now—careful optimism, grounded in context and reasoning for me.
Bearish Setup on NFLX: Correction Wave (C) UnfoldingTF: 4h
NFLX appears bearish at the moment. The corrective structure on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a potential decline. The current formation indicates that wave B likely completed at 998.61 , and the stock has now begun its descent into wave (C) of the correction.
The correction may extend to the 100% projection of wave A at 788.67 , or potentially deepen to 659.06 , aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of wave A. After the completion of wave (C), traders can buy for the target up to wave B at 998.61 .
I will continue to update the situation as it evolves.
Silver Wave Analysis – 7 April 2025- Silver reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 30.75
Silver recently reversed up from the support zone between the strong support level 28.80 (which formed Double Bottom at the end of December) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous sharp downward correction (2) from the end of March.
Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 30.75 (the former monthly low from February, acting as the resistance after it was broken at the start of April).
Critical zone for Bitcoin – Pump or Dump!(Mid-term Analysis)Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on a weekly time frame so that you can take a mid-term view of BTC. On November 12, 2024 , I shared with you another weekly analysis in which we found the All-Time High(ATH) zone well.
Please stay with me.
Bitcoin has been on an upward trend for the past 27 months , increasing by about +600% . Have you been able to profit from this upward trend in Bitcoin?
During these 27 months , Bitcoin has had two significant corrections , the first correction -20% and the second correction -33% (interestingly, both corrections lasted about 5 months ).
Another thing we can understand from the two main corrections is that the second correction is bigger than the first correction , and since Bitcoin is currently in the third correction , we can expect the third correction to be either equal to the second correction or greater than the second correction . Of course, this is just an analysis that should be placed alongside the analyses below .
It seems that the start of Bitcoin's correction can be confirmed with the help of the Adam & Adam Double Top Pattern(AADT) . Bitcoin also created a fake breakout above the Resistance lines .
Educational tip : The Adam & Adam Double Top (AADT) is a bearish reversal pattern characterized by two sharp, ^-shaped peaks at nearly the same price level. It indicates strong resistance and a potential trend reversal once the price breaks below the neckline between the peaks.
Bitcoin appears to be completing a pullback to the broken neckline .
According to Elliott's Wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed its 5 impulse waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . It is a bit early to determine the structure of the corrective waves , but I think it will have a Zigzag Correction . The structure of the corrective waves depends on the news and events of the coming weeks and months.
I think the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) will be a very sensitive zone for Bitcoin.
I expect Bitcoin to start correcting again when it approaches $87,000 or $90,000 at most, and fills the CME Gap($86,400_$85,595) , and at least approaches the Heavy Support zone($73,800_$59,000) AFTER breaking the uptrend line .
In your opinion, has Bitcoin finished its correction or created an opportunity for us to escape again?
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $90,500, we should expect further increases and even make a new All-Time High(ATH).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), Weekly time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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NIFTY50.....Here is the crash! Hello Traders,
yesterday, I wrote the following words:
"If not, the index has the possibility to crash to new lows. From my view, I need to see a final "sell-off" in the coming one or two weeks, to clear the market and banish those shaky hands! !"
That is what exactly happened this morning! A CRASH! Shaking off the shaky hands!
The markets are on the verge of being cleaned up! But!!! NOT yet!!!
Chart analysis!
First thing to know. This morning's move and massive gap-down was probably a wave 3. These waves are the most powerful waves during an impulse and (in this case), and they destroy the most gains in some minutes, i.e.hours!
The second possibility is given that we have seen a "V.-turnaround", and the market has seen the low!
To me, the structure is not clear, and I expect one lower low in the coming days ahead below 21743.6!
The most important thing for a trader is, to believe what you see! Not to believe what you like to see!
Following the idea of a wave 3 (which could be done), we should see a wave 4, morph into an a-b-c or a triangle! Keep in mind, that triangles are the most unlikely patterns to see!
Anyway! If so to come, the next hours will show us the pattern, and probably we will get one a-b-c structure! After, i f so to come, new lows are ahead in the following days!
But. If this low was the final low for this crash, the index is able to set the stage and skyrocketing!
For now, there is no fact, to support this idea, and we handle with patient and care!
Don't catch a falling knife!!!
I will follow the market closely and update it constantly!
For now.....have a great week!
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
S&P 500: Historic Crash or Just Another Chance?Let’s be real: What’s happening with the S&P 500 right now is rare. This is only the fourth time in history that the index has dropped more than 10% in two days (technically three, including today’s Monday session). The other times? October 1987, November 2008 during the financial crisis, and March 2020 during the pandemic crash.
And now? We’re seeing a similar drop, this time triggered by a global tariff war , stoked by the U.S. and other governments playing chicken to see who folds first.
Yeah, it sucks. It hurts. But it could also be a hell of an opportunity.
We just tagged the 4,800 level —a place many didn’t expect to see this quickly. Neither did I. But here we are. The untapped VWAP got hit, and this might very well be the start of Wave A. Could we go lower? Absolutely. There’s a monthly Fair Value Gap around $4,500, and a drop to $4,250 isn’t out of the question either.
But here’s the thing: it depends entirely on your perspective.
If you’re trading on the 30-minute chart, this is a full-blown crisis. But zoom out to the daily, weekly, or monthly chart—and it’s just market noise.
Pull up the log chart from 1953 to 2025 in the top left corner. We’ve seen this before. A handful of times. And on that scale? Nobody cares.
If you’re in the game to build long-term wealth, this moment is just another temporary shakeout. If you’re doing dollar-cost averaging, this is exactly where you want to be adding—not panicking.
The market doesn’t care about your plan. It forces you to adapt. You can’t fight it, only flow with it.
And if you’re in it for the long haul? This is just noise. Ignore it, zoom out – and stay the course.
Zloty vs Euro 5.20 - timespan boundariesTwo years ago, I found the probability with the current zloty price of 4.15 PLN; and forecasted new extremum terminal point >6.5 zloty per single euro. The first part of the prediction has worked out, 4.15 was reached.
How i received the 6.50 PLN value? I got the value by applying the Elliott Wave Principle: this is the height of the first wave, primary degree. At the moment the chart is at the second wave end. I think so because there is an exit outside the channel, it is an indicator. According to the principle - the third wave cannot be the shortest in the impulse, so the target is above 6.5+.
Today, the time boundaries became obvious to me.
I think 5.20 PLN target per single EUR may be reached by the end of Trump presidency. Thus, by the end of 2028. This target will coincide with the upper trend channel and may match with the end of the first sub-wave of the minor degree of the primary third wave.
In 2024 December i also made forecast for DXY dollar index: ~112% and ~85%. The first part of that prediction has already worked out at 110.217%. The second part of the probability may be more swift, thus we may see 94-85% DXY values during 2025. Which could lead to 5.20 at PLN already in 2025. We will know this soon...
Good luck with your investing strategy, have fat profits and remember - there are no guaranties on the markets, only probabilities.
GBPUSD → False break of weekly support + DXY fallFX:GBPUSD is going through a shakeout phase relative to the trading range. Last week was very challenging in terms of unpredictable moves and volatility.
A strong NFP report on Friday allowed the dollar to strengthen, but the reaction from the opening of the new trading week has already exhausted itself as traders are still watching the tariff war, which simply crashed the stock, futures markets.
Technically, the currency pair on this background can win out, as the pound sterling within the ascending trend, the fall of the dollar can continue the growth phase.
On the chart, the price forms a false breakdown of the support conglomerate, which in general may push the price up due to the imbalance of liquidity and interests of money moving away from the dollar
Resistance levels: 1.2932, 1.3010
Support levels: 1.2828, 1.2811
If the bulls will keep the price above 1.2868 and will be able to consolidate above 1.2932, in the short term the market can show growth up to the next target - resistance 1.3010.
Regards R. Linda!
What Happens Elliott Wave Sequence Completes?Just a quick chart on Nasdaq to show what happens when the Elliott Wave count is completed?
Usually you'd see a major correction. The choice of word depends on the chart time frame. On a monthly chart its still a correction, obviously that is not true for a daily chart where it looks like a SPIKE down.
This chart shows, Wave 5 is terminating within Target zone.
Time Has Came For Bitcoin NOW!!!As Updated previously on Macro, We have reached at crucial zone. According to Elliott wave count on big picture, BTC formed ending diagonal and now approaching at it's reversal points. From this area of 75-69k region, there's high probability of trend reversal and we will soon see shorters getting rekt