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Elliott Wave

Bitcoin - Hardcore pump 125k and dump 49k (must see!)In this very detailed and unique analysis, we will look at the most important Bitcoin fundamental analysis of halving cycles. I predict Bitcoin will crash to 49k in 2026, so if you are buying now for the long term as an investment (buy and hold), you can probably wait for a better price! We can statistically predict Bitcoin moves with this simple chart because it's always right and never wrong. What can we say with certainty? Statistically: Bitcoin's bull markets last for 742 to 1065 days Bitcoin's bear markets last for 364 to 413 days Correction is every time weaker, but still huge Statistically, Bitcoin crashes every 4 years by 86% to 77%. The market cap is getting bigger as institutions step in, so this time I expect a weaker crash (around 65%). Still, it's a huge crash, and many investors will sell at a loss as usual. Knowledge of the Bitcoin cycles will save you a lot of money. We are in the final stage of the bullish cycle, and this cycle should end between September and December 2025. When you draw a trendline on the linear monthly chart, you will get a target of around 125,000 USD. This is a good level to sell Bitcoin. I would never listen to moon boys that are screaming that Bitcoin will never go down and Bitcoin will reach 500k or 1M in the next months. That's due to an already big market cap, pretty much impossible. After we finish this bull cycle, we can expect a massive crash to 49k in 2026. For people who are prepared, this may be an incredible investment opportunity. Also, you can short Bitcoin at the top and ride the investment in the opposite direction, plus you will make money on funding fees every 8 hours. Bitcoin halving is coded to occur once every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years, and will continue in this fashion until the final supply of 21 million BTC is reached. It is assumed that the last BTC will be mined in 2140. After that, transaction fees are supposed to be the only source of block rewards for miners. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! It is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Xanrox
114
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of news. Retest of resistanceFX:XAUUSD remained above the key support level of 3280 and is testing intermediate resistance. Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline, the metal has a chance to continue its growth... Gold is trading in consolidation ahead of the Fed meeting minutes. Easing trade risks and the dollar's recovery triggered a correction from the recent peak of $3366. Against the backdrop of the dollar's correction, the metal is entering a phase of local rally and testing resistance at 0.5f The Fed is maintaining a cautious tone, and the market is waiting for signals on interest rates. The escalation of the conflict in Ukraine and the threat of new sanctions from Trump did not cause significant concern in the markets. Investors are waiting for drivers Resistance levels: 3322, 3348, 3363 Support levels: 3290, 3282, 3265 A small correction may form from 3322 before growth continues. The market is interested in liquidity in the 3348-3363 zone, and the price is likely to test this zone. However, further developments depend on the fundamental background. Rising economic risks or hints of interest rate cuts could support the price of gold. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
EURJPY → False breakout of resistance. Reversal?FX:EURJPY is testing the resistance of the trading range as part of a distribution movement, but the situation ends with a false breakout and price consolidation within the flat. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, the Japanese yen is strengthening and thus exerting a corresponding influence on the currency pair. EURJPY is forming a false breakout of resistance within a distribution movement formed after a retest the support of the flat. The price returns to the channel. After a false breakout of resistance and a return of the price below a strong key level, a base is forming in the form of support at 163.2 (trigger). Resistance levels: 163.4, 163.6 Support levels: 163.2, 162.7 A breakdown of the 163.2 trigger and price consolidation below the key level could intensify the sell-off, triggering a further decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
11
Gold Elliott wave analysis 5/28/2025In my view, gold is currently in wave five of the Grand Supercycle Wave V, which I began counting from around the year 1833. While many investors expect gold prices to skyrocket further due to geopolitical tensions, de-globalization, and growing concerns over asset bubbles—evidenced by large-scale stock selloffs and a shift toward cash holdings—I believe much of this fear is already priced in. As for my price target, I expect gold to complete its final wave at around $3,600–$3,700. This projection is based on the assumption that wave five (in cream color) will likely be equal in length to wave one, especially considering that wave three is the extended wave. After reaching this peak, I anticipate a significant downturn—similar to the crash between 1980 and 2001—which could form a massive wave two correction potentially lasting for decades. An additional factor supporting my outlook is the upcoming Saturn–Neptune conjunction in 2025–2026. According to financial astrology, previous Saturn–Neptune cycles have been closely associated with recessions, financial crises, and economic restructuring. These periods often expose bubbles, fraud, or excessive optimism. Given the elevated level of gold prices today, which may be considered a bubble, this suggests that a major correction in gold could be approaching.
TVC:GOLDShort
by jirapattinn
GOLD: Expanding-Leading-Diagonal, the 3-3-3-3-3 variety?#Gold (XAUUSD), 1 hour: IMHO, a rare but probable Elliott Wave pattern is unfolding on the chart, known as an Expanding-Leading-Diagonal (the 3-3-3-3-3 variety) to the downside. ⚠️ If price breaks above red wave-2 near $3438, this bearish outlook gets invalidated. 📉 Until then, downside pressure remains on the table. Once wave-3 low ($3120) is broken, this becomes my primary wave counts for Gold. Trade wisely and watch key levels mentioned on the chart. ~EWTIC Mentor~
TVC:GOLDShort
by Elliottician_SamRoy
SPY UpdatePrice made a top just shy of the 1.382 extension fib and then reversed. Now, it has risen back up right into the area one would expect for a mini b wave. MACD is also curling down hinting at a possible move lower coming. If that is the case, and we begin moving lower again breaching $573.25, then the likely hood of a top for B raises exponentially. Should that be the case, then price will be headed to the $468-$389 area next. This means that the market as a whole will be moving significantly lower in the coming weeks. Dropping to $468, the highest normal termination point, would constitute a 20%+ drop from current levels. To fall to the lowest standard area is almost a 35% drop. This is suggesting that the market as a whole is on the cusp of losing up to a third of its value. What could cause such a thing? Idk and idc. The only thing that matters to me, is what will happen. Currently, the structure is telling us that a major haircut is in store for the markets. Some of you will scoff at such a remark. I don't blame you either. The world's largest market losing a third of its value is hard to fathom. Thats over 15 trillion dollars of capital just gone. If you look back just a couple weeks ago though, the S&P lost 21.43% or 10.179 trillion dollars in just over a month. Still think it's impossible? And that was just on the thought of tariffs. They hadn't even been implemented yet, lol. I say all of this to make you aware of what the charts are telling us. Believe me or not, it doesn't really matter. When it does happen though, just remember, you were warned...
AMEX:SPY
by TSuth
8
Flying into the sun or about to get burnt?Market is about to reach all-time highs again. Many trade deals must have been made. Interest rates must have been cut. Wars must have been resolved. Personal debt must have come under control. Corporate debt must have been resolved. Wait, nothing has changed? Things are worse? Well why is the index about to hit new all-time highs? My take is a major fake out. We are about to set a double top as we complete a rising wedge pattern. The rising wedge. What began at the market bottom on 7 April, has remained bound in a channel. If the first pump up was an A followed by the declaration of the channel bottom as B, wave C has last over a month upward. We have wave 3 signals identifying wave 3 of C ending with the high on 19 May. Last week's dip was wave 4 and now we fly high this week. It is unclear if we actually make a new all-time high or fall just short. The below chart has 138.197% extension around 610.63. Inside wave C, my wave 1 was nine days long, and wave 3 was only 8. This points to wave 5 lasting less than 8 days. A common wave 1-3-5 duration in relation to wave 3 is around 114% for 1 and 50% for wave 5. The height of the rising wedge covers 66.82 points. This same distance should provide the first target bottom once we exit the channel, possibly as early as next week. Once the bottom falls, we then examine the double top pattern. Although the neckline stretches far backwards, the bottom is established at the 7 April low. The distance from the neckline to the all-time high in February provides the next possible minimum target bottom by taking this 131.43 drop and subtracting it from the neckline of 481.80. This puts the initial low around 350.37 sometime later this year or early next. There is a perfect storm of calamity brewing with zero resolutions in place or even planned. Do we finally drop or keep rising into the sun?
AMEX:SPYShort
by StockSignaler
1
GOLD → Correction before possible growthFX:XAUUSD entered a liquidation phase (rally) within the trading range at the opening of the session. The dollar's rise is to blame. The focus is on supporting consolidation... Investors remain interested in gold as a safe haven asset amid geopolitical risks and declining demand for US assets. The key drivers remain news about tax reform in the US, trade negotiations, and upcoming macro data. Gold is consolidating, but since the opening of the session, the price has been heading towards support. Against the backdrop of an upward trend, a trigger for bearish liquidity is likely to form before growth. Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth, gold is entering a correction phase. At the moment, all attention is on support and the liquidity zone of 3265. A false breakdown will trigger a price buyback. Resistance levels: 3322 Support levels: 3282, 3265 Since the price is still within the range and a countertrend correction is forming in the market, in our case, it is worth considering an intraband trading strategy. A false breakdown of support could trigger growth to intermediate resistance or to the upper border of the channel. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
27
BITCOIN → False breakout of 110K. Negative background???BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P hit a new all-time high of almost 112K on the back of improved economic and fundamental data, but the party didn't last long before Trump's next speech... Yesterday, Trump spoke and announced new tariffs on the EU. The markets reacted quite aggressively to this news. Despite the fact that the market has practically bought back all the losses, the question itself remains open. The introduction of 50% tariffs on Europe will increase the risk background, which could trigger a fall in both the stock market and cryptocurrencies. In this case, money will flow into gold (a safe asset)... Technically, Bitcoin is forming a false breakout of the global resistance level of 110K (previous ATH). The price is reacting and forming a bearish momentum (coinciding with the change in the fundamental background). The area between 109.8 and 110.3 is a resistance and liquidity zone relative to the previous ATH. If the bears hold the resistance, Bitcoin may get stuck inside the 110K - 106.8K (105K) range. Resistance levels: 109.8K, 110.3K, 112K Support levels: 106.8K, 105K Accordingly, if the 110K resistance holds amid the correction, consolidation below the resistance will confirm the formation of a false breakout, and in this case, Bitcoin may move to the 110K (112K) - 105K (102K) range. However, situations change daily, and if Bitcoin does break through 110K and manages to consolidate above its previous ATH, this will be a signal for growth... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
19
a possible massacre.what if i told you that bitcoin could drop 50% before june is over? i know that probably sounds extreme. maybe even a little unbelievable. and that's okay; most people react that way when faced with a scenario they weren't prepared for. i’m not here to scare you, and i’m not trying to make a bold claim just to get attention. i’m here to share a message that comes from a rare, proprietary sell signal in our system; something that doesn’t trigger often, but when it does, we pay very close attention. i believe there’s a real possibility bitcoin drops below 50k by the end of june. --- here’s the technical stuff to anyone interested: since the bottom in november 2022, bitcoin moved up in a clear five-wave pattern, peaking around january 2025. from there, it seems to be forming what’s known as an expanded flat correction. this is a three-wave structure (3-3-5) that often tricks the crowd before the next major move begins. ironically, this potential drop doesn't change the bigger picture at all. i still believe the long-term target sits between 750k and 1m by year-end. but markets don’t move in straight lines; sometimes, they shake out everyone who’s too confident, right before taking off. consider this a heads-up, not a certainty, but one worth preparing for. --- ps. the stop-loss on my btc long sits at the target of this idea. if i'm right about this, my stop will get hit, and it will open the door to a new entry. --- 🌙
by notoriousbids
2