RUNE Indicator AnalysisRune chart is looking quite bullish.
This Token did not have these kind of gains, like we can see on the Crypro Market (e.g. XRP, XLM, HBAR, ADA, ALGO). But I believe, this is due to RUNEs chart-structure. The Chart seems to be in an earlier stage of the Cycle.
The Coins named in brackets seem to be the fruntrunners of this Cycle.
Projects like Rune could in my eyes start gaining momentum,
and slowly catch up to the leading ones.
(This scenario of course requires
the whole bullrin to continue)
Technicals:
Since Jun 23, the 4day-BullmarketSupportBand (blue band) is providing beautiful support and resistance throughout the wohole timeframe. Over the last 60 days it has been a strong support. The Price bouned off to the upside. -> This is a very bullish sign in my eyes.
Elliott-Wave sub structure is creating a clear picture in my eyes, as well indicating a move to the upside.
Elliott Wave
Final Post: The Collapse Is Brewing🚨 Final Warning: The Collapse is Brewing 🚨
The market is flashing unmistakable warning signals. If you’re still clinging to the idea of endless upside, it’s time to confront the data. Here are the key reasons why the market is on the brink of a major crash:
1. Record Dumb Money Investment, Consumer Debt, and Reckless Behavior
Small traders, often referred to as “dumb money,” are more heavily invested in equities than ever in recorded financial history. Historically, these traders are most bullish at market tops, while smart money—like institutional investors—are quietly exiting.
A prime example is Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the greatest investors of all time, has been signaling caution through his actions. Berkshire Hathaway is on track to finish its second straight year as a net seller of stocks, unloading a record $133.2 billion in equities through the first three quarters of 2024. The majority of these sales came from its largest holding, Apple (AAPL), generating over $125 billion in proceeds.
Buffett's reluctance to reinvest that capital is a significant red flag. Even more telling, Berkshire has not repurchased any of its own stock this year for the first time in six years, signaling that Buffett believes even Berkshire itself is overvalued. This aligns with his famous adage: “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”
At the same time, households are drowning in record levels of debt. Credit card balances have surged to all-time highs, and auto loan delinquencies are near record levels, signaling that consumers are stretched to the brink. Meanwhile, households have allocated more of their portfolios to equities than ever before, reaching record levels of stock investments as a percentage of total household equity.
This dangerous combination of overleveraged consumer spending and peak exposure to equities creates the perfect storm. When the market begins to fall, liquidity issues and forced selling could accelerate the crash dramatically.
2. Elliott Wave Analysis: A Probable Turning Point
When Wave 3 is extended, Wave 5 is typically shorter and often mirrors the length of Wave 1. In the chart above, I highlight a potential key target at 6,104.51 on the SPX, where Minor Wave 5 will equal 161.8% of Minor Wave 1. This level represents a probable turning point, as Wave 5 is unlikely to extend much further given the size of Wave 3 and the guideline concerning Wave 3 extensions.
Additionally, the Minor Wave 1-3 trendline, shown on the chart, is a critical resistance level and a reliable predictor for pinpointing the end of Wave 5. This trendline suggests that Wave 5 is ending very soon, most likely by the end of the year.
3. Uninverted Yield Curve (After a Record Inversion)
Buffetts favorite recession indicator! The yield curve has recently uninverted, a historically flawless predictor of recessions. But this time, it spent a record amount of time inverted, signaling extreme stress in the financial system.
There is a strong historical correlation between the length of the inversion and the severity and length of the subsequent recession. With this inversion lasting longer than any in recorded history, the implications for the economy could be catastrophic.
Final Thoughts
The writing is on the wall. With record dumb money investment, Elliott Wave pattern nearing completion, a recently uninverted yield curve after a record inversion, and record consumer debt, the market is primed for a crash.
Banks are sitting on over $500 billion in unrealized losses—and that’s just what we know of. The cracks in the financial system are growing, and in 2025, we should prepare for a 40-50% correction in US equities and banking failures across the globe.
Greed and recklessness have reached unsustainable levels. History shows that these excesses are always punished, and this time will be no different.
Stay cautious—this is your final warning. There will be no other post.
Bitcoin Overall -- Scenario 2I just posted some thoughts on my Elliott Wave interpretation of the current BTC price action. Instead of 2 zig-zag like patterns we may have 1 triangle, which should be confirmed if the price retraces from here. This would be a good place to take a long most likely.
(I am relatively new to Elliott wave theory but have found it helpful in my trading thusfar. Thus I am not 100% sure which of the scenarios we have.)
BTC Overall -- What I'm currently thinkingAlthough a "throwback" is possible, moving on to 3/3 possible Elliot Wave corrective structures, there's a good likely hood we're looking at the start of the move to 118K.
(I am relatively new to Elliott Wave, but have found its predictive power very helpful. I may not have these corrective structures labeled properly)
When I have more time I will refine the chart
Bitcoin will complete the Elliott?Hello people i hope you doing well.
This is my personal opinion and analysis. In all markets, anything can happen. So before making any decision, please consider risk management, capital management, and emotion management in your trading.
Here we have btc chart with some magic waves! Im always analyse technically first.
In 1month timeframe we can have a nice Elliott Pattern waves.
We had wave 1 and 2 done before and as picture we are on the middle of wave 3!
This is just an imaginary and forecast
But it works sometimes you should forecast the people's next move! Specially the big ones like Whales and miners.
The targets are near than the Supporting areas haha.the 125k is not much for 85% of wave3.and the end of wave we can have 150k btc.
Wave 4 can give btc some rest and correction wave!
And we can have 83k as the biggest Liquidity support and the best area to get the money and get the people who lost the last train of pump!In this upping channel(wave3) the lowest price is 73k!
So be aware and quite fast if your money lost:))
And the volume can tell you there is nothing happened to Btc and the Crypto market and its still baby!i bet this wave can make you reach if it happens:)
Always remember to have plan!dont enter the market with 100% money and please have stop loss and have plan to quit and dont be greedy!!
Good luck
ETC/ USD * Ethereum Classic - EWP FIB TC WEEKLY TF ANALYSISThe RSI on the lower part of the chart, currently around 39, indicating a slightly oversold condition. This suggests the market could be near a potential bottom, but further confirmation is needed.
If this ABC correction holds, the price might find support near the 0.786 Fibonacci level ($15.65) or the lower boundary of the channel. This could signal the end of the corrective phase and the start of a new upward movement (Wave 1 of a new cycle). Alternatively, if price breaks below these support levels, it could suggest further downside, extending the correction.
S&P500 short: wave 3 = wave 1Take note that this is CFD where prices includes non regular trading hours and thus allows for this count (prices using only rth can't have this count as wave 3 is the shortest wave in SPX and SPY).
I am attempting a short here as I believe that there is a chance that we are reaching the peak this week and this is as good as any to attempt a low risk short. A 10 points stop loss should be good.
Xrp : Ghost Feed of Last Pattern overlaid on new 1+2 Fib TargetUsing a 1 + 2 (Green) Higher High and Higher Low, we can find the Fib Extensions between the 1.618 and 1.7886 sitting around $30 - $50. (This usually gets overshot and retraced to in bull markets...)
Using a Ghost Feed on a Logarithmic Scale, (Which preserves percentages of gain in a visual way...) We can also find that the previous pattern seems to adhere to those target Fib Extensions (As it would have proportionally with past extension targets...) and can give us a ballpark example if history were to repeat itself. (Although each time it uses different noise and retracements to arrive at the same targets...)
The Timing may also be different Due to worldwide events and time tables...
The potential Cycle high may be as much as $264! (Which also adheres to a measured move based off the 6-year triangle target)
It most likely won't take 6 years to retrace next time as the SEC stuff is past now...
Good Luck out there!
BTC 74-78k wave 4 support zone, then the last wave up to 130k?Based on the Elliott Wave count, Bitcoin appears to be in the final fifth wave of its macro cycle. This fifth wave is typically composed of five smaller subwaves, and the chart indicates that we are currently in the corrective fourth subwave. This wave is expected to find support within the 74-78k USD zone, aligning with key Fibonacci retracement levels (0.382–0.5). Once this correction is complete, the final impulsive fifth subwave could push Bitcoin toward the 130k USD target, which corresponds to the Fibonacci extension of 3.618.
The chart also highlights the use of additional tools to confirm this analysis. The VAH (Value Area High) from the Fixed Range and the anchored VWAP from subwave 3 play critical roles in identifying the potential support zone for wave 4. The VAH marks the price level where the highest trading volume occurred during subwave 3, often acting as a significant support or resistance. Similarly, the anchored VWAP, which tracks the volume-weighted average price from the start of subwave 3, provides further validation for the 74-78k USD zone as a key area for a potential bounce.
These technical indicators, combined with the Elliott Wave structure, suggest that the market is poised for a corrective phase before entering the final leg of this cycle. Traders and analysts should watch the support zone closely, as it could signal the end of wave 4 and the start of wave 5, potentially driving Bitcoin to new all-time highs near 130k USD.
USDCHF Potential Bear Move ?Hey Traders!
In todays analysis USDCHF is displaying what i believe to be a bearish setup. Presenting an opportunity to take advantage of this potential bearish move.
My Observations
Daily supply zone: Price retrace to test 0.89643/0.89148.
Elliot Wave: Are we in a potential EW4 downward move ? Scroll back to Wed 22-5-24 and notice the beginning of the Elliot Wave. Moving forward we can see the completion of EW3 which also encompassed a 5 wave sub wave, highlighted by the blue 5 wave count. Even further forward we can see the potential completion of an EW4 confluence for what i believe to be a negative divergence.
Strategy
The plan is to drill down in to the lower timeframe and look for entries into this move.
Targets to between 0.87936 and 0.87577.
In the context of the higher tf could be a decent swing move. In the case i will be aiming for 0.85920 region.
Triangle forming in wave 4 consuming time before 5th up begins I initially though INDEX:BTCUSD is doing WXY (red counts) correction in wave 4 since W and X were 3-3. But the supposedly Y is shorter than W and X, and the whole pattern is emerging as contracting triangle which makes me think that we are actually doing a ABCDE (green counts) triangle in 4th. So it may not be deep but time consuming. ABC seem to be done and we are in D now so just a matter of time ...
Dow Jones_1HDow Jones index analysis Elliott wave analysis style Completion of five rising waves in Hotah time and the possibility of a downward correction Important resistance 44800 The main and important support is 43,900 Meanwhile, in the long term, any low towards 43900 can be bought for the long term.
LTC Impulse
My primary count considers were currently in blue sub-wave 5 of black 3.
As with most other cryptos, price is very overextended, and even if this uptrend has been very resilient, at some point there has to be a correction, so I'm not a buyer at current levels.
Pullbacks to black wave 4 are buying opportunities.
GOLD → Consolidation. Which way will the momentum go?FX:XAUUSD in consolidation phase. The market is nervous because of misunderstanding of further actions in anticipation of news. What to expect and what can happen?
The US labor market is stronger than expected, but the dollar remained cold amid expectations of more important news. At the moment, there is a 75% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut. But, the dollar is still in demand due to the unstable geopolitical background. At the moment gold depends on the US employment data, ADP and Powell's speech
Bad employment data may increase the probability of further Fed rate cuts in 2025. And vice versa. But, this background is unlikely to create a medium-term potential for gold..... Also, in the perspective of NFP...
Technically, gold is in consolidation and the price exit from the flag boundaries may be accompanied by a strong impulse. The probability of a further fall is a little higher...
Resistance levels: 2651, 2660
Support levels: 2636, 2618
Gold continues to test the support 2636, which only increases the probability of a breakdown and further fall. But on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance before a further fall
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY_2HAnalysis of the Japanese yen symbol Medium-term and important time frame Elliott wave analysis style If in any case the price is above 152,000, this analysis is invalid and the market should be checked and analyzed again. And in the mid-term market, in wave 4, there is an upward correction to the important resistance number of 151.300, and by maintaining this resistance, the wave continues to fall and fall towards the number 148.000 as wave 5 and the last wave of descent in the mid-term time frame.
EURUSD → Consolidating before the news.... FX:EURUSD is in a current downtrend, but there is news ahead and traders are waiting for hints about the US monetary policy. The currency pair has not yet reached the local target...
On D1, the struggle for space continues after the false breakdown of support. Also, the market is still yet to test 1.061 - 1.065 - the key liquidity zone.
Ahead of ADP Nonfarm, PMI and Powell's speech, where, according to analysts, the issue of rates, US monetary policy may come up. Any hints of an aggressive rate cut could reinforce buying in the Euro and selling in the Dollar. However, we can't know this ahead of time, so the market may remain in consolidation until the news.
Resistance levels: 1.0606, 1.0654, 1.076.
Support levels: 1.0448, 1.033
Technically, the currency pair can form an upward momentum to key resistance areas, from which the decline can resume. But, if the price breaks the support and consolidates below 1.044, the decline may start earlier.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
btc didnt dump after all those alt pump..then this can be the case that we are going to consolidate side way and
i would look for ETH to surge and then depends on how it plays out btc can go up or down.
but my previous target for btc was 120k.. so lets see where it bring us. we need to see how it moves at the end of this triangular pattern.
Chevron_CVX_1WChevron shares are active in the field of oil and energy and it is a suitable trading and investment position. This symbol is based on the Elliot waves in the rising wave, which can move to rise for the 5th wave in the long term due to the completion of the 4th correction wave. The suitable range of purchase is 160.00 Target wave 5 pieces 220.00
Wave B up on NIFTY is near completion. Wave C down may unfold ..NSE:NIFTY seem to be completing wave B up of larger ABC down which means the final leg (C down of ABC) should unfold soon. Wave B has done slightly more than 38.2% of 5 wave fall in A and has also reached wave 4 levels. Further, C within B's ABC has achieved 61.8% equality of wave A which is the minimum requirement. I can also count 5 waves up within C of this B's ABC. All of this makes me wonder if B is complete and it's time to switch direction ...