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Elliott Wave

NEAR/USDT trade plan🧠 NEAR/USDT – Potential Wave C Setup (Elliott Wave + Fib Confluence) 📆 Timeframe: 1D | Exchange: BINANCE 🚀 Setup Overview: We are likely entering a bullish Wave C based on the completion of an ABC corrective structure within a larger Elliott Wave pattern. The current price action has pulled back into a key "Area of Interest", aligning with multiple Fibonacci retracement levels, offering an attractive entry opportunity. 🎯 Entry Zone (Buy): Between $2.30 – $2.35 This aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement, a historically strong reversal level. Also within the highlighted Area of Interest, marked by high volume and previous consolidation. 📉 Stop Loss (SL): Set below the 78.6% retracement level: $2.07 A break below this level invalidates the ABC bullish setup. 📈 Target Zones for Wave C: TP1: $3.70 (1.0 Fib Extension – Wave A equal to C) TP2: $4.66 (1.618 Fib Extension – typical Wave C projection) TP3 (Moonshot): $6.20 – $7.75 (2.618–3.618 extension for aggressive continuation)
Long
by HodlAhmad
1
Long on OIL amid Israel-Iran confilctFundamental trends: Israel-Iran conflict does not seem to end soon, Israel might target iranian facilities more Recent insights suggest US involvement which whould lead to oil price rising. Technical trends: Plot seems to develope an Elliot impulse wave with clear 1-3rd waves already built. This suggests the impulse wave must end with rising on 5th wave. Conclution Overall trends tell in favor of future oil prices rising. What do you think about the situation? Please, leave your comments
TVC:USOILLong
by SamuelHuntington
NZDUSD → Correction and liquidity capture ahead of growthFX:NZDUSD , following a sharp decline during the Pacific-Asian session, is testing the support of the upward trend and the liquidity zone... The dollar is correcting amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. This is a temporary move, and the market may return to its main trend. The currency pair is forming a false breakdown of support Against the backdrop of an uptrend and a weak dollar, the currency pair is testing support at 0.6000. The reaction is weak at the moment, but there is a chance for growth if the price consolidates above 0.6020. I do not rule out a retest of the liquidity zone at 0.5989 before growth Support levels: 0.6000, 0.5989 Resistance levels: 0.6068 The inability to continue falling and the formation of a local reversal structure relative to 0.6000 (price consolidation above 0.6020) may support the market. I do not rule out that the market may decline to the liquidity zone of 0.5989 before rising. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
Zambian Kwacha Technical Outlook - A Wave Analysts PerspectiveUSDZMW seems to have reached what appears to be a major market top after completing a classic 5 wave Elliott impulse cycle on the monthly timeframe. This marks the end of a multi-decade bullish structure and signals the beginning of a corrective phase potentially reshaping Zambia’s FX landscape in the medium term. Key Technical Insights: The final Wave 5 peaked at 28.97, followed by a sharp decline to 23.90 (at the time of this publication). A corrective ABC structure is now likely underway with fibonacci based downside targets around: Target 1: $1 = K22.31 – minor correction (23.6%) Target 2: $1 = K18.30 – medium correction (38.2%) Target 3: $1 = K15.05 – deep retracement (50% of the main wave on monthly TF) While various fundamentals, copper prices, debt restructuring and prevailing fiscal policies play a role, this technical setup suggests a strong medium to long term appreciation of the Kwacha is on the cards. We may be witnessing the early stages of a multiyear FX shift. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes ONLY and does not constitute financial advice in any way. Market conditions are subject to change and all trading involves risk.
Short
by Timgucci
1
Dollar In Fifth Wave-Reversal In Trend May Not Be Far Away.The Fed will announce its latest policy decision later, and expectations are that Powell will keep rates on hold, especially after last week's slightly higher inflation print and still solid US jobs data. We can see some stabilization in the US dollar ahead of this event, but we have to keep an eye on geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which coudl also play a key role in driving safe haven flows. Meanwhile, the stock market continues to trade sideways, and I don't expect any major breakouts or strong moves ahead of the Fed. Also, tomorrow is a holiday in the US, so that could contribute to slower market conditions into the end of the week, unless, of course, the situation in the Middle East gets worse. Looking at the DXY waves structure, I see athree-wave move from the most recent lows, so the fourth wave I highlighted a few days ago could now be approaching completion near this week’s key resistance around the 99 level. That’s definitely a level to watch for a potential fresh, but possibly final sell-off toward new lows around 97, maybe even 96. That’s where the DXY could stabilize, as ending diagonal pattern signals that we are likely in the late stages of wave five, meaning this bearish cycle could soon come to an end.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by ew-forecast
IOLCP – Multi-Year Breakout Setup Forming? | Inverse H&S in FocAnalysis: IOL Chem & Pharma is showing signs of life after years of consolidation. A potential inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is forming with a neckline around ₹90–91. 📍 Key Levels: ✅ ₹91 – Breakout level on daily close ⚡ ₹111 – Multi-year breakout confirmation 🛡️ SL: ₹75 (below recent structure) Volume confirmation is critical for breakout sustainability. RSI is nearing bullish territory, supporting possible upside. 🎯 Breakout Target (on confirmation): ₹135–₹150 zone 📌 Watchlist stock – Needs confirmation. Stay alert for price action around ₹91–₹111.
NSE:IOLCP
by Pushpmegh
DeFi Index Completes Irregular Flat Correction; Bulls Back?DeFi Index may have a completed irregular flat correction within an uptrend, which may cause another rally this year, according to Elliott wave theory. Cryptocurrencies are recovering and DeFi Index is now bouncing back above EW channel, so a five-wave impulse into wave (C) of an irregular (A)(B)(C) flat correction in blue wave B can be finished. It means that a higher degree blue wave C can now be in play, which can rally this year all the way back to March 2024 highs. Is this the beginning of an ALTseason? A basic bullish irregular flat correction is a three-wave (A-B-C) pattern where wave B exceeds the start of wave A and wave C dips below wave A before the overall bullish trend resumes.
Long
by ew-forecast
Mixed Signals On GoldIt’s been a while since I’ve posted an idea and for anyone who follows my posts, unfortunately I timed my trades poorly with the bearish pivot so I have taken a step back, and am now seeing some interesting developments happening in the market. For now, I’ll keep it brief. I wanted to post a quick analysis on TVC:GOLD ahead of the rate decision using elements of the Wyckoff method and Elliott Wave. If you asked me a month ago where I thought Gold was heading, I would have said ATH - and while that can still happen, I’m seeing weakness on today’s chart that is worthy of attention. For starters, The A wave established the pullback in a typical 3-wave pattern that mostly stayed within the channel. The bullish breakout was tested twice, so I would interpret it as bullish - however the subsequent flat movement and rejection at resistance suggests that the rise from May 14th could be losing steam. The current price ($3,382) is at a neutral level. From here, we could see several scenarios play out; a false bullish breakout, a true bullish breakout, or a break below the channel to retest demand. Breaking out of the channel could signal a Change of Character (CHoCH), and could indicate that smart money is distributing in a flat pattern. If the price breaks down key level of support would be at the Sign of Weakness (SOW), which has confluence with the extended lines of the Wave A channel. If Gold is set to rise to ATH, I still think it will need to pull back to find large buying volume in the middle of the Wyckoff channel (white rays) first. We will see what happens today, but it’s starting to look like the bears may have the upper hand here.
TVC:GOLD
by ap769
Elliot Wave Count Bitcoin - BTCElliot Wave count BTC. Last wave up could be 1st of 5th wave, but think it's a B wave, in expanded flat wave B can take on an impulsive structure and consist of five waves, allowing it to rise above the starting point of wave A. Supported by Elliot Wave count in Equity where probably wave 5 is also placed. And by latest lower high what could be start of market structure change. Invalidation above more or less 113-116k. Fib.time 0.66 gives turning point on July 6th in confluence with end of wedge. World is mega bullish with lot of fresh Longs (big-time in ETF's) waiting for overnight millions. Lets see how this count works out.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by Helliot_Vermogensbeheer
Beyond the News: Why I Trust the Charts When Trading GoldBased on the current structure, I believe gold is in the fifth wave of a larger Elliott Wave formation. On the higher time frame, the price action appears to be contained within a channel that resembles a leading diagonal pattern—where Wave 1 is typically the longest. From this perspective, I anticipate a potential retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the most recent upward move, or a test of the lower boundary of the channel before a reversal may occur. My trading plan involves two potential entry strategies: Enter at the 0.618 Fib retracement with a stop-loss set near the 0.881 level. Wait for a bounce off the lower channel, followed by a pullback and a breakout above the start of the pullback before entering the position. While no trader can be right all the time, having a structured plan with predefined take-profit and stop-loss levels is key to effective risk management and long-term survival in the markets. Why I Favor Technical Over Fundamental Analysis For those wondering why I rely more on technical analysis—especially Elliott Wave Theory—over fundamental news, here’s my reasoning: I’ve found that news and earnings-based trades often behave irrationally. A company may report strong earnings and guidance, only to see its stock sell off, fake a rally the next day, and then sell off again. Conversely, a company with poor earnings may drop ahead of the report, only to rally immediately after. These inconsistencies made it difficult to build a reliable strategy based solely on fundamental data. Over time, I observed that despite news events, the market often completes its technical structure—such as Elliott Wave formations and Fibonacci cycles—before fully reacting to news. In these cases, fundamental developments tend to accelerate or confirm the direction already implied by the technical setup, rather than override it. Gold is no exception. While it's common to assume that the S&P 500 (ES) and gold move in opposite directions due to risk-on/risk-off dynamics, I’ve noticed that they can trend in the same direction when their respective Elliott Wave structures align. This doesn't eliminate the inverse correlation concept entirely, but it highlights the importance of integrating technical analysis into a fundamentally driven view for more precise entries and exits. Ultimately, I view fundamentals as the fuel, and technicals as the engine that defines the path.
TVC:GOLDLong
by polarity
USDCHF → Retesting resistance will lead to a declineFX:USDCHF , having failed to reach its global target after breaking through support, is turning back to retest the zone of interest at 0.8157. A fall in the dollar could trigger a decline in prices... After breaking through support and falling to 0.8055, a correction is forming towards the zone of interest and liquidity at 0.8157. After reaching the local target, the price may return to the global target (liquidity zone) at 0.8042. The dollar returned to its downward phase at the opening of the session, to which the forex market reacted accordingly. Most likely, bearish pressure may also affect the USDCHF currency pair, which continues to follow the downward trend. Resistance levels: 0.8157 Support levels: 0.8055, 0.8042 A retest of resistance amid high volatility could form a false breakout (liquidity capture) before the decline continues within the downtrend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
AUDJPY Forming A Bullish Set-upAUDJPY is recovering very nicely after touching the 86 support level, which goes back to the 2023 low. That was clearly an important zone from there we’ve seen a sharp and impulsive bounce in the last two months, even breaking above the trendline resistance connected down from the 2024 highs. This breakout suggests that bulls may be back in control and could still drive the pair toward the 98–100 area later this year. If we get a retracement in the near term, keep an eye on the 91.70 - 90.00 zone as potential support. GH
Long
by ew-forecast
GBPUSD – 1 Month Analysis (Long-Term Outlook)Strategy Used: ✔ Smart Money Concept (SMC) ✔ Elliott Wave Theory ✔ Wedge Pattern Breakout --- 🔍 Chart Overview: The pair has completed a classic falling wedge pattern, hinting at a potential long-term bullish reversal. Wave 5 completion suggests the start of a new cycle or correction (ABC). Currently in a buyer-dominated zone, with momentum pushing towards the key supply area (seller zone) marked in blue. A breakout above this zone could indicate continuation toward major highs, while rejection might trigger Wave C or a deeper corrective structure. --- 💡 Key Levels: Immediate Support Zones: 1.2550 - 1.2700 (Buyer's Checkpoint) 1.2000 - 1.2200 (Deeper Buyer Interest) Major Resistance / Supply Zone: 1.5500 - 1.6000 --- 🧠 SMC Perspective: Break of Structure (BoS) confirms bullish intent in multiple zones. Expecting reaction from premium zone – either for continuation or smart money reversal. --- 🌀 Elliott Wave Outlook (Box Inset): Current wave structure hints at a completed 5-wave impulsive decline. Now in early stages of ABC correction. Targeting Wave C to reach the major supply zone in the long-term. --- 📌 Summary: A macro bullish opportunity is unfolding after years of consolidation and impulse decline. Keep eyes on higher timeframe confirmations and reactions at key zones. This chart aligns well with institutional footprints and macro price action logic.
by Greenfireforex