Another drop for SPX500USDHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD made a correction up, broke through the lower Daily/ Weekly FVG and took the liquidity under the low (of blue wave 4). After price closed below the Daily/ Weekly FVG, it became a Balanced price range (BPR).
So next week we could see a correction down and a retest into the Weekly/ Daily BPR.
After that this pair could drop again.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction down and retest into the BPR's. After a change in orderflow to bearish, you could trade shorts.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
Elliott Wave
XAUUSD 23.12.24OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello traders, we are currently in our wave (3) heading towards wave (4) within an ABC correction. Our wave B could either directly transition to wave C or form a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 setup leading to wave C. We have a strong resistance zone at 2620. If we break through this level to the upside, I believe we could see a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 setup. Otherwise, in the case of an ABC correction, we will most likely drop to around the 2300 level. This is both a Fibonacci zone of our (4) wave and the Fib extension take-profit level of our ABC wave.
EU could go lowerHi traders,
Last week EU did exactly what I've said in my outlook.
After a small correction up for wave 2, it dropped and made another correction up into the Daily FVG.
This correction up is now finished, so next week we could see this pair go lower again to finish wave 5 (black).
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bearish on a lower timeframe and trade shorts.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
End of the Bitcoin JourneyAfter not posting for a long time, I finally returned to analyzing the market, namely the Bitcoin market. From the chart here we can see the end of Eliotte, namely stage 5 in the 1 week time frame, which means what? That's right, we are at the end of the Bitcoin bullrun.
OK, I will explain a little about the chart that I made;
First, Bitcoin at the end of this year will reach its highest point at $109k-$119k then will fall slowly but still in the $100k area.
Second, Bitcoin will experience a fairly large decline to $60k- FWB:65K , why is that happening? as Bitcoin has a CME Bitcoin GAP in the $80k-$78k area.
Third, Bitcoin will experience a very large decline in March-April 2025, namely it will touch a price of $43k-$45k, why is that happening? because Bitcoin is currently forming a pattern, namely Head and Shoulders, with a low position between $43k-$48k.
What is next? OK, in my opinion, Bitcoin will hit $100k again in 2027, If;
1. Bitcoin support is strong in the $43k area
2. There is no Global Crisis.
If either happens then Bitcoin will hit $10k again. How is that possible? Yep, we forgot something, namely the CME Bitcoin GAP which is in the $9.8k area.
Maybe this is all I can say, and maybe I'll come back a few months from now.
If you find my explanation useful, don't forget to leave a donation in my Binance account with ID: 36103837 to support my idea. I'll just end it here and say thank you.
Another drop for gold?Hi traders,
Last week XAUUSD made a very small correction up, dropped and took the liquidity under the lows. After it came into the Daily Balanced price range (BPR), it made a correction up into the higher Daily FVG.
Next week we could see price go lower again from here to finish the (orange) A-B-C Zigzag correction.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bearish to trade shorts.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
A small move up and a drop for BitcoinHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin made a new ATH and dropped. Now wave 5 could be finished and we could see a bigger correction down.
Wait for price come into the higher Daily FVG. From there it could drop to the lower Weekly FVG.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for price come into the higher Daily FVG and make a change in orderflow to bearish,
After that you could trade shorts.
If you want to learn more about trading ICT concepts with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
What if Santa is REAL?!Hear me out.
Santa is coming this year.
Let's assume that the correction is over for the Christmas' sake, in a simple ABC zigzag, and we the low set at $1.9 was the local low.
Right now, we could be simply in the beginning of the final impulse in 2024.
From my point of view based on the subwave count, we could be waiting for a wave (3) of the intermediate degree to take out the ATH.
How confident can I be in this scenario and the Santa rally?
Not so much. Unless BTC retakes 100K, stabilizes around there, and the dominance relaxes to allow the altcoin market to breathe, I'd still assume we are range bound in a wedge.
Wave4 is complete, here setup for wave5CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS setup very much same to CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 only difference is level of wave4 retracement - 0.62 compare to regular 0.5 on TOTAL3 that is more common for wave4. But consider that OTHERS consist more meme coins its no surprise it have deeper retrace. Both wave2 and wave4 completed same sized wave correction.
But even with such deep retrace its not overlapping with wave1, thus regular targets as 420B(1.272) or 515B(1.618) are what can be expected based on closed price projection. 1.272 provide reasonable projection and stay within monthly range, but consider fact this index of everything but top10 it can skew on extremes easily.
And there more conservative/alternative way to calculate projection that give us zone of 400B-455B of interest.
Timing wise, last 3 times crypto peaked around December plus minus month. But all previous bulls markets have 24-28 month cycle from lowest monthly bar of bear market. Thus making this December - 24 bar peak on low end and early spring on high end to reach it.
Netflix Is In Process Of Doing Five Waves AdvanceShort Term Elliott Wave view in Netflix ticker symbol: NASDAQ:NFLX suggests that rally from 8.05.2024 low is incomplete & should continue upside. It is showing 3 swing higher since August-2024 low & expect more upside against 11.18.2024 low. It ended 1 at $736 high as diagonal & 2 correction at $669 low. Within 1, it placed ((i)) at $711.33 high, ((ii)) at $660.80 low & ((iii)) at $728 high. Wave ((iv)) ended at $696.43 low & finally ((v)) ended at $736 high as wave 1. Within 2 correction, it placed ((a)) at $699.78 low, ((b)) at $710.24 high & ((c)) at $669 low near 50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.
Above 2 low, it favors upside in wave 3 in another 5 waves impulse sequence. Whereas wave ((i)) ended at $773 high, wave ((ii)) ended at $744.26 low. Wave ((iii)) ended at $841 high, wave ((iv)) ended at $804.30 low and wave ((v)) at $941.75 high. Below from there, the stock made a pullback in wave 4 to correct the cycle from 10.17.2024 low. The internals of that pullback unfolded as Elliott wave double three structure where wave ((w)) ended at $909.61 low in a lesser degree 3 waves.
A bounce to $928.94 high ended wave ((x)) and started the ((y)) leg lower towards $896.73- $876.79 blue box area where buyers were expected to appear. Since then the stock has reacted higher from the blue box area allowed longs to get into a risk free position. Therefore ended wave 4 pullback at $881.01 within the blue box area. Near-term, as far as dips remain above $881.01 low and more importantly above $804.46 low the stock is expected to resume the upside in wave 5. For minimum extension target towards $956.38- $979.68 area higher (inverse 123.6%- 161.8% Fib extension of wave 4). Before ending the cycle from 8.05.2024 low in 5 waves advance & making a pullback.
USDJPY Wave Analysis 23 December 2024
- USDJPY reversed from key support level 156.35
- Likely to rise to resistance level 158.00
USDJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the key support level 156.35 (former resistance from November, acting as she support after it was broken last week).
The upward reversal from the support level 156.35 continues the active minor impulse waves iii and 3 – both of which belong to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of December.
USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 158.00, the breakout of which can lead to further gains toward 160.00.
MI - sector TECHNOLOGY may be moving upExpect a deep wave 2 retracement, but for now seems like small retracement, rebound at MA 200
Current price shows MYR 2.24 (+3.23%) with key support at MYR 2.01 and resistance at MYR 2.67. The stock has formed a bullish trend since October 2024, showing higher lows and higher highs.
Technical indicators show:
Price trading above both short-term and long-term moving averages, indicating bullish momentum
Strong volume activity supporting recent price movements
Green momentum bars in the lower indicator suggesting positive sentiment
Upward trend channel formation with price respecting the lower trendline as support
Key levels to watch:
Immediate resistance: MYR 2.67
Current support: MYR 2.01
Price currently consolidating near MYR 2.24
The stock has recovered from its September 2024 lows and appears to be in a recovery phase with improving technical indicators. The presence of higher lows and sustained trading above moving averages suggests continued bullish sentiment in the near term.
Volume analysis indicates strong participation on upward moves, lending credibility to the current recovery. Traders should watch for a potential breakout above MYR 2.67 for further upside momentum.