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Elliott Wave

House of Cards - $585 before the crashHouse of Cards - $585 before the crash I'm unable to update my previous idea that I originally posted in February when AMEX:SPY was at the top. Going to make this brief and will add screenshots and additional notes once the structure of Wave (B) is confirmed or invalidated. On the 500R chart ($5), the price has risen in a distinct 3-wave pattern labelled A-B-C, with C reaching the 1.236 extension of A and finding resistance at the 100SMA (yellow). The low of Wave (A) respected the boundary of the lower line of the regression trend I have added to the chart. While this trend started prior to what I am considering Wave (A), I still think it provides a good target for the top of the retracement. Wave (c) of A of (B) (still following me?) is not confirmed as complete yet. It could extend as far as $584 without pulling back, however I anticipate the market building more liquidity on the way up while burning options in the process. I bought 3/28 $570p at the end of the day in case we see a 50%-61.8% pullback to $560-$563 by the end of the week. If that happens, we should have enough room to reach the upper band at $585, which would be a little over a 50% retracement of Wave (A). This would also cause the price to touch the 200 SMA (green), which is common in the first major retracement of a bear market. Lastly, from a psychological perspective, the market reached an overwhelmingly bearish consensus from mid-February to mid-March. Sentiment during Wave (a) was mostly bearish, but sentiment has shifted positive since the price entered Wave (c) and gapped up on Monday, resulting in a >+1% day. This sets the stage for a rug pull and subsequent bear trap for late sellers who will assume the downtrend has resumed prematurely. We'll see how this plays out. I'll switch to calls if a higher high is made Wednesday 3/26. Good luck to all.
AMEX:SPY
by ap769
4
To the moon? Hang on a second...I'm reluctant to jump to a conclusion on this count as yet, but it certainly looks like that centre line strike is as much as we get. I can't imagine there would be as big an announcement possible as American Bitcoin, with Eric T "all in ". Well, seems like moon it is then, but nothing wrong with some skepticism nonetheless. I'm not convinced it can't still get down to that 41k ish level although it might be wishful thinking. Maybe more realistic is an accumulation around here plus or minus 5k or so, while it rolls around the converging daily moving averages, perhaps even with another spikey test of the 75k region. Losing that level would be great for a 41k superbuy, with 59 another potential barrier on the way to it. If break outs to the upside happen, there will always be a back test to look for good buying opportunities. 41k though one time please thanks
INDEX:BTCUSD
by JCore7
SOLUSDT | Elliott Wave Projection – Next big Move Incoming 50%+BINANCE:SOLUSDT The chart is probably currently developing a five-wave impulsive structure (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5), suggesting a potential bullish movement towards the 174-175 USD resistance zone before a larger correction unfolds. 📈 Bullish Setup: - A corrective A-B-C structure seems complete, with a potential impulsive wave (1)-(5) forming. - Price is reacting at a strong demand zone, initiating Wave (1) upwards. - Possible target for Wave (5) lies near **174-175 USD**. 📉 Bearish Continuation Afterwards - After reaching the projected high, expect a sharp rejection and reversal. - The final bearish target lies within the "End of Bear" zone (~108-109 USD). --- ### 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ First Bullish Target: ~174-175 USD ⚠️ Critical Support Zone: 108-109 USD --- ### 📌 **Trading Plan:** 1️⃣ Long Opportunity: If price respects the current support, target Wave (3)-(5) completion near 174 USD. 2️⃣ Short Confirmation: If price rejects at resistance, a larger bearish wave is expected. 3️⃣ Final Bear Target: 108-109 USD zone for possible long-term support. 🚨 Risk Management: - Stop-loss below 111 USD for longs. - Wait for confirmation before shorting after rejection. 💬 What do you think? Will SOL hit 175 USD before the final drop? Comment below!
Long
by ElliotXSolana
NVDA’s Final Act: A Breakout Waiting to HappenNVDA appears to be nearing the completion of its corrective phase, setting the stage for a potential move to new highs. The current pattern resembles a falling wedge, indicative of an ending diagonal formation, which often signals a reversal and the start of an upward trend. The structure of the corrective channel, along with the termination of the diagonal pattern, suggests a high likelihood of a running flat formation. Buyers are likely to intensify demand pressure as the price approaches the lower boundary of the trendline. A trend reversal may occur if there is a decisive breakout above the Wave 4 level of the ending diagonal. Buying opportunity with minimal stop is possible after the reversal from lower side of the channel. Targets can be 112 - 120 - 132 - 140. I'll be sharing more details shortly.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Money_Dictators
BTC - Elliott Wave Impulse and Corrective StructureThis chart illustrates an Elliott Wave pattern on BTCUSDT in the 4-hour timeframe. The market initially completed a 5-wave impulse move to the upside, labeled as (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5), signaling a strong bullish trend. Following the completion of Wave (5), a corrective ABC structure has begun, indicating a potential retracement phase. - The 5-wave impulse structure suggests a completed bullish cycle. - Wave (A) marks the initial corrective decline, followed by a recovery in Wave (B). - Wave (C) is in progress, likely targeting lower levels before a potential reversal or continuation of the trend. Traders should watch key support and resistance levels to identify potential reversal zones or continuation patterns. If BTC finds strong support at a key level, it could indicate a buying opportunity for the next bullish wave. Conversely, a deeper breakdown could confirm extended correction. Always apply proper risk management and confirm setups with additional technical indicators.
Short
by wdstrades
15
S&P 500 to tank to 5,100 pointsPEPPERSTONE:US500 The S&P 500 broke below critical support after Trump announce massive tariffs on everyone, worst than expected. Volume is increasing to the downside, and it looks like the next wave down has already started. Wave C is supposed to be equal or larger than wave A, and reach the next critical support, which will lead us to 5,100 points in the next couple of weeks. I heard that net tariffs on China are 54%, does than means that iPhones are going to rise in price 54%? Maybe it will be reconsidered later, and the market will bounce in the future, but not likely in the short term. Good luck to you
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by Raul_Dominguez
Cable Is Trading Impulsively HigherCable is making a very nice and strong extension higher on the 4-hour time frame, so it appears to be impulsive. We should be aware of further upside, especially as the market has broken out of a base channel, which typically happens within wave three of three. In fact price is now even higher after a triangle in wave four so wave 5 of red (3) is in progress as expected, but it can target 1.32, so be aware of a new red higher degree wave (4) correction before the bullish trend for wave (5) resumes. Ideal support is at 1.29 – 1.28 area.
by ew-forecast
Gold --> Consolidation before the news. Increase trendOANDA:XAUUSD entering a strong growth phase after a false breakout from support as part of the correction process. The previous high at 3127 is now acting as a robust support for buyers. Strong news is about to be released... Fundamentally, the market is shifting towards defensive assets amid speculation from the WSJ that Trump is considering imposing global tariffs of up to 20% on most of the United States' trading partners while rejecting plans to scale back tariffs. This could create inflationary pressure and stagnation, weakening the dollar and bond yields, thus supporting gold prices. Central banks and investors continue to build positions in gold, but there may be some adjustments before the announcement of tariffs and the release of U.S. economic data. Theoretically, any reaction to U.S. data is likely to be short-lived, as the main event risk on the so-called 'Liberation Day' is Trump's major tariff revelation. The strong resistance level is at 3135. A breakout and consolidation above this level would foster continued growth. However, given the upcoming news, gold may test the area of interest and liquidity between 3025-3020 before further advancing.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by AdrianBennett
The analysis focuses on the short-term to medium-term timeframe.The analysis focuses on the short-term to medium-term timeframe. Tug-of-War Between Bulls and Bears: At the current price of 157.04, the market is in a tug-of-war between buyers (bulls) and sellers (bears). Bulls are defending key support levels near 152.48 (Fibonacci 100% retracement of Wave C) and 154.34 (Expanded Flat target). A hold above these levels could signal a potential reversal. Bears are attacking resistance levels at 160.31 (Fibonacci 100% projection of Wave C) and 162.82 (Expanded Flat target). A break below 152.48 could accelerate downward momentum. Recent Price History: The market has been in a downtrend recently, with the price dropping from 191.18 (July 10, 2024) to 157.04. Key Fibonacci levels (e.g., 161.8% retracement at 159.84) and Elliott Wave patterns (e.g., Diagonal Ending Downward Candidate) have guided this decline. Momentum indicators (e.g., RSI at 47.51) suggest the downtrend may be losing steam, but the MACD histogram turning positive hints at a potential short-term bounce. Current Sentiment (Technical & News): Technical Indicators: Mixed signals. RSI (47.51) is neutral, while MACD shows a bullish crossover (histogram turning positive). The price is below key moving averages (e.g., 200-day SMA at 167.35), indicating a bearish bias. News Sentiment: Mixed to slightly negative. Ad revenue pressures and regulatory risks weigh on sentiment, but long-term growth catalysts (AI, cloud) provide optimism. Analysts maintain a "Buy" rating despite near-term challenges. Synthesis: The technical picture aligns with the news—short-term bearishness (price below MAs, ad revenue concerns) but potential for a reversal if support holds (undervaluation, bullish MACD). Key Levels & Momentum: The price is currently below the 50-day SMA (161.89) and 200-day SMA (167.35), signaling bearish dominance. Momentum is fading (RSI neutral, Stochastic not oversold), but the MACD histogram suggests a possible short-term bounce. 2. Elliott Wave Analysis (Contextualized to Current Price) Relevant Elliott Wave Patterns: Diagonal Ending Downward Candidate (Valid): Suggests the downtrend may be nearing completion, with Wave 5 potentially ending near 152.48-154.34 (Fibonacci 100% projection). Expanded Flat Upward Candidate (Potentially Valid): If the price holds above 152.48, this pattern could signal a corrective rally toward 162.82. Wave Count vs. Indicators/Sentiment: The Diagonal Ending pattern contradicts the bearish news sentiment but aligns with oversold technicals (RSI, MACD). This divergence suggests a potential reversal if support holds. The Expanded Flat pattern would confirm a bullish reversal if the price breaks above 160.31. Near-Term Projections: Downside: A break below 152.48 could extend losses to 148.36 (161.8% Fibonacci projection). Upside: A hold above 152.48 and break above 160.31 could target 162.82 (Expanded Flat target) and 167.35 (200-day SMA). 3. Strategy Derivation (Realistic, Actionable NOW, News Considered) Primary Strategy: WAIT (due to conflicting signals). Why Wait? The technical setup is mixed (bullish MACD vs. bearish MAs), and news sentiment is neutral-to-negative. The upcoming Q1 earnings could add volatility. If Price Holds Support (152.48-154.34): BUY with confirmation (e.g., break above 160.31). Entry Zone: 154.34-156.13 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement). Stop-Loss: 151.44 (below recent low). Take Profit: TP1 at 160.31 (Fibonacci 100%), TP2 at 162.82 (Expanded Flat target). Risk/Reward: ~1:2 for TP1. If Price Breaks Below Support (152.48): SELL with confirmation (e.g., break below 150.06). Entry Zone: 152.48-151.44. Stop-Loss: 154.34 (above support). Take Profit: TP1 at 148.36 (161.8% Fibonacci), TP2 at 145.90 (Wave 5 projection). News Context Check: Earnings uncertainty and ad revenue pressures favor caution. Reduce position size if trading. 4. Trade Setup (Actionable, Realistic, News Aware) Direction: WAIT (watch key levels). Key Levels to Watch: Upside: 160.31 (breakout confirmation). Downside: 152.48 (breakdown confirmation). News Reminder: Be mindful of Q1 earnings and ad revenue trends. 5. Summary Section ✅ Investor / Long-Term Holder Summary: Key Support: 152.48 (accumulation zone if held). Long-Term Outlook: Undervalued (DCF: $260 vs. $157). Focus on AI/cloud growth. Action: Wait for pullback to 152.48 or break above 167.35 (200-day SMA).
NASDAQ:GOOGLShort
by samibelca
USDT.D - The dominance of real moneyThe dominance of the dollar over cryptocurrencies is a real indicator of the growth status of ETH! The last wave of correction and decline is happening now! Pay attention to the accumulation zone before the Bitcoin price drops/inflates. Money is being transferred to BTC=>ETH=>ALT=>USDT=>BTC and so on in a circle, during the active participation phase of DOU, money is being transferred to ETH and beyond, so be vigilant In addition, I would like to draw your attention to the BTC.D indicator.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by SHARK1318
CME Gap Target: Is Bitcoin Headed for $80K!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the important Support zone($84,120_$81,500) , and on the 1-hour time frame , Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($82,360_$82,000) and the lower line of the ascending channel (small) . Overall, Bitcoin has started another downtrend after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel (big) . Since trading volume is generally low on Saturdays and Sundays , it is unlikely that the important Support zone($84,120_$81,500) will be broken before the financial markets open . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed the main wave 3 at $81,644 and is currently completing microwave C of the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 will most likely have a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . In general, the financial markets and US indices such as TVC:DJI , SP:SPX CME_MINI:NQ1! were not in a good state last week , and this trend will most likely continue next week . The tariffs that Donald Trump is imposing on countries around the world, as well as the turbulent situation in the Middle East , will all lead to the possibility of a fall in Bitcoin and other financial markets in the coming days. I expect Bitcoin to make at least a temporary increase to $83,200 and then next target the Resistance zone($84,380_$83,580) and the upper line of the ascending channel before starting to fall and attack the important Support zone($84,120_$81,500) and also fill the CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) . Note: If Bitcoin breaks above the Resistance zone($84,380_$83,580), we can expect more pumping. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
35
A Closer Look at Bitcoin's Elliot Wave PatternHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the Bitcoin chart using Elliot Waves. Our approach will involve using Elliot Wave theory and structures, which involve multiple possibilities. The analysis we present here focuses on one potential scenario that seems possible to us. Please note that this information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered trading advice or investment tips. There's a risk of being completely wrong, so never trade based solely on this post. We're not responsible for any profits or losses. Individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Now, let's discuss the Bitcoin chart. On the daily chart, we can see that a black primary degree wave has completed its ((4th)) wave, and the ((5th)) wave has started. Within the fifth wave, an intermediate degree wave is unfolding, which will have its own set of waves (1), (2), (3), (4), (5). The primary black degree wave five will be complete once the intermediate degree wave is finished. We've drawn accounts on the chart, illustrating the entire structure, including the nearest invalidation level at around $76,666 and the real invalidation level below $50,000. I hope this analysis based on Elliot Wave theory has helped you understand the chart better and learn something new. Please keep in mind that this is for educational purposes only. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by RK_Chaarts
14
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Analysis – Elliott Wave Review Current Wave Progression: Wave (5) is in progress, with the sub-waves (i), (ii), (iii) already formed. The market seems to be in wave (iv), a minor corrective pullback before another rally toward wave (v). Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,150 - $3,180 → Possible target for wave (v) if the uptrend continues. Support: $3,100 → Key level to maintain bullish momentum. $3,040 - $3,060 → Deeper pullback zone if wave (iv) extends further. Trading Outlook ✅ Bullish Scenario: If wave (iv) holds above $3,100, a continuation to $3,150 - $3,180 is likely. A breakout above $3,140 confirms wave (v) progression. ⚠️ Bearish Risk: A break below $3,100 could indicate a deeper correction. Below $3,060, bullish momentum weakens.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ew_17i
NIFTY50.....Box trading?Hello Traders, the NIFTY50 has seen a massive sell-off during Monday's session. It declined from a high @ 23483.70 to a low @ 23221.15 in the first trading hour. That was a huge sell-off, off about 227.15 points. It collapsed below my favored sell-off level @ 23462 and opened the door to more selling pressure, as it touched my price range from 23289 to 23196 by some points. Chart analysis: On March 24th the index achieved a 2.0 Fibo-extension @ 23869.60 points. This was a peak! Since the index is in a corrective mode, and possibly has shown a w-x-y correction, that has chances to morph into a triple correction. Shorthand I expect a test off the lower boundary of the box, ranging @ 23038 points. N50 has the option to show a wave 4 of lower degree and decline than to a wave 5 low below today's low. But step by step. First, I'd like to check tomorrow's pattern and judge that. The bulls need a massive buying pressure to achieve the range of 23414 to 23646.45 points. Well Traders..... That's it for a short note. Have a great week.... Ruebennase Please ask or comment as appropriate. Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
NSE:NIFTY
by ruebennase
3
DOTUSD dailyThe price action suggests that a corrective wave might have completed its lower leg, and we could be entering the impulsive wave phase of a bullish cycle. Look for the formation of a five-wave structure typical of Elliott Wave theory, where the upward waves push through resistance levels and the corrective waves provide buying opportunities. Given the breakout above the descending trendline and the potential for a bullish wave structure, the current setup appears favorable for a buy, provided that support at $6 holds and volume confirms the upward move. However, maintain caution with appropriate risk management measures in place.
COINBASE:DOTUSD
by SaberKhEs