Elliott Wave
Gold (XAU/USD) Elliott Wave Analysis – Potential for Further UpsGold (XAU/USD) Elliott Wave Analysis – Potential for Further Upside?
Market Overview
The chart represents a 1-hour timeframe of Gold (XAU/USD) with an Elliott Wave analysis. The price is currently trading around $3,085, showing a strong bullish trend.
Wave Structure Breakdown
The chart highlights a five-wave impulse structure following Elliott Wave Theory.
Wave (1) and (2): The initial push upwards followed by a corrective retracement.
Wave (3): A strong bullish continuation, confirming an extended impulse move.
Wave (4): A consolidation phase forming a bullish flag/pennant, signaling a potential continuation.
Wave (5): The final leg of the impulse wave is currently unfolding, with a projected target around $3,120 - $3,140 (based on measured move projections).
Key Technical Insights
Trendline Support: The price is respecting the ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
Measured Move Projection: A 3.12% increase aligns with previous wave projections.
Potential Reversal Zone: If wave (5) completes near $3,120-$3,140, a corrective ABC retracement could follow.
Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario: Traders can consider long positions on pullbacks within the channel, targeting the $3,120-$3,140 resistance zone.
Bearish Scenario: A break below the channel support could indicate the beginning of a corrective move.
Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with wave (5) nearing its completion. Traders should monitor price action near $3,120-$3,140 for potential profit-taking or a trend continuation confirmation.
More down for BitcoinHi traders,
Last week I've said in my outlook for Bitcoin that it could be making a leading diagonal (wave 1) or we could see another move down (ending diagonal blue wave c).
Price could not stay above the higher bearish Daily FVG, dropped and made another bearish Daily FVG.
So now we could see a small pullback up into the Daily FVG and after that more downside.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a correction up and a change in orderflow to bearish again to trade shorts.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
More upside for goldHi traders,
It's a shame that my outlooks doesn't reach a lot of people. Many could benefit from it in my opinion.
I don't think there are many more chartists with this kind of accuracy.
For example, XAUUSD did exactly what I've said in my outlook last week. On Tuesday it made the change in orderflow (Ch) to bullish and on Thursday there were many trade possibilities for this pair.
Now for next week we could see (a little) more upside.
So let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
This doesn't look good for SPX500USDHi traders,
The price action of SPX500USD last week went exactly as what I've said in my outlook.
I said we could see a (corrective) upmove to the higher Weekly FVG. It depends if the upmove is corrective or impulsive what would be the move after that.
But also fundamentally we could see more longer term downside for this pair.
Price went corrective up, rejected from the Weekly FVG higher and dropped!
So next week we could see more downside for this pair.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction up on a lower timeframe to trade shorts.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EU finished the bullish correctionHi traders,
Last weeks prediction of EU was again spot on. After the pullback finished (orange wave 4) into the Weekly BPR, price rejected and went up again.
So next week we could see EU go up more to break the swing high.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to see more of my analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
BITCOIN → Break of the bullish structure. Moving to 78-68KBINANCE:BTCUSD has been slowly recovering for the last two weeks, but failed to overcome the resistance. The bears held the trend. The price is breaking the local bullish structure and preparing for a strong fall.
Bitcoin's fundamental background is weak, expectations were not met by the crypto summits, nor by any major announcements or hints of a crypto reserve. The crypto community still didn't get what they expected from Trump. The strong drop was triggered by the SP500 index falling, driven by rising inflation, reduced consumer pressure and new trade tariffs. These factors have contributed to increased uncertainty in the markets, prompting investors to move to safer assets such as gold and government bonds
Technically, the price has been in consolidation (correction channel) for two weeks and after breaking the support of the figure, the price entered the realization phase within the global downtrend.
Resistance levels: 85300, 86350, 89400
Support levels: 83600, 81270, 79980, 78100
Emphasis on the support at 83600. The price fixing under this zone may provoke further fall to 80-78K. But I do not exclude the fact that a small correction to the zone of interest is possible (to capture liquidity) before a further fall to the previously identified key zones of interest.
Regards R. Linda!
15-Min Bitcoin Setup – Quick Scalping Opportunity?First of all, I must say that this is a short-term analysis in a 15-minute time frame . Please be careful .
Let's take risks while respecting capital management. Be sure to respect capital management.
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading in the support zone($84,120_$81,500) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) near the lower line of the ascending channel .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin could complete its 5 bearish waves near the lower line of the ascending channel .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to be able to rise to at least $85,400.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $86,397_$85,760
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $84,262_$83,336
Note: One of the reasons for Bitcoin's decline is the decline in US indices such as CME_MINI:NQ1! , SP:SPX , and TVC:DJI .
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $83,000, we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Going Long on ETH with 100x Leverage !Alright, let’s talk about a high-probability setup that I’m trading right now—long ETH, stop-loss at $1,935, take-profit at $2,300. This isn’t just a random entry; it’s based on a super reliable pattern called a Running Flat.
What’s a Running Flat?
A Running Flat is a repetitive market structure that occurs all the time—so often, it feels like an infinite money glitch. It plays out nearly 90% of the time, making it one of the easiest and most profitable patterns to trade.
Think of it like a market cheat code:
📌 It traps early shorts
📌 It creates liquidity for smart money
📌 It explodes in the direction of the trend
And when you spot it? You take the trade, set your stop, and let the magic happen.
Why This ETH Trade?
We’ve got a textbook Running Flat formation
The market is primed for a breakout
The EW 2.0 model confirms the setup
Risk is tightly managed (SL at $1,935 means no overexposure)
100x Leverage – High Risk, High Reward
I know what you’re thinking: 100x leverage? Are you crazy? Well, maybe a little. But when you’re trading a setup with a 90% win rate, it’s all about maximizing opportunity while keeping risk under control. Tight stop, big reward. Simple.
The Trade Plan
✅ Go long ETH
✅ Stop-loss: $1,935 (discipline matters)
✅ Take-profit: $2,300 (targeting the move)
✅ Risk-reward: Favorable and repeatable
Final Thoughts
If this trade works, it’s another example of why Running Flats are pure magic. If it doesn’t? No big deal—we trade the next one.
But history says… we’re about to print money. Let’s see if the infinite money glitch delivers again. 🚀
Hang Seng Short: Expecting Wave 2 of 3 and 3 of 3Hang Seng had been amazingly resilient on Friday, falling much lesser than the US indices. However, I believe it is just lagging by 1 impulse wave.
If you have seen my last few updates on the wave counts, you will know that I counted completion of wave 3 of 3 for the tech stocks and that Nasdaq itself is nearing the target completion of 5 waves of wave 3 (now on wave 4 of 3). Thus, to me, Hang Seng is lagging by 1 impulse wave.
Back to this analysis, for the last down wave on Friday, you will see that I've plotted a purple minute wave with the 5th wave further broken down into orange minuette waves. The orange minuette wave is only on it's 4th wave. However, I believe that we might not actually see a proper wave draw by price movement. I propose that the fifth wave will be unseen. How so?
Gap down on Monday opening (marking the end of minuette wave 5) and then a shallow retracement up that is likely to happen during the 1st hour of HK trading session to complete purple minute wave 2 before we see Hang Seng crashing for a wave 3. It might be similar to what happened to Nikkei on Friday's Japan trading hours.
Good luck!
MEWUSDT → False breakout of resistance after distributionBINANCE:MEWUSDT.P in the distribution phase is testing a strong resistance and liquidity zone against which it makes a false breakout.
Regarding the current situation, we should pay attention to several key levels - support and upper resistance. A retest of 0.00300 - 0.00312 is possible, the target of which could be another liquidity zone, before MEW continues its fall according to the current local and global trend, which have a common direction on the background of weak bitcoin and weak cryptocurrency market.
Resistance levels: 0.002793, 0.003, 0.00312
Support levels: 0.002696
The key support area plays the role of 0.002696, which are trying to contain the market. Below this line is a free zone and there are no levels that can prevent the movement. Thus, the breakdown and consolidation of the price under 0.026969 can provoke a strong impulse towards the zones of interest 0.00222, 0.002
Regards R. Linda!
LAYERUSDT → Far retest of key resistance at 1.400BINANCE:LAYERUSDT.P is forming a realization within the uptrend. The coin is stronger than the market, but the initial reaction to the strong resistance at 1.400 may be in the form of a false breakout and a pullback to 1.275 or 0.5 fibo
Since the opening of the session, LAYERUSDT has passed the daily ATR, but after reaching the resistance, the coin may not have the potential to continue rising. Liquidity above the 1.400 level may hold this area and prevent the coin from breaking through this zone the first time around.
Bitcoin is testing trend resistance at this time and could likely form a rebound or a continuation of the decline, which could affect altcoins accordingly!
Resistance levels: 1.400
Support levels: 1.2932, 1.2747, 0.5 fibo
BUT ! Everything depends on the price reaction at 1.400. A sharp and distributive approach with 90% probability will end in a false breakout and correction to the mentioned targets.
But, if LAYER starts to slow down and consolidate in front of the level, an attempt of breakout and struggle above 1.400 is possible and further movement will depend on it.
Regards R. Linda!
Short-Term Upside Potential in Palm OilPalm Oil (FCPO1!) is expected to strengthen in the short term as part of wave b of wave (ii), with a potential test of the 4,525–4,771. However, caution is advised for a possible reversal toward the 4,235–3,973 range to complete wave c of (ii), as indicated by the black labels.
Meta Short: Wave 4 then Wave 5 (Price Taget: $549.50)Update on Meta Elliott Wave counts. While I was right on the last wave up move last time in Feb, I was early by one week for the peak. I left the previous short targets (SL and TP) as a reference and reminder to my mistake in making an early call.
What I expect is that price will range for a short while in wave 4 before coming down as wave 5 on a price target between $549.18 (a historical support price) and $549.83 (old target). The mid point is $549.50 and thus the final price target.
MSFT Short to Neutral: Last Wave 5 of 3 (Target: $364)A video update to Elliott Wave Counts and Price target for MSFT (and Nasdaq).
A summary:
1. Intermediate wave 3 of 3 has ended.
2. Intermediate wave 4 of 3 has ended in a double combination.
3. We are in Minor wave 3 of Intermediate wave 5 of Primary wave 3.
4. Using Fibonacci Extension from Minor wave 1 of against overall Intermediate wave 5 gives us a target of $364, which is within a support zone. This is the Primary Wave 3 completion target.
5. Using Nasdaq, we also noted that we still have a little bit more to our final target.