NIFTY50.....Believe what you see!Hello Traders,
the NIFTY50 isn`t done yet!
This is the main meaning!
A drop below the 23263 level , on an hourly baisi at minimum, opens the door to lower levels!
One formidable price target should be around 218xx to 22670 range. Lower targets exist.
Recall! Waves four of every degree always come back to a wave four of lower degrees. In this case, the chance has been given to much lower lows as well!
In fact; the bulls need to recover to 24857 to0 create a new buy signal ahead. For this scenario there is no potential ahead.
If this high (24857) was indeed the high, keep in mind, that a wave "x" always turns out to be a waves (a-b-1-2-3-4-5) y! So, there is much more room to decline.
As before! A drop below 23263 opens the door to lower levels!
One uödate is just around the corner!
I wish all my followers and readers a peacefull years end, joy and happynes and a great time to everyone!
Have a great time.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
Elliott Wave
Elliott Wave View: Dow Futures (YM) Looking for Double CorrectioShort Term Elliott Wave view of Dow Futures (YM) is looking for a larger degree correction against cycle from 3.15.2023 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing. Rally to 45183 ended cycle from 3.15.2023 low as wave ((3)) per 1 hour chart below. Wave ((4)) pullback is now in progress to correct that cycle. Internal subdivision of wave ((4)) is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((3)), wave A ended at 43941 and wave B rally ended at 44556. Wave C lower ended at 42496 which completed wave (W) in higher degree.
Rally in wave (X) unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (W), wave A ended at 43663 and wave B ended at 42928. Wave C higher ended at 43746 which completed wave (X). The Index has turned lower in wave (Y), but it still needs to break below wave (W) at 42496 to validate this view. Near term, as far as pivot at 45183 high stays intact, expect the Index to extend lower. Potential target for wave (Y) lower is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave (W). This area comes at 39403 – 41060 area where buyers can appear for more upside or 3 waves rally at least.
BTC, clear H&S top - more down to comeIt looks as though we have a head and shoulders top in play with BTC. Left, head and right are clearly marked on the diagram. If, the red neckline should be broken then we go down to the 70s which will present a wonderful buying opportunity for those who are not in or want to buy a little more. Long-term, we're still very much on the upward trend but be careful if you have any day trades for longs as the most likely probable outcome is down. Follow for more.
What if Santa is REAL?!Hear me out.
Santa is coming this year.
Let's assume that the correction is over for the Christmas' sake, in a simple ABC zigzag, and we the low set at $1.9 was the local low.
Right now, we could be simply in the beginning of the final impulse in 2024.
From my point of view based on the subwave count, we could be waiting for a wave (3) of the intermediate degree to take out the ATH.
How confident can I be in this scenario and the Santa rally?
Not so much. Unless BTC retakes 100K, stabilizes around there, and the dominance relaxes to allow the altcoin market to breathe, I'd still assume we are range bound in a wedge.
SENDAI will it reach 1.05?Looking at the chart for Eversendai Corporation Berhad, here's my analysis:
Current Price Action:
- Trading at RM0.685, up 3.79%
- Breaking out of a consolidation pattern
- Price above all major moving averages
Elliott Wave Analysis:
- Completed waves (I) through (IV)
- Currently entering wave (V)
- Price target for wave (V) at RM0.925 (0.786 Fibonacci level)
Key Technical Levels:
1. Support:
- Major support at RM0.500
- Stop loss level identified at RM0.215 (31.39% below current price)
- Moving averages providing dynamic support around RM0.585
2. Resistance:
- Immediate target at RM0.820 (0.618 Fibonacci)
- Ultimate target at RM1.05 (1.0 Fibonacci)
- Secondary resistance at RM0.750 (0.5 Fibonacci)
Trade Setup:
- Risk/Reward ratio: 1.7
- Target: RM0.865 (53.28% upside)
- Stop loss: RM0.215
- Current position showing good profit potential
Volume Analysis:
- Recent increase in volume supporting breakout
- Money flow indicator turning positive
- Green volume bars suggesting accumulation
Notable Events:
- September 2024: MYR297.855M (+25.32%)
- June 2024: MYR237.67M (-529.76%)
HUPSENG will it create a leading Diagonal wave or ENDING?Looking at the chart for Hup Seng Industries Berhad, here's my analysis:
Current Price Action:
- Trading at RM0.780, up 1.96%
- Currently in an uptrend channel
- Price holding above key moving averages
Elliott Wave Analysis:
- Currently appears to be in Wave (IV) of a larger structure
- Previous waves (I), (II), and (III) clearly visible
- Potential for Wave (V) targeting RM1.37 (1.272 Fibonacci level)
Key Technical Levels:
1. Support:
- Strong support at RM0.915 (0.786 Fibonacci)
- Channel support around RM1.00
- Moving averages providing dynamic support
2. Resistance:
- RM1.20 (0.236 Fibonacci level)
- RM1.30 (previous high)
- Upper channel resistance around RM1.25
Pattern Analysis:
- Trading within an ascending channel
- Series of higher highs and higher lows
- ABC correction pattern visible within Wave (IV)
Volume Profile:
- Recent volume supporting the upward movement
- Money flow indicator showing accumulation
- Green volume bars indicating buying pressure
Notable Events:
- September 2024: MYR15.27M (-15.78%)
- Consistent recovery pattern since June 2023
p/s take profit first +-rm3180@27.46%
NGRV 34% Profit is possible but Risk Reward Ratio is not good
Current Price Action:
- Trading at $2.47, up 4.78%
- Breaking out from a recent consolidation pattern
- Showing first signs of trend reversal after extended downtrend
Elliott Wave Analysis:
- Appears to be completing Wave IV of a larger structure
- Triangle pattern forming within Wave IV
- Potential for Wave V upward movement targeting $3.85 (1.618 Fibonacci level)
Key Technical Levels:
1. Support:
- Major support at $1.60 (recent lows)
- Triangle pattern support around $2.00
- Moving averages providing dynamic support
2. Resistance:
- $2.36 (0.236 Fibonacci level)
- $2.61 (0.786 Fibonacci level)
- $3.34 (1.272 Fibonacci extension)
Volume Analysis:
- Recent volume increase supporting the breakout
- Bottom indicator showing improving momentum
- Volume pattern suggests accumulation phase
Trading Considerations:
- Breakout from triangle pattern suggests bullish momentum
- Stop loss could be placed below triangle support ($2.00)
- Risk/reward appears favorable for long positions
Potential Risks:
- Stock has been in long-term downtrend
- Needs to maintain above breakout level
- Historical volatility suggests tight stop losses needed
Bitcoin - Ultimate profit target in 2025 (sell here!)Bitcoin is in a final stage of its bullish cycle! The major impulse Elliott Wave is almost finished. What you really want to focus on is this long term 2017 -> 2021 trendline. When bitcoin touches this trendline (make sure you setup an alert in tradingview), it's definitely time to sell and run away!
It's not only the trendline that is a strong resistance; it's also the Fibonacci extension (1.618 FIB). While a trendline is a dynamic resistance, moving together with price, fibonacci is a static resistance with a fixed level. Our fibonacci level is exactly at 122,069 USDT. I know there will be moon boys predicting 200k or 300k in 2025, but this is pretty much impossible. The market cap of Bitcoin is already relatively high, as you can see in the picture below.
After you sell your Bitcoin, wait for a significant correction (bear market). I expect this bear market to be in years 2025 - 2026. From the Elliott Wave perspective, wave (4) is always a strong support and liquidity point for whales. Bitcoin's wave (4) is at 49k. So we can find support at around 50k - 65k.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BTC Elliott Wave AnalysisIn this weekly BTC/USD analysis, I explore a potential Elliott Wave correction scenario with a focus on Wave C reaching critical support levels. The analysis combines Elliott Wave Theory with Ichimoku Cloud indicators and integrates the potential macroeconomic impact of the upcoming political shift in the U.S. as Donald Trump’s anticipated inauguration approaches on January 20, 2025.
Wave Analysis
Wave A
The initial corrective leg has established a strong bearish foundation, with the price dropping from its peak. Wave A aligns with the broader market's need for a cooling-off period after prolonged bullish momentum.
Wave B
A bullish rebound is expected in early 2025, fueled by market optimism and speculation surrounding Trump's presidency.
Likely targets for Wave B range between $100,000 and $112,000, aligning with Fibonacci retracement levels (38.2%–78.6%) of Wave A.
This area coincides with historical resistance, making it a potential profit-taking zone for short-term traders.
Wave C
After the Wave B peak, a deeper corrective Wave C is anticipated, potentially extending to the monthly Kijun-sen ($61,855) or lower.
Wave C often equals the length of Wave A or extends to 1.618x its size, reinforcing the $61k–$57k target zone.
The Kijun-sen and Ichimoku Cloud support levels at GETTEX:64K –$57k provide a strong confluence for the completion of Wave C.
Ichimoku Analysis
The price remains above the weekly Ichimoku Cloud, signaling the overall bullish trend is intact.
The monthly Kijun-sen acts as a strong magnet for price during corrections and is an ideal target for the Wave C completion.
The Chikou Span (Lagging Span) currently supports a bullish outlook; however, a Wave C correction could pull the Span closer to the cloud.
Macro Factors
Political Catalysts : The inauguration of Donald Trump on January 20, 2025, is expected to inject volatility into risk assets, possibly driving Wave B upward due to speculative optimism.
Global Economic Conditions : The broader crypto market’s performance will be influenced by macroeconomic trends, including monetary policy decisions and equity market behavior.
Disclaimer
This analysis represents a trading idea based on technical indicators and potential market catalysts. However, it is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and take responsibility for your trading decisions.
AIXBT set for one more push before correctingThis new coin looks as though it could be on wave 4 of 5. The volume looks strong inferring that the big green bars of late were in fact wave 3, so starting with there it fits really nicely. I'd put a trade on if the trend line is broken to complete wave 4, which would mean the wave 5 has the room to complete. But, the inevitable ABC is absolutely unmistakable after wave 5 is in so watch out for that. I wont be placing any trades as the liquidity is so low. But, you make your own decision. Follow for more.
XYO, possible fractal for more upward sugresThis one looks like a possible fractal appearing. The 3 lines denote very clear trend lines, which have been broken twice in previous instances. There are also two boxes that I've highlighted to show two possible fractals. Given the shape of the fractal, it could be on the cards again to play out for a third time taken into account the increased size of the fractal this time. Although, it could also be wave 3 having played out for the start of another impulse, but volume needs to pick up to confirm that. Worth keeping an eye, I wont be adding it to my portfolio. Follow for more.
ALGD, cup and handle could see this coin soarI prefer to keep things simple when conducting analysis. I sift through a number of indicators until I find my favourite few that when used together often 'jive' creating a harmony and increased confidence in an up, or downward trajectory. This time, the most standout items is the Cup and Handle, a labelled in the diagram. Drawing a line that is equal to the height of the cup to the neckline and repositioning it to the neckline and up, we could see significant all time new highs here. The pattern is robust and holds up well. Other coins have seen similar patterns such as BTC, so it would make sense also here. Good luck, follow for more.
XAUUSD Liquidity EntryHello Billionaires..!!!
How are you.? i hope you all Great
As u can see in the chart XAUUSD on fluctuate mode so both sellers and buyers are confused in this situation.. they called Consolidation time. wait for tap the Price Of Interest. POI OR FVG. Or they form also ITH or STH. so wait for confirmation then we decide. Whats next.
Strategy ICT
SIMEPROP another fund manager's favourite?Looking at the chart for Sime Darby Property Berhad, here's my analysis:
Current Price Action:
- Trading at RM1.37, down 2.14%
- Currently forming what appears to be a triangle pattern
- Strong uptrend from late 2023 into early 2024
Technical Analysis:
1. Elliott Wave Pattern:
- Appears to be in Wave IV of a larger 5-wave structure
- Wave III peaked around RM1.70
- Currently in a corrective triangle pattern typical of Wave IV
2. Key Price Levels:
- Resistance at RM2.12 (0.786 Fibonacci level)
- Support around RM1.23 (marked on chart)
- Triangle pattern providing immediate support and resistance
3. Price Targets:
- Chart shows a target of RM1.93 (0.618 Fibonacci level) for potential Wave V
- Stop loss indicated at RM1.24 (11.24% below current price)
- Risk/reward ratio shown as 1.63
Pattern Analysis:
- Triangle pattern (labeled A-B-C-D-E) suggesting consolidation
- Once triangle completes, expect a breakout for Wave V
- Bullish bias as long as price stays above triangle support
Trading Setup:
- Entry zone: Current levels around RM1.37
- Target: RM1.93 (0.618 Fibonacci)
- Stop loss: RM1.24
- Risk/Reward appears favorable at 1.63
Correction On Cryptos Can Last A bit Longer.
Cryptocurrencies are still in consolidation, and one of the reasons for these pullbacks or slow price action across some coins is the lower volatility caused by the Christmas and New Year holidays. Another key factor contributing to Bitcoin's recent weakness is the sell-off in US stocks at the end of last week. The correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 remains intact, and I believe there’s potential for further weakness in Bitcoin, possibly down to the 90,000 area, especially if stocks continue to consolidate.
What about ALTseasons everyone is desperately waiting on?
In a risk-off environment, even altcoins are unlikely to produce significant gains. It’s extremely difficult, almost impossible to see an ALTseason when there’s both a risk-off sentiment and a declining Bitcoin. For an altseason to emerge, we need a risk-on environment while bitcoin is consolidating...
Grega