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Elliott Wave

GOLD reminder "B ware wave B": bounce may be a trap for C drop Gold topped and dropped exactly to our mapped zones. After the biggest drop in a while, we got a strong bounce. But alas, the bounce may be a "wave B" that drops again. $ 2695.15 - 2700.92 is MAJOR resistance that may hold the top. $ 2643.58- 2650.09 is the KEY, if lost then wave C very likely. $ 2506.11 - 2518.14 is the MINIMUM expected for wave C target. ================================================================== Previous Analysis calling for $2700 top: Subsequent plot looking for $2500 bounce: ==================================================================
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EuroMotif
2
Alphabet (GOOGL): Perfect wave reaction. This is our planWhat can we say except—just take a look at this. Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) has followed our analysis perfectly over the last two months, reacting strongly to the targeted area for wave B and selling off immediately after reaching the exact 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Fundamentally, pressure is mounting on Alphabet. Last Wednesday, U.S. prosecutors presented a case to the Department of Justice arguing that Google must sell its Chrome browser, share data and search results with rivals, and potentially sell Android to dismantle its monopoly on online search. This landmark case could reshape how users find information, creating uncertainty around Alphabet’s future operational structure. From a technical perspective, we still anticipate more downside for $GOOGL. The level of $137.8 now appears even more significant. It aligns with the Fibonacci retracement of wave (2), the Point of Control (POC), and the wave C target—an extremely strong confluence zone. This makes $137.8 a likely magnet and a strong candidate for support, offering a potentially lucrative long setup if the price reaches this level. We are monitoring closely to see how NASDAQ:GOOGL performs in the coming weeks and how these levels react to ongoing market conditions and DOJ pressures.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by freeguy_by_wmc
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Could this be 2024’s comeback?Could we be witnessing one of the most remarkable comebacks of the year? NASDAQ:SMCI surged an incredible 123% in just eight trading days, turning our position back into profit—a scenario that seemed unlikely not long ago. This highlights how patience in trading often pays off. The key reclaim of the Point of Control (POC) at $26.59 is a pivotal development. It’s crucial that NASDAQ:SMCI remains above this level as the week ends, which could also mark a significant monthly close. On the technical side, NASDAQ:SMCI was oversold on the 3D timeframe for the first time since March 2020, which may partly explain the rapid recovery and increased buying pressure. Fundamentally, last week marked the stock’s best five-day stretch on record following the appointment of BDO as its new independent auditor. This move, combined with a submitted compliance plan to Nasdaq, aims to address the delayed filing of its annual 10-K and quarterly 10-Q forms—previously threatening delisting. If NASDAQ:SMCI successfully files these reports, investor confidence could soar, potentially driving the stock much higher. However, failure to meet these requirements could result in a sharp sell-off. While we could have added at the bottom, patience remains critical as the situation evolves. ✅
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by freeguy_by_wmc
XAU/USD 24.11.2024OANDA:XAUUSD Hello Traders, Welcome to my chart update for the upcoming week! Currently, we might be experiencing a small correction. I now interpret that we completed a 1-2-3 move on October 30. As a result, we could potentially be forming an ABC structure within wave 4. Wave (A) might be seen as an ABC move, but it's too messy for me to draw it accurately. The upward movement to wave (B), however, could be counted as a 1-2-3-4-5 move. The target for wave 5 is particularly interesting. It aligns closely with the Fibonacci entry levels from wave (B) and matches almost perfectly with my volume indicator. So, folks, remember: don’t trade emotionally. Wait for the price to enter the target zone, and then look for signs of short volume at the specific levels. The take-profit (TP) level would be at the end of wave (C). Wave (C) can be charted once wave (B) has been rejected. From there, we would expect a 1-2-3-4-5 setup downward, with the fifth wave marking the (C) target. Good luck, and stay calm!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NeptenFX
4
XAG/USD 20.11.2024FXOPEN:XAGUSD Hello Traders, Here are my thoughts for the coming days/weeks/months, based on the Elliott Wave method: It’s clear that we’ve topped out at wave (3).I anticipate seeing an ABC correction forming within the overall wave A to B. Fibonacci target levels for the smaller wave C can be drawn once wave B is established. My plan is to short at the 78% Fibonacci level where also a high volume area is, stopploss would be above the last high take profit would be all the way down to wave 4. Along the way, I’m looking for a clean 1-2-3-4-5 setup from the larger wave (B) to the larger wave (C). If you have any questions, feel free to ask! ;)
FXOPEN:XAGUSDShort
by NeptenFX
GOLD → An unexpected shakeup. What's next? 2700 or 2600?FX:XAUUSD closed the session perfectly on Friday, hinting that it was preparing to move up to conquer the highs. But Monday morning's news shook up the market, eliminating buyers. What happened and what to expect? Gold's decline in the Asian session was due to news from the Middle East, with Israel tentatively approving a ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah in Lebanon. But, on the other hand - the escalation of the conflict in Eastern Europe, where the situation has become more complicated to some critical limits over the past few weeks. This is a two-edged sword. The market will react to any news coming from the two regions. No economic news is expected on Monday. Technically, the focus is on the sideways range of 2731 - 2660 and internal levels, among which the price may look for support.... Resistance levels: 2673, 2689, 2731 Support levels: 2660, 2643 If the price consolidates above 2673, then we should wait for a retest of 2689 (0.5 fibo). If the bulls continue to press the market, the gold may test 2721. But if the bears hold 0.5-0.7 fibo and retest 2660, then we should wait for a correction to the zones of interest and liquidity before a possible pullback Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
USDJPY → False breakdown of uptrend supportFX:USDJPY is forming a false breakdown of the support of the ascending price channel. On the background of the dollar rally and strong sales of the Japanese national currency, it can be a good signal for the continuation of growth On D1 we can clearly see the upward, bullish market structure. There are no deep corrections, strong fundamental background and aggressive support from the rallying dollar. This picture may have a medium-term character and the market has a chance to test the ATH, provided that Japan does not start to take any measures to strengthen the JPY. Technically, the currency pair is consolidating above the strong support at 153.9 and intends to go even higher. There are two strong resistances ahead. Support levels: 153.9, 153.5, 152.2 Resistance levels: 155.36, 155.8, 156.7 Accordingly, a price fixation above trend support or above 155.4 will be a good signal that we are ready to go up Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDJPY ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
19
APE → Consolidation before a possible rally. Focus on 1.200BINANCE:APEUSDT is forging a consolidation within an ascending price channel after the dump, this is a hint that the coin is getting ready to go up. Smoothly the global trend is changing to bullish. The alt season could start any minute and everything partly depends on bitcoin's dominance in the market, which is gradually decreasing as BTC approaches the psychological level of 100K. Technically, APE is forming a consolidation with 1.200 as resistance and 0.90 as support, but within this range, an upward channel is forming, indicating that buyers are starting to intervene in the game, gathering potential for further upside. A break of 1.200 could trigger a bull run towards 1.44 - 1.800. Resistance levels: 1.200 Support levels: 1.032, 0.963, 0.9 Technically, we can say that an ascending triangle is forming against 1.200. I do not exclude the fact that the price may test the support before further growth, as altcoins react extremely aggressively to any weak corrections of bitcoin. But, I would prioritize trading on a break of 1.200 resistance with the aim of further growth Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:APEUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
BUY OPPORTUNITY COMINGPLTR has been slow to get off the ground, but treading below 30 has proven to be strong long term accumulation. That said, while the structure is a little unclear due to it’s recent parabolic nature, there is evidence in possible counts that a pullback is near, and will possibly create a buying opportunity. With the lack of weekly divergence, I would lean toward a wave three top being near, with a target in the 70 zone. The wave 4 pullback will like target the 50 zone, but could be as low as the 40 zone. If correct, I see value in buying the dip for long term growth.
PLong
by BlueLineTradingLLC
Gold continues rally from 2650?Dear traders, Tom here! Spot gold hit a near two-week high in the Asian session as the worsening Russia-Ukraine conflict benefited traditional safe-haven assets. The weekly uptrend appears to be unaffected by bets for a less aggressive Fed easing, continued USD buying and the prevailing risk-on environment. At the time of writing, gold is hovering around $2,683 and up 0.51% on the day. Technically, gold confirms bullishness, we are watching the resistance zone ahead after a false break of 2,686, a break would be bullish while a hold would be bearish. But in any case, the preference remains on the buyers, as interest in the metal as a hedge has returned. Medium-term target could be 2,710-2,750
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TomtradeFX
Gold : The fundamental context and goals have both changedOANDA:XAUUSD a local downtrend channel breakout damages sellers. The fundamental background is changing despite continued USD buying and a generally risk-off environment, which is overall positive for gold as a safe-haven asset in times of crisis. The stronger USD, supported by the ongoing "Trump trade" rally, and US bond yields have rebounded across various maturities. Despite the optimism for the USD, gold prices remain resilient and benefit from the escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine. Therefore, gold prices are likely to continue their growth in the near term before today’s scheduled news (PMI)... However! Since this is pre-news before session closing, reactions are likely to consolidate for sellers before further strengthening. Technically, gold has every chance to test the boundaries of the previously broken channel, but based on fundamental news and technical factors, we can conclude that further growth may continue. Prices are heading toward a liquidity zone, from which a correction may occur, followed by expected further strengthening in the near term. But in any case, I prioritize and consider buying upon a clear breakout of gold at 2686 - 2700, targeting the medium-term highs as outlined on the chart.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
2
Tesla UpdateLast Friday, Tesla managed to make another slight high breaching the 0.854 slightly but has yet to breach the prior $362.80 high. This could be one of two things, and both of which we have already been tracking so none of this should come as a surprise. The first possibility is within the white count. This b wave would just be deep and has either already topped or needs a VERY slightly higher high. Technically speaking, it could breach that prior high mentioned above and still be considered a b wave. Due to the preceding price action, I would not call it that, but nonetheless, that is possible. In this count, it sees price heading lower towards the next box either tomorrow or Tuesday at the latest. There just isn't much more room for any upside in the white count. The second possibility, it in the form of an ED for the turquoise count. The reason why I say an ED, is due to the choppy overlapping price action. Standard impulsive waves do not carry so much chop as they are decisive moves. ED's are traders unsure if the trend is ending or not causing chop, and when it ends, it creates a swift reversal in the opposite direction. If this is the case, we would need some downward action overlapping wave 1 @ $324.65. After which, price would head back up and ideally tag the turquoise box. It would only be required to make a new high, however, and is not required to tag the ALT target box. The chances of the turquoise count are definitely elevated due to that breach of the 0.854 @ $354.02 but is not a sure thing. As mentioned above this has primarily been overlapping choppy action reminiscent of a corrective pattern. For this reason, I still believe we're dealing with a b wave and not an ED. Unfortunately, we cannot know for sure without a little bit more price action. If we breach that $362 high, we know it is the turquoise count and to expect a swift reversal downward in the near future. If it is the white count, then price should begin to head down within the next two days and breach the prior $302.68 low in the near future. In short, there is very little room to move upward with the current pattern. A long position at this juncture would not be wise. This week will be a short week due to the holiday, so keep that in mind when placing any trades.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TSuth
XAUUSD Short Term Outlook: Wave Structure in PlayGold is currently riding a strong wave structure, aligning with a clear 5-wave impulsive move upward. We’re nearing the completion of Wave 5, with resistance projected around the 0.786 $2764 and 0.886 $2761 Fibonacci retracement levels. From there, I anticipate a corrective ABC pattern to unfold. Wave A could target the $2,664–$2,634 range 50%-38.2% retracement of the impulsive move. Wave B may act as a minor pullback to the upside, followed by Wave C, which could extend to deeper levels around $2614–2579, 61.8%-78.6% retracement zones. This corrective structure could set up the next leg higher, with bullish momentum resuming. Keep an eye on $2,614 as a potential accumulation zone, leading into a rally toward new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Derick-VT