Elliott Wave
$SPY February 25, 2025AMEX:SPY February 25, 2025
15 Minutes
As expected, AMEX:SPY retraced and fell back. Took support at 596 levels.
592 is downside target for the extension 610.70 to 596.48 to9.47 to 603.02.
For the fall 603.02 to 596.48 AMEX:SPY retraced 78% to around 601 levels. And made nearly double bottom around 596 levels.
At the moment upside is limited to 603 levels being 20 averages in 5 minutes.
Trend is down until 610 is taken out.
GOLD → Bullish structure. Emphasis on 2955FX:XAUUSD is still in consolidation, but the flat is gradually changing into an ascending triangle structure, which further explains the bullish interest in the market.
Gold price is consolidating near the record high of $2,956. Investors took a pause before a possible continuation of gains amid renewed trade war fears over Trump's statements on tariffs and controls on exports of Nvidia chips to China.
Weak risk sentiment and a rising dollar are holding back gold, but lower bond yields and expectations of Fed policy easing are supporting prices.
Gold will remain influenced by tariff negotiations and US consumer confidence data in the coming days
Resistance levels: 2940, 2954.5
Support levels: 2930.7, 2921
Local resistance at 2940 is ahead. If the bulls are able to consolidate above this area, we should wait for the growth and the retest of 2954.5.
2954.5 is a trigger, the breakdown of which will provoke the continuation of the bull rally.
But before that the consolidation between 2954 and 2940 may be formed. I don't exclude the flat support retest before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
How to Trade Ending Diagonal: EURUSDOne of my favorite EW patterns: Ending Diagonal
It usually appears in wave C or 5, we have wave C
It consists of five waves and each of them are three waves
All looks good as wave 5 is over wave 3 and Ending diagonal might be completed
as EWO oscillator already shows Bearish Divergence between wave 3 and 5
This educational post to show trade setup on this pattern
The bottom of wave b in wave 5 is a breakdown trigger (blue) as it means wave 5 is over
Confirmation is on breakdown of wave 4 (orange)
Target is at the start of the Ending Diagonal (green)
Bonus track:
One could consider sell on 61.8% Fib retracement as we see the first impulse down
and now we watch this two-legged pullback.
CoinbasePrice has officially entered into my target box today. I still feel we have lower to go before this is over though. I would like to see us hit the 1.0 @ $204.65 before turning back higher. I can think of several things that could support a move higher such as the SEC dropping its case against COIN. However, we have crossed into wave 1 territory, which is the minimum needed for the larger ED I have been tracking.
We created some neg div on the hourly chart today too. As you can see, price made a lower print today than last December and MACD is reading a higher print. Is this hinting that more downside is coming? I believe so, and I believe the 1.0 @ $204.65 is the ideal place for price to turn around at. I have an alert set @ $205 and will likely look at placing an order around this area.
KOLD is petty HotKOLD (gas short 3x) seems like an nice straight forward Elliott set up, scale in you position over time, (gas can bounce before it gets started) good 100% potential gain.
GAS is volatile so Please do NOT use margined and don't bet the farm or the kids. Don't Gamble GAS should be just one average size position of the many. (use risk management)
GOLD → Price is in consolidation and getting ready to go to $3KFX:XAUUSD is preparing to continue its growth. Consolidation is forming against strong resistance. The dollar in the correction phase continues to update the lows....
Gold is consolidating near 2945-2955, remaining cautious due to Trump's tariff threats and waiting for US inflation data. Which technically increases the chances of continued gains.
Optimism in the markets is supported by upcoming US-Russia talks on Ukraine, new Chinese measures and the victory of conservatives in Germany.
Weak dollar and expectations of Fed rate cuts support gold, but rising risk appetite reduces its attractiveness
Resistance levels: 2946.5, 2954.5
Support levels: 2935, 2921
Technically, the focus is on 2946.5. If the bulls are able to break this level, the resistance ahead at 2954.5 will not seem so strong. In this case, the price will continue its growth to 2969 - 3K
But, before further growth, as gold is still in consolidation, the price may test the liquidity zone 2935 - 2921.
Regards R. Linda!
SPX/DJT comparisonChart comparing SPX and DJT.
This count has SPX and DJT in wave ((2)) of ((5)), with wave ((2)) of SPX as an expanded flat and wave ((2)) of DJT as a regular flat.
For SPX, wave B of the expanded flat ends up being 200% of wave A (nearly to the tic). For DJT, wave B of the regular flat ends up being ~90% of wave A.
If correct, would expect wave C to target March 2020 lows.
DEEP - Finding The Next Trade SetupDEEP recently took out the January 13, 2025 low at $0.12345 with a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP), followed by a successful retest. This led to a bounce that hit a key level at $0.12141, presenting a solid long opportunity with minimal risk.
After this, the market turned bullish, forming a 5-wave structure and rallying to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.18643 (measured from the $0.20473 high to the $0.11922 low). This was a key take-profit zone for longs and a great short opportunity.
Adding confluence, the anchored VWAP also acted as resistance just above at $0.19, offering another low-risk short setup. Additionally, a key resistance level at $0.1809 further reinforced the rejection zone.
Current Price Action & Short Setup
From the 0.786 Fib retracement, DEEP retraced 20% downward, nearly touching the 0.618 retracement of the 5-wave structure before bouncing. Now, price is finding resistance at the golden pocket (0.618 at $0.17347 and 0.666 at $0.17534) of the recent drop, aligning perfectly with the daily 21 EMA ($0.1757) and daily SMA ($0.17347).
This setup suggests an ABC corrective move is forming.
Using the trend-based Fibonacci extension, the 0.786 extension aligns with the 0.618 retracement at $0.1457, creating a strong short setup.
Short Entry: Between $0.17347 - $0.17534
Target: $0.1457 (0.786 trend-based Fib extension / 0.618 retracement)
Stop Loss: $0.1845
Risk/Reward: 2.5:1
There’s also potential to extend the target to the 1:1 trend-based Fib extension at $0.13733, but this would depend on price action.
Potential Long Setup
If price reaches the $0.1457 support zone, this could present a high-probability long opportunity.
Entry: Around $0.1457
Risk/Reward: 2:1 or better, but confirmation is needed before executing the trade
ONYXUSDTBased on this wave count and other considerations, we are probably in wave 4 and the areas indicated on the chart are ideal ranges for the bottom of wave 4 and the hunt for wave 5.
Buying spot this currency around $0.011 to $0.0125 seems low-risk and reasonable.
March 5th to 10th is an ideal time zone for the end of wave 4.
Just an analysis that could easily be wrong.
Is RAYUSDT About to Break Out? Key Levels to Watch Now!Yello, Paradisers! Is RAYUSDT gearing up for a massive breakout? The chart is showing a proper triple zigzag within a descending channel, which significantly increases the probability of an upcoming bullish move.
💎If RAYUSDT bounces from the current level, it could form a W-pattern, but for a high-probability setup, we need to see a breakout and a confirmed candle close above the key resistance. This move would also break the descending channel, signaling a stronger bullish push.
💎On the other hand, if the price retraces further or consolidates, a bounce may still occur, but the setup would be lower probability, making it less favorable to trade in this zone.
💎However, if RAYUSDT breaks down and closes below the support zone, the entire bullish setup will be invalidated. In that case, it would be wiser to wait for better price action before looking for new opportunities.
🎖 Patience and discipline are key, Paradisers. If this breakout happens, it will be a strong opportunity—but if invalidated, we wait for the market to present a better setup. Trade smart!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
CRVUSDT Potential for a Bullish Revers? ( EW Analysis )CRVUSDT, a popular cryptocurrency trading pair, is showing potential signs of a bullish reversal based on Elliott Wave Theory. This analysis aims to break down the current wave structure and outline possible future price movements.
Wave Structure Overview
The chart follows a complex corrective wave pattern, which consists of WXYXZ labeling. This pattern indicates an extended correction phase that may be coming to an end. Below is a breakdown of the observed waves:
1. Wave (iii): This wave marked a strong uptrend, indicating significant bullish momentum in the past.
2. Wave WXYXZ Correction: The corrective structure suggests a prolonged retracement, leading to potential price exhaustion at the recent low near $0.40.
3. Wave (iv) and Completion of Wave Z: The labeling shows that wave (iv) is completing, forming a potential higher low on the support trendline.
4. Formation of ABCDE Structure: A possible contracting triangle (ABCDE) is forming within the final leg of wave Z, signaling an imminent breakout.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
- Support: The ascending trendline near $0.44 - $0.48 serves as a critical level for price stabilization.
- Resistance: The downward trendline resistance around $0.55 - $0.60 is the first hurdle for bullish continuation.
- Target Zone: If wave (v) initiates, potential targets lie between $1.20 - $1.50, aligning with the upper channel.
Bullish Outlook and Confirmation
To confirm the bullish scenario, CRVUSDT must break above the $0.55 resistance with strong volume. A successful breakout would validate the start of an impulsive wave (v), pushing prices higher.
Risk Factors
- A breakdown below the $0.40 invalidation level would negate this bullish outlook and extend the correction.
- Market sentiment and external factors such as Bitcoin’s price action and macroeconomic conditions may impact the projected wave structure.
Conclusion
CRVUSDT appears to be at a pivotal moment, with Elliott Wave analysis suggesting a potential bullish reversal. Traders should monitor key levels and look for breakout confirmations before making any trading decisions. If the projected wave (v) unfolds, we could see a significant rally in the upcoming sessions.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin Breaks Uptrend line– Is a Crash Coming?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) started to rise and reached the upper areas of the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260) .
Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260) and has managed to break the Uptrend line .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have finally completed the main wave C .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines once again, this is likely to be a heavy drop .
Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260), we expect more Pumps.
Do you think Bitcoin can break the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) or not?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTC END OF CORRECTIONAfter being stuck in this sideways correction for almost 70 days, #BTC is finally coming to the end of this consolidation in the next 24-72 hours. It's not common that we get a double three correction (WXY) starting with a sharp zigzag wave W and ending with a huge expanded triangle for wave Y, so this correction is one for the history books. I really hope you have your longs stacked up during this final drop as we're going to take off any moment to new all-time highs, probably to $130K or more.
Bitcoin will +27%, ETH +139%, LTC +251%, SOL +100% (Best coins)In this analysis, we will look at 4 major coins that are good to hold for the upcoming weeks! Because alt season is starting, we want to focus on strong altcoins. Starting with Bitcoin.
Bitcoin (BTC) - expect + 27%
Bitcoin is in a strong uptrend (ascending channel), and as long as Bitcoin is in this channel, we are very bullish. We can expect Bitcoin to hit 125k in the near future. I know this is not a lot; that's why we want to focus on altcoins! Definitely avoid coins such as XRP or TRUMP because these coins are already pumped!
Ethereum (ETH) - expect +139%
Ethereum still didn't hit an all-time high in this bull cycle, which gives us a great opportunity to buy it cheap. Ethereum is definitely undervalued compared to other coins, so this is a clever buy. Technically, the price is in an uptrend and near the ascending channel support. This gives us an excellent buying opportunity for 2025.
Litecoin (LTC) - expect +251%
Litecoin was in a range for 3 years! That was a really long time, but currently the price is breaking out of the range and forming a bull flag. This is a very strong combo, so we definitely want to buy on the buying side. Sorry for traders or hodlers that were waiting 3 years without any profits. We are traders; we want to buy at the best moment and take profit after the pump!
Solana (SOL) - expect +101%
Solana is another extremely bullish altcoin, and as with the previous ones, we are also in an uptrend (ascending channel). Because the price is near the support trendline, this is a great opportunity to buy it with a tight stop loss. If you are satisfied with 100% profit and pretty low risk, you can go for it. If you want more profits, go with Litecoin or use leverage on futures SOLANA.
Want to know the analysis of your altcoin? How much % ? Easy, hit the like button and write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response!
"Silver is on the brink of entering a bearish wave!"On the daily timeframe, silver, after completing five upward waves, is likely to enter an ABC corrective phase. Only if the resistance levels of 32.500 and 33.700 are maintained, we can expect silver to move towards wave C, with a target around 28.000.
ETHUSDT ( Elliott Wave Count )Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Potential Flat Correction in Wave 4
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) has been following a structured Elliott Wave (EW) pattern, and based on the latest weekly chart analysis, the cryptocurrency could be entering a corrective phase before resuming its long-term uptrend. This article will break down the key elements of the chart and the implications for ETH’s price movement in the coming months.
Key Price Levels & Technical Outlook
Current Price (Around $2,815)
ETH is hovering near $2,815, and based on the projected flat correction pattern, a further decline toward lower levels is expected before a potential bottom.
Potential Support Zones
The chart suggests ETH could find support in the range of $1,350 - $1,650, aligning with a typical corrective structure.
A major demand zone (highlighted in red) around $750 - $900 could act as a strong area of interest if the correction deepens.
Wave 5 Target
After completing the correction, ETH is expected to start Wave 5, potentially targeting a new all-time high above $11,356, as indicated on the chart.
Trading Implications
Short-Term Bearish: Traders should anticipate more downside as ETH completes its Wave C.
Long-Term Bullish: If the pattern plays out, ETH could see a strong rally once Wave 4 concludes.
Key Level to Watch: A breakdown below $2,000 could accelerate the drop, while a break above $3,750 might invalidate the correction scenario.
Conclusion
Ethereum appears to be in the middle of a Wave 4 flat correction, which could lead to further price declines before resuming its bullish trend. Traders and investors should watch key support levels and confirmation signals before positioning for the next major move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.