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Elliott Wave

Will AAPL temporarily go below 205 this week?My overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I have been wrong many times before so I will just take this thing in stages and see if it plays out. After this massive decline, we should be in for a great market rally of many decades. While the market has seen a brief rally, the primary question is when will the rally end? Friday turned in mix answers to that question. The next step in my opinion will be a decline, possibly sharp with a quick bottom in some sectors AHEAD of the reciprocal tariff deadline on April 2. My wave 3 indicator tends to signal wave 3s and 3 of 3s with additional end of wave (overbought/sold) conditions. See my scripts for the specifics of the indicator. It currently signaled 3 of 3 based on the bottom in mid-March meaning another drop is likely soon. While the other stocks I have studied mainly topped at all-time highs in mid to late February, AAPL topped at the end of 2024. The movement of AAPL may be a leading indicator of future market movement as the market appears to be trading as a micro wave structure inside of AAPL's more macro movement. My market expectations are for their first semi-major wave 1s to end within the next few weeks. Each wave 1 will be followed by a multi week wave 2 up. AAPL may end its wave 3 structure (yellow 3) when the others finish their wave 1s. AAPL would then experience wave 4 up, when the other stocks and S&P 500 index experience their second wave. This chart applies select movement extensions based on wave 1's movement on the left and then another based on wave 3's movement on the right. I keep the values between 0%-100% on the chart for wave 2s and 4s retracements of the preceding wave's movement for reference even though the retracement values would be inverted. I will refer to the yellow waves a Minor waves and the green as Minute waves. The extension/retracement data on the left is based on Minor wave 1's movement and is applicable to Minor waves 2 and 3. It provides a rough location of levels for Minor wave 3 to end. The extension on the right attempts to determine Minute wave 5's end points based on Minute wave 3. An intersection of Minor wave 1 extension levels and Minute wave 3 extension levels are general targets for bottoms. One of these is between 203-204 for AAPL. Lastly, I apply similar levels to determine Minor wave 3's length based on Minor wave 1's length of 45 bars (on the 3 hour chart). Minor wave 3 is currently longer than 45 bars. The vertical dashed bars provide similar locations with the next vertical bar occurring on the morning of Monday March 31. I am therefore watching to see if the next bottom for AAPL occurs at this time. If this bottom truly comes into focus, I will then attempt to forecast Minor wave 4 for AAPL which could occur in late April.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by StockSignaler
AAPL Short: Short at Support turned ResistanceWhere to short AAPL? I think the red line price of $219.71 is a strong resistance because it is the price where there were 2 previous lows (first 2 red arrows pointing up). Take note that there is a chance that the recent low point is the end of the entire correction if that is a wave C. My Primary count that it is just wave 1 of C is a BIAS. Just keep that in mind. I would say that the stop loss is about $10 above $219.71. Good luck!
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by yuchaosng
Pepe - Elliott Wave Local and Long Term Idea 22 Mar 2025Eliiot Wave Update Firstly, I'm bias that I believe were in Wave 4. Depicted wave count 1 2 3 4 5 in orange may very well be as it is, in that the last low is 5. My bias comes in because from what I've read, 5th wave usually 1.27 fib extension drawn from 1 to 1 to 2. As can be seen, 1.272 is at 0.0000336. The green paralellel channel from the high to the next higher high. As can be seen with circle support, we found a good reaction to the upside. Short/medium term looking at the Anchored VWAP (White) and channel top as resistance. Currently 1.0 a strong support as well as resistance. My biase based wave theory means that were currently in the 4th wave to the upside, so looking at resitance EXACTLY at the anchored VWAP (white), breaking that to the upside targets of the short fibs drawn to the right that arent extended all the way to the right. Meaning, resistance being,0.382, 0.5, and 0.618. If that is the end of Wave 4. The price would then see a retracemment to Wave 5, to 1.272. Non bias view where Wave 5 has been hit already. Were in a corrective ABC pattern. (This is the part I'm not so sure about). Then Were in A(1) here no one knows how deep that is but it's good that were going up because A = up B = down and C = up (c or 3 being the longest waves. If were in the corrective phase, currently were in Wave A (1). Technically nothing changes. I think. Wait to see how It plays out. Overall, currently I would NOT be bearish, looking at the next resistance first!Which is (either Wave 4 or correction) 0.236 price 0.000095
Long
by hmaroudas
3
More upside for goldHi traders, Last week XAUUSD finished the impulsive wave 3, making a new ATH and after that it corrected for wave 4. It looks like wave 4 is finished and rejected from the Daily FVG. So next week we could see more upside for this pair. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for an impulsive move up and a change in orderflow to bullish. After a small correction down on a lower timeframe you could trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EduwaveTrading
Still more upside for SPX500USDHi traders, SPX500USD did exactly what I've predicted. Last week I said we could see a (corrective) upmove to the higher Weekly FVG. It depends if the upmove is corrective or impulsive what we will be the move after that. But also fundamentally we could see more longer term downside for this pair. This scenario is still in progress for next week. So let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down to finish on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
EU could go up againHi traders, Last week EU went a little bit more up and rejected from the Montly FVG again. After that it started the last leg of the correction down just as I've said in my outlook. So next week we could see the pullback finish into the Weekly/ Daily BPR and after that more upside. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. If you see an impulsive move up and a change in orderflow to bullish, then wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to see more of my analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
EU could go up againHi traders, Last week EU went a little bit more up and rejected from the Montly FVG again. After that it started the last leg of the correction down just as I've said in my outlook. So next week we could see the pullback finish into the Weekly/ Daily BPR and after that more upside. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. If you see an impulsive move up and a change in orderflow to bullish, then wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to see more of my analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
XAUUSD morning analysisBullish case for XAUUSD. This count has price in wave 5 of (3) of ((5)). Based on how price has responded to the pitchfork drawn, I am anticipating the upper boundary to see profit taking and be the end of wave (3). Measured moves with Fibonacci could have price challenge $3300-3350 area if upper boundary is not resistance. Anticipated wave (4) to be a zigzag down towards $2600 (recession in 2025?). If all this plays out, I would expect wave (5) of ((5)) to be quite exaggerated (think 1976-1980's 773% increase), with target north of $10k by 2030.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by discobiscuit
DJT/SPX comparisonBearish case for equities. Chart comparing DJT and SPX. DJT in wave ((c)) of regular flat, SPX in wave ((c)) of expanded flat. SPX showing ending diagonal (wedge) to complete wave ((b)). Bottom of SPX pitchfork (blue line) broke support and now acting as resistance. This count anticipates each market to soon have a large (15-20%) 5-wave impulsive move down, DJT to complete wave 5 of (3) of ((c)) and SPX to complete wave (3) of ((c)). After this proposed move, each market will have completed its wave (3) of ((c)). I would expect wave (4) to be zigzag corrections for DJT and SPX before large wave (5)'s to take price down towards March 2020 lows.
DJ:DJTShort
by discobiscuit
Gold’s Uptrend Strong, But Is a Short-Term Drop Coming?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has increased by more than +5% over the past seven days and has managed to create new All-Time High(ATH) daily. The reasons for the increase in Gold prices include US economic statistics and the tensions in the Middle East that have increased these days. The question is how long this bullish trend in Gold will continue. It seems that Gold needs at least a correction to continue its upward trend and I tried to find the starting zone of ​​the correction with technical analysis tools (for the short term ). Gold is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , this zone could be a correction zone for Gold for at least the short term . Gold also responds well to the Pitchfork tool lines , the Pitchfork lines can be considered as support and resistance lines for gold . From an Elliott Wave theory perspective, Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of main wave 5 (these five waves are likely to be part of main wave 3 ). Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,003 after breaking the Uptrend line , and my second target is $2,986 . Note: The worst Stop Loss(SL) for your Short position could be $3,061. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
8
BITCOIN → Flag (consolidation) before falling to 78-73KBINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating after a short-squeeze relative to 85-87K. A bearish set-up is being formed, the break of which may strengthen further decline to the key target of 73K A symmetrical triangle is forming within the downtrend on D1, a breakdown of this structure may strengthen the decline. Locally, within the channel a flag - bearish figure is formed (on the local TF false uptrend, the crowd enters to buy from the support or at the break of local resistance, at accumulation of the necessary potential the big player removes the limit order and releases the price, which is dispersed by liquidation of traders), regarding 85K-86.6K the liquidity capture is formed and the price returns to the selling zone. Consolidation below 85K may trigger a breakdown of the figure support and further fall to 80K-78K Fundamentally: the market sells off any positive news very quickly (negative background is created): crypto summits, (Trump said nothing new at the second summit) positive resolutions of problems (for example between SEC and XRP, or removal of restrictions from local exchanges) crypto reserve The only nuance, bitcoin's dominance index is still high despite the price drop... Resistance levels: 85150, 866700, 89400 Support levels: 82K, 80K, 78200 There are no positive signs for growth. The zone where we can consider a trend reversal ( if something supernatural happens ) is 89-91K, but it is very far away. But now I would consider a breakdown of the flag, or 83.5 - 82.5 and price consolidation below this zone with the purpose of further fall to the local important level 78173. Then another consolidation or correction is possible before a further fall to 73.5K Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
45
IREDA (Indian Renewable Energy) - Elliott Wave AnalysisCurrent Market Structure: The chart suggests that IREDA is undergoing a Wave (2) correction after completing a strong impulsive Wave (1). The corrective phase is labeled as an A-B-C structure, indicating a possible end to the pullback in the coming weeks or months. Wave Count & Key Levels: Wave A initiated the downward correction, followed by Wave B retracement, and now Wave C is in progress, subdividing into a five-wave pattern. The projected completion zone for Wave (2) is highlighted in the ₹50–₹80 range, aligning with Fibonacci extensions and previous structural support. An additional 1.618 Fibonacci extension target is placed near ₹23.78, though this would be an extreme case. Outlook & Strategy: If the price reaches the projected support zone and shows a strong reversal, it could indicate the beginning of a Wave (3) uptrend. A confirmed break above key resistance levels and trendlines would strengthen the bullish case. However, if selling pressure continues, a deeper correction toward the extreme target cannot be ruled out. 🚨 Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading signals. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst or advisor. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any financial decisions. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. I may be completely wrong in my analysis. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:IREDA
by kalpeshloke
Silver Wave Analysis – 21 March 2025 - Silver reversed from resistance level 34.00 - Likely to fall to support level 32.00 Silver recently reversed down from the key resistance level 34.00 (which stopped the previous intermediate impose wave (3) at the end of October) standing close to the upper weekly Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from the resistance level 34.00 stopped the previous impulse wave 3 of the higher order impulse wave (5) from the end of 2024. Given the strength of the resistance level 34.00 and the overbought weekly Stochastic, USDCHF can be expected to fall to the next support level 32.00.
FX_IDC:XAGUSDShort
by FxProGlobal
USDCHF Wave Analysis – 21 March 2025 - USDCHF reversed from support level 0,8750 - Likely to fall to support level 208.00 USDCHF currency pair recently reversed from the pivotal support level 0,8750 (former strong support from December and the start of March) standing close to the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from September. The upward reversal from the support level 0,8750 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Morning Star. USDCHF can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8850 (top of the previous minor correction ii).
Long
by FxProGlobal
DKNG Update | Crash AheadOne of the best fractal overlays I've seen with some Elliott Waves to go with it. Price is still in a uptrend but with growing sellers It'll come to an end similar to the last fractal. During the 3rd wave in the last pattern price experienced its first pullback at (B), and its second at correction wave 4 and the third after the last wave before we witnessed the last push in buyers. This current cycle price is in a similar stage with a swing low at (b) meaning that we could see another run-up towards major resistance ($63). This would be the final blow-off-top in general markets. TVC:RUT is already showing signs of weakness which works well with this TA example. When the time is right I'll do another TA for the downfall. For now I'm bullish but for the horizon I'm very bearish.
NASDAQ:DKNGLong
by Nathanl19
5