Elliott Wave
$SPY December 26, 2024AMEX:SPY December 26, 2024
15 Minutes.
I had expected 200 averages in 15 minutes to be resisted. It broke and held on to that for more than 2 hours on the 24th of December.
For the rise 592.25 to 601.34 it is important to hold 597 levels for uptrend to continue. It is also 21 averages in 15 minutes.
For the larger rise 580.91 to 601.34 holding 593-594 is crucial to hold.
Above 603 I expect a 3 to 5 $ move which was resisted earlier before the fall.
At the moment I will sell only below 588 for good 10$ move. 575-578 is a crucial number to hold on downside.
In daily uptrend is intact.
Tesla UpdateI want to start by saying the lower box, at this time, is an estimate. This is assuming that price comes into the 0.786 and reverses. Should price breach that area but still have intentions of dropping in a c wave, the target will be slightly higher. Should price not hit the 0.786 and reverse lower, the target will be slightly lower. The differences between these two possibilities is negligent which is the only reason I am posting this target box.
However, there is still the chance that the pattern has intentions of striking another high to the larger 1.618 @ $537.32. I do not think this will come to pass...but it can. Therefore, whatever your position is or could be, you NEED to keep this in mind. We have no confirmation that the move higher is in fact done. Do I think that it is? Yes, I do. As I mentioned above though, I cannot guarantee that at this time. We still have neg div which does favor a move lower. Ultimately, we just need more data to say conclusively what the pattern has in mind.
This target box would be an ideal spot for the A wave of (4) to terminate should this be an ED. Ideally, we will know more by EOW, but it could make us wait until early next week for answers.
BTC possibility?IF BTC is in distribution up here near $100k, this is what I think the BTC price chart could play out like this year, with alts going nuts while it lingers up here, in a rotation, and then again at the end of the year (2026) when BTC retraces.
Hopefully BTC isn't distributing and continues higher, but this is a distinct possibility at this point imo.
GME: Skeptical of zealous predictions that fail to materializePatience is the virtue most valuable to me in the world of trading. To me, patience means not only plan the trade, trade the plan, but more deeply, NO REGRETS. If I miss out, SO WHAT? It was not my pitch, and in the markets, THERE ARE ALWAYS OTHER OPPORTUNITIES, on a daily, if not hourly basis.
I have watched more "MOASS" predictions fail over the past few years than any of their respective authors would like to admit. Trader after trader steps up and says, ITS GONNA EXPLODE at this price, at this time, when this happens, or if that does not...but 99.9% of these predictions are nothing but filler and sensationalism. What I wonder...where is the sauce? Where is the technical tip off that indicates a high probability that the DESIRED or HALLUCINATED price action should take place? The answer is typically, it simply does not exist at the time of the publications.
For context and as to my business here, earlier this year, February/March, upon completion of my mentorship, I decided to make price predictions of GME my sort of Thesis, if you will, to see whether what I had learned about Elliot Wave, Fibonacci, and MACD strength indications had been a waste of time. Early March 2024, upon review of the EW pattern, I called for sustained downward pressure into early May. At the very end of April, about 8 weeks later, while doing my routine weekly charting, I noticed I had run out of wave magnitude. I checked my count and price levels against MACD, and lo and behold, we appeared to have struck a bottom. I made another post stating that we had arrived a little early but that the initial downside corrective had completed. Within 2-3 weeks, GME traded at $80/share. All I had done was apply what I had learned over the preceding year and exercise patience with price.
What I am posting to say here is, I SEE NO INDICATION THAT PRICE SHOULD EXPLODE UPWARD, AND SEE PLENTY OF REASON TO SAY THAT WE NEED MORE SIGNIFICANT DIVERGENCE ON THE BOTTOM END TO EVEN BEGIN TO ANTICIPATE ANY SUCH EXPLOSION. I will add, that all I believe the last run amounted to was part of a corrective, and do not believe it represents the beginning of anything, rather, perhaps, the very middle of this saga.
The tools I mentioned above are the basic trading tools and concepts I have used to make this statement. BUT primarily, of all the tools which I mentioned or which may be depicted in my chart, PATIENCE is the tool I value mostly. If you know what you are doing, and practice with the tools you profess to use to make a living, when it comes to bottoms (or tops for that matter) you will know them when you see them. PATIENCE is necessary in all applications of the tools I describe and ultimately, the most important tool any trader can possess. In that vein, the old saying goes, Discretion is the better part of valor (not courage, or stupidity, to run out on no man's land, pots a clanging with tent sticks falling out of your back pack, acting like you'll win the war in a moment).
Best,
Cuz
Pepe's analysis updatePepe is now in the second wave of the fifth wave, his last upward wave from the first big wave. I expect a small correction from him. The maximum correction he can have is 50 in weekly time, which is 0.000010.
Considering that the size of the last ascending waves cannot be accurately predicted, but if we consider the size of the third wave, it will be 0.00019
In general, there is no certainty, everything is a possibility, I just hope that I predicted correctly
#BINANCE_COIN #BNB 2025 TARGETSConsidering the Elliott wave count and also comparing the price movement trend and RSI with a similar situation in December and January 2020-2021, we can expect a strong upward wave for BNB to begin soon, and the objectives of this rise are:
TARGET1: 1200$
TARGET2: 2400$
TARGET3: 3400$
TARGET4: 6500$
STOPLOSS: 520$
BTC Harmonic Elliott Wave and Hurst Cyclic AnalysisIn our previous update, published on November 30th, we anticipated the completion of wave IV of A of (5) retracement on BTC, which was aligned with a 20-week (20W) cycle trough expected in the third week of December.
Now, the wave IV retracement has been completed and the 20-week (20W) cycle trough has been confirmed. As previously mentioned, the next major trough is the 40-week (40W) cycle, projected for May 1st, 2025. In the short term, we expect BTC to push higher to complete wave V, followed by a bearish phase in March and April. A potential target for the peak is 121,500.
Gold is Ready to PUMP Again!!!As expected, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) hit the Targets I identified last week and started falling again .
Gold is moving near the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Support lines .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold appears to form an Expanding Flat (ABC/3-3-5) .
I expect Gold to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the lower line of the ascending channel, it will likely lose the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584).⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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GOLD → A reversal pattern for a further fallFX:XAUUSD is consolidating below the key point - 2620. Against the backdrop of a strong and growing dollar, gold has a chance to test local lows
Gold price gains are likely to remain subdued as the US dollar continues to be supported by the hawkishness of the Federal Reserve at its December meeting. Trump's protectionist policies are fueling inflation expectations, setting the stage for higher interest rates.
In addition, amid Christmas holidays and reduced trading volumes, market participants are inclined to maintain positions in the US currency.
Thus, gold is still seen as an attractive instrument to sell in case of attempts of its recovery, except for cases of sudden geopolitical aggravations, for example, in the regions of the Middle East or Eastern Europe.
Resistance levels: 2620 - 2622, 2633
Support levels: 2606, 2590
Emphasis on 2622. If the bears keep the price below this zone, it is worth looking at local support levels, as a breakdown of these levels will only strengthen the fall to 2600-2560.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → High risk. Falling towards 70K or rising towards 100K?BINANCE:BTCUSD is forming a correction phase after Powell's speech last week. If the price goes beyond the accumulation boundaries, there will be a risk for a strong fall as the price is approaching the panic zone...
Bitcoin is still in high demand, but private traders are going into a phase of profit taking after negative news, while institutional traders are taking advantage of the moment and buying the asset at a cheap price. But it doesn't mean anything.
Fundamentally, Trump gives a big chance to the cryptocurrency market, but after winning the presidential election the excitement starts to fade and then the risk of revaluation increases. If the market does not get what it was promised, a deep correction may occur. Also, the Fed played a negative role last week: slowing down the rate cuts and negative tone about the strategic reserve and reluctance to have BTC on their balance sheet.
Technically, despite the breakout of the ascending channel support, the price is still inside the 99K - 86K consolidation
Resistance levels: 99300, 103600
Support levels: 91780, 86700, 82700
The price is approaching the support. If the market keeps the price in this zone, bitcoin will have a chance to recover to 100K. But, if the fight for 86-84K zone starts, then everything will depend on the general market background, a negative background can provoke a breakdown of strong support and the price will fall into the void zone...
Regards R. Linda!
Gold Wave Analysis (Chart Self-Explanatory)While chart is Self-Explanatory the wave analysis show a possible one more decline to form Wave 4 (D) before the price rally up for Wave 5 (W) and Wave 3 (M)
For Intraday trading its better to focus on short positions
Do this analysis align with yours or no ? Please leave your valuable opinion
BTC Possible PathPrimary trend still intact.
Secondary trend is in corrective mode.
Market cleanse can happen towards 85k. After new year we resume.
Good thing is that OTHERS.D, (the % it represents against BTC (excluding top 10)) performs best in January. So i guess this is just a short term breather.
Market makes the rules not us. We'll see how it goes.
Tata Motors is Long trade set up do not fear or panic !!!!Tamo is long set up full fledged, note down important numbers resistance and support zones aim for target price of 1400 INR. All influencer and news channel will give you bearish reports but that is not the case Tamo & the companys internal & external matters have changed and the company has grown from what we have seen in 2000's the stock will not follow same pattern that we see on charts before.
It will fire & take you to the moon, this could be your last chance to grab this opportunity !!!
Dont miss !!!
This trade is for educational purposes manage your risks wisely.