NIFTY50.....Not done to the downside!Hello Traders,
the NIFTY50 has failed to reache my stated target area @ 24620 points and declined to 24038 during Friday's session! This was not expected, but still happened! So, the open target is also available @ 23585 points at the downside within a wave 4.
Chart analysis.
The decline within a wave 4 is not over yet! One open target is valid around the 23585 area in the coming week.
If N50 will achieve this target range, the door is open to a new high above 24620 point as. Probably within a range of about 24875 to 24792 points. Here, a wave (v) should be ending.
Keep in mind, that a wave 4 of any degree, never touch the wave 1 high. So, a wave 4 would be eliminated @ 22697 points.
It is also possible, that the wave 4 should morph into a triangle. While this pattern is still the most unlikely pattern in a wave 4, we should not deal with that!
Anyway! I have visualized the coming wave 5 with my target areas.
One first sign for a wave 5 that started is when the purple trend line push above the 243xx range, depending on when and if it will be achieved!
So friends, that's it for today. We will see, how N50 will morph in the coming week.
An update will follow after new chart pattern develop.
Have a great Sunday.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
Elliott Wave
SOLUSDT | 1 DAY | SWING TRADING Hey friends!
I’ve put together a detailed analysis on Solana just for you. The harmonic pattern has completed, and we’ve already seen some strong buying from that exact zone. 📈
Now, I’ve got two targets for you:
🎯 Target 1: 170.00
🎯 Target 2: 219.00
🔴 STOP: 75,81
"Just a heads-up — since this is a swing trade, the target might take some time to hit. Good to keep that in mind."
Remember, the more love and likes I get from you, the more motivated I am to keep sharing these analyses. All I ask is for a simple like to show your support. 💙
Huge thanks to everyone supporting with their likes — I truly appreciate it!
SUI - Leveraging Fibonacci & Elliott for Precision TradesSUI’s movement is rapid, sharp swings—both up and down. In volatile conditions like this, we aim 0.702–0.786 fib retracements (and occasionally 0.886 in harmonic contexts) for high‑probability entries. Below is a clear, Elliott-focused breakdown of the current setup and both long and short trade plans.
Before diving into the charts, let’s cover the basics of Elliott Wave Theory. Elliott Wave Theory provides a roadmap for market psychology by dividing price action into two distinct phases:
1. Impulse Phase (Waves 1–5)
Wave 1: The spark that ignites a new trend as early adopters push prices beyond the prior range.
Wave 2: A corrective pullback that tests the strength of the emerging trend, often retracing 38–61.8%.
Wave 3: The powerhouse wave—typically the longest and most dynamic—driven by broad market participation and often extending to key Fibonacci levels (1.618, 2.618).
Wave 4: A consolidating correction that digests gains and builds the base for the final thrust; it must not overlap Wave 1 territory in a classic impulse.
Wave 5: The final leg of the advance, often fueled by last bursts of optimism and weaker hands.
2. Corrective Phase (Waves A–B–C)
Wave A: Initial counter-trend reaction as profit-taking begins.
Wave B: A deceptive retracement back toward the trend, frequently trapping traders.
Wave C: The concluding leg of the correction, which typically tests or breaks the low of Wave A before the next cycle begins.
Key Points:
Impulse waves showcase momentum and structural clarity, often aligning with Fibonacci extensions.
Corrective waves follow Fibonacci retracements (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%), offering optimal entry points.
Wave 3 is seldom the shortest; Wave 4’s complexity sets the stage for Wave 5’s final push.
In the current SUI structure:
Wave 1 ignited the initial rally.
Wave 2 delivered a healthy retracement, a pullback close to the 0.618 fib, setting the stage for stronger momentum.
Wave 3 roared to a powerful peak topped at the 2.618 extension ($3.875)
Now, we’re deep into Wave 4, likely an ABC corrective pattern. This pause is critical—it gathers energy before the final push of Wave 5. Below is a clear breakdown of each wave, big-picture confluences, and trade setups.
🚀 Elliott Wave Overview
1. Wave 1 & Wave 2
Wave 1: Quick surge from $2.4175 → $2.75, setting initial momentum.
Wave 2: Pulled back close to the 0.618 fib, creating a solid launchpad.
2. Wave 3: The Power Move
Peak: Hit the 2.618 extension of Wave 1→2 and aligned with the –2 extension of Wave 1.
Significance: In strong bull markets, a run to the 2.618 extension often precedes a meaningful pullback. Here, Wave 3’s exhaustion suggests a retrace toward the 38.2% Fib of that advance—our ideal Wave 4 entry zone.
3. Wave 4: The Correction
All eyes on the $3.17 level—the projected 1:1 extension of A→B and 0.382 fib retracement of Wave 3. This confluence zone is yet to be tested and could offer an ideal Wave 4 entry.
ABC Pattern: Currently working on Wave C.
4. Wave 5: The Finale
Target Zone: $4.00–$4.35, with strong focus at $4.31
Extension Levels:
1.133 → $3.9695 aligns with the 0.618 fib retracement.
1.272 → $4.0683 is close to the weekly resistance level.
1.412 → $4.1678 alings with the 0.666 fib retracement.
1.618 → $4.3142 alings with the key swing high.
🔑 Key Confluence Levels
Golden Pocket: $3.9739–$4.1492 (90-day retrace).
Speed Fan 0.618: Support around $3.15.
Fair Value Gap:
Psychological: $3.00 major support.
📈 Long Trade Setup
Entry Ladder: $3.25–$3.111 (stack orders to DCA)
Stop‑Loss: $3.07 (just below the 0.786 Fib low)
Profit Targets:
Fib 1.133 at $3.9795 ($4 psychological & partial take‑profit)
Fib 1.272 at $4.0683
Fib 1.412 at $4.1678
Fib 1.618 at $4.3142
Risk:Reward: ~6:1+ (average entry around $3.20 → SL at $3.07 → TP1 at $3.9795)
📉 Short Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $4.00–$4.35 (sweet spot at weekly level/yearly open)
Confirmation: Bearish reversal candle or volume spike down
Stop‑Loss: Above $4.35
Target: $3.77 (near Wave 3 high turned support)
Risk:Reward: ~2:1 (varies with DCA entry)
⚙️ Summary & Game Plan
Primary Bias: Long in the $3.25–$3.111 zone—stack into the 0.382-0.412 fib retracement entries with tight SL, aiming for the $4.00–$4.30 upside zone.
Alternate Bias: Short on a clear rejection within $4.00–$4.35, targeting $3.77 or lower.
Risk Management: Keep stops tight to maximize R:R.
Patience & Confirmation: Wait for price to reach these zones and show reversal signals (price action, volume, patterns) before committing.
All set—now let SUI’s swings unveil the opportunities. Sit tight, follow your plan, and let patience pay its dividend.
Happy Trading!
____________________________________
If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Bitcoin Neutral to Bullish: Completion of 5-wave structureIn this video, I break down the wave structure of Bitcoin and go through in detail the wave counts and where there are breakdowns in the wave structures. I also go through the bitcoin peak price for the most recent wave using 2 Fibonacci extension levels.
My outlook is that Bitcoin is going to go much further as this completion is likely to be a sub-wave 1 of cycle wave 5 instead of being the cycle wave 5 itself. I support this notion by referencing to Etherum where there was a false breakdown.
Bitcoin Breaks Wedge! Correction Coming Before Next Leg? After Trump said in the press conference, " Better go out and buy stocks now ." The SPX500 index started pumping , and as I said in the ideas of the last few days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )'s correlation with this index has increased. Bitcoin also started pumping.
Yesterday's Bitcoin pump succeeded in failing the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern , generally, if the reversal pattern fails, it will play a continuation role .
Bitcoin is moving between the Support zone($100,270-$97,700) and the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,865) . The question is whether Bitcoin will touch the Support zone($100,270-$97,700) again and move towards the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,865) or will it continue its upward trend.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed microwave 3 of the main wave 5 . We can expect an even Time Correction on Saturday and Sunday when trading volume is low . There is also a possibility that microwave 4 of the main wave 5 in Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($101,838-$101,432) will be completed.
One of the reasons I think we should wait for a correction is the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart, which we used as a guide in previous ideas .
USDT.D% has reached Monthly Support(1) and a Heavy Support zone(4.73%-4.50%) , which I believe is unlikely to be broken within in first attack , and I expect an increase to the Fibonacci lines on the chart.
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again after a correction .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $105,114-$104,100
Note: If Bitcoin touches $97,500, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Potential Continuation To The UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSDT for a buying opportunity around 100,000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 100,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
ROOT: double-top short / shortable bounce set-up Stock's fundamentals, price relative strength, and group action look strong.
But the uptrend structure may have formed a mid-term top.
Weekly:
Downside potential remains as long as the price stays below the May 8th highs.
Ideal macro support zone: 90–70.
Daily:
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
NZDUSD - Elliott Wave Setup: Eyes on the Buy Zone!NZDUSD - 3D Chart Elliott Wave Outlook
We've been tracking NZDUSD over the years and each move continues to align with Elliott Wave Theory.
The current structure is unfolding as a large ABC corrective pattern.
- Wave A and the complex Wave B (WXY) are now complete.
- We're now in Wave C, and we expect it to target the highs of Wave A.
Recently, NZDUSD made a clear bullish impulse but has been consolidating for the past 3 weeks. This correction is likely to resolve with a bullish breakout.
We've marked a buy zone between the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels, which we believe is the ideal entry area. We'll be watching this zone closely for lower timeframe bullish confirmations like a break of structure (BOS) or trendline break.
Trade Plan:
- Wait for price to enter the buy zone
- Look for bullish confirmations (BOS, trendline break)
- Enter after confirmation, with stops below the corrective lows
- Targets: 0.63 (500 pips), 0.65 (700 pips)
Goodluck and as always, Trade Safe!
LINK to make a new ATH?LINK is showing great strength and respecting EW theory.
The ABC correction finished in JUNE-2023 and since then, LINK has likely finished its wave (1) and wave (2). Now in motion to complete its wave (3).
Big Question is whether LINK will break its previous ATH of $52.88?
If it goes key targets are $70-80 (wave 3), $90-120 (wave 5).
Could it be that LINK becomes one of the strategic reserve assets for the US? Time will tell.
Still looking for downside on SPX500USDHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD consolidated the whole week so nothing changed for the outlook. It looks like price is forming a leading diagonal (wave 1).
So next week we could see a (corrective) move down from the Daily FVG above.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for price come into the Daily FVG above and a change in orderflow to bearish, a small impulse wave down and a small correction up on a lower timeframe to trade (short term) shorts.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Up again for EUHi traders,
Last week EU made another wave down into the Weekly/ Daily FVG.
The bigger correction could now be finished (or one more small leg down into the Daily FVG).
If this is true then next week we could see the next impulse wave 5 (black) up.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small impulse wave up and a correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs to the higher Weekly FVG.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
GOLD → Return to range. Fall from resistance...FX:XAUUSD is reacting to data related to the tariff war. The price is returning to the range and forming a false breakout of resistance. The level of 3370 and the zone of interest at 3387 play a key role.
On Thursday, gold rose to $3,400 amid a weaker dollar, increased demand for safe-haven assets, and continued uncertainty due to US trade policy and tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine. The Fed left rates unchanged and expressed caution in its assessment of the outlook, which also supports gold's rise.
However, in the European session, we are seeing gold react to the trade deal with Britain, most likely due to the easing of tariffs. Now the main focus is on the terms of the deal. We should not forget about China, where the situation remains tense, but everyone is waiting for a resolution.
Resistance levels: 3352, 3369, 3385
Support levels: 3319, 3269
The fundamental backdrop changes several times a day. At the moment, the situation is as follows: the rise of the dollar, the weakening of the tariff war, and the hawkish stance of the Fed may put pressure on gold. Therefore, I expect the decline to continue after a retest of 3370-3386. In this case, the target could be 3319.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOLANA → Resistance level and free zone for growth up to 180.0BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is holding steady and consolidating near the resistance level of the global price range of 152.85–111.85. Thus, the market has signaled that it is in a positive mood. A trigger is ahead...
SOL is forming a flag consolidation near the upper border of the trading range of 152 - 111, which indicates the accumulation of pre-breakout potential. A breakout from the flag, a break of resistance, and consolidation above 152.85 could provide support and growth. The cryptocurrency market is reviving after yesterday's news and relatively positive data in the tariff war. Countries are gradually beginning to agree, which is generally supportive for the crypto market.
Resistance levels: 152.85
Support levels: 144.6, 141.2
A breakout of the resistance range of 152.85 and consolidation of the price above this level will confirm the readiness for further growth. Further on, there is a free zone and the price can easily reach 180.00.
Best regards, R. Linda!
My Thoughts #006My Thoughts
Are that we still continuing with the bullish trend still waiting for a choch on the 4h demand zone to take my trade as illustrated...
We need to see the pair move from bearish to bullish trend in line with the overall trend
The pair could sell
use proper risk management
Let's do the most
Gold (XAUUSD) Elliott Wave + AO Analysis (1H Chart) – 10 May 20Overview:
This 1-hour chart on XAUUSD highlights a clear 5-wave Elliott impulse, confirmed with Fibonacci extensions and the Awesome Oscillator (AO). Current structure suggests Wave (5) is in play, offering a high-probability short opportunity from the Wave (4) retracement zone.
🧠 Elliott Wave Count:
Wave (1): Initial bearish leg
Wave (2): Minor corrective pullback
Wave (3): Strong impulse confirmed by AO convergence
Wave (4): Corrective structure that respects the top of Wave (1) — valid Elliott structure
Wave (5): Now in progress, supported by AO divergence → momentum weakening
📌 Note: Wave 1 and Wave 3 are commonly measured using AO convergence, validating the strength of the impulse waves. Conversely, Wave 5 is often identified by AO divergence, signaling trend exhaustion.
📐 Fibonacci Extension Targets (Measured from Wave 4):
Expected zone for Wave (5) termination:
1.618 Fib: $3,312.17
2.618 Fib: $3,280.25 (most common)
4.236 Fib: $3,255.05
4.886 Fib: $3,241.30 (extreme extension)
📉 Wave (5) often terminates at 2.618 or 4.236 Fibonacci levels, especially when supported by AO divergence.
📊 AO (Awesome Oscillator) Insights:
✅ Wave (1) to (3): Clear convergence validates impulse
🚨 Wave (5): AO showing divergence = weakening sell momentum
Confirms Wave (5) status and end-stage trend behavior
🛠️ 🔴 Short-Only Strategy: Trade Wave (5) From Wave (4)
Entry Criteria:
Short initiated near the Wave (4) zone (~$3,330–$3,347)
Strong rejection candle (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) or breakdown confirmation
AO turning from green to red or histogram weakening
Stop Loss:
Above Wave (4) high = ~$3,347
Take Profit Levels:
🎯 TP1: $3,312 (1.618 Fib)
🎯 TP2: $3,280 (2.618 Fib)
🎯 TP3: $3,255 (4.236 Fib)
🎯 TP4 (optional final target): $3,241 (4.886 Fib)
Risk Management Tip: Adjust position sizing to align with stop above Wave (4) and TP zones at Fib targets.
🧩 Final Thoughts:
✅ High-probability bearish structure from Wave (4)
🚫 No bullish setups considered — focus is only on shorting Wave (5)
🔍 AO confirms both impulse strength and trend exhaustion via convergence/divergence
📐 Fibs align with standard Wave (5) projections
📈 Chart Context:
Gold (XAUUSD) – 1H timeframe
Indicators: Elliott Wave, AO, Fibonacci
Analysis Date: 10 May 2025
Bias: Bearish only
Chainlink (LINK) Update (12H) – Bullish Structure StrengthensIn our previous analysis, I outlined multiple technical reasons suggesting that LINK was preparing for a major bullish phase. Since then, LINK has surged over 25% from the level I initially highlighted.
Upon reassessing the chart from a broader perspective, I’ve identified a reversed Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the higher timeframes — a classic bullish reversal signal. This has also prompted a revision of the Elliott Wave count on the macro structure.
Updated Technical Insights:
Wave Count: LINK is currently in Wave 3 of a larger bullish impulse, based on Elliott Wave Theory.
Breakout Confirmation: The neckline of the reversed Head and Shoulders pattern is being breached, which aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension — a typical target zone for Wave 3.
If you entered based on the prior setup, you’re likely sitting on a 20–25% gain even on a 1x position. There’s no need to add or chase the price at this point — the optimal move is to secure profits by moving stop-loss to break-even and continue managing your position with discipline.
Updated Target:
The mid-term projection for LINK now stands around the $25 mark.
— Thanks for reading.
The Power of Elliott Wave Theory in TradingElliott Wave Theory is one of the most powerful tools in technical analysis when applied correctly. It offers traders a structured framework to understand market cycles, crowd psychology, and the rhythmic nature of price movements.
What makes Elliott Wave unique is its ability to combine both directional bias and timing. By identifying impulsive and corrective waves, traders can anticipate not just where the market might go, but also when significant moves are likely to occur.
When integrated with smart money concepts—like order blocks, liquidity zones, and market structure shifts—Elliott Wave becomes even more precise. For example, catching the end of Wave 2 or Wave 4 from a high-probability OB zone often offers explosive entries into Wave 3 or Wave 5, which are typically the most aggressive phases of a trend.
In short, Elliott Wave isn't just a forecasting model; it's a roadmap that, when combined with price action and risk management, can elevate your trading to a professional level.
one last dancegm.
you finally woke up and ethereum was soaring.
you saw the bounce. the reclaim. the headlines.
you convinced yourself the bottom was in.
you drew trendlines, watched influencers say “we’re so back.”
you wanted to believe.
and that’s exactly what wave B needed.
because this wasn't a breakout.
it’s a reset.
a psychological rinse,
engineered to bait late longs and build fuel for the final l i q u i d a t i o n.
this is the macro (W)-(X)-(Y).
not hopium, not dreams structure.
wave A brought devastation.
wave B brought complacency
wave C brings the execution.
make no mistake:
we’re not going up,
we’re being set up.
the chart says $742.
you call it impossible.
but the market doesn’t care what you believe.
the market only exists to find the maximum pain,
your maximum pain.
eth to $700 is not a prediction.
it’s a scheduled event.
and you’re RSVP’d unless you wake up.
wave C of wave (Y) is coming.
and it doesn’t care how bullish you feel.
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