TONUSDT → Bulls dressing up as bears... ↓BINANCE:TONUSDT can't get out of the downtrend, facing a rather strong seller (or lack of buyers, amid fundamental problems). The coin is setting itself up for a further decline....
The trend change started to show back in July, with strong momentum being generated amid strong outflows due to the market crash following bitcoin manipulation. In Agusta, the coin faced another problem - Pavel Durov's court case, which had an extremely negative impact on the system.
At the moment, buyers are turning around and have no fundamental and technical strength against the bear. The price is forming a pre-breakdown base relative to the key support at 5.16. A break of this area will open the way to 4.5.
Resistance levels: 5.38, 5.44
Support levels: 5.16, 4.7, 4.5
Buyers are trying to hold 5.16, but the pressure of bears, increasing on the background of bitcoin correction, is increasing, the sellers' strength is growing, which provokes the first to leave the game, close or turn around. In the short term, I expect a breakdown of support and decline
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:TONUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Elliott Wave
Elliott Wave View on GDX Favors Pullback Before RallShort Term Elliott Wave View in GDX suggests the zigzag correction should find support towards extreme areas before resume higher to finish the impulse sequence from 5-August, 2024 low. It is showing higher high sequence in daily from September-2022 low and expect short term rally to continue against August-2024 low. Since 5-August, 2024 low, it placed 1 at 39.97 high and 2 correction at 36.22 low as 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. Above 36.22 low, it placed ((i)) of 3 at 36.89 high, ((ii)) at 36.44 low, ((iii)) as extended wave at 40.98 high, ((iv)) at 39.02 low and finally ((v)) as 3 at 42.12 high.
Below 3 high, it favors zigzag correction in 4 against 6-September, 2024 low before resume higher. Below 42.12 high, it favors pullback in ((c)) of 4 started from 40.79 high. It placed ((a)) of 4 at 39.35 low as 5 swing sequence, while placed ((b)) at 40.79 high. Within ((a)), it placed (i) at 41.22 low, (ii) at 41.95 high, (iii) at 39.96 low, (iv) at 40.75 high and (v) as ((a)) at 39.35 high. Below ((b)) high, it placed (i) at 39.12 low and (ii) at 40.19 high. Currently, it favors lower in (iii) and expect short term weakness towards 38.03 or lower levels to finish zigzag before resume higher in 5 as possible diagonal from August-2024 low.
Alikze »» FTM | Wave 3 or C super cycle scenario - 2D🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C super cycle scenario - 2D
- In the analysis presented in the previous post in the weekly time frame, it was mentioned: it is suspicious of a head and shoulders pattern.
- So far, according to the previous analysis, the first target (supply zone) has been touched and it is currently above the target zone.
- In the analysis presented in the 4-hour time frame, it had a zigzag pattern, which is in wave one of three.
- In the daily time frame, it is located in an ascending channel, the previous corrective wave was able to form a reversal pattern in the range of 0.23 fibo.
- Therefore, I expect that it will face demand in the Buyer Zone and continue its growth with the failure of the middle of the channel up to the ceiling of the ascending channel.
In addition, after breaking the ascending channel, it will have the ability to reach the red box area (supply area).
So this bullish wave is wave 3 or big C, which will have the ability to grow up to the indicated ranges.
💎 Alternative scenario: If the Buyer Zone is broken and stabilizes below it, it can touch the 0.23 Fibo range again.
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OKX:FTMUSDT
JD.com (JD): Massive 97% Rally—What's Next?We mentioned Chinese stocks a while ago, and finally, they're starting to pay off—big time. We bought shares of JD.com back in July, and after a small dip, the stock soared an impressive 97% in just 65 days.
Shares of U.S.-listed Chinese companies are gaining momentum, fueled by continued stimulus efforts. September's PMI data beat expectations despite a decline in factory activity, which has further bolstered hopes for increased stimulus. Over the past week, JD.com's stock surged following the People’s Bank of China's aggressive monetary easing measures. The central bank reduced the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 50 basis points, bringing it down to 9.5%. This move will inject around 1 trillion yuan (approximately $140 billion) into the financial system. The increased liquidity gives banks more capital to lend, easing financial pressures on businesses like JD.com that rely heavily on consumer spending and economic confidence.
JD.com, often considered a barometer for China’s domestic consumption, has benefited significantly from this shift in sentiment, with investors betting that further stimulus measures could lead to increased consumer spending on e-commerce platforms.
From a technical perspective, there's not much left to say—we took some profits on JD.com, as this parabolic rise could either continue or see a pullback before another leg higher. All indications point towards further gains for JD.com, as it has smashed through all resistance and trend channels with remarkable strength. Our stop loss is set at break even, and we’re letting this trade continue to run.
$TIA on the Brink of phenomenal breakout?
I've not held $TIA. But the chart from 2023 looks fantastic.
If past performance is any indication, then LSE:TIA likes to have short wave 1's and even longer wave 5's, quite uncharacteristic from most coins.
Measuring LSE:TIA for targets proves unconventional. So I'm going to assume its going to act like I expect other coins do.
This chart is much like CRYPTOCAP:EGLD but stronger I'd argue given that wave (ii) and (2) are complete and we're likely starting on (3) now.
Good Luck.
$RIOT * WEEKLY TF EWP FIB TC ANALYSIS Let’s break down the potential Elliott Wave scenarios that may unfold, along with alternative possibilities. I’ll review the key details of the chart I provided:
Primary Scenario: Completion of Corrective Wave
Wave Count:
• It appears that RIOT has completed a large corrective (A)-(B)-(C) wave.
• The (A) wave bottomed around early 2020, and the (B) wave rallied to an extreme high around mid-2021.
• The ongoing (C) wave has been pushing lower and is now potentially near completion, suggesting that the bottom could be forming soon.
Key Fibonacci Levels:
• The price is close to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which typically acts as a major reversal zone in corrective waves.
• There’s also a Fibonacci cluster indicating confluence between the 0.618 and 0.786 retracement zones around $6-$7. This increases the likelihood of a reversal if the price holds at this level.
Confirmation of Trend Reversal:
• For this scenario to play out, we would expect a five-wave impulsive structure upward to begin. This would be Wave 1 of a new bullish cycle. The key confirmation would come if RIOT breaks above the downward channel resistance with strong volume and follows through with higher highs and higher lows.
Alternative Scenario: Extended Correction (Complex Correction)
Possibility of an (X) Wave or Further Downside:
• In some cases, after an (A)-(B)-(C) correction, a complex structure could unfold, resulting in an (X) wave and then another corrective pattern (Y).
• This would imply that RIOT could consolidate further or possibly make another low before finally reversing. The chart does suggest this possibility due to the large downward channel still being intact.
Deeper Fibonacci Levels:
• If the price fails to hold around the current levels, the next key Fibonacci level around the 0.786 retracement (around $3.25-$4.00) could be targeted. This might be the level where the final capitulation occurs before a reversal.
Wave Count Indicators:
• Wave 1 Upward: If the bottom is in, we could see the start of a wave 1 upwards, which should follow an impulsive five-wave structure. This would be a strong indicator that the correction has ended.
• RSI: A bullish divergence on the RSI, where the price makes lower lows but the RSI makes higher lows, would be a strong confirmation of a reversal. Keep an eye on this divergence in shorter time frames (e.g., weekly or daily charts).
• Break of Downward Channel: Watch for a break of the upper boundary of the downward channel. This break should be accompanied by a surge in volume and a higher low formation, marking the shift in trend.
Conclusion:
The primary wave count suggests the potential for a bottom forming, particularly around the current support zones near $6-$7. However, in the alternative scenario, a more complex correction could push the price lower to retest the next Fibonacci level, possibly in the $3.25-$4.00 range. Confirmation of a new bullish wave will require a strong impulsive move upward, breaking the channel and solidifying the new trend.
XAUUSD morning updateXAUUSD looks to be consolidating at the top border (2nd target) of both pitchforks drawn.
The origin of the bigger pitchfork is the December 2015 low of 1046.00.
Based on this count, I'd like to see a pullback towards the white rectangle, in the low 2300s, for a wave 4 before a wave 5 targeting above 3000.
USDollar Is In Higher Degree Recovery ModeDollar Index with ticker DXY has turned bearish after the corrective rally stopped at 105.70-106, an important resistance area at the end of June. Since then, the price even accelerated lower through summer so it appears that a bearish impulse, but with current sharp bounce out of an ending diagonal on 4h TF, we believe that correction is now in play. Notice thats a very sharp leg up, so its wave a, still first leg of a minimum three-wave a-b-c recovery that can take index back to 61.8% Fib, near 104 which can be very strong resistance for the next sell-off, especially if we consider that this can be wave 2 rally.
Pepsico (PEP): Breakout or Rebound? Earnings Report IncomingThis week, Pepsico is set to announce its earnings, and we continue to monitor the same pattern that has persisted for a while now.
PepsiCo's recent $1.2 billion acquisition of Siete Foods is a strategic move to expand Frito-Lay's "better-for-you" snack segment. Although the near-term impact on revenue is expected to be minimal, Citi predicts a modest contribution to overall growth. The deal is anticipated to close in 2025, broadening PepsiCo's multicultural portfolio.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:PEP is still moving within the established range. We've added zones above and below the range and highlighted each instance when NASDAQ:PEP broke through the range. Except for one occurrence, all these breakouts provided good entry opportunities. The future direction remains uncertain, but the key is whether Pepsico can hold its level upon breaking through the range—it needs to hold to sustain momentum rather than falling back.
For now, we continue to keep a close watch on NASDAQ:PEP and are waiting for this week's earnings report to provide further clarity. ✅
NIFTY50.....Wave a of iv done?Hello Traders,
The NIFTY50 has reached my first target at the 248xx level. Check out my latest analysis.
The price target is at a wave 4 level of one degree lower. This can be a wave iv or a wave a of iv as I wrote before.
If it was a wave iv, the next move will take the N50 back to a new ATH!
If it was a wave a of iv, the next move should be against the trend and into the retracements. A close of the open gap between 25796.90 and 25452.85 would be a strong sign, but not expected! A possible price range is 25287.50 to 25473.55.
If the N50 falls without any recovery, the 244xx area will come into focus.
That's it for today's quick note. Update will follow after important changes or news.
Have a great week .....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment if necessary.
Trading based on this analysis is at your own risk.
Bond Yield Short (a.k.a Long Bonds): End of Corrective A-B-CThis is a call for Bonds yields to stop rising and to start falling. What this means is that treasuries will go up. I expect this fall in yield to be strong and accompanied by a fall in stock market.
Stop is shown on the chart. This is a rather aggressive stop.
NOTCOIN (NOTUSDT) Elliott Wavehello friends
In NOTCOIN (NOTUSDT) digital currency, we see the formation of a 5-wave or ziggurag pattern. Waves 1 or A, 2 or B, and 3 or C have been completed.
According to the above, two possible scenarios can be considered.
In the first scenario, we consider the formation of 5 impulse waves.
Assuming 5 waves and considering the formation of waves 1-4, we will expect the formation of wave 5 and the range of 0.0086 can be its first target. The stop loss of this scenario can be considered as 0.007717. Of course, as long as the closing price of wave 4 does not interfere with the closing price of wave 1, the theory is still valid and stop-plus can be cautiously considered on the closing price of wave 1.
The second scenario is to consider a zigzag.
This theory consists of 3 waves, which will be valid if the specified price floor is broken.
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EURGBP hello friends
In the EURGBP currency pair, we see the formation of a 5-wave pattern.
Waves 1-4 have been completed and microwaves 1 and 2 of 5 have also been completed.
Currently, wave 3 out of 5 has been applied.
Therefore, we expect the completion of wave 3 of 5, then wave 4 of 5, and finally wave 5 of 5.
Therefore, we should see the price increase.
The limit of loss can also be considered below the micro wave of 2 out of 5, which is the range of 0.8355.
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Anticipating Movement Towards Key LevelsThe XAU/USD is currently exhibiting a complex market behavior characterized by both bullish potential and significant resistance levels. I will closely monitoring the price action, particularly with hopes of a retracement to 2650.68 before targeting 2700. However, a decisive move below 2640 could deter buying interest.
GOLD → Consolidation below the SMA. What was the impact of NFP?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating below previously crossed SMA50 & 200 after Friday's shakeout. A surprising NPF shook up the market. The dollar is rallying while gold is drawing downside resistance....
The main reason for a possible decline in gold prices is the weakening expectations of a 0.5% Fed interest rate cut in November. A very strong NFP report all but eliminated the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in November. The reading beat market expectations of 140K by a wide margin. Nevertheless, the price of gold managed to resist a corrective decline thanks to the ongoing geopolitical risks associated with the escalating conflict in the Middle East. Traders are now looking forward to the upcoming Fed speech.
Gold is technically in the sideways range of 2685 - 2623. There is no actual direction, so you can trade between buy and sell levels....
Resistance levels: SMA, 2661, 2673
Support levels: 2639, 2631, 2623
Bears are likely to exert maximum strength in the resistance zone, the market may react by declining to the liquidity zones. There is a high enough probability of formation of a false breakout of resistance before further decline
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - New all time high this month! (must see)In the previous analysis, I recommended buying Bitcoin at 61k (falling wedge pattern). The current price is 64k and I predict Bitcoin to hit 73,777 in the next few weeks! This would be a new all-time high. Why is this level so important?
First we need to look at the previous price action because we have multiple lower highs at a similar price around 73k - 70k. The major liquidity is exactly at the major swing high! There are a lot of orders that the market wants, and that's why we can expect huge volume near this level. This level is definitely a good profit target, as we may see a significant short-term pullback there as well + consolidation period. After that, we may continue to levels above 100k.
From the Elliott wave perspective, Bitcoin started its wave 3 and you probably know that waves 3 are usually the strongest and longest. Bitcoin has been in a sideways consolidation period since March 2024 and formed a triple three WXYXZ corrective pattern. This pattern is now confirmed as the price broke out of the symmetrical triangle and successfully retested it!
Write a comment, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BITCOIN → The flirtation with MA-200 ended in failure. To 52K?BINANCE:BTCUSD failed in its attempt to break the daily MA-200 and 64-65K resistance. A retest of the previously broken range boundary and strong liquidity zone amid a global descending channel is forming. The crowd was in the majority, but...
On W1 the promising direction of the current trend is clearly visible. The price tested the upper boundary of the channel, but the bears pushed us down rather aggressively, making us realize that there is nothing to do in the zone above 65K yet.
One of the reasons for the btc drop we caught earlier: 94% of all BTC holders are now in profit. Dealers noted high activity in buying call options on BTC with a strike of $75000. There were also high sales of puts.
Trick question: How to make money if the crowd is buying?
Resistance levels: 62745, 64955
Support levels: 60K, 59250, 57700
A correction after the impulse is forming and the price may test the imbalance and liquidation zone. Having broken 62342 area earlier, we entered the panic zone, where sellers managed to grab a piece before further failure at 60K. Before the further fall, the price may go after these lucky sellers before the asset goes after the buyers on the background of the general trend. This would be considered a retest after breaking the structure. I do not see any reasons for growth beyond 64-65K at the moment, I am interested in the zone of 60K, 57K, 55K, 52K.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
AUS STOCK: NST ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS - 7 OCT, 2024 - BULLISHAUSTRALIAN STOCK: NST - 7 OCT, 2024
©Master of Elliott Wave: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M.
Wave (ii)-orange is unfolding to push lower a bit, then wave (iii)-orange will return to push higher, targeting the nearest target at $20.00. While price must remain above 14.43 to maintain this bullish view
BTCUSD Wave analysisUpdate on previous post:
As mentioned in previous post, the price moved up finishing B at level 66500 and started to move down afterward.
The Price has shown an impulse move down from 66500 to 60000 forming wave 1.
Now the price is about to finish wave 2, before making an impulse move down.
Ultimate target for the wave C would be around 40000.
Coinbase UpdateWe still don't have confirmation on the white vs turquoise count. I am beginning to lean towards the turquoise, but the white has yet to be made invalid at this time. I don't have the fibs on, but we're right at the 0.5 retracement fib of the white wave 3. Should price continue higher, then I will revert to the turquoise count.
In short, if we move lower from here, we should be targeting the grey box for the conclusion of wave a of (c) of C of (C). If price breaches $173 then I draft the turquoise count, and we should ideally target the upper box in what would be yet another sub-division. This is exactly why it is such a pain in the butt to track corrective patterns. They can be extremely complex creating sub-divisions upon subdivisions within sub-divisions lol. Hopefully soon, we get the clarity we're waiting on.