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Elliott Wave

GOLD → Market confirms downtrendFX:XAUUSD is testing resistance of a key descending channel. Bears continue to resist based on important fundamental aspects of the global economy Fears of further geopolitical escalation between Russia and Ukraine are likely to subside a bit. In addition, the Fed speech will help determine the U.S. central bank's future path on interest rates. Attention is focused on the December rate meeting.... Technically, the gold confirms the downtrend channel, so we have a key trend to follow in our trading decisions. A false breakdown of the local resistance at 2627 is forming. Consolidation of the price below this zone may provoke further decline Resistance levels: 2627, 2643 Support levels: 2694, 2560 Another resistance retest is possible. It will be possible to talk about buying after the price will be able to break 2643 and consolidate above this zone (additional scenario). But in priority I consider further decline from 2627 or from the channel resistance Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
8
DASH: Strong Gains Ahead IF Wedge Is BrokenDSHUSD is coming higher, out of a last week consolidation that we have been tracking around $25, but it looks like break higher was wave five because of current reversal down. However, it can be just another correction with a bullish cycle, that will be expected to resume after a-b-c retracement back to 25-26 support area. If we are correct, then strong recovery is yet to come, out of an ending diagonal that appears completed on a daily and weekly chart. Keep in mind that ending diagonals causes a sharp reversal and strogn recovery in price, which is far from over. Drop below 21 will suggests that bears are still here, for 18/17 wedge support.
COINBASE:DASHUSDLong
by ew-forecast
Solana - 15 min Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is an update to my 15 min count. I changed the count slightly from an ABC to an WXY as the Wave 2 in the previous C retraced to the 0.886 FIB which makes it less likely. In the WXY we already finished the W and the X and started working on the Y wave. The Y wave is an ABC of which Wave A and B are done with B hitting the 0.886 FIB. Wave C in yellow is ongoing and we might have finished Wave 2 of yellow C. We added the Wave 2 resistance for the yellow C wave and it sits between the 0.5 FIB at 242.93 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 245.54 USD. We do not want it to hit the 0.886 FIB at 246.46 USD. We also added a trendline which a break of could indicated that yellow Wave C is following through. On the chart you can see the targets for yellow Wave C sitting at the 1 to 1 FIB at 233.32 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 229.97 USD, the 1.38 FIB at 227.93 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 224.56 USD. We preferable hit the 1.618 FIB at 224.56 USD but we wanted to show you the other potential targets too. :) Noteworthy ist that the 1.618 extension for the Wave Y in the WXY is in confluence with the 1.38 FIB target of yellow Wave C at 227.93 USD. Wave 2 support of the green Wave 2 stays unchanged and still sits between the 0.382 FIB at 230.78 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 218.57 USD. Thanks for reading. NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Short
by KanashimiBro
Tesla UpdatePrice is still chopping around in my b wave target box, and thus far, the 0.786 is holding up. If the structure is to continue along the expected pathway, we should start to drop, ideally tomorrow, towards the c of A target box. That is not saying we get there tomorrow, just that I would like to see us begin our journey down. As the label suggests that should be the c wave of A. It will present as either a 3 or 5 wave pattern. Usually, this part of the pattern would have a stronger move then the rest. That is what usually causes MACD to print the lowest reading of the structure. The ALT count suggests that we get another high above the last @ $362.80. As stated prior, should price breach the top of the target box, odds of another high raise dramatically. It wouldn't be a guarantee, but would raise the probability significantly.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TSuth
3
Elliot waves meets Fibonacci [Educational]Hello everyone, today I like to share how I use elliot waves combined with fibonacci to analyze the market. The standard rules are: - Wave 2 can now be lower then the start of wave 1 - Wave 3 should be the longest - Wave 4 should not breach the high of wave 1 But to have a more objective view there are also price targets to be reached within the different waves. It's a complex subject to show in one chart, so feel free to ask in the comment section if you have any questions.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Kyrean
7
$SPY November 20, 2024AMEX:SPY November 20, 2024 15 Minutes. AMEX:SPY had a gap down. But did not break the recent low of 583.86 which I have taken as the starting point for current move. It took support at 200 averages in 60 minutes and started to move up. Noe for the move 583.86 to 589.49 to the fall 584.02 the first target is 592-593 levels as in box. In 15 minutes, we have 9,21,50 and 100 averages consolidated. So, for the rise 584.02 to 591.06 holding 586-587 levels, we target for 592-593 levels. 592-593 is important because it is also 61.8% retracement for the fall 599 to 584 levels. It is also 20 averages in 15 minutes. Hence, I expect a consolidation to happen between 591-593 levels today for a move tomorrow or Friday.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RiderTrader
6
Alikze »» ALGO | Scenario 3 or C bullish - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Scenario of the first cycle bullish wave 3 or C - 1W BINANCE:ALGOUSDT In the daily time frame, the ascending channel is moving. - In the analysis presented in the previous post , after reaching the dynamic trigger, it faced selling pressure and, after a correction of 0.23 Fibo of the previous wave, it was able to continue the upward movement to the supply area. - Considering the previous movement structure, which had an upward cycle to the 33 cent range, after which it made a three-wave downward correction cycle. 💎After that, by forming a Double Bottom, it was able to touch the middle of the channel and the neckline by creating demand. 💎Considering the momentum, this movement cycle can continue to the ceiling area of ​​the ascending channel and the supply area, and then with a temporary correction in the middle of the channel, it can continue the upward path to the second supply area. ⚠️In addition, if the price enters the Invalidation LVL range during this upward phase, the bullish scenario is invalidated and must be re-examined and updated.⚠️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Long
by alikze
PayPal (PYPL): New Features and Market ImpactPayPal NASDAQ:PYPL is currently up 44% from our initial entry, demonstrating strong performance within a developing trend channel. While not entirely symmetrical, the addition of a smaller trend channel on the upper side showcases nearly perfect alignment, highlighting this stock’s potential for growth. Last Thursday, PayPal announced a new feature allowing customers to collect money from friends and family for shared expenses, available in the US, Germany, Italy, and Spain. While innovative, this announcement led to a 4% dip in PayPal’s stock, likely due to profit-taking by investors. From a technical standpoint, we expect a three-wave correction to finalize wave (iv). Currently, the key support zone lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level near $76, which aligns with the last level before a low-volume node. If this support fails, the 50% Fibonacci level becomes the next likely target. However, NASDAQ:PYPL should avoid prolonged trading below wave (i)’s range of $70 to maintain its bullish structure.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
QUALCOMM (QCOM): Diversified Growth Amid DowntrendQualcomm ( NASDAQ:QCOM ) presents an intriguing setup as we believe the wave I and a larger cycle might have concluded. Following its peak, NASDAQ:QCOM has dropped nearly 30%, retracing back to the range high. To finalize wave (A), we expect an additional leg down to complete the intra 5-wave structure. The likely target lies between $143 and $133, a range that aligns well with the Point of Control (POC) from March 2020 to now. This adds confluence to its significance as a potential support zone. Despite the technical setup, we caution that the risk for a long position remains high. A more favorable entry could arise once NASDAQ:QCOM reclaims the range, validating the start of a potential bullish wave. For the current quarter, Qualcomm projects revenues between $10.5 billion and $11.3 billion, with automotive sales anticipated to rise 50% year over year. CEO Cristiano Amon’s strategy to diversify Qualcomm beyond smartphones into chips for PCs, cars, and industrial machines underscores the company’s adaptability. The next financial results release is scheduled for January 29, 2025, offering further insights into Qualcomm’s trajectory. The $143-$133 range is a key zone for potential support, bolstered by its alignment with the POC. A decisive break below this zone could invalidate the bullish outlook, while a breakout above the range high may provide an opportunity to long this stock with lower risk. The completion of wave (A) would ideally coincide with a structural turnaround. We are closely monitoring NASDAQ:QCOM for any signs of a reversal. Should the stock confirm a reclaim of the range, we may consider initiating a long position with a more precise stop-loss strategy. Until then, patience and vigilance are essential.
NASDAQ:QCOM
by freeguy_by_wmc
ayPal (PYPL): New Features and Market ImpactPayPal ( NASDAQ:PYPL ) is currently up 44% from our initial entry, demonstrating strong performance within a developing trend channel. While not entirely symmetrical, the addition of a smaller trend channel on the upper side showcases nearly perfect alignment, highlighting this stock’s potential for growth. Last Thursday, PayPal announced a new feature allowing customers to collect money from friends and family for shared expenses, available in the US, Germany, Italy, and Spain. While innovative, this announcement led to a 4% dip in PayPal’s stock, likely due to profit-taking by investors. From a technical standpoint, we expect a three-wave correction to finalize wave (iv). Currently, the key support zone lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level near $76, which aligns with the last level before a low-volume node. If this support fails, the 50% Fibonacci level becomes the next likely target. However, NASDAQ:PYPL should avoid prolonged trading below wave (i)’s range of $70 to maintain its bullish structure.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Chevron (CVX): Bottom in Sight?Chevron ( NYSE:CVX ) has maintained a wide range between $167 and $137 since March 2022, with one notable push above this range likely corresponding to the completion of wave 3. The focus is now on identifying the wave 4 bottom, which we anticipate to form between the 50-61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, or $128–$113. This range is supported by key technical indicators, including a High Volume Node Edge and a Point of Control (POC) within this area, adding significant confluence. From a macroeconomic perspective, Chevron faces challenges from declining crude oil prices, which is impacting investor sentiment. Despite a brief surge in oil-and-gas stocks following Donald Trump’s victory, this momentum has not sustained across the sector. Broader bearish factors such as weak Chinese demand, global overproduction, and OPEC’s indecision on further cuts add to the uncertainty. Bullish bets on oil due to geopolitical tensions have largely underperformed over the last two years, further pressuring the commodity and Chevron. Should NYSE:CVX reclaim the range high at $167, it could signal a trend reversal, suggesting the wave 4 bottom may already have formed at $135.55, the last significant low. However, if the resistance holds, further downside into the targeted area seems likely. We will continue monitoring how global tensions, oil price fluctuations, and broader market conditions impact Chevron’s performance. Until then, patience is key as we await a clear signal.
NYSE:CVXLong
by freeguy_by_wmc