Get started

Elliott Wave

Caterpillar (CAT): Construction Strength Amid Industrial SlumpCharting Caterpillar can be challenging, given the complexity of its price structure, but it’s fascinating to see how well it respects Elliott wave theory and trend channels. Despite the difficulties, the adherence to these principles makes the analysis quite promising. The construction sector for Caterpillar remains robust, while the true growth catalyst is expected from a recovery in the mining industry, driven by demand from China and other regions. However, it’s not all positive: industrial activity in the U.S. has been sluggish, with the Institute for Supply Management Purchasing Managers' Index falling below 50 in 21 of the last 22 months—marking one of the worst streaks on record. This industrial downturn certainly adds pressure. On a higher time frame, there’s not much new to add. However, we are looking for Caterpillar to move higher to complete wave (3). As shown in the zoomed-in chart (the chart in the left frame), we can observe how accurately the price is moving within the trendline. The "best-case" scenario for us would involve a push above the channel, followed by a sell-off. If this happens, it will provide a clearer indication that a larger correction—wave (4)—is imminent.
NYSE:CAT
by freeguy_by_wmc
1
More waiting on AMCExpecting more erosion on the price for a new lower low before the next eruption, the sideways consolidation which many expected to be a continuation pattern is breaking to the downside. The tricky thing with symmetrical triangles is that depending on where you start the count, can yield the complete opposite outcome. I think that the first move down from the peak was not part of the triangle but an A leg, continued by a B wave triangle, and now with the triangle breaking to the downside is the C leg. Expecting reversal around after the election. I will also note a huge overbought RSI on the May 14 peak which will be revisited.
NYSE:AMC
by BelaK
2
Alikze »» FTM | Wave 5 correction - 1H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 5 correction - 1H - According to the analysis presented in the previous post , in the weekly time frame, the first target has been the neckline, which was the supply area. - Currently, in the 1H time frame, after breaking the zone, a correction pattern is being formed. - Wave 4 correction in the range of the green box has formed a continuing downward pattern. - This corrective wave is in the form of wave 4 in an ascending channel, which by breaking it to the specified areas, this corrective cycle can be extended. Therefore, this wave can meet the demand after touching the specified areas and form an upward corrective cycle, which should be reviewed and updated. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:FTMUSDT
Short
by alikze
More down for BitcoinHi traders, Last week Bitcoin did not come into the higher Daily FVG but dropped immediately to the lower Daily FVG. After a reaction it dropped further and retested the Daily inverted FVG. So I think we could see another drop from here. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bearish, a small correction up on a lower timeframe and trade shorts. If you want to learn more about my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
Short
by EduwaveTrading
Gold could go up some moreHi traders, Last week XAUUSD went up some more and made a correction down. So for next week we could see the next impulsive wave up. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish and a (small) correction down on a lower timeframe to trade (short term) longs. If you want to learn more about trading with ICT/ SMC concepts and wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by EduwaveTrading
Down for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD started a correction down (wave 2). I think we could see a continuation of the downmove next week to finish the correction. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bearish and a correction up on a lower timeframe to trade shorts. If you want to learn more about wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by EduwaveTrading
2
Up for EUHi traders, Last week EURUSD tried to push up one more time to break the high but failed. After that it dropped very fast and broke and closed under market structure. This could be the finish of a big flat correction or it's the 1st impulsive leg of a big move down. So in both cases I think for next week we could see a (corrective or impulsive) upmove for this pair. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Trade (short term) longs after a change in orderflow to bullish and the finish of a correction down on a lower timeframe. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
GOLD → Ahead of NonFarm Payrolls. What to expect from gold?FX:XAUUSD is in consolidation with gradually narrowing local extrema. NonFarm Payrolls are ahead and traders are getting nervous about further movement. Up for renewal of highs or a long-awaited correction? Before NFP, traders resorted to adjusting positions, taking profits on the US dollar rally (reasons: strong employment and PMI data from ISM). The encouraging data weakened bets on an aggressive interest rate cut by the Fed. However, the decline in gold prices remains subdued due to heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The future direction of the gold price will be determined by the upcoming US employment data. Gold could move into a correction if NFP shows an upside surprise, which would impact the USD rally and strengthen bets for a 0.25% Fed rate cut in November. Conversely... Resistance levels: 2665, 2673, 2685 Support levels: 2653, SMA 200 & 50, 2640 The SMAs are narrowing, which could also be a hint of a possible correction (if there is a crossover). Technically gold is ready for a correction, but fundamentally, unpredictable news may affect further growth. Analysts are inclined to the beginning of correction on the background of strong economic data of the first half of the week Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
13
EURUSD → The triple top is in the 1.1200 zone. Falling?FX:EURUSD is facing strong resistance forming a reversal pattern relative to the 1.1200 sideways range boundary. The bulls are not yet able to continue the trend. The dollar is bouncing.... On the back of unpredictable economic data confirming the problems in the US economy (manufacturing, banking sector), the markets are rebounding. DXY strengthens after the market held 100.0 support. EURUSD reverses course amid sentiment changes. Price forms a triple top reversal pattern and faces a strong sell-off, within which breaks trend support. In the short-term, we may catch a correction to the imbalance zone (with the aim of retesting the previously broken channel boundary), after which the decline may continue to 1.100, 1.095, 1.089. Resistance levels: 1.11, 1.1125, 1.115 Support levels: 1.107, 1.104, 1.100 ADP NonFarm ahead and before the news, the market may quiet down and form a correction. In case of EURUSD, the zone of interest is 1.11 - 1.113. The fall may resume from these zones.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
WIFUSDT → A reversal set-up. Breakdown 2.100BINANCE:WIFUSDT changes the market structure to bearish. Traders are moving into the phase of profit-taking after the rally. The market is not ready to go up yet. The rally stops at the strong resistance zone at 2.639. A local false breakdown is formed relative to the extreme upward movement, indicating that buyers are not ready yet and sellers have come to the market (profit-taking). At the moment the market is testing 2.100 and is ready to break this support. A pullback is possible before breaking down. BUT, if the buyers now enter this zone and consolidate below 2.100, the prospect of further decline will come very quickly. Resistance levels: 2.15, 2.2 Support levels: 2.100, 1.96. 1.95 A breakdown and consolidation below 2.100 will activate strong selling amid a general bear market. If the price further enters the flat channel, it may cause a decline to 1.45 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:WIFUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
Microsoft (MSFT): Decision Point – Will It Hold or Drop?Since our last analysis on Microsoft, not much has changed in terms of price action, as it rose to $469 before getting stuck again at $416. However, there is one major development – Microsoft has formed a new trend channel. We have marked this crucial channel in red and labeled it "Must hold for more upside," emphasizing its importance. A major decision is approaching for $MSFT. Either Microsoft holds this channel, leading to a surge higher, or it loses this level, which would confirm the bearish head and shoulder pattern. We've maintained a bearish outlook on Microsoft since January 2024, and recent developments seem to support our analysis. For now, we're patiently waiting and letting the market decide. If Microsoft loses the channel, we could find initial support for wave (A) around $316-306. However, a better buying opportunity for wave II may present itself closer to $220 – though reaching this level will take some time. 🫡
NASDAQ:MSFT
by freeguy_by_wmc
Xiaomi (1810): Major Gains, Next Targets and Updated StrategyThe Hang Seng Index and its constituent stocks have been surging higher, with Xiaomi leading the charge 🚀. The setup we had on Xiaomi was quite similar to the one for Alibaba, featuring a tight stop-loss and a high risk-to-reward ratio, which, just like NYSE:BABA , worked out perfectly. Although we aimed to catch the end of wave (ii), we missed the entry by just a few HKD. Despite this, the position is now up an impressive 85% since we initially sent out the entry back in March. We have taken our first round of profits as we haven't locked in any gains yet, and we have moved our stop-loss to the break-even point. However, we are confident that Xiaomi will not revisit this level for a long time. We took profits upon reaching a key wave 3 extension level. While we expect further gains on the lower time frame, we must also respect what the higher time frame indicates. Whether it's longing wave (iv) or wave 4, the choice depends on whether we are right about the higher or also the lower time frame. On the higher time frame, we anticipate a maximum rise to 30 HKD before we see a significant correction. We believe there is still substantial upside potential for Xiaomi – it's only a matter of time. We'll keep monitoring both scenarios closely and act accordingly 📈.
HKEX:1810Long
by freeguy_by_wmc