Elliott Wave
BTCUSD Analysis dated 16 Apr 2025 (Monthly Chart: Long Term)Currently, it is on "Motive Super Grand Cycle w3"
Based on Fibonacci Level, ending of Motive Super Grand Cycle w3 is long way to go with price target at 261.8% of Fibonacci Projection Motive Super Grand Cycle w1 - w2 of USD 195,310.13
Sidenote: Wave 3 can be ended anything between 161.8% - 261.8% at very least.
At the moment, it is forming Motive Grand Cycle w1 on Jan 2024 with highest price on USD 109,354 but not yet confirmed, until MACD line cross below Signal Line (See Red Circle Under MACD Indicator)
Motive Grand Cycle w2 Action Plan
Step 1a) Once Motive Grand Cycle w1 completed (MACD line cross below Signal Line and approaching Zero-Line)
Step 1b) Price is entering CDC Action Zone between EMA12 and EMA 26
Step 2) Enter Long Position once MACD line cross above Signal Line
Likelihood for Running flat/Expanded flat type of Grand Cycle w2 is very high since it is under Motive Super Grand Cycle w3 right now.
For zoom-in analysis, please see BTCUSD Analysis dated 16 Apr 2025 (Weekly Chart), see comment below.
Gold Dips From PRZ – Will Supports Hold for New ATH?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to correct again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Resistance lines . The question is, can Gold create a new All-Time High(ATH) again?
In terms of Elliott waves , Gold appears to be completing a main wave 4 . This main wave 4 is likely to complete near the Support lines and Support zone($3,168-$3,133) .
I expect Gold to either rise again after breaking the Resistance zone($3,220-$3,211) or near the Support zone($3,168-$3,133) and Support lines .
Do you think Gold can create a new All-Time High(ATH) again?
Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($3,168-$3,133), we should expect a further correction from Gold.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
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Will the US Energy Sector Outperform the Overall US Market📈 The US Energy Sector has completed a textbook corrective pattern, ideally a fourth wave.
⏺️ If the 74.49 low holds (-7% decline from today), this sector has the potential to gain at least 23% over the coming months.
🟠 A breach of 74.49 invalidates this outlook.
Nvidia : Should I be worried?Looking closely at Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , we can see that since March, the price has gravitated back to the Point of Control (POC) on the volume profile. From there, we’ve seen a solid reaction — up around 33%, after Nvidia had previously taken a sharp hit from its recent top.
In my view, it’s very possible that Wave 4 is now complete. It’s been a very complex, sideways consolidation, but that’s typical behavior for a fourth wave. Zoom out, and the bigger picture looks a lot cleaner — this whole range doesn’t seem nearly as messy on the higher timeframes.
That said, I’m not fully bullish yet. For me, $122 is the key level. Only once we break and hold above $122, I’ll shift into a more confidently bullish stance. Until then, it’s still possible we revisit the $80–$85 range, maybe even sweep the previous low. It doesn’t have to happen, but structurally, it’s still on the table.
Given the broader uncertainty — macroeconomic pressure, U.S.–China tensions, regulatory noise — I’m staying cautious. For now, I’m mainly focused on this from an 8-hour chart perspective. Until we get that confirmation above $122, I’m not rushing into any aggressive positions.
Big Drop Ahead on DXY! Smart Money Already Selling!”Idea in Simple Terms:
Bias: Bearish.
Current Position: Wave B or early C.
Action Plan: Look for sell setups in the minor resistance zones.
Final Target: 92.00–94.00 area .
“Key Idea” Illustration:
This shows a simplified roadmap:
DXY is expected to rally slightly into the minor resistance.
Then, a sharp drop toward the blue demand zone, respecting the ABC correction.
XAUUSD update: Are done with this bullish cycle?Given the current wave structure looks like we are yet to complete the bullish phase. Now I am expecting a short term pullback for lower degree 4th wave where I expect price to find support at 50% fib then continuation to the upside. Overall we are bullish but we should expect periods of price to pullback to gain momentum.
EWTSU 6E1! subminuette wave v developping
Elliott Wave trade analysis
micro wave ((5)) of subminuette wave v developping
look at kennedy channels technique to monitor wave ((5)) of ((v))
confirmation: price break over 1.1470 and rise with a motive 5 waves pattern
invalidation: price break below area 1.1300
"BIST100: Triangle Signals 20-25% Drop"BIST100 (XU100)
In the monthly Cash Data, we see that a Reverse Neutral Triangle has formed and the post-pattern movement (the downward movement after wave-(e)) has also confirmed it and it seems that BIST100 is preparing for at least a 20-25% correction.
If the beginning of wave-(b) is broken, i.e. the number 7189, the correction of this index can continue to 5705.
MANA Motive Wave
The gray descending trendline has been broken, in what looks to be a motive wave (green I-V).
I will be looking for green IV corrections, ideally retesting the trendline, for long trades.
On the flipside, there is no RSI divergence on the recent low, so the probability that we have seen a bottom is not that big.
XRP - Choppy Market, Will We See $1.5 Again?After finishing the 5-wave structure in early 2025, XRP had a rough patch, trading between $3 and $2 and offering some pretty neat swing trade opportunities. Now, two months later, the big question is: will this range continue, or is a breakout on the horizon? Let’s break down the key levels and high-probability setups.
Short Trade Setup
Resistance Zone:
The weekly level and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement are both around $2.5763 to $2.5792, aligning nicely with each other.
The anchored VWAP from the all-time high at $3.4 adds extra resistance at about $2.63.
Setup Details:
A low-risk short trade can be considered at the weekly level, with a stop-loss set above both the anchored VWAP and the swing high.
Target: The monthly open, aiming for an R:R of about 4:1.
Support Backup:
Additional support in this range comes from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (from a low at $1.9 to a high at $2.59), the weekly 21 SMA at $2.28, and a weekly level at $2.0942 just below the monthly open.
This support between the weekly level at $2.0942 and the monthly open is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. If it holds, the bearish short setup stands; if it breaks, things could get tricky.
Long Trade Setup
When to Consider a Long:
If the support zone mentioned above fails, look for a long trade opportunity at the swing low around $1.77.
Support Confluence:
Primary Support: The swing low at $1.77, with lots of liquidity around that area.
Additional Layers:
The monthly level at $1.5988.
The weekly level at $1.5605 sits just below the monthly.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the 5-wave structure at $1.5351.
Anchored VWAP from the low at $0.3823, aligning with the weekly level.
And don’t forget the psychological level at $1.5.
Setup Details:
This long trade setup would offer an attractive R:R of roughly 6:1, targeting back to the monthly open for an approximate 33% gain, with a stop-loss placed below the $1.5 mark.
XRP's current trading range has provided some good short and long trade setups, a long opportunity at the swing low ($1.77-$1.5) could be the next big play. Whether you lean towards short or long, finding these confluence zones helps in making more informed, high-probability trade decisions.
If you found it helpful, please leave a like and a comment. Happy trading!
EURUSD update: Is wave 4 complete?On my previous analysis earlier today I was expecting a triangle to be formed for the 4th wave. However, the idea is now invalidated. Now what to expect from this current structure is price to continue lower to complete a WXY correction to around 50% fib or continue up from the current level. The only way to take advantage to ride this last 5th wave of lower degree is by lower time frame confirmation. Lets keep monitoring the price. Cheers.