Elliott Wave
Wave 4 Triangle or Running Flat? Key Levels to Watch!As seen in the chart, I'm tracking a potential Wave 4 triangle forming in gold. The price action has respected the A-B-C-D-E structure so far, suggesting that consolidation might be nearing completion before a breakout into Wave 5.
However, if the price breaks above Wave D's high prematurely, this would invalidate the triangle and suggest that Wave 4 already ended as a running flat, meaning we may already be in the early stages of Wave 5.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Resistance: – The triangle scenario is invalid if the price breaks above this level without completing Wave E.
🔹 Support Zone: – Holding above this would strengthen the case for a triangle breakout.
🔹 Invalidation: A strong impulse below the support zone could indicate a deeper correction instead of Wave 5 beginning.
If the triangle holds, we could see one more touch of support before Wave 5 extends higher. Otherwise, the market may already be heading up in a more aggressive move.
Which scenario do you think will play out? Drop your thoughts below!
EURUSD Hits Resistances—Reversal Incoming?As I expected in the previous post , the EURUSD( FX:EURUSD ) touched my Targets and is creating the second top of the ascending channel.
The EURUSD is in the Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Resistance lines , and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) near the Monthly Resistance(1) and the upper line of the ascending channel.
In terms of Elliott wave theory , EURUSD seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave C of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect the EURUSD to start falling soon, and it is likely to form a Head and Shoulders Pattern to continue the decline.
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.055, we can expect more pumps.
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Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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Bitcoin Price Update. Pending accumulation.The final phase of the bull run needs time for more significant accumulation. From current levels, I don’t expect decisive moves to new all-time highs.
High probability of a short-term bounce from 92,100. New all-time highs and the start of Bitcoin’s next major trend are more likely after a pullback to the Fib 0.5 zone.
BITCOIN → Consolidation. Shake-out before growth to 110KBINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating both locally and globally. The market lacks drivers, but at the same time, big players continue to keep the coin from falling further
Bitcoin is in consolidation or in a localized correction due to Trump putting cryptocurrencies on the back burner. No supportive executive orders have been issued, except that there is a little noise around the federal reserve, but only from the states and that is in question what assets will fill this fund, confiscated or still politicians will start buying BTC. As for the global economy regarding bitcoin, a lull has been forming lately. Except for SOL and DOGE, for which the SEC has already started accepting applications to launch ETFs.
Technically, I'm keeping an eye on local consolidation: 94800 - 98400. A breakout of resistance could give hope to the market and in that case bitcoin could strengthen to 102 - 107K
Resistance levels: 98.4, 100.2, 102.7
Support levels: 94.8, 91.3
But, based on the general technical situation, there is a huge pool of liquidity in the 91-90K zone and before further growth the price may test this zone and form a false breakdown before the market returns to active buying.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 18 February 2025
- EURUSD reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1.0400
EURUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone located between the resistance level 1.0500 (which has been reversing the price from December), upper daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from November.
The price will form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star Doji if the pair closes today near the current levels (strong sell signal for EURUSD).
Given the clear daily downtrend, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.0400.
XAUUSD H1: What is happening to GOLD?Technical analysis:
The price line is still showing a continued uptrend, important levels are broken and ready for a new ETH GOLD peak! 2 important price zones in the current uptrend are 2934, 2942.
Gold investors all see that gold has a strong upward trend, reaching 2940 USD/oz from October 2023 to present, surpassing the resistance of 2000 USD, showing a strong upward trend. However, if we consider the movements, gold has increased 4 times per week and there is a high possibility that there will be an adjustment in this sensitive area.
If we consider the cycle, gold in the monthly frame is still in the same upward phase as the quarterly frame, but currently we see that gold has increased for 27 months, corresponding to enough time for a monthly increase phase.
Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices were flat in the first session of the week as investors awaited further details on US President Donald Trump's tariff plans, which could escalate global trade tensions.
Senior Trump administration officials will begin peace talks with Russia and Ukraine in Saudi Arabia in the coming days, which is news that many investors are interested in. Gold has been seen as a safe haven asset during the recent period when geopolitical tensions have escalated.
SPX Long Trade Setup Analysis (3H Timeframe - Vantage)🔹 Current Setup:
- 🦈 The Bullish Shark Pattern has completed at D (5912.17), indicating a potential reversal zone.
- 📉 Price is currently bouncing off the 1.001 Fibonacci extension level.
- 📍 Key Resistance Levels (Take Profit Targets):
- 🎯 TP1: Fibonacci 27.2% extension (~6201.66)
- 🎯 TP2: Fibonacci 61.8% extension (~6286.52)
- 📍 Key Support Levels:
- ❗ Critical Stop Zone: 5889.73 (inside the previously broken channel)
- 🔻 Deeper Bearish Target: 5782.41 (161.8% Fibonacci extension)
📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup)
- 🟢 Entry: Above 5945 (current market price)
- 🎯 Take Profit 1: 6201 (27.2% Fibonacci extension)
- 🎯 Take Profit 2: 6286 (61.8% Fibonacci extension)
- 🔴 Stop Loss: Below 5890 (to avoid whipsaws)
✅ Justification:
- 🔹 Price has bounced from a strong Fibonacci support level
- 🔹 Harmonic pattern suggests a potential bullish reversal
- 🔹 TP targets align with Fibonacci extension levels and previous structure resistance
📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup)
- ❌ Invalidation Level: Below 5880
- 🔻 Downside Targets:
- 5820: First support area
- 5782: 161.8% Fibonacci extension
✅ Justification:
- ❗ If the price breaks below 5890, the harmonic pattern fails, signaling more downside
- ❗ 5782 aligns with channel equilibrium, meaning a further drop could happen
⚡ Key Takeaways
- 🔹 Bullish bias above 5912, bearish below 5890
- 🔹 A break above 6000 will confirm the uptrend
- 🔹 A break below 5880 could lead to 5782 or lower
PYTHUSDT: A Massive Move Incoming? Watch This Level Closely! Yello, Paradisers! Is PYTHUSDT about to break out, or is a deeper drop still on the table? Let’s break it down.
💎PYTHUSDT has formed a well-structured descending channel with a corrective wave pattern and bullish divergence, signaling a strong probability of an upcoming bullish move. However, confirmation is key.
💎If PYTHUSDT breaks out and closes candle above the resistance zone, this will validate the descending channel and could trigger a bullish move.
💎In case of panic selling or a deeper retracement, we may see a temporary bounce, but the real focus should be on the resistance zone and a confirmed breakout for a high-probability setup.
💎On the flip side, if PYTHUSDT breaks down and closes candle below the key support level, the bullish setup will be invalidated, and waiting for better price action would be the smarter approach.
🎖 The key here is patience and precision—don’t jump in blindly. Watch for confirmation, trade with discipline, and always wait for the best setups. The market rewards those who stay ahead of the herd!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Emerging Markets Are Breaking Higher; Be Aware Of Lower USDollarEmerging markets, represented by the EEM chart, have been trending lower since October 2024 in what appears to be a complex W-X-Y corrective pattern. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) experienced a strong rally, driven by Trump’s victory in the US elections. However, the rally formed a wedge pattern, which suggests that its upside momentum may be coming to an end.
Why is the correlation between EEM and DXY important? If the Trump administration pushes oil prices lower, inflation expectations could also decline. This would likely lead to lower interest rates, which in turn could weigh on the USD. In such a scenario, capital may flow out of the US and into emerging markets.
Now that EEM is recovering and breaking above a key channel resistance, it signals that bullish momentum is returning. If this trend continues on EEM to 2024 highs, then DXY could decline to the 105–103 range—or possibly even as low as 100.
PECCA will create 5th WAVE The current price is 1.43 with a gain of 0.04 (+2.88%). The stock is currently trading at 1.43, up from an earlier value of 1.42.
Key technical indicators visible include:
Volume (Vol 20): 4.94M shares with 2.89M average
Multiple moving averages: SMA 50 (1.44), SMA 20 (1.45), SMA 10 (1.42), and SMA 200 (1.34)
Supertrend indicators with values 1.92 and 1.39
The chart shows several buy and sell signals marked throughout the price history, with the most recent being a "Sell" signal near the current price level. There's a notable pattern of price movement between support and resistance levels, with diagonal trendlines drawn on the chart.
The lower panels display volume data, cash flow metrics, and net income figures with specific Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) values noted at different time periods (Sep '23, Dec '23, Mar '24, Jun '24, Sep '24).
The price appears to have recently declined from a peak around 1.55, but remains above the longer-term SMA 200 support level of 1.34.
Formation of SPRING on FBMKLCI Fledgling IndexThe current price is 18,837.49, down 27.47 points (-0.14%). The chart displays several moving averages (SMA 50, 20, and 10) and appears to be in a downtrend, with price currently at a support level around 18,900.
Multiple buy and sell signals are marked on the chart, with the most recent activity showing selling pressure. The price has formed lower highs and lower lows since reaching a peak around 19,700.
The bottom panel shows volume indicators and some financial metrics including "Cash from operating activities - FQ" and "Net income (cash flow) - FQ". The chart includes various technical indicators and appears to be from a trading platform with drawing tools visible at the top.
STMXUSDT profits from 80% to 100% This is my idea,, and analysis about STMX.
There so no confirmation to inter until now , but we need to see divergence + also RSI above 45 with strong movement up , if the price go down this is will be good to buy from the bottom, don’t Rush to buy , wait from confirmation from other indicators that your using always .
Keep your eye on it , there is no signal to buy now , but soon will be.
This is my first analysis here i hope you like it and good luck.
I will update it later if i saw some interesting people and followers.
Bitcoin Seasonality - Best Month (October) and Best Day (Monday)It's very important for every Bitcoin trader to know its seasonality because this will significantly increase the probability of successful trades. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years, and I successfully use seasonality patterns to predict Bitcoin price movements. For example, you don't want to go long on Bitcoin during August or September; that's probably a very bad idea. The biggest market crashes usually happen in September. But you definitely want to go long in October or April, as these months are the most promising. Knowledge of these patterns will give you an advantage over standard retail traders. Every trade matters.
Average return by Month (%)
January: +5.1%
February: +12.1%
March: +4.8%
April: +18.7%
May: +14.2%
June: +4.4%
July: +6.1%
August: -3.1%
September: -8.4%
October: +22.2%
November: +17.9%
December: +7.3%
Average return by Weekday (%)
Monday: +0.63%
Tuesday: +0.18%
Wednesday: +0.54%
Thursday: +0.40%
Friday: +0.37%
Saturday: +0.45%
Sunday: +0.10%
Currently I am bullish on Bitcoin as the price is in an uptrend and the bear market is not confirmed; I expect Bitcoin to hit 115k probably at the end of February/March. What I also expect is an alt season - alt season is starting right now! So it's time to buy some altcoins. Ethereum should outperform BTC in the next weeks as well.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!