EGLD Eyes Tactical Rebound from Structural SupportEGLD remains in a defined macro downtrend since its $544 ATH, but the current price action is reacting once again at a key lateral trendline that has historically triggered major bullish rebounds. The ongoing bounce from this structural support suggests a potential short-term rally toward the $40 resistance zone.
We're positioning within the immediate demand zone, with close attention on price behavior at the nearby weak resistance, which could cap this relief move. A breakdown below this demand region, however, opens the door for deeper downside toward the critical support zone highlighted on the chart.
Elliott Wave
GOLD → Reversal or correction? What to do now?FX:XAUUSD reaching the psychological high of $3500 has entered the correction phase, which was also influenced by a slight easing of the tariff conflict between the U.S. and China....
After falling without reaching the zone of interest 3288, the gold price is strengthening at the beginning of the European session, expecting PMI data from the U.S.. Earlier, the metal reached a record of $3,500, but rolled back amid hopes for an easing of the trade war with China and words of the US Treasury Secretary about a possible “détente”.
The dollar recovered as part of the correction, but investors doubt Trump's predictability, gold at this time begins a correction. In the center of attention is the PMI index from S&P Global: its results may affect expectations for Fed Funds rates and give a new direction to the market.
Resistance levels: 3340, 3360, 3366
Support levels: 3317, 3288
Technically gold is in correction and confirms the bearish structure. But any unexpected statement by Trump may attract aggressive buying.
Nevertheless, we should now consider a possible decline from 3340 - 3360 - 3366. Buying could be considered on a retest of support or a close above 3370.
Regards R. Linda!
EURAUD → False breakdown as part of a bullish trend correctionFX:EURAUD amid the global bullish trend is forming a correction to the trading range support. Bulls are trying to hold the 1.775 zone
The currency pair is in a wide range, in consolidation. Relative to the lower boundary of the range, the price makes a false breakdown and liquidity capture, which may lead to a correction to 0.5 of the range, or to resistance
Price consolidation above 1.775 and formation of local reversal pattern may affect further growth (global trend is bullish, locally - correction). The fundamental background is unstable, but the dollar index is still in correction after a strong fall....
Resistance levels: 1.7855, 1.7987
Support levels: 1.775, 1.7695
If the bulls hold the defense above the key support - the lower boundary of the trading range, the currency price may bounce up and head for the liquidity accumulated above the resistance....
Regards R. Linda!
Will History Repeat Itself? $580 Target For SPY By Early MayThe market has been in the doldrums since finding support after a nasty wave of selling that caused AMEX:SPY to decline by an additional 15% in a matter of days. Since we’ve been chopping around in this $65 range, we have seen some sharp swings both ways, but little sense of direction. i think that is about to change soon. Using the time around the Death Cross (When the daily 50MA crosses below the 200MA) of 2022 as a frame of reference, and taking recent PA into account using Elliott Wave, I think it is clear a bear market rally is already underway.
Starting with 2022, the price fell in three distinct waves before making a significant retracement. The day after the 50MA crossed below the 200MA, the price found a temporary bottom before chopping around for 13 sessions. Volume was on a steady decline before the price made a higher low and retraced nearly 75% of Wave (A) over the course of another 13 sessions (13 is a fibonacci number btw). The price briefly spiked above all of the moving averages (50/100/200) before getting sold off again in the strongest wave of the bear market of that year.
Now looking at the daily chart for this year, the setup is a little bit different but there are still similarities. For starters, the 50MA crossed below the 200MA a few days after the market found a temporary bottom at $482. What I’m counting as Wave A of (B) lasted for five sessions (another Fibonacci number). Wave B of (B) was actually four sessions but I decided to compare the volume of both movements using the same chunk of time. As you can see, there was nearly double the volume in Wave A vs Wave B, signaling that bulls are in control (for now). Volume in Wave A was comparatively higher on average than the entire downtrend, which is also worthy of note.
Since we are now in Wave C of (B) and the 100MA is converging with the 200MA, we should see the squeeze here. A similar retracement to complete Wave (B), when comparing to 2022, would suggest AMEX:SPY will spike above $580 rather quickly before the next sell off. If Wave C were to unfold in a more conservative eight sessions (the next biggest fib number) we should see Wave (B) end around Thursday May 1st. It could take a little bit longer since the next FOMC is May 6-7, which could be an event that will cause the market to change directions.
Lastly, for a closer look, this is how I am counting the sub-waves on the 500R ($5) chart. Wave B was a classic Regular Flat pattern that saw wave (c) find support slightly past 100% of wave (a) at roughly $509. The price quickly found support (much faster than I would have expected) without filling the gap and ripped higher. We’ve also seen the price hover around monthly VWAP for a while, which indicates somewhat of an agreement on price despite the wild swings.
The price gapped up over 2% on Wednesday before seeing some selling in the afternoon. We could either close this gap on Thursday or continue higher to close the upper gap at $560 and beyond. Volume increased from wave (b)-(c), and has remained higher - which I think is accumulation. Using intraday ratios, Wave C of (B) could extend as high as the 1.618 extension at $587.
Actually, one last thing. TVC:VIX price action also supports my thesis. Even through the PA on AMEX:SPY was relatively neutral on Wednesday after the gap up, VIX still importantly dropped below support and is now below the 0.618 retracement. I think it will return to the 200MA for support, which usually hovers around $20. Fib circles added just because they’re kind of interesting to me when analyzing VIX.
If you’ve made it this far, thank you for reading and good luck. As always - use your best judgement and be ready to react to anything that happens in the market.
USDJPY Breakdown? (Elliott Wave)USDJPY bounced higher from a horizontal support shelf created from August - September 2024.
Using Elliott Wave Theory as our guide, the model suggests a breakdown below the support shelf is looming nearby.
I'm keeping an eye on 144.55. Below this mark, the risk remains high of a breakdown in a wave (iii).
Even if 144.55 is hit to the upside, wave (iii) is the favored model we are following.
USDJPY is dancing on top of the support shelf now. May break below and revisit the support shelf from the underside. Once the break appears, downside targets are large.
128 becomes the first target with even lower levels possible.
EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD, and AUDUSD appear to be reversing too. This means EURJPY, GBPJPY, CADJPY, and AUDJPY may be ready to trend lower.
GBP/USD at a Turning Point – Correction Pattern in PlayIt appears that corrective Wave A in the GBP/USD pair is nearing completion, and Wave B may be forming. The Wave 1 to 5 structure seems to have been completed, indicating the beginning of an A-B-C corrective phase.
If the correction unfolds as expected, potential upside targets are 1.32918 and 1.33555. However, if the market faces rejection below the trendline, the stop-loss level would be 1.32021.
EURCHF Wave Analysis – 23 April 2025
- EURCHF broke the resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.9500
EURCHF currency pair recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 0.9365 (former strong support from the start of 2025) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from March.
The breakout of this resistance area should accelerate the active upward correction which started earlier from the major support level 0.9250.
Given the strength of the support level 0.9250 and the strong outflows from the Swiss franc, EURCHF currency pair can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 0.9500.
AUDNZD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
On the AUDNZD currency pair chart, we are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 5 are quite clear and we can even count its sub-waves. Now a 5-wave pattern has formed, with wave C completed by a range.
Wave 5 of wave C is a contracting triangle.
Now the upper trend line of this triangle has been broken and pulled back.
So we expect the price to grow. Any situation may arise.
The first target is also the 1.08400 range.
The stop loss is also considered the 1.06500 range.
Good luck and be profitable.
Is ONDO About to Crash Before the Next Big Rally? Yello Paradisers, are you ready for the next big #ONDOUSDT move, or will you be caught off guard by the next dump? Let’s break down what’s really happening here before it’s too late.
💎#ONDOUSDT has been following a clear Elliott Wave impulse structure. After completing the 5th wave of the impulse move, we’ve now entered the corrective phase. So far, the A and B waves have already played out, and now the C wave seems to be on its way — likely heading toward a key support area around 0.8112.
💎This support level is not just psychological — it also aligns perfectly with a well-respected ascending trendline, giving the level even more technical confluence. If buyers step in strongly here, this could be the launching point for the next impulsive bullish leg.
💎However, if the 0.8112 zone fails to hold, there’s a high probability we could see a deeper correction — potentially down toward the 0.618 Fibonacci level. This would still be a technically valid correction and might attract even stronger buying interest.
💎On the flip side, confirmation of bullish continuation would come once the pair regains momentum from the support zone and pushes towards the higher resistance levels. Watch closely for reactions in those zones — they will dictate the strength of the next leg up.
💎The invalidation of this bullish structure would be confirmed if we get a candle close below 0.6967. This would mean a break below both the ascending trendline and the 2nd wave of the Elliott impulse — a clear sign to reassess the structure.
Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. Stay sharp and follow the structure — it's unfolding right in front of us, Paradisers.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Going long on BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin has made a 5 wave move to the downside, it is forming a bullish RSI divergence on the 4-hour chart, it already shown climatic volume on the recent bounce, seems like downside should be limited from here in the short to mid-term. Long term, the trend is still down.
I expect a multi-week bounce from here, probably to the 50% retracement, around 92k, before continuing to move down to a deeper lower-low.
Good luck to you
SOLANA → Pre-breakout consolidation relative to 136.00BINANCE:SOLUSDT relative to the range support forms a false breakdown. The market reacts quite positively and the price recovers, forming a consolidation in front of strong resistance
Bitcoin is also in consolidation, as well as SOL, in general the movements coincide, but lately bitcoin is leading relative to the stock market.
SOL is in consolidation in front of a strong resistance level at 136.00. The primary test may end with a small correction to 0.5 fibo, or consolidation near the level, but a breakout and price consolidation above the current consolidation will be a positive signal for continued growth. The global trend reversal is out of the question, we are aiming at local targets, such as 140, 147, 152.
Resistance levels: 147,152
Support levels: 129, 123, 111
In general, the global market situation is bearish, the local situation is neutral as the price is in a sideways range. A false breakdown was formed against the support of the current range. Technically, due to liquidity imbalance (after the false breakdown) the price may head towards such zones as 147 - 152
Regards R. Linda!
DeFi Index Completes Irregular Flat Correction; Bulls Back?DeFi Index may have a completed irregular flat correction within an uptrend, which may cause another rally this year, according to Elliott wave theory.
Cryptocurrencies are recovering and DeFi Index is now bouncing back above EW channel, so a five-wave impulse into wave (C) of an irregular (A)(B)(C) flat correction in blue wave B can be finished. It means that a higher degree blue wave C can now be in play, which can rally this year all the way back to March 2024 highs. Is this the beginning of an ALTseason?
A basic bullish irregular flat correction is a three-wave (A-B-C) pattern where wave B exceeds the start of wave A and wave C dips below wave A before the overall bullish trend resumes.
GBPUSD → A false breakout can trigger a correction FX:GBPUSD is strengthening as part of the rally associated with the fall in the dollar index, but there is a technically strong resistance zone ahead that could trigger a correction...
The dollar index, due to US politics, desire for lower interest rates, tariff war, continues its decline, giving an advantage to the currency pairs of the main basket.
Against this background, the pound sterling is strengthening and is ready to test the key resistance at the moment: 1.343. The huge pool of liquidity, accumulated behind this area may not let the price up at the first time. The last test and confirmation of this level was half a year ago.
Resistance levels: 1.343
Support levels: 1.3292, 1.3207
A sharp approach to resistance, a false breakout without the possibility of growth continuation and consolidation below the resistance 1.3430 may provoke a correction in the imbalance zone or liquidity 1.3292.
Regards R. Linda!
Gold Analysis Based Elliott Triangle WaveCAPITALCOM:GOLD h2 timeframe Gold pair analysis for today 23 April 2025 Gold analysis based on Elliott Impulse wave and Elliott Triangle Wave
We first consider the (1 to 5) Elliott Impulse Wave which succeeded in going up from the bottom. Now we will consider the (ACBDE) Elliott Triangle Wave for the coming days which indicates going down from the top to 3050. we look at the RSI which is hovering around 41.02 which is clearly indicating a sell trend and we will consider selling.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD Gold Sell Entry 3336
TP 3214
TP 3050
SL 3400