AUDCAD Wave Analysis 23 January 2025
- AUDCAD broke round resistance level 0.9000
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.9080
AUDCAD currency pair recently broke the round resistance level 0.9000 (which stopped the previous wave 4 at the start of January)
The breakout of the resistance level 0.9000 coincided with the breakout of the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous downward impulse from December and the daily down channel from September – which accelerated the active impulse wave 1.
AUDCAD currency pair can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 0.9080 (top of wave b from the middle of December).
Elliott Wave
Gold Spot Price Action and SMC Analysis: Potential Buy SetupOANDA:XAUUSD Gold Spot Price Action and SMC Analysis: Potential Buy Setup
Chart Analysis:
The chart shows the Gold Spot price against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, published on TradingView. The chart is annotated with various technical analysis tools and indicators, including trend lines, Fibonacci retracement levels, volume profile, and moving averages.
Price Action Analysis:
The price is currently in an uptrend, as indicated by higher highs and higher lows.
A significant bullish breakout (BOS - Break of Structure) is observed above the previous resistance level around 2700.
The price is trading above the 50-period moving average, which is acting as dynamic support.
Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
The chart shows a clear accumulation phase followed by a markup phase, indicating strong buying interest.
The price has broken above the key resistance level (BOS) and is now retesting this level, which could act as support.
The volume profile shows a high volume node around 2647.986, suggesting strong support at this level.
ICT Elliott Wave Analysis:
The chart displays an Elliott Wave pattern with labeled waves 0-1-2-3.
The current price action suggests the completion of wave 3, with a potential retracement to wave 4.
Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from the low of wave 2 to the high of wave 3, with key levels at 0.382 (2703.61456), 0.5 (2697.075), 0.618 (2690.53544), 0.705 (2685.7139), and 0.786 (2681.22488).
Buy Strategy:
Entry: Buy at the retest of the breakout level around 2700.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 2721.420 (21.42 pips)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 2726.295 (26.295 pips)
Stop Loss (SL): 2685.7139 (14.2861 pips)
VIP Signal:
Entry: 2700
TP1: 2721.420 (21.42 pips)
TP2: 2726.295 (26.295 pips)
SL: 2685.7139 (14.2861 pips)
This analysis integrates various strategies, including Price Action, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), and ICT Elliott Wave Theory, to provide detailed buy strategies. The key levels identified offer optimal entry and exit points, ensuring a balanced risk-reward ratio for traders.
SAGA Long OpportunityThis is the type of trade which I take without thinking twice.
Bottom with bullish RSI divergence
Higher high without divergence
Impulsive pattern to the upside, corrective pattern to the downside
Low risk, high reward
You can enter half or 1/3 position here and wait and see, if the SL is hit, makes little impact.
HOT Long BiasHOT is looking interesting for another leg up, with bullish RSI divergence on the lows, and no divergence on the higher high (1 or A).
For long trades, I see an aggressive and a conservative stop loss level, depending on your trading style.
Targets can be placed on resistance levels along the way, shown in yellow.
BTCUSDBTC short-term target: February is expected to be a good month. I estimate the price will reach somewhere between 120k and 130k at least. If it goes beyond that, it could invalidate the giant ABC move and form an extended Elliott wave toward higher targets and beyond. I’ve found Elliott wave analysis particularly useful for long-term projections.
Netflix (NFLX): Explosive growth, but caution aheadNetflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) is set to open 14% higher after adding a record-breaking 18.9 million subscribers in Q4—nearly double Wall Street’s expectations and well above the early 2020 peak of 15.8 million. These incredible numbers have sparked a strong market reaction, and the enthusiasm is well-justified.
Following this update, we’ve re-evaluated the chart. While we anticipate the potential for more upside, it’s unlikely that NASDAQ:NFLX will continue climbing without a significant correction at some point. The trendline since May 2022 has proven its importance, serving as resistance nine times before being flipped into support and holding firm on a key retest.
Currently, Netflix is approaching the significant psychological level of $1,000. If this level is reclaimed, a further push toward $1,070 and even $1,300 could materialize. However, we’re exercising caution as major levels and target zones have already been achieved. There is a chance—albeit slim—that today’s earnings gap could mark the top of wave ((v)) and wave 3.
For now, we’re waiting for further developments and will decide our next steps as the stock’s trajectory becomes clearer. Stay tuned for updates.
BTC IS GOING TO ALL TIME HIGH LADIES AND GENTLEMEN ! BTC ended up in a complex WXY correction. Initially what may have seemed like a FLAT ended up being WXY. No matter how much the MM plays with the market and no matter what news hits the screen, algos always run their course guys.
We are in the early formation of wave 3, which will make history. True we may retrace a bit more to tap the lower levels but this will sling shot BTC to the ATH ! Remember the deeper the retracement of wave 2, the higher will be wave 3, a slingshot - - get it ;). Mega hidden bullish divergence on the weekly also playing out well.
Invalidation of this idea is at the low of Wave Y. WorD of advice guys, avoid over leverage and practice risk management fells. DCA is the name of the game. When Bitcoin hits ATH, all ALTS will pop like fireworks hence DCA and Spot Buy is the name of the game, especially for all the young bucks and inspiring traders out there.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Bitcoin Riding the Waves of Optimism As we dive into this BTC/USDT chart, it’s clear that Bitcoin is not just a cryptocurrency—it’s an art form. The chart showcases a detailed Elliott Wave analysis, complete with corrective W-X-Y patterns and impulsive waves screaming, “I’m going places!” Let’s break it down step by step.
The Elliott Wave Breakdown
Bitcoin has been playing out its Elliott Wave structure with the precision of a virtuoso pianist. Here’s what we’re looking at:
1. Wave (1) to Wave (5): A Symphony of Higher Highs.
2. Wave (1) was the opening act, starting the bullish rally.
3. Wave (2) provided a dramatic correction, retracing as deep as a poet’s feelings on a rainy
day.
4. Wave (3) emerged as the headliner, the longest and strongest wave, with Bitcoin shouting,
“Catch me if you can!”
5. Wave (4), our consolidation buddy, is taking a breather, making sure BTC doesn’t exhaust
itself before the final sprint.
6. Wave (5) looks ready to take the stage and hit the projected target of $128,647.56. The bulls
seem to be prepping their rockets for this one.
2. The W-X-Y Correction
Before the current rally, BTC went through a complex W-X-Y correction. Think of it as Bitcoin saying, “Let me stretch a bit before the next marathon.” This correction has set the stage for the bullish impulses we’re seeing now.
Indicators: The Whispering Bulls
1. Williams %R and Stoch RSI: Hidden Bullish Divergences
Both indicators are practically screaming “hidden bullish divergences” like fans at a rock concert. These signals suggest that the bulls are working behind the scenes, setting the stage for the next big move.
2. RSI: Staying Strong
The RSI remains comfortably above 50, signaling that the bullish momentum is intact. It’s like Bitcoin is cruising down the highway, windows down, music blasting, and no signs of slowing.
The Price Target: To $128,000 and Beyond!
Bitcoin has been known to defy expectations. While $128K might feel like aiming for the moon, let’s not forget—this is Bitcoin, and the moon is just the first stop.
Key Levels to Watch
1. Support Zones
The $80,000 level is a key psychological support. If Bitcoin revisits this area, it could serve as a launchpad for the next leg up.
2. Resistance Levels
The $100,000 mark will likely be a battle zone. Expect bears to put up a fight here, but with the momentum we’re seeing, the bulls might just plow through.
In Conclusion: Strap In, Bulls
Bitcoin is looking bullish on all fronts. The Elliott Wave structure, hidden bullish divergences, and strong RSI readings all point to higher prices in the near future. However, as always, remember that markets love surprises, and it’s always good to keep your risk in check.
For now, though, it looks like Bitcoin is preparing for a grand finale. Let’s hope the bulls keep the momentum going because $128,647 is calling, and Bitcoin seems eager to answer. 🚀
Disclaimer: NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE!
FTSE 100 Wave Analysis 21 January 2025
- FTSE 100 broke strong resistance level 8400.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 8600.00
FTSE 100 index rising sharply after the price broke the strong resistance level 8400.00, which is the upper border of the sideways price range inside which the index has been moving from the start of 2024.
The breakout of this price range inside accelerated the active impulse waves iii and 3, which belong to the weekly upward impulse sequence (3) from the start of 2023.
Given the overriding uptrend seen on weekly charts, FTSE 100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 8600.00, the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave iii.
Gold Wave Analysis 21 January 2025
- Gold under bullish pressure
- Likely to rise to resistance level 2785.00
Gold under the bullish pressure after the earlier breakout of the key resistance level 2710.00, which has been steadily reversing the price from November.
The breakout of the resistance level 2710.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 3, which belongs to the medium-term impulse wave (3) from December.
Given the clear uptrend that can be seen on the daily and the weekly charts, Gold can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 2785.00, former multi-month high from October.
ARUSDTThis is a long-term analysis.
To buy spot and medium term..
We may experience strong negative fluctuations, but it is worth the risk.
The numbers 11.5 to 12.5 dollars and 8.5 to 10 dollars are attractive prices to buy..
It is better to look at this purchase as a short-term investment.
Important trading times and nodes for the end of wave B and the beginning of wave C were determined..
GOLD → A very strong uptrend may get its continuationFX:XAUUSD is rising due to high geopolitical and political risks. A strong bullish trend is forming, within which the price tests the strong resistance 2726 and draws a false break of the resistance...
The rise is shaping up more on the back of Trump's threats on tariffs, adding to the risk-negative sentiment in the markets. Trump has proposed imposing tariffs on Mexico and Canada, as well as the EU and China, if a trade agreement is not reached. These threats are supporting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, the strengthening dollar and expectations of Fed rate cuts are limiting further upside for gold. Trading in the coming days will depend on the general market atmosphere and Trump's tariff discussions.
Technically, a false break of such a strong resistance could temporarily slow the growth and move the price into correction or consolidation, but there are nuances of technical...
Resistance levels: 2721, 2726, 2761
Support levels: 2703, 2697, 2690
At the moment it is worth paying attention to 0.5 fibo (2717) and 0.7-0.79 fibo. These are quite strong and important liquidity zones that can stop the correction and bring gold back to the uptrend. A retest of the local high of 2726 - 2732 will hint at the readiness of the metal to go even higher.
Regards R. Linda!
Is BTC ready to explode or should we brace for a deeper drop?The pressure is mounting! Are we about to witness a massive breakout, or should we prepare for a deeper correction? The BTCUSDT chart is coiling into a elliott pattern, a classic bullish setup—but remember, trading is never guaranteed, and the market loves to test us! Here’s the full breakdown of what we’re seeing right now:
💎#BTC previously enjoyed a strong rally and made new ATH but due to #TRUMP not mentioning any words for crypto we have seen a massive sell pressure.
💎But according to elliott wave count, we are heading towards 3rd impulsive wave targeting 120-125k .
💎After that we can see a slight pullback making a 4th corrective wave
💎And then we can see #Bitcoin to final All-Time-High making at 130k level most probably
Stay patient, and always wait for confirmation before taking any action. Discipline is the key to long-term success!
TOTAL3 - ALT SEASON - Bull Swing CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 is ready for the Alt Season.
#Altcoins will be rockin' the boat in '25.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is running out of steam, thus opening the door for #AltSeason to start.
The correction on MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN Dominance is the key to #Alts to shine.
1.13T MC has been touched, previous #ATH.
Now CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 is in a Wave 4 (#ElliottWave Triangle), with Wave 5 of the Larger Degree C Wave about to shoot.
Targets between the #Fibonacci Extensions 200-261.8%.
That's the 1.5T to 1.8T range.
TRUMP Token Analysis: Can It Break into the Top 10 Market Cap?During the last year, especially near the US presidential election, many tokens with the name TRUMP were born in the cryptocurrency market, but it seems that the new memecoin TRUMP is under the supervision of Trump's team(Real).
The OFFICIAL TRUMP(TRUMP) token has increased in price by more than %200-800% in different Crypto exchanges in two days, and while I am writing this idea, it has reached the 15th market cap rank among all tokens in the world, can the TRUMP token reach the top 10 markets? What do you think about the TRUMP Token?
First, let's see what we know about the TRUMP Token.
The TRUMP token is a new memecoin launched by former U.S. President Donald Trump on the Solana blockchain.
Type: Memecoin
Blockchain: Solana
Total Supply: 1 billion tokens over the next 3 years
Token Allocation:
36% for Creator Group 1
18% for Creator Group 2
18% for Creator Group 3
10% for Liquidity
10% for Public Offering
4% for Creators & CIC Digita 4
2% for Creators & CIC Digita 5
2% for Creators & CIC Digita 6
Important Notes:
Investment Risk: Memecoins are considered high-risk investments due to their volatility and lack of intrinsic value.
Political Influence: The value of this token may be influenced by political events related to Donald Trump.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Let's look at the Technical Analysis of TRUMP Token in the 15-minute time frame.
Since TRUMP Token has been listed on exchanges for less than 2-3 days, there are a limited number of candles for analysis, but I will try to show you the key levels in this analysis.
TRUMP Token is moving near the Support zone($61-$56).
According to Elliott's wave theory, the TRUMP Token seems to be completing the main wave 4. The main wave 4 could even end around $45.
Considering the high momentum of the TRUMP Token, there is a possibility that the 5th wave is Truncated.
I expect the TRUMP Token to go up(Maximum) to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) in the next few days after wave 4 is completed.
Note: It is possible that with Trump's inauguration, the famous phrase "Buy the Rumor, Sell the News" about the TRUMP token will happen and begin a deep correction.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
OFFICIAL TRUMP Analyze (TRUMPUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Dominance: Elliott Wave and Harmonics Combo (Part 2)MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN Dominance ( #BTC.D / CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) indeed started the rise I predicted back in late '22. CRYPTOCAP:BTC rose to the limits, exceeding the 100K Mark.
In #ElliottWave, this is Cycle Wave C (turquoise).
Primary Wave ① (white) completed, with the Corrective Primary Wave ②now in play.
The Correction will pave the way for Alt Season to commence, so the focus will shift to Alt Coins.
#Harmonics are showing #Cypher Patterns, a combo actually, on different degrees.
Bitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D ) Technical Analysis:
* Elliott Wave Impulse: Cycle C (turquoise)
* Harmonic Patterns: Bullish Cyphers
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement
* Break-Out with Divergence
* Leading Diagonal in Primary Wave ① (white)
Conclusion:
After a last rise, expecting MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN to top-out and start a Larger Correction.
Alt Season to start and deliver, based on #BTC losing ground.
After this, CRYPTOCAP:BTC to continue ruling, as the one and only #Cryptocurrency.
[Bullish] TRUMP is showing clear Elliott WavesKRAKEN:TRUMPUSD has been in news so it caught my attention. It shown clean EW structure so far. 5 wave impulse up followed by corrective phase which is either WXY (double zig zag) or potentially WXYXZ (triple zig zag). I have marked the second X with a question mark since it's still not clear if the correction is over.
Having said that, once this correction (WXY or WXYXZ) is over and the low of wave 1 is not broken then we can expect another 5 wave impulse up which should break above the wave 1 high.