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Elliott Wave

[Potential Bullish Alternative] Bitcoin Elliott Wave CountsLet's face it. None of us want BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to go down. Isn't it? So whenever I see a potential/local bottom, I start looking for a bullish possibility. Few days back, #BTC dipped below 77K so I started counting waves from that point to see if there could be anything good happening here. On the 4H chart here, I can see a 5 wave move up (wave (i)) which could be described as a leading diagonal followed by a a-b-c down in wave (ii). The next move up (supposedly wave (iii)) seem to be looking fine so far. I can easily count 5 wave impulse in it by drilling it down to 1H chart. Note that, this would be just i of (iii). SO far so good. Disclaimer : Note that this is something we all elliott wave chartists do when we see a bottom to assess if a new trend could be starting. This is just one (bullish) alternative that I am exploring. There are bearish alternatives as well.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by YetAnotherTA
Bullish Quasimodo in Play – Bitcoin’s Next Target: $84,500?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) attacked the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) again as I expected yesterday . Has Bitcoin given up or is it gathering momentum to attack the resistance zone again? What do you think? Bitcoin is moving near Yearly Pivot Point and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($80,537_$78,390) . From Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing an Expanding Flat(ABC/5-3-5) corrective wave . According to the Price Action , Bitcoin appears to be completing the Bullish Quasimodo Pattern . Educational Note : The Bullish Quasimodo Pattern is a reversal pattern that signals a potential uptrend after a downtrend. It forms when the price creates a lower low followed by a higher high and a higher low, confirming a shift in market structure. I expect Bitcoin will NOT leave the CME Gap($86,400_$84,650) unfilled and will rise to at least $84,500 . What do you think, will Bitcoin leave this CME Gap($86,400_$84,650)? Note: If Bitcoin falls below $78,800, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
35
EURUSD Faces Resistance zone – Will Bears Take Over?The EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) has reached the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) as I expected in my previous post . Can the EURUSD break the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) ? EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) , the Resistance line , and Yearly Resistance(1) . According to the Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD seems to have completed 5 impulse waves and we can expect Corrective Waves . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect the EURUSD to decline to at least the Support zone($1.0817-$1.0760) in the coming hours after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel . One of the EURUSD targets could be as wide as the ascending channel . Note: If EURUSD breaks the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916), we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
5
Silver Is Eyeing 34-35 Area; Intraday Elliott Wave AnalysisSilver made a three-wave abc correction in wave 4 which can now extend the rally for wave 5 within a new five-wave bullish cycle towards 34-35 area. After recent five-wave impulse into wave "i", followed by an abc corrective setback in wave "ii", it formed a nice intraday bullish setup. Seems like it's now ready for a bullish resumption within wave "iii", so more upside is expected, especially if breaks above trendline and 32.66 level, just watch out on short-term pullbacks.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by ew-forecast
2
GOLD → Distribution phase. One step away from $3000. Up!FX:XAUUSD breaks upward and reaches the intermediate target. After strong growth there is no pullback at all. A consolidation is forming which shows us strong levels. Gold updates ATH to +2990, preparing to overcome $3,000. Growth is being fueled by Trump's trade war and expectations of a Fed rate cut. Investors are cautious ahead of the Fed meeting. A stronger dollar and hopes for a US-Canada trade truce may temporarily cause a correction, but it is not the strongest factor. However, recession risks and escalation of trade and geopolitical conflicts may increase demand for protective assets, supporting the growth of gold prices Technically, the price is in consolidation, relative to which there may be a breakthrough of resistance and further growth. Or a local false breakout, correction to support at 2980 and continuation of growth after support retest Resistance levels: 2993, 3000, 3008 Support levels: 2981, 2956 Thus, if the bulls are able to consolidate above 2993, the price may continue its aggressive growth. BUT! There is a possibility of correction to the risk (liquidity) zone 2981 - 2977 before gold resumes its growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
GOLD → Testing ATH. High chance of a breakout 2954FX:XAUUSD in the distribution phase of the previously formed consolidation. The price is testing ATH and the market has all chances for a breakout and further update of the high. We are close to 3K Gold price continues to rise, approaching a record high of $2,956, amid fears of a global trade war. Lower US inflation has weakened the dollar and bond yields, boosting demand for gold. Markets now await PPI data, but escalating trade conflict remains key. Technically, gold is testing global range resistance a month after last touching it. I don't like to trade primary breakouts in such a case and the ideal scenario would be to wait for a small consolidation near the level or a correction to 2945 - 2935 before the metal starts to tetse 2954.5 for a breakout Resistance levels: 2954.5 Support levels: 2945, 2935, 2930 As a first move I expect a pullback after resistance test. A retest of 2954.5 (retest) will mean that buyers are ready to break the resistance and go higher. BUT, we have important news today. Gold could break the level without a pullback. A close above 2954.5 will trigger a rally. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
War and tariffs, what's next?Wave three might be coming to an End. If we are in an ascending broadening wedge, usually formed at expanded wave 5, yes we can achieve 4000 or 5000k, but, we have to grab some liquidity first, and of course, develop wave 4. Additionally, we have an ABCD pattern. Fundamentals of course matter as well, Russian President Vladimir Putin said Thursday that he supported the idea of a ceasefire, but that he had many questions about how it would work. Zelensky described Putin's response to the plan as "manipulative" calling for further sanctions on Russia. It came as US officials travelled to Moscow yesterday, although it's not clear if the planned talks happened. Overnight the fighting continued - with both countries reporting new enemy drone attacks. Hopefully, this will end soon. Ivan Timofeev, the director general of the Russian International Affairs Council, has told Al Jazeera that there is a clear “ positive dynamic” in the current ceasefire negotiations for Russia. “Indeed, this is a positive sign  due to the fact that the Russian president has not rejected the very idea of the peace settlement,” Timofeev said. “However, it is normal to hear the concerns and — let’s say — the demand for details on the parameters of such a ceasefire.” Timofeev emphasised that Russia is seeking “a  stable and long peace, not just the ceasefire”, and he called the fate of Ukrainian troops in Kursk an “ open question”, as Russia closes in. Regarding tariffs, Earlier in the week, Trump threatened to double them on steel and aluminum from Canada, starting Wednesday, in response to Ontario’s retaliatory decision to slap a 25% tax on electricity exports to the U.STariffs are a central part of Trump's overall economic vision. Gold definitely react. He says tariffs will boost US manufacturing and protect jobs, raising tax revenue and growing the domestic economy. He also wants to restore America's trade balance with its foreign partners - reducing the gap that exists between how much the US imports from and exports to individual countries. Will this strengthen dxy and weaken gold?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TRADINGACPVIP
USDJPYWeekly 1. Historically extreme COT in trade positioning; the trend usually turns in favor of the dollar on trade position changes. 2. MACD has bullish convergence. 3. The 2021 trend line has been touched at the 61.8% Fibo. 4. Possible formation of an ABC wave 4 triangle. The possible next wave will be a 5 and the target level is 175, the extreme target is 206 Daily and hour timeframe 5. The last movement is a higher high and higher low, this could be a new channel 6. The invalidation level for my arguments is 147.350 What do you think?
Long
by Manzanex
Adobe Wave Analysis – 13 March 2025 - Adobe broke round support level 400.00 - Likely to fall to support level 360.00 Adobe recently broke with the sharp downward gap the round support level 400.00, which stopped wave 5 of the previous impulse wave (1) at the start of January. The breakout of the support level 400.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the sharp downward impulse wave (3) from the middle of February. Given the clear daily downtrend, Adobe can be expected to fall to the next support level 360.00 – which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
NASDAQ:ADBEShort
by FxProGlobal
Apple Wave Analysis – 13 March 2025 - Apple broke support area - Likely to fall to support level 200.00 Apple recently broke the support area between the strong support level 220.00 (which has been reversing the price from October) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of upward impulse from August. The breakout of this support area accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the sharp downward impulse wave (C) from February. Apple can be expected to fall to the next round support level 200.00 – which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (C).
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by FxProGlobal
Downturn in traditional markets will suck liquidity from Crypto.For what feels like the longest time I have had my eye on the CME gaps down at approx 11k and 9.5k. I still feel like a retrace to these levels is possible should a significant enough downturn in traditional markets occur. I would look at placing buy orders at these levels (as well as on the way down to there) in anticipation of there being a rapid cascade of liquidated longs. Such a retrace would not be uncommon for Bitcoin, and targeting these levels would be a great way to load up on shockingly cheap coin while weak hands and excess leverage are shaken out of the market. Obviously, altcoins would be affected also. I would not trust any stable coin that has market exposure as part of their stabilizing mechanism. XAU and PAXG are probably the "safest" places to keep un-allocated capital. Thoughts and insights are welcome.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by JB308
NAB Monthly Long term structureElliotticians, don't crucify me... I'm no expert in EW theory! But I believe we are seeing a super high level double or triple three pattern emerging in NAB Long term it appears that NAB was in a trending pattern till 2009 Currently we are in a long term corrective phase, which consists of large Flat corrections and zigzags or triangles Overall we just completed a large Flat 3-3-5 wave pattern and likely to see a fall into an ABC correction (zigzag) to start a new corrective phase or possibly create a large long term triangle What this suggests is that this is in a large ranging pattern... so trading in and selling out at long term resistances would be the smart play until such time as the longer term structure becomes clear and builds a completed base to start a trending move outside of this structure Ranging markets chew up time to create the base for the next long term trend and in this case we are likely to see the range continue until we see some completed structure Some beginners sometimes do not understand ranging markets as they are harder to understand than trends... but if you get the overall grasp of them you can differentiate the difference between a real buying opportunity that have completed ranging structures within it and a short term buying opportunity and position yourself accordingly I've posted a few on the ASX over the years and each time the moves out of these tend to be strong and persistent
ASX:NABShort
by dionvuletich
US02Y hidden bearish divergence and RSI rejection from level 40 US02Y could be repeating a pattern from August 2024. Hidden bearish divergence (continuation of lower highs) and rejection of RSI from level 40. Following the rejection, the yields went lower. US02Y going lower is bullish for risk assets. In addition, US02Y could be on the verge of a fifth Elliott wave to the downside. The second wave overshot a little the textbook 0.618 fib level. The fourth wave retraced a little less than the textbook 0.386 fib level. Given the RSI analysis above, the fifth wave could be starting now leading US02Y lower. This would be bullish for risk assets such as stocks and crypto.
TVC:US02YShort
by t3rmin4t0r
1
Gold Wave Analysis – 13 March 2025- Gold broke resistance level 2962.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 3000.00 Gold rose sharply after breaking above the resistance level 2962.00 (top of the previous sharp upward impulse wave 3 from the end of February). The breakout of the resistance level 2962.00 continues the active impulse wave 5 of the extended upward impulse sequence (3) from November. Given the clear daily uptrend, Gold can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 3000.00 – the breakout of which can lead to further gains toward 3050.00.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by FxProGlobal
VW - stock may have turned around (?)VW - has had its fair share of bad news lately, however, panic and fear often times is at its peak when price is close to find the bottom. Looking at price action and price targets it seems the wave C of II could be over which is also indicated that price bounced from the 161.8 fib expansion of wave 4 of C. Ever since then the stock has seen a steady rise that was also supported by good volume. Now it has reached the 61.8 retracement of wave 5 and usually around that fib level price will stall and consolidate. I can even see a 5 wave motive wave up. Now, we need to see how the price action looks like in the coming days and weeks. Hopefully it will make a higher low at around 50-61.8 % fib retracement and from there I would be looking to long the stock. The upside is quite impressive as the price may rise with over 300%. For now, we remain neutral and are watching what happens next.
XETR:VOW3
by Staggi10
AAPL short on reboundWhile I've been putting up shorts for Nasdaq, Meta, Google, and Amzn, I just realized that I did not do it for AAPL. So here's the wave counts update. While the direction is down, it does not mean to short it now because this wave 3 down is now approximately equals to wave 1 (around $40). An extension of 1.618 will give us another $24 down move but I CANNOT be certain if there would be any corrective wave up making this current wave 3 a 5-waves movement. So my suggestion is to wait for rebound and short.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by yuchaosng