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Elliott Wave

GOLD → Consolidation after the fall. Trading inside the rangeFX:XAUUSD is forming consolidation in a new bearish plane after a strong fall on Wednesday. The emphasis is on 2622 - 2581. The fundamental background is negative and technically the price is testing the lows. On Wednesday, the Fed adopted a more conservative approach to monetary policy, laying down only 2 rate cuts in 2025, which generally had a negative impact on the whole market except for the dollar, which is breaking through local highs. Today traders await the release of the PCE, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Any surprise in the PCE data or an escalation of political uncertainty could push metal prices up. From a technical point of view, the gold market remains in the previously mentioned consolidation, and prices fluctuate in wide ranges, which is generally logical for the end of the calendar year: reduced liquidity and increased volatility... Resistance levels: 2616, 2622 Support levels: 2589, 2581, 2560 Since the price is inside the consolidation, it is worth considering trading from the boundaries of this range. In the long term, I expect a retest of the key resistance 2616-2622 in the form of a false breakdown and a fall towards local lows Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
6
GBPUSD → One step away from breaking support and falling awayFX:GBPUSD is facing difficulties. Negative fundamental background, strong dollar and price entry into the selling zone gives a bunch of preconditions hinting at the continuation of the fall Yesterday the UK GDP came out, which remained at the same level, there is no driver for GBP at the moment, but there is for USD, which is growing after interest rate cuts, but the growth is not because of this, but because of hints of stopping the cycle of further rate cuts and the change of officials' mood to hawkish, which in general, against the background of Trump's policy indicates medium-term potential. Technically, the currency pair is testing the risk zone, a false breakout will form a rebound reaction and I think it will be a short-term reaction. Resistance levels: 1.257, 1.2597, 1.2665 Support levels: 1.2488, 1.245 After the false breakdown, the currency pair may test the local resistance. But retest of the support within 1-3 days will play an important role. Formation of a pre-breakout base at 1.2488 will strengthen the potential for further decline With Respect R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
Bitcoin continue going downHello crypto traders! Yesterday I made an analysis, that made some profits for us! 1H and 4H trend is down. So, lets try to catch another successful trade setup here. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at around $97,000 mark, reflecting a slight pullback from recent highs. The price has recently broken the major ascending trendline, which had provided support for a prolonged period. Now we expect price to pull back to this trend line (~99,400$ level, I have short limit order here), and continue downward momentum. I suggest taking profits at 94,700$ mark, this level aligns with strong resistance and 1.618 Fib level. Don't forget to place stop loss :) Control your risk while doing trading!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by RokasLiu
SAMAIDEN poised for next uptrend wavecorrrection at 0.382 risk reward ratio is good Here are the key elements I observe: 1. Price Movement: - The chart shows candlestick patterns with both red and green candles - Current price appears to be around 1.03 MYR (Malaysian Ringgit) - There are multiple price levels marked with Fibonacci retracement levels (shown as horizontal lines) 2. Technical Indicators: - Moving averages shown as curved lines in different colors - Volume bars at the bottom of the chart (green and red bars) - Various numbered points (1-5) marking significant price levels or movements - Wave patterns labeled with roman numerals (iii, iv, v) 3. Trading Information: - Buy level marked at 1.16 - Sell level marked at 1.15 - Target price shown as 0.09 (7.76%) - Stop loss level appears to be set at 0.04 (3.45%) - Risk/Reward ratio indicated as 2.25 4. Time Frame: - The chart appears to be showing recent price action with data points marked for September 2024 - Volume analysis indicates varying levels of trading activity throughout the period 5. Market Status: - The stock appears to be in a corrective phase after reaching a peak marked by point 5 - Multiple support and resistance levels are clearly marked on the chart The overall chart seems to be a detailed technical analysis setup used for trading decisions with multiple indicators and price levels to guide entry and exit points.
MYX:SAMAIDENLong
by pengamalgelombang
Upside price movement Can start in Hdfc Life insurance According to Elliott wave analysis, Price is all set to start its wave 3 till 1000rs first target. Fundamentals are supporting its technicals so its perfect time to buy in price range 620 to 650 Date 20 dec 2024 1=Balance sheet- good, 3 on 3 2= a= sales, profit- increasing, highest this year b= employee & staff expense- increasing c= interest- 0 d= profit before and after tax- highest 3= Investor - fii/dii are there, public has only 6% 4=Credit Rating = AAA 5= General details a= Market cap=1,33,600cr b= pe=79 ,median pe= 91, industry pe=53.4 c= ROCE=6.6 , ROE=11.4 , Debt = no Amazing Fundamentals.
NSE:HDFCLIFE
by mohitdevelopments
Market Shifts To Risk-Off: Correction For Bitcoin To 85-90k.We are seeing significant flows since the Fed delivered a hawkish cut yesterday, with stocks turning sharply to the downside while the US dollar continues its recovery above 108. Another reason for this end-of-year shift could also be profit-taking, given the substantial gains in risk assets throughout the year, so traders see this as reason to exit, since FED expect less cuts next year. This shift into the US dollar and out of the stock market is also impacting cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin has turned perfectly downward from 108, which we tracked as an important resistance level in wave five of an extended wave three. Now that price turned down and broken the channel support line, it looks like an A-B-C correction is underway, likely targeting even lower levels. The key support zone for the current corrective fourth wave should be around the 84000–90000 area. This zone could provide the foundation for a potential new bullish resumption, aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Broke through that zone will put bulls in some real trouble. Grega
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ew-forecast
Or do we have to wait for longer?Here we assume that XRP won't go after the ATH just yet. We will have to see if #Bitcoin chills out for a moment and starts either distributing or slightly correcting to $98-100K regions. We can then assume the corrective wave (primary W4) will be deeper or a more complex variant (here presumed an expanded flat). The flat correction would allow for consolidation and a potential RSI reset, possibly forming a bullish divergence to signal a reversal which is typical between waves 3 and 5. A clear break of the lower trendline and failure to hold $1.97 would validate this scenario. The invalidation for this scenario will be taking out the recently set high at $2.9. Given the corrective nature of expanded flats, completion of this structure could extend into early 2025, aligning with broader market uncertainties and potential shifts in macro sentiment.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by amourification
2
Can we set a new ATH before 2025?This scenario presents a classic Ending Diagonal structure for Primary Wave (5), where XRP has likely completed Wave (4) near $1.90 and is now advancing upward to set new ATH. After entering price discovery and everybody FOMOs in, a significant portion of HODLers will start taking profits which will slow down the momentum and eventually leads to the formation of a bearish divergence marking the end of the impulse. The first major resistance is the current high at $2.9 then the 2017's ATH at $3.31, from which we can expect a smaller degree correction. For this scenario to unfold, we will need a steady momentum. Then we can expect it to set a new ATH before the end of year. Personally, my targets for this would be somewhere between $4 and $7 by late Jan to early Feb 2025, given the current pace and Trump's inauguration (and maybe SEC settlement?).
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by amourification
2
$AMD BuyThe chart of NASDAQ:AMD , combined with its latest fundamental research, provides a detailed overview of the stock’s current position and outlook. Technical Analysis: NASDAQ:AMD is currently in a corrective phase, testing critical support levels. The price is approaching significant support around **$120**, corresponding to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, with deeper support near **$92**, aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement and a long-term moving average. These levels are historically strong areas where buyers could re-enter the market. Momentum indicators such as **RSI** and **Stochastic Oscillator** are showing oversold conditions, signaling a potential reversal upward. The **MACD** remains bearish but hints at a possible shift in momentum. The long-term trend remains upward, with the current price action indicating the stock is near a potential turning point. Fundamental Analysis: Recent financial performance highlights NASDAQ:AMD 's strength. In Q3 2024, revenue grew by **17.82% year-over-year**, driven by strong demand across its product lines. Net income increased by **157.86%**, reflecting improved profitability and operational efficiency. Despite these positives, NASDAQ:AMD faces challenges. It is trailing Nvidia in the AI GPU market, limiting its ability to capture a significant share of this high-growth sector. Additionally, a potential slowdown in the PC market could pressure revenue growth. However, NASDAQ:AMD continues to benefit from Intel’s struggles, while growth opportunities in the data center and custom chip markets remain strong. Synthesis: The current correction in NASDAQ:AMD 's price reflects market concerns over its competitive position in the AI sector and potential softness in PC demand. However, the company’s robust financial performance and opportunities in high-growth areas like data centers suggest that this correction may be temporary. Key support levels at **$120 and $92** are critical to monitor for potential long-term entry points. Conclusion: While NASDAQ:AMD faces near-term challenges, its strong financials, market positioning, and growth potential in high-performance computing present a positive long-term outlook. If the stock holds the current support levels, it could regain momentum, with significant upside potential in the coming years.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by FairValueBuffet
NVIDIA (NVDA): Post-Earnings Battle Between Bulls and BearsIt is getting harder for $NVDA. Nvidia's earnings appear to have produced a muted market reaction for once. The chip maker's blowout quarterly report was good enough to support the stock but not provide another leg to its stunning rally. By any normal measure Nvidia's third-quarter numbers were stunning, as it nearly doubled its revenue from the prior year. However, its guidance wasn't as strong as some analysts had expected. Which is incredibly if you think that doubling its revenue is not enough for Nvidia to surge higher once more. Attention will now turn to the rollout of Nvidia's Blackwell artificial-intelligence chips Our attention will stay on the chart and we can see this kind of market behaviour in the chart really well. It seems as if bulls and bears are now battling about this earnings report and there are definitely some people trapped with option calls on NVIDIA that they have bought before the earnings. NASDAQ:NVDA has build somewhat of a trend channel and keeps on defending the lower edge of it very well in the past. The question now is if the wave ((iv)) is already finished or not. With the fact that NASDAQ:NVDA is loosing momentum on the RSI but still being able to reclaim the VAL and putting in higher highs we think is is very likely that we are seeing some kind of pullback/blowout of those positions that have been opened and trapped at the all time high now. Still NASDAQ:NVDA is a stock that can put in 10% next week and nobody would be astonished. Therefore we are moving our stop loss from our current open position to 114.50$ and setting alerts for a possible buying opportunity again on $NVDA.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Tesla (TSLA): Profits Taken, Pullback AnticipatedWhat a rise by NASDAQ:TSLA ! The stock has now reached the targeted wave 3 zone, and we might see some asset rotation out of Tesla into underperforming stocks that could attract renewed attention and capital inflows. Many traders have booked significant profits on NASDAQ:TSLA , and larger players are likely to do the same in the coming sessions. As usual, our focus remains on building a new position during a pullback. We are targeting the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement levels, which should provide sufficient support for another push higher, potentially toward $585 or more. A key level to watch is the old all-time high. Should bulls defend it effectively, waiting for an entry at $371.35 might leave us sidelined. However, we see no reason to force or rush an entry into NASDAQ:TSLA at the moment. Patience remains critical as we wait for the market to come to us.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
XAU/USD 14.12.2024OANDA:XAUUSD Hello traders, after we broke my last wave 4, I reinterpreted my chart view. Essentially, my second plan is now in effect. For now, we have a big (a)(b)(c) setup, within which we see a 12345 count. Currently, we are in waves 1 to 2. Wave 1 is structured as an abc correction, which itself follows an abc structure. Within the corrective wave b to c, we can also count a 12345 wave setup. Take profit for the sellers would align with the blue Fibonacci extension levels. The 100% extension (the first target) doesn't look very promising to me. It is near the 61% (orange) Fibonacci level but feels too far away. We might observe some bullish momentum there, but likely not enough. The 161% Fibonacci extension (blue), however, aligns almost exactly with the 78% Fibonacci level. If the price reaches this depth, we will likely see many traders closing their sell positions and others opening buy positions. This could generate enough momentum to create a new minor wave 1, which could then evolve into a 12345 setup for our (orange) wave (3). This is one potential scenario, but we need to observe what happens next week. If we see an impulsive move to the upside from another level, I will look for a new wave 1 and then search for higher highs. Wishing you the best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NeptenFX
1
XAU/USD 17.12.24OANDA:XAUUSD Hello Traders, For the upcoming week, my Elliott Wave analysis suggests higher prices. Three days ago, I shared my long-term chart projection. Now, I’ve broken it down into the minor timeframes to refine the best entry points for my strategy. If you're curious about the current wave we're in, feel free to check out my previous post: Currently, I anticipate the formation of the green Wave 1 to 2 over the next few days, with Wave 2 potentially reaching its bottom soon. We're observing a significant ABC correction. Within the larger Wave B to C, we’ve formed another perfect AB correction, which now appears to consist of a probable 1-2-3-4-5 wave structure. Today, the smaller Wave 3 hit our Fibonacci extension levels perfectly, as shown in the chart. At the moment, we’re experiencing a pullback in Wave 4, which I hope will lead to the completion of Wave 5 tomorrow. This would mark the end of the correction for the green Wave 1 to 2. A smart entry point would be around the 78.6% Fibonacci level, which also serves as a take-profit level at the 100% Fibonacci extension of the seller. This zone will be very volatile. If we gather enough momentum to establish a new Wave 1, we can definitely expect higher prices. Stay focused on the 2630 level, and good luck! If you like my idea, I’d really appreciate some likes and feedback
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NeptenFX
GOLD → Interest rates are down, but why is gold falling?FX:XAUUSD falls to 2581. Yesterday's news had a negative impact on the market and it's not about rate cuts. Technically the price confirms the bearish nature of the market. The main reason for the decline in gold prices is the Federal Reserve's caution about lowering interest rates amid the latest economic data. The US central bank lowered the interest rate by 0.25% to the range of 4.25%-4.50% as expected, but for the next year it forecasts 2 rate cuts, which is much less than expected. The Fed's hawkishness has played its role: the dollar is rising, markets are falling. Today all eyes are on GDP and initial jobless claims. Technically, the price is out of the global channel, breaking the support, gold updates the low to 2581. Resistance levels: 2620, 2630, 2636 Support levels: 2616, 2612, 2603 After updating the low, a retest of the previously broken channel boundary and imbalance zones is formed. False breakdown of key resistance, for example 2620 or 2630 and subsequent consolidation of the price below these zones may lead to further decline. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
10