Elliott Wave
Dollar in reversal zone
Max probability reversal zone reached.
Weekly double top.
Probable end of wC of B, reached 100% target.
IF DX starts showing weakness, we are in a good Risk/Reward position for riding a possible wave 3 or C to the downside next year.
The first target for this wave 3 or C would be $100 support, then the HVN around $95, then the wave 3 or extended C targets.
POLYMATH has some very interesting long-term upsideThere's potential here for a long term break-out. It's looking like there's a huge upside potential if we can break free of this channel. Perhaps, we've on wave 2 of the highest degree of trend with wave 3 ready to burst through the upper trend line. The sooner it does, the more violent we will go to the upsde. Let's keep a close eye on it as the longer the projection, the more there is likely to change. In any case, huge potential upside here. Follow for more.
XRP, much more to goLooking back at the fractal I created a few months ago, it's playing out really well. Looking at the 5 waves that were put in within the first fractal, there could be an opportunity for the same 5 waves to play out within the second fractal. So, hold firm and keep XRP close and look forward to the eye watering upswide that we'll see within the next 6-7 months. Follow for more.
BTC, correcting now into 2025It looks very likely that BTC has completed wave 5 of higher degree of trend of 1. Therefore, we'll see a chunky, sizeable correction that has the potential to go down all the way to the 50s. It may not go this low, but please be aware that it 'could' following the classic ABC pattern. Also, keep an eye on the Hurst cycles below - it has to do it quite quickly. If it does go down to 50k, then I'll be buying that up like Miss Pacman.
Bitcoin is Ready to fill CME Gap!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is approaching the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) , Downtrend line , and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,654-$104,709) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . Probably wave 4 will end in the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) .
I expect Bitcoin to go towards filling the CME Gap($103,325-$101,840) AFTER breaking the Support line .
⚠️Note: US indices (Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Economic Projections, FOMC Statement) can affect the trend of Bitcoin; the possibility that the market will get excited when the indices are announced is very high.⚠️
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940), we can expect Bitcoin to rise further, especially if Bitcoin touches $106,200.⚠️
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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ETHEREUM → Consolidation after a bearish trend breakBINANCE:ETHUSD is consolidating within the flat boundaries of 4085 3530. In general, there is a bullish trend, the fundamental background is also favorable except for yesterday's news, which creates a small risk...
The price is at a strong resistance between 4090 and 4100 and it will take a lot of energy to break this area. Yesterday's news was generally controversial but with a negative bias. Despite the decline in interest rates, there were strong hints of stopping the decline and taking a hawkish course. Bitcoin is giving a small correction against this backdrop, which is negative for altcoins.
Ethereum technically did not break the bullish structure, a very strong support area of 3530 - 3440 is formed on the chart and with high probability a retest is possible, a liquidity grab with the aim of further growth. There are risks for further fall, they can be taken into account, but we can consider an attempt of growth as a priority.
Resistance levels: 4086, 4100, 4372
Support levels: 3530, 3440, 3261
Since the price is inside the consolidation, our strategy is simple - trading from the channel boundaries. Accordingly, based on the current situation, we should consider a retest of support before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → The price could fall another 2.5%FX:NZDUSD is forming a return to a strong support zone after testing it after a year. Against the backdrop of a rising dollar, the chances of a support breakout are growing.
The downtrend, rising dollar, weak fundamental background for NZD play a key role in forming a bear market. The price is testing the key resistance and trying to enter the selling zone. At the moment the price is restrained by the descending channel support and if the price manages to break this line and consolidate below, strong selling may be formed further, as there are no obstacles below it until 0.562.
Resistance levels: 0.577, 0.5817
Support levels: 0.575, 0.562
I do not exclude the possibility of correction if the buyers hold the support. But there is no chance of a trend change. Another retest of the support may lead to a breakdown and further fall to 0.562
Regards R. Linda!
TLT BONDS ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS: 19 DEC, 2024©Master of Elliott Wave: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M (Master's Designation).
The entire ((4))-navy wave most recently finished as an (A)(B)(C)-orange Zigzag, and the ((5))-navy wave is turning back to push lower.
It is subdividing into waves 1,2-grey, and they are complete, since the high of 94.85 the 3-grey wave is unfolding to push lower, targeting the low of 83.58.
US10Y ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS: 19 DEC, 2024©Master of Elliott Wave: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M.
The entire ((2))-navy most recent completed as an (A)(B)(C)-orange Zigzag, and the ((3))-navy is now retracing to push higher.
It is subdividing into a (1)(2)-orange, and they have completed, since the high of 4.126%, the (3)-orange is unfolding to push lower, targeting the high of 5.163%
BTC-USDT | 1W Chart Elliott Wave ProjectionBTCUSDT | Weekly Chart | Elliott Wave Theory & Key Zones 🚀
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Analysis Overview 🔎
Bitcoin (BTC) is forming a **classic Elliott Wave structure** on the **1W timeframe**, signaling a potential long-term bullish move. Here's the breakdown:
1️⃣. Current Structure:
- Wave (3) peaked at ~$107,000, showing strong momentum.
- Wave (4) correction is expected to retrace toward the $95,000 - $97,000 support zone.
- This aligns with the *Fib retracement levels* and prior consolidation zones.
2️⃣. Projection 🎯
- Wave (5) could target *$120,000 - $130,000* if BTC rebounds from the highlighted correction zone.
- The upper yellow trendline supports this bullish trajectory.
3️⃣. Key Levels 🗺️
- Support (Wave 4): $95,000 - $98,000 (purple zone).
- Target (Wave 5): $118,000 - $121,000.
4️⃣. Technical Indicators 📈
- Price remains inside a strong *ascending channel*.
- Volume and momentum need confirmation upon correction.
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Trading Plan 📈
- Entry: Wait for price stabilization in the $95,000 - $98,000 zone.
- Stop-Loss: Below $90,000 (invalidating the bullish structure).
- Take-Profit: Gradually scale out between $118,000 and $121,000.
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⚠️ Note: Always monitor volume, confirmation, and overall market conditions for risk management.
⚠️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and perform your own analysis before entering any positions.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #ElliottWave #TradingIdeas #TechnicalAnalysis** 🚀
Possible scenario for POL for next few monthsHello, looks like we are in a big challenge aren't we?
Not only BINANCE:POLUSDT but also almost every cryptos are dropping hard due to news of the U.S. interest rate cut adjustments.
In last post, I mentioned two possible scenarios, rally or adjustment, and we are in adjustment unfortunately. However, don't jump into conclusion that cryptos are doomed and there will be only a apocalypse. It's too early to say that.
Today, I wanna share my point of view of future scenarios of POL. And I tell you my conclusion first: LONG 📈. Here's the reasons.
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1) Now the price almost touched 60 days moving average line, and 4 Hours Chart RSI is also in oversell area. This can be as a possible support for a short period.
2) Also, the price is almost near of 0.618 level of Fib. retracement($0.45). In addtion, there were a lot of trading volume in the past, which means also there will be a support. I believe that price will not go down easily through this level.
3) If we consider past 30 days of rally as an eliot impulse wave, I think we are in ABC correction phase. And after that, we can think another rally again.
4) If we look into a chart with weekly period, I think this kind of view is also not quite impossible... but it's just my hope for now.
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Hope my vision will come true in the future. Don't be so disappointed, fellows! Our life and journey are "long", and so is our chart.
Polygon(POL) bull market has not ended yet!Recently, Polygon had reached $0.768 which is the highest price during last few months.
Now the price is dropping pretty much from the highest point, but I still believe this is not the end of altcoin season, also the season of Polygon.
I think the recent price drop was inevitable since RSI was in overbuy area for few days. The point is, If the price continues to be supported at the 0.382 level of $0.55, I think the upward trend could continue, leading to a rally up to the 1.0 or even the 1.272 level. And in that case, price would be between $0.97 ~ $1.08.
Moving average golden cross has just appeared. It is still worth to wait and look.
Bitcoin - Finally time for a drop! (alien technology)Bitcoin (crypto) is a technology that was brought to planet Earth by alien species. You probably heard of Grays, Reptilians, and Dracos from TV or YouTube. These days they are everywhere, and they are represented as evil to humanity. They infiltrated the government, presidential candidates, and big companies. They are here, but you don't see them. You can watch the following interview with a reptilian: www.youtube.com
Crypto technology is not new in the galaxy, and humans didn't invent it. But let's take a look at the price action. The Bitcoin bullish cycle is coming to an end. I think the end will be around 125,000 USDT, so you don't want to buy the TOP. We can expect a 60% to 50% correction in 2025/2026 - that would be 60k per Bitcoin.
At the top of each bullish cycle, many people get stuck with their holdings by buying near-all-time highs, then experience a massive crash in their account due to extremely high Bitcoin volatility. In the short- term, I expect a pullback to the bottom of the parallel channel, profit 1: 99405, profit 2: 94700.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
EUR/NZD Massive Upside PotentialThe chart speaks for itself. Looing for a 5th wave higher to finish the long term 5 wave Elliot Wave impulse. 2.15 is a reasonable price target. There is a long term .618 Fib ratio around there and it's the top end of a long term channel.
If this pair does this in the come 6 to 12 months then we have to expect a large bout of volatility in world markets over that time. Buckle your seatbelts
Gold Wave Analysis 18 December 2024
- Gold under bearish pressure
- Likely to fall to support level 2555.00
Gold under the bearish pressure after the earlier breakout of the key support level 2617,00 (which is the lower border of the sideways price range inside which the price has been trading from November).
The breakout of the support level 2617,00 stopped the earlier impulse wave 3 of the higher order impulse wave (5) from last month.
Gold can be expected to fall further to the next support level 2555.00 (which stopped the earlier medium-term correction (4) in November).
NU Holdings OutlookNU price has left the high volatility range and dropped by over 11% today.
The chart suggests that the first Elliott Wave A-B-C correction structure might be near completion with this five-wave downward move. Prices are reaching quite attractive levels again, prompting me to consider re-establishing a position, as the first clear correction pattern appears to be finishied soon.
There's a possibility that the entire correction could be complete. However, my main scenario anticipates that the chart will develop into a more complex correction pattern over the next few months, not finishing with this simple A-B-C structure.
There's still a chance that if the correction lasts longer, these prices could represent the lowest we'll see.
My primary target remains the 50% Fibonacci level at $9.25.
NZDUSD Wave Analysis 18 December 2024
- NZDUSD broke long-term support level 0.5770
- Likely to fall to support level 0.5500
NZDUSD currency pair earlier broke below the long-term support level 0.5770 (which acted as the lower border of the weekly sideways price range inside which the pair has been trading from the start of 2023).
The breakout of the support level 0.5770 accelerated the active impulse wave C of extended downward ABC correction (2) from last year.
NZDUSD can be expected to fall further to the next support level 0.5500 (former multiyear low from 2022 and the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave C).
Gold Analysis==>>PumpingToday, U.S. Retail Sales figures were released. Retail sales increased by 0.7% , surpassing the forecast of 0.6% . However, Core Retail Sales rose by only 0.2% , below the anticipated 0.4% .
These figures indicate continued strength in U.S. consumer spending, which can lead to a stronger U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY ) . A stronger dollar typically exerts downward pressure on gold prices, as gold is priced in dollars, making it more expensive for international investors when the dollar appreciates.
However, it's important to note that multiple factors influence gold prices, including upcoming Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates and global economic conditions.
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Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) continued to fall as I expected and is currently moving through the Support zone($2,642-$2,620) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold seems to be completing wave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys.
I expect Gold to start rising again from the PRZ and Support lines and attack the Resistance lines .
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($2,642-$2,620), we can expect more dumps.⚠️
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Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.