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Elliott Wave

GOLD → Correction after a false breakout. What's next?FX:XAUUSD reaches a key resistance that stops a strong rally. A false breakdown triggered a correction, which could be a chance for comfortable buys. The gold price stabilized around $2,725 after a three-day climb, remaining under profit taking pressure. Strong data on China's economy failed to inspire the market as real estate concerns and possible U.S. tariffs dampened optimism. Expectations of Fed rate cuts continue to support gold despite mixed data on the US labor market and retail sales. The Fed chief's statements about possible rate cuts in the first half of the year are adding support to the metal. Next week, traders' attention will be focused on US housing and industrial production data. Support levels: 2700, 2697 Resistance levels: 2712, 2721 Global and local trend is bullish. Counter-trend correction is being formed. Technically, the correction may reach the zone of interest 2700 - 2697, from which we should expect a rebound, for example, to 2712, or even the recovery of the bullish trend. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
NZDUSD → The bearish trend may get its continuationFX:NZDUSD failed to realize the chance when the dollar went into correction. Buyers do not believe in the realization of the bullish scenario at the moment. The price continues to succumb to pressure On the weekly timeframe the price approached the strong support level 0.5545 - 0.55. Accordingly, a reaction in the form of a small correction is possible. Small, because the dollar continues its bull run, and Trump's policy allows to keep this scenario in the medium term. On H4, the price continues to test the support at 0.5588 and a local descending triangle is forming amid pressure from the bears. Possible retest of the channel resistance before further decline. Resistance levels: 0.563, 0.567 Support levels: 0.5588, 0.5511 Technically, a breakdown and consolidation of the price below 0.5588 will provoke further sales against the background of the current local and global downtrend. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
AAX provide GOLDEN opportunity - end of wave 4?wave 4 will not overlap with wave 1 profitable quarter report MYX:AAX SETUP | BULLISH Price has formed a potential bottom at key support level of 1.71. We can observe: 1. Multiple technical bounces from this support level historically 2. Recent selloff reached oversold conditions 3. Formation of bullish candlestick patterns near support 4. Major moving averages starting to converge in this zone TRADE IDEA: - Entry: Current levels (1.79) - Stop Loss: Below 1.71 support - First Target: Previous resistance at 2.00 - Second Target: Recent high at 2.15 Risk:Reward ratio approximately 1:3 if targets are reached. Wait for confirmation of reversal with strong volume and bullish price action before entering. #AAX #MYX #TechnicalAnalysis Remember to always manage your position size and risk accordingly. This is not financial advice.
MYX:AAXLong
by pengamalgelombang
GBP/JPY Potential Reversal:Smart Money Concepts and Elliott WaveOANDA:GBPJPY Potential Reversal: Smart Money Concepts and Elliott Wave Analysis Analysis: The chart displays the GBP/JPY currency pair on a 4-hour timeframe, with various technical indicators and annotations. The price is currently at 190.118, showing a slight increase of 0.248 (+0.13%). The chart includes several key elements: Price Action and Trend Lines: The price has been moving within a descending channel, indicated by the parallel blue dashed lines. There is a significant support level around 188.088 and resistance around 194.197. Smart Money Concepts (SMC): Multiple Break of Structure (BOS) points are marked, indicating shifts in market structure. Change of Character (ChoCh) points are also noted, suggesting potential reversals. A significant BOS is observed around the 190.118 level, indicating a potential bullish reversal. Elliott Wave Analysis: The chart shows potential wave counts, suggesting the completion of a corrective wave and the beginning of a new impulsive wave. Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn, with key levels at 0.382 (190.92), 0.618 (192.29), and 0.786 (193.30). Volume Profile: The volume profile on the right side of the chart shows high trading activity around the 194.197 level, indicating strong resistance. Buy Strategy: Entry: 190.50 (above the current price to confirm the breakout) Take Profit 1 (TP1): 192.29 (0.618 Fibonacci level) - 179 pips Take Profit 2 (TP2): 194.197 (resistance level) - 370 pips Stop Loss (SL): 189.00 (below the recent low) - 150 pips Sell Strategy: Entry: 189.00 (below the current support level) Take Profit 1 (TP1): 188.088 (support level) - 91 pips Take Profit 2 (TP2): 183.721 (lower support level) - 528 pips Stop Loss (SL): 190.50 (above the recent high) - 150 pips VIP Signal: Buy: 190.50 TP1: 192.29 (179 pips) TP2: 194.197 (370 pips) SL: 189.00 (150 pips) Sell: 189.00 TP1: 188.088 (91 pips) TP2: 183.721 (528 pips) SL: 190.50 (150 pips) This analysis leverages various trading strategies, including Price Action, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), and ICT Elliott Wave, to formulate detailed buy and sell strategies. The identified key levels offer optimal entry and exit points, ensuring a balanced risk-reward ratio for traders.
by Alexgoldhunter
EURJPY Wave Analysis 16 January 2025 - EURJPY broke support zone - Likely to fall to support level 158.00 EURJPY currency pair recently broke the support zone located between the key support level 160.200, (which has been reversing the pair from December) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward ABC correction 2 from last month. The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term impulse wave iii of the higher impulse waves 3 and (3). Given the strong bullish yen sentiment, EURJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 158.00, the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave iii.
Short
by FxProGlobal
GOLD → Realization of consolidation and retest of resistanceFX:XAUUSD is testing a rather important resistance, a break and consolidation above which will open the way to 2721 - 2726. Technically, gold has entered the buying zone, and the fundamental background supports it Gold was supported by weak US inflation data, dollar correction and adjusted expectations of Fed rate cuts, as well as hopes for stimulus in China. Traders' attention shifts to December retail sales and jobless claims in the US. These data will help clarify the Fed's monetary policy outlook. Weakened dollar and lower bond yields support the current growth of gold. Technically, all eyes are currently on the uptrend and resistance at 2697.8 Resistance levels: 2697.8, 2700 Support levels: 2690, 2678 If gold can consolidate above 2697-2700 and the bulls hold the defense above this zone, we should expect growth in the short and medium term. But do not forget about the news that will be published later. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
Silver (XAGUSD): Position Update and New TargetsBack in October 2024, we successfully closed our second position at the exact top of wave 3, capturing the peak before XAGUSD dropped by 17%. We’re still holding our first setup, which remains open with the stop loss set at break-even. We believe the bottom of wave 4 was established around $29, and the chart now points towards a move higher into wave 5. Our focus is on a continuation above the Point of Control (POC) into the $31.35–$32.90 range. At that point, we’ll look for an entry during the pullback (wave (iv)). Alerts are set, and we’re ready to capitalise when the opportunity arises.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
3M (MMM): Patience Before Next StepsWall Street analysts estimate that 3M will report quarterly earnings of $1.66 per share next week, reflecting a significant 31.4% year-over-year decline. Revenues are projected at $5.79 billion, down 27.7% compared to the same quarter last year. As we mentioned previously, we have not yet set a clear limit for 3M and continue to monitor its chart closely. The current structure suggests that the alternative scenario, where wave 1 is positioned higher, appears increasingly likely. However, a significant surge beyond this point does not seem probable at this time. We’re keeping a close watch to determine where this wave 1 establishes its top before making any further moves. Patience remains key as we refine our conclusions on NYSE:MMM ’s next steps.
NYSE:MMMLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
XRP: Is the $3.00 Breakout the Start of a New Rally!?XRP Token ( BINANCE:XRPUSDT ) , backed by Ripple , a pioneer in international financial transfers, this token has once again captured the market's attention. Is this growth sustainable or just a temporary surge? Let's take a closer look. Fundamental Analysis : 1- Legal Advancements(Recent Court Victories) : Ripple has achieved successes in its legal battles against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), reducing legal uncertainties surrounding XRP and boosting investor confidence. 2- Strategic Partnerships(Collaborations with Major Financial Institutions) : Ripple has initiated partnerships with banks and financial institutions worldwide, especially in Europe and Asia, aiding in the broader adoption of XRP. 3- Increased Utility(Speed and Efficiency in Transactions) : Given its high speed and low transaction fees, XRP is being considered a suitable option for international transfers. 4- Institutional Investment(Approval of Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)) : The approval of ETFs related to XRP could lead to increased demand and, consequently, a rise in its price. 5- Leadership Changes(Changes in SEC Leadership) : With Gary Gensler stepping down as SEC Chair and the potential appointment of more crypto-friendly leaders, regulatory pressures on XRP are expected to decrease, potentially aiding its growth. ----------------------------------------------------------- Now, let's take a look at the Technical Analysis of XRP . XRP is trying to break the Resistance zone($2.92-$2.68) . However, the $3.00 Resistance level(Round Number) is preventing XRP from continuing to rise. Of course, with the large volume of the candle breaking the Resistance zone , we can hope for an increase in XRP . Regarding Classic technical analysis , the Rising Wedge Pattern has failed and will act as a continuation Pattern when a reversal pattern fails. ==>> Educational Tip According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that XRP has succeeded in completing the main wave 3 and we should wait for the main wave 4 . It looks like the main wave 4 can end around $2.85 or $2.74 ( near the upper line of the failed wedge pattern ). Looking at the chart of XRPBTC ( BINANCE:XRPBTC ) in the weekly time frame , we can see that it seems that XRPBTC has succeeded in breaking the Resistance lines and is currently trying to break the Resistance zone , and if this zone breaks , we can see a further increase in XRP compared to Bitcoin(if the crypto market is bullish ) and vice versa if the crypto market is bearish , we can hope that XRP will experience a smaller decline than Bitcoin. Based on the explanation above, I expect XRP to rise to at least a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) after the pullback is completed . Note: If XRP returns below the Resistance zone($2.92-$2.68) again, we can expect a further decline of XRP. XRP Analyze (XRPUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
14
From Bear Trap to Breakout: Bitcoin RoadmapBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise again( with a high momentum ) yesterday after failing to break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) ( Bear Trap formation). Educational Tip: Its quick return after exiting the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) with high volume was one of the signs of a bear trap. Regarding Elliott wave theory , it seems Bitcoin successfully completed a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) yesterday and is currently completing the next five impulsive waves . Likely, Bitcoin is still in correction waves . I expect Bitcoin to start correcting from the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,080) , 50_SMA(Daily) , and Monthly Pivot Point and start to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and attack the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,080) . ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000), we should expect a fall with high momentum (it is unlikely that another Bear Trap will be created). ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes below the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , there is a high possibility that Bitcoin will break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000). 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
21
US500/SPX morning analysisTechnical analysis of US500/SPX. Three different counts, one bullish (green) and two bearish (yellow, red). Green count has primary double combo wave to complete the correction, bottom in at 5756.90. Yellow and red counts both have an expanded flat correction starting on 20 December and are projecting wave (c) to complete above 6039.6. Yellow count has the expanded flat as a wave ((B)), looking for ((C)) below 5500. Red count has top in, expanded flat as a wave ((2)), looking for wave ((3)) below 5500.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by discobiscuit
JUPITER - To the 'moon' (soon!)This is a really interesting alt. It shot up significantly, and then is seeing what looks like a classic Elliot Wave triangle for a potential wave 4 of 5 of 1. If it is, then we should see the lower trendline breached any time soon, but only to come back within the channel and then upwards to wave 5. If the piercing occurs and we come back within the channel, it's looking really strong. But, only take your buy orders once the upper trendline has been decisively breached. Never within the channel unless you are going to 'trade the bumpers', but that's a low confidence trade in my opinion. Goog luck and follow and share for more.
Long
by cryptechcapital