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Elliott Wave

NIFTY50.....Here is the crash! Hello Traders, yesterday, I wrote the following words: "If not, the index has the possibility to crash to new lows. From my view, I need to see a final "sell-off" in the coming one or two weeks, to clear the market and banish those shaky hands! !" That is what exactly happened this morning! A CRASH! Shaking off the shaky hands! The markets are on the verge of being cleaned up! But!!! NOT yet!!! Chart analysis! First thing to know. This morning's move and massive gap-down was probably a wave 3. These waves are the most powerful waves during an impulse and (in this case), and they destroy the most gains in some minutes, i.e.hours! The second possibility is given that we have seen a "V.-turnaround", and the market has seen the low! To me, the structure is not clear, and I expect one lower low in the coming days ahead below 21743.6! The most important thing for a trader is, to believe what you see! Not to believe what you like to see! Following the idea of a wave 3 (which could be done), we should see a wave 4, morph into an a-b-c or a triangle! Keep in mind, that triangles are the most unlikely patterns to see! Anyway! If so to come, the next hours will show us the pattern, and probably we will get one a-b-c structure! After, i f so to come, new lows are ahead in the following days! But. If this low was the final low for this crash, the index is able to set the stage and skyrocketing! For now, there is no fact, to support this idea, and we handle with patient and care! Don't catch a falling knife!!! I will follow the market closely and update it constantly! For now.....have a great week! Ruebennase Please ask or comment as appropriate. Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
NSE:NIFTY
by ruebennase
13
S&P 500: Historic Crash or Just Another Chance?Let’s be real: What’s happening with the S&P 500 right now is rare. This is only the fourth time in history that the index has dropped more than 10% in two days (technically three, including today’s Monday session). The other times? October 1987, November 2008 during the financial crisis, and March 2020 during the pandemic crash. And now? We’re seeing a similar drop, this time triggered by a global tariff war , stoked by the U.S. and other governments playing chicken to see who folds first. Yeah, it sucks. It hurts. But it could also be a hell of an opportunity. We just tagged the 4,800 level —a place many didn’t expect to see this quickly. Neither did I. But here we are. The untapped VWAP got hit, and this might very well be the start of Wave A. Could we go lower? Absolutely. There’s a monthly Fair Value Gap around $4,500, and a drop to $4,250 isn’t out of the question either. But here’s the thing: it depends entirely on your perspective. If you’re trading on the 30-minute chart, this is a full-blown crisis. But zoom out to the daily, weekly, or monthly chart—and it’s just market noise. Pull up the log chart from 1953 to 2025 in the top left corner. We’ve seen this before. A handful of times. And on that scale? Nobody cares. If you’re in the game to build long-term wealth, this moment is just another temporary shakeout. If you’re doing dollar-cost averaging, this is exactly where you want to be adding—not panicking. The market doesn’t care about your plan. It forces you to adapt. You can’t fight it, only flow with it. And if you’re in it for the long haul? This is just noise. Ignore it, zoom out – and stay the course.
FX:SPX500Long
by stromm
Zloty vs Euro 5.20 - timespan boundariesTwo years ago, I found the probability with the current zloty price of 4.15 PLN; and forecasted new extremum terminal point >6.5 zloty per single euro. The first part of the prediction has worked out, 4.15 was reached. How i received the 6.50 PLN value? I got the value by applying the Elliott Wave Principle: this is the height of the first wave, primary degree. At the moment the chart is at the second wave end. I think so because there is an exit outside the channel, it is an indicator. According to the principle - the third wave cannot be the shortest in the impulse, so the target is above 6.5+. Today, the time boundaries became obvious to me. I think 5.20 PLN target per single EUR may be reached by the end of Trump presidency. Thus, by the end of 2028. This target will coincide with the upper trend channel and may match with the end of the first sub-wave of the minor degree of the primary third wave. In 2024 December i also made forecast for DXY dollar index: ~112% and ~85%. The first part of that prediction has already worked out at 110.217%. The second part of the probability may be more swift, thus we may see 94-85% DXY values during 2025. Which could lead to 5.20 at PLN already in 2025. We will know this soon... Good luck with your investing strategy, have fat profits and remember - there are no guaranties on the markets, only probabilities.
by dogecoin_chain
2
GBPUSD → False break of weekly support + DXY fallFX:GBPUSD is going through a shakeout phase relative to the trading range. Last week was very challenging in terms of unpredictable moves and volatility. A strong NFP report on Friday allowed the dollar to strengthen, but the reaction from the opening of the new trading week has already exhausted itself as traders are still watching the tariff war, which simply crashed the stock, futures markets. Technically, the currency pair on this background can win out, as the pound sterling within the ascending trend, the fall of the dollar can continue the growth phase. On the chart, the price forms a false breakdown of the support conglomerate, which in general may push the price up due to the imbalance of liquidity and interests of money moving away from the dollar Resistance levels: 1.2932, 1.3010 Support levels: 1.2828, 1.2811 If the bulls will keep the price above 1.2868 and will be able to consolidate above 1.2932, in the short term the market can show growth up to the next target - resistance 1.3010. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
GBP/USD Technical Outlook – April 7, 2025GBP/USD Technical Outlook – April 7, 2025 📊 🔹 Current Price: 1.29116 🔹 Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart 📌 Bullish Scenario (Primary & Alternate Paths): 🟢 Price is approaching a minor resistance at 1.29144, and a break above could lead to a push toward: 📍 1.29620 – Short-term resistance 📍 1.30295 – Key target zone 📌 Demand Zones (Support): 🟩 1.29144 - 1.29307 – Retest zone (potential bullish continuation) 🟩 1.27850 - 1.28350 – Major support for rebound if price rejects near-term structure 🛠️ Game Plan: ✅ Look for confirmations (bullish engulfing or breakout retest) around 1.29144 for long setups. ❗ If price breaks below both demand zones, reassess for bearish pressure. #GBPUSD #PriceAction #ForexAnalysis #FXFOREVER #SmartMoneyConcepts #DemandZone #SupplyAndDemand #15MAnalysis
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
Elliott Wave Analysis on $SOLUSDT – ElliotWave count🟢 Current Wave Structure The chart shows a complex corrective structure that fits well within the Elliott Wave principle: We are currently in a larger ABC correction, with the green-labeled wave (C) likely approaching completion. The most recent move down in green (C) may have marked the end of a broader corrective cycle. The current movement looks like a short-term ABC correction in red – typical for a corrective bounce after a strong sell-off. 🟥 Short-Term Movement (Red Wave A-B-C) Within the lower timeframe, we can see a corrective recovery forming a red A-B-C structure: Wave A (red) has already completed, Wave B (red) is currently forming (sideways or slightly lower), Wave C (red) could result in a final push upwards towards the green descending trendline – targeting around 138–142 USDT – unfolding as an internal orange A-B-C. 🟩 Key Trendline (Green) The green descending trendline has been respected multiple times and acts as strong technical resistance. ⚠️ Scenario: A rejection from this level is highly likely and would mark the end of the current relief rally – completing the larger green wave (B). 🟧 Short Entry Zone The orange Fibonacci zone around 142 USDT marks an ideal short setup area. This level is confluence of Fibonacci extensions and previous resistance. ⚪ What’s Next? After the orange wave C finishes (completing green wave (B)), I expect an impulsive move to the downside – likely unfolding as a classic 1-2-3-4-5 wave within the green wave (C). Target zones: First zone: ~108 USDT (highlighted by green/yellow/red Fibonacci extension), Final bear target: Possible deep wick below due to the high volatility and liquidity in that zone. ✅ Key Support Zone (Green / Yellow / Red) Around 108 USDT, we find a strong confluence support – labeled as End of Bears. This zone may act as a potential reversal point, possibly kicking off a new bullish cycle with long-term targets reaching 200+ USDT.
Long
by ElliotXSolana
BITCOIN → The price is consolidating, but there is a BUT!BINANCE:BTCUSDT is forming a consolidation after a false breakout of trend resistance. Against the backdrop of the global market crash (stock market, futures, forex) bitcoin looks quite strong, but I wouldn't get excited ahead of time Bitcoin is trading inside a downtrend and also inside a range (global 81200 - 88800 and local 81200 - 85600). As long as the price is inside the local range and below trend resistance it is worth considering selling. There have been periods in history when the price seemed strong in the moment, but then, bitcoin caught up with the fall of indices... The fundamental background for bitcoin is unstable: First of all, the price has hardly reacted in any way to the introduction of tariffs, backlash and economic data. The Fed is not giving a clear signal, the market is in uncertainty. Any info noise ( China, Fed rhetoric, company reports ) can cause shake-ups. But at the same time, the same old problems remain: the crypto community is not getting any support. Bitcoin's dominance is growing against the backdrop of its decline. Altcoins continue to storm the bottom. Technically , the situation is weak, the price cannot update local highs and consolidate above any strong support. It is possible to retest the trend resistance, or the zone of interest 85590 before the reversal and fall. Or, emphasis on the trigger 81187. A breakdown will provoke an impulse. Resistance levels: trend, 85585, 88840. Support levels: 81187, 78170, 73500 Buying in the medium term can be considered either after reaching the main target - 73-66K, or after the exit from the descending channel and price fixation above 88840. Now the emphasis is on a possible fall either from the resistance 85580, or when the support 81180 is broken Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
62
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Weekly Outlook | Elliott Wave Analysis This DXY weekly chart highlights a potential (A)-(B)-(C) corrective structure unfolding after a completed 5-wave impulsive rally. Wave A bottomed out around the 100 level, followed by a retracement in Wave B which tested the 111.893 supply zone. Currently, price is reacting strongly from that level, suggesting a possible move toward completing Wave C. Current Market Structure: Wave B faced strong rejection near the 111.893 resistance/supply zone. Price is now hovering near a short-term support zone (light green) around 102–100, which could serve as a decision point. Two scenarios are in play: 1. Bullish Rejection from Support: If buyers defend the support, a new bullish leg may begin, retesting 111.893 or even pushing slightly higher. 2. Break Below Support: A decisive breakdown could initiate a deeper decline toward the major demand zone (highlighted in beige) near 90.00–92.50, completing Wave C. Key Technical Zones: Resistance (Supply Zone): 111.893 Immediate Support: 100.00–102.00 Major Demand Zone (Wave C Target): 90.00–92.50 Current Price: 102.892 Elliott Wave View: The ongoing move appears to be part of a Wave C correction, which will be confirmed only if price breaks below the current support. On the flip side, a higher low and bullish continuation could mean the correction ended early, transitioning into a fresh impulse. Conclusion: The DXY is at a critical juncture. Traders should monitor price action closely at the 100–102 zone. A bounce could trigger a bullish setup back toward resistance, while a breakdown would likely bring Wave C to completion in the 90–92.50 zone. Stay tuned and trade with discipline.
TVC:DXY
by Greenfireforex
1
Elliott Wave Outlook (Wave C in Progress?)Key Technical Zones: Demand Zone: 0.9750 – 1.0350 (Support from Wave B low) Supply Zone: 1.1600 – 1.2000 (Potential Wave C target) Current Price: 1.0959 Support Levels: 1.0730, 1.0350 Resistance Levels: 1.1250, 1.1600 Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact for Wave C as long as the pair holds above 1.0730. Any deeper pullback into the demand zone could still be part of a healthy correction, offering long opportunities on confirmation. Keep an eye on macroeconomic data, especially from the U.S. (FOMC, CPI) and EU (ECB stance), as they may heavily influence EUR/USD sentiment in the coming weeks. Conclusion: Watch for bullish continuation setups toward the supply zone, but remain cautious of a mid-term rejection pattern, which could trigger a deeper correction. Trade safely, and always use proper risk management. Current Scenario: Price is now trading near 1.0950, suggesting a potential Wave C rally in progress. If Wave C unfolds as anticipated, EUR/USD could approach the supply zone marked between 1.1600–1.2000, which aligns with previous structural resistance and Fibonacci retracement levels. However, a false breakout or early rejection from current levels could lead to a sharp retracement, possibly retesting the demand zone before any major upside continuation.
by Greenfireforex