Further Bullish Moves on Palantir. PLTRA pretty clear bounce of a long term trend line. Four indicators paint a picture of bullish move here to follow.
Elliott Wave
Correction on Starbux. SBUXFive impulse is done. Divergent RSX hump present, now out of OBOS territory. MIDAS line is crossed, as is zero line on BB%PCT. VZO has been divergent for a while now, throwing off false signals. Now, there is a VZO signal as well, but in constellation with a multitude of other factors. Ehler's indicator doesn't make a lot of sense in this picture, however.
Higher Highs, Higher Lows on Adobe. ADBEAnd on top of that a few more technical signals acting in unison to suggest a bullish picture. Simultaneous or near simultaneous crosses on VZO, Stoch/RSI. There is a cross of zero line BB%PT. Last candle crossed vWAP and sits on both vWAP and VZO. Fibonacci clusters offer some static profit goals. In practice these are never used and I just throw them in there to keep track of how my ideas go in terms of reaching goals.
Bullish for Amazon. AMZNSupposing end off Wave A of correction, quite a deep one retracing half the previous bullish impulse. RSX momentum is divergent, heading toward OBOS line, divergent Bollinger Band derivative indicator. A strong change in texture of candlesticks is noted.
Signals on both VZO with offset and Ehlers Stochastic RSI have already thrown off signals a few candles ago.
Fibonacci points picked to coalesce with data already available for possible constellations/clusters, i.e. 0.5 Fibonacci coincides with MIDAS curve.
Gold intraday view (Neowave Forecast)Hi everyone
Price is still trying to test the high 2956 using daily supports level.
I think price wont go down today...so expect some bullish swings.
and this levels should breach on monday, may be this friday.
Thank You
VSCO good risk reward hereCrazy rally and a crazier pullback, and we are here now.
Good value zone to go long, very good risk to reward, can be 4x but need lots of patience
Back to 0.50?The next important NZD/USD data to watch will be published tomorrow when the US publishes its initial jobless claims. Is expected to show that a forecast from 242 k to 222k, which can be positive for the dollar index.
The Fed will, therefore, maintain its hawkish view if these numbers are correct since they will signal that prices remain significantly high.
There are other inflationary risks ahead. Donald Trump has pledged to impose new and bigger tariffs from top countries. On top of this, he is deporting millions of undocumented migrants, many who work in industries like construction and agriculture.
All these factors explain why US bond yields have rocketed to the highest level in two years, with the 30-year moving to 5%.
On the other hand, the RBNZ has continued to cut interest rates, and analysts expect the trend to continue in the coming months. It slashed them from last year’s high of 5.50% to the current 4.25%. As such, the local currency has fallen as the divergence between the Fed and the RBNZ continues.
Technically, we broke a converging triangle last December, with can lead us to further decline, possibly to the monthly bullish order block at 0.49690. This will complete wave y of superior Y.
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 5 March 2025
- EURUSD broke the resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.0900
EURUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 1.0625 (former monthly high from December), 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from November and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from January.
The breakup of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse wave C of the medium-term ABC correction B from January.
Given the strongly bearish US dollar sentiment, EURUSD can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 1.0900, the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave C.
Reasons for dollar to stabilizeDollar strength is expected to stabilize or persist into 2025 for several reasons:
Economic growth differentials: The U.S. economy is projected to grow by 2.7% in 2024, outpacing the 1.7% growth forecast for all developed markets. This is driven by superior productivity growth, higher business investment and fewer labor supply issues compared to other developed markets. Such robust growth, which has contributed to inflation remaining above 2%, may lead the Fed to halt rate cuts sooner than expected. This makes a dollar weakening unlikely in the short term.
Monetary policy differentials: The increasing divergence in global growth has led to a greater disparity in central bank policies worldwide. As a result, the gap between U.S. 10-year bond yields and those of its key trading partners has widened to its highest level since 1994. These differentials may remain elevated, as markets are currently pricing in only a limited number of Fed cuts next year (44bps), compared to 110bps for the ECB and rate hikes of 47bps in Japan.
Policy changes: The upcoming administration's focus on boosting domestic manufacturing, increasing tariffs and deregulating industries could spur business growth and sustain higher interest rates, supporting the dollar. President-elect Trump has also discussed imposing tariffs or other measures on countries that challenge the dollar's trade dominance or reserve currency status.
Even with the factors supporting the dollar, its ascent is unlikely to continue indefinitely. Currently, the dollar is two standard deviations above its 50-year average, suggesting limited room for further appreciation. Historically, the dollar has alternated between periods of strength and weakness, making a downturn likely at some point, though the timing is uncertain. Additionally, the U.S.'s persistent trade balance deficit, at 4.2% of GDP as of September 2024, poses a long-term constraint, highlighting a structural challenge that could eventually pressure the currency.
A strong dollar can hurt international company performance for U.S.-based investors. It can also negatively impact U.S. companies with significant international exposure and U.S. exports by making goods more expensive abroad. While a stronger dollar could bolster the 'U.S. exceptionalism' narrative in 2025, investors should carefully assess its potential impact on their portfolios.
Technically, we had a cup and handle formation, which we previously broke. Now, we are in the pullback of the break, and it make a triangle for wave 4. Remember wave dos was a flat. For that matter, this strong down momemtun, could be a retracement or wave 2 of 5.
Channel Top?The Fed’s approach to interest rate cuts will be pivotal for gold prices. BMI forecasts
acumulative reduction of 125 basis points (bps), bringing rates to 3.50% by the end of 2025. However, the Fed's decisions will hinge on inflation, labor market, and economic data, introducing uncertainty.
If rate cuts are slower or smaller than expected, gold could face downward pressure due to its lack of yield. Conversely, aggressive cuts could drive investors toward gold as a safe-haven asset.
Strength of the U.S. Dollar
A robust U.S. dollar could spell trouble for gold prices. The dollar’s recent rally, fueled by higher growth expectations, fiscal deficits, and inflationary pressures from trade policies, has reduced gold’s appeal. While BMI expects the dollar to remain strong initially, it could soften as global risk assets perform well.
Geopolitical and Economic Risks
Geopolitical tensions, including the Russia-Ukraine war, Middle Eastern conflicts, and rising trade disputes under Trump’s presidency, will provide some support for gold as a safe haven. However, these risks may not be sufficient to counteract other bearish factors.
On the economic front, BMI forecasts global growth to remain stable at 2.6% in 2024 and 2025, with risks on both sides. Upside factors include potential tax cuts and increased oil production in the U.S., while downside risks stem from escalating tariffs, supply-side inflation, and regional conflicts.
Inflation Dynamics
Inflation, a traditional driver of gold demand, is expected to ease in 2025. While trade-related risks could spur localized inflationary pressures, the overall outlook suggests a slowdown in gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge.
Technically, we might me at the top of the channel, were 3 wave ended at 261.8% extension. For that matter, we might see a 38.2 or 50% correction before the beginning of wave 5.
Asian Paint Chart Structure Elliott wavePlease refer to the chart of Asian Paints Ltd., have tried to put everything on chart. The Chart is a long term chart. It seems that it is progressing in wave IV of its higher degree waves. The wave IV has retraced moved than 38% of its wave III. Lower level may also be seen in near future.
Please check the chart and follow for such charts.
Regards
Gold’s Three Soldiers Pattern Signal: A Strong Rally Ahead?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is breaking the Resistance zone($2,930-$2,916) and the Neckline of the Inverse Head-and-Shoulders Pattern .
According to the Elliott wave theory, the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) is over, and we must wait for the next impulse wave .
Also, the Three Soldiers Candlestick Pattern is a good sign to break the Resistance zone($2,930-$2,916) and neckline .
I expect Gold to rise to at least $2,953 , if the Resistance zone($2,957-$2,940) is broken, we should wait for Gold to rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Do you think Gold can make a new All-Time High(ATH)?
Note: If Gold goes below $2,887, it should expect more gold Dumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
CHR The Hidden GemDespite the unexpected bearish decline since Dec 2024, #CHR still holds a bullish outlook as long as it stays above $0.081 (stop-loss).
Confirming the current bottom is key for the bullish thesis, with passing $0.376 signaling a potential new all-time high.
#Chromia
BTCUSDT [1M] // Elliot waveElliott waves in action.
Pay attention to the proven scenario of the last cycle.
GOLD → Consolidation v. 2921. Ready for a breakthroughFX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen on the background of growing economic risks and also on the background of aggressive fall of dollar. The metal is at resistance at 2921 and is preparing to go even higher....
The dollar breaks the bullish structure on the background of comments of the U.S. Ministry of Finance on the reduction of rates. The verbal intervention as manipulation is affecting the markets quite aggressively. Further decline in gold is unlikely due to trade war risks and expectations of soft Fed policy.Additional impetus to gold may be given by weak ADP employment data and PMI data
Gold has two important liquidity zones. 2913 and 2903, the closest area has already been tested (liquidity zone reached) and now all eyes are on 2920.7. If it holds, gold will return to 2913-2903 support, if resistance is broken, momentum will be formed.
Resistance levels: 2920.66, 2942, 2954
Support levels: 2913, 2903, (0.5) fibo)
Gold is testing 2913.34 at the moment, a rebound is forming due to the liquidity collected. In the short term, the focus is on 2920.7. Breaking the level and fixing the price above the trigger will most likely provoke the continuation of growth to 2942-2954
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Dump and Pump | Crypto resurrected - next 125,000 USDLast week Bitcoin and the whole crypto market dumped like crazy, but on Sunday at the start of March, the crypto market was resurrected from the abyss! After Trump's post, the crypto market pumped in a very short period of time. But let's take a look at the technicals.
The price dropped below the rectangular range but then pumped back into the range. What does it tell us? Usually, what we want to see is a breakdown of the range, retest, and continuation to the downside. In this case, the price failed to retest the range and instead went back to the range, which is a sign of strength. Currently, we want to look for a good price to buy BTC for the final stage of the bull cycle. I expect this bullish cycle to end in Q3 2025, around September.
The price of Bitcoin is inside this huge ascending parallel channel on the daily chart, and as long as this channel holds, we have to be bullish. Let's take a look also at the weekly timeframe. What we can see here is a bullish hammer with an extremely long wick (reversal candle). The price also got rejected from the 20-weekly moving average.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
CAKEUSDT → False breakout of resistance. Return to the trendBINANCE:CAKEUSDT is forming a false breakdown of key resistance as part of a bullish rally. Further altcoin decline may be influenced by bitcoin's decline, the flagship looks rather weak
Technically, the move in Cake looks like a counter-trend maneuver to gather liquidity before a further, possible fall. The altcoin market is weak and most coins continue to look for a bottom, while bitcoin is consolidating but with a hint of a decline to 91-90K.
CAKEUSDT is focusing on 2.6144 - 2.7288. If the bears keep the price below these zones, the coin could head down in the short to medium term
Resistance levels: 2.6144, 2.7288, 2.2964
Support levels: 2.420, 2.0634
Statistically, a false breakdown provokes the strongest movements, often even trend changes. In this case, it is a counter-trend movement and if the price reverses locally, the coin will be under the pressure of the trend again. A price fixing below 2.6144 may strengthen the fall to 2.42, 2.06, 1.04.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Correction before bullish trend continuationFX:GBPUSD has been rising for the last month and a half as the market sentiment and the behavior of the dollar, which is gradually updating lows.
The tariff war by trump is just in full swing. The dollar continues its correction on the back of US politics as well as inflation data.
GBPUSD at this time is trading in the bullish zone, above the support at 1.262 - 1.2576. Thus, within the framework of the correction, which has been observed since the opening of the European session, the price may test the liquidity area before further growth.
Resistance levels: 1.2718, 1.2678
Support levels: 1.262, 1.2576
The local trend is bullish and the price is forming a local correction. In this case, it is worth looking for strong support zones with the purpose of rebound and continuation of growth. Targets in this case are intermediate highs: 1.2718, 1.2811
Regards R. Linda!
EWTSU EURUSD minuette wave (iii) running
Elliott Wave Trade Set Up
EURUSD minuette wave (iii) running
ICHIMOKU lagging span break up leading span B
monitoring Fibonacci target levels / static resistences
monitoring lower degree subminuette should develope in five waves
invalidation: price retraces below 1.0527 (minuette (i))
Gold's Resistance Battle: Breakout or Reversal?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving near the Resistance zone($2,896-$2,878) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing microwave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to go down at least pivot points after breaking the Uptrend line , and in the next stage , the Support zone($2,845-$2,830) can be the next target .
Note: If Gold can go over the Resistance zone($2,896-$2,878), we can expect more pumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
AAX recalculate wave - current is wave 2wave 2 and it retraces to 0.786, quite deep retracement
provides excellent risk and reward ratio
the wave will be invalid if current price managed to break support of rm1.28
Current price around 1.52-1.53 MYR with sell/buy buttons visible
Multiple buy and sell signals marked throughout the chart
A downward trend followed by consolidation and potential reversal pattern
Support and resistance levels marked (including 1.71 level)
Elliott Wave counting visible with numbered points (1-5)
Moving averages (multiple colored lines) showing trend direction
Volume indicators at the bottom of the chart
Time frame appears to be 1-day (1D) chart showing data from 2023-2025
The chart suggests analysts are projecting a potential upward movement after the current price consolidation, with targets marked significantly higher than current levels. Recent price action shows the stock is trading near support levels after a period of decline.
ETHUSDT (Ethereum) Using Elliott Waves: Back to 1K? Plotting waves on Ethereum: The current correction may be a larger degree wave (2) or a wave (4) consolidation. Taking either would depend on the analyst's bias.
In both the cases, what matters is spotting the corrective patterns and participating in the larger impulses.
The June'22 bottom is a relevant one as many coins bottomed out then. But have we made a long term bottom on ETH or not? This upmove on Ethereum does not seem impulsive in the eyes of EW. With the trendline broken and monthly RSI going for a reset, the alt season may not be here anytime soon.
If this move is supported, we can see a sharp decline in the coming months taking the price back to 1K (or slightly below). The political interference on crypto can keep giving random shakeouts so it is important to keep a firm view on either side. Until the price remains below 3K, I would like to keep my bearish view.
Bitcoin on Mid-TermBitcoin seems to be in a bullish diametric in the medium term and we are now in wave-F of it. This wave itself is a neutral triangle and can be completed by April 15, 2025. After that we can see a rise to 13000-15000 in Bitcoin
