GOLD → Geopolitical risks are driving gold prices up. To ATH?FX:XAUUSD is updating its interim highs as it retests resistance at 3435 amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Economic risks are on the rise...
Gold rose 1.5% on Friday in Asian trading as investors sought refuge from escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. The price approached 7-week highs and could reach $3,500 if the conflict intensifies. The US and Israel have warned of serious consequences, while Iran has promised to respond. Geopolitics has overshadowed economic news, and markets are pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut in September.
Technically, the price is emerging from a local consolidation and testing a fairly important resistance level, forming a false breakout and correction. But this does not mean that the price will fall...
Resistance levels: 3425, 3435, 3461
Support levels: 3408, 3400, 3377
If gold consolidates above 3425 and continues to storm the resistance, growth may continue, and at the moment, there is a fairly high probability of a retest of the ATH. However, the ideal scenario would be a retest of the zone of interest 3408 - 3400 and the capture of liquidity before continuing growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Elliott Wave
NZDUSD Elliott Wave A nalysisHello friends
In the NZDUSD chart, we are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 5 are quite clear and you can even count its sub-waves. Now wave 5 is completing and we are seeing multiple divergences in wave 5.
With the break of the trend line drawn at the bottom and a pullback to it, we can expect the price to fall to the specified support.
The first support is 0.58500 and then 0.56800.
Good luck and be profitable.
Safe-Haven Demand Boosts Gold as Middle East Tensions EscalateHey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 3,380 zone. Gold is currently trading in an uptrend and is experiencing a correction phase as it pulls back toward this key support and resistance area.
On the fundamental side, reports indicate that Israel struck Iran overnight — fueling a classic geopolitical risk-off sentiment. This escalation is driving strength in safe-haven assets while putting pressure on riskier markets. Gold typically benefits from this kind of uncertainty, adding further weight to the technical setup we’re seeing today.
Trade safe,
Joe
Tesla’s Flat Deception: Bearish Wave Y in the Making?Tesla’s price structure has taken traders on quite a journey, and after peeling back the layers, it's clear that both bullish and bearish possibilities demanded attention — but only one holds more weight for now.
The first sign of life came at the March low, where price made a lower low (218.13 to 214.25), but RSI formed a higher low. This classic bullish divergence paved the way for a strong rally, confirming that Wave W had likely ended with a sharp zigzag, and Wave X was beginning to unfold. The bounce from 214.25 extended into a flat structure, which completed near 367.71 — a textbook ABC flat with the internal wave b forming a higher low at 223.17.
Initially, this structure looked like the beginning of a bullish impulse. The drop to 273.22 perfectly tagged the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, and it was tempting to label it as Wave 2 of a new impulse. However, that bullish view began to crack when the bounce from 273.22 appeared to be a three-wave move, not a clean five-wave impulse. More importantly, Wave 4 of this move overlapped the price of Wave 1 — a key violation that rules out a typical impulse and instead suggests the move was a leading diagonal.
This view is supported by the RSI, which revealed bearish divergence as price climbed from 350.00 to 367.71 — price made a higher high, but RSI made a lower high, indicating fading momentum. That divergence, combined with the overlapping structure, tilts the probability toward a bearish scenario now unfolding as Wave Y.
If this view plays out, the decline from 367.71 may be the start of Wave a of Y in a final zigzag correction. The projected path would take Tesla lower in a 5-3-5 structure, with potential support near or below the March lows. The bearish view remains valid as long as price stays below 367.71 — the clear invalidation point. A move above that level would force a reevaluation and potentially revive the bullish case.
At this point, the market has spoken — and it's whispering bearish. The structure favors caution unless bulls reclaim momentum with strength.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
BTC: Elliot Cycle AnalysisA simple Elliot wave analysis of BTC's cycle. I predict we top out between 140-190k, before entering a bear market that will last ~12 months, likely ending early 2027. I can imagine that we form a massive H&S before we decline.
I believe the widespread adoption of crypto, BTC reserves, ETFs, etc. will serve as a bulwark against too harsh a winter. We perhaps drop to the 56k support, which would be an excellent buy-back opportunity.
Prepare to exit the market and remain tethered up for about a year or so. Don't get greedy. Things are gonna heat up real soon for the broader market.
Happy trading,
Melonfarmer
GTAI - Time to buy this altcoin! (bottom is in)GTAI (GT Protocol) is a relatively new altcoin that is listed on major exchanges. On CoinMarketCap, this altcoin has a rank of #1121, which means it has a lot of room to go to the upside. You probably don't want to buy some famous altcoins in the TOP section because there is no 100x potential anymore. But if you want a reliable but small profit, then you can go with BTC or other major altcoins.
GT Protocol is back in the spotlight as one of the top AI narratives of 2024. The biggest unlocks are nearly behind it — and the setup for sustained growth is looking strong. If you believe in the AI tokens, this could be a good choice for the upcoming alt season.
From a technical point of view, this altcoin just completed a major ABC corrective wave on the weekly timeframe. This is a huge technical event, because after such a move, we expect a strong impulse wave 12345 to the upside! Currently, the price has been trending in this blue descending parallel channel. The price is near the support line, providing us with an excellent buying opportunity.
I expect GTAI to go up in the immediate short term and mid-term because the price should retest the downward-sloping trendline of the channel. Now it's up to you if you take a 150% profit or hold for the long term! Let me know in the comment section what you think about this altcoin? Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
S&P 500 Breaks Out — Trump, Tariffs & Bullish Island PatternDonald Trump has mentioned the US stock market in every meeting he has held in the past few days, which has caused the US stock market indices , including the S&P500 Index ( SP:SPX ), to rise:
"Better go out and buy stocks now".
President Donald Trump told a crowd in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday that the markets are just getting started. “It’s going to get a lot higher,” he said, right as the S&P 500 posted its first gain since late February.
But one of the main reasons for the increase in the S&P 500 Index and US stocks is The United States has dropped its tariffs on Chinese goods to 30% , down from a brutal 145% , while China is slashing its own duties on US imports to just 10% , temporarily, for the next 90 days .
-------------------------------------------------
Now let's take a look at the S&P 500 Index chart on the daily time frame .
S&P500 Index managed to break the Resistance zone($5,737_$5,506) and 21_SMA(Weekly) by Breakaway Gap .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , the S&P500 Index has managed to form a Bullish Long Island Pattern , and this pattern is one of the continuing patterns and will be a sign of the continuation of the S&P500 Index's upward trend .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the S&P500 index has completed the corrective wave and is in new impulsive waves , which could cause a new All-Time High(ATH) to form.
I expect the S&P500 index to increase by at least +5% as it approaches the Uptrend line , and we will see the possibility of a new ATH .
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), Daily time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Correction = Bearish Divergence + Wedge + Zigzag CompleteGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) today after the release of the US CPI indices . Although the figures seemed to be in gold's favor, traders still seem to be determined to continue the price correction.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has managed to complete the Zigzag Correction. We should wait for the next 5 down waves .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Gold appears to have successfully formed a Rising Wedge Pattern .
I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,296 AFTER breaking the lower line of the Rising Wedge Pattern .
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $3,380
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
USDCAD Hits Support as Fed-Hawkish & BoC Cuts! Big Bounce ComingUSDCAD ( OANDA:USDCAD ) is trading at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the important Support line and Support lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that USDCAD has managed to complete 5 main down waves and we can expect more up waves .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect USDCAD to rise to at least 1.37860 CAD.
Fundamental View:
The Bank of Canada initiated its rate-cutting cycle , while the Federal Reserve remains firm with no immediate plans to ease.
Strong NFP data on Friday reinforced USD ( TVC:DXY ) strength .
Oil prices( BLACKBULL:BRENT ) may offer temporary support to CAD , but macro divergences clearly favor the dollar .
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= 1.36110 CAD
U.S Dollar/Canadian Dollar Analyze (USDCAD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Io trade planIO/USDT Long Trade Setup | Daily Timeframe
📉 Structure: ABC Correction Completed
🚀 Elliott Wave Count: Wave 1 and 2 completed — potential Wave 3 breakout incoming
🔹 Entry Zone: 0.750 – 0.770 USDT
🔻 Stop-Loss: 0.666 USDT (below 78.6% Fib retracement)
🎯 Target 1 (Wave 3): 2.782 USDT (1.618 extension of Wave 1)
🎯 Target 2 (Wave 5): 14.865 USDT (1.618 extension from Wave 3
Gold (XAUUSD) Eyes 3,330 Zone as Safe-Haven Demand Builds!!Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we’re keeping a close watch on XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 3,330 zone. Gold continues to trade within a strong uptrend, and is currently undergoing a healthy correction, bringing it near a key support/resistance level that could act as a springboard for the next leg higher.
From a fundamental perspective, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have led to the evacuation of diplomatic personnel and increasing concerns of potential military escalation. As uncertainty grows, safe-haven assets like gold tend to attract stronger demand from investors seeking protection against volatility and risk.
If the situation deteriorates further, we could see a surge in gold prices as market participants hedge against geopolitical instability.
Trade safe,
Joe
Crude Oil Eyes 65.40 Support Amid Middle East Uncertainty!!Hey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we’re closely monitoring USOIL for a potential buying opportunity around the 65.40 zone. The commodity remains in an overall uptrend, and is currently undergoing a corrective phase, approaching a key support/resistance area near 65.40. This level aligns well with the broader trend structure and may offer a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
On the fundamental side, geopolitical tensions are on the rise. Reports indicate that U.S. embassy personnel are being evacuated from parts of the Middle East amid growing regional instability. Allegedly, Israel is preparing for potential military action against Iran should nuclear deal talks collapse.
If these tensions escalate further into military conflict, oil prices could spike in response to the heightened risk to regional supply chains.
Trade safe,
Joe
S&P500 Update: Break of Lower TrendlineIn this video, I updated the wave count for S&P500 and discussed 2 different ways of counting it but ended with a bias on a stronger wave 3 down as opposed to a wave 5 of 1 down.
The stop loss is above 6016, with 2 take profit targets:
1) 5940
2) 5923
Good luck!
Elliott wave daily EURUSD update
Elliott wave daily EURUSD update
The price movement of the last few weeks requires a change
and update of the wave count
______________________________________
upward movement from area 1.018/genuary 2025 to area 1.1580/april 2025
looks impulsive - minute wave ((i)).
we are now in a corrective minute wave ((ii))
zigzag or flat or any double
target area 1.1040/1.0800 area
in the very short term level to monitor 1.1500 area
over 1.1500 area a flat correction more likely ( to area 1.1570)
note
FX option expiries for 6 June 10am New York cut
1.1500 (EUR 3.19bn)
1.1400 (EUR 2.38bn)
1.1300 (EUR 1.28bn)
FOREXLIVE
Inverse H&S Breakout! EURGBP Eyes Resistance Zone Amid Eurozone EURGBP ( OANDA:EURGBP ) is moving between two Support zone(0.83870 GBP-0.83500 GBP) and Resistance zone(0.8511 GBP-0.8470 GBP) .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , EURGBP has managed to break the Neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern .
I expect EURGBP to rise to at least 0.84911 GBP and attack the Resistance zone(0.8511 GBP- 0.8470 GBP) .
-----------------------------------------------------------
EURGBP Fundamental Analysis:
1. Eurozone (EUR) Overview :
The Eurozone economy has shown moderate recovery signs after pandemic disruptions.
Inflation remains a concern, but the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain or even tighten monetary policy gradually to combat inflation.
Economic data such as GDP growth and industrial production are mixed but generally indicate slow growth.
Political stability in the Eurozone is relatively steady compared to the UK.
The ECB’s forward guidance leans towards cautious optimism, supporting EUR strength over time.
2. United Kingdom (GBP) Overview :
The UK economy faces several challenges, including slower growth prospects compared to the Eurozone.
Inflation has been high but the Bank of England (BoE) has been raising interest rates aggressively to control it.
Political uncertainties related to Brexit aftermath, trade deals, and fiscal policies have created some volatility.
Consumer confidence and retail sales have shown signs of weakness in recent months.
Overall, the BoE’s hawkish stance is strong, but economic fundamentals are less robust compared to the Eurozone.
3. Comparative Factors Favoring EUR Long :
The Eurozone's relatively better economic stability and growth prospects support EUR strength.
UK economic challenges and political uncertainties weaken GBP.
ECB’s more gradual tightening approach may prevent shocks, making EUR attractive.
Brexit-related trade issues continue to pose risks for GBP.
4. Risks to Consider :
Unexpected ECB dovish moves could weaken EUR.
Positive UK economic surprises or faster-than-expected BoE tightening might strengthen GBP.
External shocks like geopolitical tensions can affect risk sentiment, impacting both currencies.
-----------------------------------------------------------
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= 0.84221 GBP
Euro/British Pound Analyze (EURGBP), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Room for Further Strength as Price Approaches ResistanceOn the 1-hour timeframe, I estimate that XAUUSD is currently forming wave c of wave b of wave (a). This implies that XAUUSD still has the potential to strengthen, testing the 3379 level and possibly retesting the resistance area at 3403. However, caution is warranted going forward, as this outlook reflects the bearish scenario for XAUUSD.
Bitcoin Short: Wave CAfter a 6-days move up after we have hit our target in the previous analysis, I think Bitcoin has completed what I think to be the Wave B and is already on the Wave C run down.
Over in this video, I expressed my personal viewpoint that Bitcoin is not a hedge against the dollar and that it is actually a risk-on/off product more similar to the equities markets like the S&P500. I recommend that anyone who is interested to perform a study on the correlation and beta Bitcoin.
I suggested that the reason why it more closely related to the equity markets is due to it's deep integration within the financial sector (e.g. ETFs, structured products from banks).
Given that I think that the equity markets are primed to crash soon, I think that Bitcoin will follow suit.
Good luck!
AI Chip Stocks NVDA and AMD Showing 5 Wave RiseNASDAQ:NVDA and NASDAQ:AMD are both showing 5 wave rise in weekly chart after a correction in WXY. I haven't checked but other AI related stocks also might be doing something similar.
Once the 5 waves are over, we can expect some correction but the 5-wave rise post a correction typically signals fresh uptrend so it might be worth keeping an eye on these stocks. Waiting till retracement/correction of this rise is complete.