BTCDetailing the downward movement from the peak so far
It might be like this from what I see, and God knows best,
The price is now trying to hold at price clusters,
A return above $89,000 is good and positive
And the importance of this level is due to it being the last declining peak, a volume candle, and a return inside a sub-channel.
- We follow and evaluate
Elliott Wave
PEPEUSDT: A Massive Move Incoming?Yello, Paradisers! Is PEPEUSDT gearing up for a breakout, or will it crumble under pressure? Let's break it down.
💎PEPEUSDT has formed an ending diagonal with a clear 5-wave structure and bullish divergence, increasing the probability of an upcoming bullish move. But here's the catch—it all depends on key levels and volume confirmation.
💎If PEPEUSDT breaks out and closes a candle above resistance with strong volume, it will signal strength and increase the likelihood of a continued bullish push.
💎If price consolidates with weak volume, it’s better to stay on the sidelines—especially with the broader crypto market looking bearish for now. No need to force trades.
💎However, If PEPEUSDT breaks down and closes below the support zone, it completely invalidates the bullish setup. In this case, stepping aside is the best move.
🎖 Discipline and patience always win in this market, Paradisers. If the market gives confirmation, we strike. If not, we wait. Trade smart!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
NZDJPY Wave Analysis – 26 February 2025
- NZDJPY broke key support level 85.00
- Likely to fall support level 84.00
NZDJPY currency pair recently broke the key support level 85.00 (which stopped the previous minor impulse wave i at the start of February).
The breakout of the support level 85.00 accelerated the minor impulse wave iii of the C-wave which belongs to the extended ABC correction (2) from November.
Given the strong daily downtrend, NZDJPY currency pair can be expected to extend the losses toward the next support level 84.00, the target price for the completion of the active C-wave.
Wave C: The Calm Before the Bullish StormBitcoin’s Epic Comeback: From the Abyss to New Heights (2022–2024)
After the brutal 2022 crash, Bitcoin was left battered, trading near $16K. Sentiment was at rock bottom—fear, uncertainty, and doubt ruled the market. But as 2023 unfolded, a silent accumulation phase began. Institutions and whales loaded up while retail investors remained hesitant.
Then came the first sparks: inflation cooled, macro conditions improved, and whispers of a Bitcoin ETF surfaced. The market woke up. Bitcoin broke $30K, then $40K, as momentum grew. The long-awaited ETF approval in early 2024 sent shockwaves—institutions poured in, and Bitcoin exploded past $50K, then $60K.
By mid-2024, the halving event tightened supply, fueling another leg up. Bitcoin shattered expectations, briefly touching $75K. Corrections came, but the uptrend held strong. As December 2024 approached, the market braced for the next chapter. With wave C on the horizon, the question wasn’t if Bitcoin would break new all-time highs, but when.
XAUUSD Bearish Trend Started for Correction ABCXAUUSD Bearish Trend Started for Correction ABC
Based on recent analyses, gold (XAUUSD) has been on an upward trajectory, reaching record highs above $2,900 in early February 2025. This surge is attributed to factors such as newly imposed tariffs and inflation concerns.
However, some Elliott Wave analyses suggest that gold may be entering a bearish correction phase. For instance, a head and shoulders pattern has been identified, indicating potential for a downward move if key support levels are breached.
Additionally, forecasts indicate that the XAUUSD pair is correcting and may continue to decline, with an estimated pivot point around 2,788.71.
In summary, while gold has recently achieved record highs, certain technical indicators and patterns suggest a possible bearish correction in line with Elliott Wave Theory.
DXY Bearish to 85-90The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Here are some key insights from the chart:
A zigzag corrective pattern is identified.
Resistance levels at 113 and an inverse bearish level at 115 are highlighted.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA 9) and Simple Moving Average (SMA 50) are displayed.
Elliott Wave analysis appears to be used, indicating a possible downward correction.
A bearish scenario targeting around 90 in the long term is projected.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Here are some key insights from the chart:
A weakening dollar will boost growth in the export sector. I believe this will occur during President Trump's term.
RIVN looks ready after a flatRIVN bounced off the 61.8% retracement of W-(1), looked like a clean impulse besides the very deep retracement of W-2, but still valid. Wave B looks like 3 waves up and was rejected off the 127% making it look like an expanded flat. This then followed into an ending diagonal for C right into that 61.8% retracement of W-(1) and not quite hitting the 161.8% extension of W-A.
On a smaller timeframe, this last leg down could look like a 1-2 1-2 and needs a second 4-5 still. One more low could be in order.
Bitcoin Overall: 2 scenariosIf the weekly candle closes below 89,150; we probably visit 70-80K region, where at this point I am pre-disposed to consider this bull market to be over, despite its relatively short duration. Of course we will have to see what price has done at that point. Regardless, there should be a very significant bounce off those levels if this occurs.
My understanding of EW theory suggests price may have completed/has almost completed an 'expanded flat' corrective phase, and that we will have an extended 5th wave as in the 2017 cycle--although probably less explosive. IF price were to recover from these levels, we should have some very nice gains in the months ahead. The alternative scenario is the 5th wave has ended and the bear market has begun--in this case a sell the bounce from the 70'sk should be executed to liquidate any long-term positions.
As usual, give the above framework I believe the market will tell us what will happen.
Nio - It's his time to change the EV conception?Nio has developed a Wyckoff accumulation pattern, which started one year ago. The key level remains at $4.50, signaling the start of the next wave in this Elliott Cycle (3rd wave). Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension could help us identify key levels for this potential movement. It's important to note that this is just a probability, and nothing is certain yet.
What about the company ?
NIO is a Chinese electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer that has gained significant attention in recent years, particularly for its innovative approach to battery technology and its premium EV offerings. Founded in 2014, NIO has positioned itself as a major player in the global EV market, particularly in China, and is looking to expand its presence internationally.
Over the past three years, NIO has shown impressive growth in terms of vehicle deliveries. In 2021, the company delivered over 91,000 vehicles, a substantial increase from the 43,000 vehicles delivered in 2020. In 2022, NIO continued its upward trajectory, delivering over 122,000 vehicles, marking a strong year despite global supply chain challenges.
One of NIO's most innovative features is its battery swapping technology, which sets it apart from many other EV manufacturers. Instead of relying solely on traditional charging methods, NIO offers a Battery as a Service (BaaS) model. This allows customers to swap their depleted battery for a fully charged one at one of NIO's battery swap stations. This process takes just a few minutes, significantly reducing the waiting time compared to traditional charging stations.
This battery swapping system is part of NIO's strategy to address some of the main challenges associated with electric vehicles, such as long charging times and the high cost of battery replacement. It also allows NIO to offer vehicles at a lower upfront cost, as the battery is leased separately. This innovative system has the potential to revolutionize the EV market by offering a more convenient and flexible solution for drivers.
NIO's focus on advanced technology, luxury EVs, and battery swapping has made it a strong competitor in the growing electric vehicle industry. With plans for further expansion into Europe and possibly the U.S., NIO’s innovative approach to the EV market could play a key role in the future of electric transportation.
ETHBTC - 2 ETH may soon buy 1 BTCBINANCE:ETHBTC is one of the most hated trades on the market right now. And based on price action from recent months and years - definitely for good reason. Ethereum is being viewed as a stale rust-bucket compared to the superior monetary properties of Bitcoin and the younger exuberance found in Solana. However don’t bet the house on that narrative continuing over the coming months. To me it seems that Ethereum may well have its time to shine once again...
Reasons to be super bullish
As crazy as it may be to say this, Ethereum can soon reach the rather insane price target of 0.5 BTC per ETH in the coming 18 months.
The pattern for the last 6 years has been one of accumulation, Wycoff Accumulation to be exact. Just look at similarities with an example pattern of GOLD posted from a few years ago, of it similarly being in deep accumulation and the price action that followed.
I’m willing to stick my neck out and say that the Wycoff (coiled) spring from the BINANCE:ETHBTC chart above has now completed, after over-shooting the downwards wedge (in white). Such an overshoot usually leads to the most volatile reversals, and is therefore one of my favorite trading patterns.
Not only that, BINANCE:ETHBTC also has a clean-looking cup & handle pattern forming, dating back to May 2018. Should that come to fruition, the minimum price target (taking the height of the cup via white arrows) would equate to 0.5 BTC. That just so happens to also perfectly coincide with the 1.414 fib level drawn.
Now, would Ethereum stop there? You’ve got to imagine so. However it may not…
BINANCE:ETHBTC 's onset to markets saw a 95x (pink arrow). Taking the same measured move, from the bottom in January 2020, would equate to a 30x move from current levels or a 55x from 2020's bottom. That would indicate a final target of 0.91 BTC, at the 1.618 fib, by around April 2026.
Another reason to suggest the selling is over, RSI is putting in a higher low, whilst price is making a lower low.
BINANCE:ETHBTC is mirroring the same setup as September 2019, with similar targets possible.
Reasons to be sceptical
We should be in a clearly bullish period, between Mar-24 to Apr-26 although we have yet to see bullish price action as of today. BINANCE:ETHBTC already enduring its bearish period from Dec-21 to Feb-24, this is unlikely to be another.
If we’re going to see the above come into fruition, we must soon see a huge uptick in volume in Ethereum in the coming days. Watch the green arrow underneath the chart to see if that happens over the coming 15-18 months.
BINANCE:ETHBTC looks to have already bounced off the 0.024 BTC per ETH. Or the 0.382 fib level (turquoise line). I expect very limited downside from here.
What might trigger a bullish change?
MSTR thanks to Michael Saylor has popularised his company as a quasi-leveraged ETF, turning the balance sheet of his company into a fast-tracked success.
Can you think of another company that is flush with billions of cash that is aligned with defi, NFT & decentralized markets and has one person on the board calling the shots for their investment committee? GameStop could well be the first public company to put Ethereum on their balance sheet and spark a huge step-change in the amount of institutional investment into ETH, over say BTC. They currently have $4.8bn in cash on their balance sheet and have yet to announce any M&A or changes to their corporate treasury.
Watch-out for catalysts, alt-season I sense is coming...
$SPY February 26, 2025AMEX:SPY February 26, 2025
15 Minutes.
100% extension move was completed yesterday. Now i expect a bounce before next fall.
For the rise 589.56 to 596.67 holding 593.5 - 594 is important for 597.5 to 599 levels.
We are still in a series of LL and LH pattern and below 200 averages too.
For the extension 589.56 to 599.96 to 593.02 I have a target 597-598 levels.
That should be a good level to short again.
GOLD → Shaking. Going into flat. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is moving from a local bullish trend to a flat state. Bulls are still protecting strong risk zones. What to expect from the metal next?
Investors are returning to safe-haven assets due to uncertainty over Trump's tariffs and weak U.S. economic data.
Gold pulled back from a record $2,956 on Tuesday on profit taking and due to a drop in Chinese imports. However, a weak U.S. consumer confidence index helped the price recover.
Gold's rise is being held back by a strengthening dollar and bond yields, but trade war fears are supporting demand for the metal
Resistance levels: 2921, 2929, 2942
Support levels: 2905, 2888
Thus, we are forming a flat (sideways range). There is a possibility for a decline, for example, to retest the support 2905 - 2888 before further growth. Or growth and breakdown of resistance.
If the bulls can enter the 2921-2929 zone and keep the defense above this zone, the metal may return to growth.
Regards R. Linda!