GOLD → Retest of risk zone 2880. A pullback is possibleFX:XAUUSD is breaking the local trend and is testing the panic and risk zone of 2880 as part of the correction. A retest of this area will increase the chances of a trend change
Gold is losing growth due to uncertainty of Trump's tariff plans and economic problems in the US. Contradictory statements from the president are supporting the dollar, while rising bond yields are holding back gold prices.
Markets are waiting for US GDP data: if the figures are lower than forecast (2.3%), gold may rise. Fed speeches are also important, but the key will be Trump's statement, which may change the market sentiment
Technically, locally we have a bearish market structure and in this case we expect the decline to continue after a small correction.
Support levels: 2878, 2888
Resistance levels: 2890, 2907
False breakdown of the above support, after such a strong fall, may form a correction. Initially, the price may head towards 0.5 Fibo, after a small pullback we may test 0.7 Fibo. But then we will have to watch the price reaction.
If the gold will go down, the focus will be on 2880.
If the movement will be difficult and the price will start to test the resistance, then in this case, against the background of high risks, we can return to the growth phase.
Regards R. Linda!
Elliott Wave
Elliott Waves SHows That Gold Is Turning South For Corrective ReGold started the year bullish with a strong extended leg to the upside close to 3k, but the move looks impulsive and may have found a temporary top near 2950. The reversal this week is coming from an ending diagonal, with the price now attempting to break the lower trendline support of the bullish channel. This suggests gold could be entering a corrective wave 4, likely unfolding in three waves. For those looking to join the trend, it’s better to wait for a deeper correction and a retest of lower support in this wave four pullback. Supports are at 2864 and 2789
At the same time, keep an eye on USD/CNH—if it pushes higher now for wave four, to retest its 2022 highs, gold could remain sideways for a while. In such case the new opportunities to rejoin the gold uptrend may come after USD/CNH completes its recovery from the 2024 lows, possibly around 7.40.
GH
OPUSDT → There's still a chance for an alt seasonBINANCE:OPUSDT is showing positive momentum relative to what bitcoin has put up this night. The coin is in consolidation and testing trend resistance
The main reason for the lack of an altcoin season is bitcoin's huge dominance of the cryptocurrency market. The fall of BTC (open channel to 75K) and further growth after the formation of an intermediate bottom in the 75-80K zone may reduce the dominance phase, which in general will give a chance to the altcoin market, which is going through bad times.
I like OP in the fact that it is not falling in the wake of the flagship, but stands in consolidation, where we have clear boundaries for strategy formation. Focus on resistance: 1.212.
Resistance levels: 1.212
Support levels: 1.044, 0.983
Thus, a break of the resistance at 1.212 could trigger a rally and an attempt to change the trend.
It may happen after correction to 0.5 fibo, or after formation of pre-breakdown consolidation on H1-H4.
The structure of the setup will be broken if the coin starts to break 1.044-0.983.
Regards R. Linda!
Elliot Wave Theory Analysis on DOGENew to Technical Analysis here but I am loving my learning journey. Watch this absurdly long video to see my thoughts on where I think we are in relation to past cycles and how after deep thought on the Elliot Wave Patterns I have found it astonishingly lines up to a tee with past cycles. I didn't modify it anyway to make it line up ------ it just did!
BTCDetailing the downward movement from the peak so far
It might be like this from what I see, and God knows best,
The price is now trying to hold at price clusters,
A return above $89,000 is good and positive
And the importance of this level is due to it being the last declining peak, a volume candle, and a return inside a sub-channel.
- We follow and evaluate
PEPEUSDT: A Massive Move Incoming?Yello, Paradisers! Is PEPEUSDT gearing up for a breakout, or will it crumble under pressure? Let's break it down.
💎PEPEUSDT has formed an ending diagonal with a clear 5-wave structure and bullish divergence, increasing the probability of an upcoming bullish move. But here's the catch—it all depends on key levels and volume confirmation.
💎If PEPEUSDT breaks out and closes a candle above resistance with strong volume, it will signal strength and increase the likelihood of a continued bullish push.
💎If price consolidates with weak volume, it’s better to stay on the sidelines—especially with the broader crypto market looking bearish for now. No need to force trades.
💎However, If PEPEUSDT breaks down and closes below the support zone, it completely invalidates the bullish setup. In this case, stepping aside is the best move.
🎖 Discipline and patience always win in this market, Paradisers. If the market gives confirmation, we strike. If not, we wait. Trade smart!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
NZDJPY Wave Analysis – 26 February 2025
- NZDJPY broke key support level 85.00
- Likely to fall support level 84.00
NZDJPY currency pair recently broke the key support level 85.00 (which stopped the previous minor impulse wave i at the start of February).
The breakout of the support level 85.00 accelerated the minor impulse wave iii of the C-wave which belongs to the extended ABC correction (2) from November.
Given the strong daily downtrend, NZDJPY currency pair can be expected to extend the losses toward the next support level 84.00, the target price for the completion of the active C-wave.
Wave C: The Calm Before the Bullish StormBitcoin’s Epic Comeback: From the Abyss to New Heights (2022–2024)
After the brutal 2022 crash, Bitcoin was left battered, trading near $16K. Sentiment was at rock bottom—fear, uncertainty, and doubt ruled the market. But as 2023 unfolded, a silent accumulation phase began. Institutions and whales loaded up while retail investors remained hesitant.
Then came the first sparks: inflation cooled, macro conditions improved, and whispers of a Bitcoin ETF surfaced. The market woke up. Bitcoin broke $30K, then $40K, as momentum grew. The long-awaited ETF approval in early 2024 sent shockwaves—institutions poured in, and Bitcoin exploded past $50K, then $60K.
By mid-2024, the halving event tightened supply, fueling another leg up. Bitcoin shattered expectations, briefly touching $75K. Corrections came, but the uptrend held strong. As December 2024 approached, the market braced for the next chapter. With wave C on the horizon, the question wasn’t if Bitcoin would break new all-time highs, but when.
XAUUSD Bearish Trend Started for Correction ABCXAUUSD Bearish Trend Started for Correction ABC
Based on recent analyses, gold (XAUUSD) has been on an upward trajectory, reaching record highs above $2,900 in early February 2025. This surge is attributed to factors such as newly imposed tariffs and inflation concerns.
However, some Elliott Wave analyses suggest that gold may be entering a bearish correction phase. For instance, a head and shoulders pattern has been identified, indicating potential for a downward move if key support levels are breached.
Additionally, forecasts indicate that the XAUUSD pair is correcting and may continue to decline, with an estimated pivot point around 2,788.71.
In summary, while gold has recently achieved record highs, certain technical indicators and patterns suggest a possible bearish correction in line with Elliott Wave Theory.
DXY Bearish to 85-90The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Here are some key insights from the chart:
A zigzag corrective pattern is identified.
Resistance levels at 113 and an inverse bearish level at 115 are highlighted.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA 9) and Simple Moving Average (SMA 50) are displayed.
Elliott Wave analysis appears to be used, indicating a possible downward correction.
A bearish scenario targeting around 90 in the long term is projected.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Here are some key insights from the chart:
A weakening dollar will boost growth in the export sector. I believe this will occur during President Trump's term.
RIVN looks ready after a flatRIVN bounced off the 61.8% retracement of W-(1), looked like a clean impulse besides the very deep retracement of W-2, but still valid. Wave B looks like 3 waves up and was rejected off the 127% making it look like an expanded flat. This then followed into an ending diagonal for C right into that 61.8% retracement of W-(1) and not quite hitting the 161.8% extension of W-A.
On a smaller timeframe, this last leg down could look like a 1-2 1-2 and needs a second 4-5 still. One more low could be in order.
Bitcoin Overall: 2 scenariosIf the weekly candle closes below 89,150; we probably visit 70-80K region, where at this point I am pre-disposed to consider this bull market to be over, despite its relatively short duration. Of course we will have to see what price has done at that point. Regardless, there should be a very significant bounce off those levels if this occurs.
My understanding of EW theory suggests price may have completed/has almost completed an 'expanded flat' corrective phase, and that we will have an extended 5th wave as in the 2017 cycle--although probably less explosive. IF price were to recover from these levels, we should have some very nice gains in the months ahead. The alternative scenario is the 5th wave has ended and the bear market has begun--in this case a sell the bounce from the 70'sk should be executed to liquidate any long-term positions.
As usual, give the above framework I believe the market will tell us what will happen.