EURUSD → Pre-break consolidation against 1.053FX:EURUSD continues to form bullish hints for a possible continuation of growth. There is strong resistance ahead and the market is forming a pre-breakdown consolidation
The dollar continues its correction amid economic data, the country's politics and hints from Trump and Powell of a possible rate cut soon.
The euro is benefiting from the dollar's decline, but how long will it last, especially amid the tariff war between the U.S. and Europe?
Technically, at the moment, the chart indicates a bullish outlook. Within the local uptrend, an ascending triangle is forming, which generally indicates bullish interest in the market. The focus is on the pattern base - resistance at 1.053.
Support levels: 1.045, 1.040
Resistance levels: 1.053
If the dollar continues its downward course, the currency pair has all chances to grow.
A retest of the trend support (false breakout) before the resistance breakout is possible.
Breakout and consolidation of the price above 1.053 may provoke growth.
Regards R. Linda!
Elliott Wave
USDT.D - The dominance of real moneyThe dominance of the dollar over cryptocurrencies is a real indicator of the growth status of ETH!
The last wave of correction and decline is happening now! Pay attention to the accumulation zone before the Bitcoin price drops/inflates.
Money is being transferred to BTC=>ETH=>ALT=>USDT=>BTC and so on in a circle, during the active participation phase of DOU, money is being transferred to ETH and beyond, so be vigilant
In addition, I would like to draw your attention to the BTC.D indicator.
Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming – Gold Breakdown Soon?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is currently near the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940) . Gold attacked the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940) several times but failed to break it and even created a Bull Trap .
Regarding Classical Technical Analysis , Gold seems to be completing the Head and Shoulders Pattern . If Gold reaches the Neckline of this pattern , it seems to succeed in breaking it. One of the signs of the validity of the Head and Shoulders Pattern is to see a Regular Divergence(RD-) between the two shoulders, which we see here.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing corrective waves. The structure of correction waves is Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Gold to reach the Neckline of the Head and Shoulders Pattern in the coming hours, and if it breaks , it will drop to at least $2,901 .
Note: If Gold can go over the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940), we can expect more pumps.
Note: If Gold touches $2,934, we can hope for a drop.
Do you think that Gold succeeds in forming a new All-Time High(ATH) or does it need to be corrected?
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 30-minute time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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DJT - Parabolic Move IncomingNASDAQ:DJT is soon in my mind to begin the most insane of rallies. This chart for me is as clean as they come!
Recent Price Action
From the peak of October 2024 to recent days in February 2025 - the stock has seen a ~46% correction, in what is likely the completion of an Elliott Wave 2 correction (in X,Y,Z form).
This after a bullish initial Wave 1 formation saw it go beyond even the most bullish of bullish initial price targets, in just 2 weeks flat.
Price had prior to that been compressed inside a downwards-pointing wedge pattern (orange lines), since late March 2024. This is one of my most favourite bullish chart patterns. It often leads to explosive price action.
After breaking out of the wedge, it is now not-only putting the finishing touches to an Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern (grey text)... but when it does so it will also complete a massive Cup & Handle formation (white arrows).
Future Price Targets
The initial target (T1) from this move would be $570 (20x) in a very short period. Perhaps even by end of June 2025. This would coincide with the 1.414 fibonacci level. Drawn from its initial introduction to public markets to its peak just weeks later.
Thereafter, an extended 5th wave target of $1,020 (43x) could be reached sometime around late November 2025 and January 2026. This coincides with the 1.618 fibonacci level (darker blue T2 line).
Price as of today has overshot the 0.382 fibonacci line and back-tested the previously-formed left shoulder. It is likely to find support here on the yellow line.
Next Up...
Volume has been pitiful of late. Watch it ramp-up again in the next few days, just like we saw in September 2024 when it completed its full retrace.
It is my expectation that we will see rest of the markets surprising bears, with a huge reversal before March, perhaps even combined with a significant dollar devaluation.
During this time when volume picks-up, a sharp reversal to the upside out of its latest wedge (dark red lines) is possible before the week ends on 28th February. If this occurs, this will likely confirm the end to Wave 2 of 5.
If there is any further downside to come, the absolute worst case scenario will likely be ~$18 - coinciding with the 0.238 fib. However this is not expected, just something to be wary of.
NASDAQ:DJT from here is ready to begin the most volatile of Elliott Waves, Wave 3. If volume persists, price will be drawn like a magnet to the horizontal sloping trend line in bold white.
Possible Elliott Waves
Wave 1 - $12 to $55
Wave 2 - $55 to $24
Wave 3 - $30 to $570
Wave 4 - $570 to $175
Wave 5 - $175 to $1,020
Ridiculous targets, right? So what could be the catalyst?
With the appointment of Kash Patel, we may now start seeing legal action taken against entities & individuals involved with naked short positioning. NASDAQ:DJT even in it's short history has been a prime target for this since 2022.
NASDAQ:DJT may be partially or heavily-involved with the Sovereign Wealth Fund being discussed for the United States.
NASDAQ:DJT may also complete the long-rumored acquisition of Bakkt Holdings ( NYSE:BKKT ). Perhaps even obtaining a minority stake in TikTok.
Short squeeze, M&A, fraudulent recovery, purchases of ETHUSD or just plain old organic price discovery - you pick your poison. But if you thought you'd seen NASDAQ:DJT reach its peak prior to the elections, be prepared to rethink your views.
NASDAQ:DJT has a LOT of room to the upside still from here. Make sure at the very least, you keep this one on your watch-list.
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Note : This post was originally published on 2nd November 2024 in the lead-up to the election. It was popular but was hidden due to an error on my part including a private indicator. It has now been updated to account for recent price action & timing.
Bitcoin/Gold running flat correction before final fifth waveLet's consider Bitcoin/Gold as the best index of commodity pricing for the purposes of elliott wave analysis. Bare in mind we have barely broken ATHs on this chart. It looks like we are in the equivalent period of March 2017, a large flat correction before the true extended fifth of extended fifth parabolic advance commences.
Confirmation of Wave 5 being complete, but which wave 5? It's waves within waves within waves, well maybe...
So now I'm seeing it either as the 1st of a 5th wave extension, or the 5th of the entire move from $15.4k.
These levels here should show what's up. Ideally it finds support around the halfway back, but it could go further, maybe the 618. How it gets there as well is to be considered so let's see. But below those levels and it will probably start getting outside the geometric boundaries I'd consider indicative of this move extending, meaning a deeper sell off to a possible 41K bitcoin.
That kind of sounds like wishful thinking, but some players will want in at a discount, so it's conceivable. The weekly moving averages are always worth considering as well. In any such move down so far, bulls would really want to see it rebounding and closing well above the 200 period moving average that it would likely breach in the sell off.
One longer term tool I keep an eye on is the base channel on the entire move from 15k - so channel on beginning of move to the end of 2, parallel with top of 1. Bitcoin hasn't traded below that base channel since quickly dipping its toe through in 2015, before which it had been above it since March 2013 (log scale) and had tried twice to break above it. So that will be my main overall indicator of whether I'm bull or bear.
Still, whatever happens, it's always a shakeout.
BITCOIN → Testing $88K - $90K. False or true breakdown?BINANCE:BTCUSD enters the risk zone and forms a false breakdown of the key support zone. All eyes are on the bulls, whether they can keep their defense on the market or not....
On D1 - W1 price in global consolidation after strong growth. The focus is on 90-91K, a zone that is a strong support for the global trend. A false breakout is forming at the moment.
On the Local timeframe H1 - H4 the price is testing the local channel support, as well as the risk zone 89400.
If the bulls can keep the defense above 89400 - 90K, bitcoin may strengthen. The primary target in this case could be 94K
Support levels: 91280, 89400
Resistance levels: 94800, 99200
Statistically, the strongest dvjeniyas are formed after a false breakdown. But there is another question here, what kind of breakout will be - true or false.
In our case, we need to wait for confirmation, namely, for the price to consolidate above the key zones and levels. Emphasis on 89400, 90000, 91300
Regards R. Linda!
Gold at its final highWith yesterday's high, gold has probably reached its upside target with a high probability. At least the 0.786 extension was also reached in all sub-waves and in the gray (y) the ideal target, the 1.00 extension, was hit almost exactly. The first sell-offs then set in today. The minimum correction target is the 23.6 retracement at around 2263$. However, it can also go much lower, so the gold bulls should be on the defensive for the time being. It is not possible to make a serious statement about a possible point at which they could take over again. Only the course of the next few weeks, months or years will be able to tell.
$SPY February 25, 2025AMEX:SPY February 25, 2025
15 Minutes
As expected, AMEX:SPY retraced and fell back. Took support at 596 levels.
592 is downside target for the extension 610.70 to 596.48 to9.47 to 603.02.
For the fall 603.02 to 596.48 AMEX:SPY retraced 78% to around 601 levels. And made nearly double bottom around 596 levels.
At the moment upside is limited to 603 levels being 20 averages in 5 minutes.
Trend is down until 610 is taken out.
GOLD → Bullish structure. Emphasis on 2955FX:XAUUSD is still in consolidation, but the flat is gradually changing into an ascending triangle structure, which further explains the bullish interest in the market.
Gold price is consolidating near the record high of $2,956. Investors took a pause before a possible continuation of gains amid renewed trade war fears over Trump's statements on tariffs and controls on exports of Nvidia chips to China.
Weak risk sentiment and a rising dollar are holding back gold, but lower bond yields and expectations of Fed policy easing are supporting prices.
Gold will remain influenced by tariff negotiations and US consumer confidence data in the coming days
Resistance levels: 2940, 2954.5
Support levels: 2930.7, 2921
Local resistance at 2940 is ahead. If the bulls are able to consolidate above this area, we should wait for the growth and the retest of 2954.5.
2954.5 is a trigger, the breakdown of which will provoke the continuation of the bull rally.
But before that the consolidation between 2954 and 2940 may be formed. I don't exclude the flat support retest before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
How to Trade Ending Diagonal: EURUSDOne of my favorite EW patterns: Ending Diagonal
It usually appears in wave C or 5, we have wave C
It consists of five waves and each of them are three waves
All looks good as wave 5 is over wave 3 and Ending diagonal might be completed
as EWO oscillator already shows Bearish Divergence between wave 3 and 5
This educational post to show trade setup on this pattern
The bottom of wave b in wave 5 is a breakdown trigger (blue) as it means wave 5 is over
Confirmation is on breakdown of wave 4 (orange)
Target is at the start of the Ending Diagonal (green)
Bonus track:
One could consider sell on 61.8% Fib retracement as we see the first impulse down
and now we watch this two-legged pullback.
CoinbasePrice has officially entered into my target box today. I still feel we have lower to go before this is over though. I would like to see us hit the 1.0 @ $204.65 before turning back higher. I can think of several things that could support a move higher such as the SEC dropping its case against COIN. However, we have crossed into wave 1 territory, which is the minimum needed for the larger ED I have been tracking.
We created some neg div on the hourly chart today too. As you can see, price made a lower print today than last December and MACD is reading a higher print. Is this hinting that more downside is coming? I believe so, and I believe the 1.0 @ $204.65 is the ideal place for price to turn around at. I have an alert set @ $205 and will likely look at placing an order around this area.
KOLD is petty HotKOLD (gas short 3x) seems like an nice straight forward Elliott set up, scale in you position over time, (gas can bounce before it gets started) good 100% potential gain.
GAS is volatile so Please do NOT use margined and don't bet the farm or the kids. Don't Gamble GAS should be just one average size position of the many. (use risk management)
GOLD → Price is in consolidation and getting ready to go to $3KFX:XAUUSD is preparing to continue its growth. Consolidation is forming against strong resistance. The dollar in the correction phase continues to update the lows....
Gold is consolidating near 2945-2955, remaining cautious due to Trump's tariff threats and waiting for US inflation data. Which technically increases the chances of continued gains.
Optimism in the markets is supported by upcoming US-Russia talks on Ukraine, new Chinese measures and the victory of conservatives in Germany.
Weak dollar and expectations of Fed rate cuts support gold, but rising risk appetite reduces its attractiveness
Resistance levels: 2946.5, 2954.5
Support levels: 2935, 2921
Technically, the focus is on 2946.5. If the bulls are able to break this level, the resistance ahead at 2954.5 will not seem so strong. In this case, the price will continue its growth to 2969 - 3K
But, before further growth, as gold is still in consolidation, the price may test the liquidity zone 2935 - 2921.
Regards R. Linda!
SPX/DJT comparisonChart comparing SPX and DJT.
This count has SPX and DJT in wave ((2)) of ((5)), with wave ((2)) of SPX as an expanded flat and wave ((2)) of DJT as a regular flat.
For SPX, wave B of the expanded flat ends up being 200% of wave A (nearly to the tic). For DJT, wave B of the regular flat ends up being ~90% of wave A.
If correct, would expect wave C to target March 2020 lows.
DEEP - Finding The Next Trade SetupDEEP recently took out the January 13, 2025 low at $0.12345 with a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP), followed by a successful retest. This led to a bounce that hit a key level at $0.12141, presenting a solid long opportunity with minimal risk.
After this, the market turned bullish, forming a 5-wave structure and rallying to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.18643 (measured from the $0.20473 high to the $0.11922 low). This was a key take-profit zone for longs and a great short opportunity.
Adding confluence, the anchored VWAP also acted as resistance just above at $0.19, offering another low-risk short setup. Additionally, a key resistance level at $0.1809 further reinforced the rejection zone.
Current Price Action & Short Setup
From the 0.786 Fib retracement, DEEP retraced 20% downward, nearly touching the 0.618 retracement of the 5-wave structure before bouncing. Now, price is finding resistance at the golden pocket (0.618 at $0.17347 and 0.666 at $0.17534) of the recent drop, aligning perfectly with the daily 21 EMA ($0.1757) and daily SMA ($0.17347).
This setup suggests an ABC corrective move is forming.
Using the trend-based Fibonacci extension, the 0.786 extension aligns with the 0.618 retracement at $0.1457, creating a strong short setup.
Short Entry: Between $0.17347 - $0.17534
Target: $0.1457 (0.786 trend-based Fib extension / 0.618 retracement)
Stop Loss: $0.1845
Risk/Reward: 2.5:1
There’s also potential to extend the target to the 1:1 trend-based Fib extension at $0.13733, but this would depend on price action.
Potential Long Setup
If price reaches the $0.1457 support zone, this could present a high-probability long opportunity.
Entry: Around $0.1457
Risk/Reward: 2:1 or better, but confirmation is needed before executing the trade
LTCUSDT on the Edge – Major Breakdown or Fakeout?Yello, Paradisers! Is LTCUSDT on the verge of a major drop? The signs are stacking up, and if you’re not watching closely, you could miss a big move.
💎Right now, LTCUSDT is looking bearish as it forms an M-pattern near the resistance trendline of a descending channel. At the same time, a bearish divergence is confirming the weakness in momentum. On top of that, we’re seeing a triple-three wave pattern playing out, which further increases the probability of a downside move. All these signals combined suggest that sellers are gaining control.
💎If LTCUSDT breaks down and closes candle below the support level, the M-pattern will be validated, opening the door for a significant move lower.
💎However, if the price consolidates around this level without breaking down, the setup loses its strength, and in that case, it’s best to ignore it as a low-probability trade.
💎On the flip side, if LTCUSDT manages to break out and close candle above the resistance zone, the entire bearish outlook would be invalidated. In that scenario, waiting for fresh price action before making any moves would be the smartest approach.
🎖 Discipline and patience separate the pros from the amateurs. Stay sharp, Paradisers—trade only high-probability setups, and you’ll always stay ahead of the game!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Gold - Short and Long Term Trading Idea - 24 Feb 25In the beginning of the last week of February, we expecting Gold to decline. There are several factors on small time frames, but also appear signs on larger time frames.
In fact it is difficult to predict an asset when it discovers new higher highs, but there are methods to determine the turning points. In past few weeks we expected price to close down to psychological level of $3'000 and it is close, but we don't expect to reach it. So in this case we enter in short positions with long term swing target of over $200.
We publish 2 trading ideas in one: one is more intraday, another one is long term swing trading idea.