NZDCHF Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
In the NZDCHF currency pair chart, we are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 5 are clearly defined. Now this 5-wave pattern is an upward contracting triangle that usually forms in waves 1 or 4 or 5 or C.
Considering the counting of the previous waves, which is a wide ABC with a C wave extended or waves 1 to 3, we assume that we are facing wave 1 or 4. It is definitely not wave 5 or C.
So if it is wave 1, then it must correct at least 50 to 61.8% of Fibonacci from wave 1.
So the first target is the 04800 range.
If it is wave 5, it must go below the bottom of wave 3 and the second target is at least the 04600 range.
This movement usually occurs with a break of the trend line and a pullback to it.
Good luck and be profitable.
Elliott Wave
SPX Running Into Important Resistance At 5780Last week we saw a weaker-than-expected Advance GDP in the first release, which led some to believe Powell might consider cutting rates. But Friday’s NFP came in better than expected. Expectations are no change for the Fed, and I honestly don’t believe they’ll move either.
Despite Trump putting pressure on them, inflation is still not at their 2% target, and the job market remains solid—so there may be no real reason to cut yet.
They’re watching markets too, and we've seen a pretty strong rebound, so there’s likely no urgency to act now.
Also, if they were to cut, it could appear politically motivated due to Trump, and that could seriously damage investor trust in the Fed’s independence.
So with that being said, we are wondering if the SPX can find some resistance if FED does not deliver a dovish view at this moment. Well, looking at the price action, it certainly looks overlaping recovery from April low, that can face limited upside near 5780, at April 2nd high.
If by Friday, we close above the 78.6% Fib then we may look at wave 3, alt sceario.
Grega
UJ Impulse Wave 5 IncomingFX:USDJPY seems to have finished Wave 4 being a Correction Wave of the Elliot Wave Theory and looks to be prepping for the start of Wave 5 being an Impulse Wave!
Now Price has not only made a 38.2% Retracement to 143.6 of the 145.941 Swing High that ended Wave 3 but is testing Break of Previous Structure being Past Resistance attempting to turn it into Support if enough Buyers enter the market in this opportune area.
Price Action during the Correction of Wave 4 has formed a Falling Wedge Pattern, typically seen as a Continuation Pattern. For this to be fact, we will need to see a Bullish Breakout to the Falling Resistance followed by a successful Retest of the Break where the Long Opportunities should present themselves.
Once Wave 5 is confirmed, we can expect Price to work from here and potential reach the Potential Range Target of ( 148.662 - 150.245 )
ATOM 4H – Potential Wave 3 Impulse SetupAfter a completed 5-wave impulse (likely Wave 1), followed by a corrective Wave 2, ATOM appears to be setting up for a potential Wave 3 to the upside based on Elliott Wave Theory.
This setup aligns with the idea of Wave 3 being typically the strongest and most extended move in the cycle.
📍Entry Zone: $3.90 – $4.30
🎯Take Profit (TP): $6.463
🛑Stop Loss (SL): $3.70
🌀Risk-Reward: Approx. 4:1
Gold - This week drop to 3167! (best level to buy)Gold recently dropped from 3500 to 3201, which is a pretty significant correction, but I think we are going to go lower. There is a lot of liquidity below the previous triangle and untested major swing high from 2nd April. In general, triangles act like a magnet for whales. When you see a triangle on the chart, you can be almost sure that the price will go back and take liquidity below it. Or at least retest the POC level of a triangle if the trend is very strong.
The 0.618 FIB is the strongest FIB. Then we have the 0.382 and 0.5. If the price is near the 0.618 FIB, there is a very high chance that we are going to hit this level sooner or later. Gold is near this strong fib level + we have to retest the previous swing high.
Right now I am pretty bearish on gold, and I think this week we are going to lower and test 3167. But I am very curious - what do you think about gold, and what is your ultimate bottom to buy it? Tell me in the comment section. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! It is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BITCOIN → Correction to the risk zone. Rise or fall?BINANCE:BTCUSDT has updated its local maximum to 97,900, the market structure is quite positive, but still depends on the fundamental background and the behavior of the S&P 500.
The fundamental reasons that influenced the growth are the improvement in the tariff situation in the US and relations with China. Bitcoin's growth strengthened as the SP500 index rose, with which it has a fairly high correlation. In the second half of this week, the price broke out of the two-week consolidation, breaking through the resistance level of 95,500 and updating the local maximum. A correction is forming within the local upward channel.
95,000 is the liquidity and risk zone. That is, if the bulls hold their defense above 95K during the retest, Bitcoin will continue to grow in the short and medium term. Otherwise, a break of 95K could trigger a drop to 92K-88K.
Resistance levels: 97,425, 99,475
Support levels: 95,500, 92,000
All eyes are on the 95.5K support level, below which a huge liquidity pool has formed. Growth may be influenced by a retest (false breakout of support) and an imbalance of forces in the market. But we need to be careful, as the market will react to economic data. BUT! A return of prices to the selling zone (below 95000 - 95500) and the inability to continue growth could trigger a correction and liquidation.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Apple UpdateNot much to add to my Apple analysis. Price is behaving accordingly. As of now, price is in a spot where it needs to make a decision. Both patterns I am tracking suggest a continued move lower. The question is: will it fall to the turquoise box, implying that minor B is already complete? Or will it fall slightly lower to the grey target box competing minor B at that time.
Both patterns I am tracking point to the upper grey target box for intermediate wave (B) eventually. Intermediate (A) took just over 100 days to complete. If (B) is to follow suit, then we still have another 75 days or so until it completes. It doesn't have to take that long as no rules govern time duration. That's just an educated guess on the likely time frame we're looking at. It is for this reason I lean towards the white count. Hopefully we will find out or at least get more clues to the more immediate count this week.
Coinbase UpdatePrice continues to trade sideways. We have already tagged the 1.0, made it in between the 0.382 & 0.5, and have all the required waves in place for a top to be made. Much like Tesla, the only move higher from here in an impulsive wave is an ED. I find it much more likely that a top has already been struck and we have already begun our minor B wave. We could still make another high, but if we do I think it will be minimal and would be as an irregular b wave. Ideally, we will find out what is in store this week.
Once B starts, as of now, I expect price to fall back to the $150-$160's. Like I said, hopefully we start the move lower this week. I imagine minor B will take 2-4 weeks to complete.
Nasdaq Pending Short: previous wave 4 as resistance This idea is complementary to the S&P500 pending short idea. I've labelled the waves slightly differently but it doesn't impact the forecast for it's still the same expectation of a last wave. I purposely left it as a different count as comparison.
I would start building a short position around 20300. Stop above purple Fibonacci extension level.
PORTAL: Close Stop-Loss, High Targets#PORTAL, listed on Binance in Feb 2024, faced heavy selling pressure, crashing over -95% since launch, raising concerns about Binance's integrity.
However, maintaining $0.0666 is critical as it opens the door for a strong recovery, but losing it risks new ATLs.
#Portal
BTC: Balancing on the EdgeBitcoin held the $90.5K level and managed to flip prior resistance into support—an encouraging development, especially given how close price was hovering to the so-called danger zone. That flip marked a technical win for bulls, signaling potential strength in the short-term structure.
However, we’re not entirely out of the woods just yet.
While price is holding above support and showing some resilience, we’re still trading uncomfortably close to the edge of the recent consolidation zone. For now, $91.5K stands as the ideal level to hold.
The concern? If price starts slipping back below this newly established support, especially with conviction, that could be a signal of deeper retracement on the table. The bullish narrative would weaken significantly if we revisit and fail to defend those levels, potentially opening the door for a more sustained correction.
So, while the short-term structure remains cautiously optimistic, this isn’t the time for complacency. The market’s still in a precarious spot, and clarity will only come with either continued strength—or a confirmed break below support.
Eyes on $91.5K for now. Hold that, and the momentum favors the bulls. Lose it, and the deeper pullback scenario comes back into play.
Trade Safe, Trade Clarity.
Update BTC.DFrom the data shown on the drawing, we find that a Diagonal Leading pattern has been formed and is then considered a wave A, then a correction is made in wave B, which is the bottom of the Leading pattern, from which altcoins and Ethereum breathe, and when it reaches the bottom, then a final wave C begins, rising strongly in the same direction upward. Let us follow
Note: The model fails if it closes above an area 55.26%
Please be carefulIn principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
It appears in front of me. According to Elliott's rules, this is a triangle consisting of five internal waves. This is considered a B wave, and then it falls again in a final C wave. Confirmation of the trend is when it breaks the top of wave D, from which this decline is confirmed. The analysis fails only if it breaks the top of wave D. Good luck
NIFTY50.....Buying panic all around!
Hello Traders,
the NIFTY50 has extended my cited price area to ~24620 range. It was exactly @ 24589.15 points!
Here, a wave iii (blue) ended!
Chart analysis:
If this was all of waves (5) of iii (blue), the next move could be a wave iv (blue) to around the range of 23709 to 23845.15 zone! This one should morph into an a-b-c correction, or a triangle. While triangles are the most often failed chart patterns during a wave iv of any degree is, we will focus on the a-b-c correction!
So, one higher high is still missing, but I guess the next high will be just a wave ((i)) of v (blue) with more highs to come!
As I am in a hurry, only a short update today. I'll try to publish another update by Wednesday.
Have a great Sunday.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
AUDNZD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
On the AUDNZD currency pair chart, we are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 5 are quite clear and we can even count its sub-waves. Now a 5-wave pattern has formed, with wave C completed by a range.
Wave 5 of wave C is a contracting triangle.
Now the upper trend line of this triangle has been broken and pulled back.
So we expect the price to grow. Any situation may arise.
The first target is also the 1.08400 range.
The stop loss is also considered the 1.06500 range.
Good luck and be profitable.
My Thoughts #004My thoughts are that the pair will buy...
The daily trend is very much bearish and with trend once it have made a new low(LL)
We need to see it printing a new High(LH)
Confirmation??
I see a Choch and the market is creating Highs confirmation for the new High(LH)
The pair might just sell
So use proper risk management
Let's do the most