Elliott Wave
XRP is flying. How much further?I published this chart a few weeks ago showing the potential for a gorgeous fratcal that's appearing for XRP. Do we dare to dream to see if reach three figures as we continue to soar? There's a few other alternatives that I'll also share some ideas around. But, this could be the best uptick we've seen from any coin... ever.. Good luck and follow and share for more.
XLMUSDT → High readiness for a bull run to 0.6100BINANCE:XLMUSDT is ready to move into the realization phase after coming out of a strong accumulation. The market is struggling for a strong buying zone.
The coin, technically, is ending its correction. The price is gradually updating highs and breaking intermediate resistance levels, but the key factor is the exit from the medium-term consolidation and breaking the resistance of the descending channel formed on H4.
If the bulls hold the defense above the key support zone 0.46 - 0.452, we can expect growth in the medium term. In addition, the rising bitcoin and the approaching Trump inauguration can be good drivers for the cryptovalt market.
Resistance levels: 0.486
Support levels: 0.4605, 0.4522
Thus, the focus is on the consolidation of 0.486, 0.46.
A break of resistance will activate the rally. False break of support and consolidation above the level will also be a good signal that the bulls are quite aggressive.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Uptrend, price depends on CPIFX:XAUUSD continues to form an uptrend on the local and medium-term timeframe. The price is again testing strong resistance on H4-D1 and is showing signs of readiness to rise to 2700-2750.
The PPI report was a bit of a surprise and a small driver for the markets, including gold, as the dollar moved into correction. CPI is ahead and bets are high on the report as it could change the market's assessment of the prospects for a Fed rate cut this year. A strong CPI could add pressure on gold, while a weak report would support the bulls.Hawkish Fed rates are supported by the premise that Trump, who begins his second term next week, is likely to fuel inflation with his protectionist policies.
Technically, there is an area of volume density and order block ahead, which could trigger a small pullback to support from which upside could continue.
Support levels: 2678, 2674, 2669
Resistance levels: 2690, 2697, 2703
But, in the short (mid) term everything depends on the news. CPI is ahead and with weak data gold may go on a bull run, but strong data may stop the growth and turn the metal around. Focus on key levels!
Regards R. Linda!
EURJPY → The fall may continue after the correctionFX:EURJPY is under pressure. The currency pair is breaking the local uptrend. Technical and fundamental background is weak, which in general can put pressure on the market.
Globally, the currency pair has no trend and is trading within the range of 166 - 156. The last growth attempt was unsuccessful, the price could not approach the intermediate maximum and facing a strong bear the price turned around and fixing below the SMA headed to the lower boundary of the flat.
Locally, the change of character to bearish is confirmed, but before further fall the price may form a correction, for example, to 0.5 Fibo (imbalance zone), or to local zones of interest, but in the medium term the fall may continue.
Resistance levels: 162.3, 163.1
Support levels: 160.9, 159.8
A false breakdown of local support is formed, which may lead to correction, but since we have confirmation that the market is bearish, after the correction the fall may continue.
Regards R. Linda!
SOLANA → Will a false breakdown be the cause of the rally?BINANCE:SOLUSDT is testing a previously broken downtrend boundary as part of a correction. Bulls are employing aggressive methods to keep defenses above key support ahead of Trump's inauguration, keeping hopes high
On the weekly timeframe, the market is supported by SMA50 support indicating a strong uptrend. The focus is on two strong levels: 204.75 and 175. These are the boundaries of the current range. A breakdown of any of the boundaries will play a key role in further price movement. But I consider the realization of resistance as a priority.
On D1 yesterday a false break of strong support was formed in the form of previously broken downtrend resistance. This indicates that the market is still in a bullish plane and on the background of upcoming important news this could have a favorable impact for the coin.
Resistance Levels: 203-204
Support levels: 183, 175
If the price starts to retest the support at 175 and form a consolidation with a gradual downward compression, the risk of breaking the bullish pattern will increase.
But, based on fundamental data, I expect a consolidation above 183 and further growth
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD (GC1!) ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS - TRIANGLE PATTERNThe context suggests that we are inside the 4-grey wave, as the 3-grey wave ended at the high of 2,801.2.
I see that the 4-gray wave is taking a long time, and is probably getting forming narrower as time goes on, as well as its subwaves have a lot of Three-waves, which directly suggests to me the idea of a Triangle (3-3-3-3-3 or ABCDE).
A closer look, the ((a))-navy to ((c))-navy, and the ((d))-navy wave is actually not over yet but continues to grow to go a little higher . That could indicate that the resistance levels at 2,761.3 play an important role, which is also the ideal stopping point of the ((d))-navy wave. After that, the ((e))-navy wave will move lower. furthermore.
Silver, Platinum and OilThis is how I see the precious metals and oil bull market most likely playing out.
I believe we are at the equivalent of where the vertical red dotted line is.
Oil outperforms precious metals (Gold, Silver, Platinum and Palladium) until Q3 2027 to Q4 2028. - approximately.
That will be wave 3 of 5 for Oil.
At the end of wave 3 - Oil will likely be priced between $250-400.
Oil then starts it’s wave 4 retracement.
While Oil ends wave 3, Silver will likely be in the $35-50 range. Likely closer to $50 and also coming to the end of a consolidation after already reaching approx $50 several months earlier. Then while Oil does wave 4, Silver will have an explosive move above $50 to somewhere into the $125 - 200 range. This will coincide with the Oil/Silver ratio breaking down from approx 6-7. Red zone marking expensive Oil, Green zone marking cheap Oil.
After Oil completes wave 4 it will then go on to make wave 5 and peak somewhere in the $400-600 range.
Once Oil peaks, Silver will start it’s wave 5 move and peak in the $300-600 range.
As for Platinum, it might peak at the same time as Oil like it did last time in 2008. Gold and Silver peaked 3 years later in 2011.
So it might peak at the same time Silver and Gold do.
I also expect Silver and Platinum to outperform Gold which is why I’m not including it here.
The purple vertical dotted line marks roughly when I think the Oil to Silver ratio will peak and when Silver starts it’s explosive break above $50.
(Elliott Wave) Double zigzag correction is just half way inGlobal inspection suggests that correction (monthly timeframe) has not yet reached even the minimum targets (marked with red lines on a logarithmic scale).
Local inspection suggests that correction is emerging in a double zigzag formation:
- First zigzag (W) reached the lowest point of $0.262
- Right now ugly wave (X) is forming (retraced 0.618 of wave (W))
- Expecting one more zigzag (Y) with least the same length of wave (W) potentially reaching $0.18 (aligns with weekly 50 EMA) with an on the way pullback near $0.28 (aligns with daily 200 EMA).
Bitcoin tested 100k once again today, BUT..Let me explain first.. I am very positive with Bitcoin, and i do believe it will reach to 200k to 300k in 3 years span.
But for now, as the chart showing BTCUSD tested the resistance, a very solid trendline, also 78.6% fibo retracement up from the previous drop, and the psychological level of 100k, I AM SHORTING BITCOIN NOW..
Target 1: 97000
Target 2: 95000
Target 3: 89000
Is HCLTECH done?
HCLTECH has had a phenomenal run from ₹12.9 in September 2001 to ₹2,012.2 earlier this month, a growth of ~15,500% in 279 months, averaging 40% annually.
But is it all about to end? 5/35 MACD, which I love to use to validate my EW count is showing a massive divergence on the weekly charts combined with a big high-volume engulfing bar concurrently taking shape. I can also count clear 5 waves on the monthly charts.
Based on my calculations, I can see two targets on the downside: 1418 and 970 .
Do share your opinions below.
Best!
BTC/USDT : 200 day MA is key support to a massive $160,000 jump.Hello Traders,
A compelling pattern is forming for CRYPTOCAP:BTC .
Considering how BTC interacted with the 50 day MA from November 2023 to March 2024, with BTC retesting at $40,000 in January and then surging to $73,000 in March, if history repeats, the 2025 bull run could potentially send BTC to $160,000 within three months.
Technically, BTC broke through the 50-day MA resistance from above and from $48,000 it declined by 20% towards the 100-day MA trendline to have rest at $38,000. From the 100-day MA trendline, BTC then rallied by 90% all the way up to $73,000.
If this historical move were to repeat, BTC would likely encounter the 100-day MA trendline to fall 20% at $85,000 before another 90% surge towards $160,000 🚀🚀🚀.
Play safe, #DisciplineWithStopLoss before you invest and keep close eyes on 50 & 100 day MA trendlines 🤞
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#SwingTrading
#BTCUSD
#PatienceIsKey
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#ProtectYourCapital
Citigroup ($C): Fourth Test of Key Levels Since 2018The shares of Citigroup gained an impressive 7% today following its earnings report, which delivered a beat ✅. The company is projecting revenue between $83.5 billion and $84.5 billion for 2025, up from $81.1 billion last year and $77.1 billion in the year prior (excluding divestitures). Positive news for both the company and its investors!
We’ve been monitoring NYSE:C but haven’t found a trigger yet—this might change soon.
The stock is approaching its most significant resistance zone since 2018, a level tested three times in the past. Could the fourth test finally break through? We remain cautious, expecting that another pullback, even a minor one, might be necessary to push past $83. If this pullback materializes, we’ll evaluate opportunities to position ourselves.
Currently, there’s a bearish RSI divergence, and unless the stock can make a higher high compared to 2021, another major pullback remains possible. However, a short position doesn’t align with our strategy at the moment. We’d need to see a lower time frame structure change to consider that route.
This stock doesn’t lend itself well to Elliott Wave analysis as it has been trending sideways for years, and we’re not forcing patterns onto it.
Stay alert for future opportunities on NYSE:C
SOL - 1H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is our current Elliott Wave Count for Solana.
Solana could have potentially bottomed on the 13th January at 168.88 USD in the blue Wave 4 or blue Wave 2. We do prefer to label it as blue Wave 2 as the retracement is deep for a Wave 4 but technically not invalidated. For the short term count that does not matter.
If Solana did bottom we would want to see a rally in blue Wave 3 or blue Wave 5 to start now.
The recent rally could've been the first Wave of this move to the upside. We do count that as white Wave 1 and are looking for a corrective retracement as red Wave ABC which would bring price into the white Wave 2 support area.
White Wave 2 support sits between the 0.5 FIB at 185.52 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 176.00 USD.
If white Wave 1 extends to the upside the white Wave 2 support will move up too.
Be aware if we break this support area we assume the we are resetting blue Wave 2 just a bit lower. If you are interested in the higher timeframe support area and the bull market targets I recommend you reading the 1D Elliott Wave Analysis for Solana which will be linked below in the notes.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
XRP - 1H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is an update for the Elliott Wave count of XRP.
We broke out of the Elliott Wave Triangle that was communicated in the last posts.
We assume that the green Wave 4 has finished with this Elliott Wave Triangle and we started the green Wave 5.
We count the recent move up which was the breakout as blue Wave 1 which could be finished but there is still the potential of further extension. After blue Wave 1 finishes we want to see a corrective retracement in red Wave ABC which would finish the blue Wave 2.
The support area of blue Wave 2 sits between the 0.5 FIB at 2.6144 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 2.3774 USD. We added the 0.382 FIB at 2.7121 USD to the blue Wave 2 support area as XRP tends to have aggressive breakouts which could mean we get a shallow Wave 2.
The blue Wave 2 support area will move up if we get further extensions to the upside.
Congratulations to everybody who entered on the blue Wave E support area! :)
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
BTC - 4H Elliott Wave Count (part 2 of 2)Greetings, this is my current Elliott Wave count for Bitcoin.
This time it is a bit different as I will do two separate post one containing the bullish count and one containing the bearish count. I split it up into two posts to keep the chart clean so it is easier to understand and I highly recommend reading both as none of them is preferred at the moment. I do post both counts now instead of waiting for clarity so everybody has time to prepare and get ready as the price might move fast especially with more news tomorrow the 16. January and the inauguration of Trump next Monday the 20th January. The counterpart counts will respectively be posted in the notes down below.
The bearish count:
In this count we assume that we are still working on the red Wave C and the recent rally is just the white Wave 2 which would be followed by an impulsive Wave 3 in white. The white Wave 2 unfolded in the orange ABC as an expanding Flat with the orange Wave B hitting the 1.38 extension of orange Wave A which is a common target for an overshooting B Wave.
The white Wave 2 support area is between the 0.5 FIB at 96908.9 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 100257.0 USD. We are currently trading within it.
Be aware that a sustained break above the 0.786 FIB at 100257.0 USD is the first indication that the blue Wave 4 has finished at the 88909.0 USD on the 13th of January.
Noteworthy is that 100k is a psychological level and we might test it, which would go beyond the 0.786 FIB at 100257.0 USD but as long as it is a wick and not a sustained break that would be acceptable.
If white Wave 2 is finished potential targets for the white Wave 3 would be the 1 to 1 FIB at 88040.3 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 85277.6 USD, the 1.38 FIB at 83591.9 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 80805.8 USD.
Important is that we see an impulsive five Wave move down now.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
BTC - 4H Elliott Wave Analysis (part 1 of 2)Greetings, this is my current Elliott Wave count for Bitcoin.
This time it is a bit different as I will do two separate post one containing the bullish count and one containing the bearish count. I split it up into two posts to keep the chart clean so it is easier to understand and I highly recommend reading both as none of them is preferred at the moment. I do post both counts now instead of waiting for clarity so everybody has time to prepare and get ready as the price might move fast especially with more news tomorrow the 16. January and the inauguration of Trump next Monday the 20th January. The counterpart counts will respectively be posted in the notes down below.
The bullish count:
In this count we assume that the red ABC is finished and with it the blue Wave 4 bottomed during the 13th January at 88909.0 USD and we started the blue Wave 5 which could be the last rally in this bull market. The recent move up could be 1st Wave of the impulse displayed as white Wave 1 here. Next we are looking for a retracement in white Wave 2.
Wave 2 support sits between the 0.5 FIB at 94327.8 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 91228.2 USD.
After we get the orange Wave A and B we can calculated further targets for orange Wave C which would finish white Wave 2.
Important is that the coming retracement is in a corrective fashion and not an impulsive. If we see five Waves down now this could be the first indication that the bears are in control and we might get a lower blue Wave 4.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
BBNI Complex Correction?The banking rally at the start of December turns out to be a fakeout after all. Today BBNI gapped down and closed just 1 tick above today's low, with HEAVY volume. This shows that BBNI, and most probably other banking stocks haven't found their bottom yet.
If this scenario were to succed, then we will see a rally to welcome the dividend season.
EURUSD Is Trading At Strong Support While Finishing A CorrectionEURUSD came lower as expected, broke into the fifth wave we talked about last few weeks, and it finally moved into important support levels at 1.02 area. Notice that we are actually tracking the final leg within this downtrend from 2024 high, so ideally its wave C of a higher degree A-B-C correction, meaning that pair can stabilize still some time this month, ideally after the completion of an ending diagonal around important and golden 61,8% Fibonacci retracement. Even RSI is showing a divergence. A bounce in impulse back above 1.0435 will suggest that low is forming.
GBPCAD Scenario 1.1.2025According to the data we have available, it is possible that the market could move slightly up to the price level of 1.81500, since the market is forming as a range, it is quite likely to expect an SFP below the low and a subsequent move up to the aforementioned level. If it does not hold support at the level of 1.81600, it is possible that the market will move up even higher.
Gold Analysis==>>Still Chance to Fall by Wedge Pattern!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Support zone($2,671-$2,653) and managed to break the Support line .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern is still valid , although, after the announcement of US rates , this pattern was slightly challenged.
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
I think Gold will fall to at least $2,651 in the coming hours.
This week, US indexes can affect the Gold trend , so be careful about your positions when the index is published.
The most important economic indexes of the US this week :
Core PPI m/m, PPI m/m = Tue Jan 14
Core CPI m/m, CPI m/m, CPI y/y = Wed Jan 15
Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Unemployment Claims = Thu Jan 16
⚠️Note: If Gold goes over $2,700, we can expect more pumps⚠️
⚠️Note: If Gold closes a 4-hour candle below 50_SMA(Daily), we can expect a break of the lower line of the wedge pattern.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
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