AAPL Short: Short at Support turned ResistanceWhere to short AAPL? I think the red line price of $219.71 is a strong resistance because it is the price where there were 2 previous lows (first 2 red arrows pointing up).
Take note that there is a chance that the recent low point is the end of the entire correction if that is a wave C. My Primary count that it is just wave 1 of C is a BIAS. Just keep that in mind.
I would say that the stop loss is about $10 above $219.71.
Good luck!
Elliott Wave
Nasdaq Long then Short on 4th wave "Triangle"In my previous video, I mentioned that I expected 4th wave to have completed. However, the latest wave structure made me reconsider that I may be too early yet again. Thus, I SHIFTED the e wave of wave 4.
In this idea, you can see that I also drew a parallel channel. The purpose of which is to give an approximation on where the wave 4 will actually end before we proceed with Wave 5.
Good luck!
Pepe - Elliott Wave Local and Long Term Idea 22 Mar 2025Eliiot Wave Update
Firstly, I'm bias that I believe were in Wave 4.
Depicted wave count 1 2 3 4 5 in orange may very well be as it is, in that the last low is 5. My bias comes in because from what I've read, 5th wave usually 1.27 fib extension drawn from 1 to 1 to 2. As can be seen, 1.272 is at 0.0000336.
The green paralellel channel from the high to the next higher high. As can be seen with circle support, we found a good reaction to the upside.
Short/medium term looking at the Anchored VWAP (White) and channel top as resistance.
Currently 1.0 a strong support as well as resistance.
My biase based wave theory means that were currently in the 4th wave to the upside, so looking at resitance EXACTLY at the anchored VWAP (white), breaking that to the upside targets of the short fibs drawn to the right that arent extended all the way to the right. Meaning, resistance being,0.382, 0.5, and 0.618.
If that is the end of Wave 4. The price would then see a retracemment to Wave 5, to 1.272.
Non bias view where Wave 5 has been hit already.
Were in a corrective ABC pattern. (This is the part I'm not so sure about).
Then Were in A(1) here no one knows how deep that is but it's good that were going up because A = up B = down and C = up (c or 3 being the longest waves.
If were in the corrective phase, currently were in Wave A (1).
Technically nothing changes. I think. Wait to see how It plays out.
Overall, currently I would NOT be bearish, looking at the next resistance first!Which is (either Wave 4 or correction) 0.236 price 0.000095
More upside for goldHi traders,
Last week XAUUSD finished the impulsive wave 3, making a new ATH and after that it corrected for wave 4.
It looks like wave 4 is finished and rejected from the Daily FVG.
So next week we could see more upside for this pair.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for an impulsive move up and a change in orderflow to bullish. After a small correction down on a lower timeframe you could trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Still more upside for SPX500USDHi traders,
SPX500USD did exactly what I've predicted.
Last week I said we could see a (corrective) upmove to the higher Weekly FVG. It depends if the upmove is corrective or impulsive what we will be the move after that.
But also fundamentally we could see more longer term downside for this pair. This scenario is still in progress for next week.
So let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down to finish on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
EU could go up againHi traders,
Last week EU went a little bit more up and rejected from the Montly FVG again. After that it started the last leg of the correction down just as I've said in my outlook.
So next week we could see the pullback finish into the Weekly/ Daily BPR and after that more upside.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. If you see an impulsive move up and a change in orderflow to bullish, then wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to see more of my analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
EU could go up againHi traders,
Last week EU went a little bit more up and rejected from the Montly FVG again. After that it started the last leg of the correction down just as I've said in my outlook.
So next week we could see the pullback finish into the Weekly/ Daily BPR and after that more upside.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. If you see an impulsive move up and a change in orderflow to bullish, then wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to see more of my analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
XAUUSD morning analysisBullish case for XAUUSD.
This count has price in wave 5 of (3) of ((5)).
Based on how price has responded to the pitchfork drawn, I am anticipating the upper boundary
to see profit taking and be the end of wave (3). Measured moves with Fibonacci could have price challenge $3300-3350 area if upper boundary is not resistance.
Anticipated wave (4) to be a zigzag down towards $2600 (recession in 2025?).
If all this plays out, I would expect wave (5) of ((5)) to be quite exaggerated (think 1976-1980's 773% increase), with target north of $10k by 2030.
DJT/SPX comparisonBearish case for equities.
Chart comparing DJT and SPX. DJT in wave ((c)) of regular flat, SPX in wave ((c)) of expanded flat.
SPX showing ending diagonal (wedge) to complete wave ((b)).
Bottom of SPX pitchfork (blue line) broke support and now acting as resistance.
This count anticipates each market to soon have a large (15-20%) 5-wave impulsive move down, DJT to complete wave 5 of (3) of ((c)) and SPX to complete wave (3) of ((c)).
After this proposed move, each market will have completed its wave (3) of ((c)).
I would expect wave (4) to be zigzag corrections for DJT and SPX before large wave (5)'s
to take price down towards March 2020 lows.
“Gold’s Resilience: Sustaining the Long-Term Uptrend”XAUUSD remains in an uptrend and is estimated to be in wave (v) of wave ; more specifically, it is currently within wave iv of wave (v).
In the short term, XAUUSD is expected to undergo a correction toward the 2,948–2,989 area. However, in the broader outlook, I anticipate further upside movement toward the 3,091–3,161 level.
“IDX Composite Index: Assessing the Depth of the Downtrend”The IDX Composite Index is expected to remain under pressure, forming wave of wave A. The nearest corrective target for the index is projected in the 5,879–5,975.
This outlook aligns with prevailing market sentiments, as Indonesia’s economic and political landscape has yet to support a trend reversal. Additionally, global sentiment remains negative, further weighing on the index.
Gold’s Uptrend Strong, But Is a Short-Term Drop Coming?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has increased by more than +5% over the past seven days and has managed to create new All-Time High(ATH) daily. The reasons for the increase in Gold prices include US economic statistics and the tensions in the Middle East that have increased these days.
The question is how long this bullish trend in Gold will continue. It seems that Gold needs at least a correction to continue its upward trend and I tried to find the starting zone of the correction with technical analysis tools (for the short term ).
Gold is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , this zone could be a correction zone for Gold for at least the short term .
Gold also responds well to the Pitchfork tool lines , the Pitchfork lines can be considered as support and resistance lines for gold .
From an Elliott Wave theory perspective, Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of main wave 5 (these five waves are likely to be part of main wave 3 ).
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,003 after breaking the Uptrend line , and my second target is $2,986 .
Note: The worst Stop Loss(SL) for your Short position could be $3,061.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BITCOIN → Flag (consolidation) before falling to 78-73KBINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating after a short-squeeze relative to 85-87K. A bearish set-up is being formed, the break of which may strengthen further decline to the key target of 73K
A symmetrical triangle is forming within the downtrend on D1, a breakdown of this structure may strengthen the decline. Locally, within the channel a flag - bearish figure is formed (on the local TF false uptrend, the crowd enters to buy from the support or at the break of local resistance, at accumulation of the necessary potential the big player removes the limit order and releases the price, which is dispersed by liquidation of traders), regarding 85K-86.6K the liquidity capture is formed and the price returns to the selling zone. Consolidation below 85K may trigger a breakdown of the figure support and further fall to 80K-78K
Fundamentally: the market sells off any positive news very quickly (negative background is created):
crypto summits, (Trump said nothing new at the second summit)
positive resolutions of problems (for example between SEC and XRP, or removal of restrictions from local exchanges)
crypto reserve
The only nuance, bitcoin's dominance index is still high despite the price drop...
Resistance levels: 85150, 866700, 89400
Support levels: 82K, 80K, 78200
There are no positive signs for growth. The zone where we can consider a trend reversal ( if something supernatural happens ) is 89-91K, but it is very far away.
But now I would consider a breakdown of the flag, or 83.5 - 82.5 and price consolidation below this zone with the purpose of further fall to the local important level 78173. Then another consolidation or correction is possible before a further fall to 73.5K
Regards R. Linda!
IREDA (Indian Renewable Energy) - Elliott Wave AnalysisCurrent Market Structure:
The chart suggests that IREDA is undergoing a Wave (2) correction after completing a strong impulsive Wave (1).
The corrective phase is labeled as an A-B-C structure, indicating a possible end to the pullback in the coming weeks or months.
Wave Count & Key Levels:
Wave A initiated the downward correction, followed by Wave B retracement, and now Wave C is in progress, subdividing into a five-wave pattern.
The projected completion zone for Wave (2) is highlighted in the ₹50–₹80 range, aligning with Fibonacci extensions and previous structural support.
An additional 1.618 Fibonacci extension target is placed near ₹23.78, though this would be an extreme case.
Outlook & Strategy:
If the price reaches the projected support zone and shows a strong reversal, it could indicate the beginning of a Wave (3) uptrend.
A confirmed break above key resistance levels and trendlines would strengthen the bullish case.
However, if selling pressure continues, a deeper correction toward the extreme target cannot be ruled out.
🚨 Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading signals. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst or advisor. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any financial decisions. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. I may be completely wrong in my analysis. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Silver Wave Analysis – 21 March 2025
- Silver reversed from resistance level 34.00
- Likely to fall to support level 32.00
Silver recently reversed down from the key resistance level 34.00 (which stopped the previous intermediate impose wave (3) at the end of October) standing close to the upper weekly Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 34.00 stopped the previous impulse wave 3 of the higher order impulse wave (5) from the end of 2024.
Given the strength of the resistance level 34.00 and the overbought weekly Stochastic, USDCHF can be expected to fall to the next support level 32.00.
USDCHF Wave Analysis – 21 March 2025
- USDCHF reversed from support level 0,8750
- Likely to fall to support level 208.00
USDCHF currency pair recently reversed from the pivotal support level 0,8750 (former strong support from December and the start of March) standing close to the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from September.
The upward reversal from the support level 0,8750 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Morning Star.
USDCHF can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8850 (top of the previous minor correction ii).
DKNG Update | Crash AheadOne of the best fractal overlays I've seen with some Elliott Waves to go with it.
Price is still in a uptrend but with growing sellers It'll come to an end similar to the last fractal.
During the 3rd wave in the last pattern price experienced its first pullback at (B), and its second at correction wave 4 and the third after the last wave before we witnessed the last push in buyers.
This current cycle price is in a similar stage with a swing low at (b) meaning that we could see another run-up towards major resistance ($63).
This would be the final blow-off-top in general markets. TVC:RUT is already showing signs of weakness which works well with this TA example.
When the time is right I'll do another TA for the downfall. For now I'm bullish but for the horizon I'm very bearish.
EURUSD | 4H | WAIT BREAKOUTHey there, Traders,
I’ve put together an analysis for EUR/USD. Right now, I’m watching it like a hunter, waiting for a breakout. As soon as it happens, I’ll drop updates right here under this analysis.
Big thanks to everyone who supports me with likes—you guys are awesome!
God bless you all
GOLD → Consolidation (correction) before growth to $3100FX:XAUUSD is going into consolidation after strong growth on the back of dollar correction. The metal may test deeper support areas before attempting a new high
Gold is correcting, but remains in an uptrend
The decline in quotations may be seen as a buying opportunity, given the economic uncertainty due to Trump's tariffs and expectations of Fed rate cuts.
The Fed reiterated its forecast of two rate cuts in 2025 despite Powell's cautious comments. Gold is further supported by rising inflation risks and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Resistance levels: 3045, 3057
Support levels: 3024, trending, 3004
Reaction to support is weakening, even amid the uptrend. Gold may stay in this consolidation until the middle of next week, or it may try to break out of the consolidation to retest deeper support zones, such as the rising trend line or the 3004 imbalance zone, from which the growth may resume.
Regards R. Linda!
World Index Shows 5Th Wave Is Still MissingWorld Index ETF with ticker TSX:XWD has extended its rally for 261,8% Fibonacci retracement, which is ideal zone for wave 3, so current slow down can be just a higher degree ABC correction in wave 4. It’s now testing interesting and important textbook support at the former wave 4 swing low and 38,2% Fibonacci support area, from where we may see a bullish resumption for wave 5 this year. Invalidation level is at 90.
Gold (XAU/USD) Short-Term Analysis – Elliott Wave & Fibonacci Technical Overview
Current Price Action: Gold is currently in a corrective phase after a strong impulsive move upward.
Elliott Wave Count: The structure indicates that Gold has completed Wave 3 and is now retracing into Wave 4, which is expected to find support before moving higher into Wave 5.
Bearish Divergence on AO (Awesome Oscillator): The AO indicator is forming a bearish divergence, indicating weakening bullish momentum, which supports the current correction.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels for Wave 4
23.6% Retracement: $2,918 (shallow pullback, less likely to hold)
38.2% Retracement: $2,876 (moderate correction, potential support zone)
50% Retracement: $2,857 (stronger support)
61.8% Retracement: $2,825 (deep correction, ideal for Wave 4 completion)
Potential Price Movement (Wave 4 & Wave 5 Projection)
Expecting Wave 4 to complete around the 38.2%–50% retracement zone ($2,876–$2,857).
If the price holds this level, Wave 5 target could be projected using Fibonacci extensions:
1.272 Extension: $3,037
1.618 Extension: $3,057
Key Confirmation for Next Move
A bounce from the $2,857–$2,825 zone with increasing bullish momentum on AO will confirm Wave 4 completion.
If Gold breaks below $2,825, it may indicate a deeper correction instead of Wave 4.
If the price moves back above $2,970, bullish momentum will strengthen towards Wave 5 targets.
Volume Consideration
The volume is currently decreasing, indicating a temporary pullback rather than a trend reversal.
A spike in volume near Fibonacci support zones will confirm buying interest and increase confidence in Wave 5.
Conclusion
Short-term bias: Bearish correction towards $2,857–$2,825, then bullish continuation in Wave 5.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $2,857, $2,825
Resistance: $2,970, $3,037, $3,057
Disclaimer -
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a certified financial professional before making any trading decisions.