Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.15878.Colleagues, I believe .that the five-wave movement is not over yet and another wave of upward movement is waiting for us.
I believe that wave “4” has almost completed the correction or has already completed it. In any case, I consider the main target to be the resistance area at 1.15878, which is the minimum target and the top of wave “3”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Elliotwaveanalysis
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance area of 98,000.Dear colleagues, in this forecast I will not make too forward-looking plans. I believe that the upward movement is not over yet, because the wave “C” is not yet completed and consists of five waves.
I think that we should expect to reach the resistance area of 98,000. A small correction to the support area of 90,000 is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
GBPJPY Trapped In A Triangle RangeGBPJPY made a very strong reversal in the second half of 2024, following a sharp drop of more than 10%, with an aggressive bearish impulse and also broke the lower trendline of the impulsive channel back in August. Since then, the first recovery unfolded in three waves, suggesting this move could be part of a complex correction—currently still unfolding as a wave B pause.
Ideally, this structure is forming a triangle, especially as the drop back to the recent April lows also looks corrective. So, I believe the triangle scenario is the most likely scenario here, and price could now be heading toward the upper side of the range if risk-on sentiment continues. Still, upside may be limited, as this range could stay in play until all A-B-C-D-E legs are completed. If correct, wave C for a deeper move lower is still missing and could develop later this year.
Grega
Bearish WXY Model Forming at Key Resistance – Caution at the TopSP:SPX just crossed the Monthly High, but the structure resembles a bearish WXY correction, and we’re now approaching critical levels.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
5481–5572: Weekly FVG resistance + 61.8% Fib Extension – potential top of the rally.
5293: The 50% retracement from the Apr 20 low – a break below confirms the bearish WXY and opens the door to new lows.
📌 Scenario Outlook:
✅ Bullish case: Room for upside toward 5685–5750, but only if we close above 5572 Weekly to invalidate the FVG.
⚠️ Bearish case: Current price action aligns with divergence (as seen with DJI) + WXY model. Caution advised — rallies may be fading.
💬 Chart attached shows the WXY structure forming with key divergences.
AMD: Potential Mid-Term Reversal from Macro SupportPrice has reached ideal macro support zone: 90-70 within proper proportion and structure for at least a first wave correction to be finished.
Weekly
As long as price is holding above this week lows, odds to me are moving towards continuation of the uptrend in coming weeks (and even years).
1h timeframe:
Thank you for attention and best of luck to your trading!
Solana (SOL/USD) Elliott Wave Update – Countertrend Rally in ProBINANCE:SOLUSDT
🟠 Current Elliott Wave Outlook
After completing Wave ③, Solana began a sharp correction. This is how the current structure unfolds:
The initial leg down unfolded as a clear (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5) structure in black – forming the white Wave A of a larger A-B-C corrective pattern.
We are now in the corrective counter-move, forming Wave B.
🔄 Zooming into Wave B: Internal Progression
The early part of Wave B is unfolding as a small impulse:
→ Wave 1, 2, 3, 4 have already played out.
→ We are currently moving from Wave 4 into Wave 5, which is expected to complete the black (A) of white B.
The top of Wave (A) is already marked on the chart, coinciding with key Fibonacci Extension levels, which reinforce the probability of local exhaustion.
🟨 Next Structure – Building Wave (B) of B
After the black (A) completes, we expect a retracement wave (B).
This would then be followed by a yellow 1-2-3-4-5 impulse to the upside – forming the full structure of white Wave B.
📉 What Comes After B?
Once Wave B (in white) is complete (built from the black (A)-(B)-(C)), we anticipate another larger leg to the downside – white Wave C.
This would complete the full A-B-C correction from the macro top of Wave ③.
🎯 Key Zones to Watch:
Black Wave (A) Top = short-term resistance
Fibonacci Extension Area = likely exhaustion zone for the current rally
Wave B (white) = potential bearish trap before the real drop (Wave C)
✅ Summary
Solana is currently in a countertrend corrective phase after finishing a macro Wave ③ top. We are in the midst of building Wave B, starting with a local impulse that forms black (A). After a minor pullback (black (B)), a 5-wave push (yellow) could complete Wave B before another major leg down kicks off in Wave C.
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Macro Update – Wave (5) 🟢 Macro Structure Since November 2022
Since the bottom in November 2022 (~15.5K), Bitcoin has been unfolding a clean impulsive structure, counted as:
(1) – strong breakout from the bear market lows
(2) – corrective pullback as a base
(3) – major impulsive rally with clear volume expansion
(4) – textbook correction right into the white Fibonacci zone, perfectly respected
Now, we are in Wave (5) – the final leg of this larger impulse!
🔄 Internal Structure of (4) → (5)
From the low of wave (4), the price action is developing in a classic 1-2-3-4-5 formation, where:
Wave 1 initiated the breakout
Wave 2 formed a shallow pullback
Wave 3 surged with momentum and volume
Wave 4 seems to have completed (or is finalizing now)
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Wave 5 is upcoming, potentially unfolding as an ABC structure (rather than a straight-line spike), showing a more measured grind toward the top
🔁 Cycle-Level Perspective
This entire impulse from (1) to (5) forms a macro Wave ③ in the larger Elliott Wave cycle.
Given the structure of Wave (5) so far, we may not see a vertical blow-off top but rather a controlled ABC move into the top zone.
🎯 Target Zone for Wave ③
$127,000 – $136,000
Based on Fibonacci projections of waves (1)–(3)
Strong psychological levels
Likely confluence with macro channel resistance and long-term projections
✅ Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently progressing through Wave (5) of the macro impulse that started in late 2022. The structure from Wave (4) suggests a well-organized path forward – possibly forming an ABC structure into the final high of macro Wave ③, with targets in the $127K–$136K zone. This level could mark a major turning point before a deeper corrective phase begins.
Elliot wave corrective ABC Triangle pattern Wave A is an impulsive wave that 5 subdivisions. Wave B is an abcde triangle and each wave has 3 subdivisios. a-b of the triangle is connected by wxy (also has 3 subdivisions each).
Look at smaller time frame to see (and confirm structure). Currently looking out for wave d of the triangle (wave 1 of 3) to complete then followed wave e 3 waves in the opposite direction, before there can be any break-out.
This is only an idea not financial advice
GBP/USD at a Turning Point – Correction Pattern in PlayIt appears that corrective Wave A in the GBP/USD pair is nearing completion, and Wave B may be forming. The Wave 1 to 5 structure seems to have been completed, indicating the beginning of an A-B-C corrective phase.
If the correction unfolds as expected, potential upside targets are 1.32918 and 1.33555. However, if the market faces rejection below the trendline, the stop-loss level would be 1.32021.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 38.2%-50% Fibo lvl 3228.Colleagues, last week we got a stoploss, but I still believe that we should expect a correction in wave “2”. We will try to catch this movement this week.
I believe that the price will correct to the area of Fibonacci 38.2% - 50% levels (3228.41).
Perhaps the price will slightly renew the maximum of wave “1”, reaching the level of 3438. In this case I recommend to work with pending limit sell orders.
And some data:
The prevalence of bulls according to CME reports additionally increased by 13%.
The 23% increase in market volume, meanwhile, indicates a likely strong momentum pattern during the trading week.
Despite the 13% increase in buyers, selling patterns towards the balance level of the week (3200.00) are recommended for the current trading week.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.16000.Good afternoon colleagues! In the coming week I expect the upward movement to continue in wave “3” of the higher order. I believe that a small correction to the support area of 1.2176 and then rise to the resistance level of 1.16000 is possible.
There are two possible ways to enter the position:
1) Market entry
2) Pending limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 5682.Colleagues, I think that the deep downward movement is over and at the moment I expect an upward movement in a five-wave impulse. At the moment I expect a correction in wave “2” to the area of 5100, after which I expect the development of wave “3” at least to the resistance area of 5682.
There are two possible ways to enter the position:
1) Market entry
2) Pending Limit Orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Silver: Elliott Wave Shows Room For More UpsideSilver made a very strong drop after breaking out of the upward channel at the end of March. This caused a sharp and fast move below 29 dollars where metal is showing some first evidence of a bottom as price recovers back above 32.00.
In fact, this can be the beginning of a new impulse, especially if we consider that on a daily chart market might complete an A-B-C drop back in wave IV. As such, we think there is room for more gains, after retracements which can give an opportunity to join the trend.
Can gold finally cacth silver? What you think?
GH
COTI WAVE 3 is coming COTI has completed its initial phases, Wave 1, 2 of Elliot waves and is preparing for Wave 3📈.
Also COTI V2, released recently, aims to revolutionize web3 privacy.
COTI’s market capitalization is $96 million, suggesting substantial potential gains during the upcoming bull market🚀.
This information is not financial advice. Conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
BTC short term Wave countAnalyzing a Bitcoin (BTC) form Wyckoff schema in a 4H chart.
We can’t determine if it’s an accumulation or distribution yet. Based on MACD and Elliott Wave Theory, I believe the chart will follow a similar pattern. However, time will determine the outcome. If BTC declines and accumulates within a shorter time frame of Elliot support levels, it could be a long trade opportunity.
(This analysis is not financial advice. Your actions are solely your responsibility.)
Global Supply Chains being Undone could be the cause of a (IV)I have been discussing the potential for a Super-Cycle wave (III) top in the US markets for the last couple years. To experience a wave (IV) of SUPERCYCLE PREPORTION, would be a consolidation of price action back to the 1929 stock market crash. The byproduct of this type of price action would be a decline of 50% or more (likely more) in the value of global stock markets. This type of asset price deflation would make anyone who watches the markets be inquisitive as to what would or even COULD cause such an event.
Would the dismantling of global supply chains, that have been in place since the early 1990’s, be the culprit?
I am starting to think the answer to that question is yes. This is not an indictment of the policy, but more an acknowledgement of the disruption and the possible aftermath.
The obvious concern is how do businesses plan? I would venture a guess business leaders will be challenged, and many may not survive. The cost equation becomes so skewed…how does one make money without passing the costs on to the consumer? That means higher inflation.
If this is the case, it’s possible digital assets become more of a safe haven which would be counter intuitive to hard asset value. This would mean that we will have endure a cycle of higher inflation, higher interest rates, and higher unemployment, coupled with lower economic growth. I cannot say this is how the forecasted price action is justified in the future. What I can say is the resulting price action will look very similar to the below.
Elliott Wave Principles: A Study on US Dollar IndexHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the (DXY) US Dollar Index chart using Elliott Wave theory. Let's explore the possible Elliott Wave counts with wave Principles (Rules).
We've used the daily time frame chart here, which suggests that the primary cycle degree in Black weekly wave ((A)) and ((B)) waves have already occurred. Currently, wave ((C)) is in progress.
Within wave ((C)) in Black which are Weekly counts, Subdivisions are on daily time frame, showing Intermediate degree in blue wave (1) & (2) are finished and (3) is near to completion. Post wave (3), we can expect wave (4) up in Blue and then wave (5) down in Blue, marking the end of wave ((C)) in Black.
Additionally, within blue wave (3) Intermediate degree, we should see 5 subdivisions in red of Minor degree, which is clearly showing that waves 1 & 2 are done and now we are near to completion of wave 3 in Red. followed by waves 4 and 5, which will complete blue wave (3).
Key Points to Learn:
When applying Elliott Wave theory, it's essential to follow specific rules and principles. Here are three crucial ones:
1. Wave 2 Retracement Rule: Wave two will never retrace more than 100% of wave one.
2. Wave 3 Length Rule: Wave three will never be the shortest among waves 1, 3, and 5. It may be the largest most of the time, but never the shortest.
3. Wave 4 Overlap Rule: Wave four will never enter into the territory of wave one, meaning wave four will not overlap wave one, except in cases of diagonals or triangles.
Invalidation level is a level which is decided based on these Elliott wave Principles only, Once its triggered, then counts are Invalidated so we have to reassess the chart study and other possible counts are to be plotted
The entire wave count is clearly visible on the chart, and this is just one possible scenario. Please note that Elliott Wave theory involves multiple possibilities and uncertainties.
The analysis we've presented focuses on one particular scenario that seems potentially possible. However, it's essential to keep in mind that Elliott Wave counts can have multiple possibilities.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
[BTC/USDT] Wave (4) Completed? Road to $140K Begins HereBitcoin is consolidating just above key support after a textbook correction. The first chart shows a completed Falling Wedge breakout from Wave ④, while the second chart lays out macro Fibonacci targets for Wave (5).
Chart 1 (Daily): Local Breakout Setup
• Falling wedge breakout above 83.9K–84.3K
• Completed structure: Wave ③ → ④ → Potential Wave ⑤
• Invalidation: Below 73.8K or worst-case 69.5K
• Bullish continuation requires break & close above 86K
Chart 2 (Weekly): Macro Target Projections
Using Fibonacci extension from Wave (3), BTC shows:
• 0.618 Target = $114,983
• 1.000 Target = $140,033
• 1.618 Target = $180,560
If current support holds, Bitcoin could be entering a massive Wave (5) cycle with upside potential towards $140K–$180K. Reclaiming levels like $92.5K, $101K, and $106K will confirm the bullish structure.
What’s your Wave 5 target?
#Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #CryptoTA