S&P500 will start to riseAsper Elliott wave forecasting the current 4th wave ended this week.
A new wave will begin as 'c5' during 1'st week of April and it may be the climax rally.
Validity of this wave count holds good as long as last weeks low respected.
Traders can initiate long with 5500 as strict stop.
The target will be reached swiftly
Elliotwaveanalysis
Russell 2000 - 5th wave of Y leg may already be in progress... The rejection at 2100 price level also happens to be the 38.2% Fib of the decline from the 14th of February 2025. The decline from 6th of February 2025 counts beautifully as waves 1, 2, 3 & 4. If this wave count is correct, then the Russell is currently in wave 1 of 5 of Y of (ii).
This is my primary wave count as long as the 2100 resistance is not breached.
This changes my initial wave count from a complex WXYXZ to a simple WXY.
Click on the link to see the previous wave count which is still valid and is now an alternate wave count if the 2100 resistance is breached:
Only updating the wave count. My bias and direction remain the same.
Wave Y is possibly in progress. Looks like we are going to have a bearish April & possibly May as well. Selling corrective rally is still the way to trade for now. Take profit at 1905/1900, which is where technically, the Russell 2000 will possibly turn up for wave (iii).
Stop Loss can be placed above wave 4, well out of the way in case of any wild swing on this PCE Friday.
Is Bitcoin slowly forming a top? What to expect from the market About a week ago, I posted that the recent uptick in BTC (and the broader crypto market) was as a result of Bears taking profits and that the market will dip lower once this correction runs its duration. Well, so far, my prediction is still on track and we can expect prices to climb higher over the next few days (maybe even a week from when this is published).
I believe that that mini rally (black path) within the larger uptrend (green path) has enough juice for one more leg before it pulls back. Once that happens, price might stall around that area and then push higher, setting the stage for the final leg of the larger upswing.
I personally don't like trading matket correction unless they're on the weekly or monthly chart. However, I will keep monitoring price until my prediction plays out.
What are your predictions for Bitcoin's short term price? Let me know in the comments section below.
Make sure you follow me to get future updates as they unfold.
BTC TO $91,000!!Hello! Today we're going to analyze Bitcoin's price action. It's currently rebounding. The movement doesn't seem to have much strength. However, let's not forget that on a weekly chart, Bitcoin is at the end of wave 4 of Elliott's theory.
We have a very clear scenario: a rebound to $91,000, which is an area with a lot of shorts and liquidity. If buying pressure is greater, it's logical that Bitcoin could break out strongly to the upside, because price action always seeks out areas of less pressure, that is, it will always seek liquidity.
On 4-hour charts, we can see a lot of volatility, however, any purchases below $84,000-$87,000 can be considered conservative because it is a good buying zone. After all, you are buying at the end of wave 4 on a weekly chart, therefore, liquidations below $84,000 are not ruled out, but the short and medium-term trend is bullish.
Disclaimer: This is only an opinion; it should not be used as investment advice or recommendation.
Russell 2000 Elliott Wave Analysis (WXYXZ in progress)Possible wave (ii) complex correction in the form of a WXYXZ still in progress.
Expecting corrective rally to fail around the 2200 resistance zone.
A final wave down from there should find a bottom around the 1900 support zone where wave (ii) should end.
Expecting wave (iii) to commence from there...
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*would appreciate feedbacks and thoughts on this*
**this is not a trade recommendation, just an idea that I am working with**
“Weak Demand Signals Potential for a Lower Low”Currently, the position of NCF1! or Newcastle Coal is within wave 5 of wave (C) of wave , indicating that Newcastle Coal remains vulnerable to further corrections toward the 86.55–96.15 range, as represented by the black labels.
A similar pattern is observed in the red labels, where Newcastle Coal is also nearing the completion of wave (5) of wave .
We observe continued pressure on coal demand due to weak consumption and oversupply, as many countries are increasingly investing in renewable energy sources amid slower global economic growth.
Elliott Wave Pattern Suggests Higher EURUSD and Lower US YieldsSome nice retracement on 10-year US notes in the last three weeks looks corrective because of a clear three-wave drop with a triangle in wave (B). This suggests US yields could be trading at resistance, and if we consider the somewhat dovish stance from Powell and the FOMC last week, the market might be positioned for a lower USD. In this scenario, EURUSD could perform well—likely better than some commodity currencies, which remain trapped in sideways ranges due to weaker stock markets recently.
GH
Elliott Wave Forecast: EUR/USD Prepares for Next Bullish Leg!This EUR/USD 4H chart presents an Elliott Wave analysis, showing the market’s movement within a five-wave structure. The price has completed Wave 3 and is currently in a corrective Wave 4, finding support around Fibonacci retracement levels of 38.2%
• Wave 3: A sharp rally forming an extended third wave.
• Wave 4: An ABC correction is currently in progress and is expected to be completed around levels of 1.07456
If the market respects the proper Fibonacci levels, the target for wave 5 could be 1.09504 .
GOOGL: Bullish Bounce Before a Bigger Drop? Here's My RoadmapGoogle NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL is shaping up to look bullish in the short term, and I believe that in the next few weeks to months, we could see a solid upside move - before things could turn ugly again later on. Let me explain why.
Big picture: we’re currently in a Wave (2) corrective structure, which is playing out as a complex WXY correction (marked in orange). This type of correction follows a 3-3-3 wave pattern, and everything we’ve seen so far fits that structure. Since the top in February, NASDAQ:GOOGL has dropped around 24% , which is significant - but also not unexpected within this context.
What’s interesting now is that we’ve just printed a bullish divergence on the RSI for the first time in this move down. That’s the first green flag. The second? The lower wick, which I currently mark as sub-wave ((a)) has been very well respected so far. That’s the second sign that this could be the turning point - at least temporarily.
I’m expecting a move up in the coming weeks toward the 2024 VAH, around $178, where we could see a first rejection. From there, the price should continue higher in a 3-wave structure toward Wave ((b)), likely reaching between $187.80 and $196.30 (the 61.8% to 78.6% retracement zone).
But let’s be clear: this is not the start of a new bullish trend. After Wave ((b)), I expect a 5-wave move to the downside, completing Wave ((c)) - and that means lower prices ahead , potentially in Q3, Q4 2025 or even into 2026.
Until then, I’m keeping a close eye on this structure. As long as the current Wave ((a)) low holds, this short-term bullish scenario remains valid. If we get a strong breakout in the coming days / weeks, I’ll be looking to enter on a retest, targeting that $187.80–$196.28 zone.
Let’s see if the market plays it my way.
Make sure to follow me for future updates on this scenario and other setups !
EUR/JPY – Bearish Setup with Elliott Wave AnalysisThis EUR/JPY daily chart shows an Elliott Wave analysis, suggesting a possible bearish continuation. The current wave structure indicates the pair is moving through the final phase of a five-wave impulsive sequence.
The market has completed three waves of a larger impulsive cycle, with Wave (4)
The price movement between Wave (2) and Wave (4) shows a pause or slowdown after going up. This means the buyers are losing strength, and the price may soon start to fall
If the price gets rejected near 162.900 , it could confirm further downside.
If it breaks below the 159.674 level, it may speed up the decline, with a possible target around 155.526 level.
GBP/USD is heating up! A major shift is coming—are you ready?"Analysis:
The correlation between DXY & GBP/USD is playing out perfectly! As the Dollar Index (DXY) approaches key resistance in the 112-113 zone, GBP/USD is reacting inversely, showing signs of a potential drop toward 1.14.
Elliott Wave patterns confirm a high-probability reversal setup, aligning with macroeconomic factors and liquidity zones. If DXY gains strength, expect a bearish breakdown on GBP/USD.
📈 Key Levels to Watch:
GBP/USD Resistance: 1.32-1.34
GBP/USD Support: 1.14
DXY Resistance: 112-113
DXY Support: 102.5
💡 Will GBP/USD hold or break down? Drop your predictions below! 👇