(update) ONEUSDT is ready to increase even further!After breaking the ascending Wedge , the price experienced significant growth. As you can see, the price has now dropped to under the the 0.618 Fibonacci line. Market volume indicates that the price may not be able to break above the 0.618 line, which means the price could drop alittle before rising again.
previous analysis
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⚠️Things can change...
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Elliotwaveanalysis
SALIK (DFM) Wave 5 in playSALIK has undergone a significant correction of 18%, marking the conclusion of wave 4. There is now potential for wave 5 to commence, following a bounce from the Daily Demand Zone (DZ).
The 1.68 Fibonacci level indicates a target price of approximately 7.8, suggesting a potential increase of around 60%.
This could be a good opportunity to enter the market or add to your position
AUDNZD will soon finish bullish cycle and usher in a sell-off? AUDNZD has been on a 2-year rally for 2 years. However, it appears price is correcting the sell-off in the last quarter of 2022 before the eventual resurgence.
Structurally, a zigzag structure is emerging with (A) and (B) finished as impulse and double zigzag structures respectively. Meanwhile, wave (C) is on the verge of completing an ending diagonal structure. Price is currently in the 5th leg of wave (C) and may continue to 1.12 which is roughly 100% of (A) from (B). So I believe, the sellers may have a chance between 1.12-1.135 in 2025.
Caveats
1. The 4th wave of the proposed ending diagonal could extend lower but should finish above 1.081 to keep the diagonal valid. Thus, buyers can buy lower again toward the zone mentioned above.
2. The (A)-(B)-(C) of ((B)) doesn't correspond in time magnitude with the sharp wave ((A)) impulse decline. Thus, the current rally alternatively could be a leading diagonal. If so, a pullback should happen as expected but shallower (should end above ((A)). Similar path but different counts.
XAUUSD 23.12.24OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello traders, we are currently in our wave (3) heading towards wave (4) within an ABC correction. Our wave B could either directly transition to wave C or form a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 setup leading to wave C. We have a strong resistance zone at 2620. If we break through this level to the upside, I believe we could see a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 setup. Otherwise, in the case of an ABC correction, we will most likely drop to around the 2300 level. This is both a Fibonacci zone of our (4) wave and the Fib extension take-profit level of our ABC wave.
(Update) !!! Bitcoin Analysis : Bull or Bear ? (READ)BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Currently, it can be said that Bitcoin has completed its fourth corrective wave and from now on, the price can be expected to rise to the top of the triangle.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
The Crypto Space - Clarity Through COINNASDAQ:COIN has had a phenomenal run since the beginning of 2023, currently up about 1,100% within 2 years!
In this Elliott Wave Analysis, I present my view of where I think Coinbase will stall and fall.
So far the sequence is filling up nicely and has presented, those with a keen eye, several opportunities to join the 11x party :)
As per this 2 day chart, I believe we are quite close to completing w3 of w(5) . In terms of EW, the chart is very clean and has been bouncing off Fibonacci support and resistance, for each wave degree, with relative precision.
I would like to see price tag $353 - $375 then drop to $300 - $271 , before proceeding to a new high between $416 - $457 to complete a full five wave sequence from the 2023 lows.
The sell off, thereafter, should be significant and if the space survives will present another opportunity for similar or greater returns during the next cycle.
This should also coincide with a cyclical top across the cryptoverse.
What are your thoughts?
Deeper Lows Ahead Before Reversal in SILVER ? Elliott WavesThe chart suggests a potential downward trend for Silver to complete wave (C) Blue of wave ((4)) Black and then wave Uptrend ((5)) Black.
Elliott Wave Structure:
The chart appears to be in a corrective wave structure, likely a Zigzag.
The current position seems to be within a corrective wave ((4)) Black in which wave (A) & (B) are completed and now we are unfolding wave (C) Blue of ((4)) Black.
Inside wave (C) we had completed wave 1 & 2 and now we are unfolding wave 3 Red in wave (C), post wave 3, we have to unfold wave 4 & 5 Red to finish wave (C) Blue of wave ((4)) Black.
Potential Scenarios:
Downside: If the downward trend continues, the price may reach Fib extension level where wave (C) equals with wave (A) and some times may goes towards 1.236 Fibonacci extension level.
Post completion wave ((4)) Black, we may see Reversal towards new Highs to finish wave ((5)) which generally goes beyond wave ((3)) High.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Possible Wave Counts of RELIANCE : Near to Bottom ?Reliance Industries Technical Analysis based on Elliott Wave Counts (Possible)
Chart: The analysis is based on a 2-hourly timeframe chart of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE).
Elliott Wave Theory: The analysis utilizes Elliott Wave Theory, which suggests that market prices move in repetitive patterns called waves. These patterns consist of impulsive waves (numbered 1-5) that move in the direction of the main trend and corrective waves (labeled A-B-C) that move against the main trend.
Possible Wave Counts:
Overall Trend: The chart suggests a potential overall uptrend, with the analysis focusing on a smaller degree wave structure within this larger trend.
Impulsive Waves: The chart highlights several impulsive waves (1-5) of varying degrees, indicating periods of strong price movement in the direction of the trend.
Corrective Waves: The chart also identifies corrective waves (A-B-C), representing periods of price consolidation or retracement against the main trend.
Current Wave: The analysis suggests that the price is currently in a corrective wave (2), following an impulsive wave (1).
Potential Target: Based on the wave counts, there is a potential for further upward movement once the current corrective wave completes. However, specific price targets are not provided in this analysis.
Key Levels:
Invalidation Level: A key level to watch is the "Invalidation Level" marked on the chart. If the price breaks below this level, the current wave count may be invalidated, suggesting a different interpretation of the market structure.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Or do we have to wait for longer?Here we assume that XRP won't go after the ATH just yet. We will have to see if #Bitcoin chills out for a moment and starts either distributing or slightly correcting to $98-100K regions. We can then assume the corrective wave (primary W4) will be deeper or a more complex variant (here presumed an expanded flat). The flat correction would allow for consolidation and a potential RSI reset, possibly forming a bullish divergence to signal a reversal which is typical between waves 3 and 5.
A clear break of the lower trendline and failure to hold $1.97 would validate this scenario. The invalidation for this scenario will be taking out the recently set high at $2.9. Given the corrective nature of expanded flats, completion of this structure could extend into early 2025, aligning with broader market uncertainties and potential shifts in macro sentiment.
Can we set a new ATH before 2025?This scenario presents a classic Ending Diagonal structure for Primary Wave (5), where XRP has likely completed Wave (4) near $1.90 and is now advancing upward to set new ATH. After entering price discovery and everybody FOMOs in, a significant portion of HODLers will start taking profits which will slow down the momentum and eventually leads to the formation of a bearish divergence marking the end of the impulse.
The first major resistance is the current high at $2.9 then the 2017's ATH at $3.31, from which we can expect a smaller degree correction.
For this scenario to unfold, we will need a steady momentum. Then we can expect it to set a new ATH before the end of year. Personally, my targets for this would be somewhere between $4 and $7 by late Jan to early Feb 2025, given the current pace and Trump's inauguration (and maybe SEC settlement?).
XAU/USD 14.12.2024OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello traders,
after we broke my last wave 4, I reinterpreted my chart view. Essentially, my second plan is now in effect. For now, we have a big (a)(b)(c) setup, within which we see a 12345 count. Currently, we are in waves 1 to 2. Wave 1 is structured as an abc correction, which itself follows an abc structure. Within the corrective wave b to c, we can also count a 12345 wave setup.
Take profit for the sellers would align with the blue Fibonacci extension levels. The 100% extension (the first target) doesn't look very promising to me. It is near the 61% (orange) Fibonacci level but feels too far away. We might observe some bullish momentum there, but likely not enough.
The 161% Fibonacci extension (blue), however, aligns almost exactly with the 78% Fibonacci level. If the price reaches this depth, we will likely see many traders closing their sell positions and others opening buy positions. This could generate enough momentum to create a new minor wave 1, which could then evolve into a 12345 setup for our (orange) wave (3).
This is one potential scenario, but we need to observe what happens next week. If we see an impulsive move to the upside from another level, I will look for a new wave 1 and then search for higher highs.
Wishing you the best of luck!
XAU/USD 17.12.24OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello Traders,
For the upcoming week, my Elliott Wave analysis suggests higher prices. Three days ago, I shared my long-term chart projection. Now, I’ve broken it down into the minor timeframes to refine the best entry points for my strategy.
If you're curious about the current wave we're in, feel free to check out my previous post:
Currently, I anticipate the formation of the green Wave 1 to 2 over the next few days, with Wave 2 potentially reaching its bottom soon. We're observing a significant ABC correction. Within the larger Wave B to C, we’ve formed another perfect AB correction, which now appears to consist of a probable 1-2-3-4-5 wave structure.
Today, the smaller Wave 3 hit our Fibonacci extension levels perfectly, as shown in the chart. At the moment, we’re experiencing a pullback in Wave 4, which I hope will lead to the completion of Wave 5 tomorrow. This would mark the end of the correction for the green Wave 1 to 2.
A smart entry point would be around the 78.6% Fibonacci level, which also serves as a take-profit level at the 100% Fibonacci extension of the seller. This zone will be very volatile. If we gather enough momentum to establish a new Wave 1, we can definitely expect higher prices.
Stay focused on the 2630 level, and good luck!
If you like my idea, I’d really appreciate some likes and feedback
US10Y ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS: 19 DEC, 2024©Master of Elliott Wave: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M.
The entire ((2))-navy most recent completed as an (A)(B)(C)-orange Zigzag, and the ((3))-navy is now retracing to push higher.
It is subdividing into a (1)(2)-orange, and they have completed, since the high of 4.126%, the (3)-orange is unfolding to push lower, targeting the high of 5.163%
Ash | 4 reasons why we’re still bullish on BTCHi traders! 👋 This is Ash, let’s dive straight into today’s analysis! 📊🚀
📌 Wave analysis and our near-term view on Bitcoin
We believe we are nearing the end of Wave 1 of Intermediate Wave (3) (in yellow). A dip could be on the horizon in the near future - potentially toward $60k.
~$60k = Strong Buy 🚛🚛🚛
📌 4 reasons why we’re still bullish on BTC (even at $100k)!
1. Elliott Wave Analysis
We believe we are only on Wave 1 of the 3rd Intermediate Wave. This time could be different~! 😅
2. Halving Cycle Analysis
Historically, the upward trend lasted about 1 year 4 months after each Halving event. Since the last Halving was on April 19, 2024, this timeframe points to ~ August 2025. So, we’re still about 8 months away from a correction! 😌
3. Institutional Buying and Government Recognition
Major institutions are buying, and many governments (including the incoming Trump administration) are beginning to embrace BTC as a form of reserve asset. Bullish! 📈
4. Hyman Minsky Model
All financial systems progress through stages of increasing leverage and speculation (aka, a bubble). But… we don’t think we are there yet. Institutions have only just started buying, with limited participation from retail (i.e., public). BTC has plenty more room to run! 🚀
With this said, always remember to DYOR and protect your capital.
(Note: DYOR = Do Your Own Research)
📌 Alternative “sub” Scenario: Highly Unlikely
The following scenario is highly unlikely, but “if” BCT is nearing the end of Wave (1) (in yellow), the ensuing correction (Wave (2)) could be quite severe - potentially to ~ $40k or even lower..
For those looking to buy at the current level: be aware that, despite a very low probability, a drop to $40k is possible. Please ask yourself whether you can stomach this fall before going long.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to hit that boost button and follow me! 🚀🙌
See you soon with more updates! 🔥
VIRTUAL - Short Setup with 30% PotentialWe are currently observing a completed 5-wave structure and the emergence of wave A, which found support around $2.5. Now, price action is forming wave B, which aligns with a resistance area marked by the Fib 0.618 retracement and the daily level.
Trade Setup:
Short Entry: For a riskier entry, you can enter now and ladder your position up to the Fib 0.618 and 0.718 levels. A stop loss should be placed above the 0.786 Fib for protection.
Head and Shoulders Projection: Using the bar pattern and the length of the left shoulder, we estimate that wave C will form over the next 2-3 days, confirming the head and shoulders setup.
Take Profit Target:
Low at $2.3266 – First target for securing profits.
Overall Target: The 0.618 Fib retracement of the entire 5-wave structure at $2.1002.
Risk-Reward (R:R):
Potential for 3:1 and 5:1 trades, offering a gain of 20% - 30%.
Additional Notes:
If dOpen is lost with volume confirmation, this provides an opportunity to add to the short position.
With the holiday season approaching, this short setup allows for some time off the screen while still capitalizing on market movements.
This setup offers an excellent blend of risk and reward, with options for both aggressive and conservative short entries. Happy trading.