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Elliotwaveanalysis

Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3500.Colleagues, I believe that, as with the euro, the upward five-wave impulse is not yet over. At the moment, I see the formation of wave “3” of the lower order and wave ‘3’ of the middle order, which means that the upward movement will continue at least to the resistance area of 3500 — this is the maximum of wave “3” of the higher order, which means that a correction is possible at this level. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
29
AUDJPY Forming A Bullish Set-upAUDJPY is recovering very nicely after touching the 86 support level, which goes back to the 2023 low. That was clearly an important zone from there we’ve seen a sharp and impulsive bounce in the last two months, even breaking above the trendline resistance connected down from the 2024 highs. This breakout suggests that bulls may be back in control and could still drive the pair toward the 98–100 area later this year. If we get a retracement in the near term, keep an eye on the 91.70 - 90.00 zone as potential support. GH
Long
by ew-forecast
BABA Stock: A Detailed Analysis using Elliott Wave Theory RulesHello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Let's analyze Ali Baba Group Holdings Limited, also known as BABA, listed on the NYSE. We'll be using the Elliott Waves theory. Friends, as we can clearly see, after hitting a low of around $95.75 on 9th April 2025, it started an impulse wave. Within this wave, we've completed intermediate degree blue bracketed (1), (2), (3), (4), (5), and primary degree ((1)) in Black. Currently, we're completing primary degree ((2)), with a low around $111. If it breaks the level of $111, we'll assume we're still in primary degree ((2)), as marked in scenario 2 on the chart. This means wave ((2)) is unfolding, and wave ((3)) might start after wave ((2)) is complete. If it doesn't break the $111 level, it's likely that wave ((2)) has completed, and we've started a subdivision of wave ((3)) or its further subdivisions. If it moves further up, following scenario 1 (the black line on the chart), this is a possibility. According to Elliott Wave theory, wave ((2)) cannot retrace more than 100% of wave ((1)). So, our main invalidation level for this count is $95.75. Yes, BABA is turning up against the 95.75 low, and in the near term, we expect the stock to trade higher. Somewhere, this stock might move towards $150 or $160 if it doesn't break down below $ 95.75. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NYSE:BABA
by RK_Chaarts
$SSP Low volume on Wave 2, momentum risingFirstly, on the line chart is possible to watch the possible targets - blue lines - which one of it is almost as the same level as 2,618. Fibonacci measured from the breakout to monthly resistance. res M = monthly resistance During the Wave 2, the two candles from last two days showed low volume as usual to happen during formation of W2, and it is possible to see that price at the breakout and after it was above average which can be read as high interest from buyers. Confirming the volume, the EFI even though is decreasing still show strength,OBV follow the price trend but looks like buyers are entering again. When it comes to momentum is possible to see that RSI did not crossed the equilibrium even after two bearish days, as ROC being a leading indicator which already changed direction . ADX is showing some strength for the trend direction confirmed by as DMI+ is still above DMI- DTC = 1,36
NASDAQ:SSPLong
by AFCapital21
₿ Bitcoin: SlippedAfter holding steady for two days, Bitcoin broke lower yesterday, confirming a setback within green wave B. This countertrend move delays the anticipated climb, which we still expect to reach its peak in the upper blue Target Zone (coordinates: $117,553 – $130,891). From there, bearish wave C should take over. The upper blue zone remains a tactical area for partial profit-taking or hedging long positions with shorts. Wave C is expected to drive the price sharply lower into the blue Target Zone (coordinates: $62,395 – $51,323), where we anticipate the completion of orange wave a. Orange wave b may trigger a corrective bounce, but ultimately, renewed downside should wrap up the intermediate correction of blue wave (ii). Still, there’s a 30% chance that Bitcoin forms a higher high as part of blue wave alt.(i)—temporarily breaching the upper blue zone. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3428.Colleagues, in the last forecast I wrote that I expect to reach the target in the area of 3439.37 and I am not giving up on it. At the moment, the price has made a strong correction and so I will make a new forecast, in which the targets will remain almost unchanged, but I see that the wave pattern has changed a bit. Now wave “1” lower wave is located higher and at the moment I believe that the price is in wave “5”. A correction to the support area of 3265 is possible, but in general I expect to reach the resistance area of 3428. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
17
USD/CHF 4H Analysis – Bearish Continuation Setting Up?USD/CHF is currently forming a textbook symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern just below key EMAs (20, 50, and 200), signaling potential exhaustion in bullish momentum. Price is compressing against the upper boundary of the triangle, failing to sustain above the 0.382 Fib retracement level (0.82302), which is aligned with the 50 EMA – a known area of dynamic resistance. This consolidation follows a clear bearish leg from the swing high at 0.83472, which suggests this triangle is likely a continuation pattern. A clean break below the ascending trendline support would confirm bearish continuation, with a measured move target near the 0.81068 level, which aligns with the -0.27 Fib extension. 🔍 Key Technical Levels: Resistance: 0.82302 (0.382 Fib), 0.82525 (0.5 Fib), 0.82753 (0.618 Fib) Support: 0.82026 (0.236 Fib), 0.81579 (Swing Low), 0.81068 (Bearish Extension Target) 📌 Watch for: A decisive break and close below triangle support Volume spike or bearish engulfing candle for confirmation RSI is neutral but leaning slightly bearish; room for downside 🎯 Bearish Bias 📍 Tag: #USDCHF #ForexAnalysis #WrightWayInvestments
Short
by WrightWayInvestments
XAU/USD 1H – Clean Impulsive Setup UnfoldingGold has completed a clean Wave (2) correction, bottoming at $3,292.30, respecting both structural demand and fib confluence. Price is now showing early signs of Wave (3) development to the upside. 📌 Key Structure: Wave (1) High: $3,403.30 Wave (2) Low: $3,292.30 (confirmed higher low structure) Market is now consolidating slightly above the 0.5 fib level ($3,324.45), with bullish structure still intact. 📈 Technical Confluence: Price is holding the internal bullish trendline RSI is neutral but building potential upside momentum Price action is forming higher lows, indicating strength post-correction 🎯 Next Bullish Targets: $3,366.08 (0.236 fib level of Wave (2) correction) $3,403.30 (Wave (1) high retest) Final Wave (3) extension zone: $3,445 – $3,500 📉 Invalidation Level: A break and close below $3,292.30 would invalidate this Wave (2) bottom and open the door for a deeper correction. ✅ Bias: Bullish, as long as price holds above the 0.618 – 0.705 fib zone. A strong push from this area could confirm the next leg of Wave (3). @WrightWayInvestments @wrightwayinvestments @wrightwayinvestments
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
CRUDE OIL: 12 JUNE, 2025 - BOTTOM AND TAKE OFF!?Conclusion: The ABC)-orange correction may have just completed, and a five-wave is pushing much higher, targeting the nearest target at the high around 94.19 or 130.50. Details: Since the high of 130.50, a decline with A,B,C)-orange has unfolded as a Zigzag. I counted a five-wave within the A)-orange, and a triangle within the B)-orange, and finally the C)-orange has completed as a five-wave. So, perhaps that ABC has ended with convincing evidence. So crude oil is likely to rise in the medium term, even though the alternative scenarios with relatively high probability in another development also show increasing bullish weight. And it is aiming for the nearest target at 94.19. While price must always remain above 55.30 to keep the Bullish market view valid.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by ShaneHua
S&P500: Within reachThe S&P 500 has edged past the 88.70% retracement and is now trading within our magenta Target Zone (Coordinates: 5,880 points to 6,166 points). This places magenta wave (B) likely near its peak - a move that could soon give way to a sharper decline as part of the anticipated wave (C). At current levels, the setup remains favorable for initiating short positions. To manage risks, a stop just 1% above the upper boundary of the Target Zone is recommended. If the index breaks above resistance at 6,6675 points, however, we would shift to an alternative interpretation: a bullish continuation in the form of the wave alt.(III) in blaue. We currently assign a 40% probability to this scenario. One final note: the minimum technical requirement for wave (B) has already been fulfilled by the entry into the Target Zone. This means wave (C) could begin any time. Over 190 precises analyses, clear entry points and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by MarketIntel
8
₿ Bitcoin: Further Upside ExpectedBitcoin (BTC) pulled back slightly in yesterday’s session but remains on track to continue its corrective rally within green wave B. In line with our primary scenario, this advance is expected to reach the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Afterward, we anticipate the onset of wave C, which should initiate a substantial decline—driving the price down into the lower blue zone between $62,395 and $51,323. This is also where we expect orange wave a to conclude. From there, wave b should provide a temporary rebound before wave c resumes the broader downtrend, ultimately completing blue wave (ii). That said, there’s still a 30% probability that blue wave alt.(i) has not yet topped. In this alternative scenario, BTC would extend higher, potentially breaking above resistance at $130,891 before the corrective phase resumes. The daily chart illustrates the entire five-wave blue sequence and shows our expected low for wave (ii) within the blue zone between $37,623 and $26,082. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
₿ Bitcoin: Push to the Upside! Bitcoin has made a significant push to the upside, which brought it closer to the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891, where we primarily expect the corrective rise of green wave B to conclude. We consider this price range an opportunity to take partial profits or to open short hedges for tactical protection of existing long positions — thus, we don't plan to sell all our Bitcoin holdings there. Potential short hedges could be secured with a stop 1% above the upper edge of the zone since there's a 30% chance that price could exceed this zone to develop a new high for blue wave alt.(i) before reversing later. Primarily, however, green wave C should commence in the upper blue zone and drive BTC down into the lower blue zone between $62,395 and $51,323—and thus to the low of orange wave a. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
ETH/USD Breaking Higher, Can Fill The Gap? Hey traders, Some of the altcoins are recovering very nicely today, with Ethereum being no exception. In fact, we’ve seen a pretty nice consolidation on ETH over the last three weeks, and it looks like it’s breaking to the upside right now. I wouldn’t be surprised to see more gains unfolding into wave five of a five-wave advance away from the April lows. Targets around 3000 and even 3300 could be quite interesting, especially if we consider the big gap that dates back to February. GH
CME:ETH1!
by ew-forecast
4
A Potentially Dangerous Pattern Takes ShapeWhile the futures market has yet to break into new all-time high territory, the previously discussed bearish micro setup has now been invalidated. In its place, we’re witnessing a complex, overlapping advance—creeping steadily toward the prior highs in the S&P 500 (ES). At the micro level, I currently see no compelling bearish setup. However, this grinding upward move—lacking strong conviction from either buyers or sellers—is not necessarily bullish. In fact, it’s a hallmark of a potentially dangerous pattern: a primary degree ending diagonal. If my interpretation is correct, both the “orange” and “purple” wave counts point to the same ominous conclusion. They suggest that what we're seeing could culminate in a sharp, possibly violent reversal—one that would ultimately retrace back to where this entire primary wave began. For reference, that’s just above 4,000, marked by the conclusion of Primary Wave 4 in October 2022. This is the moment for caution—not after the damage is done. Yes, we may push into new all-time highs. But within this fragile and overlapping structure, that outcome is far from guaranteed. Even if we get there, the looming question remains: At what cost?
CBOE:SPX
by maikisch
3
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 58.00.Colleagues, the previous forecast did not meet expectations for too long, and the price has been in a prolonged sideways movement. In this regard, I decided to slightly revise the waves and make a new forecast. At the moment, I believe that the price will resume its downward movement in the medium-term wave “3.” The complex configuration of the correction makes it difficult to fully understand whether it is a combined correction or a five-wave movement. In either case, I expect the price to reach the support area of 58.00. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
26
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance area of 115,000.I see that price has shown a violent rise in a five-wave move and I have redrawn the waves a bit to make it clear where to expect a correction. I think we are currently seeing a correction in wave “4” (104,000). But most importantly, I expect an update of the high. Therefore, I believe that the level of 115,000 will be reached and it may be a wave “5”, after which we can expect a deeper correction. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
6
Gold’s Week Ahead: Structure, Scenarios, and What to WatchChart Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) is at a critical juncture. The recent action shows a completed three-wave correction, and price is now setting up for what could be a powerful motive wave. My primary scenario is a bullish move once the current structure matures, but I’m also tracking alternate counts—flat, triangle, and double zigzag—all of which still point to at least one more push higher. Why This Count? The leading diagonal (5-3-5-3-5 or 3-3-3-3-3) for wave 1 fits the textbook, with wave 4 overlapping wave 1—a classic Elliott Wave signature. The three-wave correction appears complete, which often signals the start of a new impulsive sequence. I’m watching for confirmation: a completed corrective pattern and a strong move off the lows. What’s Next? If the correction finishes and price holds above the wave 1 low, I’ll be looking for a long setup targeting the 100% or 1.618 extension of wave 1. Invalidation is simple: if the wave 1 low breaks, the count is off and I’ll reassess. I’ll wait for structure to complete before entering—patience is key.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RealWaveTrader-