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Elliotwaveanalysis

Dollar Testing The Channel Support It’s already Friday and the 4th of July, so US holidays are here, which means we could see thinner trading conditions later today. Still, the overall tone remains risk-on since yesterday, supported by better-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls data and an ISM services reading at 50.8—still in expansion territory. So, there’s some optimism in the market, and this could continue if we get a positive outcome on the tariff front ahead of the July 9th deadline. On the back of strong economic data, US yields are moving higher, but the Dollar Index is trying to come lower. It’s currently retesting the lower trendline of a corrective channel—likely due to the strong rally in US stock indexes, which are keeping the dollar under pressure. On the daily chart, the Dollar Index still looks like it could head to new lows, but that move may not come today if holiday conditions slow down the market. We might have to wait until next week for a clearer breakout. GH
TVC:DXY
by ew-forecast
Ethereum: Eyeing New Highs?Ethereum has surged recently and continues rising in turquoise wave B. The next target is a break above the June high, with potential upside to resistance at $4,107. A direct breakout above this level (27% probability) would suggest green wave alt. ended in April. However, our main scenario expects a reversal below $4,107, with turquoise wave C likely dragging ETH into the Long Target Zone between $935.82 and $494.15 to complete wave . 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by MarketIntel
XAU/USD 4H – Retracement or Rejection? Key Levels to WatchGold bulls made a strong push out of the descending channel, but now the real test begins. The market is currently in retracement mode after a sharp impulse, and the next move will be decisive. 🔹 Channel Breakout & Retest in Play: Price broke out of the descending channel with momentum and hit the $3,357 region before pulling back. We're now hovering around the 0.236 Fib at $3,331 — with the 0.382 and 0.618 Fib zones below offering potential long entry confluence. 🔹 Fibonacci Cluster Support Zone: Between $3,314 – $3,287 lies a high-probability demand zone, where multiple Fibonacci levels converge with the broken channel top. This area also aligns with the 50 EMA, creating a pocket for bullish continuation — if held. 🔹 RSI Divergence to Watch: RSI shows signs of slowing bullish momentum after peaking, which suggests this retracement could deepen toward the 0.5–0.618 levels before any meaningful bounce. A bullish RSI reversal in this zone would confirm re-entry. 📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation: Price finds support between $3,314–$3,287 Momentum kicks in for a leg up toward $3,388 Final TP at $3,427 (Fib -0.618 extension) 📌 Scenario 2 – Rejection and Deeper Drop: Failure to hold the 0.5 zone flips the bias bearish Watch for re-entry back into the previous channel Next downside target: $3,251 and potentially $3,233–$3,221 (Fib + extension) 💡 Elite Insight: The pullback is not the risk — entering without a plan is. This is the zone where patience meets precision. Let the levels do the work.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
NVIDIA: More Room in Wave BNvidia’s strong rally over recent weeks lifted the stock above resistance at $153.13. Despite a brief pullback on Tuesday, we still expect beige wave B to extend toward $178.39. Afterward, beige wave C should initiate a substantial correction, likely finding its low above $81.98 to complete blue wave (IV). If Nvidia rallies directly through $178.39, that would support our alternative view that blue wave alt.(IV) has already bottomed (37% probability). 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MarketIntel
3
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.18466.Dear colleagues, I believe that the upward movement continues. The five-wave impulse is not over yet, and I see that the price is now in the upward wave “3” of the higher order and in the upward wave “3” of the lower order. Therefore, I expect a small correction to the 1.16165 area, after which I expect the price to reach at least the 1.18466 resistance area. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
17
Nvidia - More Upside After Correction NVIDIA completed an irregular flat correction back in April. Since then, the price action has been strong and steady, forming higher highs and higher swing lows —a clear sign of bullish con- continuation. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the current move appears incomplete, as we cannot yet identify a full five five-wave advance from the April lows. This suggests that more upside may still be ahead. However, we could see a wave four pullback develop sometime during the summer. If that occurs, the key support zone to watch would be around $140 down to $130, which could provide an opportunity within the ongoing uptrend. - Resistance: 170 - Support: 143 / 132 - Invalidation: 115 GH
NASDAQ:NVDA
by ew-forecast
NASDAQ: Minor Pullback, Still on TrackOn Friday, the Nasdaq experienced a slight pullback, which was quickly absorbed at the start of the week. Currently, the index is still developing the turquoise wave B, which should top out just below resistance at 23,780 points, signaling the start of the bearish wave C. This move should lead to the low of the magenta wave (4) within our turquoise Target Zone between 17,074 and 15,867 points. Alternatively, there is a 42% probability that wave alt.(4) is already complete. In this scenario, the magenta wave alt.(5) could carry the index immediately above the mentioned resistance. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by MarketIntel
5
S&P500: Target Zone DeactivatedThe S&P 500 extended its bullish trend yesterday, moving beyond our now-deactivated (formerly magenta) Target Zone. Existing positions remain intact, as the stop set 1% above the upper boundary has not been triggered. In our updated primary scenario, we anticipate continued upward movement within magenta wave (B), potentially reaching the resistance at 6675 points. Once this peak is established, we expect a corrective decline to begin in the form of wave (C), which should guide the index into the green Long Target Zone between 4988 and 4763 points. There, the larger green wave is expected to complete. A sustained breakout above the 6675-point level would shift the outlook in favor of the alternative scenario. In that case, green wave alt. would be considered complete—a trajectory we currently assign a probability of 40%. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MarketIntel
1
XAU/USD – Bullish Reversal in Motion? Watch the Breakout ZoneGold just gave us a critical reaction off a key confluence zone — and bulls might finally be waking up. Here's the breakdown: 🔹 Falling Wedge Breakout:
Price respected the wedge support beautifully around the 0.382-0.5 Fib retracement and has now closed above the upper descending trendline. The falling wedge is a bullish reversal pattern, and we may be witnessing the early stages of a trend shift. 🔹 EMAs Realignment Pending:
Price is now testing the 20 and 50 EMAs — a clean break and close above them would likely trigger algorithmic momentum back into bullish continuation, especially if we see a flip of the 0.382 Fib at $3,324 as support. 🔹 Upside Targets: * TP1: $3,372 (0.236 Fib) * TP2: $3,450 (previous structure high) * TP3: $3,539 (full range expansion) 🔹 Invalidation Below:
A break back inside the wedge and below $3,285 would invalidate the bullish bias and likely open the path to deeper correction toward $3,251 or even $3,217. 📌 Key Insight:
The best trades aren’t about prediction — they’re about preparation. This setup is all about reacting to price as it confirms. Let the market tell you when it’s ready to move, then strike with confidence and precision. 💡 Watching for bullish retest + volume confirmation before entering long.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG resistance area of 6176 (Wave 1).Colleagues, the previous forecast remains essentially unchanged, and the target is still 6176, but I think the forecast can be updated because the price has been flat for quite some time. I still expect the upward movement to continue in the large wave “1” and in the medium-order wave “5”. A small correction to the support area of 5873 is possible. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
21
Nasdaq: At the Upper EdgeYesterday, the Nasdaq climbed above resistance at 22,475 points. Currently, the index is positioned outside our turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 21,751 – 22,425 points), which remains active. Stops for short positions 1% above the zone have not yet been triggered. Our primary scenario remains intact for now: technically, there is room for wave B to reach the next resistance at 23,229 points. Following the B-wave peak, a downtrend is expected with the corrective wave C. With a 42% probability, we anticipate that wave alt.(4) is already complete, and the index may break directly higher within the magenta-colored wave alt.(5), surpassing the 23,229-point mark. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by MarketIntel
2
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.17300.Colleagues, I believe that the upward five-wave impulse is not over yet. At the moment, I see the formation of wave “3” of the lower order and wave “3” of the middle order, which means that the upward movement will continue at least to the resistance area of 1.17300. This area is located between two levels (1.16529-1.18252) of Fibonacci extension. A correction is possible — be careful. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
21
₿itcoin: Grinding higherBitcoin has extended its recent rally, reclaiming the $106,000 level in the last few hours. While short-term setbacks remain possible, our primary scenario continues to point higher: prices should aim for the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Within this zone, BTC should complete green wave B before initiating a corrective decline in wave C, which should extend into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. At the low of major wave a, a temporary recovery in wave b is likely, preceding the final downward push that should mark the end of the broader wave (ii) correction. Our alternative scenario (30% probability) suggests that Bitcoin remains within blue wave alt.(i). If true, a breakout beyond the upper blue Target Zone could occur. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
Coinbase Breaking Higher, Bitcoin To Follow Soon? Coinbase has been trading very nicely to the upside over the last two weeks, and it's now even breaking the previous highs from December in pre-market. This suggests we’re in a fifth wave, but even this leg should be structured by five waves, so there’s room for more upside—even above the 400 level. If we respect the past cycles and compare it with Bitcoin, then clearly Bitcoin is lagging here. Still, while Coinbase is in this bull run, sooner or later, Bitcoin should also join the strength.
NASDAQ:COIN
by ew-forecast
Silver Looking For A Support Of wave 4 at 36.37Silver retested the lows of the week and even broke slightly below the spike from June 12, where the market previously found support at 35.46. We highlighted that as a key area for potential stabilization, especially since there were likely a lot of stops, just below it. So it's no surprise that the market turned around from there and is now trying to stabilize. I’m starting to think the a-b-c drop could already be finished in wave 4. A daily close above 36.37 would confirm a continuation higher. We can also see some RSI divergence between waves A and C, which further suggests that silver may be coming down into strong support.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by ew-forecast
USD/CHF – Rejection at Key Fib Confluence, Bearish Continuation We’re seeing a beautiful textbook rejection off the 0.79Fib zone (0.8200), precisely where price tapped into a previous structure break and minor supply block. Price surged into the red zone, wicked just above the 200 EMA, and was instantly met with heavy sell-side pressure — a strong signal of institutional distribution. 📌 Technical Confluences at Play: Price failed to break the 200 EMA cleanly — acting as dynamic resistance. 0.79 Fib levels aligning with prior supply. Rising wedge structure broken to the downside. Entry candle printing a solid engulfing rejection — institutional footprint. 📉 Target Zone: Primary TP sits at the 0.236 Fib level (0.8101), but the full measured move of this wedge gives us a final downside target near 0.8038, with intermediate stops at key Fibs. Invalidation above 0.82294 🧠 Trader’s Insight: “Patience is power. You don’t chase moves, you position for moments.” Let the market come to your zone of interest, validate your thesis, and then strike with precision. The best trades come from areas where multiple confirmations stack in your favor. 📉 Trade Plan: Entry: 0.81933 rejection zone TP1: 0.8130 TP2: 0.8101 Final TP: 0.8038 SL: Above 0.82294 (tight invalidation) @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments
Short
by WrightWayInvestments
5
MCX - 5-Wave Impulse Complete, Correction Ahead?The recent price action in MCX has completed a 5-wave impulsive sequence, giving us valuable insights into potential upcoming moves. The Larger Picture (Daily Timeframe) : Starting from the prior major low, we have witnessed a clean impulse structure unfolding. Wave 3 topped at 7,048.60, completing its previous impulse sequence. Following this, a textbook ABC corrective structure unfolded into Wave 4, completing near 4,408.15. The internal symmetry within this ABC correction was near perfect, with Wave C nearly matching Wave A (100% projection). Post Wave 4, the price resumed higher into Wave 5, where we now observe signs of completion. Wave 5 Extension and Target Zone Wave 5 extended strongly and has already entered its projected target zone: 100% projection of Wave 1 placed near 8,330. 1.618 extension projection reached near 8,922. Ideal Correction Zones Now that Wave 5 may have completed or is very close to doing so, we shift focus to probable retracement areas where price may find support in case of a corrective phase: 0.382 retracement at 6,853.50 0.5 retracement at 6,386.60 0.618 retracement at 5,919.65 Dynamic Update Note The correction zones have been plotted based on the current observed Wave 5 high. Should Wave 5 extend further, these support levels will be recalculated accordingly. Traders are advised to keep monitoring for further price action confirmation before positioning. The overall Elliott Wave structure here reflects the market may now enter a corrective phase as per standard wave behavior after a completed 5-wave advance.
NSE:MCXShort
by WaveXplorer
2
JINDAL STEEL: Leading Diagonal Starting?JINDAL STEEL & POWER appears to be constructing an initial impulsive advance that may very well be taking the form of a Leading Diagonal. The advance from the 770 lows has so far developed into a structure where Wave 4 has overlapped with Wave 1 territory, suggesting that a classical impulse structure may not be applicable here. Instead, the price action fits neatly within the characteristics of a leading diagonal pattern, which allows such overlaps. Wave 1 terminated at 923.80 followed by a corrective pullback into Wave 2 at 833.60. The subsequent rise into Wave 3 reached 985.80, which completed near the 100% extension of Wave 1, supporting the diagonal scenario where extensions are often limited. This was followed by a clear a-b-c correction into Wave 4, which found support at 882.65. Notably, the c-leg of Wave 4 reached close to 1.618 times the length of Wave a, adding further symmetry to this structure. The current advance may therefore represent Wave 5 of this diagonal, projecting towards the 1036 to 1131 region of Fibonacci extensions. However, since leading diagonals typically signal the start of a larger structure, this entire formation could well be unfolding as either the first leg of a higher degree impulse (Wave 1) or as an initial Wave A of a larger correction. The labeling is thus kept open as "1/a" to reflect both possibilities at this stage. The invalidation level for the current bullish scenario remains at 882.65, below which this entire leading diagonal interpretation would require reassessment. Until then, the bias remains upwards as the final leg of this structure seeks completion. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:JINDALSTELLong
by WaveXplorer
A Step-by-step Guide to One of the Chart Analysis MethodHello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Today we're going to learn step-by-step guide to one of the chart analysis Method by analyzing a chart of " Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) " to identify a trend change opportunity.(Educational Post). Let's get started! Applying Elliott Wave Theory First, we can see that the bottom formed in March 2025 is likely a Wave ((4)) in Black as a bottom, marked as such on the chart. From there, Wave 5 should move upwards. Looking at the daily timeframe, we can see that price gone up in five sub-divisions of Wave (1) in Blue of Wave ((5)) in Black have completed, marked as Red 1-2-3-4-5, that means blue intermediate Wave (1) has ended, and Wave (2) has begun, which is unfolded in corrective nature marked as WXY in Red of Wave (2) in Blue. According to the wave principle, Wave (2) should not retrace more than 100% of Wave (1), which started from the 419.65 bottom. Therefore, 419.65 becomes our invalidation level. If the price moves below this level, it would invalidate our Wave (2) principle. Assuming our wave counts are correct, the upward movement is in the five sub-divisions, and the downward movement is in the three sub-divisions. Definitely, the conviction is increasing that we have correctly identified Waves (1) and (2). Shown in chart image below Tweezers at Bottom Now, we can see that Wave 2 has retraced more than 70% and has formed a Tweezer candlestick pattern at the bottom. A bearish candle was followed by a bullish candle, both with a Tweezer-like shape, with the second candle being green. This could indicate a potential reversal. Moreover, the latest candle has also taken out the high of the previous two candles, showing follow-through. The price has also shown follow-through on the upside after that. So, this can be considered as the first sign that Wave 2 might be ending, marked by a significant Tweezer pattern at the bottom with a follow-through candle. Shown in chart image below Significant Breakout Pending Yet Secondly, from the top where Wave 1 ended, we've been considering the decline from around 560.50 as a resistance. We drew a resistance trend line, and if the price breaks out above it, we can say that the resistance trend line has been broken, indicating a breakout above the last fall's trend line, Which is not Broken yet. Shown in chart image below Dow Theory The Dow Theory states that when the price moves up, it forms a Higher High, Higher Low pattern, and when it moves down, it forms a Lower High, Lower Low pattern. Somehow, the Dow Theory also needs to change, as the last swing was forming a Lower High, Lower Low pattern. The last swing high was at 479, which we marked with a green arrow. If the price crosses above it, we can say that the price is now forming a Higher High pattern. This indicates that the Dow Theory is changing from a falling trend to a rising trend. Shown in chart image below Stop Loss Once the Dow Theory also changes, we can use the last swing low at 446.15 as our stop loss. However, this stop loss will only be valid after the Dow Theory changes; otherwise, the invalidation level will remain at 419. Shown in chart image below Projected Target of Wave (3) So, friends, we've applied the Elliott Wave principle, and there's been a significant retracement, all within the valid range, without violating any rules or triggering invalidation. There's limited room left on the downside, and then we have the Tweezer candlestick pattern, which is a significant sign. We're expecting a reversal from there, and the price has followed up with an upward move. What's left now is the breakout above the resistance trend line and a change in the Dow Theory. Once these two conditions are confirmed, all parameters will match, and we can add a position to our portfolio using the last swing low as our stop loss, instead of the invalidation level. This is how chart analysis is done for investment purposes. We've seen many signs in our favor, and yet we still use a stop loss to prevent significant losses in case the stock or market moves unexpectedly. This is what stop loss is all about - minimizing potential losses. We've also discussed the target projection based on Wave theory, 161.8% level, which we explained through an image. So, friends, I hope you've understood the entire conclusion and learned how to analyze charts using different methods, one of which we shared with you today. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:VBLEducation
by RK_Chaarts
27
₿itcoin: PullbackBitcoin has experienced significant selling since Friday, briefly slipping below the $100,000 mark. We previously mentioned that a sharper pullback wouldn't surprise us. Whether prices will drop a bit further remains to be seen for the moment. Ultimately, we still expect Bitcoin to climb into the upper blue Target Zone (coordinates: $117,553 – $130,891) before a broader C-wave sell-off occurs, pushing the price down to the lower blue Target Zone (coordinates: $62,395 – $51,323). There, we anticipate the low of the larger orange wave a, which should mark the start of another corrective upward move. Afterward, we're preparing for the last downward leg of blue wave (ii). However, if Bitcoin directly surpasses the resistance at $130,891 – and thus our upper blue Target Zone – we'll locate it still in blue wave alt.(i) (30% probability). 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel