Elliotwaveanalysis
AUDNZD will soon finish bullish cycle and usher in a sell-off? AUDNZD has been on a 2-year rally for 2 years. However, it appears price is correcting the sell-off in the last quarter of 2022 before the eventual resurgence.
Structurally, a zigzag structure is emerging with (A) and (B) finished as impulse and double zigzag structures respectively. Meanwhile, wave (C) is on the verge of completing an ending diagonal structure. Price is currently in the 5th leg of wave (C) and may continue to 1.12 which is roughly 100% of (A) from (B). So I believe, the sellers may have a chance between 1.12-1.135 in 2025.
Caveats
1. The 4th wave of the proposed ending diagonal could extend lower but should finish above 1.081 to keep the diagonal valid. Thus, buyers can buy lower again toward the zone mentioned above.
2. The (A)-(B)-(C) of ((B)) doesn't correspond in time magnitude with the sharp wave ((A)) impulse decline. Thus, the current rally alternatively could be a leading diagonal. If so, a pullback should happen as expected but shallower (should end above ((A)). Similar path but different counts.
Asian Paints Weekly Elliott Wave Analysis – March 17, 2025The price action of Asian Paints (NSE: ASIANPAINT) has been following a clear Elliott Wave structure.
The stock completed a primary wave (3) at the peak, with a truncated 5th wave, indicating weakness in the final leg of the impulse.
It is currently undergoing a wave (4) correction, following a W-X-Y pattern, with the price moving lower towards the 1.618 Fibonacci extension target at ₹1,931.
The invalidity level is set at ₹1,297, below which the larger wave structure would need reconsideration.
Indicators like RSI and MACD are reflecting oversold conditions, suggesting a potential bounce or consolidation before further downside.
A confirmation of wave (4) completion would signal the start of wave (5) towards new highs.
📉 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: ₹1,931 (1.618 Fib Extension)
Resistance: ₹2,492 (Wave Y previous support)
Invalidation Level: ₹1,297
This wave count suggests that Asian Paints is nearing the end of its correction phase. A reversal from the target zone could set the stage for the next bullish impulse.
📢 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational and study purposes only. Any profits or losses from trading based on this analysis are entirely your own responsibility. Do your own research before making any trading decisions.
#GOLD possible bearish moveAs can be seen in the chart we are probably dealing with a wave (c).
Which could turn out to become a Zigzag bearish corrective pattern, which suggest lower economical and geopolitical risk in the next few days. Or it could become a triangle pattern which makes even shallower correction with more difficult technical situation as well as higher risk in the market.
Either way, since the previous correction was deep and reached almost 78% of its previous bullish impulsive move, this new bearish corrective move (base on alternation guideline) cannot be deep and can end at around 38%.
Best of luck.
ETH(based on NEo wave)This supercycle is a nice nature triangle which E wave is ending and its look like a diamon diametrical.
so I will update it for the confirmation, I think ALTseason is so close and we can see that happening soon but this season take about 400 to 450 days and after that there is a huge CRASH!
USD/CAD: Textbook Waves—ABC Correction Next?Discover the Power of Elliott Waves with This USD/CAD Setup!
Hey traders! If you’re looking for a clean, textbook Elliott Wave example to sharpen your analysis skills, you’re in the right place. Let’s break it down together—and who knows, this could be the edge your trading needs!
Elliott Wave Breakdown
Wave 1: Kicked things off with a strong move higher, marking the start of the current trend.
Wave 2 (Flat): A sideways, flat correction—think of it like the market catching its breath. It moved in three waves (A-B-C), holding up price and hinting at the strength to come.
Wave 3: The rocket ship! Wave 3 is typically the powerhouse, and USD/CAD delivered. Traders who caught this move likely enjoyed a nice ride.
Wave 4 (Zigzag): True to Elliott Wave theory, we saw alternation. After the flat Wave 2, Wave 4 gave us a sharp A-B-C zigzag down. Quick, clean, and offering a second chance for those who missed Wave 3.
Wave 5: The final push completed the 5-wave impulse, potentially wrapping up the current trend.
What’s Next? An ABC Correction!
This is where it gets exciting. After completing a 5-wave pattern, markets often retrace in an A-B-C correction. This could be your chance to plan the next move. Will it pull back to the 38.2%, 50%, or even 61.8% retracement? Smart traders are already watching these levels!
Why This Matters for You
Understanding wave structures like this can give you a huge advantage. It’s not about predicting the future—it’s about stacking probabilities in your favor. And when a textbook pattern like this shows up, it’s an opportunity worth watching.
Actionable Tips for Traders
Be ready for the ABC correction—this could be your ideal entry for the next impulse move.
Use tools like RSI, MACD, or trendline breaks for extra confirmation.
Manage risk wisely. No setup is guaranteed, but the odds are on your side when you follow the waves!
Stick around for more insights like this. If you find this breakdown helpful, give it a thumbs up and follow me for more real-time analyses and trading tips!
Good luck and happy trading!
SOL: Is the Bull Market Over? Solana Elliott Wave AnalysisSOL: The price is deep in the blue standard fibonacci extension support zone, which is located between $132.13 and $102.97. This zone is calculated based on the length of yellow wave A, and it provides standard support levels to watch for yellow wave C. Can I promise that it will hold? No, but if f this is indeed a C-wave to the downside then the bulls should show up in this region. From here I am watching two possible pathways: the yellow scenario allows for one more high with a target of around $360 to complete a larger 5-wave pattern, which started in 2022. However, in the white scenario, a 5-wave move to the upside can already be considered complete. We will therefore have to pay close attention to the structure of the next move to the upside and how the price reacts to the $181 - $263 fibonacci zone. This will help us distinguish between the two scenarios. However, even in case the white scenario plays out, a B-wave should take the price to the resistance zone. That being said, no local low is confirmed yet.
Bitcoin Forecast by NEoWaveIn the previous analysis, I said that we seem to be in wave-(e) of D. We considered wave-D as a diametric, which seems to have ended with the drop in Bitcoin price and we should consider the diametric to be over and change the labeling a little. Currently, considering what happened, we have two scenarios:
Scenario 1
In this scenario, if the Bitcoin price is maintained above $70,000, there is a possibility of a double combination pattern, the second pattern will probably be a Diametric or Neutral Triangle or a Reverse Contracting Triangle, and wave-D (higher degree wave) will continue. In this case, the price could touch $150,000.
Scenario 2
In this scenario, if the price goes below the key level of $70,000, we should consider wave-D to be over and the price could decline to the range of $49,000-43.00 and wave-E will be completed.
Bitcoin - The Path to a Quarter of a Million Bitcoin - What Happened After the End of the Bear Market
15,460 USD—this value marked the ultimate low of the bear market in hindsight. My previous forecast for a bottom formation was exceeded by approximately 15%. This was not due to a lack of expertise but rather because I rarely publish ideas. Looking back, the levels around 18,000 USD were an excellent opportunity for long-term entry and position accumulation. Since then, Bitcoin has surged by an impressive 350% (as of today).
Market Development After the Bear Market
Today, I will not delve into Bitcoin’s fundamental situation. First, because it has reached a level of complexity that is difficult to fully grasp, and second, because fundamentals are almost irrelevant to my technical analysis and forecasts.
The current price action suggests that we are nearing the completion of Wave 1, which serves as the launchpad for the larger Wave 3. It is important to note that the previous all-time high of 109,358.01 USD may be surpassed if the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level is slightly above it. This means that, despite an initial sell-off, Bitcoin could still reach a maximum of 115,438.15 USD before a major correction begins.
However, if the previous all-time high already marked the end of Wave 1, then the price should retrace towards the 78.6% or even the 88.7% Fibonacci levels. Yes, this results in a broad range, but the goal is not to place a short trade—only to time a long trade effectively.
One thing is crystal clear: The next correction is imminent—or has already begun.
Outlook: Where Is the Next Profitable Long-Term Entry?
The art of investing lies in playing the long game and timing the market for optimal long positions. While dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is a solid strategy, it is particularly beneficial to invest larger tranches with careful planning.
Since my strategy is to hold Bitcoin for decades, I am looking for the next major buying opportunity.
Based on current market trends, I see two overlapping target zones for the upcoming correction:
🔹 Potential correction range: 35,774.30 - 58,928.75 USD
🔹 Key Fibonacci retracement level (61.8%) of Wave 1: 51,502.15 USD
I expect Bitcoin to correct at least to 51,502.15 USD. However, based on previous corrections and price structures, a deeper retracement is highly likely.
💡 My personal target zone for accumulating larger positions:
👉 35,774.30 - 51,502.15 USD
🚨 Bitcoin must not drop below 34,944.64 USD.
After the Correction: The Next Major Bullish Wave
Once the correction (Wave 2) finds its bottom between 34,944.64 - 51,502.15 USD, the market will be set for the explosive third wave of the larger Wave 3.
📈 Minimum price target for Wave 3: 160,000+ USD
📈 Further upside potential: Beyond 250,000 USD
Key Takeaway: Investing in Bitcoin is an investment in your future.
👉 Think long-term and minimize your risk.
Summary
1. Bear Market Recap
✅ Bear market bottom: 15,460 USD
✅ Forecast missed by ~15%
✅ 18,000 USD was a great long-term entry
✅ +350% price increase since then
2. Current Market Situation & Forecast
✅ Bitcoin is near the completion of Wave 1
✅ Possible breakout beyond all-time high (109,358.01 USD) to 115,438.15 USD
✅ A major correction is imminent—or has already begun
3. Ideal Long-Term Entry Points
✅ Target accumulation zone: 35,774.30 - 51,502.15 USD
✅ Expected correction at least to: 51,502.15 USD
✅ Absolute lower limit: 34,944.64 USD (must not be breached)
4. Long-Term Outlook
✅ Wave 3 to start after correction (Wave 2)
✅ Minimum target: 160,000 USD
✅ Potential long-term target: 250,000+ USD
✅ Investment strategy: Hold long-term & minimize risk
SOL/USDT Elliott Wave AnalysisSolana is currently in a corrective phase following a significant decline from its recent highs. The chart reflects a complex Elliott Wave structure, with an ongoing ABC correction. The primary expectation is for further downside, with the final Wave C targeting the $75–$85 demand zone (highlighted in purple).
Primary Scenario (Bearish Outlook)
Wave A has completed, followed by a corrective Wave B, which saw a temporary rally.
Wave C is unfolding, with sub-waves indicating a further decline.
The structure suggests Wave v of C is yet to complete, with potential targets in the $75–$85 range.
A corrective bounce within Wave iv is expected before the final drop.
Alternative Scenario (Bullish Reversal)
If Wave C fails to break below $125, this could indicate a truncation.
A strong impulse breaking above $165–$175 could invalidate further downside and shift momentum towards a bullish recovery.
In this case, Solana could begin a new impulsive structure targeting $200+ in the coming weeks.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $125 (current low), $85–$75 (major demand zone)
Resistance: $165–$175 (invalidates bearish outlook)
Overall, the bias remains bearish unless we see strong momentum above $165. Until then, lower targets remain in focus.
Asian Paint Chart Structure Elliott wavePlease refer to the chart of Asian Paints Ltd., have tried to put everything on chart. The Chart is a long term chart. It seems that it is progressing in wave IV of its higher degree waves. The wave IV has retraced moved than 38% of its wave III. Lower level may also be seen in near future.
Please check the chart and follow for such charts.
Regards
Above $11.93 with Follow Through Above $12.50 Confirms a bottomIn lieu of such price action, we retain the ability to make one more low. In the very short term and observing the micro price action $11.79 could extend our black wave (iv) but above $11.93 with price action to get above $12.50 and I start to lean on the purple count.
Best to all,
Chris
SOL/USDT – Double Zigzag Completed! Is a Bullish Reversal Next?Solana (SOL) has likely completed a Double Zigzag (WXY) correction, with Wave C of Y bottoming at $130.60 (1.0 Fibonacci extension). This suggests a potential trend reversal, but SOL must first break key resistance at $146-$150 to confirm a bullish move.
🔹 Elliott Wave Analysis & Bullish Scenario
If the Double Zigzag correction is complete, SOL could begin a new impulse wave, targeting:
✅ $169-$173 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement, previous Wave B resistance)
✅ $180-$195 (0.382 Fib & major supply zone)
✅ $220+ (Wave 3 extension target)
🔻 Bearish Scenario – Extended Correction?
If SOL fails to break $150, it could indicate that the correction is not yet over, leading to:
❌ Retesting $130 support
❌ Possible extended correction towards $113-$100 (1.272 Fib extension)
📌 Key Level to Watch:
🔹 A break & close above $150 signals bullish continuation.
🔹 A rejection could mean further downside.
📊 Is SOL ready for a breakout, or will we see another leg down? Share your thoughts below! 👇🔥
BTC, last Chance in this bull market?Hello everyone,
the market was very challenging within the last weeks, because there had been many ways to count, which is the most difficult part of elliot wave analysis. The reason was, that the price was in a correction/ consolidation, which I assume has now finally ended. Trump accounced that they picket 5 coins for the strategic reserve:
BTC
ETH
XRP
SOL
ADA
This aligns very well to what people have waited for. If you believe in a finall bull run, these 5 could be part of your portfolio. I would also recommend to have a look at LINK and LTC, as they are performing quiet well.
EUR/USD: Is History Repeating? Key Levels to Watch NowHey Realistic Traders, Will FX:EURUSD Repeat its Bearish Cycle? Let’s dive into the analysis...
On the H4 chart, EUR/USD is trading below the 200-day EMA once again, signaling that the bearish trend is still in play. This downward movement has been reinforced by a rising wedge breakout, a common pattern that often leads to further declines.
Just a few days ago, we spotted a similar bearish breakout in FX:EURUSD , which resulted in a continued drop. As traders, we follow the Dow Theory principle: "History Repeats Itself ." Based on this idea, we expect the price to follow the same pattern, keeping the bearish momentum intact.
Looking ahead, EUR/USD could move lower toward the first target at 1.02861 and, if selling pressure continues, potentially reach the second target at 1.02205. These targets are based on previous price movements and key historical support levels.
However, this bearish scenario depends on the price staying below the critical stop-loss level at Stop Loss 1.05039
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Disclaimer: “Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on FX:EURUSD ”.