Bitcoin Holds Support After US CPI PrintThe US dollar is showing a notable downturn after today's CPI figures were released at 3.4%, down from the previous 3.5%. This reinforces market sentiment that the Fed is unlikely to hike rates, especially after comments made by Powell yesterday. This scenario supports a risk-on environment, especially considering the bearish Elliott Wave structure in the US yields, suggesting further declines. This backdrop implies that other assets could rally. For instance, Bitcoin has seen a significant bounce, finding support at crucial trend lines, and can be poised for higher levels if HS neckline near 66k is broken . Similarly, Nvidia and silver also show potential for gains in the coming weeks.
However, building intraday trades at this juncture can be challenging due to potential setbacks before the market continues in the direction of dollar weakness.
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Grega
Elliotwaveanalysis
Nothing!!!Hi.
➡️ the odds of another bullish Movement is Pretty high because the pattern which PEPE is in, Is a Bullish wedge Pattern! Since The break out has not happened, there is no confirmation of a Bullish Movement But If It happens....
✅ Due to the Ascending structure of the chart...
🟢 The odds of another Bullish Movement is High!
🟢 Bullish wedge is Visible on The chart!
🟢 No break out yet!
✨Targets are:
🎯$0.00000769
🎯$0.00000893
🎯$0.00001025
❗ Note that if the WEDGE is broken down with the power of descending candles, our analysis will fail.
Stay awesome my friends.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Big Wave 3 is Start From HereThree reasons in one point
- Harmonic Pattern
- Wave C is end and we are waiting Down impulse wave end in same point
- we touch up Trendline 3D frame
please check invalid point, invalid point is down wave 2 3D
Good luck 😉
USDCAD bullish limitABC correction of recent downtrend in progress. Current bullishtrend should reach at least 37.6k.
A from ABC correction hits double top. This is for better structure.
Triangles show resistance and weaknesses of chart progression. The current triangle should be repelling it, making chart go more directly toward objective.
The w to z waves are to identify a relative impulse. It is just for guide.
BTC simple chart analysis: price limitAfter seven bullish minor waves in H4 t.f., later on chart reached 65.5k with a HH shadow that hits 300% of previous candle putting fibo. inside of it, on coordinates 64500 and 64k. The red parallel channel shows where chart feel atracted. Combining this aspects I can assume chart will go bearish for the moment. Later on, it should reach 57k at least, completing volume correction. Then, it can go up if corrections are needed.
Gold analysis for 13/05/24 & 14/05/24According to my analysis and according to what you taught me, Tamas :
Scenario 1 :
If CPI comes negative on Wednesday, it could lead to deflation concerns, which might prompt the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates to stimulate economic activity and prevent deflationary pressures. A negative CPI could indicate a decrease in the general price level of goods and services, potentially signaling weak demand or economic contraction
A decision by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates could weaken the dollar, as lower interest rates typically make a currency less attractive to investors seeking higher yields. This could lead to a depreciation of the dollar index, which measures the value of the dollar against a basket of other currencies
Gold prices may rise in response to a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Lower interest rates typically decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets like gold, making it more attractive to investors. Additionally, concerns about inflation and currency depreciation amid monetary easing measures could further support gold prices , Gold may Target 2394-2400
Scenario 2:
A positive CPI indicates an increase in the general price level of goods and services, suggesting inflationary pressures. This could lead to concerns about the purchasing power of the currency and potential future interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to curb inflation
If the PPI also shows an increase on Tuesday, it could reinforce inflationary expectations, indicating rising costs for producers. This might further support the case for potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to address inflationary pressures
Technical Analysis :
We're currently in Correction Wave , and Expecting Price to Pump for Gold target 2394-2401
Advice : please always use a propre risk management this is my analyse and good luck
Make sure if you like my Analysis to boost up my post and Comment
XAU/USD - Forecast & Roadmap (26-APR-24)Could we reach 2450-2460 by the end of this year? Keep an eye on this possibility, especially within the 2230-2240 zone
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Hello Everyone ! I hope you all are doing great today. In my view, currently we are in a Bigger Corrective Structure now.
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To avoid guessing and confusion, I suggest that you only take trades within this highlighted zone .
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I hope my forecast can provide easy understanding. Remember, the trend is your friend, so keep it simple
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Trade With Care,
WAVE HUB FX
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Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
Mode(MODE)===>>🚀➕10%-➕15%🚀📊The MODE token has been listed on some exchanges for less than 24 hours.
📚 What Is Mode (MODE)?
🔸 Mode is a Modular DeFi L2, built using the OP Stack and part of the Optimism Superchain. Mode launched their mainnet in January 2024.
🔸 MODE is the native utility token that is used for governance
🌐 Mode Network Initiates 550 Million Crypto Airdrop on Optimism .
💡 MODE was able to break the Downtrend line by breakout candle .
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , MODE completed Zigzag(ABC) correction on 🟢 Support zone 🟢.
🔔I expect MODE to start rising again( ➕10%-➕15% ).
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Mode Analyze (MODEUSDT), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GBPJPY starting the wave 5 ?www.tradingview.com
Elliott Wave Analysis: GBP/JPY on 8H Chart
Wave 1: Initiated at 188.661, marking the start of an impulsive bullish wave.
Wave 2: A correction to 178.480, representing a natural retracement after the initial surge.
Wave 3: Ascended to 200.398, typically the longest and most robust wave in an Elliott Wave sequence.
Wave 4: A minor correction to 191.433, setting the stage for the final leg up.
Wave 5: Currently underway, with potential targets at 200.013 or the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at 208.595.
The completion of Wave 5 would mark the end of the current bullish cycle, after which a larger degree correction could be anticipated
Nvidia's on the clockIs it possible Nvidia can muster the strength to get my final higher target of $927?
Possibly.
But time is running out for the chip/GPU maker. A breach of the $880 level makes that highly unlikely, and that could be our initial sign we're now headed to the $700 area. Nonetheless, even if we do manage to get that OMH (One More High)...I still have price visiting the $700 area or lower.
Best to all,
Chris
Gold analyse 08/05/2024
OANDA:XAUUSD
1/ US Fed's Interest Rate Stance: Neal Kashkari's remarks on maintaining a high interest rate amidst rising inflation could bolster the US dollar
2/ Middle East Tensions: Israel's limited operation in Rafah has stalled the upward momentum of gold prices, indicating a temporary halt in geopolitical concerns
3/ Impact of Interest Rate Uncertainty: Gold prices decline amid uncertainty about central banks' plans to reduce interest rates, with the rise of the dollar further contributing to gold's fall
4/ Global Debt Levels: Record-high global debt levels reaching $315 trillion could potentially raise concerns about economic stability, prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold
5/ Central Banks' Gold Purchases: The substantial increase in gold purchases by global central banks, exceeding 1,000 tons in a year, suggests a hedging strategy amid economic uncertainties, potentially reflecting concerns about currency stability
6/ Perception of Central Banks' Confidence: The significant gold acquisitions by central banks could indicate a loss of confidence in traditional currencies, prompting investors to reevaluate their portfolios
Honestly, I don't feel like explaining, the chart says it all !Hi.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
✅Today, I want to analyze BTC for you in a 9h time frame so that we can have a short-term view of BTC regarding the technical analysis. (Please ✌️respectfully✌️share if you have a different opinion from me or other analysts).
✨After the fifth bullish wave, BITCOIN has completed his corrective waves (ABC) and now he has reached the Bottom of the wedge, now it is time to start the five bullish waves, and BTC is in the Megaphone,and now finished first wave.
✅ Due to the Ascending structure of the chart...
🟢 High potential areas are clear in the chart.
🟢 Bullish Wedge.
🟢 Ascending Triangle
🟢 Starting 5th waves.and now finished first wave.
❗ Note that if the WEDGE is broken down with the power of descending candles, our analysis will fail.
Stay awesome my friends.
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
🚧Bitcoin Needs Correction🚧✅ Bitcoin moved as I expected in the previous post .
💡Currently, Bitcoin has reacted well to the 🔴 Resistance zone($65,650-$64,200) 🔴.
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in completing 5 impulse waves and now we have to wait for corrective waves .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
📈According to Classical Technical Analysis , Bitcoin can also form the Head and Shoulders Pattern .
🔔I expect Bitcoin to fall after breaking the Uptrend line , at least to the first 🎯 Target 🎯 I specified on the chart.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: If Bitcoin can break the 🔴 Resistance zone($65,650-$64,200) 🔴, the scenario will be changed.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
CRWD Elliot Wave AnalysisCRWD Crowdstrike Elliot Wave.
It's somewhat unorthodox as this stock is bullish with a lot of buying pressure. Less choppy than the broader market.
This has large upside as Wave 3 has just broken out and can swing to the upside.
Disclaimer: Do not invest money you can not afford to lose, not investment advise. I do not have a position.
Nvidia Elliot Wave AnalysisNvidia on hourly candles respecting elliot impulse wave pattern for year 2024. Wave 2 was a classic 3 wave elliot correction wave pattern. This then breaks into wave 3 and is respecting a very tight channel upwards. Expecting 1000+, back to 900s, then price target of 1100+ post July.
Heavy chop in wave 3 due to broader market uncertainties and pressures. This stock trades with higher volatilities than others with its market cap. Trade weeklies with caution.
Good long if you're 1yr+ long or 6M+ long option calls.
My personal take: Nvidia will be the world's first 10T dollar company by 2027 and will be the world's most powerful and sought after company. Their technologies will ensure continued world peace (including in taiwan) and will be an industry leader for the next quarter century.
Only invest money you can afford to lose, not investment advice. Goodluck everyone.
*disclaimer: I have a May 17 955C position.
Long term NIFTY wave counts - potential downside ahead!I was reviewing long term EW counts of NSE:NIFTY and here is what I think. Overall, I can see potential 2 alternatives and have highlighted them in blue and red respectively. This is a monthly chart.
Blue Alternative
Let's start with blue counts first. Larger degree wave 1 (marked by square blue box) which started from Covid lows of March 2020, ended in October 2021. Wave 1 is the same for both blue and red alternatives since there is no confusion till that point. But from that point onward, things change. I have marked the correction in larger degree wave 2 (marked by square blue box) as a W-X-Y correction which ended in March 2023. From there, I am assuming a larger degree wave 3 started.
Within the larger degree wave 3, we seem to be near completion of the minor degree wave (i) of larger degree wave 3. This is marked in black since wave (i) of 3 in the red alternative also ends at the same point even though counts for the red alternative are different.
We can see the red bar forming for this month but this is too early to say if we'll get a negative close for this month. However, wave v of (i) has an ending diagonal look (more clearly visible in lower timeframes). Plus, we can see massive negative divergences in RSI and momentum oscillator which suggests that a correction is due. Make no mistake - correction will occur soon. If not this month, then maybe next month.
For the uninitiated, ending diagonal (ED) is typically the last leg of a move. In this case, it should be signaling the ending of wave (i) of 3.
Now, before we come to the size of the correction, let's take a look at the red alternative.
Red Alternative
Larger degree wave 1 remains the same in red alternative as mentioned earlier. However, in this alternative, larger degree wave 2 (marked by square red box) ended in June 2023 followed by immediate start of larger degree wave 3. In this alternative, we are taking all follow-up moves as i-ii-i-ii-iii-iv-iii-iv-v.
Don't worry about this count, just understand that this move (first leg (i) of larger degree wave 3 ) also seems to be ending exactly where blue wave count suggests, i.e. possibly this month end or next. I can't confirm now since this month's candle is still forming.
Conclusion
Both wave counts suggest that minor degree wave " (ii) of 3 " (marked in black on the right most part of the chart) should begin soon, if not already started.
Finally, coming to the size of this move, if we go by blue alternative, 38.2% retracement level is around 20500 and 50% is around 19800.
And if we go by the red alternative then 50% retracement is around 19000, 61.8% is around 18100. At the minimum, I would expect 19200-19500 levels (38.2% retracement) if the red alternative is in play.
So which one is going to happen? To be honest, I have no idea but we can go with the least of both alternatives at a tentative level and refine as the move evolves. That gives us 19800 which is still more than 2000 points correction from current levels.
20 month moving average is currently at 19675, and rising. This potentially makes 19800 a viable target in a month or two.
Happy (wave) counting ;-)
USDT.DUSDT Dominance has apparently completed its downward movement in the 4-hour time frame.. which has been completed in the form of an impulse that can be considered wave A or 1.. which of course we have named wave A for now..
In the following, an upward phase can be completed in the form of wave B. Based on this, we can expect growth up to 5% and even higher levels. Time 4 hours..