📍Part 3. Motive Waves - Leading & Ending Diagonals.👩🏻💻Welcome to the 3nd lecture on Elliott Waves!
➡️In this lecture, I will talk about the Leading and Ending diagonals as the primary and most common variations of impulsive waves. We will also touch on the Expanding diagonal, which occurs significantly less frequently. Earlier, we covered the general concept of impulse and its structure. Now, I will specifically discuss the variations of impulses and, namely, for waves "1", "5", as well as corrective waves "A" and "C".
➡️Let's start with variations for the first wave in the impulse and correction. This is the Leading diagonal. This structure may remind you of an ascending triangle, and essentially, that's what it is. The first wave itself implies that before this, we were moving in the opposite direction. So, if wave 1 is ascending, it means there was a certain descending movement before it. And it's obvious that in this descending movement, sales prevailed. Thus, reversing the price in the opposite direction may not be so easy. In such cases, when it's not easy, we get not a sharp 5-wave impulse but a Leading diagonal, where conditional buyers, as it were, chew their way upwards.
➡️Next, of course, there is correction and further growth. The Leading diagonal can also be encountered in wave a of correction "ABC". And here, the logic remains the same since the correction goes in the opposite direction of the trend; we have significant support for demand. In our example, this is an ascending trend. Therefore, we don't get a sharp impulse, but gradually, and squeezing, which forms the structure of the Leading diagonal.
➡️As you already understand, waves "2" or "4" also have a correctional structure "ABC", where "A" can also be a Leading diagonal. And then, you can encounter the Leading diagonal in wave "1" and in wave "A", and since they reverse the direction of movement, the structure is not formed like a sharp impulse but more like an ascending triangle in the case of wave "1" and a descending triangle in the case of corrective wave "A".
➡️Moving on to the Ending diagonals. You can get them in wave "5" and wave c in the corrective structure "ABC". Here the principle is similar, as you might have guessed, to the case of wave "5". We see how the ascending movement fades, as if the buyers no longer have the strength to move the price, impulsively upwards, I remind you, we are considering an example of an ascending trend movement.
➡️You can encounter the Ending diagonal in wave "5" and wave "C". It turns out everything is quite logical and simple. Wave "1" starts the impulse, and wave "A" starts the correction. Wave "1" starts the impulse, and wave "A" starts the correction. In turn, wave "5" completes the impulse, and wave "C" completes the correction.
➡️Well, now we need to understand the rules for the Leading and Ending diagonals to determine them correctly.
➡️Now let's look at the rules separately for Contracting diagonals!
📍 Rules 📍
📍In the contracting variety, wave "3" is always shorter than wave "1", wave "4" is always shorter than wave "2", and wave "5" is always shorter than wave "3" (1 > 3 > 5 and 2 > 4).
📍Going forward in time, a line connecting the ends of waves 2 and 4 converges towards with the line connecting the ends of waves "1" and "3".
📍 Guidelines 📍
📍In the contracting variety, wave "5" ends beyond the end of wave "3" (only for the Leading diagonals).
📍In the contracting variety, wave "5" ends beyond the end of wave "3" or does not reach the end of wave "3": truncation (only for the Ending diagonals).
📍In the contracting variety, wave "5" usually ends at or slightly beyond a line that connects the ends of waves "1" and "3" (Ending beyond that line is called a throw-over).
📣This concludes the lecture on impulse waves. Save the images and practice.
Next week I'll talking about the Corrective Waves - Simple - Sharp Corrections.
🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
Elliotwaveanalysis
Multi timeframe analysis weekly to 5 minutesMulti timeframe analysis weekly to 5 minutes
Analysis is based on Ichimoku, and Elliot waves. Confirmation is done by other indicators such as MACD, stochastic RSI, OBV, and RedK Everex.
Watch the video idea to have the full picture of the stock under analysis.
watch the video for more details
Disclaimer:
The Content is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.
There are risks associated with investing in stocks, and might involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Investors should note that past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. The investment value may be affected by market fluctuations.
The stocks mentioned here are not equivalent to, nor should it be treated as a substitute for, time deposit or any other form of saving deposits.
Investment in the securities of smaller companies can involve greater risk than is generally associated with investment in larger, more established companies that can result in significant capital losses.
Multi timeframe analysis weekly to 5 minutesAnalysis is based on Ichimoku, and Elliot waves. Confirmation is done by other indicators such as MACD, stochastic RSI, OBV, and RedK Everex. HeatMap & Stock screener are presented.
Watch the video idea to have the full picture of the stock under analysis.
watch the video for more details
Disclaimer:
The Content is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.
There are risks associated with investing in stocks, and might involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Investors should note that past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. The investment value may be affected by market fluctuations.
The stocks mentioned here are not equivalent to, nor should it be treated as a substitute for, time deposit or any other form of saving deposits.
Investment in the securities of smaller companies can involve greater risk than is generally associated with investment in larger, more established companies that can result in significant capital losses.
RIPPLE (XRP): Daily Chart | Technical AnalysisHi Traders!
XRP Coin has not yet experienced the splendor like other Cryptocurrencies, and this is certainly one of the reasons why we are following Ripple, the second reason, and maybe the most important one, is attributable to the technical structure on the daily chart. A few weeks ago we published a potential bullish harmonic structure on the 8H chart (see chart below) which currently still remains valid. At the same time, we have been looking for potential support and resistance areas (0.51 and 0.72), so we cannot yet rule out a bearish consolidation in the near term, but if this happens it should be considered an opportunity to add long positions. As we have already said in the previous analysis, we have two bullish Targets, but certainly the 1.40 area should be reached in the medium term. From our point of view, the bullish reaction from the previous bottom is not impulsive, it looks much more like a corrective structure (ABC for example), so further updates will be necessary. That said, help us reach at least 50 Likes so we can feel free to post new updates as soon as possible below.
In conclusion, the best strategy for Day Traders is very simple, buy, buy and... buy on depth!
🔴 HARMONIC STRUCTURE ANALYSIS:
(Click on Chart below)
Trade with care
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BTC Correction- 1st PhaseSimple Wave Analysis
This is a clear indication of a 3-3-5 Wave. Specifically a Expanding Flat Wave.
These waves are notorious for trapping traders and this one is a massive one.
When the Impulse wave ended at approx. 47k. The 1st WAVE A of the 3-3-5 Expanding Flat Wave began. We got 3 waves down to support line 38.5k. Then WAVE B (which is the extended wave ran up to 51.3k. We know this is an extended wave because it retrace to 1.618 Fib of WAVE A. This marks the broadening top we see right now. From here (and by RULE) Wave C must be a 5 wave way correction downside that extends past the bottom of WAVE A. This means price action will have to go AT A MINIMUM BELOW 38.5k.
It is my opinion that this 1st 5 wave is just the start of a bigger 5-3-5 wave. Meaning this leg will take us down below 38.5K (maybe further).. there will be a temp retracement upside and then a potentially bigger downward correction to possible finish and find the bottom. This correction will be big, but it will give many the opportunity to get back into BTC at a lower price.
The Bitcoin ETF was IMO a way of getting the masses into BTC on hype- directly at the top of this correction, only to have their investments wiped. The best bet is to hold if you have physical BTC. Its going to be a wild ride down, but hopefully this will help inform many. The BULL RUN is clearly over.
GOLD, 2088 should be holding for the momentHello everyone,
price action in Gold continues to be very strange and we saw a significant move to the upside after a bear trap formed below 2000. The move went directly to the 2088 resistance (and orderblock) and a correction from the local overbought conditions is likely.
The elliot wave count at this stage is very unclear, but I left my count on the chart. It's still possible to break down again towards lower price targets in the 19xx area. At this moment it's not clear at all for me.
I would like to see your comments and wave counts below, so feel free to share.
NASDAQ, expect a top to be built at 18kHello everyone,
I've been watching NASDAQ closely as I expect to end an elliot wave count around the 18k area.
If the level will be reached soon the chance for a correctional move is high, where we could anticipate in.
To make it short, the psychological level of 18.000 will be very interesting, but there is also the channel trendline above, that should form strong resistance. I usually work with several positions, the cyan tringle area will be used for shorting.
I will keep you updated about further actions.
EURUSD: Rebound in short term?Hi Traders!
During yesterday’s session we saw strong bearish pressure on the EURUSD pair in stark contrast to our view. Having said that, the trend has returned bearish on the intraday chart, but during today’s session we do not rule out a reversal or at least a technical bounce, let’s see what will happen during the last weekly session.
If this does not happen during today's session, the bullish movement will most likely appear during the first half of next week. Continue to follow us and support our ideas for new updates.
Trade with care
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GBPUSD | Intraday Analysis: New Top is coming?Hi Traders!
From a technical point of view, the trend is still bullish on the intraday chart and the pair should trigger a new Top in the short term. Having said that, it is currently unclear how GBPUSD will develop the next swing, it could be an ABC or ABCDE Pattern as shown on chart. Most likely, tomorrow's session will be our main driver.
Trade with care
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When will bullish trend of Solana end ?(Price and time analysis)Hello everyone, I hope you're all doing well.
It seems that SOL has completed five waves and is now likely to undergo a corrective wave of three. Negative divergence between waves 4 and 5 in RSI or MACD is often a sign of the end of wave 5.
Keep in mind that both FVGs have filled out the weekly important points.
I don't recommend taking positions, but if you intend to, remember to manage your capital and risk properly without forgetting about rewards.
(Because Solana is very Savage.)
Time analysis:
In the Solana dominance chart, two days are significant:
- Today, which we witnessed the decline, and the next day, Thursday, March 28th, where there's a possibility of significant media news within this time frame, such as the sale of assets by the FTX exchange.
- The last day is April 13th.
In summary, be cautious with your positions over these 25 days.
P.S : The SOL.D chart is for yesterday.
I suggest you thoroughly read the analyses linked below:
USDT.D
BTC.D
BTCUSDT
I'd be happy to share your opinion with me. Your likes, follows, and comments give me energy.
The RSI indicator also suggests a complete cycle.
After starting from a small uptrend channel, it's currently completing an Elliott Wave cycle.
....
CAD/JPY: corrective structure in play?Hi Traders!
Important Tops were reached in the short term and we cannot exclude the completion of the bullish cycle, having said this, it could be interesting to continue following the pair on the intraday chart, because something like a corrective structure seems to appear. As we showed on the 1H chart, if there is a deep pullback or if the bearish corrective structure is close to completion, the technical target still remains bullish, around 111.25. In conclusion, we can consider this phase as a consolidation of the ongoing bullish trend.
Trade with care
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ARM - Momentum trade SMCI set some wild fire across all Semi-names. There will many sympathy plays across this sector this week, IMO.
I caught the ARM Short squeeze last week from 120 to 160. and I got few more commons when it dipped.
Below is the trade plan for commons, If you are trading options, have a tight stop loss.
Long between 137-145
Stop Loss - 130
Target #1 154
Target #2 172
Target #3 186, after a pullback.
📍Part #2, Elliott Waves: "Motive Waves - Impulse".👩🏻💻 Welcome to the 2nd lecture on Elliott Waves.
So, Elliott Wave Theory suggests that price behavior follows a wave structure, with three waves being impulse waves and 2 being corrective waves. It can be said that these 5 waves look like the image above.
➡️For example, let's take an upward impulse, where the impulse refers to all these five waves. We observe the first wave of growth, then the second wave is corrective to the first, meaning the second wave is specifically a correction for the first wave. Next, the third wave is a growth wave, the fourth is corrective for the third, and the fifth wave concludes the impulse. Following the completion of the impulse or the five-wave sequence, a correction occurs in the form of A, B, C.
➡️This entire structure is fractal, meaning that if our upward impulse has three waves, and they are also impulse waves, such as the first, third, and fifth, and as impulse waves, as we already know, consist of five waves, then each impulse within this larger five-wave sequence has the same structure of five waves. Furthermore, in the correction A, B, C, waves A and C also have a five-wave structure, but more on that in the next lessons.
➡️If you ask about the timeframes to work with waves, I would say that the 1-hour timeframe is the threshold below which it is not recommended to consider the structure!
Next, I will describe the basic rules and regulations concerning impulses in the form of pictures, which are convenient to save and use as a hint when analyzing charts.
➡️Now let's consider some rules that are mandatory for all impulse movements.
Rules
An impulse always subdivides into five waves.
Strong guidelines
📍Wave A almost always will alternate with wave B. Alternation can be expressed in two ways:
1) In the type of correction: sharp/sideways or vice versa
2) In the presence of extension: in waves 2 and 4 of the impulse, two sideways patterns are possible, but only one of them will have an extreme beyond the peak of the previous wave.
📍Wave 4, as a rule, significantly violates the channel formed by the subwaves of wave 3.
📍As a strong norm, no part of wave 4 should enter the price territory of wave 1 or 2.
📍As a strong norm, the peak of wave 4 should not extend beyond the doubled channel constructed from the peaks of waves 1, 2, and 3, while the midline of the channel will serve as the minimum achievable target.
📍Second waves of impulses tend to go beyond the previous fourth wave. When using this norm, the previous fourth wave serves as the minimum target.
📍Sometimes wave 5 does not move beyond the end of wave 3 (in which case it is called a truncation).
📍Often, waves 1 and 5 of the impulse form impulses, but more often they alternate in the type of motive waves: if wave 1 is an impulse, expect wave 5 in the form of a diagonal, and vice versa. Less commonly, waves 1 and 5 form diagonals, but in this case, alternation will be expressed in the form of a pattern: contracting/expanding.
So there are also many other lesser indications, but they are too numerous and less frequent.
Therefore, I recommend that we focus on the main ones for the time being.
📣This concludes the lecture on impulse waves. Save the images and practice.
Next week I'll start talking about the Leading and Ending diagonals.
🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
Ethereum domain map 2 This is now the general direction of the Bitcoin Ether chart, and when it reaches the shaded area below, it will head again to test the historical top in the shaded area above.
Note: This is a weekly chart, which means it will take some time to fall to the shaded area below, and the average time to rise again to test the shaded area above.
If this chart and dozens of other successful analyzes on my page helped you, please like and comment
Compass Pathways Wave Analysis: Huge Moves aheadCompass Pathways appears to have completed an impulsive 5-wave move to the upside, signaling significant strength in its recent price action. The peak of this move, reaching $12.75, is notably identified as the B wave within an extended flat correction, potentially forming part of a larger 5-wave pattern.
In anticipation of a corrective phase, I anticipate a retracement towards the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci ratio. This level coincides with a point of demand established in May 2022, which has historically served as a robust support level. Therefore, I am targeting a correction to the range of $6.86-7.06, presenting a compelling buying opportunity. This represents a potential decrease of approximately 30.7% to 29.1% from the current price of $9.90.
Looking ahead, my projections for subsequent waves are as follows:
Low: $21.07 (+112.8%)
Medium: $29.68 (+199.8%)
High: $41.80 (+322.2%)
Moonshot: $120 (+1,111.1%)
It's essential to note that the realization of these targets will be contingent upon the outcome of Compass Pathways' significant psilocybin phase 3 trial, slated for release by year-end. Regardless of the trial's results, I anticipate a substantial increase in price leading up to the release date, driven by market anticipation and sentiment.
In summary, while Compass Pathways demonstrates considerable strength in its recent price movements, caution is advised as the stock may undergo a corrective phase towards identified support levels before potentially resuming its upward trajectory, influenced by the impending trial results.
Are MEME Coins getting oversold ?The recent rally has come to an end as you all can see but is this a buying opportunity or a sign of things to come?
Key points:
]MEME coins are experiencing a pullback. This could last days or even weeks. Coming price action will tell.
Fibonacci levels (100%, 127.2% , 161.8%) could be potential entry points. These levels represent historical support areas where the price might bounce if we are in fact in a 3 wave Flat correction.
The long-term trend might still be bullish. This pullback could be a healthy correction within a larger uptrend.
I'm waiting for a LOW RISK buy point. This means waiting for the price to reach these key Fibonacci levels before even considering entry.
Be cautious! The high volatility in MEME coins is extremely risky and could wipe out your account in minutes . Don't jump in blindly, wait for a good low risk entry point !!
What do you think? Is this a buying opportunity for MEME coins or a sign of a larger correction? Let me know your thoughts!
MTF analysis weekly to 5MMTF analysis weekly to 5M
using VWAP 1-5M
Ichimoku & Elliot MTF
Ending Elliot correction wave B heading to C
Ichimoku positive outlook for same day & T+1
watch the video for more details
Disclaimer:
The Content is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.
There are risks associated with investing in stocks, and might involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Investors should note that past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. The investment value may be affected by market fluctuations.
The stocks mentioned here are not equivalent to, nor should it be treated as a substitute for, time deposit or any other form of savings deposit.
Investment in the securities of smaller companies can involve greater risk than is generally associated with investment in larger, more established companies that can result in significant capital losses.
How to trade LUNRLUNR, now at 5.9 on March-15-2024 :
As per key observation of US stocks, Per EW there is high chance of retracing till 0.236
and the same happened in LUNR also.
Strategy in investing in LUNR is simple.
Invest little
Keep strict stoploss at 5
Accumulate on miving higher levels at 6.61, 7.88, 9.14
uptrend confirmation at 13.25
Thereafter target prices to watch --> 15.8, 17.36, 18.63, 19.9
Expected gains from cmp --> 237%
FYI, i have invested and will hold for longterm of atleast 1 year