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Elliotwaveanalysis

Cryptocurrencies Making Deeper PullbackHey traders! The US dollar is advancing, make cryptocurrencies weak as stocks market turns south ahead of key economic data from the US. As you know, the Fed will release its latest decision on interest rate policy today, and there is increasing speculation that they will maintain their current stance for a longer period. This anticipation is driving the US dollar higher while stocks are declining, and cryptocurrencies are also turning to the downside. Looking at the total market cap, we are observing a potential breakout from the wave B triangle, after only a three-wave rise from the April 13th lows, indicating a correction, ideally it represented subwave (C) within a triangle. If our analysis is correct, then current thrust out of the triangle could still be representing the final leg of this whole correction from March. However, there is still room to drop even to 1.9 trillion before potential support is found. A reversal and a significant bounce back to 1.23 trillion would be necessary for bulls to wake up, which is crucial if you are a short-term trader.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by ew-forecast
3
BTC Update leading diagonal 5-3-5-3-5The leading diagonal pattern is very similar to the ending one. It consists of five sub-waves, labeled 1-2-3-4-5. Its first wave is usually the longest, while the third wave cannot be the shortest among waves 1, 3 and 5, and waves 2 and 4 are always corrective. Waves 1 and 4 should overlap. There are, however, few notable exceptions. First, leading diagonals occur in the position of the first wave within a regular five-wave impulse or in the position of wave A of a simple zig-zag correction. Second, unlike ending diagonals, where each of the five waves is corrective in nature, the structure of the three motive waves of the leading diagonal – 1, 3 and 5 – can be corrective as well as impulsive.
by GuruWaveAnalysis
Where does the Bitcoin downtrend continue to?Hello dear friends, I hope you're doing well. Before delving into Solana and Bitcoin analysis, let me reiterate two important points for newcomers and myself: 1. If you haven't profited from market dips or experienced severe liquidation, take a few days off from the market. 2. Avoid entering the market for revenge, as emotional decisions could lead to further losses. As you can see, Bitcoin experienced an 18% drop from the $73,600 ceiling and reached a support level of $60,000. The question arises: Is the $60,000 range an attractive zone for market makers or major players? My answer is a resounding no, for several reasons. As I've mentioned before, the $60,000 range serves more as a psychological barrier than a significant support level. Market makers reinforce this range so you can comfortably take long positions at $20k, $40k, or $80k without worry, or even go full margin long. In my opinion, the $60,000 range is the biggest bull trap that market makers have set for us. Within less than a week before the halving, the $60,000 range has been strongly supported, but 8 to 10 days later, CZ's criminal sentencing area awaits us. Considering the current dominance of Tether and the breakdown of the rising wedge bearish pattern, we could look to open short positions in the $64,500 to 68,000$ range. The likelihood of this scenario playing out is very high. ------------- Here are the potential scenarios for Tether's dominance: 1. A move of 4.7%, breaking the resistance at 5% and reaching the 5.85 range, which is the channel's midpoint. 2. A correction to the 4.5 to 4.36% range to complete the upward pullback, followed by a move towards the 5.85 range, which is the channel's midpoint. Therefore, we conclude that Tether's dominance is very bullish. It's likely that the $60,000 support range will be broken, and the price will drop to $45,000 (the 5.85 USDT.D range). ------------- The Elliott Wave count I conducted in the previous analysis on the RSI indicator is nearing completion. Wave A has been completed. ------------- I'd be happy to share your opinion with me. Your likes, follows, and comments give me energy.
by Sadegh_Sh
10
Does Nvidia have the Strength to Get OMH in the target box?Nvidia has been weak as of the last month, after a major run-up in the stock. Since we have no catalysts on the short term horizon, I am forecasting a fall back towards $700. However, in the short term we can get as high as $927 before falling back towards my target of $700. To get this sort move in the stock I will remove the purple alternative path of the stock being in a wave 4, with a near term push into the $1,000 area. I will warn followers that my longer term target for Nvidia is closer to $400 as I am counting this as a cycle wave II decline. Best to all, Chris
NASDAQ:NVDA
by maikisch
The ultimate guide on Elliott waves in crypto tradingMost of you have probably heard about Elliott waves and we are sure that you don’t use it in cryptocurrency trading strategy because it’s very complicated and subjective approach. Crypto trading for beginners is very challenging and stressful even without Elliott waves. To be honest when we first time tried to implement it to my crypto trading strategies it was a complete disappointment. We were sure that it does not suit for both trading bot and manual trades. Elliott waves were thrown into a garbage bin for almost two years and we developed our crypto trading algorithm using only linear programming approaches. While we have been trying to invent the best automated trading bot using only indicators and support and resistance levels, best crypto traders have been successfully using Elliott waves in their analysis. Finally we make a decision to have a deep dive in this popular crypto trading tool and studied in details all available literature. As a result we found that Elliott waves will ruin your trading if you use it without special indicators for confirmation. Now we have 2 years of experience in trading with waves and almost one year ago we implemented them into our algorithmic trading bot. Today we prepared the best ultimate guide ever on Elliott waves using best practices and our unique experience how to use them in developing your own profitable crypto trading strategies. Let’s go! Why it’s vital to use Elliott waves? Before answer this question, let me ask another one! Why is important to use map to reach the final destination? I think here is the obvious answer! Talking about Elliott waves it’s almost the same reason. This is the only one approach which gives you a map for a price chart. I think you agree that technical indicators or support and resistance levels will not give you the answer which direction the price will choose. When you have, for example Stochastic Oscillator crossover or RSI oversold area hit you just open long because this is the most common strategy. You buy asset like a blind kitten. We are not criticize this approach, because using proper risk and money management you will earn with almost every strategy, but understanding the Elliott waves concept will dramatically increase your profit even if you combine them with your ordinary strategy. Why it’s happening? The answer is easy, because Elliott waves in the underlying structure of the market. You will be aware when you shall use your signals and when it’s better to skip trade. Now let’s dive into the Elliott waves to understand how to find them on the price chart. In the first part we will give you all needed theory and after that we will show in the real charts how it works. Elliott waves In general, Elliott waves concept is pretty easy. All markets are globally moving up with the five waves formations and then show the pullback with at the reactive waves. On the Bitcoin price chart above you can see the most common picture for Elliott waves. We had the bull run which consists of five waves and then was the bear market represented with the ABC correction. Waves can be divided into two groups: impulsive and reactive. On the bullish phase waves 1, 3 and 5 are impulsive, 2 and 4 reactive. Impulsive waves consists also with five sub waves, while reactive have usually three waves (exception the triangle correction, will be covered later). On the bearish phase we have the opposite situation: waves A and C are impulsive, while wave B is reactive. Now let’s discuss each wave in details. What will stop every wave in 90% of cases? Before we will observe the wave it’s very important to understand what are the early signs that current wave is about to be finished. This is really crucial concept because without it almost impossible to use Elliott waves for profitable trading. We need four tools to make sure that our counting is correct. In this article we will not spend to much time for these indicators, we just show you in practice how to use them. These tools are: Awesome Oscillator, Market Facilitation Index (MFI), Fibonacci retracement and extension and Fractals. These four indicators produce five wave’s end conditions. Divergence with Awesome Oscillator. If you found five sub waves inside any wave and you can see that price set the higher high (or lower low for bearish case), while AO set lower high (or higher low) it’s divergence between wave 3 and 5. This is the most powerful signal that trend is over. Fractal at the top or bottom. When you see the divergence it’s just the first sign of trend weakness, we need confirmation with the fractal forming at the top or bottom. You can easily find this indicator in TradingView, it will show you all fractals. MFI squat bar. We will cover MFI in one of the next educational articles, now you just need to know that it has squat state - the last battle between bulls and bears. One of the three top bars will be the squat in 80% of waves end. You can also find this indicator in TradingView. AO momentum change. Another one confirmation that trend is over is when AO histogram changes color. It’s better to wait three consecutive columns of the other color or when AO will cross back the signal line, 5 period MA of the AO. Target area. Using Fibonacci extension and retracement we can find the area where the reversal is the most likely. We will show you this targets when talking about waves. Now you know the five basic rules and we are ready to discuss every wave using this concept. Wave 1 When the previous trend is over the impulsive wave 1 begins. We can define the wave 1 start only establishing the previous wave end. It could be wave 5, C or E. It does not matter. You just need to apply our five rules: divergence, momentum change, target area, squat bar and fractal. On the chart you can see how in theory wave 1 can be looks like. Wave 1 always consists of five waves. That’s why we can wait for the same five rules to complete between wave 3 and 5 inside the wave 1. When you anticipate the wave 1 finish you have two options: close trade and re-enter at the wave 2 bottom or hold for the entire cycle. Wave 2 When wave 1 ends, you will see pull back in wave 2. It’s important to catch wave 2 bottom because wave 3 will bring you a lot of profit. Wave 2 can be classical ABC zigzag, flat or irregular correction. 70% probability it will be ended inside 0.38 and 0.62 Fibonacci retracement range of wave 1, in rare cases it can ends higher or lower. That’s why it’s better t count waves inside wave 2 and do not miss when all five trend killing conditions are met in wave C inside 2. Wave 3 The most impulsive wave in the entire cycle is obligatory for trading. Here you can have the less risky and the most easy trading. Wave 3 has the great fundamental factors as a price drivers. For example, Bitcoin spot ETF triggered a huge pump recently. Let’s imagine you correctly entered at the wave 2 end. Now we have to define wave 3 targets. The target area using fibonacci extension can be found between 1 and 1.61. This is the most likely case. In crypto it’s very often when waves 3 are extended. To have the most precise target it’s highly recommended to count waves inside wave 3. Found five waves? Check our favorite trend killing rules to exit a trade at the top. We know it sounds fantastic, but we managed to buy the exact bottom and sell at the top many times, but to be honest, we have never caught the top of the extended wave 3. Need more experience for that. Wave 4 Wave 4 can be the most complicated because it has a lot of different variants: zigzag, flat, irregular or even triangle. But at the same time in wave 4 we can have the easiest setup. When you predicted wave 3 top, it’s time to setup the target for the wave 4. The most reliable one is between 0.38 and 0.5. This wave is not so rapid as wave 2 and takes much more time (up to 70% of all cycle). The very important tip here is to look at the price where wave 4 inside wave 3 has been ended. If this level coincides with the 0.38-0.5 zone it can give you much more confidence. We have never made a mistake using this technique. As usual you have to look for the five trend killing rules in wave C inside wave 4 as well. Another one thing we want to point out. You know the axiom, that wave 4 has not overlap wave 1 top. This rule can be slightly violated and we will show you the case. Don’t pay attention that much to this rule. Wave 5 Finally we are in wave 5. This is really vital to define it’s top because bear market will follow this wave and can destroy your deposits. The target area for the wave 5 is defined as the distance between wave 1 bottom and wave 3 top, measured from wave 4 bottom. Area between 0.61 of this distance and 1 Fibonacci level is our target. There you have to find trend killing rules as usual but this time for all cycle, not subwaves. Corrections The most dangerous place for trading is the correction. From our experience only wave C in zigzag is tradable. You would better to skip corrections and try to catch it’s end. We have four types of corrections, but the most important knowledges is that wave C and E are always consists of five waves. It means you can use the rules how to catch wave 5 end inside these waves. Zigzag ABC. If wave A consists of 5 waves the most like we will see zigzag. Wait when wave B reach 0.5-0.61 Fibonacci of wave A and be ready to trade in wave C. Flat. Wave A has 5 waves inside. Waves A, B and C are almost equal to each other. Irregular. Wave B top is higher that the previous impulsive wave. Wave A consists of 3 waves. Triangle. Consists of A, B, C, D and E waves. Wave E consists of five waves. Usually occurs inside waves 4 and B of higher degree. Now you have a theoretical description. It’s time to trade!
Education
by Skyrexio
19
📍Part #7, Multiple Zigzag - Corrective Waves - Combined.👩🏻‍💻Hello! Dear colleagues, this is the 7th lesson on wave analysis and today we are going to look at Multiple Zigzag. We already know what a Zigzag is, so we will not look at this pattern for a long time, but just to clarify that Multiple Zigzag consists of several Zigzags. Let's get to the rules and guidelines! ✅ Rules ✅ 📍A Multiple Zigzag comprise two (or three) single zigzags separated by one (or two) corrective pattern(s) in the opposite direction, labeled "X". In the first case, it is called «double zigzag», in the second - «triple zigzag» (The first single zigzag is labeled "W", the second "Y", and the third, if there is one, "Z".) 📍Waves "W", "Y" and "Z" are always single zigzags. 📍Wave "X" never goes beyond the beginning of waves "W" and "Y". 📍Wave "Y" always ends past the end of the "W", and wave "Z", if any, always ends past the end of the "Y". 📍The first "X" wave always ends on the territory of the "W" wave, the second "X", if any, on the territory of the "Y" wave. 📍In a triple zigzag, the first "X" wave is always a zigzag, flat or combination. The second "X" wave is always a zigzag, flat, triangle or combination. 📍In a double zigzag, wave "X" is always a zigzag, flat, triangle, or combination. 📍Double and triple zigzags replace single zigzags, but cannot appear as "W", "Y", or "Z" waves. ✅ Guidelines ✅ 📍In a double zigzag, wave "Y" can equal wave "W", .618 wave "W", 1.618 wave "W", or terminate at a distance equal to 1.618 wave "W" past wave "W". In a triple zigzag, there can be equality among waves "W", "Y" and "Z", or wave "Z" can equal 1.618 wave "Y", 1.618 wave "Y", or terminate at a distance equal to 1.618 wave "Y", past wave "Y". In a triple zigzag, the Fibonacci relationships between waves "W" and "Y", would be the same as a double zigzag. 📍The Fibonacci relationships between waves "W" and "X" in a double zigzag, and waves "Y" and "XX" in a triple zigzag are analogous to the relationships between waves "A" and "B" in a single zigzag. 📍In a double zigzag, as a guideline, wave "b" of wave "Y" should not break the trendline that connects the beginning of wave "W" with the end of wave "X". 📍As a guideline, wave "X" (second wave "X" of the triple zigzag) of a double zigzag should break the trend channel formed by the first zigzag in wave "W" ("Y") and be greater than 80% of subwave "b" of wave "W" ("Y" and "Z"). 📍When a zigzag appears too small to be the entire wave with respect to the preceding wave (or, if it is to be wave "4", the preceding wave "2"), the complication of the structure to a multiple zigzag will probably follow. Thank you for your attention! There will be another lecture next week! Don't miss it! 🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
Education
by Hellena_Trade
SOLANA - $600 on the Cards?👀📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈 Solana has made some great increases, and it's retraced back to support levels. I've been bullish on Solana since the beginning of 2024, when SOL was still sub $100. Take a look here at other altcoins that we've been watching: By looking at the Drop-and-Pop fractal we've been watching, we can conclude that for the short term, the support zones should hold at $140, with wicks as low as $120. When incorporating this into Elliot Wave Theory, our next impulse up (wave 4-5) should take us to roughly $290. But it doesn't end there. When we zoom out, and view the chart from a macro perspective, we see a different structure of Elliot waves... We're possibly still in wave 0-1! And if we use the same Elliot wave ratios to calculate wave 5, (% of wave 1 OR 161.8 x wave 1 length) then wave 4-5 takes us even beyond $600. It's important to note though, that this is a multi-month and potentially multi-year target. Although SOL has previously increased 500% in a few weeks, the markets are more mature than they were in early days with many more adopters and institutional investors joining the game. If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates📢 👍Hit like & Follow 👍 CryptoCheck COINBASE:SOLUSDT BINANCE:SOLUSDT
Long
by CryptoCheck-
1
TRXUSDT | TFW Wave Analysis | Massive Bull Move +150% Price action and chart pattern trading setup: > A massive bullish wedge downtrend wave ready for bull rally + 150% upside (0.11+ USD)- strong dynamic SMA200W and wedge TRIPLE PIN BAR trendline support. > The key symmetrical resistance to breakout SMA200D and upper resistance 0.06 price if breakout successfully the next target at 0.07 and 0.09. > Indicator: both Money Flow and RSI bullish divergence in daily timeframe - strong signal for a possible upcoming reversal pattern.
Long
by dukeposh
3
DOGE - $0.30 Next Target, Elliot Waves📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈 Dogecoin was one of my TOP altcoins to watch for 2024. (Find the others here): The DOGE fractal I've been following has played out extremely well, and so I will continue to follow this fractal: Since we have now completed Elliot Wave 2-3, we are seeing the corrective phase of 3-4. This means we have yet another impulse wave upwards to look forward to after the correction is completed. Fibonacci Ratio is useful to measure the target of a wave’s move within an Elliott Wave structure. Different waves in an Elliott Wave structure relates to one another with Fibonacci Ratio. Fibonacci Ratio Relationship • Wave 2 is 50%, 61.8%, 76.4%, or 85.4% of wave 1 • Wave 3 is 161.8%, 200%, 261.8%, or 323.6% of wave 1-2 • Wave 4 is 14.6%, 23.6%, or 38.2% of wave 3 but no more than 50% • There are three different ways to measure wave 5. First, wave 5 is inverse 123.6 – 161.8% retracement of wave 4. Second, wave 5 is equal to wave 1. Third, wave 5 is 61.8% of wave 1-3 Therefore, if wave 3-4 does not retrace beyond wave 1 our next target price is around 0.33: The GOOD NEWS though, is that this could very well be a small part of a MARO cycle. I've previously explained that Elliot Waves can be like branches of broccoli - each wave makes up a part of a smaller or bigger wave, including ABC corrective waves in each impulse wave, as demonstrated by the front page chart. Previous DOGE idea where we first look at the fractal: If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates📢 👍Hit like & Follow 👍 CryptoCheck BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
Long
by CryptoCheck-
5
DOGEUSD | ABC Wave Cup Pattern - Target Projection +120%A potential ABC - Cup pattern formation scenario TFW - current multiple falsebreak below 161.8% extension - a sideway / sideway down movement implication > RSI convergence signal supporting wave 3 status > Projecting wave 4 at rounding cup support level, possible 20 week moving average and 100% fibonacci support zone. > Targeting wave 5 at 361.8% fibonacci extension of A wave at the key liquidity resistance level + 120% profit. Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss Goodluck
COINBASE:DOGEUSDLong
by dukeposh
1