Elliot wave corrective ABC Triangle pattern Wave A is an impulsive wave that 5 subdivisions. Wave B is an abcde triangle and each wave has 3 subdivisios. a-b of the triangle is connected by wxy (also has 3 subdivisions each).
Look at smaller time frame to see (and confirm structure). Currently looking out for wave d of the triangle (wave 1 of 3) to complete then followed wave e 3 waves in the opposite direction, before there can be any break-out.
This is only an idea not financial advice
Elliotwavecount
Elliott Wave Principles: A Study on US Dollar IndexHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the (DXY) US Dollar Index chart using Elliott Wave theory. Let's explore the possible Elliott Wave counts with wave Principles (Rules).
We've used the daily time frame chart here, which suggests that the primary cycle degree in Black weekly wave ((A)) and ((B)) waves have already occurred. Currently, wave ((C)) is in progress.
Within wave ((C)) in Black which are Weekly counts, Subdivisions are on daily time frame, showing Intermediate degree in blue wave (1) & (2) are finished and (3) is near to completion. Post wave (3), we can expect wave (4) up in Blue and then wave (5) down in Blue, marking the end of wave ((C)) in Black.
Additionally, within blue wave (3) Intermediate degree, we should see 5 subdivisions in red of Minor degree, which is clearly showing that waves 1 & 2 are done and now we are near to completion of wave 3 in Red. followed by waves 4 and 5, which will complete blue wave (3).
Key Points to Learn:
When applying Elliott Wave theory, it's essential to follow specific rules and principles. Here are three crucial ones:
1. Wave 2 Retracement Rule: Wave two will never retrace more than 100% of wave one.
2. Wave 3 Length Rule: Wave three will never be the shortest among waves 1, 3, and 5. It may be the largest most of the time, but never the shortest.
3. Wave 4 Overlap Rule: Wave four will never enter into the territory of wave one, meaning wave four will not overlap wave one, except in cases of diagonals or triangles.
Invalidation level is a level which is decided based on these Elliott wave Principles only, Once its triggered, then counts are Invalidated so we have to reassess the chart study and other possible counts are to be plotted
The entire wave count is clearly visible on the chart, and this is just one possible scenario. Please note that Elliott Wave theory involves multiple possibilities and uncertainties.
The analysis we've presented focuses on one particular scenario that seems potentially possible. However, it's essential to keep in mind that Elliott Wave counts can have multiple possibilities.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Russell 2000 - time to Buy pullbacks...Shorts were good while it lasted... looks like a good time to buy pullbacks.
It would be wise to wait for a clear 3 wave correction though.
Elliot Wave Analysis shows a larger degree wave IV was completed in March 2020.
Since then, the Russell 2000 has been nesting within a bullish rectangle chart pattern, possibly working its way up to the larger degree wave V.
Seasonality Chart shows a bullish April with a possible correction in May.
Nevertheless, I will not commit to long trades till the chart clearly shows that we are out of the woods. A clear 3 waves move down closer to 1800 in the hourly/4 hourly time frame would be a good setup.
Bitcoin Market Outlook Elliot Wave Theory (W42/2024) // AlgoFyreThe market shows a bullish scenario with potential for an impulse wave up after a correction, possibly surpassing the all-time high post-election. However, two bearish scenarios suggest a major drop to 20K in the long term, highlighting significant downside risk.
🟢 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bullish Scenario
🔸 Leading Diagonal (Green) Complete : The green lines on the chart represent the completion of the leading diagonal, which is the first wave of a larger impulse (wave 1). Leading diagonals often occur in the first wave of a new trend, indicating that a bullish trend is beginning. This is particularly important because it sets the foundation for a stronger upward movement that could follow after a corrective phase.
🔸 Corrective Phase (Red ABC) : After completing the first wave, we are now expecting a corrective structure. The red lines represent a potential ABC correction, a typical 3-wave corrective pattern in Elliott Wave theory. This correction could retrace some of the gains made in the leading diagonal, potentially finding support near key Fibonacci retracement levels (like the 0.25, 0.5, or 0.75 levels) drawn in orange on the chart.
🔸 Timing Around the US Election : The chart indicates that this ABC correction may take place leading into the US election, which is often a period of increased market uncertainty and volatility. It seems that the correction is expected to conclude before or around this event, setting the stage for the next major move.
🔸 Bullish Impulse (Wave 3) : After the correction, the chart projects a strong bullish impulse (the large green arrow), which would be the beginning of wave 3. In Elliott Wave theory, wave 3 is typically the most powerful and extended wave in an impulsive structure, often leading to significant gains. The breakout above previous highs around the 67,000-68,000 level (marked by the green wave 5 in the diagonal) would confirm the start of this impulsive wave, which could target much higher levels, possibly into the 70,000+ range.
🔸 Bullish Summary (TLDR):
The leading diagonal in green (wave 1) suggests that a new bullish cycle is underway.
We are currently expecting a 3-wave corrective move (ABC) before the next leg up.
The correction could end around key Fibonacci levels, potentially coinciding with the US election.
After the correction, a powerful wave 3 impulse is expected, likely driving prices significantly higher.
🔴 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bearish Scenario
🔸 Bigger ABC Correction : The market is in the midst of a larger corrective pattern. The current movement is within the B-wave of this ABC structure.
🔸 Flat Pattern for B-Wave : The B-wave is forming a flat correction, which typically indicates a sideways consolidation with a final leg up before a downward movement.
🔸 C-Wave to 52K Area : After completing the B-wave, we expect a C-wave to the downside, targeting around the 52K level. This drop represents the completion of the B-wave within the larger ABC pattern.
🔸 Larger C-Wave Up : Following this drop, the final C-wave to the upside is projected. While this wave could potentially retest or even exceed the all-time high (ATH), it's not guaranteed. The key idea is that a significant rally is expected after the corrective B-wave down.
🔸 Major Downtrend Next Year : After this anticipated rally, a substantial downtrend is expected in the following year, potentially driving the price down to 20K or lower.
🔸 Bearish Summary (TLDR):
Completing a B-wave flat correction within a larger ABC structure.
Expecting a C-wave down to around 52K before a potential larger rally.
After the larger C-wave up, a significant decline is expected, leading to 20K or lower in the following year.
🔴 Mid-Term Outlook (Next Few Months to Year) - Bearish Scenario
🔸 Leading Diagonal Completed (Red) : The red structure shows the formation of a large leading diagonal to the downside, suggesting that a strong downtrend has already been established.
🔸 Corrective ABC (Green) : After the diagonal, a corrective ABC pattern has formed. This correction has reached the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which is a common level for corrections to complete before resuming the primary trend.
🔸 Major Move to the Downside : Following the completion of this corrective phase, the chart is signaling the beginning of a significant bearish move, potentially leading to a price target near the 20K level. This aligns with the broader bearish outlook.
🔸 Bearish Summary (TLDR):
Finished a leading diagonal to the downside, followed by a corrective ABC pattern.
Correction reached the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
Expecting a major bearish move from this point, with a potential target of 20K.
🔶 Key Takeaway
The market presents both bullish and bearish possibilities. The bullish scenario suggests that after a leading diagonal (wave 1) completes, a short-term ABC correction will occur, followed by a powerful wave 3 impulse to the upside, potentially pushing prices beyond the all-time high after the US election. On the other hand, the bearish scenarios indicate a significant downturn: one expects a C-wave drop to around 52K before a larger rally, followed by a steep decline to 20K or lower next year, while the other points to a completed leading diagonal with a corrective ABC reaching the 0.786 Fibonacci level, signaling the start of a major move down to 20K. Despite the potential short-term upside, both bearish scenarios ultimately point to a substantial long-term decline.
A Closer Look at Bitcoin's Elliot Wave PatternHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the Bitcoin chart using Elliot Waves. Our approach will involve using Elliot Wave theory and structures, which involve multiple possibilities. The analysis we present here focuses on one potential scenario that seems possible to us.
Please note that this information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered trading advice or investment tips. There's a risk of being completely wrong, so never trade based solely on this post. We're not responsible for any profits or losses. Individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Now, let's discuss the Bitcoin chart. On the daily chart, we can see that a black primary degree wave has completed its ((4th)) wave, and the ((5th)) wave has started. Within the fifth wave, an intermediate degree wave is unfolding, which will have its own set of waves (1), (2), (3), (4), (5). The primary black degree wave five will be complete once the intermediate degree wave is finished.
We've drawn accounts on the chart, illustrating the entire structure, including the nearest invalidation level at around $76,666 and the real invalidation level below $50,000.
I hope this analysis based on Elliot Wave theory has helped you understand the chart better and learn something new. Please keep in mind that this is for educational purposes only.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Russell 2000 Elliott Wave Analysis (WXYXZ in progress)Possible wave (ii) complex correction in the form of a WXYXZ still in progress.
Expecting corrective rally to fail around the 2200 resistance zone.
A final wave down from there should find a bottom around the 1900 support zone where wave (ii) should end.
Expecting wave (iii) to commence from there...
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*would appreciate feedbacks and thoughts on this*
**this is not a trade recommendation, just an idea that I am working with**
SOL/USDT – Double Zigzag Completed! Is a Bullish Reversal Next?Solana (SOL) has likely completed a Double Zigzag (WXY) correction, with Wave C of Y bottoming at $130.60 (1.0 Fibonacci extension). This suggests a potential trend reversal, but SOL must first break key resistance at $146-$150 to confirm a bullish move.
🔹 Elliott Wave Analysis & Bullish Scenario
If the Double Zigzag correction is complete, SOL could begin a new impulse wave, targeting:
✅ $169-$173 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement, previous Wave B resistance)
✅ $180-$195 (0.382 Fib & major supply zone)
✅ $220+ (Wave 3 extension target)
🔻 Bearish Scenario – Extended Correction?
If SOL fails to break $150, it could indicate that the correction is not yet over, leading to:
❌ Retesting $130 support
❌ Possible extended correction towards $113-$100 (1.272 Fib extension)
📌 Key Level to Watch:
🔹 A break & close above $150 signals bullish continuation.
🔹 A rejection could mean further downside.
📊 Is SOL ready for a breakout, or will we see another leg down? Share your thoughts below! 👇🔥
CRVUSDT Potential for a Bullish Revers? ( EW Analysis )CRVUSDT, a popular cryptocurrency trading pair, is showing potential signs of a bullish reversal based on Elliott Wave Theory. This analysis aims to break down the current wave structure and outline possible future price movements.
Wave Structure Overview
The chart follows a complex corrective wave pattern, which consists of WXYXZ labeling. This pattern indicates an extended correction phase that may be coming to an end. Below is a breakdown of the observed waves:
1. Wave (iii): This wave marked a strong uptrend, indicating significant bullish momentum in the past.
2. Wave WXYXZ Correction: The corrective structure suggests a prolonged retracement, leading to potential price exhaustion at the recent low near $0.40.
3. Wave (iv) and Completion of Wave Z: The labeling shows that wave (iv) is completing, forming a potential higher low on the support trendline.
4. Formation of ABCDE Structure: A possible contracting triangle (ABCDE) is forming within the final leg of wave Z, signaling an imminent breakout.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
- Support: The ascending trendline near $0.44 - $0.48 serves as a critical level for price stabilization.
- Resistance: The downward trendline resistance around $0.55 - $0.60 is the first hurdle for bullish continuation.
- Target Zone: If wave (v) initiates, potential targets lie between $1.20 - $1.50, aligning with the upper channel.
Bullish Outlook and Confirmation
To confirm the bullish scenario, CRVUSDT must break above the $0.55 resistance with strong volume. A successful breakout would validate the start of an impulsive wave (v), pushing prices higher.
Risk Factors
- A breakdown below the $0.40 invalidation level would negate this bullish outlook and extend the correction.
- Market sentiment and external factors such as Bitcoin’s price action and macroeconomic conditions may impact the projected wave structure.
Conclusion
CRVUSDT appears to be at a pivotal moment, with Elliott Wave analysis suggesting a potential bullish reversal. Traders should monitor key levels and look for breakout confirmations before making any trading decisions. If the projected wave (v) unfolds, we could see a significant rally in the upcoming sessions.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
SPY Ready for Impulsive or Ending Diagonal?This 5th wave isn't feeling impulsive at all and if anything is indicating bearish RSI divergence. For these reasons, I feel that wave 5 is in what we call an ENDING DIAGONAL. Ending diagonals are really tricky to trade, as they have a series of overlapping movements. Price struggles to move higher, indicating exhaustion. Will still get a move to the 630 to 670 area, but if trying to trade it, the ups and downs vs impulsive behaviors make this tough to trade. After completion, there is typically a deeper correction, and since I am expecting a larger wave 4, this feels correct as well.
Now there is always a chance we haven't finished the prior larger wave 4 and we are either in a running or expanded flat, but will need to see a bit more to understand that scenario. Running flat would reverse soon and then impulsively higher vs expanded will undercut 574 and then rip higher (show on chart with green impulsive waves).
Elliot wave is so much easier to understand once the waves are completed vs speculating where they are going next!
Gold Buy Setup: Bullish Price Action at Fibo 61.8#GOLD has completed a short-term pullback on the H4 chart and now shows bullish price action signals at the Fibonacci 61.8 retracement level. Two consecutive pin bars support this zone, indicating a strong rejection of lower prices. The structure aligns with a 5-3 wave setup, suggesting the potential for at least a three-wave upward movement.
My initial targets are the key resistance levels at 2660 and 2700, where I anticipate significant price reactions. If these levels are cleared, it could lead to a breakout of the previous structural resistance, paving the way for a stronger bullish continuation. On the flip side, failure to break these levels may result in a bearish reversal.
This setup provides a high-probability trade with an excellent risk-to-reward ratio for upside movement.
The Crypto Space - Clarity Through COINNASDAQ:COIN has had a phenomenal run since the beginning of 2023, currently up about 1,100% within 2 years!
In this Elliott Wave Analysis, I present my view of where I think Coinbase will stall and fall.
So far the sequence is filling up nicely and has presented, those with a keen eye, several opportunities to join the 11x party :)
As per this 2 day chart, I believe we are quite close to completing w3 of w(5) . In terms of EW, the chart is very clean and has been bouncing off Fibonacci support and resistance, for each wave degree, with relative precision.
I would like to see price tag $353 - $375 then drop to $300 - $271 , before proceeding to a new high between $416 - $457 to complete a full five wave sequence from the 2023 lows.
The sell off, thereafter, should be significant and if the space survives will present another opportunity for similar or greater returns during the next cycle.
This should also coincide with a cyclical top across the cryptoverse.
What are your thoughts?
NVDA - finding an Exit on LongsIn this short piece, I present some visuals of my ideas on NASDAQ:NVDA targets.
If the chart patterns play well then my intention is to exit at around $183 to $193 and then catch the wave (4) low ideally at $146 , for the final push up in this sequence in to $210 or slightly higher for a final exit.
Viewed from the perspective of a weekly or monthly chart - NASDAQ:NVDA doesn't look complete at those higher levels, however, I suspect that the end in to the wave (5) around $210 will complete a multitude of larger wave degrees, thus start a much larger degree (wave 4) correction from that point.
**NVDA may be a strong barometer for the market peak on an intermediate scale. I will certainly consider this strongly.
GBPCAD Wave AnalysisGBPCAD price will move in a downward direction according to the price chart to complete wave E.
Enter the trade around price: 1.80422
Stop loss: 1.82041
Take profit: 1.74477
This offer has a risk/reward ratio of around 3.5
Make sure to involve less than 2-3% of your total capital and adhere to the principles of money management
This is just a suggestion for consideration
Chart say everything with Elliott wave counts and Chart PatternsChart say everything with Elliott wave counts and Chart Patterns
Looks like Inverted Head n Shoulder chart pattern, yet to Break above Neckline.
Scenario also aligns with Impulse wave counts.
Elliott Wave Counts
Inverted Head n Shoulder Chart Pattern Yet to confirm Breakout
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Ready for the next wave?After reaching its low in early August, the chart of Unity Software Inc. has shown a textbook bullish move. The Elliott Wave count is marked on the chart. Now, with the correction phase seemingly complete, the price appears poised to kickstart the next bullish impulse from the 38.2% Fibonacci level, supported by the 50-day SMA.
#Gold overall wave countThe overall wave count of hashtag #gold's primary bullish move on the daily timeframe shows we are nearing the top of wave 3 in this impulsive move that started in November 2022.
I believe we are approaching a critical point where wave 3 will complete, followed by a potentially manipulative wave 4, which could set the stage for an extended wave 5—possibly triggered by an hashtag #economic_shock.
However, let’s not get ahead of ourselves. It's crucial to first evaluate how much further wave 3 could advance.
In the chart, I’ve labeled the move across four degrees. Currently, I believe we are completing wave 5 of (3) of ⑤ of iii. This suggests that once wave 5 is complete, which may not be far off, wave (3) will also finish. One possible completion zone for wave 5, based on Fibonacci tools, lies between 2725 and 2730.
For further insights into how wave 4 might unfold and its potential retracement against the primary trend, please refer to the chart, which offers a more detailed view of price targets.