GBPAUD Bearish Elliot Wave Trade SetupAfter topping out last December. Price seems to be making a series of lower highs labeled 1-2, (i) - (ii). Price is expected to resume the downtrend from or near the current level. The breach of the green line or a break out of the flag channel will confirm the bearish trend is still intact.
Elliotwavecount
NZDCAD Bulls are Ready to Take OverNZDCAD's current chart pattern is unfolding as a bullish Elliot Wave impulse structure. Price seems to have completed wave (iv) of 3 which set a stage for another rally in wave (v) of 3.
Price has also rejected a weekly support area that lined up with a moving average. The potential price target is within the blue zone on the chart.
Where is Bitcoin Heading to, North or South? Elliot Wave GuideWhen it comes to Elliot Wave analysis, we tend to have alternative count which keeps us on the line for both the bullish and bearish scenario.
In Bitcoin's case, the point is to know whether the correction is complete and the new bull leg has started or not. Let's take a look at it via the Elliot Wave Principle.
In the main count, the guideline suggests that the corrective pattern is unfolding as a complex double three/zigzag pattern labeled (w)-(x)-(y)-(x)-(z). While (w)-(x)-(y)-(x) is very clear, the problem is whether wave (z) is completed. From my count, wave (z) is not completed yet and the five-wave in wave "b" is just part of an expanded flat pattern, that's a sell-off in wave c of (z) is imminent.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO
However, in the alternative count, I have labeled the wave in such a way that the (w)-(x)-(y)-(x)-(z) correction is already completed and the recent five-wave rally is the beginning of the new bullish phase for BTC. Because according to the Elliot Wave principle, five-wave always indicates the direction of the larger trend, but we will need to see a corrective pattern in "wave ii" that must not exceed $6459 area to validate the impulse move.
At this stage, it's just a matter of waiting to know which way to go.
What's your view on Bitcoin? Let me know in the comment.
Thanks for reading!
CHFJPY Pattern Sets a Stage for a CorrectionThe daily chart above reveals CHFJPY's entire progress since October 2019 low. It looks like the past 4 months have resulted in a textbook five-wave impulse. The pattern is labeled (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v) and the five sub-waves of wave (iii) are also visible. Look how the entire structure fits into a base channel. The guideline of alternation has been taken into account, too. Wave (ii) is a complex correction, while wave (iv) is a sharp zigzag.
This pattern means CHFJPY’s larger trend points north. The problem is that according to the theory, a three-wave correction in the opposite direction follows every impulse.
If this count is correct, we can expect a notable decline in CHFJPY very soon. The support area of wave (iv) that lined up with support zone and mean value is a natural bearish target.
What's your view on CHFJPY?
Twitter's 2020 is Shaping up to be a Fantastic YearFounded in 2006, Twitter Inc. is one of the leading microblogging and social networking site in the world. The stock had an exceptionally strong run between 2016 and 2018. In a little over two years, the share price rose from as low as $13.63to as high as $47.87. That’s 252% gain in two years.
Unfortunately for shareholders, the bulls could not keep that momentum any longer. The past two years brought the exact opposite in terms of returns. In October 2018, Twitter stock fell to $26.28, down 45.5% from its June 2018 high, and currently trading -30% ($32.9) today. What do the next few months have in store for Twitter investors? Let’s hear what the Elliott Wave principle has to say on Twitter’s weekly chart above.
Twitter’s 2016-2018 rally unfolded in a textbook five-wave impulse, labeled 1-2-3-4-5. This pattern means the overall direction of the stock is up. However, a three-wave correction follows every impulse according to Elliot Wave theory. That is what I believe has been unfolding in the last two years.
Twitter Inc. seems to be declining in wave Y of a W-X-Y double zigzag retracement. Since fifth waves are usually fully retraced, it makes sense to expect more weakness in wave ‘c’ of Y. In the mid-term, downside targets near $24 a share are plausible.
On the bright side, once the wave Y downside target is reached, the 5-3 wave cycle would be complete. A reversal for the beginning of the next bull leg should then occur in that area. For now, though, the bears remain in charge. This is not the best time to buy Twitter stock according to the Elliott Wave principle.
What’s your view about Twitter stock?
Tesla Stock is Vulnerable to a 40% Elliott Wave DeclineTesla, Inc., formerly Tesla Motors, Inc., designs, develops, manufactures and sells fully electric vehicles, and energy storage systems. Its market cap is approximately $86 billion.
In Tesla's case, investors have been too optimistic recently. The stock is up 186% in the past six months, climbing from $177 low in May 2019 to $499 this month. Unfortunately for the bulls, no trend lasts forever. Therefore, once investors run out of optimism, the stock is likely to fall significantly. The question is, How soon?
In order to find out if Tesla stock is a good pick now near $500, let’s take a look at its Elliott Wave chart above.
The daily chart shows Tesla's entire progress since May 2019. As visible, the price appears to have formed a textbook five-wave impulse pattern, labeled 1-2-3-4-5. It certainly has been a wonder to behold while it lasted. The problem is the Elliott Wave theory states a three-wave correction follows every impulse.
Normally, the corrective phase of the cycle would erase the entire fifth wave. For Tesla, this means a sell-off to the support of wave 4 near $327.
The Moving Average indicator reinforces that the price is overextended. If this count is correct, the next couple of weeks can be a lot different than the past two months.
What's your view on Tesla Stock?
Gold Shorter Cycle Elliot Wave OutlookHere is the breakdown of the fifth wave from the lower timeframe. Wave iv should find support around 50% Fib that lined up with a weekly demand zone.
This analysis gives us Elliot wave short-term sell setup and longterm buy setup. DM to see how I will take advantage of this setup.
Longterm Outlook:
Gold Bulls Haven't Give Up YetThe chart above reveals Gold entire rally since August 2018. The price which is in wave (v), the last phase of an impulsive structure is till in the making.
Elliot Wave is Fractal in nature, that is, every wave has an internal sub-wave of lower degree.
In Gold case, wave (v) is not completed yet as the recent rally is just in three-wave. So the price is expected to make a corrective wave iv and resume higher in wave v to complete a five-wave structure in wave (v) of C.
Wave (v) is expected to find resistance at 0.618 Fib extension around $1687 per ounce.
Do you think Gold has completed the five-wave structure already?
Will Silver Reach $22 Per Ounce?The daily chart above shows Silver's entire rally from November 2018 low. As visible, the price appears to be forming a textbook five-wave impulse pattern, labeled (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v). The sub-wave of wave (i) and (iii) are also visible while wave (v) is still unfolding.
According to Elliot Wave theory, wave (v) should exceed wave (iii) high, in Silver case price is still in the middle which means that the recent rally is just sub-wave "i" of wave (v).
Once sub-wave ii correction is completed around 50 - 78.6% Fib ratio, price is expected to resume higher in wave iii. Wave (v) will most likely find resistance within the gray resistance zone that lined up with upper ascending channel resistance around $21-$22.
What's your thought about Silver?
XAUUSD The Ups and Downs and UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UP UPHello XAUUSD,
How does you fare ?
How does fare you thee yes ? No !
After the overextending Bullish... Something happened....
We are looking at the corrective movement (or retracement, or something....)
We might see a short oppotunity when it reaches that Yellow (Orange) zone on 1580 levels...
Goes down to 1540 ish area......
And then BAM ! TO THE UPSIDE AND AWAY !!!
And then death.....
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Leave me now in peace....
For my tea is ready.....
EURNZD Bearish Cycle Is Not Completed YetThe bearish impulsive wave that started in October 2019 is still underway.
Price should be making a short-term rally and longterm decline until the structure is completed.
Note: I will be looking to short from the blue zone.
Check Related Idea for previous analysis.
NZDUSD Setting the Stage to Complete the Impulse WaveThe advance from October 2019 low can is taking the form of an impulsive Elliot Wave pattern, labeled 1-5. Wave 3 also subdivided into five-wave labeled (i)-(v).
To complete the major structure wave 4 and wave 5 are required. Price is expected to complete wave 4 correction around 38.2% Fib, which also lined up with channel support.
Once wave 4 is bottomed, an advance in wave 5 will complete the whole impulse structure.
Bottom Line: I will be looking to go long wave 5.
What's your view on NZDUSD?
Bitcoin Mean Value Analysis Supporting Bearish BiasPrice most of the time after an extended move retraced back to the moving average and use them as a dynamic support/resistance.
From the Bitcoin Weekly chart above, we could see how price snaps back sharply below the 200 EMA at the point where the majority are anticipating the breakout of a wedge pattern in the 2018/2019 corrective phase.
We're facing the same scenario right now, the price is trading within a Flag pattern, we will most likely to see a sell-off to the 200 EMA that lined up with 78.6% ($5500) Fibonacci of the 2019 rally. If we get this decline, wave 2 corrective structure will be considered complete and the major rally should begin.
The potential minimum target for wave 3 is 1.618x wave 1 according to Elliot Wave principle, that level is around ~$23000 area considering we get the decline.
What do you think about the Mean Value Analysis?
Thanks for reading!
Vee.
BITCOIN UPDATE: Critical Decision-Making AreaAs projected, Bitcoin has reached the $8000 - $8500 area. This is a critical decision-making area for BTC. Price can either head higher or decline to $5500 area, as mentioned in the previous analysis.
To confirm the major bull run has started, I would like to see price breaches the $14500 level in a five-wave structure.
What's your current view on Bitcoin?
GBPJPY Set to Complete Wave 4 Bearish DeclineAfter a major rally in wave 3 labeled (i)-(v), GBPJPY seems to be making a three-wave pullback in wave 4 which is expected according to Elliot Wave principle.
The wave 4 correction which is currently unfolding as a simple zigzag is almost completed. However, it still has the potential to sell lower to around 50% Fib of wave 3 which also lined up with a support zone.
Once the correction is completed a rally is expected in wave 5 to complete the entire impulse rally that started in August 2019.
The lower time frame analysis below shows how to take advantage of the short-term decline.
What's your thought on GBPJPY?
ELLIOT WAVE: CHFJPY TRADE IDEA CHFJPY completed A-B-C zigzag corrective pattern and setting up for a decline. This decline which can be another short-term correction could also be the beginning of a major decline.
What matters right now is that we would at least see a three-wave move to the downside to the nearest demand level as shown on the chart.
We will look for a short-term correction in wave (b) to position to a sell entry in wave (c).
Here is the 1-hourly outlook.
www.tradingview.com
What's your thought on CHFJPY? Let me know in the comment.
Thanks for reading.
Veejahbee.
GBPUSD The Fall to the AbyssNOT SO FAST MY DEAREST TEA DRINKER !
As you can see, my magical arrow that is so not magical, is magically pointing up to the upside (We call this a retracement btw, or something.....)
I don't expect the price to go too high... BUT A POSSIBILITIES NONETHELESS !
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Now, since we already established that GBPUSD gonna fall.
We need to know where its gonna fall and the possibilities beyond that.
As you can see in the chart, my approximate target would be around the area the Magical Downward Arrow is pointing at.
I've already Short this pair since my Magical Sell Zone.
Keep in mind, this pair has the potential to fall BEYOND my Magical Arrow, becoz sometimes.... Magic Arrow is imperfect.....
I suggest if u wanna short this, wait for the completion of the Magical Upside....
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And of course... Start your day with a glass of tea.... And 4 box of peesha....
EURNZD - SHORT PLANLooking to EURNZD, there is a good setup in this pair.
Based on EW, I would like to see the price getting higher to my "Area of Value" and I will go to lower timeframe to get into short opportunity.
We can call this intraday trade, in order to confirm my short bias of course I would love to see if the price makes a Lower Low in Daily TF before doing any pullback. In this case also, its finishing all impulsive waves.
Let's see how it goes.
XAUUSD What the hell are you doing !?Gold is OVERPERFORMING...........
This is what overextending looks like.
This is what everything bad looks like !
But regardless....
When this falls, (anytime now) it will reach my Yellow Zone (and we could finally... FINALLY... Enter Long to the Heavens i spoketh about)
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Be aware tho, all the crazy news all around the world could actually drive the price further up.
And im stuck here waiting......................................................
Anyways... Grab yourself a box of peesha... Its gonna take a while.....
EURUSD To Extend Higher RapidlyEURUSD is sitting at an important confluence area comprising of support zone, 61.8% Fib, and broken daily trendline.
The pullback to this level can be easily labeled as a double zigzag in wave (ii) as you can see in the 30 minutes chart below.
Price is expected to resume the wave iii of (iii) of 3 rally from or near the current market price as long as the "current invalidation level" remains intact.
What's your thought on EURUSD? Let me know in the comment.'
Thanks for reading.
Veejahbee.
GBPNZD Elliot Wave AnalysisAs you can see from the chart, GBPNZD has broken below a daily support zone impulsively. Price is expected to retest this level that lined up with mean value + 50% Fib as resistance in wave "b". Once the corrective wave b is completed, it will give us the chance to go short in wave "c" of (y) of B.
The correction might extend higher but must not trade above the invalidation level for this setup to remain valid.
GBPUSD Is Setting Up to Complete a Bearish Zigzag Pattern.Hi Traders!
Happy New Year to you all!
GBPUSD is correcting the major rally that started in September 2019. The impulsive move is labelled (i)-(v) in wave A. The correction which seems to be unfolding as a Zigzag in wave B is yet to be completed. I'm looking for price to move higher in the shorter cycle to complete wave (b) of C around 78.6% Fib, then look for a short entry to take advantage of wave (c) of B.
Do you like this analysis?
Best,
Veejahbee.