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XAUUSD "GOLD" Sets to Resume Wave 5 RallyGold has been making an impulsive advance since August 2018. According to Elliot Wave Theory, a five-wave move is known as an impulsive wave and sets the direction of the major trend. Gold seems to have completed wave 4 corrective pattern, as the correction terminated at upper boundary channel that connects wave 1-2 extends to the high of wave 1. The level also lined up with 38.2 Fibonacci retracement of wave 3 advance. Breaking down to lower timeframe: The price made a five-wave impulse in wave (i) from the 1446.07 area, and subsequent corrective move is an a-b-c expanded flat pattern in wave (ii). The correction also terminated at critical support circa comprising of 61.8 Fibonacci retracement, 1.236 extension of wave a of flat, and wave c support trendline. If this count is correct, Gold should resume higher from or near the current level, the breach of 1473.08 will confirm that wave (ii) has really bottomed. And if price trade below the invalidation level on the chart, I will need to review the analysis. What's your thought about Gold? Kindly let me know in the comment. Thanks, Veejahbee.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Veejahbee
2
AUDUSD Made A Double Bottom at a Critical Support ZonePrice is sitting at key support, which is in confluence with 61.8 Fibonacci retracement. Price has also made a double bottom formation at the key confluence zone. Price should resume higher from or near the current level. The breach of the confirmation level indicated on the chart will further confirm the bullish setup. If the price moves above 0.6800 confirmation level, it would have broken the high of wave iv of an ending diagonal pattern and a descending trendline, which is a strong signal for trend resumption. What's your thought on AUDUSD? Kindly let me know in the comment. Thanks for reading! Veejahbee.
Long
by Veejahbee
4
Confluence Set Up AUDCAD for Potential RallyAUDCAD reversed from a daily ascending trendline that lined up with 61.8 Fibonacci retracement of the advance from 0.8903 and broken out of daily descending trendline. Price also broke the daily counter trend line structure and it's currently retesting it inline with key support, and descending trendline. Price has the potential to move higher from or near the current level and rally towards the resistance with 1.236 and 1.618 extensions as indicated on the chart. This setup remains valid as long as the Invalidation Level at 0.8966 remains intact. What're your thoughts about AUDCAD? Let's discuss this in the comment. Good Luck! Veejahbee
Long
by Veejahbee
Elliot Wave: EURJPY Set Up for a Massive Advance The five-wave rally from 119.25 in wave (i) favors the idea wave 2 ended at 119.25, and wave 3 is underway. It also set the stage for a three-wave correction, which is unfolding as a double zigzag pattern. I anticipate that wave (ii) will find support circa at 119.560 area, comprising the 78.6 Fibonacci retracement of the advance from 119.25, a key support level, and retest of the weekly descending trendline. The invalidation level has been indicated on the chart, and the breach of the green line will confirm the pullback has bottomed, and that may trigger upside acceleration for wave (iii) of 3. Kindly let me know your thoughts in the comment. Thanks for reading! Veejahbee
Long
by Veejahbee
Can this Elliott Wave Setup Send USDJPY Go Downhill?The Daily chart of USDJPY reveals not only the recovery from 104.450, but also the preceding decline from 112.416. As visible, it is a five-wave leading diagonal pattern, labeled (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v) in wave 1. The five sub-waves of wave (i) can be recognized, as well. Ending diagonals form in the position of the first wave (A Or 1) of the larger sequence, which means that the overall bias is bearish. According to the Elliott Wave theory, a three-wave correction follows every impulse. This means the recovery to 109.296 by 30th October is hardly the start of a new uptrend. Instead, it is most likely a simple (a)-(b)-(c) zigzag correction within the larger downtrend from 112.416. Note how the 61.8% Fibonacci level discouraged the bulls in wave (c), and the entire recovery formed a wedge pattern. Those are confluence that the entire 5-3 wave cycle is complete. If this count is correct, we can expect the trend to resume in the direction of the impulsive sequence. Targets below wave 1 low (104.477) make sense for USDJPY in the weeks ahead. Thanks for reading!
Short
by Veejahbee
Triangle Breakout on Silver Set a Stage for a Bullish Reversal Just as in the case of Gold (XAUSUD) analysis published previously; Silver (XAGUSD) seems to have formed a contracting triangle corrective pattern in wave 4 as indicated by the wave structure of the sideways price action in September and October and by the converging trendlines that connected the extremes of waves (a), (b), (c), (d) and (e). What is most interesting is that Elliot Wave alternation guidelines were followed correctly. Wave 2 unfolded as a zigzag and retraced 78.6% of wave 1, while wave 4 unfolded as a triangle and retraced 50% of wave 3. According to Elliot Wave Theory, triangle always precedes the final move of a sequence. And once a correction is completed, the price resumes in the direction of the major trend, which is bullish in this case. The triangle correction has set up a potential Wave 5 rally in Silver, and the projected target is 61.8 Fibonacci extension (blue area) on the chart. Price has broken the extreme of wave (d) of the triangle, so the pattern has been confirmed, and traders should be looking for buy opportunity in subsequent HL on the lower timeframe. Thanks for reading! Veejahbee.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Veejahbee
Triangle Pattern Set up XAUUSD (GOLD) For a Potential RallyGold (XAUSUD) seems to have completed a contracting triangle corrective pattern in wave (4) as indicated by the wave structure of the sideways price action in September and October and by the converging trendlines that connected the extremes of waves (a), (b), (c), (d) and (e). According to Elliot Wave Theory, once a correction is completed, the price resumes in the direction of the major trend, which is bullish in this case. So a potential rally is highly probable in Gold in the weeks ahead, and the projected target is 61.8 Fibonacci extension (blue area) on the chart. TIP: The best entry guideline for Triangle is to wait for the price to break the extreme of wave (d) of the pattern and then placing the protective stop at the extreme of wave (e). Best of luck on the chart! Veejahbee.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Veejahbee
5
Bitcoin : Short term view and review of yesterday's analysisHello fellas, How are you doing today? I hope you are doing great. Let's get to the point! If you have seen my yesterday's video analysis about bitcoin in short term and long term view (and if you haven't seen it, kindly see it on this link youtu.be ), you will be very familiar with some of this key levels drawn on the chart. After the action of breaking out of the green dotted trend resistance trend line with an absolute candle closure on 4 hours chart and a pretty good volume. But, once again I want to remind you that even at the most bullish market, it will still need the correction even at the smallest degree of the wave. That's why I try to make a relation with a possible elliot wave count on lower this 3 hours time frame. Orange zone is the golden pocket zone which I believe that it is the strongest resistance zone for short term basis. The green zone will become the strong support because it is simply the 50% of fibonacci level and it has a confluence with previous price action as key level. For short term, I firmly believe that bitcoin will touch the orange zone at least and the maximum retracement that could occur will be on the green zone as the key level. As long as the 4th wave hasn't move down to the territory of the top of the wave 1 (Not more than a wick), This scenario will be still active. My bias is remain the same, short term is bullish, but for long term we could see a horrible bearish scenario. Thank you
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by julio24albert
EURNZD SEEMS TO BE READY FOR A MASSIVE DECLINEEURNZD has been in recovery mode for the past 10 months. The pair took off from 1.63323 in December 2018 low and climbed to as high as 1.76993 in October 2019. The daily chart above puts EURNZD's entire 2-month sell-off in 2018 and the 10-months recovery in an Elliott Wave context. The pair’s decline can easily be seen as a five-wave impulse. The pattern is labeled 1-2-3-4-5, wave 3 is the longest among the three impulse waves. The recovery looks like a textbook W-X-Y-X-Z triple three corrections. Waves W unfolded as an expanded flat pattern while wave X, Y, X, and Z can both be labeled as simple (a)-(b)-(c) zigzags. Once a correction is over, the larger trend resumes. Here, a sharp selloff from 1.79282 in October 2018 precedes the above-shown corrective recovery, so the larger trend is down. Also, note how the resistance level, wedge trend line, and 78.6% Fibonacci level discouraged the bulls in wave Z. This is another indication that the entire 5-3 wave cycle is complete. If this count is correct, last week's bearish reversal is the start of a major plunge, whose targets lie beneath 1.63323 in the long term. In my opinion, selling the rallies is a viable strategy as long as EURNZD trades below 1.76993 invalidation level. Instead of giving in to complacency, the bulls should take last week’s bearish reversal very seriously. Thanks for Reading! Veejahbee
Short
by Veejahbee
GBPAUD BULLS GETTING TIRED. BEARISH REVERSAL AHEAD?Just like the GBPNZD I just published. The weekly chart above puts GBPAUD's entire decline since August 2015 in an Elliott Wave context. The pair’s decline can easily be seen as a five-wave impulse. The pattern is labeled 1-2-3-4-5, where five sub-waves of waves 1, 3 and 5 are also visible. According to the Elliott Wave theory, a three-wave correction follows every impulse. This means the overlapping bullish price action that follows the decline is most likely a complex W-X-Y-X-Z triple three correction within the larger downtrend from 2015 high @ 2.23779. Note how the resistance level, upper trend channel, and 50% Fibonacci level discouraged the bulls in wave Z. This is another indication that the entire 5-3 wave cycle is complete. If this count is correct, we can expect the trend to resume in the direction of the impulsive sequence. Furthermore, the sell-off is supposed to breach 2016 low, so targets below 1.57810 are plausible for GBPAUD in the months ahead. Thanks for Reading!
Short
by Veejahbee