ADA, Wave 2 Is In, Commence Dippening!!Last time i left you guys with extrapolated targets for what our wave C should look like based on Elliot Wave and Fibonacci Retracements and Extensions. Wave 1 ended slightly shallower than I expected it to, it was actually finished when i posted my last chart, but we couldn't have know that because we had no data on Wave 2 yet.
Now we see that the retracement of Wave 1 was deep. It came to the 0.786 Fibb. You can clearly see our 3 Wave ABC correctino structure within wave 2, therefore, we must continue our Wave C by commencing the start of subwave 3.
Now I have extrapolated new targets for our wave 3 and 4, and made the wave 3 fairly extended, reaching the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension . I did this because the 3.618 Fibb perfectly lines up with our 0.382 retracement of the entire 5 Wave Structure that were in the correction of right now. So, because there is such a low probability of us only correcting to the 0.236 Fibb, I've assumed that we will have a larger wave 3 in order to help us achieve the retracement to the 0.382 level.
My count seems to be lining up just fine, and I haven't changed it, only slightly corrected some of the target zones in the subwaves based on incoming data. However, keep in mind, this count is invalidated if we break above wave 1 around 3340 Satoshis.
I hope that you enjoyed my analysis. Please always remember that targets are not set in stone and to always practice proper risk management! Please like and comment any questions you may have below. Happy trading!
Elliotwaveretracement
DJX DowJones Potential Correction on The HorizonI was really curious how DJX might look like this days. So I made this.
I hope I'm wrong - so take it with a grain of salt...
DJX seems to have completed a Major Elliot Wave Pattern, starting from the 2008 Crisis.
It's starting to show signs of a correction.
I've put together 3 major scenarios:
Starting from best-case scenario to worst-case scenario
S1) GREEN ABCDE correction
It hold support at ~235 (S3.0)
It will form a descending triangle (from which it could hopefully break out).
Descending triangle forming between S3.0 - S3.1 - S3.2
This is based on "Fib1" retracement.
S2) RED ABC correction - based on Fib1 and MajorFib ( that started in 2008)
Break supports at S2.2 ~235
Meets CA1 - Critical Area 1
Bounceback from S2.1 to previous S2.2
Completes cycle at the end of Fib1, and Major Support S2.0
S3) ORANGE WAVE - based on Fib2 and MajorFib (from 2008)
Break Support at S3.3
Finds Resistance at S3.4
Goes down to S3.2 /or/ S3.1 - S3.1 More likely to fit ElliotWave rules
Find Support at S3.1
Resistance at S3.2
Completes cycle at S3.0 Which is a major Support (it is the end of EW3).
That kind of concludes it for me.
What do you think?
I've started making charts only very recently and I really like it.
Feedback is always appreaciated.
See related ideas for a "zoomed out" view of this.
Also, what do you think this might mean for the global financial market?
ETC Corrective Wave ABC to dance with $16.40 - $17.80 rangeHello all friends! This will be my first TA on ETC/USD. After an incredible weekend drop and then bounce, we are now preparing to dip down again for an ABC corrective wave.
Short entered $19.798.
Stop loss - $20 (move to risk free trade, as price drops, "trailing stop loss")
Take profit 1 - $18.00 - high probability - Risk/Rewarrd ratio: 8.88
Take profit 2 - $16.75 - medium probability - Risk/Rewarrd ratio: 15.05
If you find my TA useful, please remember to FOLLOW and click LIKE!!! We are one big family here :-D
I will update as soon as I get new confirmations.
Bitcoin minor corrective wave targeting near $7840 - $8150 rangeHi to all my new friends, let's get to it! I know many people on here like to pretend like they are wizards and know everything, but I will just keep it real for you. We go based on the data given to us, and adjust as new data comes in.
BITCOIN just went sideways for several hours, not sure what it wanted to do. Based on the current count, I believe we have just finished corrective wave A and B and are now heading to target C in the $7840 - $8150 range. After which, we will resume an impulse wave up, potentially targeting $9600. That is too far away, so we'll keep an eye on that to see how it pans out.
A break above $8717 before hitting target C invalidates this count and signals a bull rally.
Short entered $8450 avg fill.
Stop loss - $8600
Take profit 1 - $8210 - high probability - Risk/Rewarrd ratio: 1.63
Take profit 2 - $7950 - medium probability - Risk/Rewarrd ratio: 3.39
If you find my TA useful, please remember to FOLLOW and click LIKE!!!
I will update as soon as I get new confirmations.
BCH Technical Analysis (24th November - 10 December)Elliot Wave analysis, offering short term buy ins and sell off target zones for the 3rd wave approaching us.
Also longer term targets.
Butterfly Pattern Showing Medium-Term Long on USDJPY S&R level and Fib retracement levels come together to support the idea of a Butterfly pattern forming on the 4hr chart. You can either wait till it hits either of the targets to sell the regression or you can ride the wave up after it breaks the 113.928 price which appears to be quite important here.
Setup 1:
Entry: Long at 113.969
TP: 115.404 or 116.168
SL: 113.558
This is just a suggestion to the predictably unpredictable market so always take caution when trading.
XAUUSD - Now for the retracementOn Friday we traded the final leg move down in this 5 wave structure. We should now expect a retracement would could be signalled by the inverted head and shoulders forming. We are already in a BUY position and will look to add to it on a break and re trace of the neckline.
GOLD FUTURES - CORRECTION OF 1-2-3-4-5 ELLIOT WAVEI think that the formation 1-2-3-4-5 is finished and the Gold need a NEW SUPPORT for the next Elliot wave.
I give you two possibilities for this support point: 1282 and 1278.
If in the top rigtht now appear lateral formation, the correction will be 50% of the 1-2-3-4-5 wave.
But if in the top right now don´t appear lateral formation, the correction will be 68% (Fibonacci) of the 1-2-3-4-5 wave.
EURUSD - Correction is in progress, trade wave CExcellant R:R trade now. We believe wave B has been formed and are now looking to trade wave C. Hourly pin bar is forming now and with stochastics crossing over in an oversold area, a push higher could be imminent...The move down has run out of steam it seems. Please wait for this hourly candle to close to confirm the presence of a pin bar. Money management is the secret to longevity in this game.
NZDUSD - Looking to re enter long...As we discussed in our previous post on this pair, we are expecting wave 4 counter trend wave to start and it appears we have had the first impulsive wave move. This means we can look to enter long on a retracement of this move... Very nice Risk to reward as well. Wait for a trade confirmation before entry (Candlestick pattern, RSI or stochastics)
EURUSD - NFP to trigger the bullish move?We are still in a long position that has been carried throughout the week. If an (e) wave has just formed then we are likely to see a bounce off the lower channel trendline. This is a riskier trade so a small lot size should be taken if you are opening a trade now...
USDJPY - The next two major trade set ups for this pairUSDJPY has recently broken the descending trendline on higher time frames telling me this price is at the beginning of a bullish run. We do however expect there to be a substantial pull back which will allow the more aggressive traders to take a sell position around 103.600 on a re test of the neckline of the head and shoulder reversal formation. The conservative trader may well be inclined to wait for the price to pull back fully to the 102.00 area before buying.