I thought it might be useful be provide my elliptical analysis of the NAS100 for some direction and comment. My ellipse has modelled this quite well with several good touch points. (green dots) Additionally I have added a Fibonacci Fan using the blue dots as the range points and providing an extension in the future. (TradingView has yet to provide Fibonacci...
Every now and then I like to back up and look at the big picture for unusual patterns I'm seeing lower highs and higher lows, consolidating to a point....much like an ellipse I'm thinking it represents the battle between the bears and bulls / shorts vs longs The only other time I have seen this pattern is from Sept 2007 to Sept 2008 It ended in a market crash...
manual attempt at ellipse theory for market geometry - credits to the work of B,F. C
After testing the broken resistance ,the coin is ready to move towards new targets.the first target is about 45 cents , and if the price groeth rate is higher,the second target will not be out of reach. this chart is for educational purposes only and should not be traded on.
Gold is making cup with handle, and the pattern has started from 2020. It took nearly 300 days for reaching it's middle point, as you can see from the chart. If the theory is right, then we could see the gold spots to reach it's all-time-high again in 200-220 days, as we have passed 79 days already from the middle point.
Although it didn’t take the exact path drawn, the red line has won out. The question now is whether the green ellipse boundary holds, and BTC starts riding back up to the 55K area, or it breaks below, in which case it will start using the green ellipse as resistance instead of support.
DOGE is just barely holding to the inside of the upward trending green ellipse. But it has the yellow and blue ellipses it has also been bouncing off of. It remains to be see if it can break up through both of those ellipses to continue up unabated (green arrow), or get caught up and eventually continue (orange arrow) up or down from there, or get completely...
Impossible to know with this meme coin what it will do, but if it stays inside the green ellipse, $1 is just barely in sight. If it breaks below, then look out below, and call the DOGE catcher. :)
It will certainly depend a lot on what BTC itself does, but the path does seem clear to .00003, which at current BTC, is ~$1.70 USD. There is some resistance I’m seeing on the ALGOUSD chart it would have to clear.
ADA has broken out of the ping-pong between the red and green ellipses drawn on the chart. I’ll be looking to see if there is a re-test in the upcoming days. Of course it could start bouncing down the outside of the green ellipse, using it as support, but that’s still better than using it as resistance.
I’m going to look for a confirmation close above the green ellipse, and possibly a retest to make the judgment, but it does look like a possibility that ADA is going to break free of the confines of these 2 ellipses it’s been in.
The Ellipse, or Lens, is either a consolidation pattern or topping formation. Gap we saw Thursday 29 Apr likely an Exhaustion gap. Higher prices seem unlikely given weakness overall but MFI oversold, RSI resting at support level; a brief bounce seems likely. Longer-term, expect correction to support at former price resistance. Not investing advice; trade at...
ALGO finally appears to be clear of most of the resistance ellipses, and should be more free to fly. Of course, not much support on the downside for quite a ways, either. In any event, I’m expecting some more dramatic moves in the coming days.
ADA has been trading between the top of the red ellipse (support) and top of the green ellipse (resistance) since the beginning of February. If it continues, it could ride quite a ways down. Looking for it to break out of green ellipse or into the red ellipse but will be swing trading it at the two boundaries until then.
ALGO has been following the bottom of the yellow ellipse down as BTC continues to drop. If that ellipse holds, it could ride back up after touching $1.05 or even $1.03. However, if it breaks below that ellipse, it’s unclear to me how far it falls from there. Trade carefully.
Even with the pummeling BTC gave ALGO yesterday and today, after it paused at each ellipse boundary and ultimately crashed through, it has held the bottom of that red ellipse. I had put a tentative buy target of $1.1950, just above the lower boundary of the red ellipse, in case it fell that far. As this recent dip was underway, and it started falling towards that...
BTC is still tapping on the edge of the blue ellipse. Depending on how it exits that ellipse, I can see either the yellow or orange paths as possible, bringing us back up to the $60-62K range. If it breaks down to the bottom of the blue sphere, or exits somewhere in the middle right, then the red path may be in play.
Looks like the green ellipse that was providing great support, is now acting as resistance. Still seems to be headed in a positive direction regardless.