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Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

TRXUSDT "H1" TriangleAs you can see, the price was fluctuating in a triangle. Now, the triangle broke from above and we had a retest candle on broken trend line which I displayed with an arrow. Also we have a EMA50 that price could broke that too. Now, we have a resistance in EMA200. STOCHRSI gave us buy signal. We may wait for a pullback and then we can enter a long position. Please check the H4 time frame too with EMA 50 and 200 too. We can hope for a change in the trend (to a upward trend) after the two EMAs 50 and 200 had a bullish cross. **"Do not base this analysis for your trades. Analysis is purely educational."**
Long
by sahandm99
We talk about Moving Averages. 🖌Origin of moving averages: They are used to filter out market noise and clarify the direction of the trend, as they eliminate minor movements that could be hiding what the market is actually doing. The average price of a given period in the past is calculated, the result is plotted on a line chart next to the price chart. They are more suitable for detecting trends but are also useful for analyzing the evolution of the price in different periods of time. How are they calculated? The moving averages are the moving average and to calculate them the last periods that are parameterized for their calculation are taken. For instance; For a 10-period moving average, the last 10 price closing candles are taken and their average is taken. Remember that a moving average is always lagging because it is the result of making a calculation on the prices of the past, they do not predict the price, they only summarize more clearly what has happened in the price. Its usefulness, therefore, helps us to detect or see trends more clearly. And in technical analysis, it is considered that when there is a trend it is more likely to continue. The shorter the moving average calculation period, the less lag it will have, but it will include more volatility than longer period moving averages. The longer the moving average calculation average, the longer it will take to react to recent market changes. What is the best moving average? Surely you were waiting for me to tell you which is the best moving average because there is no better moving average than another, they are all worth it, they are all good, you just have to understand them well. Some are true that they are more used as 20, 50, 100 and 200. All the moving averages are showing you the line chart with the longest temporality (Except 1). So, a 5-period moving average is equivalent to the linear graph of multiplying that timeframe by 5. For example; If we were in 1-minute time frames it would be equivalent to the 5-minute line chart and if it were the 60 moving average it would be the 1-hour line chart. Moving averages and temporalities. If we take into account the moving average of 160 periods, it would be exactly equal to the moving average of 80 periods in 1 hour and of 20 periods in 4 hours. Types of moving averages. Since it is understood how the moving average works, we are going to talk about the 3 most used types of moving average. a) Simple moving average (MA): All the data of the period are weighted equally, all the candles have the same importance from the first to the last candle that is periodized, of which an average is taken. It is the most typical and the easiest to calculate, but also the slowest to adapt to the most recent price changes. b) Media móvil ponderada ( WMA ): Con este tipo de media móvil se le da diferente importancia a cada una de las velas, dando más prioridad a las primeras velas y dando menos importancia a las últimas velas a calcular, en su fórmula se asigna un coeficiente a cada uno de los valores. Esta media móvil reacciona más rápidamente a los últimos cambios de precios. c) Exponential moving average (EMA): Its calculation is more complicated but basically, an additional value is carried to the selected period, that is; for a 10-period exponential moving average, the last 11 candles are considered. These are done to minimize the sudden effect that occurs when eliminating the first data in the series, the most recent candle or price is weighted in greater percentages, while the rest of the candles all weigh equally. Arguably the "EMA" is equivalent to a simple moving average to which an additional period is added and the recent price is weighted much more. How to use them? Moving averages are considered to act as dynamic support and resistance, when the price is trending they act as a trend line that sets the guideline, but they also have the quality of "Attracting" the price, as they remain an average of the price. and by the statistical principle that everything returns to its average at some point. Another utility is that it also helps us to detect price highs, since all the data of distribution tend to group around its average, if a strong impulse moves the price away from the moving average, at some point the price will return to its average. half. and this will help us to detect extremes of the market For example; when the price is too far from its midpoint and you may be ready to make a correction. This is the beginning for which indicators like the MACD are created. If the price is far from its moving average it is very easy to detect it visually.
Education
by Ed_Ale
VeChain - still in its Symmetrical TriangleVeChain is still within its massive Symmetrical Triangle on this 1d timeframe. Note that VET is still ABOVE its Longterm Upwards trend-line. Note that VET is back ABOVE its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1d timeframe. VET is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that the Lower Band is moving upwards indicating weakening volatility and a possible Bollinger Bands Squeeze/Pinch. Volume on Binance has decreased and note that the last 4 Volume Bars have been below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. VET is back above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 4 daily candles that i have selected. VET is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. If we look at the On Balance Volume (OBV) the OBV (Blue Line) has increased but note that it is still under its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line). If you are waiting for confirmation of renewed upwards momentum STRENGTH then you need the OBV (Blue Line) to cross back above the 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) and stay above it. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend strength has increased with the ADX (Orange Line) at 32.49 and ABOVE its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 30.46. The -DI (Red Line) has increased to 26.70 and the +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 10.52. This tells me that Negative Momentum has increased and Positive Momentum has decreased on this 1d timeframe. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating VET still has a very long way to go on this 1d timeframe before we see the MACD Line (Blue Line) cross back over the Signal Line (Orange Line). Note that we do have lessoning Histograms but note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still under the 0.0 Base Line and it is still in the Negative Zone. The ascending trend-Line of the Symmetrical Triangle is a major support level. If VET ends up dropping more, a good spot to buy extra VET would be around $0.076 - $0.069. I wouldn’t get excited until VET crosses and closes a daily candle back ABOVE the Descending trend-line of the Symmetrical Triangle and turns it into strong support. Also, be on the lookout for when the OBV (Blue Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) as well as a CLOSE back ABOVE the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis on this 1d timeframe. Here is a closer look at this 1d chart. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing. Notes: Symmetrical Triangle = Black Lines on Chart Longterm Upwards Trend-line = Dashed Line on chart LSMA = Black Squiggly Line on Chart Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on Chart VPVR POC = Long Horizontal Red Line on Chart VPFR POC = Short Horizontal red Line on Chart Volume = Red and Green Bars bottom of Chart. Volume MA = Orange Line going through Volume Bars bottom of Chart.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
5
ADA - 1d chart updateADA is still in a Descending Triangle on the Daily Chart. Note that a descending triangle is a bearish pattern. ADA needs to break back above the descending trend-line for renewed upwards momentum. ADA is fighing to stay above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. ADA is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe. A candle above the LSMA is considered a buy signal for traders who use this indicator. Today’s Binance Volume is lower than yesterday’s and note that the Volume Bar is back under its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. ADA is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. ADA is back above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 5 daily candles i have selected. If we look at the On Balance Volume (OBV) the OBV (Blue Line) has increased but note that it is still under its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line). If you are waiting for confirmation of renewed upwards momentum then you need the OBV (Blue Line) to cross back above the 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) and stay above. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend strength has dropped with the ADX (Orange Line) at 29.83 still below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 32.67. The -DI (Red Line) has dropped to 17.92 and the +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 13.18. This tells me that both Negative Momentum and Positive Momentum has dropped and that the trend strength is still uncertain until the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (Black Line) on the id timeframe. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating ADA still has a while to go on this 1d timeframe before we see the MACD Line (Blue Line) cross back over the Signal Line (Orange Line). Note that we do have lessoning Histograms but note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still under the 0.0 Base Line in the Negative Zone. The Descending Trend-Line of the Descending Triangle is a major resistance level. I wouldn’t get excited until ADA crosses and CLOSESs a daily candle ABOVE this level, and unless the OBV (Blue Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) on this 1d timeframe, then ADA will continue to create Lower Highs. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing. Notes: Descending Triangle = Dashed Lines on Chart LSMA = Black Squiggly Line on Chart Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on Chart VPVR POC = Long Horizontal Red Line on Chart VPFR POC = Short Horizontal red Line on Chart Volume = Red and Green Bars bottom of Chart. Volume MA = Orange Line going through Volume Bars bottom of Chart.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
6
VeChain - Longterm Weekly Chart AnalysisLet’s have a look at the weekly chart for the most criminally undervalued crypto EVER. A Blockchain that is actually being USED by some of the words top companies and has a client base that would make any corporate jealous & salivate with envy. It HAS and IS everything every other Blockchain wishes it was. Worthy of note it that the behemoth PwC is an actual shareholder! I’m talking of course about VeChain. VET is below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. A weekly CLOSE ABOVE this level is crucial. VET is still above its 50EMA on this 1W timeframe. VET is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) and note that the last weekly candle bounced off the LSMA as support. Note that overall Volume is still relatively low and the last 16 weekly Volume Bars have been below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. VET is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range. VET is below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 9 Weekly Candles that i have selected. A weekly Candle CLOSE ABOVE this POC is crucial. I have added a few support and resistance areas. At the moment, VET has found some support from its lower support area located at around $0.107 - $0.113 . A weekly CLOSE ABOVE the support are is crucial but not the end of the world if we don’t as there is still a lot of support below. Note that VET is in a massive Symmetrical Triangle on this weekly timeframe. Note that the APEX is around the week of the 13th December. The Moving Average Convergence Diveragnce (MACD) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment and note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has crossed back under its Signal Line (Orange Line) creating a Red Histogram. Note however that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above the 0.0 Base Line in the Positive Zone. A drop below the 0.0 basle line on this 1W timeframe will be very bad so its crucial VET stays above the 0.0 base line in the positive zone. The On Balance Volume (OBV) is indicating momentum is downwards within a range at the moment. Note that the OBV (Blue Line) is below its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line). We need the OBV (Blue Line) to cross back above the 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) as well as break back ABOVE the dotted line at around 162.8B and then at around 163.72B for upwards momentum confirmation. The OBV indicator needs to stay above the 160.079B level. Looking at this longterm chart, even if VET does drop lower, it would still be in a longterm uptrend so long as VET CLOSES ABOVE its Longterm Trend-Line (Dashed Line). Unless BTC massively shits the bed again down to $28k then VET won’t drop to $0.07 but VET may possibly drop to $0.099 - $0.0934 if downwards pressure continues and VET cannot make a higher low or higher high next week. Hopefully, after the release of POA2.0, we’ll see VeChain added onto other major exchanges & platforms like Kraken, Coinbase, Phemex, eToro and Bitstamp which will bring much needed liquidity and exposure. I mean FFS, if ShibaInu & Dogecoin are good enough for Coinbase & eToro, surely VET must be. ;-) I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing. Notes for those who don’t know: LSMA = Black Squiggly Line on Chart 50EMA = Yellow Squiggly Line on Chart Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on Chart Longterm Trend-Line = Dashed Line on Chart VPVR POC = Long Horizontal Red Line on Chart VPFR POC = Short Horizontal Red Line on Chart Volume Bars = Green and Red Bars Bottom of Chart Volume 20 Period MA = Blue Line going through Volume Bars on Chart Support and Resistance Areas = Black Lines with Yellow Shading on Chart Symmetrical Triangle = Ascending dn Descending Trend-Lines
BINANCE:VETUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
8
BTC - Let's have a look at the Weekly ChartBTC - let’s have a look at the 1 week chart for a change: Note that BTC is still above its 50MA for this 1W timeframe. BTC is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1W timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands are looking very close to expanding, at the moment, if they do expand, this would be expansion for the downside. BTC is still in its longterm upwards Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C). Note that BTC has found some support from its Pitchfork Median Line. A weekly CLOSE ABOVE this level is crucial if you are waiting to go LONG. A CLOSE BELOW this level will be great if you are waiting to go SHORT. The week hasn’t finished yet but its very likely that BTC will close this weekly candle as a massive Bearish Engulfing Candle. Note that it is a very similar looking candle to the week of 10th May which, if true, may lead to further drops. BTC is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) level on this 1W timeframe. BTC is back below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 8 weekly candles that i have selected. It is very crucial that BTC CLOSES a weekly candle ABOVE this POC. Note that Volume is still relatively low and note that the Volume Bars have not been above its Volume 20 Period MA since the week of the 17th May. I have added the crucial support and resistance areas on this weekly chart, you can clearly see that BTC is sandwiched in between a rock and a hard place. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the overall trend strength has weakened dramatically on this 1W timeframe. The ADX (Orange Line) has dropped to 27.18 and is below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 34.01. The +DI (Green Line) is at 19.82 and the -DI (Red Line) is at 18.80. At the moment, Positive Momentum is still dominant on this 1W timeframe, but note that the +DI (Green line) is pointing downwards and the -DI (Red Line) is pointing upwards, this indicates we may see Negative Momentum become dominant on this 1W timeframe if the +DI (Green Line) crosses back UNDER the -DI (Red Line). The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is actually indicating that BTC is still being Accumulated with the CMF (Green Line) in the accumulation zone at 0.12. Note that we have accumulation strength because the CMF (Green Line) is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) which is at -0.01 for this 1W timeframe. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is downwards on this 1W timeframe at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) has crossed back UNDER its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a sign of strong Negative Momentum on the 1W timeframe. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is crucial to watch because if you are LONG then you don't want the MACD Line (Blue Line) to cross back UNDER the Signal Line (Orange Line) for this 1W timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above the Signal Line (Orange Line) and is also still in the positive zone for this 1W timeframe. For this 1W timeframe, the support area at $42,721 - $40,670 is absolutely crucial to CLOSE a weekly candle ABOVE. Note that this level also has the Pitchfork Median Line running through it as well as the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 period SMA. If those levels fail as support then BTC will head to the LSMA and then 50MA level. If we do get an influx of upwards momentum, we STILL need to keep an eye on how this weekly candle CLOSES, because the Bearish Engulfing Candle could become a potential Hanging Man Candle, which would be potentially more devastating. Note that CONFIRMATION on what candle this weekly candle becomes and what direction, will be CONFIRMED on how the NEXT weekly candle ends. As with everything, depending on what timeframe you are in be it short-term, mid-term or longterm, confirmation is key. It should be a very interesting couple of days. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing. Notes for those who don’t know: LSMA = Black Squiggly Line on chart 50MA = Blue Squiggly Line on Chart Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on Chart Pitchfork Pattern = A,B,C Pattern on Chart VPFR POC = Short Horizontal Red Line on Chart Volume Bar = Bottom of Chart Volume 20 Period MA = Orange Line Going through volume Bars on Chart Support & Resistance Areas = Horizontal Parallel Black Lines with Yellow Shading on Chart
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
4
BNB: Buying ZoneBNB seems to be going sideway/ slightly uptrend between 405-440. It failed to break above EMA100 so that is still our resistance for now (but once broken the uptrend will be strong). Most recent prices are above EMA30 which is a confirmation of the uptrend, in addition to higher highs/ lows. I would wait for MFI to be below 25 and place my long entry as long as price are still in the “blue zone”. My tp would be 440 and sl at 404. ((Not a financial advice, use at your own risk))
Long
by CryptoPivots