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Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

SPX: New record high! How to proceed?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how the SPX is doing today! Once again, we have a new record high, as usual. This is natural, as we have a strong and solid bull trend. Notice how the 21 ema is a reliable support level too, and as long as it keeps above it, the trend will be very bullish. The red line at 4,429 is another technical support, but there’s nothing indicating that it’ll drop to this point. Let’s see the daily chart: The index denied all its possible bearish signs, and it just resumed the trend. And the recent movement reinforces our idea that the 4,429 is the main key point here. As we discussed in our last study, I prefer to use this support to guide myself. If you are on SPX, and are nervous about it, you may just wait for a bearish structure in the 1h chart, like a bearish pivot point or any bearish chart pattern and let the market cash you out. I wouldn't use bearish candlestick patterns in the daily chart, as they fail most of the time. In addition, if the index loses this red line we’ll see a decent pullback. But for now, no bearish structures in the 1h chart, and no bearish signs in the daily chart. I’ll keep you guys updated, and in this case, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis. Have a good day.
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
5
VTHO 4hr chart updateQuick VTHO 4hr chart update: After yesterday’s massive price rise, VTHO has dropped back under the Upper Bollinger Band which should come as a surprise after such a large rise. Note that we have had an extreme expansion on the Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands so a BB contraction and price dip is a possibility and should not come as a surprise. VTHO is back below its Pitchfork Median Line for this 4hr timeframe. VTHO is still above its 50EMA (Yellow Line) for this 4hr timeframe. VTHO is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (White Line). VTHO has found some resistance from Upper Bollinger Band. Note that VTHO is safely above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. VTHO is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. At the moment of typing this, VTHO is below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range i have selected. VTHO has closed 7x 4hr Volume Bars above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average and looks like it will close a 8th Volume Bar above it. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing that the trend strength is still strong with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 56.58 and still above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 48.46. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 39.65 indicating positive momentum has dropped for this 4hr timeframe, but note that the -DI (Red Line) has also dropped to 2.36 indicating negative momentum has also dropped for this 4hr timeframe. Note that the -DI (Red Line) is starting to curve sideways. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating that momentum is downwards at the moment, note that the RSI (Purple Line) is below its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) which is a sign weakness for upwards momentum. Renewed upwards momentum will be confirmed when the RSI (Purple Line) cross back above the 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) for this 4hr timeframe. The RSI (purple Line) has just dropped out of the Overbought Zone. Here is a closer look at this 4hr timeframe. We could see VTHO range sideways within a range for a few hours/days which would bring the Lower Bollinger Band Upwards, or we could see VTHO drop to its LSMA or 50EMA level as a major support. If the 50EMA fails as support, VTHO could drop back to its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 period SMA. If you are waiting for confirmation to place a long, a successfully break ABOVE the Pitchfork Median Line and successful RETEST of that level as support is key, but note that may change as there might be better lower levels to go long if VTHO dips more. Note that the Pitchfork Hagopian Line has acted as very strong support over the last few weeks so this level is crucial for VTHO stop stay above on this 4hr timeframe. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hold-ing.
by TradingThroughTheLens
1
VeChain quick and dirty 4hr chart updateVeChain is still above its Pitchfork Median Line for this 4hr timeframe. VeChain is still above its 50EMA (Yellow Line) for this 4hr timeframe. VeChain has found some resistance from its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (White Line). If you are waiting for positive confirmation for this indictor, a successful 4hr candle close ABOVE and RETEST off this indicator as support is a potential buy signal for traders who use this indicator. VeChain had dipped in and out of its support zone and found strong support from its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and is now back above its VPFR POC. VeChain is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. VeChain is back above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range i have selected. VeChain has closed 7x 4hr Volume Bars above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing that the trend strength had dropped with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 28.47 and is below its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 30.22. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 18.47 indicating positive momentum has dropped for this 4hr timeframe, the -DI (Red Line) has also dropped to 14.87 indicating negative momentum has also dropped for this 4hr timeframe. There will be more downwards momentum if the +DI (Green line) crosses back under the -DI (Red Line) so its best to keep an eye on this. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating that momentum is upwards at the moment but note that the RSI (Purple Line) is under its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) which is a sign weakness for upwards momentum. Renewed upwards momentum will be confirmed when the RSI (Purple Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) for this 4hr timeframe. Here is a closer look at this 4hr chart with the LSMA, VPFR levels and the Support Zone I've selected: After last nights dip, VeChain still made a higher low so we will have to see is VeChain can continue to make higher highs and higher lows and as always wee need to keep an eye on what uncle BTC is doing. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hold-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
3
So what's BTC sayingHere's a quick BTC 1D chart update: The BTC Daily Chart is looking really good. BTC is still above its 50EMA and its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. BTC is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR) Point of Control (POC) for the fixed range i have selected. BTC is above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this chart’s visible range. Volume has dropped slightly and note that yesterday’s daily Volume Bar closed below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. Nota that BTC has managed to close 6 daily candles above its Pitchfork Median Line and looks like it will make it 7 daily candles. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating Positive Momentum has dipped slightly with the +DI (Green Line) at 28.64 but note that negative momentum is also pointing downwards with the -DI (Red Line) at 9.15. The ADX is showing a strong trend with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 36.36 which is still above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 33.06. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing momentum is upwards at the moment and note that the RSI (Purple Line) is above its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) indicating upwards momentum is strong. The RSI is in the Overbought Zone but note that being in the Overbought Zone doesn't mean BTC will drop because the RSI can range sideways in the Overbought Zone for a prolonged period of time or go up further. Worthy of note is the fact that BTC at 1am on the 9th August, CLOSED a Weekly Candle ABOVE its Sideways Channel. Note that the Bollinger Bands Upper and Lower Bands are NOT over extended indicating that BTC still has volatility room to move either UP or DOWN before becoming overextended on this 1D timeframe. We could see BTC range sideways for a couple of days within a range, but if BTC does dip, it may find support from its Pitchfork Median Line or at around $42,698 range which where its Potential Support Range located. All in all, despite the many prophets of doom and soothsayers on TradingView, $20K didn’t happen! So well done if you managed to stock up on BTC at around $29K. I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
2
Quick ADA 4hr Chart UpdateADA 4hr Update: ADA is still safely above its 50EMA for this 4hr timeframe. ADA is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts fixed range i have selected. ADA is above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range. Note that the last 10x 4hr Volume Bars have been above its Volume 20 Moving Average. ADA is above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that we have had extreme expansion on the Upper and Lower Bands so a re-trace back would not be unexpected. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing strong positive momentum with the +DI (Green Line) at 42.44 and the -DI (Red Line) at 5.99. The ADX is showing a strong trend with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 40.65 and above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 32.17. The +DI (Green Line) is showing that positive Momentum has dropped but note that the -DI (Red Line) is showing that Negative Momentum has also dropped. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating strong upwards momentum and note that the RSI (Purple Line) is in the Overbought Zone. Being in the Overbought Zone does not mean that ADA will drop as the RSI (Purple Line) can range sideways within the Overbought Zone for a prolonged period of time. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is above its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) indicating upwards momentum is strong at the moment. A 4hr candle close above the Pitchfork Median Line and re-test of that level as support is crucial for continued upwards momentum. Note that ADA is also walking up the Upper Bollinger Band, we may see more upwards momentum but because of the extreme BB expansion a slight re-trace back should not be unexpected. If ADA does re-trace backwards, it could drop to its Pitchfork (A,B,C) Lower Green Support Line or lower to it's Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA as potential support levels, but at the moment it looks like ADA might continue walking up the upper band or even consolidate sideways for a few hours bringing the Lower Bollinger Band upwards. As always, we also need to keep an eye or 2 what BTC is doing & may potentially do. Apologies for the lack of post, it’s been a busy time. I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hold-ing.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
1
VeChain - Keep an eye on key levelsVeChain analysis: VET is back above its 50EMA for this 1D timeframe. VET is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that VET is still walking upwards on the inside of the Upper Bollinger Band. VET has found some resistance from its Pitchfork Median Line. If you are Long and waiting for confirmation then a close and successful retest of the Pitchfork Median Line as support is crucial for you. VET is above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range. VET is below its Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts fixed range that i have selected. Note that VET has closed 3 volume bars in the green but they have all been below the Volume 20 Period Moving Average. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing strong positive momentum and the MACD Line (Blue Line) is now in the positive zone. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing a strong trend with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 29.89 above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 29.25. the +DI (Green line) has increased to 22.95 and the -DI (Red Line) has dropped to 9.85, this indicates an increasing in Positive momentum while a decrease in Negative Momentum. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating that the CMF (Green Line) is now back above the Zero Line & back in the Accumulation Zone at 0.02. Note that the CMF (Green line) is way above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) which is at -0.07. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing strong upwards momentum, note that the RSI (Purple Line) is still safely above its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) and note that the RSI still has room to move up before entering the Overbought Zone on this 1D timeframe. So if you are waiting to go long on VET, a break above the Pitchfork Median Line and successful re-test of that level as support is crucial for you. If VET cannot make it back above the Pitchfork median Line then it could drop back to its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA as potential support, and as always, we need to keep an eye on what BTC is doing. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hold-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
3
BTC - Be prepared to adapt to different scenariosBTC Daily Chart Analysis: (Unbiased & just telling it how it is) BTC is still ranging sideways within its massive sideways channel. Note that even if BTC drops back down to $30K, it will still be considered ranging sideways so you should be prepared for this because it will become more of a possibility especially if BTC continues failing to break ABOVE and more importantly CLOSE a daily candle ABOVE its Sideways Channel Resistance. BTC has found strong resistance from its 2 resistance levels. BTC has found some support from around its $38,355 support line area. BTC is sill above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range. IMPORTANT: Since the big volume spike on the 26th July, Daily Volume has been DECREASING and note that the yesterday’s Volume Bar closed BELOW its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. We shouldn’t have been shocked by today’s drop, it was inevitable because you can clearly see the Divergence between the previous 4 days Candles and the Volume Bars because it was indicating a rising Price but diminishing Volume. Note that BTC is still safely above its WEEKLY 50EMA. BTC is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands have started to curve sideways and that this daily Candle is now back inside the Upper Band. Decreasing volatility is to be expected especially after the last few days of increased volatility. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating upwards momentum is weakening with the MACD Line (Blue Line) curving slightly sideways and notice the green histogram has lightened and decreased in height which is a sign of weakening upwards momentum. The day isn’t over yet so this may change. A very bad sign for longs on the daily will be if the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back Under the Signal Line (Orange Line) which would be a major sell signal for most traders. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 31.67, note we also have increasing Negative Momentum with the -DI (Red Line) moving up to 14.62. The ADX (Yellow Line) is starting to curve sideways at 29.17 and the 9 Period EMA (White Line) is pointing upwards at 27.06 so if the 9 Period EMA (White Line) crosses back above the ADX (Yellow Line) then we may see a continued weakening of trend strength on this 1D timeframe. The Chaikin money Flow (CMF) is indicating accumulation has dropped slightly with the CMF (Green Line) dropping to 0.16. The CMF (Green Line) is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is at 0.08. You do to want the CMF (Green Line) to cross under the LSMA (Blue Line) on this 1D timeframe. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating a big increase in downwards momentum and the RSI (Purple Line) has dropped out of the Overbought Zone for this 1D timeframe. We can expect more downwards trajectory if the RSI (Purple Line) crosses below the 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) which will be further confirmation of increasing downwards strength on this 1D timeframe. Potential scenarios if BTC continues failing to CLOSE a Daily Candle ABOVE its Sideways Channel Resistance: 1: BTC drops back to its Bollinger Bands Middle Band 20 Period SMA level as potential support. 2: BTC drops back to its WEEKLY 50EMA level as potential support. 3: BTC drops right back to its Sideways Channel Support at around $31K - $29K levels as potential support. 4: BTC continues to flop around $40,951 - $36,970 ranges. 5: BTC continues to flop around $40,951 - $38,355 ranges. Obviously this is all my opinion and BTC could be at $64K by tomorrow lunch time ;-) but NOT if it continues failing to CLOSE a daily candle ABOVE its sideways channel resistance ;-) I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
1
ADA - Let's have a look at the 4hr chartADA 4hr chart: ADA is above its 50EMA for this 4hr timeframe. ADA is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. ADA is still above its ascending support line. ADA is above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range. ADA is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts fixed range i have selected. Volume has been increasing and note that the Volume Bars have been above the Volume 20 Period Moving Average for the last 6x 4hr Bars. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating we may see the MACD Line (Blue Line) may cross back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) which would be a potential buy signal for most traders who use this indicator. Note that the Red Histograms have turned lighter and are decreasing in size. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is showing a sharp rise in accumulation with the CMF (Green line) rising to 0.10, back in the accumulation zone and back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is at 0.02. Note that the CMF (Green Line) has dipped a bit on the start of this new 4hr candle. The Average Directional index (ADX DI) is indicating Positive Momentum is sideways with the +DI (Green Line) at 27.65 and way above the -DI (Red Line) which has dropped to 15.18. The ADX (Yellow Line) is at 28.56 but still below its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 29.44. Note that the ADX (Yellow Line) is starting to curve upwards so we may see the ADX (Yellow Line) eventually cross back above the 9 Period EMA (White Line) which would be a sign of good upwards trend strength if the +DI (Green Line) stays above the -DI (Red Line). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating upwards momentum has increased with the RSI (Purple Line) back above its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line). Note that at the moment of typing this, the RSI has dipped slightly indicating a weakening of upwards momentum. All in all ADA is looking quite strong on this 4hr chart and looks even better on the Daily and Weekly charts. Obviously we need to keep an eye on what BTC is doing and whether or not BTC can successfully break upwards from its sideways channel. If the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) then we should see increased upwards momentum. Again my charts are not price prediction charts but more educational explaining what the indicators i have selected are actually indicating so i hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hold-ing.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
2
VTHO - what's going on the 4hr chartA quick look at the VeChainThor (VTHO) 4hr Chart: VTHO is still above is 50EMA for this 4hr timeframe. VTHO is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. VTHO had shot up outside its Bollinger Bands Middle Upper Band but has now re-traced back below the Upper Band. Overall Volume has increased and note that the last 6 Volume Bars have been above the Volume 20 Period Moving average on this 4hr timeframe. At the moment VTHO is back above this charts Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range I’ve selected. At the moment VTHO is above this charts Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts fixed range I’ve selected. Ideally we need VTHO to close this 4hr candle above its 2nd resistance line. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indication a sharp rise in positive momentum and note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is in the positive zone and back above its Signal Line (Orange Line). Note that this 4hr histogram bar has decreased in size and has gone lighter indicating a weakening of upwards momentum for this 4hr timeframe. The Average Directional index (ADX DI) is showing Positive momentum has dropped but is still strong with the +DI (Green Line) at 43.23 and still above its -DI (Red Line) which has dropped to 5.74. The ADX (Yellow Line) is indicating a string trend at 35.56 and above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 26.77. We do not want the +DI (Green Line) to cross back under the -DI (Red Line) on this 4hr timeframe. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is showing that accumulation has dropped slightly to 0.09 but note that the CMF (Green Line) is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is at 0.03. We need the CMF to stay in the accumulation zone for renewed upwards momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating upwards momentum has dropped and the RSI (Purple Line) has dropped out of the Overbought Zone. Note that at the moment the RSI (Purple Line) has dropped back under its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) which is a sign of weakening upwards momentum. So we could see more of a drop before the price starts picking up, especially if BTC doesn't pick up. I thought i’d break it up a bit and do a quick analysis of some of my other crypto holdings, in this case VTHO. I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hold-ing.
by TradingThroughTheLens
VeChain - Lets have a look at yaVeChain daily chart update: VeChain had broken upwards through its Falling Wedge Pattern on the 22nd July. VET has broken upwards through its downward trend-line and successfully re-tested it as support 4 days ago. Note that VET had successfully tested its Major Longterm Upwards Trend-line as support twice on the 20th-21st July. As noted on the chart, VeChain may have a new Support Line if VeChain closes this daily candle above it and turns it into support. VET has found some resistance from its 50EMA and has dropped below it. We 110% need to close a daily candle above this crucial level and turn it into strong support on this 1D timeframe. VeChain is above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1D timeframe. VeChain is slightly above its Bollinger Bands Upper band so we may see a drop back under the Upper Band or VET may continue walking upwards on the outside of the Upper BB. Volume has increased and notice that todays volume bar is way above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. VeChain is back above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range that I’ve selected. If VET goes higher, we can expect strong resistance at around. $0.0955 The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing that the MACD (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) and we have Green Histograms of increasing size. We may see the MACD Line (Blue Line) cross back over the 0.0 Level into the positive zone. This would mean that a 12 Period EMA has crossed back over a 26 Period EMA on this 1D timeframe, this would be a very good thing. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the positive zone above the 0.0 level since 17th May 2021 for this 1D timeframe. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating Positive Momentum has finally overtaken Negative Momentum on this 1D timeframe. The +DI (Green Line) is at 24.82 and has crossed over the -DI (Red Line) which is at 15.46. The ADX (Yellow Line) is starting to curve sideways at 28.46 but still below its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 30.13. Note that this is the fist time the +DI (Green Line) has been above the -DI (Red Line) since 11th May 2021 for this 1D timeframe. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating a sharp rise in accumulation with the CMF (Green Line) rising from -0.15 to the Zero Line at 0.0. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is at -0.13. It's a good sign of accumulation strength when the CMF (Green Line) is above the LSMA (Blue Line). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a sharp rise in upwards momentum with the RSI (Purple Line) rising to 59.43 from back when it was in the Oversold Zone on the 20th July. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is back above its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) which is at 44.86, this is a good sign of upwards strength. Congrats if you managed to buy VET at $0.056 or near enough. This rise is great but we shouldn’t jump the gun & we obviously need to keep an eye on what BTC is doing and whether or not BTC can break out upwards from its sideways channel. For VeChain, the daily 50EMA is a crucial level to watch. If VeChain fails to close a daily candle above the 50EMA then VeChain may drop back to its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA, but at the moment it’s looking very promising VET will close above the 50EMA, but again its best to wait for confirmation if your uncertain to go Long. I hope this is helpful with your Trading or Hold-ing
BINANCE:VETUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens