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Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

EURUSD - Next Swing Trade - Multiple Buy Point Hi Traders! If you look at the H4 Timeframe you can see that the market is neither in an uptrend or in a downtrend. Why? The market either need higher highs & lows or lower highs & lows to make a trend. And what do we see? What you can see is higher lows and lower highs and a Support-Trendline (on H4). However, in the H1 Timeframe you can see a tiny uptrend. The market is movin in a parallel channel. Furthermore, it starts to respect the 200EMA. We recommend to buy at the Buy Point, for a low-risk trade and a good target. So, the entry triggers are: - strong H4 Trendline - bottom of the Parallel Channel - 200 Exponential Moving Average - tiny Uptrend Thanks and successful Trading :)!
by swissmoneymakers
3
AUDJPY 1D MA-X STRATEGYTim's MA-X Strategy. This is a Moving Average Crossover or MA-X Trading Strategy setup. MA-X strategy consists of the 100-period simple moving average ( SMA ) in red, and the 20-period exponential moving average in blue. If the 20 ema is above the 100-SMA then we only take buys or longs. If the 20 ema is below the 100-SMA the we only take selss or shorts. *In this case price is above the 100-SMA so we will only take buys or longs. *This Pair has been in a nice uptrend for some time. *It's now pulled back below the 20-EMA and consolidating below the 20. *We are going to look for a close above the 20-EMA to go long. *This trade plan we buy a daily candle close above the 20-EMA. On the breaking candle to enter a full-sized position we want the volume bar to reach up to the volume average. If it doesn't reach the average but does reach 75% of the average open a ½ size position to reduce risk. You can calculate the percentage by dividing the first volume average by the second volume average. You should at least get 75% if you don't then stand aside on the trade. The stop loss will be 1.5 x ATR. The first target will be 1 x ATR. So the way that works is you get your candle close above the 20 ema that's your entry point. At that time you look at the ATR of that candle. You multiply that by 1.5 to get your SL. You measure that distance behind the entry and that will be your SL. Then you measure 1 ATR above the entry and that will be your first target. If after entering the trade the candle closes back below the 20 ema , take the loss right then. Do not wait for the price to hit the SL. Our intention is that a breakout above the 20 ema should be explosive and hit our target fairly quickly. If the momentum goes away we want to shut the trade down without taking a full stop if possible. When the price hits our first target, close half the position for profit and set the SL to break even on the remainder. Follow stops as price moves in our direction until the market takes us out. These two rules are the very definition of cutting your losses and letting your winners run. Typically does this by using two positions. The first position has a stop loss and a take profit. That position will close automatically when the first target is hit. The second position will only have a stop loss and not take profit.
Short
by Tradingstrategyguides
3
EURUSD LAloha,with the dollar (DXY) weakening, Euro could be a temporary long at least to the 50ema on the daily...we'll see what happens there: either a continuation long (a pattern will show us), or a rejection back to form a running channel for clearer direction. Placed the entry right above the 50 ema on both the 15 min and 1hr. First trade of the month. Another entry could be in the works with this ascending wedge continuation squeeze. 4HR: hovered on the 50ema after a bull run with the greater trend showing a higher low. 1HR: broke out of descending wedge/channel and squeezed up and over the 50 ema to just hover like the 4hr. 15M: bull flag. descending wedge, pullback, all very similar phrases can describe what is happening here but in my honest opinion, they all point to the similar long bias with a probability of it making a deeper pullback for a loss.
Long
by Reid_Hicks
2
ONTBTC Double Bottom| S/R Flip| Pull Back Entry Evening Traders, Today’s technical analysis will focus on ONT/BTC, breaking a key level with conviction; an S/R flip retest is likely for a trade entry. Points to consider, - Resistance breached - S/R flip for confirmation - 200 EMA immediate resistance - 21 MA confluence (upon S/R Flip Retest) - RSI in overbought - Stochastics in upper regions - Increasing bull volume nodes ONTBTC has broken an important level with candle closes above; price was consolidating under resistance giving a sign of increasing buy pressure. A Support/ Resistance flip is probable for a confirmation of the now support. The 200 EMA is current resistance (candle has not closed above it), price is likely to respect it initiating a rejection. The 21 MA on the other hand is likely to be in confluence with the S/R flip retest if price retraces (it is likely to align). The RSI is in overbought conditions, sign that the current impulse move is overextended. While the stochastics is in the upper regions, can stay trading here for a while however stored momentum to the downside. Increasing bull volume nodes are evident, can be interpreted as a sign that buy pressure will continue to test upper regions. Overall, in my opinion, ONTBTC has breached a key level; a retest is highly probable to confirm an S/R flip – allowing for a pullback entry. What are your thoughts? Please leave a like and comment, And remember, “Whenever I have had the patience to wait for the market to arrive at what I call a Pivotal Point before I started to trade; I have always made money in my operations.” - Jesse Livermore
Long
by AzizKhanZamani
EOSUSD Trend Line Respected| Local Resistance Confluences Evening Traders! Today’s analysis will focus on EOSUSD which has been in a defined downtrend, currently testing a key resistance area that has multiple confluences. Points to consider, - Bear Trend – Consecutive lower highs - Resistance confluences (21 EMA, local resistance. .236 Fibonacci) - Define down sloping trend line - RSI testing resistance - Stochastics neutral - Low volume – influx imminent EOSUSD has put in consecutive lower highs; price is currently testing local resistance that is accompanied with multiple confluences. In this area the .236 Fibonacci and the 21 EMA in convergence are giving clear sell pressure. The down sloping trend line has been respected with multiple touches; a rejection from current local resistance will likely mean another retest of the trend line. The RSI is testing median resistance, coming out of oversold conditions – quite neutral at current given time. Stochastics is also neutral, has stored momentum in both directions. EOSUSD has clear dry volume with a recent bull pump failure; an influx will be imminent. This will be in conjunction with price direction. Overall, in my opinion, EOSUSD needs to break resistance confluence with multiple higher lows to establish a trend change. However a rejection here will be in confluence with a volume spike, leading to a probable retest of the lower trend line. What are your thoughts? Please leave a like and comment, And remember, “Never let a win go to your head, or a loss to your heart.” – Chuck D.
BITFINEX:EOSUSD
by AzizKhanZamani
BTC - YOU MUST BE A COMPLETE NOOB TO BE A BEAR AT THIS CONDITIONFor any professional trader, it will take 5 seconds to figure out what is going on looking at the BTCUSD chart right now: 1) We have a huge symmetrical triangle at weakly chart 2) The price just touched the bottom of the triangle which goes along weakly EMA 200 and the next target in mid 11 000 3) The RSI in low 30's third time in the entire crypto history 4) We have 2 weakly inside bars one by one at the major support level 5) The price is deeply below "W" VWAP as it always happens before the bounce from the bottom. 6) The stock market in the deep %$##%, so crypto is the only way to make money for the majority of the traders, and they won't miss this opportunity. Do not try to try to convince bears that they are wrong. We will need them later on when they'll jump on the train during the bull run. I hope you are fully loaded. Now, sit back and enjoy.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by LanaFL
27
SPY 200 Point Close (8%)|200 Weekly MA|RSI approaching oversoldEvening Traders! Today’s analysis will be on SPY, a 200 point close on the weekly time frame, saving SPY from having one of the worst weeks in history as it respects the longer term trend line. Technical points to consider, - Price above key technical 200 Week MA - Long term trend line respected - Structural resistance as probable lower high region - Stochastics projected down - RSI approaching oversold - Noticeable bear volume nodes SPY is currently sitting above the 200 Week Moving Average, a level that must hold as a weekly candle close will increase the probability of taking out lows. Price respected the longer term trend line with a precise wick leading to a 200 point close. Structural resistance is a key level to break, if bull volume does not follow through with the bounce, SPY is likely to put in a lower high. The Stochastics is currently projected down with stored momentum, it can stay trading in the lower regions for an extended period of time. RSI is approaching oversold conditions; historically SPY has a relief rally, which can be plausible on the open. There are noticeable bear volume nodes indicating extreme sell pressure putting more emphasis on an oversold bounce. Overall, in my opinion, fundamentally and speculatively this bounce could be due to big balance sheets ramping up the markets to avoid one of the worst weeks in history. It could also be due to large short covering to avoid holding over the weekend. Technically, if price does not break and close above structural resistance within the next couple weeks and months, this will increase the likelihood of lower highs, thus testing lower levels. What are your thoughts? Please leave a like and comment, And remember, “You become fearful the moment you identify with fear. But once you begin seeing it as an impersonal changing phenomenon, you become free.” ― Yvan Byeajee,
AMEX:SPYShort
by AzizKhanZamani
Bitcoins Historic Dump | Key 200 Weekly MA| Bear Sentiment Evening Traders! History made on Bitcoin with the most epic dump to date, over 60%, what now? Bitcoin has a key level to hold for a bullish scenario, the 200 Weekly Moving Average, a candle body close below this will send it to sub $3000. Points to consider, - Strong bear sentiment (traditional markets included) - Holding above 200 weekly Moving Average - Structural support respected - RSI broke key support - Stochastics projected downwards - Volume climax president BTC has experienced one of its most volatile movements as the bearish sentiment rails over all markets. Technically it is above the 200 Weekly Moving Average but a close is needed for confirmation, this increases the probability of a temporary bottom in palace. Structural support was respected with a wick, putting evidence on a volume climax as shown by the volume node. The RSI has broken its important trend line, approaching oversold conditions on a larger timeframe is important to note. Stochastics is projected downwards with lots of stored momentum where it can trade for an extended period of time. Overall, in my opinion, there really is not much plausible with TA as the market sentiment is extremely bearish with the Pandemic. Key technical levels where all negated in a single candle in search for liquidity. For the temporary bottom to be in, BTC needs to remain above the 200 Weekly Moving Average, a close below will test lower levels. What are your thoughts? Please leave a like and comment, And remember, “The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.- John Keynes
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by AzizKhanZamani
5
EURCHF 1D MA-X CROSSOVER STRATEGYTim's MA-X Strategy. This is a Moving Average Crossover or MA-X Trading Strategy setup. MA-X strategy consists of the 100 period simple moving average (SMA) in red, and the 20 period exponential moving average in blue. If the 20 ema is above the 100 sma then we only take buys or longs. If the 20 ema is below the 100 sma the we only take selss or shorts. *In this case price is above the 100 sma so we will only take buys or longs. *This Pair has been in a nice uptrend foe some time. *It's now pulled back below the 20 ema and consolidating below the 20. *We are going to look for a close above the 20 ema to go long. *This trade plan we buy a daily candle close above the 20 ema. On the breaking candle to enter a full-sized position we want to the volume bar reach up to the volume average. If it doesn't reach the average but does reach 75% of the average open a ½ size position to reduce risk. You can calculate the percentage by dividing the first volume average by the second volume average. You should at least get 75%, if you don't then stand aside on the trade. The stop loss will be 1.5 x ATR. The first target will be 1 x ATR. So the way that works is you get your candle close above the 20 ema that's your entry point. At that time you look at the ATR of that candle. You multiply that by 1.5 to get your SL. You measure that distance behind the entry and that will be your SL. Then you measure 1 ATR above the entry and that will be your first target. If after entering the trade the candle closes back below the 20 ema, tke the loss right then. Do not wait for price to hit the SL. Our intention is that a breakout above the 20 ema should be explosive and hit our target fairly quickly. If the momentum goes away we want to shut the trade down without taking a full stop if possible. When price hits our first target, close half the position for profit and set the SL to break even on the remainder. Follow stops as price moves in our direction until the market takes us out. These two rules are the very definition of cuttoing your losses and letting your winners run. Typically does this by using two positions. The first position has a stop loss and a take profit. That position will close automatically when the first target is hit. The second position will only have a stop loss and not take profit. This is the position that will be allowed to run. When the first target is hit we have to manually move our stop up to break even on the second position. Risk only two percent of your trading account of each trade. Each position will then only be 1%.
Short
by Tradingstrategyguides
2
BTCUSD - BITSTAMP - DailySince last week, Bitcoin has dropped through the previous support levels of $9,150 and $8,500, finding a strong support with a 50% retracement from the previous low. Support has been found just above the static support level of $8,300 and dynamic support from the 200 exponential moving average. We should be seeing Bitcoin looking to retest its previous support line (now resistance) of $8,900 in the coming days. If it breaks through successfully (which is a possible outcome as indicated by support form a 50% price correction and static and dynamic support) the next test of Bitcoin’s strength will be at $9,150 and again at $9,500.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by dbs2020
1
BTC Oversold Bounce|Oscillators exhausted|Probable higher HighEvening Traders! Today’s update will be on BTC which has negated the cup and handle formation (see chart linked) and now is in an established down trend. Due to the immense selling pressure, BTC is probable to have an oversold bounce cooling of oscillators such as the RSI. Points to consider, - 21 EMA broken - Structural support intact - RSI oversold - Stochastics in lower regions - Heavy bear volume Bitcoin has broken all key moving averages on the 240 timeframe; this includes the 21 EMA that kept the recent bull trend together. Major daily structural support is intact; a break of this level will increase probability of further downside. The RSI is clearly oversold indicating a probable pull back in BTC; if this was to come to fruition it will increase the chances of a higher low in the trend. Stochastics is currently in the lower regions, can stay trading here for an extended period of time, however lots of stored momentum to the upside. Evident bear volume has cascaded BTC, a proper climax is likely to confirm a temporary bottom. Overall, in my opinion, bears are likely to over-extend on selling and create an oversold bounce, cooling of oscillators and putting in a potential higher low. What are your thoughts? Please leave a like and comment, And remember “There is a huge amount of freedom that is derived from not fighting the market.” ― Yvan Byeajee
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by AzizKhanZamani
1
ETHUSD 1D BEST SHORT TERM TRADING STRATEGYStep #1: Wait For the Market to Make a New 20-Day High The way you should count the highs is simple. Each time the market is making a daily high, you can start counting. The rule of thumb is you only count daily highs that are higher than the previous counted daily high. Step #2: Wait For The Market to Break Below the 20-day EMA For the success of our short term trading strategy, this step is very important. We don’t want to pick tops and bottoms. We feel more comfortable entering the market once the price confirms it’s ready to reverse. Step #3: Enter A Short Position When We Break Below 20-Day EMA As soon as you break below the 20-day exp. moving average, sell at the market. The combination of the 20-day high pattern and the 20-day exp. moving average is the secret to our powerful short term trading strategy. Incorporating the 20-day EMA in your day trading system is one of the best short-term trading tips you can receive. Step #4: Place the Protective Stop Loss Above the Swing High Prior to the 20-day EMA Breakout The best short-term trading strategy employs a very rigid stop loss method. The obvious place to “hide” your protective stop loss should be right above the most recent swing high prior to the 20-day EMA breakout. If the market breaks below the 20-day EMA, and it reverses and breaks above that swing high, this means trouble. It is reason enough to close the trade at a small loss. Why? Because it signals the prevailing trend is still maturing and will resume. This is why you don’t want to be in the trade anymore. If you listen to the price action, this is the best short term trading tips the market can give you. Step #5: Take Profit at The 50% Fibonacci Retracement of the Prevailing Up Trend The logical place to take profits is at the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Normally, that’s the first real target from where the market can reverse. We don’t want to take our chances and risk losing more of our profits. So, we’ll liquidate the entire position here for a nice profit. Note** The above was an example of a sell trade… Use the same rules – but in reverse – for a buy trade.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Tradingstrategyguides
UBER 21 EMA Break | Bearish Divergence| Corona Virus Hello Traders! Today’s update will be on UBER, confirming a bearish divergence as the whole stock market tanks in response to recent developments on the corona virus. Points to consider, - Failure of higher high - Critical 21 EMA broken - Structural support in confluence with .50 Fibonacci - RSI confirming bearish divergence - Stochastics projected downwards - Volume trading at average UBER has put in consecutive higher lows with a recent failure of a higher high signalling weakness in the bulls. An important EMA (21), broke, a daily close below this level will increase the bearish projection. Structural support is critical as this area is in confluence with the .50 Fibonacci, buyers are likely to step in if UBER retraces thus far. The RSI confirmed the bearish divergence by putting in lower highs whilst the price put in higher lows. Stochastics on the other hand is projected downwards with lots of stored momentum. Volume is trading at average, signalling that pressure from both buyers and seller is evident. Overall, in my opinion, a confirmed close on the daily will increase bearish projection as the corona virus uncertainty takes its toll on the markets. A retracement to structural support will be likely if the outbreak worsens What are your thoughts? Please leave a like and comment, And remember, “In order to succeed, you first have to be willing to experience failure.” ― Yvan Byeajee
NYSE:UBER
by AzizKhanZamani
5
200 EMA - best use for entries!I don't use indicators, they're not my style, they lag, they repaint; and in my opinion they don't work. The 200 EMA on DAILY can be useful because of how slow it is. We can use it to filter the direction of which way we trade. Price ABOVE 200 ema = ONLY BUY Price BELOW 200 ema = ONLY SELL Then drop timeframes for your entries via your strategy whatever that may be. If your strategy says go long but price is below EMA, don't take the trade etc... Ignore the EMA on other timeframes lower than the daily. You want a slow daily direction indicator. Don't blindly trade this, wait until price is clearly past the EMA and maintaining a good distance from it. Use it as a guideline if you struggle working out fundamentals to help you filter a direction to trade. NOT TO REPLACE FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS!!!
Education
by joebrownFX
BTCUSDT 4H DOUBLE DEATH CROSS LONG TRADE STRATEGYThe double death cross strategy employs one more moving average that will help you anticipate when the death cross signal will occur. The third moving average is the 100-day MA, which is a medium-term MA situated between the other two moving averages. Step #1: Wait for the 50-day EMA to cross below the 100-day EMA. The two moving averages also need to converge with the price action. You can read more about day trading price action here. If we get the crossover of the 50-day MA (blue line) and 100-day MA (orange line) at the same time the price is testing those moving averages like it’s doing on the GBP/USD chart below, that’s the best-case situation for trade because we can define the risk. The rule you need to keep in mind is that when the MAs converge with the price you have to get ready for the ride because it is going to get BUMPY! Step #2: Multiple entry strategy: Sell1 when we close below 50-day MA and 100-day MA. Sell2 when we break and close below 200-day MA. Using multiple entries to improve your average entry price can be the best way to approach the death cross signal. Scaling into a position is our preferred trading method when looking to capture a large price move in a currency pair. The fact that the price was near the death cross signal, it created tension in the market that eventually will lead to a sharp move to the downside. We pull the trigger on the first half of the trade once we close below the 50-day and 100-day moving averages. If at the moment when the death cross developed we’re already trading slightly below the two moving averages, sell at the market the moment we close below. The second half of our position is entered once we break and close below the 200-day moving average. **Note: It’s important to remember that the success of the death cross signal relays on this simple trade secret that price and the two moving averages need to converge. Keep it 'simple stupid' is not just a simple aphorism, but it’s an old truth that can make the difference between losing and making money trading. Step #3: Hide your protective Stop Loss above 50-day MA and 100-day MA The most important thing we need to define when trading is our risk. If you want to be a profitable trader you really need a limited risk. This is the type of death cross trades that we want to pull the trigger on. If the price were to move back above those moving averages, we can safely assume this is yet another false trade signal. In this trade case scenario, we’re risking a little and our reward is potentially much bigger. So, the best place to hide your protective stop loss is above the 50-day MA and 100-day MA. Step #4: Choose your own Take Profit strategy or use this Two-step process for the take profit strategy: Mark on your chart the high of the candle when the 50-day MA crossed below 200-day EMA. Take profit when this high is broken. Our take profit strategy might seem a little bit complex, but once we break down the steps you need to follow, it will make more sense why we’ve chosen this approach. The first thing you have to do is to remember what we said at the beginning of the article which is that when the price doesn’t converge with the two MAs this is a death cross false signal. In the example below, we can observe this type of price action. Now all you have to do is to mark the high of the candle when the death cross happened and take profit as soon as the high gets broken. **Note: The above was an example of a SELL trade using the death cross strategy. Use the same rules for a BUY trade – but in reverse, in which case we have the golden cross trading strategy. Conclusion - Death Cross Stocks Following the death cross trade signal can be a very efficient approach to identify bearish sentiment in the market. If you want to switch from short-term trading and try capturing larger trends the double death cross trading strategy can help you achieve your goals. You must know that the death cross definition is universally applicable to any other asset classes. We can have a death cross crypto or a death cross gold the same way we can have a death cross S&P 500. Capturing and detecting bearish trends can be a hard task because downtrends are typically different than bullish trends. However, the double death cross strategy gives you a systematic way to tackle bearish trends.
Education
by Tradingstrategyguides
2
S/R Flip| Hidden Bullish Divergence| Holding EMA’s| Scale InEvening Traders! Welcome to today’s update, focusing on XRPUSDT pairings, which is testing a critical support zone with an evident hidden bullish divergence. Points to consider, - Consecutive higher lows in place - Testing structural support (.382 in confluence) - Local resistance to break - EMA’s holding price - RSI diverging - Stochastics in lower regions - Volume below average XRP’s immediate trend has put higher lows, now currently testing structural support which must hold for a confirmed S/R flip. The structural support is in confluence with the .382 Fibonacci, signalling potential buyers stepping in. Local resistance is first target in this trend, XRP can range bound trade from structural support and local resistance. The EMA 26, must hold to avoid a bearish cross, it is important to note that it is also in confluence with structural support. RSI is clearly diverging from price confirming the hidden bullish divergence that is coming to fruition. The stochastics is currently in the lower regions, it too is diverging, putting more emphasis on the bullish divergence. Volume is currently below average, it will require an influx if the S/R flip holds true, volume will play a role in either direction. Overall, in my opinion, XRP is testing an important structural support with EMA’s in confluence. It is probable to see a push into local resistance due to the hidden bullish divergence. What are your thoughts? Please leave a like and comment, And remember, Beginner’s luck often stifles growth. Losses and failure are good for you.
Long
by AzizKhanZamani
CFDs on WTI CRUDE OIL 1HHOW TO USE 200 EMA TO BUY COMMODITIES. 1 - 200 EMA standard measurement of bullish or bearish trends in commodity market. 2 - MA breakouts have multiple false breakouts. 3 - Wait for a breakout and then a retest of EMA. 4 - Buy at breakout of high of breakout candle. If you want to predict which commodity trading levels are worth to base your trade-off, then look no further than the 200-day moving average. The 200-day EMA is regarded as being the standard measurement of bullish and bearish trends in the commodity market. However, a breakout of the 200-day EMA is not always a reliable signal. The reason is that like with all technical indicators it’s prone to give multiple false signals. A simple solution to this very common problem is to wait for the breakout of the 200-day EMA and a retest. This means that you can buy/sell commodities at the first retest of the 200-day EMA. Now, we know that not many traders have the right amount of capital to invest in the long-term. Holding a position for a yearlong period is not suitable for everyone. If you don’t have a big account balance and the patience to ride the cyclical commodity trends, you’re better off if you stick with short term commodity trading
TVC:USOILEducation
by Tradingstrategyguides
9
BAT Structural Resistance|Respecting Support|Probable BreakoutEvening Traders! Today’s update will be on BATBTC, clearly supporting its trend line as projected direction is into structural resistance. Points to consider, - Trend putting in consecutive higher lows - Structural resistance to break - EMA’s providing current support - RSI respecting trend line - Stochastics neutral - Healthy volume BAT has been establishing consecutive higher lows; a higher high will confirm a change in the overall market structure. Structural resistance in a staunched level for the bulls to close above, this is an important level at the apex. The EMA’s are providing current support, must hold true when structural resistance is breached. RSI is respecting its trend line, looking healthy in this immediate uptrend into the apex. The stochastics on the other hand is neutral, stored momentum in both directions. Volume has been healthy, must sustain an increase upon break of structural resistance. Overall, in my opinion, BATBTC has a clear structural resistance to break in order to change overall market structure. A break needs to be backed with viable volume, target are at equivalent resistances. What are your thoughts? Please leave a like and comment, A remember, Trading is mostly a waiting game. if you want action that happens on your own terms, you’re in the wrong field.
Long
by AzizKhanZamani