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Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

ETH looking good hereETH has continued it's retrace back towards both the major support line and the 200 EMA as we discussed in the linked ideas. We are now partially in my Buy Zone and seller momentum is slowing. I'm interested in a small long here, and will add if it drops. Good Luck. ---------------------------------------------------------------- These are my personal views and not financial advice. Please do your own research before investing. I'd love to hear your thoughts, ideas and feedback. Feel free to Comment and I'll try and get back to you quickly. If you appreciated this analysis, consider Liking or Following . Thanks!
Long
by mercury_rising
DJI - longterm Pitchfork Pattern is still valid since July 1932With all this talk about another great depression like stock market crash happening in the very near future, i thought i’d join the fun and take a look and analyse the DJI Monthly Chart. Using an extended Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C), we can clearly see that the DJI has been in an Upwards Pitchfork Pattern since the Month of the 1st July 1932. Chart wise, you can see The Wall Street Crash of 1929 which started the Month of the 2nd September 1929 and ended the Month of the 1st July 1932. History says the crash ended on 13th Nov 1929 but chart wise it didn’t, because the bottom turned out to be around $40 on the 1st July 1932 not $195 on the 13th Nov 1929. Chart wise, the 2020 Covid-19 crash started in the Month of 2nd Jan 2020 with what’s looks like a Monthly Shooting Star Candle which then lead to 2 more Bearish Monthly Candles. The Candle from the Month of 2nd March wicked all the way down to the depths of hell & found strong support from its Upper Yellow Pitchfork Support Line, the price then managed to close back above its Upper Light Green Pitchfork Support Line. Note that the last time the DJI closed a Monthly Candle below its Pitchfork Median Line was the Month of the 2nd Feb 2009. The Price eventually made it its way back ABOVE its Pitchfork Median Line on the month of the 1st April 2009. At the moment, DJI has found strong resistance from its Upper Light Blue Pitchfork Resistance Line. What is interesting is that this Pitchfork Resistance Line served as strong resistance from the Month of the 3rd May 1999 - 3rd Jan 2000, note that the DJI failed to close a Monthly candle above this level and has not closed a Monthly candle above this Pitchfork Resistance Line since the Month of the 2nd Sept 1929. If we take a look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is curving downwards and if it crosses back under the Signal Line (Orange Line) then that will be a potential sell signal on this 1 Month timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line since the Month of 1st Sept 2010. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Positive Momentum has weakened on this 1 Month timeframe with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 23.82 and Negative Momentum has risen with the -DI (Red Line) at 14.94. Note that the Trend Strength is sideways with the ADX (Orange Line) at 21.93 and still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 21.05. If the -DI (Red Line) ever crosses back ABOVE the +DI (Green Line) then that would mean that Negative Momentum has become DOMINANT over Positive Momentum on this 1 Month timeframe. If we look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that the RSI (Purple Line) has dropped out of the Overbought Zone at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is also below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a sign of weakness for Positive Momentum on this 1 Month timeframe. Note that we also have DIVERGANCE with the Price and the RSI on this 1 Month timeframe. The Wall Street Crash of 1929 dropped to around -89%. A drop of -89% from the price level at the moment would take DJI Price to around $3,800. The Covid-19 Crash of 2020 dropped to around -38%. A drop of -38% from the price level at the moment would take the DJI Price to around $21,550. Here is a closer look at this 1 Month chart. Note that if DJI does drop massively again then it has potentially 4 Pitchfork Support Levels to support it before it reaches the Pitchfork Median Line. Note that the Upper Dark Green Pitchfork Support Line will be a crucial level to watch as it has acted as support & resistance on multiple occasions over the last 121 years. I hope this post has been helpful with your trading ;-) On a funny note, some may wonder whether or not the 1929 crash happened to mark the conception of a certain individual called Warren Buffett ;-)
TVC:DJI
by TradingThroughTheLens
4
Polkadot Price PredictionDOT has edged lower after pulling back from Thursday’s high of 27.79. The altcoin has been on a downtrend since early November when it hit its all-time high at 55.28. Currently, Polkadot's price was down by 3.77% at 25.35. On a four-hour chart, it is trading below the 25 and 50-day exponential moving averages. It is also below the long-term 200-day EMA. In the short term, I expect the crypto to remain under pressure. It may trade within a horizontal channel between the week’s low of 24.17 and the 50-day EMA at 26.80709039. Below the range’s lower border, the bears will be eyeing a 5-month low of 20.00. On the upside, a move above the upper border will likely place the resistance level at 30.02. However, as long as it remains below the 200-day EMA at 32.69, the Polkadot price will remain in a bear market.
COINBASE:DOTUSD
by thomasfullerofficial
Undervalued Stock Series #1 : CRSRThe share price for this company have been absolutely beaten down since February 2021.. and that is good for me. The numbers for this company is good and several DCF valuations have suggested that the current price is on average 60% under the fair price. On the technicals, there is no reason for me to buy some shares. Price trading way under the 100-200 EMA cloud and price structures doesn't suggest the bulls have taken over yet. We wait. First sign I am looking for is the highs of the price structure is broken and moving way up towards the EMA cloud.
NASDAQ:CRSRLong
by sufiansaid
GBPUSD OutlookDisclaimer on, This is a personal opinion, I am not responsible on your trading results. Trade with your own risk. The GBPUSD currency pair is still in a correction condition from its major trend (Bearish), if it is observed that the correction has stopped at the 90 EMA area which also coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci ratio. Furthermore, the decline will continue to at least reach the level of 1.33300 - 1.32900 which is the classic support area. If you look closely at the daily time frame, the currency pair is forming a descending broadening wedge pattern.
Short
by riandwip686
VeChain - 1 day chart updateNote that VeChain (VET) is still in a longterm uptrend. Using the Ichimoku Cloud settings of 20,60,120,30, but note I’m only using the cloud portion, we can clearly see that VET is still in the Bullish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud. VET is BELOW is Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 period SMA. Note that the Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands are starting to contract and pinch inwards. Looking at the Schiff Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C), note that VET is still ABOVE its Schiff Pitchfork Median Line. A continuation of daily closes ABOVE this level is absolutely crucial. VET is BELOW its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe. A close below the LSMA is a potential sell signal for this indicator, so be on the lookout for when VET crosses & closes back above the LSMA. VET is back ABOVE its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 10 daily candles that i have selected. VET is still ABOVE its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this chart's visible range. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend strength has dropped with the ADX (Orange Line) at 22.08 and is below its 9 Period EMA (Black line) which is at 25.17. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 17.90 but is still above its -DI (Red Line) which has also dropped to 17.11. This indicates Positive Momentum is still stronger than Negative Momentum on this 1d timeframe. Note that both the -DI (Red Line) and +DI (Green Line) have now turned sideways. The OnBalanceVolume (OBV) is indicating momentum is sideways at the moment. Note that the OBV (Blue Line) is back ABOVE its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) indicating a strengthening of positive momentum. Fist port of call is for VET to cross and CLOSE back ABOVE its BB Middle Band Basis and LSMA on this 1d timeframe. So long as BTC behaves herself and continues closing above the daily chart 50EMA then we may see a more sideways ranging with VET before the next move up. Hopefully now with the release of POA2.0 well see VeChain eventually added onto more exchanges that will help dampen any Binance BTC Longs Futures liquidations. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing. Notes: Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on chart LSMA = Black squiggly line on chart VPFR POC = Short horizontal red line on chart VPVR POC = Long horizontal red line on chart Trend-lines = Ascending & Descending dashed black lines.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
1
ADA - 1 Day Chart updateADA is below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe. Note that we have had expansion of the Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands and this volatility is on the downside. At the moment, ADA is back above its Lower Bollinger Band but note that ADA is still getting downwards pressure at the moment. ADA is below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe. A close below the LSMA is a potential sell signal for this indicator. Using the Ichimoku settings of 20,60,120,30 but note I’m only using the cloud portion, you can see that ADA is underneath the Ichimoku Cloud and in the Bearish Zone on this 1d timeframe. It looks as though we will see the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) cross back UNDER the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) creating a Cloud (Kumo) Twist into a new red bearish cloud on this 1d timeframe. ADA is below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 8 Daily candles that I’ve selected. ADA is below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. Overall Volume is still very low on this Binance chart and today’s Volume Bar looks like it will close under its Volume 20 Period Moving Average (Orange Line). The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating a weak trend strength with the ADX (Orange Line) at 17.54 below the 20 Base Line and below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 18.65. Note that the ADX (Orange Line) has risen slightly. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 11.07 and is below its -DI (Red Line) which is at 18.45. Note that the -DI (Red Line) has dropped slightly but the +DI (Green Line) is still dropping, this tells me that Negative Momentum is stronger than Positive Momentum on this 1d timeframe. The OnBalanceVolume (OBV) is showing momentum is downwards and notice that the OBV (Blue Line) is now underneath its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a big sign of strength for negative momentum for this 1d timeframe. I would not get excited unless ADA crosses and CLOSES back ABOVE the Descending Trend-line (Descending Dashed Line) which would take it back into the Bullish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud system. But ADA needs to cross & CLOSE back ABOVE its BB Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA, LSMA, Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) and Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) resistance levels and also turn them into strong support. If ADA crosses and closes BELOW the Ascending Trend-line (Ascending Dashed Line) then a further bigger drop is possible. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing. Notes: Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on chart LSMA = Black squiggly line on chart VPFR POC = Short horizontal red line on chart VPVR POC = Long horizontal red line on chart Trend-lines = Ascending & Descending dashed black lines.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
5
Steady AUD & Weak YEN Could Make AUDJPY HIT 89.000AUDJPY could target the next high at 89.00 as the path remains clear with least obstacles. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS On the MONTHLY TF the monthly candle closed ideally above 85.000 crucial psychological resistance, indicating that the price is ready to head higher. On the main weekly chart we can see the price failed to break the higher high at 86.00, which is very crucial as the break here would likely remove all obstacles for the price to target the next high at 89.00. Therefore to trade with high probability, the weekly candle must first close above 86.00. Once this happens, the price is highly likely to target 89.00 without much obstacles on the way up. The ascending channel kind of acts a guide for the price to climb steadily with both M & W EMA acting as strong dynamic support. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS Now here is the bold statement: WEAKER YEN & STEADY AUD should make AUDJPY appreciate! Japan's economy faces a tough road ahead compared to its G-7 peers, with the lowest projected rate of growth for 2021, according to the International Monetary Fund. The supply-chain issues plaguing the global economic landscape have hit Japan especially hard. Japan's gross domestic product contracted an annualized 3.0 percent on year in the third quarter of 2021. On a seasonally adjusted quarterly basis, GDP sank 0.8 percent - again missing forecasts for a fall of 0.2 percent following the downwardly revised 0.4 percent gain in the second quarter. For the AUD its not a surprise that USD CPI reading last week caused the currency to depreciate. Last week the NAB business conditions and confidence data came in stronger than last month, as did the Westpac consumer confidence survey. The downside for the AUD came via the jobs numbers last week. The unemployment rate rose to 5.2% VS 4.8%. Employment fell by 46K VS 50K. 26th September to 9th October was the period covered for this data. Therefore this did not capture a large amount of population coming out of lockdown. Next month’s jobs data will play a major role and show us how is the economy faring. Considering all this. the AUD might appreciate especially against the weaker currencies like the YEN and we could well see AUDJPY HIT 89.00.
Long
by FX618Analysis
DXY Broke Vital Resistance! Retail sales in focus this weekLast week was vital and perhaps the most important week for the DXY this year, as it has likely broken a crucial resistance. As seen from the main chart, the weekly candle needed a convincing close above 94.60 which confirms the previous high break. Now it is highly likely in the coming weeks we could see the price targeting the next high at 97.60. Prices would likely be supported by the weekly EMA and ascending channel. LIKELY FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERS FOR DXY THIS WEEK The main talking point here remains the indications of stronger economic activity may keep the Greenback afloat and put pressure on the Federal Reserve to implement higher interest rates sooner rather than later. The latest uptrend in the USD comes on the back of the better than expected rise in the CPI and this week an update to Retail Sales would likely generate a bullish scenario on the USD as household spending is expected to increase for the third month in a row. As a result, signs of uptick in inflation along with evidence of stronger activity may push the FOMC to forecast a steeper path for US interest rates With that said, the US Retail Sales report may generate a bullish reaction in the Dollar as the update is expected to show a pickup in household spending, and the DXY may continue to trade to fresh 2021 highs throughout the remainder of the year as the FOMC starts to scale back monetary support.
TVC:DXYLong
by FX618Analysis
1
Has the time arrived for KIWI to appreciate VS other currencies?NZDUSD has already broken out fairly well out of its descending trendline and currently due to USD strength, it has fallen this week to around 70 cents. This fall offers a great opportunity to trade this pair LONG as the RISK TO REWARD RATIO is highly feasible TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 1. PRICE BROKE OUT OF A STRONG RELIABLE DESCENDING TRENDLINE ON BOTH DAILY AND WEEKLY CHARTS 2. PRICE ALSO BROKE HIGHER HIGH IN THE PROCESS AND NOW THE NEXT RELEVANT TARGET IS SEEN AT ANOTHER HIGHER HIGH (0.73100) 3. ASCENDING TRENDLINE ACTING AS STRONG SUPPORT TOGETHER WITH MONTHLY CONCRETE SUPPORT AT 0.7000 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS ON WHY NZDUSD WILL LIKELY RISE 1. The improving conditions follow the rollback of Covid restrictions across much of the Kiwi economy. 2. New Zealand’s performance of manufacturing index (BNZ) crossed the wires this morning at 54.3 for October. That is an increase from the upwardly revised September figure of 51.6. 3. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has plenty of ammunition to continue down the path of hiking rates, unlike its cross-Tasman counterpart, the RBA. This gives the New Zealand Dollar a comparative advantage versus the Australian Dollar. NZD rate hike bets have increased in recent weeks while the currency’s performance has lagged against the Greenback. That opens the door for a break higher in NZD/USD on the next bout of USD weakness. TO CONCLUDE Based on both technical and fundamental analysis of the current market picture, we can expect NZD to appreciate against many currencies including the USD.
Long
by FX618Analysis
AUDUSD: Potential H & S Pattern. AUSSIE Could Slump to 0.65!A potential H & S pattern seems to be developing on weekly TF on AUDUSD. The blue lines represents concrete psychological support and resistance drawn from monthly charts. The right shoulder is yet to completed here! Shall it complete, we need to wait for vital confirmation: the monthly candle needs to close below 0.7000 level. After this a SHORT trade can be executed based on the RR to target the next support at 0.65000 THIS JUST REPRESENTS MY ANALYSIS ON THIS PAIR AND ITS NOT A TRADE SIGNAL. I HAVE MANY PAIRS THAT I MONITOR AND ALL OF MY TRADES ARE ON W, D , 4H TIMEFRAME (SWING TRADES). ITS NOT POSSIBLE TO POST ALL OF MY ANALYSIS HERE, HOWEVER I POST TRADE SIGNALS WHEN THE CRITERIA IS MET ON THE FX PAIRS I MONITOR. FOLLOW & LIKE TO RECEIVE FREE FX SWING TRADE SIGNALS CHEERS.
Short
by FX618Analysis
Excellent CUP & HANDLE Reversal Pattern on LOONIEIts a good pattern that has developed on this pair. To be able to trade this with certain confirmation, we need the daily and 4H candle to close above 1.25000 resistance. After this a LONG trade can be taken to target 1.26500 Monthly R1 pivot. THIS JUST REPRESENTS MY ANALYSIS ON THIS PAIR AND ITS NOT A TRADE SIGNAL. I HAVE MANY PAIRS THAT I MONITOR AND ALL OF MY TRADES ARE ON W, D , 4H TIMEFRAME (SWING TRADES). ITS NOT POSSIBLE TO POST ALL OF MY ANALYSIS HERE, HOWEVER I POST TRADE SIGNALS WHEN THE CRITERIA IS MET ON THE FX PAIRS I MONITOR. FOLLOW & LIKE TO RECEIVE FREE FX SWING TRADE SIGNALS CHEERS.
Long
by FX618Analysis
POUND Consolidation might be nearing an END!Higher high at 1.42300 area could become a realistic target if the monthly candle closes above 1.4000 psychological resistance. Once this happens we can take this pair LONG to target 1.42300 higher high depending on Risk to Reward ratio. But before this, the descending channel must break convincingly. for this to happen we need strong impulse move which would make the monthly candle close above 1.4000 thus breaking the channel in process. This impulse move/ breakout could happen this month and likely make the monthly candle close above 1.4000. Therefore ideally if conditions are right we can aim to take this pair LONG next month to target 1.42300. THIS JUST REPRESENTS MY ANALYSIS ON THIS PAIR AND ITS NOT A TRADE SIGNAL. I HAVE MANY PAIRS THAT I MONITOR AND ALL OF MY TRADES ARE ON W, D , 4H TIMEFRAME (SWING TRADES). ITS NOT POSSIBLE TO POST ALL OF MY ANALYSIS HERE, HOWEVER I POST TRADE SIGNALS WHEN THE CRITERIA IS MET ON THE FX PAIRS I MONITOR. FOLLOW & LIKE TO RECEIVE FREE FX SWING TRADE SIGNALS CHEERS.
Long
by FX618Analysis