S&P EMAs at Historical Critical PointCME_MINI:ES1!
So I opened the chart at the weekend and flicked through the time frames and upon punching the Weekly I noticed the 21EMA and the 89EMAs were pretty tight. I decided the rest of the morning looking through the historical relationship of these two EMAs. It turns out that each time the 21EMA has come down to the 89EMA, there has been a violent reaction. In general, when there are moderate to minimal macros effecting the markets, this reaction represents a strong opportunity to long. In fact, the 21EMA has never dipped below the 89EMA and recovered until months to years later. On the flip side, on the two occasions the 21EMA did dip below the 89EMA, was in 2001 and 2008...two very significant moments in market history.
I also noted that once the break happens the S&P tends to bottom at around 40%-50% of that breaking point. If we were to use today's valuation, a 45% drop from today is around 2200. That is also the bottom of the COVID crash i.e. where the real market was going to be trading before infinite stimulus was provided by the Fed.
I found this interesting as it seems in these troubling times and with a 'nuclear winter' around the corner in Europe, there is a real macro concern for markets. I'm leaning bearish and I think this rally will fail like every rally this year and lead the 21EMA below the 89EMA. Obviously, I react to the chart and should there be a strong reaction off the touch upwards, I will be flipping bullish.
Emacrossover
📊 The 3 EMA Crossover StrategyThe 3 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) strategy is a popular trading strategy that uses three exponential moving averages of different time periods to identify potential buying and selling opportunities in the market. The three EMAs used in this strategy are the 10 EMA, 25 EMA, and 50 EMA.
🔹What is an EMA Crossover?
An EMA crossover occurs when two different EMA lines cross one another. The crossover doesn't predict future trends, but rather shows the ongoing direction of a trend. That being said, the crossover might actually give a signal that a trend could be ending and will soon be replaced by a new trend.
🔹Why Use 3 EMAs Together?
The three EMAs can give stronger confirmation than just two EMAs crossover. It can also give a better context to the price action in relation to the three EMA lines displayed on the chart. Three EMAs crossing above the price at the same time is a strong bullish signal, while three EMA crossing below the price at the same time is a strong bearish signal.
The crossover of the 10 EMA above the 25 EMA and the 25 EMA above the 50 EMA is used to identify a long position opportunity.
This is known as a bullish crossover, indicating that the trend is shifting from bearish to bullish.
When the 10 EMA crosses above the 25 EMA, it suggests that the short-term trend is beginning to turn bullish, and when the 25 EMA crosses above the 50 EMA, it suggests that the long-term trend is also becoming bullish.
This combination of short-term and long-term trends shifting in a bullish direction can be a powerful signal for traders to enter a long position.
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Trend MasterTrend Master usage.
0. Change to Heiken Ashi
1. Look for SAR buy/sell signal from Indicator
2. Identify trend price above 200MA or below MA200
3. Confirm with MA cloud
4. look for color of SR line it must be Blue for buy / Red for sell
5. Price (open) must be
above SR line for buy / below SR line for sell
GOLD Bullish Momentum (LONG IDEA)
The XAU/USD pair appears to be in a bullish momentum, as evidenced by the higher highs and higher lows seen on the chart. Additionally, the price is moving within an upward trend channel, creating a bullish triangle for accumulation before a potential breakout.
Currently, the price has made a higher high and is undergoing a correction. It is essential to wait for the price to reach the observed zones before making any trading decisions.
These zones are particularly strong due to the presence of Fibonacci clusters. As such, when the price reaches these zones, it is crucial to watch for the formation of bullish candlestick patterns such as pin bars, inside bars, engulfing patterns, and dojis.
Upon the appearance of these signals, a long order can be considered with a target of a 4:1 reward-to-risk ratio. By risking 1% of the trading portfolio, a potential gain of 4% can be achieved if the price moves favorably.
AUDCADGood Night :)
AUDCAD has been examined in different dimensions:
1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system.
2- The structure of recently formed waves
3- Current market momentum
4- The structure of classical and price patterns
In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis.
In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
EMA Crossing and Breakout of Support in EUBUND (15 Min Time)Hello Traders,
The EUBUND has been showing signs of bearish momentum in the 15 min time frame as indicated by the EMA (Exponential Moving Average) crossing and the breakout of the support level. This suggests that there may be a potential trading opportunity for sellers in the short term.
GBPJPY buy ideadipping back into the same weekly level we respected last week...4hr is now bullish, will be buying until 4HR EMA MA cross bearish again
*ideas created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
LFB: That's one small step for man, one giant leap for mankindTargets:
TP: 13.4K
TP: 9.8K
TP: 5.4K
SL: 21.3K
Reasoning:
1. Ema crossover
2. Fib Circles
3. Descending Channel
4. Banks
5. Timing - Global Shifts - Politcs - liquidations
Not financial advise and not to be construed as such, I'm not a financial adviser or trader licensed by any organization nor do I claim to be. These are the thoughts, beliefs, and opinion for why I am shorting the 20K level.
NZDCAD BULLISH FLAG PATTERN Okay, NZDCAD respect daily time for Support and trade move to continue the channel. NZDCAD builds up DOUBLE BOTTOM Pattern with BULLISH FLAG Pattern and breaking Flag range with retest 30 Mint chart EXPONENTIAL 20, 50, 100, 200, Cross over all EMA and Retest 20 EMA, 50 EMA, MOVE UP SIDE again. then I open Long Trade.
Power of Inside Bar - Cingniti TechInside Bars if used wisely, can give us astonishing results in Trading.
Let's understand this scenario.
Stock Name - Cigniti Tech
After 20th Feb 2023, on D TF, this counter merely had any move! More or less it had inside Bars with totally squeezed close prices compared to earlier close. if you observe, closing prices are getting squeezed day by day with drying up sales volume. This indicates sellers are loosing control & buyers ay pitch in!
Following are reasons for my Long view -
1. Stock is in Up Trend.
2. Stock prices are above 200 EMA
3. 10 & 20 EMAs are above 200 EMA.
4. RSI has crossed 55
5. Nifty IT index is in uptrend, so sectors is booming.
So my entry would be on crossover of high of 7th Feb. Same setup & logic can be applied while entering stock on 3rd March, as its crossing previous high of 2nd march for a quick move on upside.
EURUSD : BULL Market Coming FX:EURUSD
Hi , Trader's Our last Analysis Hit Target
Now Market is retesting it's major support level
Buyer's Can gain momentum and push market up from Current level
Once candle closes above 20,50,200 ema which is on same point almost , can boost market up
❤️ Please, support my work with follow ,share and like, thank you! ❤️
3 DAYS EMA100/200I have already mentioned that EMA100/200 cross
on a large timeframe is a more stubborn thing than the same MA 50/200.
It's been a very long time since I posted a TOTAL2.
We have 4 crosses in history on this t.f.
1. Golden received in March 2016. The cycle to the next cross lasted 1030 days.
2. Death cross received in January 2019, the cycle to the next cross lasted 554 days.
3. Another golden cross in July 2020. And almost 800 days to the next red point.
4. Death cross received in September 2022. It's just been 152 days.
I have to tell myself something about why all of a sudden
a new golden cross should be received during the spring?
I'll just open a beer for now.
CGD | Elliott Wave Analysis | Triangle Breakout +30% UpsidePrice action and chart pattern trading:
> The current price crossover above EMA200 with squeezed symmetrical triangle pattern.
> A possible ABC 1-wave uptrend breakout with potentially +20 - 30% upside
> Entry@EMA200 zone
> Target 1 @ 0.786 - 1.0 fibonanci extension level +20% upside
> Stoploss @ right shoulder pattern wave b position -8%
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss
Asian Paints Long TermTechnical Analysis :
-- Strict Stop Loss = 3077
-- Target - 1 = 3387
-- Target - 2 = 3625
-- Target - 3 = 4232
-- Strong support at 2786.
-- Touching 55 EMA
Fundamental Analysis :
-- Current price is more than the intrinsic value
-- Maintaining a healthy dividend payout
-- CAGR: 10 years - 22%
-- Cash Flow is negative
-- ROCE : 27 %
As the PE ratio is a little high compared to the Median PE i.e 68.8. So keep on investing in a small amount
GBPCAD weekly breakdownHello hello! After a bearish year for GBPCAD , it finally shifts on a weekly perspective, breaking the Moving Averages & EMAs finally crossed. For the past 3 weeks we saw a strong impulse on this pair, now waiting for a slow correction that can be followed by another strong impulse upwards. Moreover, the Commitment Of Traders data shows confluence on this analysis, GBP becoming stronger while CAD weakening.
We now have to wait in order to see a correction, and only after that we can be looking for an entrance!
NASDAQ 100 PREDICTION FOR 14-11-2022 Dear trader our prediction for today depend on the the chart analysis 1h , d , 15m
We find the price had moved up a lot without correction and now it make a consolidate for correction in important resistance the price try to break it many time but can't so if the price still not break this resistance then ,, we advice you to be ready to take short position until next support as you see in the chart
Also all the indicators give us same analysis
Be careful today the market not clear until now
GDX gold miner ETF setting up LONGAMEX:GDX
Based on the 4H chart as well as the price action of spot gold
using an EMA ribbon cross-over as well as the volume profile,
I have set up a long trade with two upside targets of about
10 and 20 % upside respectively with a stop loss of about
4% which would be adjusted as soon as the price rises above
$ 27 to move the stop loss to the entry price making for
a breakeven free trade after that. Overall, spot gold
is sitting on support with a bullish RSI divergent pattern.
I also see GDX as a candidate for the intermediate term
call options out of the money about 15% above the current
price being between the two targets.
TIEwatching res lines and interaction with TL. DMI looks pretty good though not overly bullish yet. 21 ema about to cross above the 200
BABA LONGKeltner Channel is looking upward which is typically a good set up for long position.
RSI just bounced back from level 50 and is going to cross the signal line again. Hopefully aiming for the overbought zone.
MACD seems to be losing strength but always above the signal line.
Moreover having a look at EMA we can see that 6EMA crossed up 18EMA which crossed up the 50EMA. It could be a hint bullish momentum.
Stochastic and Bollinger bands seem to confirm previous situation.
We put the entry price above yesterdays closing price just to have some margin because of the premarket price which is at 106.6 at the moment while writing.
ENTRY: 107 YELLOW
SL: 100.73 RED
TP: 119.5 GREEN
[Signal] AUDUSD: Bear-ing on Growth
Pair: FX:AUDUSD
Timeframe: H4
Direction: Short
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Price action went below mid of Parallel Channel
- Stochastic Overbought momentum
- Wide EMA gap
- Resistance ceiling can be seen at the previous high levels
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Growth outlook is slowly weakening across the globe due to high prices
- Weakening purchasing power will sap demand for commodities and Australia is considered as a commodity currency
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.7200 - 0.7250
SL: 0.7291
TP1: 0.7110
TP2: 0.7065
RR: Approx. 2.27 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and we are not responsible for any losses derived from it.