Preference for EMA`s over standard MA`s.Hi.
Another comment on signal compatibility.
In EMA crossing a true death cross should be considered the crossing of EMA100/EMA200.
This is usually always dangerous.
Since the model situation I want to discuss is now occurring on the daily DXY, let us take it.
1. So there is a fresh death cross printed on January 6.
2. There is no crossing of EMA100/EMA200 now.
3. The candles came out from under diagonal resistance
(what about the fact that the rate hike was already built into the conditions by the market?! lol).
But how do I know if the momentum is depleted?
The index has no volume...
With volatility outlook.
4. SQZMOM_LB shows a daily divergence and a squeeze entry before jumping up. Further rise in DXY will be supported by expansion momentum.
5. So I have some confusion about the death cross indication and its possible consequences...
If there is no support in the form of right away falling volatility for example...
That is why I am looking at other crosses.
6. It turns out that if I short DXY anyway more important indication would be EMA20 and EMA 50 (red and orange).
Since the move should be taken as early as possible and not wait for "iron" confirmations.
But it turns out that MA cross is too late for a short, and not convincing enough for a
continuation of the short at the moment when the cross finally happened...
7. In this case I think we're in for a ~108 level attack, which will prevent a cross at EMA100/200.
EMAS
$FTM - could give us a SHORT opportunityHello my Fellow TraderZ,
$FTM in a recent uptrend literally ripped up the Shorters. But here could be an opportunity ONLY if we lose the Support of Line & the EMA 50 on 4 HTF.
Will see some strong retracement in downward around 15-20%. It could retrace more up to $0.32-$0.35, but will see that if #BTC starts behaving like a Bad Boy.
Get ready, observe the conditions, wait for Lower Low and just Hammer in CAPO style.
CHEERS!!!
$CRV - stucked in a rangeHello my Fellow TraderZ,
This is beautiful to see $CRV is ranging within a Range. If breaks above, it will blast to $1.42-1.55.
Currently, this is holding 200 Daily EMA which is quite good sign. If this comes down to the bottom of the range which also can be good area to LONG. But stay a bit #SAFU with tight SL if range breaks down.
CHEERS!!!
Consider the Long-Term ChartI'm not going to call if the bottom is in or "not so fast" but just want to point out that we may only be halfway through a significant long-term downturn. It's concerning to me that RSI has broken significantly below 50 for the first time since the market recovered from the lows in early 2009. It's also concerning that price looks like it wants to retest the 50-mo. EMA after seemingly finding support a couple months ago. There's still considerable downside risk to the 200-mo. EMA where it has found long-term support in the past and it also happens to currently line up with a double bottom with the covid panic low from early 2020. Will it go down to the 200-mo EMA now? I'm not sure, I'm just saying that it could and you need to be prepared for that. I do know that if it continues to drop it would be a blood bath down at those levels and also a great long-term buying opportunity in my opinion (it could find support above, at or below the 200-mo EMA and an interesting level would be the top from the tech bubble around 2000 which lines up with a period of sideways consolidation from 2015-2016.
Wipro Bullish in 1 DTF!#The Pattern is a simple Support and Resistance
Points to Look:
1.The Channel Pattern is slanted downwards, this pattern has a high success rate!
2.Inside the pattern the recent trend is Bullish(Higher Lowes formation)
3.There is 'W' shape pull visible(23 Dec to Jan 6 touch points) in the trend which is also a good bullish sign.
4.Despite all this wait for a confirmation candle tomorrow and then take the position.
5.The Stoploss is minimal which can be kept below the upper trend line also shown in chart.
$Happy Trading Mates$
TINPLATE S&R in 1 DTF!!!***Simple Support & Resistance Pattern!
Note: Only enter after crossing the Blue Line is my suggestion to all, happy trading mates.
XRPhilharmonics and the Crypto Symphony OrchestraSeriously tho, LOOK at that harmonic!
Would have been nice to bag one final TP at the 200 ema buut we had some nice profs and DCA'd into a decent short hedge close to the top of this last wick. See how we do eh?
Some fundamentals here :
1. SEC v. Ripple could be larger than I'd anticipated even though the shifty regulator supposedly only has jurisdiction over US, so . .
with that being said, the issues relating to regulatory clarity should bring high volatility before AND after any kind of adjudication.
2. Large volumes of XRP continue to shift and fundamentally, the ecosystem / XRPL has no shortage of development activity and
the projects that rely on XRPL just continue to expand. I'm a Python guy and have been using XRPL to better understand what's
under the hood. I've looked into many other projects including Stellar (XLM), Thorchain, et. al. and by far and wide, XRPL seems to
be the most impressive. I know you ETH guys might chirp about that but I've mucked about with Solidity, smart contracts, etc. but
truth be told, I've never liked having to deal with ERC-20's, too spendy, slow and labor intensive for my liking. XRP = fast,
cheap and easy, the way we like em ;)
3. FTX lawyers got green light to liquidate holdings in order to get square with their creditors. Crypto ALWAYS pumps ahead of a mass
distribution event and I don't trust this most recent market pump. It just "feels" dirty.
Getting back to the technicals, any other Fibonacci fan can tell you to follow the retracements but I'm a fork guy as well, love the Schiff's
so looking at the most recent price action, I'd be looking to re-accumulate at lower levels if that big massive Harmonic elephant in the tub
starts to really move.
We've got our long cold bags and added some on that last 0.33's range but don't be surprised if we head back to the garage days (sub 0.20)
and see some big buying ops down there in the basement. Hedge your bets and don't be afraid to lock value on your longs with a few shorts.
Enjoy the fireworks and as always, not investment advice.
Box out . .
Bitcoin Bottom Comparison Food for thought - when BTC bottomed in 2019 it gave next to no pullbacks for traders to get involved.
Shallow retracements, reclaiming the ema's and pushing higher with tight bullish consolidation.
Just keep the possibility open in your mind - that if we have seen our potential bottom at this point, it could move fast and leave many sidelined.
Don't fall into absolutes, keep an open mind.
Cheers
US Dollah, WTFork Mate?No fundamentals at all, just a look back to 2020 and where we might be headed near term.
I know the PPT will do what it does but I'm eyeballin' the convergence of some really low hanging fruit metrics
- EMA
- Fib eyeball retrace from long term lows
- fork action long term
- long term Cup & Handle post breakout
Just DCA my dudes and avoid an "all-in" on this maybe.
GL!
* * * not investment advice * * *
XRP | Unlocking the Secret Bonus LevelWelcome XRP friends! Wondering where we're going? Here are some things to consider :
As we come out of our US Thanksgiving Day food comas, we're looking at some decent gains on the most recent run BUT, you're asking if this is it? Honestly, I think it still has legs for the 0.45 area where we find resistance at the 200 EMA
Look at the fork and see if it makes sense to go there, I think the Fibonacci's all suggest it's possible.
Remember, XRP ALWAYS pumps before mad dumps and there's still a ton of overhead selling pressure if you look at the VPFR, Look at all the volume that went into the 0.50+ range before the most recent selloff.
Check out recent statements by Ripple CTO regarding ETH looking more and more centralized as a result of much of the network relying on AWS servers. What a comedy show and Vitalik looks more tarded with each passing day.
Bitty is also having plenty of negative light being cast, I can't see us NOT having more down.
Anyway, see you at the bottom . . eventually
EMA death cross on weekly BTCUSDIt appears that the EMA50 has never passed, never mind even touched the EMA200 on the weekly charts since time began(2011 on bitstamp ), a weekly death cross.
This could explain the recent uptick in buy volume , the 50 bouncing off the 200 .
If we continue up, the actualy EMA200 is sitting at $25k , or next step up to the volume hole at $27,200k -can we get that high before we go sub 10k?
EURAUD a SellOn the 1hr chart, EURAUD has given 3 patterns in 1. An overall double top at the 800ema resistance, with the first leg being a head and shoulders formation, and the second leg is a double top. Both at 800ema resistance. If you flip over to the 4hr chart you will see a perfect double top at resistance. Thank me later
US100 a buyUS100 is setting up for a buy, if the current 1hr stick end in a strong bullish stick, we should see more moves upwards. Price has broken the 800 ema reistance, closed above it, retested it as a support, with the current stick determining the direction.
EURSGD - W patternHello traders! We can spot a similar formation on EURSGD as on EURJPY, about which I discussed in my previous post, and which has already reached the take profit. EURSGD also seems to create a strong impulse downwards, completing to the neckline the W that was formed on the daily timeframe . We can see that the MACD is below 0 and EMAs are crossed, showing us a bearish environment. From here, there is a high probability of reaching the neckline of the daily W, going to at least at 1.425
OANDA:EURSGD FOREXCOM:EURSGD
EURJPY - W patternHello guys! EURJPY seems to create a strong impulse downwards, completing to the neckline the W that was formed on the daily timeframe. We can see that the MACD is below 0 and EMAs are crossed, showing us a bearish environment. From here, there is a high probability of reaching the neckline of the daily W, going to at least at 140.8.
FX:EURJPY OANDA:EURJPY
$OP - Ranging inside the Symmetrical TriangleHello my Fellow TraderZ,
#Optimism $OP is looking on the 4 HTF.
Price has been ranging inside the Symmetrical Triangle for 2 months and I'm soon expecting a breakout.
I'm kind a bias towards #Bulls only if wee breakout of the Upper TL. But still if you wish to trade then $0.96-1.15 would be a good trading range for quick gains.
Buy zone (yellow circle) is around EMA 50 & 200 and perhaps wee would see bullish cross.
Happy Trading. CHEERS!!!
GBPJPY -bearish impulseHello everyone! Here you can see an interesting formation of a downward impulse on GBPJPY, after the correction that was created last days. The entry point was already triggered and the position is live. The environment is bullish, EMAs are cut for short, MACD is above 0 and the moving averages also show confluence.
Setups for MondayOrange pairs: AUDNZD, AUDCHF, NZDCHF, GBPCAD, EURAUD, GBPNZD, NZDCAD, EURNZD, EURCAD
Green pairs: USDCHF and GBPCHF
Purple pairs: AUDCAD and EURGBP
*
Orange = Moving away or getting slowly to our trade, not suitable for a trade yet unless it's giving a little bit more in our direction
Green = Close to a trade, needs a break for anything serious
Purple = Very close to a trade! Needs a retest or a break of exhaustion point for an entry.
Have a great week all! :)
December 27th Trading RecapHere all the trades I took, not as in-depth as usual but still good info regardless. If you take nothing from the video take these things:
Multiple TF confluence regardless of startegy
follow your strategy
follow your plan(stop loss and take profit, if you lose you lose, if you win you win, so what. Scared money don't make money)
PR LongVery similiar to ET, like almost exactly the same. Didn't do much outside research but looking purely techinical analysis it looks solid. Going to play a break above 9.40 for entry. But for my reasoning:
holding golden zone on fib
RSI peeling above 50 on 4hr/daily
breakout of consolidation phase
showed strong support on weekly with a doji with more volume
close above 50 EMA on 4hr
Looking for strong ignition candle(high volume) to break above this level
Already seeing increase of volume on 1hr
Also seeing close above 200 EMA on 1hr
The close above on daily would confirm hold above EMA's and BT cloud flip
lots of bullish sweep calls on flow order
if we push above we have potential gap fill at 10.4
Mind you I'm just getting back to swings and I'm mostly a day trader so I have no idea how these will go it's just what I think.
BTC Respecting Our Support and Resistance Levels!As you can see from our previous post, BTC rejected from the top of our upwards channel on the 4h (combined with a sell signal from Wave Fusion) and bounced PERFECTLY off of our 200 EMA and horizontal support at $17,300. This was the level I mentioned in my last idea and it's good to see it come to fruition.
Now I'm expecting Bitcoin to climb back to $17,640 and retest that resistance before a second visit to $17,300 for a possible double bottom. If we break $17,640, then $18,200 is our next target (top of the channel). If we break our support at $17,300 then $16,700 in the next major level of support.
If you enjoyed my TA or had any questions about the indicators used, please leave a comment or send me a PM :)
Good Price Action Triangle in 1DTF! Trident.***The above is simple the price action formed in 1DTF.
>The Supports are numerous... They are 5 good supports!
>The Resistances are 4... The 4th resistance almost took the 3rd one indicates the bullishness in the trend!
>The Trident is Textile stock which has the scope of showing the good numbers in coming Quarters due to Christmas is also a point to
be considered.
>The good accumulation is what I can see now, may be to give a good Break Out.
>The the risk to reward is 2, do Swing Trade and trail the stoploss once the R:R is captured.
***Trade and comment if any doubts in analysis, Thanks!
EURAUD - another bullish impulseHello traders! EURAUD has just created a slow correction after its last impulse, now printing a green and aggressive candle which can indicate another strong impulse to the upside. For the last weeks, the pair moved on a range, and now it finally managed to break it. EMAs are cut for long, and so does MACD, indicating a bullish environment, and the technical indicators are also suggesting a strong buy.