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Emergingmarkets

The Chinese Breakdown appears to be acceleratingThe breakdown in my China/Asia custom index appears to be accelerating downward. I called this move over 4 months ago as I saw economic issues playing out in China that could be dangerous. With Malaysia's new PM, Mahathir, pushing to expose corruption and graft from locals and Chinese investment firms, I expect continue news to POUND China over the next 12+ months. I expect Mahathir to be ruthless in terms of who and what is exposed as well as the criminal process involved. Honestly, I believe Malaysia could actually HANG people because of this as an act of Treason against the Malaysian people. Don't try to bottom pick this move. This could be the unraveling of the Chinese Ponzi scheme and you don't want to be anywhere near this when it fully implodes.
INDEX:000002Short
by BradMatheny
This rally in #Emerging Markets should be shorted on 5% Bounce $EEM $VWO $IEMG $SCHE $EUM These custom support resistance indicator lines show decent places to enter or exit. The Blue indicator line serves as a Bullish Trend setter. If your instrument closes above the Blue line, we think about going Long. If your instrument closes below the Red line, we think about Shorting. For Stocks, I prefer to use the Yellow line as my Bearish Trend setter (on Daily charts). Find out more. Send Private Mail (PM) to @MasterCharts
AMEX:EEMShort
by mastercharts
Emerging Markets are VulnerableHello All, This is a break from Crypto and about Global Emerging Markets. I will keep this simple. Emerging Markets are beginning to show signs of stress due to an increase in the dollar, trade tariffs and rising interest rates. Thus, this fund by Ishares is at risk of long term downside. Symbol EEM My plan is to short until August 40 puts. I expect a retracement to 36.61. you can read about them with my XRP assessment. I am considering 32 puts for December too-but will wait a bit to confirm the movements. I am using my selected tools and market knowledge to support my assessment.
AMEX:EEMShort
by ramonbenavides12
2
SHORT on USD/ZAR - Bearish BAT + FundamentalsUSD/ZAR presents a nice short, as recent gains in USD may not be sustainable. Price broke above the parallel channel , I believe the pair is overpriced. A nice Bat-Pattern indicates a good short back in the channel. Target around 12.0000 Fundamentally , rate increase and the US 10 year treasury yield at its highest since 2014 provoked such a hike. Take the trade but watch the US yield closely. As Europe and Canada are increasing their rates as well, the US dollar is expected to lose value. In addition, the IMF increased its forecast for growth in South Africa to 3.4% for 2018; we can hope for unemployment to go down in the next months. I see a good chance for USD/ZAR to go down even further.
Short
by Tutur
1
mother of all charts US 10 yr yieldshigher dxy real rates spread increse => pressure on gold prices? bearish for across the board EM assets terrible news for etf managers china to start thinking about all the 1.3 bn usd worth of almost 0 yield US papers they hold imf and wb funding become more important => sharing policy making decissions with the west again .... for the sector, it means importance of the managed funds will increase. stock picking will be the name of the game again thanx god....
TVC:US10Y
by tncckn
Not all bonds are declining!EMLC has just experienced a bullish breakout of a wedge pattern. That occurred above support (23.6% retracement of all-time high to all-time low), which lends to the bullish slant. It's also recently tested and held a rising channel bottom and had a bullish breakout in the RSI, further strengthening the bullish setup. Volume has been robust and accelerating, as well, suggesting conviction in the move higher. As rates rise, bonds will obviously fall in value. However, that's not the case everywhere. EMLC primarily owns emerging market government debt (>96% of holdings), along with a few corporate bonds. It invests in debts in the local currency, which reduces exchange rate risks. It has vastly outperformed US government debt with a 1-year return of +11.2%. Compare that to SHY, IEI, IEF, and TLT 1-year returns of -0.1%, -0.41%, -0.54%, and +3.0%, respectively. Not only is the fund experiencing price appreciation, but it also offers a 5.3% dividend via monthly distributions. This is a great place to park cash and achieve some return while market turbulence and volatility prevail. I'm a buyer at current levels, with an intermediate term target of $20.81, the 38.2% retracement.
AMEX:EMLCLong
by EchoAlphaBravo
Move on, nothing to see hereSideways movement predicted for USDCNH till the end of 2017. Nothing to see here, move on to another pair. Fundamentals -CNY fixing (Higher swaps -> lesser short interest) (Authority looking to keep yuan stable. Volatile Yuan -> Bad for economy) -Fed Rate Decision (Yuan least affected by fed decision -> see capital flows for direction of currency) -Balance of Payments (Don't expect BOP to deviate in extreme fashion -> See FX reserves) -Devalued Yuan is providing support to economy -> improvement in industrial profits Technicals Strong resistance at 7.0, Support expected to deviate between 6.7 - 6.75 Black Swan Events -Real Estate Bubble pops - 20% (Personally, I do not expect the bubble to pop in 2017. Open for debate) No further explanation needed -Donald Trump - 5% (North Korea deal informally reached? -> See Xi's visit to US) "China is a currency manipulator" -> competitive devaluation
by AnthonyLi7f