SPX Model Trading Plans for MON. 04/10Exuberant Pumping-up to Settle Back Into Reality? Day 6
In our trading plans published yesterday, Tue. 04/04, we wrote: "With the quarter-end window dressing, and the new month beginning related artificial/seasonal boost to the markets behind us, the reality of the economy, inflation, and the interest rates soon to be driving the markets again. Whether it would be glass-half-full or glass-half-empty camp that leads remains to be seen. Our models indicate initial pressure to the downside.".
We re-iterate the same view today, and until we change it.
Positional Trading Models: Our positional models indicate no trading plans until otherwise published.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Trading Plans for MON. 04/10:
Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4141, 4116, 4087, or 4077 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4138, 4099, 4084, or 4072 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exit on a break below 4109, and explicit short exit on a break above 4093 or 4053. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 09:31am ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #fomc, #fed, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession
Emini
Exuberant Pumping-up to Settle Back Into Reality?Exuberant Pumping-up to Settle Back Into Reality?
With the quarter-end window dressing, and the new month beginning related artificial/seasonal boost to the markets behind us, the reality of the economy, inflation, and the interest rates soon to be driving the markets again. Whether it would be glass-half-full or glass-half-empty camp that leads remains to be seen. Our models indicate initial pressure to the downside.
Positional Trading Models: Our positional models are indicating early signs of bearishness, and are monitoring for a potential short signal. For now, no trading plans for the day.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Trading Plans for TUE. 04/04:
Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4131, 4121, 4101, or 4085 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4128, 4117, 4098, 4094, or 4081 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exit on a break below 4147, and explicit short exit on a break above 4063. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 12:01pm ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #fomc, #fed, #newhigh, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #powell, #economy, #interestrates
NQ- HAS SCOPE TO XYZMTF Long leading into a long term short position
extreme link to BTC can see something almost exact to match
Has scope to be various ew counts and the main 2 both have scope to hit the desired zone with multiple confluence's
Would make sense in terms of seasonal pivot timing and line up nicely on multiple fib time pulls.
also i can the inverse movements within the DXY and falls in line.
could go deeper but i have moves on es and ym that would also corelate
Having said all of the above my secondary idea see's at at resistance currently with a small push to the upside with a pivot being placed and seeing us attack and the high time frame lows to form a true bottom and very first stages of a new bull run this year.
expectation of a very sideways first wave for a prolonged period that is difficult to enter with confidence then a very deep wave 2 that stops the feint hearted long term positions
followed by an extreme wave 2 that climbs beyond all expectations
SPX Model Trading Plans for FRI. 03/31PCE, Window Dressing, and Witching
This morning's PCE data release was a yawn. While the window dressing is going to exert a push to the upside, the quarterly index options' positioning looks to be exerting a pull to the downside. Which side wins - especially in the last hour - could determine how we close today. After that, Monday will be a whole new story.
Positional Trading Models: Only nimble, opportunistic trading - as opposed to positional trading - could be safe in these waters. Hence, our positional models are indicating to stay on the sidelines for yet another day.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Trading Plans for FRI. 03/31:
Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4073, 4064, 4036, or 4033 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4068, 4060, 4053, 4044, or 4029 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exit on a break below 4060, and explicit short exit on a break above 4064 or 4048. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 10:01am ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #fomc, #fed, #newhigh, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #powell, #interestrates, #yields, #bankfailures, #SVB, #CreditSuisse, #Deutsche
SPX Model Trading Plans for THU. 03/30Window Dressing Buoying The Markets?
As we wrote in our trading plans on Tue., 03/28: "However, our models indicate the risk for the markets to spike to the upside rather than to the downside, owing to the potential for quarter-end window dressing. We will get more clarity on this potential as we approach Friday". Our models continue to monitor the price action today for a potential spike up into tomorrow.
Positional Trading Models: Only nimble, opportunistic trading - as opposed to positional trading - could be safe in these waters. Hence, our positional models are indicating to stay on the sidelines for yet another day.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Trading Plans for THU. 03/30:
Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4057, 4042, 4033, or 4016 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4053, 4029, 4013, or 4007 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exit on a break below 4038, and explicit short exit on a break above 4010. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 09:31am ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #fomc, #fed, #newhigh, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #powell, #interestrates, #yields, #bankfailures, #SVB, #CreditSuisse, #Deutsche
SPX Model Trading Plans for WED. 03/29Choppiness to Persist Into Friday?
As we wrote in our trading plans for yesterday, Tue., 03/28: "However, our models indicate the risk for the markets to spike to the upside rather than to the downside, owing to the potential for quarter-end window dressing. We will get more clarity on this potential as we approach Friday". Our models continue to be in an indeterminate state.
Positional Trading Models: Only nimble, opportunistic trading - as opposed to positional trading - could be safe in these waters. Hence, our positional models are indicating to stay on the sidelines for yet another day.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Trading Plans for WED. 03/29:
Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4010, 4000, 3987, or 3972 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4004, 3994, 3982, or 3967 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate no explicit long exits or short exits for today. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:45am ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #fomc, #fed, #newhigh, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #powell, #interestrates, #yields, #bankfailures, #SVB, #CreditSuisse, #Deutsche
SPX Model Trading Plans for TUE. 03/28Rising Yields Back In Focus
With the banking chaos now a bit settled, the markets seem to be focusing back on Interest rates (and, hence inflation). The rising yields today seem to be holding back the markets. However, our models indicate the risk for the markets to spike to the upside rather than to the downside, owing to the potential for quarter-end window dressing. We will get more clarity on this potential as we approach Friday. For today, the models continue to be in an indeterminate state.
Positional Trading Models: Only nimble, opportunistic trading - as opposed to positional trading - could be safe in these waters. Hence, our positional models are indicating to stay on the sidelines for yet another day.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Trading Plans for TUE. 03/28:
Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 3986, 3976, 3965, or 3957 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3983, 3962, or 3955 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 3972. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:45am ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #fomc, #fed, #newhigh, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #powell, #interestrates, #yields, #bankfailures, #SVB, #CreditSuisse, #Deutsche
SPX Model Trading Plans for FRI. 03/24When Bank Safes Don't Feel Safe Anymore...
Not just U.S. regional banks, but CreditSuisse the other day and now Deutsche Bank...investors seem to be wondering if they can feel safe with their banks, and that could lead to them first selling and then asking questions. So far, there doesn't seem to be much of a panic on the markets...yet.
As we wrote in our trading plans yesterday, "For now, markets seem to be still parsing and confused as indicated by the whipsaw action so far". This confusion now could be spreading to not only the FOMC's ability to fight inflation, but about the Fed's ability to avert another 2008-like meltdown in the financial system. How this confusion evolves would have a bearing on where the markets will go in the short term, and we have no way of knowing it.
Positional Trading Models: Only nimble, opportunistic trading - as opposed to positional trading - could be safe in these waters. Hence, our positional models are indicating to stay on the sidelines for yet another day.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Trading Plans for FRI. 03/24:
Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 3957, 3948, 3941, 3926, or 3911 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3946, 3937, 3923, o 3908 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 3953. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:05am ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #pce
SPX Model Trading Plans for THU. 03/23Collateral Damage or Covert Help?
(after being stuck in an indeterminate state, our models are out today with their trading plans for the day)
The banking meltdown seems to be the collateral damage from the Fed's battle with inflation. Chair Powell tried his best to be balanced in his press conference post-FOMC yesterday, trying to indicate his preparedness to fight the inflation while indicating he is aware of - and, is on top of containing - the collateral damage that seems to be manifesting in the form of the crisis in regional banks.
The crisis - and the resulting potential economic slowdown - could be a helping hand to the FOMC in its fight. The next leg in the markets will depend on how it is interpreted by the investors. For now, markets seem to be still parsing and confused as indicated by the whipsaw action so far.
Positional Trading Models: Our positional models are indicating to stay on the sidelines for the day.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Trading Plans for THU. 03/23:
Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4005, 3996, or 3982 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4000, 3993, or 3978 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit short exits on a break above 3864. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:30am ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #pce
Bulls and Bears zone for 03-22-2023ETH session market has been trading sideways, given today is Federal Reserve's decision day for rate change or not.
Any surprise will shake traders confidence. Any test of Yesterday's High could provide direction for the day.
Level to watch 4038 --- 4036
Report to watch:
US:EIA Petroleum Status Report
10:30 AM ET
US:FOMC Announcement
2:00 PM ET
US:Fed Chair Press Conference
2:30 PM ET
SPX Model Trading Plans for WED. 03/15Look Before You Jump!
The banking meltdown seems to be spreading across the globe, and it could potentially be just the tip of the iceberg. When something doesn't feel right, stay away from it. There are going to be plenty of trading/investment opportunity down the road - sitting on the sidelines for a day or two does not harm your financial well being; rather, it could enhance it.
With the situation still so fluid, it is advisable to stay on the sidelines unless you are extremely adept at navigating volatile markets.
Positional Trading Models: Our positional models are indicating to stay on the sidelines for the day.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Trading Plans for WED. 03/15:
Aggressive Intraday Models: With all the volatility - reminiscent of the dot com bubble burst and the 2008 GFC eras - in the markets due to the ongoing banking meltdown, it could be wiser to not engage in intraday aggressive trading for today, especially given the static nature of our trading plans. Nevertheless, for those of you who MUST trade (professional trader? addicted trader? whatever may be your reason), models indicate the below trading plans:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 3872 or 3852 with a 10-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3867, 3860, or 3848 with a 10-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit short exits on a break above 3864. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:45am ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #pce
Bulls and Bears zone for 03-15-2023Yesterday's sell off seems very dubious.
Any test of ETH session Low could provide direction for the day.
Level to watch 3879 --- 3877
Reports to watch :
US:Business Inventories
10:00 AM ET
US:Housing Market Index
10:00 AM ET
US:EIA Petroleum Status Report
10:30 AM ET
ES futures ready to tap 4,000?It was about as much of a risk-on day Tuesday could have been for US markets, with bond yields and indices rising with commodity FX.
It allowed the S&P 500 E-mini futures contract to break a 3-day losing streak and form a 3-bar bullish reversal pattern (Morning Star), so perhaps the low for the week is in place?
The 15-min chart shows prices hovering just below yesterday's high in a small bull-flag formation, although as this is out of hours trade then it's possible the market may pull back prior to another leg higher.
- The bias is bullish above the daily pivot once we get evidence of momentum moving higher
- Otherwise look for a low volatility pullback within yesterday's range and evidence of a swing low
- Today we have our eyes on the resistance zone around 4,000 which includes the daily R1 pivot, Monday's VPOC and the 4,000 handle
SP500, a setup for the bears.SP500, SP500, Emini, ES / 4H
Hello traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
SP500 has rejected a major level on the monthly and broken to the down side and now is testing the brekaout point.
I'll be looking for a short postion around 4080 if I get a confirmition on LTF.
trade safely,
Trader Leo.