Emini
Emini / ES / SPY (4H) : Operating range for next week!Price is currently stuck in two opposing trapped traders zones on 4H chart. It'll be interesting to see how these zones play out next week.
This week, we already had a good short entry when price reached the zone where longs were trapped!ht
We might also see more fake-outs on either side which will further trap more traders!
Emini / ES / SPY (4H) Backtest : 57% win rate across 21 tradesWinners = 12
Losers = 5
Breakevens = 4
Total Trades = 21
% Non Losers = 76%
% Winners = 57%
% Breakevens = 19%
% Losers = 24%
Win/Loss = 240%
Net R = 14.2
Avg R/Winner = 1.18
Avg R/trade = 0.68
Bad trades prevented due to presence of liquidity near SL= 14
Icons on the chart
Thumbs up : Trade was a win
Thumbs down : Trade was a loss
Circle with a cross : Trade was breakeven
Cross : Did not take the trade due to presence of liquidity (equal highs) behind the stop loss
Variables
Avg winner = 1.6R
Strategy : wait for market structure break, then trade the retest of that zone. Zone is drawn using the first candle which crossed the pivot high/low to trap the traders.
Bulls and Bears zone for 10-16-2020It was apparent from yesterday's ETH and RTH sessions that volatility is increasing day by day.
For bulls to continue on yesterday's run will need to get over ETH session High with conviction; otherwise, Sellers might take control.
Level to watch 3484 --- 3482
Reports to be aware:
US:Business Inventories
10:00 AM ET
US:Consumer Sentiment
10:00 AM ET
Bulls and Bears zone for 10-15-2020Overnight session market has sold off substantially, but it has been trading sideways this morning.
We might see value buyers show up and try to close the gap.
Any test of ETH low should provide direction for the day.
Level to watch 3433 --- 3435
Reports to be aware:
US:EIA Natural Gas Report
10:30 AM ET
US:EIA Petroleum Status Report
11:00 AM ET
NQ1!, Technical Breakout, Attempt to Establish a Short Term TopAfter a consolidation period (a smaller rectangle) the market broke to the upside. This is a good example of a technical breakout when a smaller consolidation takes place before breaking a well established level. That breakout has higher odds to stick. At this point the market is trying to establish a short term top before entering a new consolidation phase. Buy side may start feeling the heat if the price breaches 11660. However, 11600 is expected to be defended on first test. This is a good level to attempt a long. The idea gets invalidated if a strong downside momentum is created, usually by a news, leading to a liquidation move. Until that happen, a potential target remains 11800 with a 11750 hurdle on the way. If you watch traditional indicators like RSI flashing an overbought condition consider the structural breakout more important. Once the top is established, whatever the machine find appropriate, the RSI overbought condition would kick in.
10/11/2020
Bulls and Bears zone for 10-05-2020It is interesting that ETH High is same as Thursday's Close.
Therefore, bulls need to take that High out if they want to push the market higher, otherwise sellers will take control of the market.
Test of ETH high should provide direction for the day.
Level to watch 3360-3358
Report to watch:
US:ISM Services Index
10:00 AM ET