Ending Diagonal
Aud/Cad buy setups may be comingAcad actually gave us a small ending pattern so I think we will start getting some buy opportunities. Keep in mind the long term sell is what I really want. It should be corrective so expect it to chop down when it corrects. We don't ACTUALLY have full confirmation so I would suggest being careful with it. I would like to see it make a 4hr flag at or outside of trend line and that would give fairly safe entry I think. So look to trade the break of any downward corrective structure until something changes.
Buy the Beakout of the Ending DiagonalHere is the future pattern forming for AUDNZD. It is possible that price may not reach the top of the ascending channel for some time, so watch as price action nears the 1.12100 level.
For the present time, on the lower timeframe, there is an ending diagonal forming indicating price will reverse soon. Buy the breakout or enter at your own risk.
GBP/CHF sell updateI've been in this, took an entry at the top. It never fully touched or broke high, but that looks like an ending flat pattern to come down, not a running flat to go up. As I said before this trade has huge potential downside but look to take profit for smaller structure and let some ride is my opinion.
NZD/CAD sell updateNcad came off .786 fib and has now broken out of ending diagonal... I will just make a short video and post it on my channel to better explain how to go about trading it. I've posted a couple sell entries I believe. Entering right now not the smartest entry point, it can go down a lot more but we should get a larger correction before BIG drop. You may get some flags to sell some more this week. These diagonals will very often at least reach high of wave 1 (see blue ray lines), but we should get 1 more buy for the correction. I can't explain it properly in text.
AUDUSD (Bearish Cypher Pattern) -4h ChartConfirmations for Cypher Pattern:
- A to B must touch 0.382 but cannot exceed 0.618 (on this case 0.5)
- B to C must touch 1.272 but cannot close below 1.414 (Trend-Based Fib Extension)
- C to D must touch 0.786 of X to C
- First TP at 0.618 of D to C (Fibonacci)
- Second TP at 0.382 of D to C (Fibonacci)
- Third TP would be long term to previous support
Left Leg of Pattern
A flag was formed with an ABC pattern, which gave us that bearish impulse for point C of our Cypher Pattern, even if you measure bearish impulse with Trend-Based Fib Extension you can see how price bounced around 1.272 -1.414 area.
Right Leg of Pattern
On this side is where it gets complicated, because of all the patterns that are on formation. First another flag was formed with ABC pattern, I measured bullish impulse by placing 0.236 right above flag and we can see point C rejecting 0.618 for bullish continuation.
After first retracement we now get our second retracement for possible Ending Diagonal
Ending Diagonal confirmations:
- 1 and 4 at same price (I expect price to retrace at 0.236 where point 4 would be)
- 5 clear points (point 5 would give us our bearish area for Cypher Pattern completion)
- take profits between 0.786 - 0.886 (around third TP of Cypher Pattern)
Second retracement is in formation for bullish continuation at point 5, where Ending Diagonal and Cypher Pattern would be completed for bearish impulse
Good Trading.
GBP/CHF sell updateThis is the idea on Gchf. I just want to point out the amount of divergence coming in on the 4hr. Check out the 1hr. I believe it came down from top in a leading diagonal indicating further downside. I think it will either drop from here or make a small wave 4 and go up to .618. This is about a huge swing and trying to catch an entry on wave 3 that I can hold. It made a small ending diagonal on 1 hr and went sideways, pending breakout at trend line. It could be on wave 3 of the smaller 5 wave, but may have been 5. Keep in mind, I have explained this pair many times on my weekly outlooks and such, I suggest you follow the videos on my link if you trade with me. This was a long corrective pattern which finished with a huge ending diagonal and double top. I am definitely looking for more downside and if it was to drop from right here, the 1.618 fib extension takes you straight down to the 1.22600 level at the major supply zone. Also keep in mind I understand more modern forms of wave theory and that the market does not always follow a basic elliot type count, but that is how I see this within this smaller structure. That would make this an expanded flat as of now. Also keep in mind this is a Chiffy pair and may test your patience and risk management skills, plus this A-B-C can just be part of a more complex "B" wave, possibly pushing up to even the .786, but definitely needing at least one more push down even if only corrective, in my opinion, however this pair has the potential to even fall out the bottom and break the low of structure being a wave 5 down on weekly.... eh, out of breathe.
BTCUSD - Ending Diagonal fifth wave. Short opportunity...!ABC Correction target around $9600/-
If it retraces more, then BITFINEX:BTCUSD could reach 8900 with 50% fib retracement or 8200 at 61.8% fib retracement.
After the End of this correction, We could see good upswing with the start of Impulse Wave 3.
:)
Note: For educational purposes only, trade at your own risk.
BTC FEB 22 2018 4 BEAR Diagonal ???BTC from a bear outlook is an an ABCDE diagonal pattern. IF correct BTC will find some deep new lows. I am not ready to throw in the towel on a continuation of the bullish trend but I must say the MACD and RSI are pointing lower. Why do the MACD and RSI continuing to suggest we go lower today matter to postulate the bear view? Because if we are doing a corrective wave before a return to bull trend and BTC moves very much lower from here it is going to invalidate Fibonacci counts for a minor wave 4 or a wave 5 correction. Keeping a stop tight and waiting to see at this point is the best option if long and if a bear probably you are feeling pretty convinced. Lets see what today brings there is lots of room below to short this if the bears are correct.
BITCOIN CASH Bounced; Bullish Reversal Is HereBITFINEX:BCHUSD lost around 80%, but decline looks like correction within uptrend. Why? Well, there are many factors. If you take a look on weekly chart, you can clearly count five waves up from lows, which means we are in a bullish trend. When BCH hit 4000 at the end of December into wave (V), there was a sharp drop and correction has barely started, because typicaly in EW theory after every five wave impulse, a three wave retracement is required. After sharp drop into wave (A), there was corrective move into wave (B) and then slow falling range within ending diagonal pattern (reversal pattern) into wave (C). BCH hit our expected target and important support at previous wave (IV), mentioned many times and highlighted in previous updates!
So, currently BCH bounced nicely within 5 subwaves into wave i/a, which is another sign that correction can be completed. But we have to be careful, so first, we have to respect the market and look for minimum expectations, we are expecting minimum three waves up A-B-C or 1-2-3. If BCH after only three-waves up sharply drops, then this will be only a correction, but if goes up with five waves and break above 1790 bullish confirmation level, then BCH can be in bullish trend again and can be on the way up to a new all-time highs!
ZCL/BTC Follow Up PredictionsAs i have been learning more i went back to look on previous TA's i have done and found a couple areas id like to improve on, i tried to fix any issues i saw in my previous attempts. One being my ZCL/BTC prediction. Although my targets were not too far off i wanted to make it a cleaner chart and do a bit more analysis on previous patterns within the chart and to kind of show my work on how i got to my predictions. Here is what i came up with.
If there is anything you would like to point out that could help me improve my TA id appreciate it.
**Targets only for prices not dates, i am more interested in getting the proper price targets first before i start trying to nail certain dates and what not**
Thanks!
BTC DAILY FEB 12, 2018 Ending Diagonal Breakout Needed Here!BTC is right on target I believe today to break out of the long term Ending Diagonal it has been trading inside of for the past weeks. Breaking out of this will be really solid confirmation of the bull trend establish lately and really alleviate fears of a second test of the low before we go into a full blown bullish pattern. If we fail to break out here which seems unlikely expect BTC to retest the low of 6,000 or possibly even move lower before resuming a bullish pattern. We have been trading sideways here for a few days with the typical swings up and down to reach this key event.
I would hold long positions with stops to prevent any loss of profits since entry and to limit downside risk as always. I expect BTC to continue in the current bullish trading pattern and break out of the diagonal as we move much higher in 2018. In other trading I see most alts trading sideways and little overall bullish movement. I expect as BTC continues to mint more bullish action as money moves back into the crypto's overall pushing the market cap upwards again. We should have a good 2018 and I expect this spring to see strong moves upward and starting in the not too long future.
Cheers - do at least one fun thing today!
Bullish EURUSD: last Swing of Wave V.EURUSD has ended flat wave, at wave C subdivided by diagonal ending 3-3-3-3-3. confirm buy when it has broken through entry level at 1.2294. This analysis is valid as long as the price is not breakout on invalidation or stop level 1.2211. bullish after this flat wave will form the 5th wave of the impulsive wave, this possibility is the last rising swing from EURUSD.