Ending Diagonal
10 Year US Notes Looking Lower10Year US notes can be trading at the start of a new bearish leg, after a completion of a higher degree complex correction within blue wave IV. Current sharp reversal was quite expected, as price formed an ending diagonal pattern within the final wave (C) of IV, which usually suggests a sharp reversal after its completion. That said current weakness can now represent red wave (1), part of a bigger bearish leg that can unfold in weeks to come. More weakness is now expected on the 10 year us notes, but be aware corrections will pop up during the process, and the first one can already be minor wave 4 of (1).
Ending diagonal
An ending diagonal is a special type of pattern that occurs at times when the preceding move has gone too far too fast, as Elliott put it. A very small percentage of ending diagonals appear in the C wave position of A-B- C formations. In double or triple threes, they appear only as the final “C” wave. In all cases, they are found at the termination points of larger patterns, indicating exhaustion of the larger movement.
structure is 3-3-3-3-3
a wedge shape within two converging lines
wave 4 must trade into a territory of a wave 1
appears primarily in the fifth wave position, in the C wave position of A-B- C and in double or triple threes as the final “C” wave
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All eyes on the "loonie" (USDCAD)Earlier Fractology published its bullish view on USDCAD. We were wrong to expect an upside move that soon. As of now, Fractology does not change its bullish analysis and we keep on looking for buying opportunities.
On the chart above there is a chance of forming an expanding ending diagonal which has no other choice but to resolve up.
Secondly, any chart rejects the possibility of a price moving in a straight line without a decent correction. Therefore the lower the pair comes the higher we expect a retracement.
Fractology recommends having a look at NZDCAD which has a similar setup and might surge up this week.
$EUR vs $JPY 4H Chart. Ending Diagonal |#EURJPY#yen #eur #fxTraders,
EURJPY has been in a rally, and is ready to drop.
An ending diagonal is formed at 5th wave, right on 61.8 fib extension.
-First target is the 38.2 fib retracement of the impulse, where the low of 4th corrective wave ends.
Trade with discipline.
Best
Ending Diagonals: Trade Setup!Hello!
Hope everyone had a great weekend.
I'll post more examples in the comment section below to help you develop a better understanding of where and how to identify ending diagonals.
Feel free to write your questions in below.
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Possible Expanding Diagonal in Crude Oil (Elliott Wave Analysis)It seems that Crude is in the last stages of what I see as an Expanding Ending Diagonal. I will wait for confirmation however as this market has already fallen below the 61.8% mark of the previous up swing.
I will update further as this market progresses.
Possible ending diagonal in Crude Oil (Elliott Wave AnalysiCrude looks to have formed a reversal right at the crucial support level of 46.90, if this support level is held then this is most likely an Ending Diagonal in Wave C.
If things go as expected this market will see levels above 51.95 in the upcoming sessions.
I will update further as this market progresses.
Is it finally time for the Looney to drop?Hi All,
This pair has been very frustrating of late and from what I have seen, it is a bit of a rouge pair as it doesn't follow the DXY basket movements even though it accounts for 9.1% of it's movements. With that in mind, CAD must be the corrective pair in the DXY as it does the opposite to EUR and CHF which explains the rouge / corrective nature that the Looney is.
However, it does look like it has come to an end based on my EW count as listed below.
Updated count:
Overall count I have is a Flat correction (3-3-5) broken down like this...
Wave A: 3 Wave ZZ correction
Wave B: 3 Wave Flat correction
Wave C: - Ending Diagonal or an ascending triangle (5 waves broken down into 5 x 3 corrective waves)
Wave 1: Double ZZ (WXY)
Wave 2: Flat Correction
Wave 3: Double ZZ (WXY)
Wave 4: ZZ Correction
wave 5: ZZ Correction (Key thing to note here is that wave A vs. C has now hit 100% which is a key termination point so possible reversal could be in play)
I am not looking for short entry for a possible BIG short to target 1.15720.
Keep an eye on this one for sure...
Good Luck!
Don
CL1!/USOIL/WTIUSD/CLK2017 [Corrective wave Elliott wave Zigzag]Head and Shoulder pattern Entry 53.40
Target 1 =>52.15
Target 2 =>50.40
Neck line 52.70 ==> Price breaks the neck line and makes a nice move down.
=> zig zag pattern ABC
** Head and Shoulder or Descending Triangle pattern
Elliott wave 3
Target 1 = 52.15 Elliott wave 4 have the possibility
CL1! USOIL WTIUSD CLK2017
ATVI Ending Diagonal?Not big fan of selling into corrections but look how fast the price has moved down from recent Ending Diagonals (good RSI divergence to support these).
Most of the ending diagnosis retrace back to the end of wave 2 so we could see a correction down to 44.60
There could be one more move up before the correction (Although RSI suggests that may not be the case)
Drop down to a lower time frame to confirm the breakout before taking the trade in case we do get one more move up.
EURUSD - UP UP AND AWAY!!!!!!Hi All,
I think the end is near for this pair as USD rallied despite the massively low employment figures. I seems like the remaining USD buyers are closing their orders which has creating an even bigger divergency across the board so a rally from EUR should happen imminently.
Here's a quick recap of my wave count of the final wave C which looks complete.
Starting from the low at 1.03411
Wave 1: Leading Diagonal impulse move to the upside.
Wave 2: Looking like an running wave A) double ZZ combo (WXY), wave B) Expanded Flat
Current wave C) I have counted the primary and sub waves as labelled with wave 4 fib extensions, wave 2 (ZZ) and wave 4 (Flat) - rule of alternation all met and wave 5 is an ending diagonal which is a terminal move so a change of direction is expected.
Hopefully we will see a big rally by EUR next week as it is the start of wave 3 in a bigger timeframe.
Best of luck all...
Don
USOIL/ CL1! /WTIUSD / Elliott wave & Hamonic pattern Hamonic Bat Pattern Bearish orange color
Hamonic Alt bat Pattern Bearish orange color
Motive wave
Small Elliott wave 5
Big Elliott wave 3~5
--> Big Elliott wave 1
hamonic pattern Gartley
--> Small Elliott wave 1 & Big Elliott wave 2
Hamonic pattern Gartley
=> Da
Corrective wave
small Elliott wave 5
-> Expanded flat & Hamonic pattern crab Bearish
-> Ending Diagonal pattern
USOIL CL1! CL2! WTIUSD NYMEX:CLK2017
GOLD Outlook + Wave Count: Cypher completeWe have a possible leading diagonal followed by a breakdown into the completion of a cypher pattern. Price clearly makes a reversal at the cypher's completion, however since the bearish impulse in leg D is relatively strong I will be on the sidelines until further clues present themselves.