BRIEFING Week #16 : ObservationHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Energy Commodities
USOIL: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
USOIL
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell USOIL
Entry - 64.408
Stop - 66.133
Take - 60.964
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USOIL:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategiesEIA data shows 📊: U.S. gasoline & distillate inventories plunge ⬇️, (👉signals👉)
while the increase in crude oil inventories is lower than market expectations 🤔, which supports the rebound of oil prices 🔼. Meanwhile, influenced by the new round of U.S. sanctions on Iran's oil exports ⚠️ and some members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) committing to cut excessive production 🛢️, oil prices are boosted 💹.
In the short term, the objective trend direction has resumed an upward trajectory 📈, and the bullish momentum is gradually strengthening 💪. If the price stabilizes within the range of 61.50 - 61.80 during the pullback ↘️, one can try to take a long position with a light position 💰. The target prices are between 62.5 and 64🎯.
Trading Strategy:
buy@61.5-61.8
TP:62.5-64
The signals resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
👇 signals👇
USOIL: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 64.411 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 63.338..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 63.67
Target Level: 56.31
Stop Loss: 68.58
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short on Oil/Back to 57$ SOONI believe we can continue the retest of previous major support level at 65-66$ and fibonacci 0.618. This major support will be flipped to resistance in my opinion. We can see a significant sell-off back towards the 57$ area and below from this location.
I will be looking to enter a short trade from the 0.618 region/66$ if there is a rejection.
My mid-term/end-of-year prediction for US OIL is between 45-50$ and possibly lower.
If you believe in the fundamentals and idea of this setup, feel free to follow and use it.
Not financial advice.
The new US sanctions on Iranian oil have set off the marketThe Trump administration announced a new round of sanctions on Iran's oil exports 😡, aiming to increase pressure on Iran by ramping up efforts when the tensions over Iran's nuclear program are intensifying 🚫. A statement from the US Treasury Department said that President Trump was stepping up the "maximum pressure" campaign and trying to reduce Iran's oil exports to zero 💀. Driven by concerns over the global supply tightness after the US imposed new sanctions on Iran, oil prices have risen 📈.
💰💰💰 USOIL💰💰💰
🎯 Buy@63.0 - 63.5
🎯 TP 64.0 - 66.0
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
👇The accuracy rate of our daily signals has remained above 98% within a month! 📈 We sincerely welcome you to join our channel and share in the success with us! 🌟
USOIL: Summary of Last Week'st and Analysis for Next WeekLast week, the crude oil market experienced (violent volatility amid the interplay of multiple factors, including concerns over supply glut, bleak demand prospects, and geopolitics. It fluctuated sharply in the game between "production increase expectations" and "geopolitical risks," but eventually closed higher supported by the escalation of sanctions on Iran and compensatory production cuts by OPEC+. The market saw significant volatility.👉👉👉
Next week, geopolitics will remain a core variable. It is recommended that investors pay close attention to the development of confrontations between the U.S. and Iran, as well as the policy trends of OPEC+. They should flexibly adjust their positions. In terms of operations, short-term trading should mainly focus on range-bound strategies, while in the medium to long term, vigilance is required against the continuous suppression of demand by a global economic recession.
Oil trading strategy:
buy @ 60.90-61.50
sl 59.50
tp 63.20-63.60
If my strategy is helpful to you, please give a thumbs-up for support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.
USOIL Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 63.68
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 61.56
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OIL – Bearish Setup at FVG + Golden Pocket ConfluenceThis 4H chart of Crude Oil Futures highlights a clean bearish setup forming as price approaches a confluence zone of imbalance and premium pricing. After a sharp downward move, the current rally appears to be a retracement into areas of interest for potential distribution.
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1. Context & Market Structure:
- The market experienced a significant bearish move, breaking multiple support levels with conviction.
- Price is currently retracing upward, creating the possibility of a lower high in line with bearish market structure.
- The ongoing move looks corrective, setting up a potential return to the dominant trend.
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2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) & Key Supply Zones:
- Two FVGs are identified on the chart — both marked as areas where price moved too quickly, leaving inefficiencies behind.
- The lower FVG overlaps with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci golden pocket zone, providing a strong confluence for potential rejection.
- The upper FVG aligns with the 0.786 level, representing deeper premium pricing and added confluence for distribution.
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3. Fibonacci Confluence Zones:
- 0.618–0.65 zone: Coincides with the lower FVG — this is the first area to watch for rejection.
- 0.786 level: Aligns with the upper FVG, making it an extended zone for bearish entries if price pushes higher.
- These Fibonacci levels serve as key retracement zones within the context of bearish continuation.
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4. Anticipated Move:
- The red arrow illustrates the projected path: price reaching into the FVG and golden pocket confluence, then rejecting to the downside.
- The inefficiencies above act as supply zones where institutional selling may occur.
- The lower purple level (0.28) is a potential magnet for price if the retracement completes and bearish momentum resumes.
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5. Trade Idea Narrative:
- This is a classic bearish setup where price retraces into premium and inefficiency zones during a downtrend.
- The ideal reaction would involve a shift in lower timeframe structure once the price hits the golden pocket + FVG zone.
- Patience and confirmation are key — watching for rejection patterns or breakdowns within the FVG before commitment.
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Summary:
Crude Oil is retracing after a sharp drop and is approaching a high-probability reversal zone, where a Fair Value Gap overlaps with the golden pocket. This setup provides a strong narrative for potential bearish continuation, supported by structure, imbalance, and Fibonacci confluence.
Crude Oil Holds at Key ResistanceFollowing a sharp rebound from the $55 low—mirroring broader market strength and gains in U.S. indices—oil is now hovering near a key resistance level at $64. Meanwhile, major U.S. indices remain below their respective resistance zones, awaiting confirmation of further uptrends.
A sustained break and hold above $64 could open the door for additional upside toward $66 and $70.
On the downside, if gains fail to hold and prices slip back below $64, support levels to watch are $60, $58, and $55.
A decisive break below $55 may trigger a steeper decline, potentially driving oil prices back toward the $49 per barrel region.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 55.204.Colleagues, I believe that the price will continue its downward movement. At the moment we are observing a combined correction. I expect the completion of wave “Y”. Even if it is already completed, the price is still waiting for a downward correction to the support area of 55.204. Therefore, I think that 55.204 is the 1st minimum target.
There are two possible ways to enter the position:
1) Market entry
2) Pending Limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Crude rallies on Trump China trade optimism, WTI test key levelCrude oil prices were already on the ascendency but have just hit fresh highs on the day after the latest Trump remarks:
WILL MAKE GOOD DEAL WITH CHINA
WE WILL HAVE A DEAL WITH CHINA
But...
*TRUMP SAYS HE'S IN 'NO RUSH' TO CLOSE DEALS
Anyway WTI has risen to session highs, now testing a major resistance area around $65 give or take $1. The area is shaded on the chart. If we go above this zone then bullish, else the bears remain in control.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Crude oil---sell near 63.90, target 60.00-58.00Crude oil market analysis:
The recent crude oil has been delivered. The new contract is relatively strong at present. Yesterday's daily line closed with a positive line. In the short-term bottom shock, we are still bearish on crude oil today. We continue to sell. The large pattern suppresses around 65.30. The daily moving average suppresses around 65.700, which means that buying needs to break this position to reverse. Today's crude oil is suppressed at 63.90.
Operational suggestions:
Crude oil---sell near 63.90, target 60.00-58.00
Oil - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XTI/USD "WTI LIGHT CRUDE OIL" Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XTI/USD "WTI LIGHT CRUDE OIL" Energy market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk MA Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (64.00) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (59.00) Day trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 68.70
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🛢️ XTI/USD "WTI LIGHT CRUDE OIL" Energy Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. ☝☝☝
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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April 17, 2025 - Powell, Japan & TrumpHello everyone, it’s April 17, 2025. Yesterday’s U.S. trading was pure market carnage. Semiconductors ( NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:ASML ) were steamrolled as AI chip bans to China kicked in and Trump dropped another tariff bomb, hiking duties to 245%. That wiped $200 billion off Nvidia alone.
In Chicago, Powell stoked the flames, warning tariffs will fuel inflation and choke growth, and insisted he’s in no rush to cut rates. The CME_MINI:NQ1! tumbled 3%, the CME_MINI:SOX1! lost 4.1%, and bond futures plunged.
This morning, U.S. futures are up about 0.75% on headlines that Trump’s talks with Japanese negotiators are “going very well,” sparking rallies across Asia: Nikkei +1%, Hong Kong +2.7%, Shanghai +1%. It seems even a whiff of détente with Japan sends everyone scrambling back into risk assets.
On commodities, BLACKBULL:WTI jumps to $63.35 amid fresh U.S. sanctions on Iran and OPEC output cuts; OANDA:XAUUSD rockets to $3,352 /oz; INDEX:BTCUSD hovers near $83,500.
Today watch the ECB’s rate cut, Powell’s next speech, Philly Fed and jobless claims before the Good Friday shutdown. With Trump’s erratic tariff theatrics and Powell’s warning of higher inflation and slower growth, volatility is set to reign supreme. Buckle up.
Crude oil remains oscillating at a low levelCurrently, in the 4-hour level trend of crude oil, it is still under pressure around 63. The short-term moving averages are basically in a state of being glued together and flattened, indicating that it is likely to maintain a relatively oscillatory trend towards the end of the trading session.
The operation suggestions are mainly to go long at low levels after a pullback, supplemented by going short at high levels during a rebound. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance level at 63.0 - 63.50 on the upper side, and the support level at 60.2 - 60.5 on the lower side.
Oil trading strategy:
buy @ 61.10-61.40
sl 60.35
tp 62.20-61.40
If my strategy is helpful to you, please give a thumbs-up for support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. 👉👉👉
Analysis of the BRENT chart with expectations for 2025-2026◽️Technically, all conditions for the completion of the second wave correction have been met, and now quotes can be safely reversed up. However, current events in the global economy do not yet provide grounds for confidently asserting this. Locally, the price may still be driven down to $50 per barrel and even slightly lower. One way or another, it is important to understand a simple thing: everything below $70 per barrel should be seen as an opportunity to buy oil and everything related to it cheaply.
◽️According to my estimates, there is probably still time for deliberation on purchases until the end of spring. But further, from the beginning of summer, I expect a sharp rise in prices amid the escalation in the Middle East. From above, in the $100-150 range, growth will likely be contained for some time, which will be interpreted as the formation of sub-waves (i)-(ii), where after sharp rise in the first sub-wave from approximately $50-60 to $120-130, a local correction will follow within the second sub-wave.
◽️The growth period may take 3-6 months, and the correction to it another 2-4 quarters, and then a breakout of the $120-150 resistance zone and further "to the moon" in the third waves is expected.
🙏 Thank you for your attention and 🚀 for the idea.
☘️ Good luck, take care!
📟 See you later.