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Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower as the Consumer Sentiment Index declined. Last Thursday, I mentioned that the weekly chart suggested continued downside potential, and with Friday’s sharp decline, the weekly MACD has once again turned strongly bearish. Since the weekly MACD failed to form a bullish crossover and has now resumed its downward trajectory, this move can be seen as a whipsaw pattern followed by renewed selling pressure. On the daily chart, the Nasdaq has dropped to the 60-day moving average, and the MACD has crossed below the signal line, triggering a sell signal. However, since Friday’s daily candle alone does not fully confirm the sell signal, today’s price action will be key in determining whether the sell signal is fully confirmed. The market decline was primarily driven by concerns over weaker consumer spending, tariff-related inflation expectations, and broader economic uncertainty. Since a large bearish candle has formed on the daily chart, the market should be approached with a sell-biased strategy. Given the strong resistance zones, selling near the 3-day moving average upon any rebound would be an effective approach. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has dropped sharply, pushing the signal line below the zero level. However, a short-term bounce may occur due to oversold conditions, making it important to watch for early support levels in the pre-market session. A range-bound approach remains favorable in the short term. Crude Oil Crude oil closed lower, pressured by expectations of increased oil supply from Iraq. On the daily chart, a buy signal appeared on Friday, but as mentioned earlier, it was not fully confirmed. Instead, oil closed lower, leading to a failed bullish signal and renewed downward momentum in the MACD. This shift in momentum suggests that selling pressure is increasing, making it more likely that oil will struggle to sustain a bullish breakout. On the weekly chart, the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, meaning that some rebound potential remains. However, if oil closes the week with a bearish candle, a weekly sell signal could be triggered. The $70 level remains a key support zone. Until $70 is broken, oil should be treated as range-bound. However, if $70 is breached, downside momentum could accelerate, making a sell-biased strategy more favorable. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has dropped below the zero line, while the signal line remains above it. This suggests that some support may still exist near $70, but if the signal line also drops below zero, selling pressure could intensify further. Risk management is crucial for long positions in this environment. Gold Gold closed flat, remaining within a range-bound market structure. On the weekly chart, the bullish trend remains intact, but the market is now in a potential correction zone. On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are nearly converging, making today’s price action critical in determining whether gold will break higher or enter a consolidation phase. On the 240-minute chart, gold is trading sideways at recent highs, reinforcing the range-bound nature of the market. The MACD failed to maintain bullish momentum and has started turning downward, but since it remains above the zero line, even if gold declines, it is likely to bounce back within the range. However, if the 240-minute MACD falls below zero and the signal line follows, this could trigger a sharp correction following the recent rally. Traders should watch this development closely. This week, key events include NVIDIA earnings(Wednesday), U.S. GDP report(Thursday), PCE inflation data(Friday). As the week progresses, market volatility is expected to increase, making risk management a top priority. Wishing you a successful trading week! If you like detailed this analysis and today's strategy, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
What Happens to Global Markets When the Ukraine-Russia War Ends?What Happens to Global Markets When the Ukraine-Russia War Ends? The end of the Ukraine-Russia war will undoubtedly impact major global markets, here’s what we can expect: Oil Market : With tensions easing, oil prices could drop as supply concerns lessen and sanctions ease. However, global demand could still keep prices stable or even high. Gold Market : Gold, a safe-haven asset, might face a decrease in demand as geopolitical uncertainty fades, but if the end of the war leads to global economic instability, gold could remain a strong choice for investors. Forex Market : The end of the conflict could boost the Euro and USD as stability returns to the market. At the same time, the Russian Ruble might face fluctuations as Russia’s economy adjusts to post-war conditions. Crypto Market : Cryptocurrencies may see mixed reactions—some may retreat as confidence in traditional markets rises, but others could flow in if economic uncertainty continues to prevail globally. 🔮 The war's end could bring hope, but it also presents new challenges for markets worldwide. Stay tuned to see how it all plays out!
CFI:WTIShort
by melikatrader94
5
WTI Crude retest of 13th February swing lowThe WTI Crude (US Light Crude) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 7200, 20th February swing low level. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 7200 level could target the downside support at 6964 followed by 6880 and 6830 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 7200 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 7250 resistance followed by 7316 levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
Levels to consider for Crude oil Futures CL1!On this video i discuss what I think is the next long/short to consider and illustrate how not to get caught up in the noise of low probability setups . Currently we are trading inside of a range between the POC and the VAH . I look back on previous highs in the chart and how we reacted at those levels and what I potentially see looking forward . My bias overall is expecting more downside but I dont marry that one bias and simply look at the PA from both sides with a focus on having a plan in the event of a move up or Down .
NYMEX:CL1!
by SJTRADESFUTURES
USOIL Reversal in Motion? Key Levels You Can’t Ignore!Market Structure Breakdown: 🔸 Daily Timeframe: • We initially identified a double-bottom formation, signaling a bullish push to grab liquidity above previous highs. • However, buyers failed to sustain momentum, leading to a structural shift. 🔸 H4 Timeframe: • Strong impulse move downward, breaking key structure. • Formed a lower high, indicating seller control. 🔸 H1 Timeframe: • Entry confirmation: Lower high + structure break + retest. • Current Position: Short trade floating +142 pips in profit. • Stops secured in profit = No risk on the trade. 🎯 Next Targets & Key Levels: ✅ Target 1: Sweep 7040 low. ✅ Target 2: Potential drop to 7026 if momentum continues. ⏳ Crucial Confirmation Needed: • If today’s bearish candle closes above average, it will confirm a true lower high and increase chances of breaking consolidation to move lower. 🛠 Trade Management: • Profits taken at: +30 pips, +60 pips, +100 pips. • Current floating: +142 pips. • Overall target: +212 pips (1:5 / 1:6 RR). • If we break consolidation, we’ll trail TP and maximize gains. This trade is a textbook example of a failed bullish push leading to a structural breakdown. With stops locked in profit, we’re letting the trade play out risk-free, while looking for further downside expansion. If you’re tracking USOIL, keep an eye on these key levels and watch how price reacts! 🚀📊
FX:USOILShort
by BlueOceanFxAcademy
WTI Crude oversold bounce The WTI Crude (US Light Crude) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 7300. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 7300 level could target the downside support at 7100 followed by 6955 and 6870 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 7290 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 7360 resistance followed by 7455 levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
USOIL Will Go Down! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 7,215.2. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 6,999.3 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by SignalProvider
1
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower as Walmart’s earnings report raised concerns about slowing consumer demand. Today marks the weekly close, and since the weekly chart has not yet confirmed a buy signal, any downward movement in the MACD could increase the likelihood of further declines. On the daily chart, the 10-day moving average is acting as support, aligning with the upper boundary of the February range. The MACD remains in a buy signal, but market flows are mixed, suggesting that choppy price action with alternating bullish and bearish candles could persist. Until a strong breakout candle decisively clears previous highs, it is safer to treat the current market as range-bound. While the bullish bias remains, traders should monitor whether the daily MACD generates a sell signal, which could shift momentum in favor of sellers. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is declining sharply, indicating that buying pressure is weak. However, since the signal line is still above the zero line, a rebound attempt could emerge between 21,800 and 21,900. If the gap between the MACD and the signal line continues to widen, traders should avoid chasing long positions, even if a short-term bounce occurs. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher, finding support near the $71 level. A buy signal has appeared on the daily chart, though it is not yet confirmed. The MACD and signal line have formed a golden cross, but today’s daily close will likely determine whether the buy signal holds. If the buy signal remains valid, oil could be forming a double-bottom pattern, confirming a base before moving higher. However, given weekend geopolitical risks, holding positions over the weekend (overweekend exposure) should be approached with caution. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has pulled back toward the signal line before resuming an upward move, forming a wave 3 buying pattern. Since further upside momentum is possible, traders should focus on buying dips rather than chasing breakouts. Gold Gold closed higher after breaking above its previous high. On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are closely aligned, meaning that if gold prints a bearish candle and breaks below the 10-day moving average, a bearish crossover (death cross) is likely. Since the MACD and signal line are still at elevated levels above the zero line, any selloff is likely to be met with buying interest, keeping the market range-bound. However, if gold breaks below the lower boundary of the current range, a sharp sell-off could occur, making stop-loss management crucial for long positions. On the 240-minute chart, gold has briefly broken above a triple-top formation before pulling back, forming a whipsaw pattern. This suggests that a further drop is likely. If the MACD on the 240-minute chart crosses below the signal line, it could mark the start of a trend reversal, making this a key technical level to watch. Overall, gold remains in a range-bound environment, but selling at highs is currently more favorable. If buying at support, stop-loss management is essential. As we close out the weekly session, traders should focus on risk management and ensure safe trading strategies. Take the weekend to rest, recharge, and maintain a healthy balance between trading and personal life. Wishing you a successful trading day and a great weekend! If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
USOIL WTI Crude OilWTI Crude Oil (USOIL) has successfully broken above the descending trend-line, signalling a potential trend reversal. After the breakout, the price has retraced back to retest the trend-line support, confirming its strength as a new support level. Key Technical Observations: ✅ Trend-line Breakout & Retest – The price has broken the downward trend-line and is now finding support around $70.800, indicating a shift in momentum. The price is currently trading above the 21-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which further confirms the bullish momentum and potential for an upward move. ✅ Targets for the Upside: Target 2: $71.900 (First resistance level) Target 2: $72.600 (second resistance level) Target 2: $73.500 (Major resistance level) ✅ Support Level: $70.800 – Holding above this level strengthens the bullish outlook.
FX:USOILLong
by Pipsview_Analysis
4
USOIL: Heavy trading plan is comingOPEC's production cut plan is about to be implemented, oil prices are about to rise sharply again, and geopolitical uncertainty has once again accelerated the growth of oil prices. Technical support still exists. 72.4-72 is a reasonable trading range. As a short-term retracement point, this position has a strong support strength. The next round of USOIL is expected to exceed 73, or even reach 75. Based on the above, the following operation suggestions are given for reference: USOIL: BUY 72.4 BUY 72 TP 73.12 TP 73.68 TP 74.48 SL 71.7
TVC:USOILLong
by JAKE_T0
WTI Oil H1 | Falling to 61.8% Fibonacci pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 72.29 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 71.55 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support. Take profit is at 73.34 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
WTI Prices Recover Above $72WTI crude oil has rebounded to the $72.50 zone over the past four trading sessions, primarily after a recent drone attack by Ukrainian forces that damaged a key pipeline in southern Russia. The estimated damage could reduce oil exports from this region by up to 30% for at least two months. This new unexpected supply disruption has supported short-term demand for crude oil. Additionally, ongoing trade war concerns have boosted demand for crude as an inflation hedge, reinforcing short-term bullish sentiment. The Range Remains Stable For now, WTI continues to trade within a well-defined range between: $78 resistance (upper boundary) $66 support (lower boundary) Currently, the price is hovering near the middle of this neutral range, showing no clear directional trend. As long as price movements remain within this area, a clear breakout may take time to develop. Neutrality Prevails: RSI Indicator: The RSI line maintains an upward slope, but price action remains neutral around the 50 level, the indicator’s equilibrium point. This suggests a balance between buyers and sellers over the past 14 periods. TRIX Indicator: The TRIX line is currently reaching the 0 neutral level, reinforcing that the exponential moving average momentum remains neutral. Both indicators confirm that the market remains in a consolidation phase, requiring stronger movements to establish a clearer trend. Key Levels to Watch: $78 – Major Resistance: Upper boundary of the current range. A breakout to this level could revive bullish momentum, similar to the buying pressure seen in early December. $66 – Key Support: Lower boundary of the sideways channel. A drop near this level could strengthen bearish sentiment, reinforcing the downward trend observed in January. $72 – Current Resistance & Critical Level : Midpoint of the neutral range that aligns with 50% Fibonacci retracement along with 50 & 100-period simple moving averages. This strengthens its importance as a key level. If price continues oscillating around this zone, the sideways range could persist in the coming sessions. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
USOIL (WTI) - New uptrend? Based on the technical analysis of West Texas Oil (WTI) on the 4-hour timeframe, we're monitoring a potential bullish setup. If the price successfully breaks above the upper blue box resistance zone around 74.000, we'll maintain patience and wait for a healthy retracement. Once we observe clear confirmation signals during this pullback, such as bullish candlestick patterns or strong momentum indicators, we can look to enter long positions. The anticipated target would be the previous resistance level marked by the red horizontal line at approximately 80.800.
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by financialflagship
WTI OIL potential rejection leading to the Channel's bottom.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern on the 1D time-frame with the price on a Bearish Leg since its January 15 Higher High. The price is right now being rejected on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and based on the last two main bearish sequences since July 2024, a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) max rejection is quite possible here to continue the Bearish Leg. Our Target is the bottom of the Channel Up at $69. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:WTIShort
by TradingShot