NATURAL GAS Channel Up getting ready for the next Leg to 6.600Natural Gas (NG1!) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 27 2024 Low and right now it is consolidating on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
The last Higher Low was priced on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which isn't far of, actually it sits at the bottom of the Channel Up. Given the strong symmetry on the Channel's initial Bullish Legs (+61.23%), we expect the new rally that is about to start to also reach the 1.618 - 1.786 Fibonacci extension Zone as the previous.
As a result, we see NG at a minimum of 6.600 by June - July.
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Energy Commodities
OIL Today's strategyIt started to decline after testing the resistance at 70-70.5. You can continue to take short positions when it reaches this area.
USOIL
sell@70-70.5
tp:69-68.5
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WTI CRUDE OIL – Bullish Continuation Ahead?TVC:USOIL is currently trading within an ascending channel, with price recently bouncing off the trendline support after a corrective move. This rebound suggests that buyers are stepping in, maintaining the bullish structure within the channel.
If the bullish momentum continues, we could see a move toward 70.10, which aligns with a key resistance level within the channel. This level could serve as a potential short-term target before a possible reaction from sellers. A clean breakout above the resistance zone could open the door for further upside. However, a failure to sustain this upward push could lead to another retest of the lower boundary.
Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals such as higher lows, strong bullish candles, or increasing volume before considering long positions.
If you agree with this outlook or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
USOil:When it rebounds to the resistance, continue go shortIn terms of crude oil, in the short term, with the decline in US crude oil inventories, the escalation of US sanctions against Iran and Venezuela, and the resumption of hostilities between Russia and Ukraine, efforts at reconciliation have been ineffective. Therefore, the short-term market has hyped up the reduction in crude oil supply, causing crude oil to fluctuate repeatedly at high levels without being able to decline. However, as tariffs are upgraded and concerns about the global economic downturn intensify, the demand for crude oil has further decreased. At the same time, in order to control inflation, the control of crude oil prices remains a top priority.
Therefore, the medium- to long-term downward trend remains unchanged. Currently, from a technical perspective, when crude oil rebounds to the resistance level, it is advisable to continue taking short positions as before.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.7-70
TP:68.5-68
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WTI Oil H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend further?WTI oil (USOIL) could fall towards an overlap support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 68.65 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 67.53 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 71.06 which is a swing-high resistance.
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OIL Today's strategy
It fell again near the test $70 level, proving that the resistance level is effective.
We can go short and buy near $70
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Continue to be bearish.Supply : The United States has intensified its energy sanctions against Iran. Attacks on Saudi facilities have affected their performance. The OPEC+ will gradually lift the voluntary production cuts starting from April and may increase production for the second time in May. The 30-day ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has not been effectively implemented in substance. However, recently, the United States, Russia, and Ukraine have reached some consensus on Black Sea navigation and the protection of energy facilities.
From a technical perspective, when the price repeatedly encounters resistance below an important resistance level and fails to achieve an effective breakthrough, it is often a bearish signal. This implies that the selling force in the market is dominant. Once the price starts to retrace due to its inability to break through the resistance, it may initiate a downward trend. Therefore, based on the strong resistance level at 70.000, there is a certain basis in technical analysis for a bearish outlook.
💎💎💎 USOIL 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@70.000 - 70.200
🎁 TP 68.5 68.0 67.5
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USOIL:Pay attention to the short-term adjustmentCurrently, in the 4-hour time frame, the crude oil price is temporarily maintaining a high-level oscillatory consolidation. However, after consecutive periods of oscillation, there are signs that the technical pattern is gradually weakening. The short-term moving averages are beginning to gradually turn downward and diverge, and the K-line is starting to be under pressure from the short-term moving averages, maintaining a slightly weaker operating trend. It is believed that there may still be a certain room for adjustment in the short-term trend. In terms of trading operations, consider the short position opportunity around 69.7-70.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.7-70
TP:68
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US Crude Oil (WTI) LONG setup
Your **US Crude Oil (WTI) buy setup** is structured with proper risk management in mind. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
### 📌 **Entry Point: 69.600**
This is the price at which you plan to enter a long (buy) position. You should wait for confirmation (such as support holding, bullish candlestick patterns, or volume increase) before executing your trade.
### 🎯 **Target Price (TP): 71.100**
This is your take profit level, where you will close your trade to lock in profits. The difference between the entry and target price is **1.500 points**, which represents your potential reward.
### 🛑 **Stop Loss (SL): 68.900**
This is the price level where you will exit the trade if the market moves against you. The difference between the entry and stop loss is **0.700 points**, representing your potential risk.
---
### ⚖️ **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2.14**
- **Risk = 0.700 (Entry - Stop Loss)**
- **Reward = 1.500 (Target - Entry)**
- **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) = Reward ÷ Risk = 1.500 ÷ 0.700 ≈ 2.14**
Since your **RRR is greater than 1:2**, this is a solid setup from a risk management perspective. It means that for every $1 you risk, you are aiming to gain about $2.14, which is a positive risk-to-reward trade.
---
### ✅ **Money Management (MM) Tips**
- **Position Sizing:** Ensure your lot size aligns with your risk tolerance. Example: If you risk 1% of your account per trade, adjust your lot size so that a 0.700 move against you equals 1% of your capital.
- **Wait for Confirmation:** Look for bullish signals before entry (e.g., candlestick patterns, moving average support, or RSI above 50).
- **Set Alerts:** Use alerts at key levels to monitor price movement instead of staring at charts all day.
WTI Oil Short Drill Baby,Drill!???Is it drill baby drill of President Trump? Or bearish profit taking before Oil season starts soon?
Well I dont know!
All I know is that the charts are communicating to me to sell oil for now.
I am already short in this, 2 approches that I use for good, in case a short bullish pullback happens,I will add more to my selling positions(red arrows)
2 different profit targets whereas the 2nd one has higher reward-resik-ration
NatGas Natural Gas LongPresident Trump´s tariffs on Russia, energy crisis ,and natgas cycle starting to motivate more buyers accumulationg their positions,going for higher prices.
Technically a profit taking time of the bulls is coming to an end.
Rockets:Buy/add more buys
2 variants:For more conservative traders, and those who have higher risk appetite.
Profit targets are the same.
The entries of both apporoaches are near and closed to strong midterm supports, therefor I have already taken this trades,as they promissing lower risk to me
XNG/USD Analysis: Natural Gas Price Drops to March LowXNG/USD Analysis: Natural Gas Price Drops to March Low
On 27 January, our analysis of the natural gas chart highlighted the formation of an ascending channel. Later, on 10 March, we noted that the sharp price increase had created technical conditions for a correction.
Since then, as indicated by the arrow on the XNG/USD chart, natural gas prices have declined by approximately 19%.
Why Is the Price of Natural Gas Falling?
- Unseasonably Warm Weather: Atmospheric G2 reported on Wednesday that forecasts now indicate significant warming across the eastern half of the U.S. from 31 March to 4 April. This could reduce demand for natural gas used in heating.
- Rising Inventories: According to the EIA’s forecast, weekly natural gas storage levels are expected to increase by +33 billion cubic feet over the past week.
Technical Analysis of XNG/USD Chart
Looking at the broader trend since the start of the year, the ascending channel (marked in blue) remains relevant. However, bears have pushed the price below its median line, shifting movement into a short-term downward channel (marked in red).
Currently, natural gas is trading near the $3.780/MMBtu level, a key price point that has previously acted as both support and resistance. Whether a bearish breakdown or a bullish rebound occurs largely depends on the upcoming EIA report, scheduled for release at 17:30 GMT+3.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
OIL Today's strategyThis week, crude oil has been continuously fluctuating within the marked range, with bulls and bears contending with each other. It is necessary to pay more attention to the influencing factors.
we advise you to observe more and trade less.
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Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower, facing resistance at the 240-day moving average on the daily chart. With a significant gap between the price and the 5-day moving average, a pullback toward the 5-day MA was anticipated. The index did find support at the 5-day MA, closing with a lower wick. The key question now is whether the current correction wave will fill the gap created on Monday, as it faced resistance at the 240-day line. If you’re looking to buy on dips, it’s best to focus on the gap area as a potential support zone. The MACD remains in a golden cross, and with a noticeable spread from the signal line, the market is likely to stay range-bound unless a bearish crossover occurs.
On the 240-minute chart, a bearish crossover (death cross) has formed, suggesting the potential for further downside. However, the price is approaching a strong support zone where buying interest previously emerged. Thus, buying on dips in lower zones may be favorable. In the short term, both the MACD and the signal line remain above the zero line, indicating a possible short-term rebound. Be cautious with chasing short positions and monitor lower time frames.
Also, don’t forget: Today’s GDP release may influence market direction.
Crude Oil
Oil closed higher, reaching $70 on the daily chart. Since the $70–71 range is a major resistance zone, it’s likely the trend may consolidate in this area. The daily MACD is rising sharply, and buying pressure appears strong and one-sided. Despite the resistance at $70–71, if oil gaps up over the weekend, there’s a chance this resistance could be broken by a gap-up move on Monday. Keep an open mind to this possibility, but also be cautious over the weekend (over-the-weekend risk).
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is bouncing off the signal line, with strong renewed buying pressure. However, if oil fails to break higher, a MACD divergence could develop, so avoid chasing longs at elevated levels. Overall, it’s safer to treat the $71 level as the upper boundary of a range, favoring short-term selling strategies. Watch the lower timeframes for signs of trend reversal.
Gold
Gold ended the day flat within a narrow range, forming a small consolidation box ahead of today’s GDP release and tomorrow’s PCE data. The daily MACD is converging with the signal line, suggesting we are approaching a turning point — either a new leg up or a bearish crossover. Both bullish and bearish scenarios remain open, so it’s important to monitor how the market reacts to upcoming data. If gold fails to push higher, a bearish divergence may form, opening the door to a pullback toward the 5-week MA on the weekly chart.
On the 240-minute chart, both MACD and the signal line are hovering near the zero line, indicating sideways movement. Since the signal line remains above zero, the buy side still holds a slight edge, but confirmation via a strong bullish or bearish candle is needed to establish a trend. Any MACD signal triggered at the zero line could lead to a larger directional move, so keep that in mind. Until data is released, continue range-bound trading, and avoid premature long or short positions, as today’s trend may remain undecided.
March is coming to an end. Make sure to keep a close eye on today and tomorrow's data releases and aim to close the month with solid results.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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Crude oil-----buy around 69.00, target 69.90-70.90Crude oil market analysis:
Crude oil has not been so strong for a long time. The K-line has uploaded the daily moving average, and the bulls have begun to rush up. The current suppression position is 70.00-70.60. Yesterday, the highest peak was 70.22. Today's idea is to follow the short-term buying, buy at a low price to see its moving average rebound, and the daily moving average is also starting to attack. We don’t speculate whether this wave of upward rush will change the trend of the daily line, but we can be sure that the short-term is bullish. Today’s idea is to buy directly around 69.00.
Fundamental analysis:
Although there is no big data this week, the US tariffs still cause huge market fluctuations in terms of fundamentals.
Operation suggestions:
Crude oil-----buy around 69.00, target 69.90-70.90
USOIL Strategy DiscussionThis week, we've analyzed the reasons behind the short - term strong performance of crude oil. We specifically remind you to pay attention to the price movements within the range of $68.5 - $69.5.
Once again, we advise you to observe more and trade less.
We share various trading signals every day with over 90% accuracy
Fans who follow us can get high rewards every day
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Last pull to 4H MA50 possible, $72 target remainsWTI Crude Oil just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.181, MACD = -0.570, ADX = 39.438) as it crossed above the 4H MA200. It is still under the 1D MA50, so the newly emerged Channel Up may pull the price back under the 4H MA50 one last time before the next, even stronger bullish wave. Overall, we remain long (TP = 72.00), even more so on the long term.
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Potential bearish drop?USO/USD is reacting off the resitance level whic is an overlap resistance level that line sup with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 70.39
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 71.87
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 88% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 68.68
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USOil Sell 70.000Crude oil has been fluctuating and rising recently, reaching a three-week high. From a fundamental perspective:
Supply: The United States has intensified its energy sanctions against Iran. Attacks on Saudi facilities have affected their performance. The OPEC+ will gradually lift the voluntary production cuts starting from April and may increase production for the second time in May. The 30-day ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has not been effectively implemented in substance. However, recently, the United States, Russia, and Ukraine have reached some consensus on Black Sea navigation and the protection of energy facilities.
Inventory: According to API data, for the week ending March 25, U.S. crude oil inventories dropped significantly by nearly 9 million barrels. However, commercial crude oil inventories have been increasing continuously for several weeks, and the overall inventory remains at a high level.
Geopolitics: The U.S. airstrikes against the Houthi armed group in Yemen and Israel's military operations in the Gaza Strip have heightened concerns about the disruption of crude oil supplies in the Middle East. The United States' continuous strengthening of sanctions against Iran and Venezuela also includes a plan to impose a 25% tariff on countries importing Venezuelan crude oil.
Production Increase Pressure: The daily supply increments of non-OPEC countries (such as the United States and Brazil) far exceed the global demand growth rate, which has long-term downward pressure on the oil price center.
💎💎💎 USOIL 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@70.000 - 70.200
🎁 TP 68.5 68.0 67.5
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
USOIL:It's time to go shortRecently, the WTI crude oil has been on a continuous upward trend with fluctuations. The current intraday price has reached a three - week high. At present, the long - position sentiment in the market is greatly influenced by the fundamental news, mainly due to the intensified U.S. sanctions on Iranian energy and the ineffective implementation of the 30 - day cease - fire agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
Today's trading strategy: Focus on shorting at high levels. Currently, the price has a firm support at $69. Observe whether it can reach the resistance range of $69.5 again. If it breaks through the upper level, look at the important psychological resistance level of $70. Select to short again within the range.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.5-70
TP:68-67
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