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Energy Commodities

Oil prices losing strength due to China's economic slowdown Oil prices continue to trend downward, as are expectations for increased U.S. oil production and pessimism about the Chinese economy. Expectations are growing that oil prices will gradually fall following reports that new wells will be drilled in US shale fields, and the costs for them will drop significantly by about 10% this year alone. Meanwhile, the economic slowdown in China, the world's largest crude oil importer, is also putting downward pressure on oil prices. China's oil imports in June fell 10.7% amid disappointment that the PBoC's rate cuts were not large enough to boost the Chinese economy. USOIL (WTI) has been trending downward over the past week, falling to the 75.10 level. After death-crossed, both EMAs rapidly widen the gap and send out a typical bearish signal. If USOIL fails to hold the 75.00 support, where the trend line intersects, the price could fall further to 72.50. Conversely, if USOIL advances toward the 76.80 resistance after recovering EMA21, the price may gain upward momentum toward the 78.20 level.
TVC:USOIL
by inkicho_exness
2024-07-29 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Lower low again after market formed a perfect double top with Globex high, which was couple of ticks above Globex open. Market is going down but barely. Bears taking profits at new lows and wait for market to go higher again before they sell it. 1h 20ema is a roller coaster. Need to trade small, have wide stops and wait for decent pullbacks. current market cycle: trending trading range or broad bear channel, whatever you prefer to call it key levels: 74 - 78 bull case: Bulls buying new lows and making money. That’s about it. They are too weak to push to make new highs and bears will probably stop at bigger resistance which I think is below 74. Invalid below 73. bear case: Bears in control but they are taking profits at new lows and thats why the channel down is so broad and we have two sided trading. Play the bear channel until it’s clearly broken. Do not try to be a rocket scientist here and start with macro schmackro stuff about oil. It’s going down, look for shorts. Be Forest Gump and not Cathie Wood. Invalid above 78. short term: Bearish. Play the channel. medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 86 (could also be 87 but for now I see the spike above 83 as a failed breakout of the triangle. We hit the lower trend line and now we will test back up to above 83. —will update this Wednesday current swing trade: Still short since 82.69. trade of the day: Selling the double top Globex and EU high at 77.6. Had to get short latest at bar 42 but better 41 since it was also a head & shoulders or the top of the trading range. More than enough reasons to sell.
NYMEX:MCL1!Short
by priceactiontds
USOIL Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on USOIL and concluded the following: The market is trading on 76.41 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 77.12 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Crude oil: Waiting for a rebound to continue shortingCrude oil technical analysis Daily resistance 78.4, support below 72.7 Four-hour resistance 77.5, support below 75.5-74.7 Crude oil operation suggestions: WTI prices stopped falling due to a decline in weekly crude oil inventories last week. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) crude oil inventory change report is expected to show that inventories will increase by 700,000 barrels in the week ending July 19. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will address the U.S. Congress, seeking to turn the U.S. attention to the Middle East. From the daily chart level, crude oil has repeatedly fluctuated and stepped down in the medium term, and the oil price has fallen below the support of the moving average system. The objective trend of the medium-term rise has changed and returned to the oscillating pattern. Crude oil is expected to maintain a wide range of oscillation in the medium term. From the current market situation, the lower target continues to focus on breaking new lows, and the short-term long and short strength watershed focuses on the 77.5 line. The rebound above 77-77.5 remains short. Any rebound before the daily level breaks through and stabilizes this position is a short-selling opportunity. SELL:77.0near SL:77.30 SELL:77.5near SL:77.80 Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
FX:USOILSPOTShort
by ActuaryJ
1
The Price of Natural Gas Finds Support. But for How Long?The Price of Natural Gas Finds Support. But for How Long? On 21 June, we wrote that the trend in the market was weakening, noting that: → Forecasts of a hotter summer, published during April-May, led to a sustained bullish trend in the natural gas market. → According to the technical analysis of the 4-hour XNG/USD chart and the signs of weakness that have formed on it, the level of 3.160 appears to sufficiently account for the risks of an extremely hot summer. → Bears might push the price to the lower boundary of the ascending trend channel. Since then, the price of natural gas has: → tested the median of the ascending channel (shown by an arrow), which acted as resistance; → broken the lower boundary of the channel; → dropped to the level of 2.06 amid news of sufficient natural gas reserves in storage. And, as the XNG/USD chart shows today, it is this level that is now forming signs of support for the market: → the lows A-B appear to be elements of an incomplete double bottom pattern; → the level of 2.06 acted as resistance in March-April, so support here is anticipated by technical analysts. But can the bulls reverse the trend? In the near future, the price of natural gas may consolidate within a narrowing triangle, formed by the support at 2.06 and the descending trend line (shown in red). It is possible that failures in any attempts to break through the red line will lead to a resumption of the downward trend and a subsequent decline in price towards the support at 1.875. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XNGUSD
by FXOpen
2
Natural Gas...New All time lows? Natural gas has seen a failed breakout on the daily chart. After this failed breakout occured its been weeks of relentless sell side pressure. We have lost key weekly and daily supports, which doesn't help the bullish case. There is 1 small positive on the daily chart: a positive RSI bullish divergence. Understanding how this commodity works, one should be prepared for a downside case of $1.60. Its not a guarantee but a possibility. The Nat gas resource stocks are mixed and showing sings of volume accumulation. I'm watching the $1.95 Gap fill on Nat Gas very closely. If the bulls defend that area we could rally quickly. Keep your eye om the "Death Cross" signal, usually a buy signal for a short term bounce.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital