Energy Commodities
USOIL Price Analysis: Double Bottom Breakout Targets $78.37🛢️ USOIL Price Analysis: Double Bottom Breakout Targets $78.37 and $83.67
USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) shows a bullish reversal pattern on the D1 timeframe , with a double bottom breakout signaling potential upward movement. Traders are eyeing key targets, with the first at $78.37 and the second at $83.67 . Here's a breakdown of the setup:
🔍 What is a Double Bottom Pattern?
A double bottom is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend. In this pattern, the price hits a support level twice and bounces back. This suggests that sellers have been exhausted, and buyers are stepping in to increase prices. The breakout occurs when the price closes above the peak between the two lows, confirming the pattern.
🚀 Key Price Targets for USOIL
With the double bottom confirmed, here are the following potential price targets:
1. First Target – $78.37:
After the breakout, the immediate upside target is $78.37 . This level is based on a measured move from the bottom of the pattern to the breakout point, giving traders their first profit-taking zone.
2. Second Target – $83.67:
Should the bullish momentum continue, the next target to watch is $83.67 , where further resistance is expected. A move toward this level would signify a more extended upward trend in USOIL.
⛔ Stop Loss – $66.23
To manage risk, traders should consider placing a stop loss at $66.23 . This level is below the pattern's low, where a breakdown would invalidate the bullish outlook and potentially trigger further downside.
📊 Factors Influencing USOIL
Several factors could affect the success of the breakout:
Global Supply and Demand: Changes in OPEC policies, US shale production, and geopolitical tensions can significantly impact oil prices.
Economic Growth: A robust global economy often increases oil demand, increasing prices.
USD Strength: Since oil is traded in US dollars, a stronger dollar can put downward pressure on oil prices, while a weaker dollar may support further gains.
🛠 Trading Strategy
For traders looking to capitalize on this breakout, consider the following:
Entry Point: After the breakout, buying near the current price with targets of $78.37 and $83.67 could provide a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Risk Management: Place your stop loss at $66.23 to protect against unexpected market reversals.
💡 Conclusion
The double bottom breakout on the D1 timeframe suggests that USOIL is poised for a potential rally towards $78.37 and $83.67 , with a protective stop at $66.23 . To navigate this opportunity effectively, traders should stay vigilant of key market factors and global developments.
🔔 Stay tuned for more updates on USOIL and other fundamental market movements.
USOIL My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 74.39
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 71.82
Safe Stop Loss - 75.88
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL: Local Correction Ahead! Sell!
Welcome to our daily USOIL prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 72.94
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Brent oil and the global recessionConsidering the events in the Middle East and the possibility of the involvement of oil-rich countries, and on the other hand, the economic policies of the United States and the growth of emerging countries in the economic field and the increase in demand from the behavioral financial point of view, oil has the potential to reach the range of $125 per barrel and after that. It has the construction of historical prices in 2025.
Natural Gas Faces Key Resistance at 3.000 – Bearish SetupNatural Gas futures are currently at a critical juncture, with various technical indicators pointing to a potential bearish trend. Traders and analysts are closely watching the price action as it hovers near a significant resistance level, and the upcoming week could provide further clarity on the direction of the market. While technical signals suggest a downside, broader market dynamics such as supply-demand factors and geopolitical tensions could influence price movements.
Based on a comprehensive technical analysis of Natural Gas futures, the commodity is facing a significant resistance level around 3.000, aligning with a strong downward trendline. This suggests a potential bearish movement in the upcoming week, with a key target of 2.527 in sight.
A critical observation on the RSI (Relative Strength Index) front indicates further bearish pressure. The multiple RSI analysis, particularly focusing on the 7-period RSI, reveals that it is extending a large distance from other RSI levels, reinforcing a downward bias. This divergence in the RSI suggests that momentum is clearly favoring the bears, pointing to a potential price decline.
Additionally, the weekly chart provides further evidence of a bearish setup. A well-established trendline highlights continued resistance to upward movement. Furthermore, the formation of a double-top pattern on the weekly chart adds to the bearish sentiment, as this is typically a reversal pattern that indicates a shift from bullish to bearish conditions.
In conclusion, technical indicators, including the downward trendline, RSI divergence, and the double-top pattern, all suggest that Natural Gas may see further downside, with a target of 2.527 looking increasingly likely. However, supply and demand dynamics and geopolitical events, such as Middle East tensions, could influence the market and potentially alter this technical outlook. Traders should closely monitor these factors, as any disruption in supply chains or changes in demand may trigger a shift in price direction.
OIL Buy SetupOIL Buy
Time Frame:
- Daily: (FVG Identification)
- 4-hour: (FVG Identifiication)
- 1-Hour: Waiting for Confirmation
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1. Trend Confirmation:
Identified a Change of Character (CoC) in OIL by the break of the previous high at 72.40, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the daily chart & H4, noted Fair Value Gap between 72.50-73.15. This gap is a potential reversal zone if the price rebounds.
3. Entry Signal
Waiting for any reversal candle pattern on the 1-hour chart, if price touches the identified FVG zone.
4. Trade Execution
Entry Price: Wait for confirmation
SL: 72.10 (below H4 FVG)
TP1: 77.50 (previous high)
TP2: 79.00 (1.618 Fibonacci)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:5
Monitoring: Check-in daily at 8 AM & 8 PM
5. Outcome:
Exit Price:
Profit/Loss: pips
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Really as Simple as it seems- Very simple case for NG bulls on a long (2-5 year) basis. Macro trend simplified with nothing more than trendlines
- Shorter term bear play will be described in another post
- NG appears to be making a Jesse Livermore accumulation megaphone pattern as it did in the 90s/2000s
1) red long term downtrend line broken to the upside and retested beautifully.
2) weekly chart shows higher highs and higher lows beginning to develop on a longer time frame after the nasty drop from 2021 highs to lows which bottomed in the 2$ vicinity.
3) Shorter term black trendline still providing resistance upon the 3rd test. Confirmation of a breakout here is yet to be seen (this was where the short play revolves around)
4) major resistance around the upper red horizontal line at roughly 3.19. Lesser resistance just below red horizontal line.
Conclusion: NG has been and continues to be extremely cheap historically.
As NG resolves these resistance zones it appears a 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8 megaphone pattern will generate as NG eventually reaches the 12-14$ area within the next few years.
Natural Gas expected to tag lower trendline and upper trendline of megaphone pattern accordingly with seasonality and resistance levels along the way.
Volatility is expected as the cylinder widens and price action becomes more erratic, though long term, the trend is bullish, but the Widowmaker is not for the faint of heart. Scaling in, and buying near lower trendline tags is likely most likely to increase probability of maximum profit.
OIL Buy SetupTrade Setup
OIL Buy
Time Frame:
- Daily: (FVG Identification)
- 4-hour: (FVG Identifiication)
-1-Hour: Waiting for Confirmation
---
1. Trend Confirmation:
Identified a Change of Character (CoC) in OIL by the break of the previous high at 72.40, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the daily chart & H4, noted Fair Value Gap between 72.50-73.15. This gap is a potential reversal zone if the price rebounds.
3. Entry Signal
Waiting for any reversal candle pattern on the 1-hour chart, if price touches the identified FVG zone.
4. Trade Execution
Entry Price: Wait for confirmation
SL: 72.20 (below H4 FVG)
TP1: 77.50 (previous high)
TP2: 79.00 (1.618 Fibonacci)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:5.3 - 1:7.5
Monitoring: Check-in daily at 8 AM & 8 PM
5. Outcome:
Exit Price:
Profit/Loss: pips
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Sets course for $80WTI Crude Oil is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.800, MACD = -0.360, ADX = 28.602) as it crossed over the LH trendline of the Bearish Megaphone. After a 4H RSI bottom formation, the 4H MA50 and MA200 are about to form a Golden Cross, the first since June 18th that caused a rally continuation to the 0.786 Fibonacci level. That is where the August 12th LH is and that is our target (TP = 80.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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USOIL SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USOIL pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 3H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 71.68 area.
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Crude Oil Falls to $70.30 as Market Awaits Possible ReversalOil prices have extended their losses for the second consecutive day, with crude trading around $70.30 per barrel on Wednesday. The decline in oil prices has been largely driven by the potential resolution of a political dispute in Libya, which has temporarily halted exports, along with growing concerns over a slowdown in global demand growth.
Adding to the negative market sentiment, data from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) indicated that US manufacturing continues to struggle. Although there was a slight improvement in August, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 47.2 from 46.8 in July, it still fell short of market expectations of 47.5. This marks the 21st contraction in US factory activity over the past 22 months, underscoring the persistent weakness in the manufacturing sector.
From a technical standpoint, oil has entered a strong demand area, where seasonality data suggests a potential increase in volume, hinting at the possibility of a reversal. Additionally, the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that retail traders are heavily short on oil, further supporting the potential for a rebound. However, it's important to note that commercial traders, often seen as the "smart money," continue to hold lower positions, adding a layer of uncertainty to the reversal outlook.
Moreover, oil prices are facing additional pressure due to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies (OPEC+) planning to increase production in the upcoming quarter. This move could weigh on prices, making a sustained recovery less certain.
While there are signs of a possible reversal in oil prices, the data remains inconclusive, and traders should exercise caution as market dynamics evolve.
✅ Please share your thoughts about WTI in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
OIL TRADE IDEAhi all
expecting a short term pullback after HH perform.
look for HL before continue make new HH
also there is possibility price make new LL on high time frame
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
USOIL / BREAKOUT THE CHANNEL / 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The asset has broken out of a channel and is experiencing bullish pressure. This suggests that the asset’s price is moving upwards after a period of consolidation.
The asset is trading above a supply zone around 74.37 to 73.69. A retest of this zone may occur before prices begin to rise again, targeting a higher supply zone between 76.85 and 77.60.
If the price breaks 73.59, it indicates a potential move to a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 73.07 and 72.15 , his is a zone where price inefficiencies may exist.
If prices stabilize below the FVG zone, it could lead to further declines towards a demand zone between 73.07 and 72.12. This suggests a potential bearish reversal.
Supply Zone : 76.85 and 77.60.
Demand Zone : 73.07 and 72.12.
FVG : 73.07 and 72.15.