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Energy Commodities

USOIL (WTI) - More downside?The price action for the WTI Crude Oil chart shows that the higher probability move appears to be to the downside, targeting the lower orange box around the 70.00 level. The recent price structure has failed to establish any convincing bullish momentum, and after testing the upper orange box around 73.00, the price has shown weakness. Without any strong buying pressure or upside catalyst visible in the current price action, the path of least resistance suggests a continuation of the downward movement toward the lower support zone.
FX:USOILShort
by financialflagship
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher, breaking through resistance near 22,000. Although Trump held a press conference on tariffs, the market interpreted the grace period as a bullish signal, driving a breakout from the previous range with a strong bullish candlestick. On the daily chart, the MACD remains in an upward trend, and since the index has broken out of its previous range, today’s strategy should focus on buying at the 3-day moving average, which aligns closely with the previous range high. Today marks the weekly close, making the Retail Sales data release a crucial event. If price action sustains its bullish momentum, it will be important to check whether a weekly buy signal is confirmed on the closing price. On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has emerged, reinforcing the breakout above the range. Buying on dips remains the preferred strategy, but traders should stay mindful of potential volatility spikes around the Retail Sales report. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher, bouncing off the $70 support level with a long lower wick. Despite this rebound, both the MACD and signal line remain below the zero line on the daily chart, indicating that selling pressure is still dominant. However, this area also represents a strong historical support zone, making buying on dips a favorable strategy. As mentioned earlier this week, oil is forming a potential double-bottom pattern, which could provide further upside potential. The key trigger would be either a bullish MACD crossover near the zero line or a bearish continuation if the crossover fails, leading to a strong directional move. On the 240-minute chart, price action has exhibited a false breakdown, followed by a bullish divergence, suggesting that a bottoming process is underway. Buying on pullbacks remains the most effective approach, but traders should be cautious with weekend risk, as Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations could bring unexpected developments. Gold Gold closed higher, digesting the PPI data while trading near previous highs. The key focus is whether gold is forming a double-top pattern at this level. The recent rally can largely be attributed to global inflation fears stemming from Trump’s tariff policies. On the daily chart, the buy signal remains intact, but traders should be cautious, as a corrective pullback could emerge at any time. The MACD and signal line tend to converge naturally, so chasing momentum at current levels carries increased risk. On the 240-minute chart, gold has bounced off the 2,900 support level, triggering a buy signal. However, there is now a wide divergence between price and MACD, meaning that even if gold breaks above previous highs, the MACD may fail to surpass its previous peak, potentially signaling a bearish divergence. If a divergence forms and price pulls back, the correction could be sharp, as overbought conditions often lead to strong reversals. However, since the MACD and signal line remain well above the zero line, even a pullback is likely to find support, leading to a range-bound structure. The safest approach is to buy only at key support levels. Today’s Retail Sales report could drive significant market volatility, particularly as it will influence the weekly close. Always focus on the larger trend, manage risk effectively, and stay disciplined. Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀 Today's strategy will only be provided until the end of this week. Thank you. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 22000 / 21945 / 21900 / 21840 -Sell Levels: 22160 / 22240 / 22300 / 22360 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market(March) -Buy Levels: 71.10 / 70.45 / 69.85 -Sell Levels: 71.85 / 72.55 / 73.00 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2945 / 2936 / 2930 / 2921 -Sell Levels: 2966 / 2974 / 2985 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Futureguard
WTI Oil Short: Bearish Setup After Sharp RallyOil prices have surged impressively, fueled by recent fundamental-driven market moves. However, this swift upside has led WTI crude to my point of interest, offering a prime opportunity to short against the trend. My trade strategy includes taking partials at the $74 price zone. Here’s why this setup is supported by bearish fundamentals: 1. Rising U.S. Fuel Inventories Recent data shows significant growth in U.S. gasoline and distillate stockpiles, hinting at a potential oversupply in the market. 2. Strengthening U.S. Dollar A stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing global demand and weighing on prices. 3. Increased Non-OPEC Supply With rising production levels from non-OPEC countries, analysts expect an oversupplied market in 2025, adding further pressure on oil prices. 4. Weakening Global Demand Economic growth concerns in major markets like China and Germany are fostering expectations of reduced oil demand, reinforcing a bearish outlook. These combined factors strongly support a short position on WTI crude oil. Stay strategic, take profits along the way, and manage your risk carefully in this volatile environment! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by AR33_
Natural Gas Short: Testing the $4 Barrier – Opportunity Knocks!Natural Gas (XNG/USD) has spiked to revisit the $4 price zone, activating my short trade. This marks the second time in two years that the price has reached this significant resistance area. The $4 level is pivotal, serving as a key psychological barrier and a historic zone of strong price action. With the position now live, I am leveraging the resistance for a retracement opportunity. Fundamentals: • Weather and Seasonal Demand: Short-term spikes in demand are driven by cold weather in the U.S., but with futures traders starting to focus on spring, we may see waning bullish momentum in the coming weeks. • Russian Gas Supply Constraints: Limited Russian gas flows to the EU continue to add uncertainty to the market, but the current rally seems to be pricing in short-term factors rather than long-term structural changes. • Historical Levels: The $4 spot price has attracted significant attention as a resistance zone, with $3.40 acting as a key support in recent months. The bounce from this level earlier this year highlights its importance. • Market Behavior: Futures traders’ sentiment and seasonality are critical drivers. As winter progresses, reduced speculative demand may favor a bearish pullback. Technicals: • Entry: $4.00 (Resistance Zone) • Target: $2.60 - 2.70 • Partials: From $3,19 • Stop Loss: $4.40 (Above Recent Highs) • Timeframe: 12H This short trade aligns with technical, fundamental, and seasonal narratives. As the price has shown rejection at this zone, I will actively monitor for a breakdown toward the $3.40 level while managing risk prudently. Stay disciplined, follow your trading plan, and remember to pay yourself as the market unfolds. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by AR33_
USOIL Will Go Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 73.038. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 70.781 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILShort
by SignalProvider
1
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 70.40 which is an overlap support. Stop loss is at 69.20 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support that aligns close to the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit is at 73.32 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
10
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to the 70.00 support area.Colleagues, the situation is quite complicated, so I assume that the price is in a combined correction. At the moment I expect the completion of wave “B” in the 77.00 area, then the completion of wave “C” in the 70.00 support area. Complex compound corrections are always quite unpredictable, so I recommend not to forget about SL and lot calculation. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
12
USOIL USOIL is showing a potential sell opportunity following a breakout of the upward trend on the 30-minute timeframe. This signals a possible shift in momentum toward the downside. Trade Setup: 🔻 Sell Entry Zone: 73.000 – 73.300 🔻 Resistance Level: 73.700 (Key level to watch for invalidation) Target Levels: ✅ Target 1: 72.300 ✅ Target 2: 71.670 ✅ Target 3: 70.780 If price respects the resistance zone and fails to break above 73.700, we could see a continuation to the downside toward the listed targets. Confirmation from price action will strengthen the setup before executing trades.
TVC:USOILShort
by Pipsview_Analysis
7
USOIL 1H Analysis: Bullish Breakout or Reversal?📊 WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) 1H Chart Analysis 🛢️🚀 Current Market Status Open: 73.33 High: 73.36 Low: 73.25 Close: 73.26 (-0.11%) 🔻 200 EMA: 72.40 Key Observations ✅ Strong Uptrend 📈 Price is trading above the 200 EMA (red line), indicating bullish momentum. Recent candles show higher highs and higher lows, confirming upward movement. ✅ Consolidation Zone 📊 Price is currently in a range (orange box), suggesting a potential breakout. Market is forming small candles, indicating indecision before a bigger move. ✅ Projected Breakout 🚀 The chart shows an anticipated bullish breakout above $74.00 - $74.85 target area (gray box). If the price breaks above resistance, it may rally towards the next psychological level $75.00+. ❌ Risk Zone (Stop Loss Area) ⚠️ Support zone (bottom of the orange box) at $72.78 - $73.15. If price breaks below this level, a bearish reversal could happen. Trading Outlook 💡 Bullish Bias 📈: Look for a breakout above $73.50 - $74.00 for a long entry. ⚠️ Bearish Reversal Risk: A break below $72.78 may invalidate the bullish setup. 🔥 Potential Move: 🚀 Upside Target: $74.85 - $75.00+ 🛑 Stop Loss: Below $72.78
TVC:USOILLong
by MrStellanSight
1
WTI OIL Weak price action on the medium-term.WTI Oil (USOIL) is extending the Bearish Leg of the Triangle pattern after the recent January 13 rejection on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Until the 1W RSI turns bearish again, and more importantly the Support Zone gets hit, we expect this bearish trend to be extended. The strongest Demand Level for the past 2 years has been this Support Zone, so our medium-term Target is on its top at $68.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:WTIShort
by TradingShot
1
USOIL Trade Log - CPI Session USOIL Short Trade Setup – CPI Session Incoming 🚨 - Instrument: West Texas Oil (USOIL) - Timeframe: 4-Hour - Risk: 1% max due to CPI volatility - Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2 Key Technical Analysis: 1. Price has reached a strong resistance zone within the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is showing signs of rejection. 2. The Kijun Weekly and 4H levels align with this area, increasing the probability of a reversal. 3. Market structure has been bearish overall, with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) and internal liquidity grabs. CPI Session Volatility Warning: - With the CPI release incoming, expect aggressive moves and potential liquidity sweeps before directional commitment. - If price runs liquidity above the FVG and shows strong bearish confirmations, this becomes a high-probability short. - Manage risk carefully – no need to overexpose with CPI in play. Trade Plan: - Entry: Within the 4H FVG upon bearish confirmation. - Stop Loss: Above the FVG high to avoid CPI wicks. - Take Profit: At least 1:2 RRR, ideally targeting recent lows. Stay sharp, play the reaction, and don’t force the trade if the setup invalidates. CPI is where weak hands get rinsed! 💀
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by Fondera
USOIL Set To Grow! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the USOIL next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 70.97 Bias - Bullish Safe Stop Loss - 69.61 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 73.22 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Crude Oil daily time frame - potential Ascending Channel Crude Oil Futures (CL1!) – Daily Chart Analysis (Feb 11, 2025) 📉 Market Structure: Crude oil is trading within a broad ascending channel, with higher lows forming near $68 and resistance near $80-$82. Price recently bounced from a key support zone around $70-$72, indicating demand in this area. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: Support: $70-$72 (previous resistance turned support) Resistance: $78-$80 (previous strong rejection area) Major Resistance: $82+ (upper trendline of the channel) 📊 Potential Scenarios: Bullish Case: If price holds above $72, a continuation to $78-$80 is likely. Breaking $80 could lead to a test of the upper channel at $82-$85. Bearish Case: A break below $70 could invalidate the bullish momentum, pushing price towards the lower trendline near $68-$66. 📌 Conclusion: Oil is in a consolidation phase, respecting key levels. Bulls need a breakout above $78-$80 for further upside, while bears would target a breakdown below $70. 🚀🔥
NYMEX:CL1!
by Forexbeats