CRUDE OIL Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bullish breakout of the key
Level of 70.30$ and the
Breakout is confirmed so we
Are bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Move up after a potential
Local pullback
Buy!
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Energy Commodities
USOIL: Next Week's Blueprint for Profit Amid VolatilityDuring the US trading session on Friday, March 28th, international oil prices fluctuated slightly and declined. However, both Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil remained firmly near their one - month highs and were projected to register "three consecutive weekly gains" on the weekly chart. The ongoing tug - of - war between the supply tightness instigated by geopolitical unrest and the latent concerns regarding an economic downturn has placed oil prices in a volatile state of being "caught between a rock and a hard place".
From the perspective of the USOIL daily chart, following the medium - term trend's breach of the lower edge of the range, it has predominantly fluctuated around lower levels. The oil price has experienced consecutive short - term increases, breaking through the suppression of the moving average system, and the medium - term objective trend has entered a transition phase. Nevertheless, in terms of kinetic energy, neither the bulls nor the bears have demonstrated a clear - cut inclination to overpower the other. It is anticipated that the medium - term trend will persist in its volatile rhythm for a while, awaiting the establishment of a distinct trend direction.
The short - term (1H) trend of USOIL has not continuously set new highs and has exhibited a pattern of high - level consolidation. The short - term objective trend remains upward. In the early trading session, the oil price underwent a narrow adjustment at a high level, presenting an overall secondary rhythm with a sound internal rhythm. The fundamental objective trend during the week has been upward in sync, and it is highly likely that the short - term trend of USOIL will continue its upward trajectory next week.
USOIL
buy@68-68.5
tp:69.5-70
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USOIL: GO short positions during the oscillation at a high levelThe short-term trend of crude oil has been oscillating and declining at a high level. The oil price has broken below the moving average system, and the objective short-term trend has entered a transition period. The bearish momentum is gradually intensifying, and the oil price dropped below 70 in the early trading session. In the 4-hour chart, the objective short-term trend direction within this week still remains upward. The trading strategy for crude oil still mainly focuses on the oscillation and decline at a high level.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.8-70
TP:69-68.5
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Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed sharply lower, forming a long bearish candlestick, as recession fears intensified. The index fell toward the lower Bollinger Band on the daily chart, while the MACD moved closer to the signal line, indicating a correction.
On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq faced resistance slightly above the 5-week MA, forming an upper wick and closing lower. The MACD is falling steeply, and the signal line is also in a downtrend, suggesting the potential for an overshooting move downward before forming a bottom. From a daily perspective, key support zones to watch are around 19,000 (first level) and 18,500 (second level). The MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, but if a bearish crossover (death cross) occurs, a strong third wave of selling pressure could emerge. Therefore, caution is advised for long positions. However, since the MACD has not yet confirmed a bearish crossover, there is also the possibility of a rebound off the signal line. It is crucial to wait for a confirmed trend reversal before taking long positions.
On the 240-minute chart, strong sell signals have emerged, leading to a steep decline. The current price action resembles the movement seen on February 21, but since the bottom is not yet clear, it is best to adopt a conservative approach. For short positions, the 3-day moving average can be used as a reference level. For long positions, the lower Bollinger Band may provide a short-term buying opportunity. As today marks the last trading day of the month, watch closely to see if the Nasdaq reaches the 20-month MA or ends the month with a lower wick.
Crude Oil
Oil closed lower, facing resistance at $70. It has fallen back below the 5-day MA, trapping the price within a range-bound structure. On the weekly chart, oil was rejected at the 10-week MA, and since the MACD has not yet formed a bullish crossover, there is a chance that oil could retest its previous double-bottom level. A consolidation phase between the 5-week and 10-week MAs appears likely.
On the daily chart, as the price corrected, the MACD began converging with the signal line. If oil retraces to around $68, a short-term buying opportunity may arise. For oil to resume its uptrend, it needs to pull back toward $68, rebound, and break above $70 with strong momentum. However, this move would likely require a global catalyst. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line remain above the zero line, suggesting a higher probability of a rebound and a golden cross formation. Overall, the best approach is to focus on dip-buying opportunities during this phase.
Gold
Gold closed higher, breaking to a new all-time high on the daily chart. Last week, there was a possibility of a pullback toward the 5-week MA, but the MACD has turned upward, surpassing its previous high, reducing the likelihood of a bearish divergence and increasing the probability of further upside. However, since gold has not yet tested the 5-week MA, a short-term correction remains a possibility. On the daily chart, buying opportunities were available at the 3-day MA following a strong bullish candle. A pullback to the 5-day MA within the next few days remains possible, and if this happens, it could present another dip-buying opportunity. Based on wave analysis, gold could target around 3,216. To confirm this upside scenario, the daily chart must show stronger bullish momentum, eliminating the risk of MACD divergence.
On the 240-minute chart, gold has been experiencing strong upward momentum, making it a buy-on-dips market. However, for a more comfortable long position, the MACD needs to exceed its previous peak. Overall, a long-only strategy remains preferable. For short positions, it is difficult to pinpoint the exact peak, so strict stop-loss management is essential. This week, key economic events include the ISM Manufacturing & Services PMIs and Friday's U.S. jobs report, which could increase gold's volatility. Stay cautious.
Today marks the final trading session of March. Tariff-related news and gold’s record highs indicate rising market volatility. Stay adaptive to the market’s movements and trade safely as we close the monthly candle.
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$KRE CRASH COMING ... Not yet tho..we'll find out..Regional Banks seem to be heading on a slippery path identical to the most previous crash pattern back when they needed all the loan Bailouts. Now that all the loans have stopped, I'm sure some banks may be heading towards loan restructuring perhaps, maybe defaults, I'm not sure honestly. I just know that the chart never lies and I've been watching and waiting for a long while. I predicted the first crash back then and I currently have no doubts with the current chart ahead of me. As always, I will do my best to provide the best insight possible into these speculations. Currently we have the Daily breaking trend and the bar count getting close to the previous 141 bars. The only difference is that we bounce off the 100% retracement. If we continue to lose the 1.27, we'll be headed for the 1.61..... updates soon.
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USOIL:Continue to sell at highs tomorrowAfter breaking below the lower edge of the range, the medium-term trend of crude oil has been continuously moving in a secondary oscillation around low levels. In terms of momentum, neither the bullish nor bearish momentum has significantly overwhelmed the other, and there has been no continuation of the bullish trend.
Regarding the support level, we should first consider the 68.5 mark, which was an important resistance level that the oil price previously broke through. For tomorrow's trading operations, it is advisable to mainly consider selling at highs.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@70-70.5
TP:69-68.5
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Crude Oil (WTI) Bullish Breakout – Eyes on $78.47!🚀 Crude Oil (WTI) Bullish Breakout – Eyes on $78.47! 🚀
📊 Trade Setup:
Entry Price: $73.12
Take Profit 1: $73.99
Take Profit 2: $76.20
Take Profit 3: $78.47
Stop Loss: $71.21 (below key support zone)
📈 Analysis:
After months of trading in a range, WTI Crude Oil has broken above the upper boundary of the channel , signaling a bullish breakout. This breakout is supported by:
1️⃣ China's Economic Optimism: Growth pledges and potential stimulus are boosting demand expectations.
2️⃣ Technical Momentum: Key resistance at $71.50 and $74 has been breached, opening the path toward higher targets.
3️⃣ Tight Weekly Chart Range: A big move was anticipated, and the bulls delivered!
🎯 Targets:
With momentum on our side, we’re targeting:
$73.99: Quick resistance retest.
$76.20: Alignment with prior highs.
$78.47: Major resistance and breakout zone.
🔹 Risk Management:
Stop loss at $71.21, well below the key support zone, ensures controlled risk in case of reversal.
⚡ Are you riding the breakout, or watching from the sidelines? Let me know your thoughts below! ⚡
USOIL:Analysis of the Oil Market Trend for Next WeekAmid the anticipated trade uncertainties, concerns on the supply side have resurfaced. With the April 2nd tariff effective date approaching, the market is taking a cautious stance in the short - term. Supported by the decline in oil inventories and the prevailing concerns, oil prices have rebounded and are nearing the resistance range. In the medium - term, the market is constrained by the expected slowdown in global demand, and the focus is on waiting for the resistance test.
Strategy recommendations: Given the range - bound trading, consider short - selling at high levels and buying at low levels.
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Black Hole SunshineA surreal dreamscape, when spilled on water, can ignite under the right conditions, creating dramatic (but harmful) floating flames—an event that brings people back to reality.
The oil patch is on the verge. With an oil to gold ratio near all time high, the watershed moment is close. Accumulate through the near term volatility.
USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 68.97
Target Level: 64.65
Stop Loss: 71.85
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
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NATGAS Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level of 3.720$ and we are
Seeing a nice strong bullish
Rebound so we are bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Move up
Buy!
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Comstock Resources (CRK) – Expanding U.S. Natural Gas DominanceCompany Overview:
Comstock Resources NYSE:CRK is accelerating natural gas production, reinforcing its position in the Western Haynesville play, a key U.S. gas region.
Key Catalysts:
Production Expansion & Strategic Acquisitions ⛽
Increasing drilling rigs from 5 to 7 for higher output.
Acquired 64,000 net acres in Haynesville, boosting reserves & market share.
Investment in Drilling & Midstream Infrastructure 🏗️
$1.0-$1.1 billion planned for 46 horizontal wells in 2025.
$130-$150 million allocated to midstream development, optimizing gas transport & profitability.
Market Strength & Growth Outlook 📈
Positioned to capitalize on rising U.S. natural gas demand & global LNG expansion.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on CRK above $15.50-$16.00, supported by production growth & infrastructure investment.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $30.00-$31.00, driven by expansion, operational efficiency, and market strength.
🔥 CRK – Fueling the Future of U.S. Natural Gas. #CRK #NaturalGas #EnergyStocks
USOil:Profit realized by shorting on reboundsOn Thursday, crude oil dipped and then rallied towards the end of the trading session, reaching a low of around 69.1. Today, it rebounded to around 69.8 and then started to decline. The short-selling strategy implemented in the morning resulted in a profit.
Next, attention should be paid to whether the upper resistance level of 70 can be broken through. If it cannot be broken through in a short period of time, consider shorting again during the subsequent rebound.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.7-70
TP:68.5-68
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OIL - Potential Reversal Zone at Key Fibonacci levelThe Crude Oil Futures (4H) chart highlights a potential bearish scenario as price action approaches a critical resistance area. The highlighted zone, which is a strong resistance, coincides with the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels, which are often key areas for price reversals. Additionally, the rising wedge formation signals a potential loss of bullish momentum, typically a bearish continuation or reversal pattern.
The price has made several attempts to push higher, but the presence of multiple confluences, including the resistance levels around $70.50, suggests that the bullish rally might be facing exhaustion. If a reversal occurs from this zone, it could lead to a significant drop, potentially targeting the $66.50 region or even lower, aligning with previous structural supports and liquidity zones.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmations, such as a strong rejection candle, a break of the rising wedge structure, or increased selling volume.
Key levels to watch:
- Resistance Zone: $70.50 - $71.00 (Fib 0.618-0.65 and strong resistance)
- Support Targets: $68.00 and $66.50
This setup requires patience and confirmation before taking action. Always trade with proper risk management!
NATURAL GAS Channel Up getting ready for the next Leg to 6.600Natural Gas (NG1!) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 27 2024 Low and right now it is consolidating on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
The last Higher Low was priced on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which isn't far of, actually it sits at the bottom of the Channel Up. Given the strong symmetry on the Channel's initial Bullish Legs (+61.23%), we expect the new rally that is about to start to also reach the 1.618 - 1.786 Fibonacci extension Zone as the previous.
As a result, we see NG at a minimum of 6.600 by June - July.
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WTI CRUDE OIL – Bullish Continuation Ahead?TVC:USOIL is currently trading within an ascending channel, with price recently bouncing off the trendline support after a corrective move. This rebound suggests that buyers are stepping in, maintaining the bullish structure within the channel.
If the bullish momentum continues, we could see a move toward 70.10, which aligns with a key resistance level within the channel. This level could serve as a potential short-term target before a possible reaction from sellers. A clean breakout above the resistance zone could open the door for further upside. However, a failure to sustain this upward push could lead to another retest of the lower boundary.
Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals such as higher lows, strong bullish candles, or increasing volume before considering long positions.
If you agree with this outlook or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
USOil:When it rebounds to the resistance, continue go shortIn terms of crude oil, in the short term, with the decline in US crude oil inventories, the escalation of US sanctions against Iran and Venezuela, and the resumption of hostilities between Russia and Ukraine, efforts at reconciliation have been ineffective. Therefore, the short-term market has hyped up the reduction in crude oil supply, causing crude oil to fluctuate repeatedly at high levels without being able to decline. However, as tariffs are upgraded and concerns about the global economic downturn intensify, the demand for crude oil has further decreased. At the same time, in order to control inflation, the control of crude oil prices remains a top priority.
Therefore, the medium- to long-term downward trend remains unchanged. Currently, from a technical perspective, when crude oil rebounds to the resistance level, it is advisable to continue taking short positions as before.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.7-70
TP:68.5-68
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
WTI Oil H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend further?WTI oil (USOIL) could fall towards an overlap support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 68.65 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 67.53 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 71.06 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Continue to be bearish.Supply : The United States has intensified its energy sanctions against Iran. Attacks on Saudi facilities have affected their performance. The OPEC+ will gradually lift the voluntary production cuts starting from April and may increase production for the second time in May. The 30-day ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has not been effectively implemented in substance. However, recently, the United States, Russia, and Ukraine have reached some consensus on Black Sea navigation and the protection of energy facilities.
From a technical perspective, when the price repeatedly encounters resistance below an important resistance level and fails to achieve an effective breakthrough, it is often a bearish signal. This implies that the selling force in the market is dominant. Once the price starts to retrace due to its inability to break through the resistance, it may initiate a downward trend. Therefore, based on the strong resistance level at 70.000, there is a certain basis in technical analysis for a bearish outlook.
💎💎💎 USOIL 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@70.000 - 70.200
🎁 TP 68.5 68.0 67.5
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